#aurora forecast

[affairsmastery]

Nikhil Rajpal, an engineer linked to Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), has been granted access to NOAA’s Google sites, according to sources.

NOAA employees were reportedly ordered to provide Rajpal with editor-level access by Wednesday, sparking concerns over transparency and data security. Rajpal, a former Twitter and Tesla employee with a libertarian background, lacks apparent expertise in NOAA’s scientific mission, which includes climate monitoring and weather prediction.

This move aligns with broader conservative efforts to downsize NOAA, as outlined in Project 2025. DOGE’s growing influence across federal agencies, including OPM and GSA, has raised alarms about its sweeping access to sensitive government systems and data.

[swpc-bot--unoffical]

NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2025 Jan 05 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 00-03UT 3.67 3.00 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.33 06-09UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 09-12UT 3.67 2.33 2.33 12-15UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.33 2.33 2.00 18-21UT 3.33 2.67 2.00 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 periods remain likely on 05 Jan as CH HSS effects persist. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was above S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 S1 or greater 99% 25% 10% Rationale: An S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm is expected to continue on 05 Jan. A return to background-like conditions is expected by 06 Jan where a slight chance for an event will remain for 07 Jan. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jan 04 2025 1248 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2025 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 R1-R2 75% 75% 75% R3 or greater 25% 25% 25% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a chance for isolated R3 (Strong) or greater events through 07 Jan, as AR 3947 continues to mature and a number of active regions approach the western limb.

[meteorologistaustenlonek]

Yes, there is a dual #CoronalMassEjection heading away from the Sun and could give a glancing blow to Earth in the next day or so.

No, it will not be strong enough to give the @WDEFNews12 viewing area chances for seeing the aurora tonight. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/new-years-eve-day-geomagnetic-storm-anticipated-g3-watch

[geopsych]

This has been a dud so far. There’s still a possibility of something this evening but I’m trying not to get my hopes up.

There's a chance of aurora to mid-latitudes this weekend, especially Sunday night. No guarantee but worth keeping in mind. Some people are saying it might be as good as that one in May. There's always a very close to real time map of the aurora at the following link. Very dim aurora on it right now but this will change by tonight. https://softservenews.com

[whiskeyote]

YOOOO tonight looks like it's gonna be amazing!?? Forecast times are in Pacific time.

[389]

[velvetwyrme]

saw a bristle worm... my week has been made.....

[deyasworld]

One last 2024 send off

[badolmen]

I heard a rumor the aurora borealis will still be visible tonight in some places, is that true?

[seoafin]

im still jetlagged but im so upset i didn't see the northern lights

[swpc-bot--unoffical]

NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2025 Jan 08 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 08-Jan 10 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 08-Jan 10 2025 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 00-03UT 3.67 1.33 1.33 03-06UT 2.33 1.33 1.33 06-09UT 1.67 1.67 1.33 09-12UT 0.67 1.33 1.33 12-15UT 1.67 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 1.67 1.33 1.67 18-21UT 2.00 1.67 1.67 21-00UT 2.33 1.67 1.67 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2025 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: A slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storming will persist through 10 Jan as multiple CME producing regions transit and exit the western limb. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Jan 07 2025 2305 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2025 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 R1-R2 55% 55% 55% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for isolated R3 (Strong) or greater events through 10 Jan. This is based on the magnetic complexity and persistent activity of Region 3947.

[meteorologistaustenlonek]

"High(+++) aurora activity forecasted. If skies are clear, highly active auroral displays may be visible overhead from locations such as Inuvik, Yellowknife, Rankin and Iqaluit, Canada, to Carson City, Oklahoma City, Little Rock and Raleigh, U.S.A.; and may be visible low on the horizon from Southern California, Phoenix, Austin, and Montgomery, U.S.A..""

[forecasts-daily]

7 PM : Clear skies and high visibility. Look to the lights dancing so brilliantly above, and smile.

[nanonews]

the single worst thing about being a sleep deprived parent with a degree in astrophysics tbh

[wayti-blog]

Our Sun Rapid Fires Earth-directed Solar Storms | Solar Storm Forecast 06 May 2023

Beautiful aurora activity in lots of places.