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kaoruyogi · 7 years ago

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Another Tag Meme Monsterpost

I realize I’ve been tagged in a whole bunch of stuff lately, and I mostly haven’t been doing them because I haven’t been at my computer. I also wasn’t doing them because I’ve been in a funk lately, and we had a few bad days recently. Long story short, a co-worker died unexpectedly, we adopted a puppy who had aggression issues toward our dog and we agonized over our eventual decision to give her to a local rescue, I’ve been trying to find work in Washington so we can get out of SoCal, and my parents were over (that was awesome, it just kept me away from the computer).

So, let me start by tagging everyone who tagged me. I won’t be tagging anyone to do these memes, cause that would just be cruel and most all of them have been done to death.

@gugle1980, @ladydracarysao3, @galadrieljones, @kagetsukai, @aerismoon, @thevikingwoman, @princessvicky01, @inner-muse, @makers-breath, and @roguelioness. Thank you all for your tags, and sorry for the spam that is about to occur.

30 Random Things About Me Meme

Rules: answer 30 questions and tag 30 people.

Nickname: Red, Ginger, Ginge

Name: Amanda

Gender: Female

Star Sign: Scorpio

Height: 5′8″/173 cm

Time: 8:46 am

Birthday: October 30

Favorite Band: At this very moment, probably Fleet Foxes, but there are too many I love to pieces for that to be anything but momentary

Favorite Solo Artist: At this very moment, probably Andrew Bird, but there are too many I love to pieces for that to be anything but momentary

Song Stuck In My Head: Eivør - Trøllabundin

Last Movie I Watched: Dragnet

Last Show I Watched: Preacher

When Did I Create My Blog: Years ago, though I started posting in June 2016

What Do I Post: Cullen everything, fanfic, random musings...

Last Thing I Googled: 5′8″ in cm

Do You Have Other Blogs: I’m a mod for @cullen-in-command and I have an NSFW blog that you can ask me about if you want it

Do You Get Asks: Occasionally

Why Did You Choose This Blog Name: It’s my tag for pretty much everything

Blogs You Are Following: 195

Followers: 1,049

Favorite Colors: Rainbow, then blue then green

Average Hours of Sleep: 4-8

Lucky Number: 17

Instruments: Voice

What Am I Wearing: Blue slouch t-shirt and black yoga pants

How Many Blankets I Sleep With: 1

Dream Job: Video gam attorney

Dream Trip: Next? Belgium to The Netherlands to Germany to Denmark to Sweden

Favorite Food: Italian or Sushi

Nationality: 98.2% Ashkenazi Jew

Favorite Song Now: I will never, ever be able to answer this question

Kissing Meme

Rules: name 10 characters you would kiss, then tag people.

Cullen Rutherford - Dragon Age

Alistair Theirin - Dragon Age

Nathan Drake - Uncharted

Joel - The Last of Us

Shadow Moon - American Gods

Zeke Tilson - The Brink (You can replace this with Mad Sweeney from American Gods if you want. It’s still Pablo Schreiber.)

Solas - Dragon Age (mostly because I’m curious?)

Blackwall - Dragon Age

The Iron Bull - Dragon Age

Knight Captain Rylen/Professor Bram Kenric - Dragon Age (I cheated)

10 Songs I’ve Been Listening To

Links are on Spotify or YouTube

Fleet Foxes - On Another Ocean (January / June)

Fleet Foxes - Kept Woman

Eivør - Mjørkaflókar

Royksopp - Forsaken Cowboy

Ludovico Einaudi - Promessa

The Rapture - In the Grace of Your Love

alt-J - 3WW

Joshua Messick - Woodland Dance

Gorillaz feat. De La Soul - Momentz

Thomas Newman - Accidental Happiness (from the “Passengers” score)

10 Questions Meme (from @thevikingwoman and @galadrieljones)

1. Dream car?

Audi R8

2. Favorite animated movie?

Wall-E

3. Something you really want to learn to do?

Fly helicopters and speak every language

4. What is your eye color?

Hazel

5. A fanfic you wish someone else would write (any fandom)?

I don’t really have anything i wish someone else would write. I like to write my own ideas.

6. If you could undo one historical event, what would it be, and how would you think the world would be different.

I don’t believe in changing the past. The human race as a whole is incapable of learning unless it learns from its own mistakes.

7. When playing games, which class do you usually pick? Do you have a go-to class (mage/archer/healer/stealth/melee/etc)

I usually go with mages or something that can do long-rage damage, though if I’m clunky enough at a game, I usually pick something I can use to get up close and bash shit with.

8. Place you think everyone should visit, if they can?

The place they want to go most. Everyone is different, but everyone has someplace they’d like to go.

9. Video game character you would like to go drinking with?

I don’t drink, but I’d love to see the DA:I crew cut loose.

10. Favorite breakfast?

Eggs Benedict with Cheesy Hashbrowns

1. Favorite small town? Real or fictional.

Whitefish, Montana

2. Video game or DLC you’re most looking forward to right now? (sans DA4)

Besides DA4...ummm...The Last of Us 2

3. Favorite fictional world? (i.e.: Middle Earth, Thedas, etc.) Why?

Thedas, cause it’s beautiful and complex, and Cullen lives in it.

4. Where/what was the best cup of coffee you’ve ever had? If you don’t drink coffee, what’s the best meal you’ve ever head?

That’s a really hard question. I’ve had amazing steak in Paradise, California. I’ve had amazing fish n’ chips and king crab in Alaska. I’ve had amazing sushi in the Tsukiji Fish Market in Tokyo. I’ve had amazing food down the street and on the other side of the world. I just love food.

5. Where/when do you do your best daydreaming?

Whenever and wherever I’m supposed to be doing something else.

6. Favorite TV show right now?

This is also a super hard question. I love Game of Thrones, I really enjoyed the first seasons of American Gods, A Handmaid’s Tale, and Harlots, Insecure is a guilty pleasure...the list goes on and on.

7. Is your canon Inquisitor reluctant about their power, or do they embrace it full-force, or something in-between?

Something in-between.

8. What’s the best purchase you’ve ever made?

It might fall somewhere between my engagement ring (my husband and I split the cost) and my first law school book. Hopefully soon it’ll be a house.

9. Favorite or go-to clothing brand/designer/store?

Target. All day. It sounds silly, but they actually have really good quality, versatile clothes that I really like.

10. Are there any popular TV or video game character arcs that really bother you? How would you change them, if you could?

I get annoyed and bothered by a lot of characters, but I wouldn’t necessarily change them. They are who they were intended to be, and it’s not my place to say they are right or wrong.

15 Associations Meme: Belle

Rules: Repost and fill in the answers you most associate your character with to each question.

1. ANIMAL: Fox

2. COLOR(S): Rainbow

3. MONTH: October

4. SONG(S): The Maccabees - WWI Portraits (these lyrics aren’t the complete verse, and they’ll read a bit disjointed at the start and end)

A go-getter, go-getter You’re the best of all You’ve seen it four, five hundred times on repeat You’re like a leftover better than a ribbon-tied treat Narrow roads, never limit, never temper your speed And when the river froze solid you’re still swimming upstream You’d hold your own in the presence of pauper and a king Leave a singing bird silent, make a hummingbird sing You are a rope-a-doper coming back queen

5. NUMBER: 17

6. DAY OR NIGHT: Night

7. PLANT(S): Hydrangeas, Coniferous Trees

8. SMELL(S): Pears, Peaches, Lilies, Garlic/Basil/Oregano Trifecta

9. GEMSTONE: Opal

10. SEASON: Autumn

11. PLACE(S): Skyhold, The Emerald Graves (once she finally goes (if ever))

12. FOOD(S): Pasta and Sushi, but in Thedas, Roasted Duck or a Ham and Cheese Sandwich

13. ASTROLOGICAL SIGN: Scorpio

14. ELEMENT(S): Fire, Water

15. DRINK(S): Water, Fruit Juice

#memes #meme monsterpost #ask meme #oc meme

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mercerislandbooks · 5 years ago

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Kelleen Tries It: Doing Nothing

This month’s “Kelleen Tries It” was a tiny bit foiled. Jenny Odell’s How to Do Nothing appealed to me by its cover, title, and back cover summary about “all that we’ve been too distracted to see about ourselves and our world.” I assumed this book was going to be some sort of self-help on mindfulness and disconnecting from social media (it has “How to” in the title), but I was pleasantly surprised. Jenny Odell’s How to Do Nothing is a theory book, brilliant and well-written one, but not an instruction manual.

She offers a guide of sorts by writing thought experiments and commentaries of her own meditations, but a reader might end the book thinking well, now what? Part of this has to do with the disjointed narrative between chapters. She starts the book by discussing her impetus for writing it, the artistic inspiration and social change that motivated her talk about the poison of the attention economy. Then she transitions to discussing times in history when people have tried to retreat from society and failing, follows that up with explorations of artists who played with the idea of “refusal in place,” and ends the book with deliberations on communities, ecological and interpersonal. In the first paragraph she states, “In a world where value is determined by our productivity, many of us find our every last minute captured, optimized, or appropriated as a financial resource by the technologies we use daily” and the last page ends with a meditation on the power of existence in the 30 million-year-old design of pelicans.

There’s a lot going on in this book.

Ultimately, I could not take direction from someone who would not give it to me, but she did open doors for challenging my perspective. What I loved most about the book is that after all the academic discussion and block quotes, she is simply inviting readers to take the time to sit in stillness in a park and say hello to our neighbors. She doesn’t think of technology in itself as evil, instead condemning the way social media sites suck us into a never-ending slough of stimuli. She openly claims to be anti-capitalist looking for existence outside of economic and material success, but she never suggests escaping or rejecting it completely. Do I agree with everything she said? Just about — it’s hard not to see her points, to feel the wear of the everyday grind in your body and to see the change in climate around the world.

Here is a picture from when I did nothing last weekend, sitting on a bench on Marsh Island, watching dragonflies and lily pads, and getting a sunburn.

One of the ways she introduces her position is through fourth-century Chinese philosopher Zhuang Zhou’s “The Useless Tree” to readers:

The story is about a carpenter who sees a tree ... of impressive size and age. But the carpenter passes it right by, declaring it a “worthless tree” that has only gotten to be this old because its gnarled branches would not be good for timber. Soon afterward, the tree appears to him in a dream and asks, “Are you comparing me with those useful trees?” The tree points out to him that fruit trees and timber trees are regularly ravaged. Meanwhile, uselessness has been this tree’s strategy: “This is of great use to me. If I had been of some use, would I ever have grown this large? ... What’s the point of this — things condemning things? You a worthless man about to die — how do you know I’m a worthless tree?”

Points of view in the social world are what she identifies as paradoxes. Good for one being is bad for another, and the tree resists in place by challenging the carpenter’s definition of usefulness.

Odell explains how taking steps to acknowledge all living things and systems as actors of their own accord can decentralize our goals from human progress to earth’s progress. She suggests paying attention through apps that identify plants by their names, by following rivers to their origins, by learning about the place we live in the physical world we share rather than the altered one online. Not only does she talk about the way nature gives her sacred spaces of peace but also how close attention to physical reality deregulates the constant desire to be plugged-in and competitive.

Where we can pay attention, we can act in something she calls “manifest dismantling,” undoing the damaging effects of attitudes like Manifest Destiny that thought of earth as a blank slate for human progress and a resource to build upon. The urgency for change comes from climate crisis but also from internal desires to escape politics and social media we all experience at some point. Resisting in place, looking away from the screen, staring at the birds, are ways to enact a passive kind of change that decentralizes our focus.

This is my childhood backyard, my mother’s garden. It should not be a wonder to me that looking towards nature stroke a note with me.

For me, this book’s usefulness materialized in putting language to struggles I’ve always had with my understanding of living in the moment as a synonym to laziness. The concept of productivity is something that has long haunted me. My personal mental health struggles with my perfectionist anxieties and the pressure and competition to be at the top of my class in college has made me think intensely about my relationship with productivity. The compulsions to be the most productive me possible may create results in the immediate but in the long term I suffered. I see people close to me suffer from the same type of anxieties, as if their free time must be used in the most productive way possible – taking on projects and mastering new skills with fervor and determination as if they have to prove they are worthy of having free time that they can show all these results from. As if their existence needed to be productive to be justified. This bothered me for reasons I couldn’t explain.

Last weekend when I chose to read and nap on a hammock. It felt like the right setting for the book.

Lucky for me, Jenny Odell’s book spoke to the issues I have been struggling with. Doing the majority of my work for the book store and tackling other freelance contracts from home has been a struggle with boundaries. Jenny discusses disappearing job stability and labor unions in the context of the modern work force when she says:

The removal of economic security for working people dissolves those boundaries – eight hours for work, eight hours for rest, eight hours for what we will – so that we are left with twenty-four potentially monetizable hours that are sometimes not even restricted to our time zones or our sleep cycles.

The phrase “twenty-four potentially monetizable hours” stuck with me as the source of much of my concern, frustration, and anxiety over the past year since graduating from college. Every second is time that I could be productive, since I can work from anywhere at any time. In fact, I do work most everywhere, out with friends, at family gatherings. When I’m not working, I’m thinking about it. Now, I am not comparing the stress of my work to anyone else’s (I mean I get to write and go on Instagram and take pictures for work), but the stress of constantly feeling available to work is a growing cultural disquietude within the rise of freelance work and the gig economy. It’s even aesthetic to work as hard as possible for as long as possible, to be “always on the grind.”

Odell doesn’t have direct answers for any of these problems. In fact, she distinctly talks about finding a third option from the “yes or no but you have to say yes or else you will be fired” culture of the job market. She looks for an “I would prefer not to” response taken directly from Meville’s Bartleby and more loosely from Zhuang Zhou’s tree. In this arena, she looks to environmentalism, bioregionalism, and spaces of appearance between people. Places where context can give you a bigger picture, and the bigger picture can calm the crazy.

The trifecta of recent mind-bending.

Reading this book in harmony with Forest Bathing (see the post here) and more recently Conscious by Annaka Harris has been a trip in decentering my point of view. If literary theory and the work of Derrida and Lacan disrupted my internal and static identity in college, Li, Odell, and Harris challenged my external identity in my post-college exploration for meaning. I question what I spend my time on, when I am happy doing what I am doing, and why I become overwhelmed by tasks and time. Forest Bathing made me think of nature, not as a resource but a necessity. How to Do Nothing forced me to confront my anthropocentric point of view and remember there is an existence outside of capitalism, and that it is okay to spend some time there. Conscious lead to an upheaval of my understanding of non-human things, making me look at my external world with wonder. Together I have been re-thinking what’s most important to me and trying to put it those ideas alongside what is most important for the planet.

As I said, the best thing about How to Do Nothing is that all she suggests are small steps to looking at our world with context outside the human systems. Stop to look at a flower. Dedicate an afternoon to stillness. Take a detour on your roadtrip to stop at a reserve, a park, and remember that life will go on on Earth whether or not you make that deadline.

I’m continuing this theme next month when I post my interview with the author of the forthcoming Hollow Kingdom, Kira Jane Buxton. We will be discussing Buxton’s take on the holocene, the endurance of life, and how language frames our points of view.

– Kelleen

#how to do nothing #jenny odell #conscious #annaka harris #forest bathing #dr. qing li #island books #mercer island #kelleen #kelleen cummings

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jeremystrele · 6 years ago

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Bill Henson’s Post-Industrial Walled Garden

Gardens

by Georgina Reid

Inside artist Bill Henson’s garden. Photo – Daniel Shipp.

The acclaimed Melbourne-based artist. Photo – Daniel Shipp.

Garden details. Photo – Daniel Shipp.

From the indoors to the outdoor. Photo – Daniel Shipp.

Dry-stone wall feature. Photo – Daniel Shipp.

An inspiring spot for pondering. Photo – Daniel Shipp.

Questions of beauty, mystery, order and chaos abound in Australian artist Bill Henson’s garden. As well as being an internationally renowned photographer, Bill is also a passionate gardener. His home and photography studio are embraced by a lush and layered wilderness. It’s hard to know where the garden begins and ends, and that’s the way Bill likes it.

Bill Henson was a surprise. I had been told he had a good garden, but I had no idea of the depth of his obsession. I presumed art had a controlling hand over Bill’s heart, but I was wrong. He’s a very serious garden maker, garden lover and garden thinker. ‘Gardens, books and art are the three fixed points with which I move the world. They’re the trifecta.’

Bill’s garden is an entire universe. It’s an incredibly atmospheric space, imbued with a sense of mystery and beauty only he could create. Walls are invisible, movement in neighbouring buildings can be heard but not seen, and the sky is framed by a tumble of tree canopies. Pepper trees (Schinus molle), Canary Island date palms (Phoenix canariensis), figs, cypress trees and cordylines wriggle and shove, elbowing their way towards the light. Layers of underplanting fill the space, dripping down walls and climbing up tree trunks.

This garden is a wild and beautiful expression of Bill’s creative process – making, meandering and questioning. ‘Gardening is finding a form outside your body through which to articulate things which ultimately you don’t fully understand.’

‘You find out what things are about through trying to make them, create them. That’s how I am with my photographs. I’m never quite sure what it’s going to look like. You apply yourself intellectually, but it’s the process of trying to make the picture, or the garden, that leads you to understanding what it’s about.’

Bill is not just a gardener of the mind – he is as physical as he is cerebral. In 2006, he bought the mechanic’s workshop and carpark that was next to his warehouse home. He excavated the carpark and ordered sixty tonnes of Coldstream stone, which he used to build the tall, dry-stone retaining walls that are now almost completely hidden by foliage. ‘It took me a couple of weeks,’ he says, very casually. ‘Fitting rocks together is exciting. I could do it all day.’

The walls frame a sea of gravel that runs the length of the space. It’s the void to the garden’s mass, the order to nature’s exuberance. Bill rakes the gravel every morning. ‘In a way, the gravel is the known world. And then you climb up into the rocks and you find the wildness. For me, that tug between human control and nature constantly reclaiming the landscape is what I like. I’ve never found pure wilderness very interesting. Walking through Tasmania or the South Island of New Zealand is very beautiful but not actually interesting to me. But coming across a pair of old stone gates in an overgrown landscape on the outskirts of Rome, that’s kinda sexy.’

I find wilderness endlessly interesting, but I get his point. There’s something about the tension between order and chaos – the contrast of form and wildness in a landscape – that creates an attraction like no other. The beauty of Bill’s wild planting is made more pronounced, more dramatic and more mysterious by being constrained by walls, boundaries and gravel. ‘My ideal garden tends towards wilderness. You have the known world, which in my case is the gravel, and then it heads off into the hinterland, where you’re not sure where it begins or ends. Magic, mystery, darkness. That’s what animates the speculative capacity in people. It forces them to think.’

For Bill, gardening is a drug. It’s a form of meditation and ‘one of the most ancient and greatest pathways into contemplation’. Sometimes he’ll head down in the morning to rake the gravel or water his endless collection of pots and he won’t return for four hours. Constructive manual labour is important to him. He waters all his plants by hand every day (many of which are trees in huge terracotta pots), offhandedly mentioning how he can wrangle nearly any sized pot and plant with a crowbar ‘like the Egyptians’, and tells me about installing bird’s nest ferns (Asplenium australasicum) in the tops of the trees. ‘It’s a bit precarious.’

Many of the plants in Bill’s garden have been rescued. ‘I can’t stand the disappearance of the city’s gardens. Every time they pull down an old house they bulldoze the garden. It’s destroying the city. There are so many things that could be saved.’ So Bill saves them. He has rescued accidentally bonsaied radiata pines (Pinus radiata) that were growing in tin cans in a run-down nursery, an old cypress from a building site, and more. He tells me about a recent mission to a nursery he’d visited as a child. ‘When they bulldozed it, I went out with my friend who has a digger and a truck and saved a whole bunch of ferns. They would be hundreds of years old.’

There’s always room for more plants in Bill’s unruly garden. ‘A big, overgrown garden in the middle of the city is the ultimate luxury.’ He likes the country, but there’s something about the containment and humanity of the city that appeals to him. It’s like he needs structure to push against.

For Bill, gardening and making art are one and the same. He has committed himself fully – mind and body – to both. Both are acts of construction. Both are about creating mood and stimulating emotion. Both are about using beauty as a tool for discovery and speculation.

‘The best experience you can have with art is to go away with more questions than you came with, even though everything today is about certainty and exactitude and measuring. To encounter the great untidiness in good art is like going into a garden where you can’t see the beginning or the end of the space.’

Bill Henson’s garden, then, is the work of a great artist.

‘The Planthunter: Truth, Beauty, Chaos and Plants’ by Georgina Reid with photography by Daniel Shipp is published by Thames & Hudson. Released tomorrow October 30th, it is now available for pre-order online.

‘The Planthunter: Truth, Beauty, Chaos and Plants’ by Georgina Reid is now available for pre-order online. Photo – Daniel Shipp.

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natashamriel · 7 years ago

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PREAKNESS (G1) ANALYSIS MADE EASY

Every year, the Preakness (G1) is an evaluation of the Kentucky Derby (G1) winner’s chance of repeating a top-level win with less than two weeks rest at a completely different track.

Justify’s dominating win in the Kentucky Derby (G1) has everyone wondering if he is unstoppable. He broke sharp, contested a blazing pace, and drew off with complete authority. Which leaves the betting public viewing the Preakness (G1) as simply a question of whether or not he can produce a second strong effort in two weeks and if anyone will be able to challenge him.

These questions are best answered by trying to decide which of the Derby finishers will be able to return and deliver another top effort with just two weeks rest, since 14 days is very little recovery time for today’s modern race horse.

This year, four Derby runners are expected to return in the Preakness: Justify, Good Magic, Bravazo and Lone Sailor. Second place Derby finisher Good Magic was a clean-trip ‘clearly second best’ runner in the Derby. Bravazo and Lone Sailor ate a lot of mud in the back of the field early and passed tired horses late to finish sixth and eighth respectively. And all four are wheeling back following what can only be considered a stressful outing (huge crowd, driving rain, very sloppy surface, 20 horses of traffic), so any one of them would have a legitimate excuse were they to run a sub-par performance this Saturday.

What about pace analysis? From a pace perspective, Justify appears to have an even bigger advantage than he did in the Derby. A hot pace cooked everyone but Justify and Good Magic in the Derby, so another hot pace is not necessarily going to cook those two in the Preakness (G1).

And a hot pace seems unlikely this year. Aside from Justify, the only other entrant with any real early speed is Quip, who is owned in part by China Horse Club (just like Justify). Would the connections of the Derby winner want to see their Triple Crown bid thwarted by one of their own runners? That seems unlikely.

What about the newcomers to the Triple Crown trail? The newcomers as of this writing are the aforementioned Tampa Bay Derby (G2) winner Quip, Federico Tesio winner Diamond King, Pletcher-trained stakes-placed maiden winner Pony Up, Asmussen-trained allowance winner Tenfold, and the D. Wayne Lukas runner Sporting Chance, who was DQ’d from third to fourth in the Bluegrass (G2) at Keeneland and then ran fourth on Derby day in the Pat Day Mile (G3). Of this group, only Tenfold has the profile of a ‘late bloomer’, having raced only three times in his career, winning his maiden debut, an entry level allowance, and a well-beaten fifth in the Arkansas Derby (G1). The others are all seasoned campaigners with stakes efforts at ages two and three, yet none of them are considered in the top-tier of this year’s crop. Their established resumes are already fairly deep with decent but not spectacular running lines, making it unlikely any of them will suddenly take a dramatic step forward on Saturday.

This year it is probably safe to rule out the ‘late bloomer’ theories for this particular group. But let’s look at ‘Derby skippers’ from a historical perspective.

Being a well-rested but second-tier horse is rarely a formula for success in the second leg of the Triple Crown. Going back 32 years to 1986, only Cloud Computing, Rachel Alexandra, Bernardini and Red Bullet skipped the Kentucky Derby (G1) and won the Preakness (G1). I would argue that Rachel’s 20-length Kentucky Oaks (G1) win in stakes record time is equal to any Derby bid, so really only three colts in 32 years have won the Preakness (G1) having not raced at Churchill Downs on the first Saturday in May.

So that brings us back to the ‘bounce’ theory. All four Derby contestants returning for the Preakness (G1) had taxing enough efforts to expect a bounce, but what does history say about Derby winners bouncing in the Preakness (G1)? Once again going back 32 years to 1986, there have been 12 Derby winners that also won the Preakness and 20 that did not. Grindstone in 1996 was retired and Barbaro in 2006 pulled up in the opening furlong, leaving 18 that ran the race and lost. Of those, five of them arguably ran just as well in the Preakness (G1) as their Derby effort, they just failed to win: (Unbridled in 1990, Go For Gin in 1994, Thunder Gulch in 1995, Street Sense in 2007 and Mine That Bird in 2009). Each put forth a good run, they just got beat by a better horse on Preakness (G1) day.

That leaves 13 of the 30 (43%) Derby winners to race in the Preakness (G1) over the last 30 years putting forth a worse effort in the second leg of the Triple Crown. This is the classic ‘bounce theory’ with excuses ranging from the grueling Derby effort, the short time between races, succumbing to the pressure of the Triple Crown trail, and other plausible reasons. So the data tells us more than 40% of Derby winners bounce.

With that in mind, Justify probably has indeed about a 60% chance of running his Derby race again in the Preakness (G1). Estimate the chances as 40% bounce, 60% no-bounce. Against this year’s lineup, a repeat effort (no bounce) puts him comfortably in the winner’s circle.

If 40% of recent Derby winners have won the Preakness (G1), any odds above 3/2 would be an overlay. However, Justify is not going to leave the Pimlico starting gate at more than 3/5, so like most Derby winners, he will be a heavy overlay.

Looking for value, it makes sense to put some of the lesser-known longshot horses like Tenfold and Sporting Chance in the second and third spots in exactas and trifectas. If Good Magic is clearly the second-best horse in this field, he may have no choice but to make a total-exertion effort early in the race to try and beat Justify. And if that effort takes its toll, the second-best horse in the Preakness may finish out of the money, leading to some decent, if not huge, exotic payoffs.

Be sure to check out Dean Arnold’s handicapping book, A Bettor Way, on sale now through amazon.com and Xlibris Publishing (www.xlibris.com/ABettorWay.html

The post PREAKNESS (G1) ANALYSIS MADE EASY appeared first on TVG - HORSE RACING INSIDER.

PREAKNESS (G1) ANALYSIS MADE EASY published first on https://tvgnetwork.blogspot.com

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tvgnetwork · 7 years ago

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PREAKNESS (G1) ANALYSIS MADE EASY

Every year, the Preakness (G1) is an evaluation of the Kentucky Derby (G1) winner’s chance of repeating a top-level win with less than two weeks rest at a completely different track.

This year it is probably safe to rule out the ‘late bloomer’ theories for this particular group. But let’s look at ‘Derby skippers’ from a historical perspective.

Be sure to check out Dean Arnold’s handicapping book, A Bettor Way, on sale now through amazon.com and Xlibris Publishing (www.xlibris.com/ABettorWay.html

The post PREAKNESS (G1) ANALYSIS MADE EASY appeared first on TVG - HORSE RACING INSIDER.

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alexandrahargrov-blog · 7 years ago

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In many suburban as well as metropolitan areas of the USA, the legislation needs you to get after your canine when you gone on others' building or in social areas like walkways as well as parks. Perform visual moves, discovering regions including bushes, undersides from cars and trucks, as well as various other places a dog may hide when resting, hurt, or even frightened. Though GPS pet tracking systems have been actually made use of in the farming field for rather time, they were actually certainly not given widely for residential dog proprietors. I possess a saving pet dog which walks good on a lead but requires instruction in other locations. In addition, if you possess a dog that has long or sizable ears, you must be a little even more anxious in comparison to when you have a dog along with smaller ears. She seemed to have actually come to be a younger puppy dog once again, however along with all the toughness from a grown-up pet. Pet dogs are fantastic companions however when residing in a community, you should make sure that your pet dog is actually not a hassle or burden to others around. Don't permit a pet dog frequently ask you for your interest, regularly carrying over playthings and also resting through you. Try a chick pet dog food dish if you are actually appearing for a wonderful treat that will definitely produce your pet dog's mouth water. The moment your pet is actually excited about birds, give her CONSIDERABLE AMOUNTS OF all of them in a row, just before adding an empty pistol or22 try method off in the distance. Performing a rough procedure will not aid as well as merely create your dog to barely reputable you. Keep in mind, nevertheless, that you have to monitor your canine whenever he has fun with these homemade canine toys. Ewoks are actually brown, therefore this might possess a great suit to a brown pet, but it may be worn by any kind of different colors that your dog occurs to be. At that point there is actually completely no point in devoting any sort of cash on a training course or online videos or even an e-book on how to house learn a dog, if you can't do that. Be sure to be courteous from your neighbors even though your canine has just produced a tiny mess outdoors. You are actually a huge aspect of the problem as well as you have to acquire the canine far from your circumstance. The staff had creativity off human beings that robotically recover much from their power while operating and found to imitate this potential in their canine robotic. Today I'll receive you gotten ready for the very first couple of times along with your new pet or young puppy - a time that you've likely long waited for, yet that can be a little bit of difficult too. Our team're qualified dog personal trainers, besides-- that is actually about time our experts started training some pets.

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