#and we go back to school tomorrow. tomorrow qe go back to school. school tomorrow.
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living my worst life
#its ok tho cuz if i were a fictional character id be everyones favorite girlfailing poor little meow meow whos just some guy💞#ok but this si the worst ive ever felt in a long time ik they say progress isnt linear but damn#and we go back to school tomorrow. tomorrow qe go back to school. school tomorrow.#idk if this is pre period depression or im genuinely at the lowest of lows but oh my god do i feel miserable and stuck#for like the past week its been like this atp im begging the blood to pour to make an official diagnosis#l speaks#shut up l#ranting in the tags because i can#see u on this tag again on thursday if my period isnt double late 🤑#good morning good night good evening good morrow
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https://www.tumblr.com/lavendercrow136/739432265307881472/httpswwwtumblrcomlavendercrow136739360686858
Link above for Tell me this isn't goodbye love part 8^
I smiled,
"Oh really now?"
She nodded and kissed my cheek,
"You'll know more soon enough, tomorrow we will go see Morticia, and then we can discuss the surprise more, my darling"
I smiled allowing her to pamper me, we bathed together and snuggled in the tub and when we both were clean and had enough she dried me off and carried me to bed. We snuggled naked for a while just softly making out, and eventually drifted off to sleep.
The next morning I awoke to an empty bed. I quickly through on a silk sleep set and a bathrobe and made my way downstairs. Larissa was making breakfast, the twins already up and dressed, Pugsley was still in his pajamas rubbing his eyes wearily while he drank some juice. Wednesday and Enid were eating in silence, I smiled at the display, tiptoeing over to Larissa, I poured a cup of coffee and filled it with ice and cream and sugar. I took a sip, and Larissa smiled.
"Are you hungry love?"
I shook my head truthfully I wasn't, but she gave me a look that said I needed to eat. She passed me a bowl of yogurt with fruit and granola and I ate it quietly, she kissed the top of my head, I spoke softly,
"Girls can you watch the boys today, we have some things to take care of and I'd really appreciate it. We'll leave money for dinner, there's pre-made lunches for you both and your brothers in the fridge, you know the twins sleep schedule try to keep Pugsley on it to"
Wednesday and Enid nodded, and Larissa added,
"Also study for an tests or exams coming up, and be prepared for school and practice tomorrow love's, you know you can call us if you need anything"
Wednesday smiled,
"Already ahead of you mom, I finished my homework and papers two days ago. Now it's just studying, and helping Enid study"
Larissa smiled,
"Alright good,thank you girls"
We finished eating in silence and when it was time we got dressed and ready for the day. We climbed in Larissa’s car and made our way to the prison where Morticia was being held, as soon as she saw us she began to weep.
She passed us the documents in front of her lawyer, and she signed the papers, and then we signed them. She said goodbye rather teary eyed.
We finally were back in our car, and drove the hour back to town from the prison, Larissa passed me a black silk scarf from her pocket.
"Put this on"
I put it on, and Larissa held my thigh reassuringly while she drove eventually qe pulled to a stop, she unbundled me and herself , I heard her door close, and mine open, she scooped me up and carried me for a while before setting me down. She turned me away from her and removed the blindfold.
I immediately began to cry,
"Larissa how?"
Larissa smiled embracing me from behind, and kissed my cheek,
"It's our dream home, the house you drew up the blueprints for, with the help of your architect friend Valerie, Valerie and her husband helped me construct it and surprise you, it has everything we ever wanted and plenty of rooms and bathrooms and space for our family to grow. If you want more kids that is?"
I turned around and faced Larissa a smile on my face and tears in my eyes, I nodded my head softly,
"Is that what you want?"
Larissa smiled,
"I would like another baby, yes, but I don't need one if your not ready to go through all that again"
I smiled and kissed her,
"Want to see the inside?"
I nodded and she guided me around the house, when we finally stopped in the kitchen,
"This is beautiful Larissa, it has literally everything we ever wanted"
Larissa smiled and kissed me passing me an envelope,
"What is this?"
She kissed my forehead,
"Open it"
Inside were a family package of tickets to the Netherlands for three weeks in June, with Efteling tickets as well, I smiled tears welling in my eyes again.
"This is wonderful, but I have concerns, if I'm pregnant I won't be able to go on the rides with you or the kids"
Larissa smiled,
"So maybe we wait till after the trip, after we're settled and everyone's fallen into a routine at the new house, how does that sound darling?"
I smiled and nodded kissing Larissa passionately on the lips, her hands ghosted up my sides and I whimpered at her touch, I seized her wrists and nimble fingers. I smirked,
"Your lips and voice say one thing love, but your hands and body say another"
Larissa smirked giving me a playful wink, she pushed her body up against mine and hoisted me onto the marble counter top, kissing me passionately her fingers gripping my hips in a bruising grip. I moaned feeling my body wash over in a wave of lust,
"F-fuck darling, I -I need you"
I begged tears in my eyes, I was overwhelmingly aroused, Larissa scooped me off of the counter and pulled me upstairs to qhwre our master bedroom was going to be. She lay me gently on the floor removing my clothes with fat assured needy hands. She stripped herself and kissed her way down my neck, I moaned feeling her bill and stuck at my sensitive flesh,
"Riss please, I need you inside of me"
She kissed her way down to my dripping cunt, and breathed deeply, exhaling her hot breath causing me to clench around the air,
"You smell heavenly darling, so perfect and ready for me"
I whined and she smirked, kissing my clit, before licking a broad stripe from my dripping entrance up to my swollen bundle of nerves. She lapped and sucked at my pussy, and my hands instinctively found purchase in her hair, messing her curls. She moaned at my taste, I was close desperately achingly close,
"LARISSA PLEASE"
Larissa moaned shifting herself and sliding her cock into my eager cunt, she sheathed herself fully inside of me and I moaned my hips instantly moving to meet her thrust. Larissa pounded into my roughly, chasing her own high as well as my own. She kissed me, and rolled me onto my stomach, she slapped my ass and I immediately arched my back putting my hips up for her. She grabbed my neck and pulled me up against her chest, placing kisses to my neck and face anywhere she could reach. I moaned and muttered incoherently,
"That's it darling let go for mommy, does her little slut like it when I fuck her dumb and full of mommy's cum?"
I moaned nodding aggressively and she slapped my ass,
"Use your words darling"
I moaned practically screaming, as I climaxed,
"YES -FUCK YES MOMMY YES I DO, I LOVE IT!"
Larissa chuckled fucking me as I rode out my high, and shortly after she would follow suit, she flipped me over and crawled up my torso,
"Open your mouth for mommy"
I opened my mouth hesitantly and she sheathed herself in my mouth, I sucked her cock, deep throating her, and then I felt her spill inside of my mouth. Sweet and tangy, I swallowed every last drop, she climbed off of me,
"Let me see, did you swallow it for mommy?"
I opened my mouth and showed her that it was all gone. She kissed me praising me, and held me to her chest tossing her coat over us, I snuggled into her chest. She gently caressed my skin, humming softly while I nuzzled into her.
"Darling?"
I looked up at her,
"Yes love?"
She smiled looking away shyly I turned her face back to me,
"What is it darling? You know ,you can tell me anything"
Larissa blushed,
"I want to try something new, the next time we have sex"
I nodded and kissed her lips humming softly,
"What darling?"
Larissa blushed, before whispering in my ear,
"I want to explore some kinks with you, being my submissive, is that okay?"
I blushed,
"You mean like bdsm?"
Larissa nodded,
"Yes, I mean if your okay with that, I feel like it would be fun"
I smiled and kissed her,
"I'm sure it could be, I wouldn't mind being in control every once in a while though"
Larissa blushed,
"I mean I suppose it would be nice to let go of the reigns once in a while"
I smirked kissing her neck,
"You don't have to give up control entirely, I just for once I'd like to be able to feel like I had a duty or a job or was in charge of something other then tracking time till you get home or feeding the kids or changing diapers"
I sat up feeling defeated and ashamed of myself, I loved being a mom, and a wife, but it got repetitive after a while. Larissa held me close and kissed my cheek,
"Darling, I had no idea you felt so restless at home"
I looked over at Larissa with tears filled eyes and she caressed my face wiping my tears away,
"I just, I used to be Y/n Weems, detective and wife, avid reader and video game enthusiasts. We used to go on dates, spontaneously and now since we had children, I'm just somebody's Mommy. I don't have a job other then caring for the kids, and that sounds bad, because I love our children. I want more kids with you, but I wanna feel like an individual too and not just a mom"
Larissa kissed my cheek and held me in her lap,
"I'm so sorry Darling, maybe we can hire a nanny"
I shook my head no,
"Honey I didn't want to make you feel bad or to complain, I love our kids, I just feel like I need to do something that I can be proud of and say that I do. So, when people talk about me or ask about me or what I'm doing ? I can tell them something other then I'm a stay at home mom. Which it is a job and it is an honorable one, but for some reason society puts down stay at home mothers or fathers. I -I just feel all this pressure to be perfect all the time, you know?"
Larissa kissed me and held me and rocked me in her arms,
"Darling you are perfect, you are everything and more, but if you want to find something to do, that you can be proud of other then being supermom I encourage you to do so,and will support you fully"
I smiled and kissed Larissa, she smiled and we got dress and drove to our favorite restaurant for dinner. We ate and talked comfortably, and when we had finished we drove home. Wednesday and Enid were studying and the boys were all already in bed, I made them a study break snack and they ate and when it was time for bed. We let the girls drive back to the academy, and told them to text us when they were back inside. Larissa sat with me at the table, we were making a list of things I could do on the side while still caring for the kids. Larissa smiled,
"Darling, what about something with music? You used to sing all of the time"
I smiled,and rubbed my hands together, and wrote down the idea,
"That's not a bad one, but I'm not so sold on the idea of doing gigs in front of people"
Larissa nodded in understanding,
"What about being an author? The kids and I always love your stories"
I smiled,
"That's not a bad idea at all, I mean what's supplies would I need?"
Larissa smiled,
"A type writer or a laptop, a printer, something to illustrate your covers on?"
I nodded highlighting that idea, Larissa kissed me as she passed me a cup of tea, I took a sip and yawned. Larissa smiled at a text message on her phone,
"The girls are home, shall we retire to bed?"
I nodded sleepily and took the notebook with me, Larissa locked the doors and turned the lights off and once we were finally in bed she spooned me close. I drifted off to sleep within a matter of minutes, and when I awoke there was a note next to me on Larissa’s pillow. It read,
"Check the kitchen for your suprise"
I smiled as I put on my slippers, I walked into the boys room and Pugsley was wide awake. I scooped him up and gave him a bath, I put lotion on him and powdered him slipping him into his pull up and put him in a fresh onesie, I kissed his forehead. When Tristan and Oliver were done being bathed and dressed, I carried the boys down stairs and plopped them on the floor to watch bluey, I gave them each their bottles and grabbed them little cereal snacks.
I sat down at the kitchen table, sipping a coffee and eye balling the present before me, I opened it silently, and pulled out a typewriter and paper. I smiled and set the type writer up. I stretched my hands and began to type, it was around three pm when I got up with a stretch, and began to make the boys lunch. I was three chapters deep in a horror novel I was writing. I carried their lunch out to them and sat with them on the floor, Pugsley was eating his lunch and watching Bluey with no problems. Tristan and Oliver were slowly eating, I kissed all of their foreheads, when lunch was finished I scooped them up and Pugsley followed me. I changed the twins diaper and Pugsleys pull up, I brought the boys back into the living room and I quickly did some inventory of the fridge and cupboards.
"Boys we gotta go grocery shopping"
I got the car put together for the grocery trip, I put Pugsleys car seat in next to the twins, prepared a diaper bag, and loaded up the car with snacks and entertainment.
I quickly changed into a more presentable outfit for the store, and loaded the boys into the car putting on their fall coats. I carried them out to the car and buckled them into their car seats,
"Mama where go?"
I smiled at the boys,
"We're going to the grocery store"
Pugsley and Oliver perked up, Tristan was still groggy from his nap,
"We see Mama"
I smiled,
"Sure boys, we can go see Mama, maybe bring her lunch"
Pugsley smiled, I carefully backed out of our drive way and we made our way to the store. I loaded the boys into the cart with my purse and the grocery list. We picked up diapers wipes and pull ups, baby shampoo, more formula and food. Cereal snacks, and a bunch of other groceries for the house, lots of fruit and vegetables and protein, and some junk food. I was in the feminine car section, when a woman and her daughter were walking by, they gushed over the boys and I thanked them. I was looking at the tampons, it couldn't hurt to pick up a box.
I grabbed the box and made my way to check out, I paid my total and made my way out to the car, I started loading the meat into the cooler, and other frozen goods into cold bags so they'd stay cold,and put the dry goods next to the cooler and cold bags in the trunk.
"Alright kiddos, Mommy needs to quickly bring home and unload the groceries and then we can go see Mama, okay?"
Ollie began to cry, so I quickly got home and stocked the cupboards, I ran back out to the car where the boys were still buckled up. I called Larissa, and she answered immediately,
"Hello darling, is everything okay?"
I smiled at the sound of her sleepy voice,
"Yes, darling the boys and I actually wanted to come and see you, is that okay?"
Larissa replied immediately,
"Of course, I'd love to see you and the boys"
I smiled,
"Alright, well I'm going to be stopping in town quick is their anything I could get you for lunch?"
Larissa hummed in quiet thought,
"A coffee and some sort of brunch item would be nice"
I hummed in approval,
"You have not eaten today have you?"
Larissa was quiet for a moment,
"No love unfortunately I have not"
I nodded,
"Okay, well we'll be there soon and then you can take a much needed break and eat something"
Larissa muttered her agreement and we concluded the call, I pulled into the Weathervane parking lot and parked.
"Mommy will be right back okay?"
The boys just smiled and played with their toys, Tristan was more awake now and was playing with Pugsley. I made my way inside, I ordered two coffees, and picked up some lunch and snacks for Larissa all of her favorites. I climbed back into the car and made the drive to Nevermore, I parked next to Larissa. I loaded the twins into the stroller and with Pugsley perched on my hip, I carried Larissa’s lunch and our coffees and brought the boys inside. Larissa as soon as she was capable immediately came over and took the stroller kissing my cheek, we made our way to her office and once inside I set down her lunch and sat on the couch in her office. Larissa took the boys out and snuggled them, Pugsley ran over to her and she hugged him and kissed his forehead, they were so happy to see her.when the boys had settled and were no longer clinging to her as much she joined me on the couch with her lunch and her coffee, I sipped mine watching her open her lunch. Her eyes glossed over with tears and I hugged her kissing her cheek,
"Oh honey what's wrong? What is it?"
Larissa looked over at me and lay her head against my chest and I hugged her while she cried, and soothed her until she was calm enough to talk.
"Works been difficult today, the students are driving me up a wall, the school board is on my ass, I have had meeting after meeting, given out countless lunch detentions and I am so beyond exhausted and the girls still have practice tonight"
I hugged her and kissed her cheek,
"Is there anything I can do love to make today easier?"
Larissa paused and kissed my cheek,
"You would really help me at work?"
I smiled and kissed her,
"Of course as long as you don't get in trouble"
Larissa nodded and quickly called whoever she needed to, to get permission. She smiled coming back with a verdict,
"You are allowed to help, but the school has asked that I give you a position on the payroll"
I smiled,
"What about the boys?"
Larissa smiled,
"They want them here, and they specifically asked me to have you teach home economics, apparently the superintendent is really fond of your cooking"
I smiled,
"Okay so what do I do?"
Larissa smiled,
"Well first let me eat my lunch and then I can show you to your classroom, I have been running that class up until this point and it's been dreadful, I only did one class and was ready to give up"
I giggled,
"Not very reassuring love"
Larissa laughed and shook her head, she kissed my cheek and she ate her lunch. I had picked up a chicken Cesar wrap with egg, and a yogurt with granola in it. Apples and peanut butter and a chocolate croissants. She ate her lunch and then I let her settle for a bit, laying her head in my lap I carded through her hair. And she drifted to sleep. I sat at her desk, quickly organizing its contents, I saw she was struggling with a budget for the Rave'N and wired a little money I had set aside to the school's account. A celebratory ta-da sound went off and the budget was cleared, I ordered the things she had listed for the theme. I carried out a few lunch detentions, when Wednesday arrived, I smiled.
"Shush Moms asleep, whats up baby bat?"
Wednesday nodded,
"I can see that she is late to home economics class"
I smiled,
"That's me now, give me two minutes and we can go"
Wednesday nodded, I quickly looked over Larissa’s calendar and saw she had nothing else for the day. I tucked the boys into the bed in the adjacent room of her office lining up pillows so they wouldn't fall. And set up a make shift baby gate, I set the baby monitor next to them and passed them their bottles and binkeys, and put bluey on the tablet. They were asleep quickly, I covered Larissa with a blanket kissed her forehead and shut her office door putting up the do not disturb sign and made my way with Wednesday to home economics.
The class looked at me confused, I smiled, Wednesday sat,
"Hello class, I'm Professor Weems, I'm going to be taking over this position for the foreseeable future. What has Principal Weems taught you so far?"
The class snickered, and Wednesday spoke up,
"Umm, how to burn a casserole"
I smiled, and folded my hands together and looked through the cupboards.
"Casseroles are incredibly hard to make, and if your a busy person with not a lot of time, or someone who needs to multitask a lot they are difficult. So we're gonna save that, now I'm gonna show you how to make the brownies I always make for the bake sale that sell fast"
I began teaching them how to do it and I even let them sample one,
"Now the batch if done correctly makes one hundred brownies, and that is going to be 10, 9x9 pans, and since their are only ten of you in this class, I want you to each make a tray for homework, what we don't eat we will sell to raise money for the school clubs and dances. Please make sure you write down the recipe, and remember to never leave your brownies unattended"
The bell rang and once the students had finished writing down the recipe they left, Wednesday remained behind and helped me package up the brownies that were left. We labeled them and brought them to the boosters club corner,
"Thank you for helping me baby bat"
Wednesday smiled,
"No problem Mama, it's nice that the schools allowing you to work and have the boys with you and that your giving Mom a break.speaking of practice is in an hour, make sure she's awake and ready please"
I smiled,
"Of course sweet heart"
I dropped a twenty in the boosters club box and grabbed some of the brownies we made, and went back to Larissa’s office. She was still out cold on the couch, I let her sleep a little longer and made my way into the bedroom where the boys were still asleep. I took a sip of my coffee, and smiled when I saw Larissa begin to wake up on her own, she sat up a little panicked.
"Fuck I missed the deadline to order the decor"
I shook my head and printed her out the confirmation number and the list of what I had ordered, I handed it to her and sat with her on the couch, she instantly relaxed.
"Oh thank God, thank you darling. How was class?"
She hummed sipping her coffee, I chuckled,
"Well no brownies were burnt, unlike the casserole you made and the students have homework that benefits the school school"
Larissa giggled and kissed my cheek,
"What time is it anyway?"
I smiled,
"You have an 50 minutes or so before you have to make your way to the soccer pitch"
Larissa nodded,
"Will you stay to watch practice?"
I smiled,
"Of course darling"
Larissa smiled and began working on plays to run through for the final game, and I sat reading a book with her. I changed the boys diapers, while Larissa changed into a paid or jeans and a t-shirt, we made our way down to the soccer pitch where the girls were already doing warm ups.
Larissa spoke up,
"Alright girls listen up, once your warmed up were gonna go over some new plays for the final game, which as your aware is in two days against Nevermores long standing rival the Knights, now I need you on your A game so this is going to be our last practice before the match.The team sleepover is the night before the big game, my wife and I will be hosting it, you will have a bed time. You will be expected to do homework still, I asked you all to bring a list of allergies if any were had so we can plan for food the night before"
Yoko Tanaka and a few of the other girls who are vampires stood up and presented their list to me,
"No Garlic"
I announced, the girls nodded in understanding. Larissa handed out copies of the play book,
"Read these, memorize them, these are our friend"
The girls looked over the play book, and when it was time they ran a few drills, and shortly after practice had ended. Larissa brought the girls in for a team huddle, and said her goodbyes to the team and then we made our way home. Larissa helped me get the boys inside and we ordered dinner from a burger joint, we ate the food and snuggled on the couch with the boys. Once we had finished and the boys were tucked away for sleep we hung out watching our shows, Larissa read the first three chapters of my novel and smiled.
"This is incredible darling"
I smiled,
"You think so ?"
She nodded and kissed my cheek, we went upstairs to go to our bedroom, we showered and once we had finished we went to bed. Larissa kissed me and snuggled me close, when I woke up, I immediately did my makeup and got dressed for work. Larissa followed suit and helped me get the boys ready, I packed our lunches and we rode to the Academy together. The boys were still sleepy in the car, we went inside the academy together and Larissa brought us inside. I set the boys in her bed, and they slept most the morning. Larissa kissed my cheek and ordered us coffee, I sat down and typed more on my type writer. When breakfast arrived I took a break from writing and sat with Larissa, we ate and afterward she snuggled me on the couch.
The morning was relatively uneventful, mostly spent in each other's company, there were a few things Larissa had to attend to but I was capable of tagging along to help. We set up the ballroom for the Rave'N, and the boys ran around and played.
End of Part 9
@o1iviac1aire @barbarasstar @vii-v @propertyofmilfs @weemssapphic @weemswife
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Relinookton Story Chapter 15
Many students and staff attended the trial where Rachel's fate should be settled. All of the Students she had under control were back again with a clear mind and told about everything she did. Aino with Rubina as his assistant both presented all of the evidence they found.
"We did contact your Family and have some more evidence to go by but for now let's focus on you…. Plagiarism, Hypnosis, robbing people of Souls, harming other students, bothering a Student via Stalking… I think this is enough to explain to you why you are expelled right?"
Rachel was silent… it didn't seem like she regretted anything… it was more of a glare towards all of the people who were against her. The only regretful face she made when looking at Tyler…
"Miss Fuchsia, you are hereby expelled from Hourglass station academy…. Please pack your belongings from your dorm and give your wand, your dorm outfit, your school uniform and your tablet to the secretary later…. We know this is your last year but with the things you have done qe can not let you graduate from our school. That would ruin our reputation to the public."
Aino tried to be civil but Rachel left the podest scoffing… she walked towards you.
Her eyes once again had this red hint that she had last time.
"One day I will come back to haunt you… I will take Tylers love and I will get revenge on everyone and eat their souls myself… starting with yours… watch your back."
She left the room and many other students got up. Rubina patted you on the shoulder….
"Thanks for the help, without your help in the investigation things would have gone worse… she can't reach us for now… but hope the police keep tabs on her and her family."
Irene who was walking with Tyler waved you over.
"All that is left is the Fashion event tomorrow… let's get a good sleep."
You nodded and left for your dorm.
#twisted wonderland oc#twisted wonderland ocs#twst oc#twst ocs#twstoc#twstocs#twisted wonderland#twst#twistedwonderland#twisted oc#twisted wonderland fanschool#disney twst oc#disney twst#relinookton#relinookton story#HSA story
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Bronx tale went off and corky is in trouble AKA because he helped orchestrate tommy favino getting hit, and his friends are all over things and this evidence he was messing with everything they've got his insurance and his code and his Paola and his people were questions captured and he was and he's not denying anything and he admitted to a bunch of it because he's on drugs and they tested him and now he's on trial real trial the mack way in situ and she took the job seriously and that's why they're doing it. Now there's a ton of mob hits going on all over the world tonsil and they're basically doing it themselves the higher ups even the two big guys are getting into it and this is just a big huge mess so at work they're doing tons of work and we hear them saying haven't put him in people so we do that they forgot who it is it's a big boss it's a big huge top level top ranking fight it's causing everybody else to all the ships are fighting and some of the planets again and Earth and probably end up with some practically nothing and I like to do every year almost and then they're going to start building up and they're going to be fighting the whole time I've been miserable but it's going to work I want to see them saying we'll have him help and things like that it's really impossible for them to do they don't have any will for it I just want to aggravate him so you're going to help here cuz they're all petered out and want to throw in jail and just use it cuz they're lazy and then I'they are not very bright anymore. They're about 500 million ships nearby his location and they're being scattered right now and they're about 20 million ocean vessels and we're going after them and they're big and the ship in Miami is being sought and they're using tons of sensing and we're going after it all the time and we finally use a few senses and saw something and we found some real quick and nobody caught on so keep an eye it's a huge vacuum there like Okeechobee is full and they're a giant blobs coming out and it kind of shaped like that thing you saw in the sky that was electric it's not one of them but it's like a strange square kite almost and it's huge they're Giants coming out and tons of them one right after the other and they're going all at the same time almost a huge stream it would come and then a huge stream and comes down but he says is can we use the spice for offspring they said yes to have a trick getting it there and we figured out something there's a few ways we could do it you could just pump it into the middle or into the room from the side but it felt it through and we might do that so I'm going to try a few different ways some have already been trying it looks good and we're going to move on it there now I'm tired of waiting days and days and then stops and it's gross it's really gross just keep calling me and trying to get clothes here it's a lot of work it's dangerous too this is very vulgar it's getting rid of tons of tapes so I'm sitting here asking myself what to do and now I hear it raising them is very important and we need tonsil it's like getting more metal which we're doing now huge forces are being built these people expect to get a hell of power and I see how to take over everything and when I'm about to do that and with their AI to do it and we need the AI and we need we need it soon and the conditions are now lining up for that to happen.
You've got a lot going on a lot of shows a lot of movies but the important ones to him are the ones that involve the ships and those are arrival and the Evans guy and that's in Georgia tomorrow then this arrival and arrival is saying hey you're hitting the nuts and it's in Georgia and they used to threatening for stuff but it's got an ugly and look at a call about come back and watch it all in that area it's where the school is that Ronald beirutty went to and tried the corner him in there some weird s*** and started bothering him so we're going to make a point if it's bother them a bunch of assholes standing there bothering him start getting that rate so he's saying what are we going to do here cuz it's kind of boring and just saying sit down and relax take a load off it's not what it said it on the floor just sitting there just totally alone I'm going to start saying like what a piece of crap to you so you told Kathy I want to go home I don't like it here I just started saying we're going to get it back to get you out of here and I said I'm going to beat the s*** out of you so look at you I'm going to kill these people all of them she feels like this what are you saying I said in English so she moves it and says what am I supposed to say they're trying to kidnap me she laughs as well we're going to do break all the next throw him out the window this is full of getting shot in the head later on get shot and Bronx till the movie comes out it happens in lifetime like real that's rushing in China and others make it happen and sit here in Florida doing nothing at all the same sail by and say that down and all stuff it's kind of like this so the laying down qe says they're doing nothing and having us threatened to kidnap you so if you get kidnapped I think it's one of us. All the time damn day out for years and next to it too was going to put me down below and see if he's here he's over here where's Waldo and it's kind of stupid yeah that was very not kind of them she's tired of getting pissed you said a bunch of s*** dude saying out loud and looking the cops will be after you she feels like this what are you saying I said if I did something mine would cleanse the area you said something like this if I'm up there and someone get hurt by me do you think they're going to be around she says no Mac as president or ghwb.
And on to that particular show because it's very important and it hinges on it as well as the northern Kraken coming out tonight is extremely pivotal and important because of what comes out first and we're all getting ready to do it if everybody there we have enough power manpower and force and we're showing up and what we have to do all over the place to get done and we can hear BJ whining so we have to take care of it cuz I can't stand it I don't want to hear it I don't want people see it to me if you do it you got to go somewhere else he's not doing it if you make me do it in trouble these people should be doing something to defend themselves they're not so they're going to have to put up with losing cuz that garbage what I said stands
Thor Freya
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Trump's Fed
Quick exposé on the Trump Fed. What we already know: Trump is tapping the following for the Board of Governors:
Marvin Goodfriend
- PhD from Brown in economics back in '78. Currently is an economics professor at Tepper (Carnegie Mellon's Business School) - The guy doesn't teach the IS-LM model (Video Here). From my understanding, the model describes the relationship between real interest rates and asset prices (specifically real GDP) curve in relation to the liquidity preference and money supply curve. The idea here is that in the short term, prices are sticky. If the central bank expands the supply of real money, the price of real money increases while prices remain unchanged, thus lowering the equilibrium interest rates and expands real GDP. It's kind of interesting as this guy doesn't seem to believe this model. - Has been an advocate of negative rates in the past having its merits if the zero bound is completely unencumbered (thinking going negative 3%). - Really likes Tom Keane? (shameless plug for Surveillance Midday on which he frequently guest speaks)
Moving on:
Randal Quarles
- Law degree from Yale in '84. Philosphy and Economic undergrad background from Columbia. - Senior official to W's Treasury Secretary. Also worked in the Treasury Department for H. W.
- A guy with private sector experience as an MD at Carlyle. Currently, runs his own investment bank in Salt Lake City.
- Will be vice chair of supervision, helping with financial sector regulatory efforts.
- Described as a "mainstream" Republican. - Has been an advocate for better coordination with Europe in regards to regulation.
What I think:
The overall changes to the Fed will skew to a more hawkish one. Goodfriend seems pretty hawkish. (Video Here) He's a Taylor Rule type of guy - that means equilibrium Fed Funds should be much higher - about 3.10% to be specific.
Sizable gap to be closed
In addition, Goodfriend has been recorded a number of times speaking regarding the Fed falling behind inflation. For example:
GOODFRIEND: There is no way that this recovery can proceed with any degree of confidence unless the Fed makes sure that inflation does not move up. So I think the risks are exactly reversed from the way the Fed chairman discusses this. He has to make the public understand that any whiff of doubt about the Fed’s ability and willingness to stabilize inflation is going to put a crimp into the public’s willingness to take positions and commitments over the next two or three years that would produce genuine growth.
Additionally, Goodfriend's staunch advocation of abolishing the zero lower bound should not be confused as a conveyance of any desire for easy monetary policy. His thought is that only when the zero lower bound is abolished before low-interest rate policy (whether zero or slightly negative) can have meaning impact - in layman terms, Goodfriend is saying that only the threat and the potential action of the Fed going extremely negative in rates (hypothetical extreme of, say, negative 5%) would translate to the regular banks providing negative loans to the greater public which would actually stimulate the economy. In turn, that would eliminate the current squeeze on bank profitability vis-à-vis a squeeze in net interest margins. Goodfriend is also a big advocate in regards to the ineffectiveness of quantitative easing. He believes QE is "credit policy", closer related to the fiscal realm rather than the monetary realm. It is reasonable to believe that he will want the Fed to quickly sheet its mammoth balance sheet. Moving onto Quarles. Private sector guy. Banker. Seems like somebody Steve Munchin and Gary Cohn would like a lot. Hard to imagine a banker agreeing with policy that hampers banks. What's been hampering banks? Squeeze on net interest margin. We just talked about it a couple of paragraphs ago. So let's put our thinking caps on. What type of policy were we just talking about that can alleviate bank profitability? Either higher rates or a lower rate policy that completely disregards the zero lower bound. At these economic levels, should we go super negative or should we have higher rates? The Fed has a dual mandate of full employment and low and stable inflation. Put yourself in the mindset of this banker - inflation is somewhat low. Okay. Check. Let's keep full employment going by stimulating banks and thus economic growth - let's have higher rates/a steeper yield curve. Should we keep rates low or raise them? These factors have me leaning heavily towards a more hawkish Fed.
What can be projected with some imagination: Letting our imagination run, we can project the following: Trump is not exactly one for moderation. When he likes something, he likes it yuge - think famous rapper Wiz Khalifa - everything he does, he does it big. The bigger implication here is that if these are the two he's nominating for the Federal Reserve Board now, we can project what other types of candidate he could nominate when Janet Yellen's (dove) and Stanley Fisher's (contradictorily (vs Janet Yellen) moderate) terms are up. Hint 1: conservative monetarists. Hint 2: More Taylor Rule and higher equilibrium Fed Fund rates. The upcoming Fed meeting is a consensus raise. However, looking at things like the dollar and long end rates, it seems to me that the consensus of a dovish Fed multiple meetings forward is pervasive.
Dollar at 2016 levels shows the market disbelieves potential Fed action vs other central banks
It seems to me that the market is still operating under the same assumptions of the current Fed when there are beginnings of tectonic shifts happening beneath our feet this very second.
2018 hike odds seem too low and presents good risk/reward
All this occurring in a market that already consistently underprices what the Fed's explicit intent.
Imagine a couple of those lower dots moving higher. With poor Neel Kashkari alone, championing for rates under 1%
In terms of actionable trading:
With everything regarding the markets, timing is paramount (forget all those academics saying it's impossible to time the markets).
Everything I've talked about can take a little while to materialize. There are of course things that can derail the thesis. If oil keeps sliding, which I think it can, and lead to lower breakeven inflation and turmoil in the high yield market, we can keep push back the eventual rates take off a bit longer.
Tomorrow's hike is pretty much 100% priced in. Fellow contributor Shawn cited an article arguing that the Fed should stay put tomorrow. I can only imagine the price action in treausries if that happened. I would look to eventually fade that move if the Fed indeed shocks the world.
Also, there are a few keep assets and spreads that can be keen to offer clues. The breakeven curve has been steepening slightly - if it continues, it can be the harbinger for a general lift off in breakeven inflation.
Additionally, I'm looking for the curve to stop flattening. I would like to see signs of the curve establishing a bottoming.
Name of the speculation game: anticipate the anticipation of other market participants.
Ultimately, it's just too damn hard for me to not expect some rhetoric or action from the Fed till January 2019 that doesn't raise the probability of one more hike to be over 30%.
Should we be flatter than before the election? Seems like the market is too skewed in regards to how flat the curve should be.
Thanks guys. Fed meeting tomorrow. Good luck out there.
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