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murfpersonalblog · 1 month ago
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IWTV Musings - matador!Lestat as Killer/Bruce (Pt∞): Incest, Pedos, & SA
This post is in direct response to the VERY good point @aleelewisharlot made about Claudia:
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But I'm also making this part of my ongoing discussion about how Claudia (and AMC) has constantly equated matador!Lestat to Bruce. (x x x x x x x x)
Talk about it! That tension is 100% there, yes, and it's deliberate, cuz it goes all the way back to Anne Rice, and the deeply embedded incestuous undertones/parallels in Lestat's story vs IRL cases; on top of how book!Claudia was constantly sexualized (esp. by Louis). But what's important is that AMC flips it so that the tension is b/t Lestat & Claudia, by emphasizing that AMC!Louis is a firmly GAY man who has zero sexual interest in females--but "non-discriminating" Lestat does....
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This is a effing LIE, and Les being nasty just to spite & hurt her, cuz Claudia IMMEDIATELY clocked that Antoinette's just as flat-no-nothing-arsed & non-curvy as "built-like-a-bird" Claudia is. Les may prefer a fuller figure on his MEN (*cough* Louis got that booty), but NOT on his women, and it shows. 😂🤣
I’m assuming all this information is from Claudia’s diaries and not from Louis but Louis is shown to be altering Claudia’s story in the name of “protecting her”. There is an interning read if Louis is also a little responsible for this threat and tension between Lestat and Claudia, if he is adding or creating more than there originally was. Then it begs the question, why is Louis presenting Lestat and Claudia’s relationship in this way? Why does he depict Lestat like that?
(The pages Lou removed were specifically about Claudia's SA, and the ones Loumand/Armand removed were specifically about Armand "my name is in some of those pages." So that had nothing to do with Lestat.) The thing about stories is that there's 3 sides: Person A's pov, Person B's pov, and then the truth is somewhere in the middle. Everyone's quick to dismiss IWTV as a total fabrication--even book!/film!Lou hated the interview & felt he'd "failed again;" and AMC!Lou set Daniel's laptop on fire cuz he felt Armand's mindf***ery has compromised his memoir too much. But Daniel disagreed & published the book anyway, cuz the whole point isn't really about the truth about NOLA; it's about the ODYSSEY of recollection--the twists & turns. YES, Louis' opinion/memories of Lestat & Claudia are compromised. But he DOES get the jist of things--that's Armand's M.O., cuz lies mixed with truths are the most convincing.
Cuz book!Lestat IS a canonical rapist (TotBT) pedo (IWTV) incestuous (TVL) genocidal (QotD) basket case, just like Hannah Moscovich said. So book!film!AMC!Louis doesn't NEED to exaggerate/lie/paint Lestat any particular way, cuz Les confirms it himself in several books. Even book!Lestat himself admitted that despite details Louis got wrong or left stuff out or lied about, Louis still accurately "captured the atmosphere & told the truth about their eerie contentment" together.
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And book!Lestat NEVER denied anything Louis said about Claudia--he even AGREES with Louis, and he castigates himself about how he treated her for the rest of TVC, cuz he KNEW he treated her like trash & that she didn't deserve him taking his anger at Louis out on her.
Claudia & Lestat
Lestat's relationship with his fledglings are very atypical, cuz the Old World covens act more like CULTS, not like FAMILIES. The Children of Darkness called book!Les a "blasphemer, profaner, outlaw." And they were scandalized that he'd turned his own mother Gabrielle into a vamp, cuz of the implications. The sexual aspect of vampirism is up & down TVC. If you wanna make someone a vamp, it's cuz you love/are in love with them--or you're at least sexually attracted to their beauty (which goes all the way back to Akasha's Great Laws); and the bite/blood is the closest approximation to sexual intimacy.
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Vampirism is inherently sexual--the bite itself is sexual penetration (vamp teeth are their reproductive organs). A Maker is both a parent AND a spouse; the Fledgling is both a child AND a lover.
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Ames, Melissa. "Vamping up Sex: Audience, Age, & Portrayals of Sexuality in Vampire Narratives." Journal of Dracula Studies 12, no. 1 (2010): 5.
Claudia, Les' 4th fledgling, was the first time he changed his pattern of behavior (his mom Gabrielle, his first love Nicki (RIP), & his endgame Louis). But ironically, Claudia being a child isn't what was weird about Les Turning her. The Children of Darkness were up in arms against it, but Lestat himself admitted that her being a child--"a beautiful little girl"--was what fascinated him MOST about her!
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Lestans never talk about it, but Lestat is ALSO a pedophile--AR doesn't make Lestat any different from Marius, David, Louis, or any other grown man lusting after underaged boys & girls up & down her books--ESPECIALLY cuz underdeveloped flat-chested girls resemble androgynous/"beautiful" boys. (As groundbreaking as AR was for queer literature in the 70s-2000s, her books are still riddled with homophobic stigmas.)
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The film/show blessedly skip this part of the Murder Plot, cuz it's gross AF, but when book!Les drinks from the twins it's WILD--he's slobbering over how beautiful the little boys are, licks their nipples, and as he drinks the blood he's humping the kid as they both moan & rock back & forth, it's unhinged, but SO free-love!1960/70s istg.
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The ONLY difference in Les' vs Lou's pov of the Murder Plot's that Claudia had stabbed Les over & over again after she slit his throat, which Lou never mentioned--not that details like that really matter; he's bleeding out in the swamp & set on fire regardless. 😅
But the BIG thing that breaks Lestat's pattern of behavior Turning Claudia is that she was a stranger he didn't want ("Madeleine, this stranger"). He didn't know Claudia--he made her specifically for Louis.
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Sure, the 1x4 revisit in 2x7 shows more of that convo, but aside from the BS about the Great Laws (which I'm convinced was scripted AF cuz Lestat DGAF about no rules), it doesn't DENY the validity of 1x4--we still see Lou beg Les, Les say no, Lou crying, etc. The desperate atmosphere is still there, even if Lou's version never mentioned how he was on his knees sobbing please 1000x & dragging her unconscious body. Both versions emphasize that Lestat said NO. He did NOT want her around--but "anything for Louis."
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Granted, book!Les didn't know book!Lou either--I always say book!film!Loustat was Vegas Married, cuz they didn't have the long romantic courtship AMC gave them. But Lestat always picks fledglings he himself has a romantic/emotional bond with--even Antoine(tte) was his sidepiece. (This pattern is broken again in Blackwood Farm when Lestat Turns Mona Mayfair for Quinn Blackwood--another underaged girl with a whole mountain of non/dubcon attached to her story as well.)
Claudia's relationship with Lestat is complex, cuz they're intimately connected to each other through the Maker/Fledgling bond; the same way Lestat is connected to Louis, Gabrielle, & Nicki. But it's loaded with resentment on both sides--AMC's version nods to how Lestat (felt that he) WAS forced to Turn her--by circumstance in the books, and more overtly by Louis on the show. The situation's the same regardless: Turn Claudia, or lose Louis.
Not that book!AMC!Lestat didn't love Claudia greatly, and not that Claudia didn't know that at ONE time, Lestat DID love her--though it was obvs never as much as he loved Louis. But Claudia died thinking Lestat hated her, cuz of the way he TREATED her: like a doll, a child, an inconvenient nuisance, a threat, etc. She was never Lestat's companion, and he was never hers, despite how similar they were & how well they got along during the "Easy Times" before Louis got depressed & Charlie died. She was LOUIS' companion, and she CHOSE Louis over Lestat to be her escort in Europe. ("You didn't want me, you made me for Louis." "I was just a roof shingle that flew off of your house!")
Claudia deeply resented & hated Lestat, esp. in the books, where she was eternally 5 years old. book!Claudia wrote Lestat off when she slit his throat & dumped him in the swamp--her rage was then redirected at Louis, going all the way into Merrick, even though she knew the babytrapping was explicitly all Lestat's doing.
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Claudia & Louis
book!Louis didn't want Les to Turn Claudia at all, cuz he knew it was effed up for a TODDLER to be one of them--bitten/penetrated, turned into a killer like them, ripped from her INNOCENCE. But book!Claudia was mad that Louis tried to kill her, and thought she was better off dead and hated that she was vampire as much as she did.
I don’t know something about she was his daughter, his sister, his cousin, his throw pillow
AMC!Louis is far more responsible for what happens to Claudia, cuz he uses her as collateral--he desperately wants Les to Turn her, cuz he wants a companion all to himself--a child to love, who loves him--since he feels that adulterous Lestat DGAF about him. She's still babytrapped (or worse: in 1x4 Les says she'll be Lou's "lap dog"--an accessory/support system/comfort-object just like Armand in 2x5 calling her Lou's "throw pillow").
Claudia is another Miss Lily (is another PAUL). AMC makes parallels, but folk constantly get the wires crossed making false equivalencies that Claudia = prostitute and pimp!Louis = rapist!Louis. Louis is a homosexual with NO sexual interest in either of these females, even though that's technically Claudia/Lily's purpose--("10 million dollars, that's my wh*re number!")--prostitutes = sexual gratification; and vampire Turning = spousal marriage (but also childbirth). The SIBLING aspect gets lost in the Parent/Child dynamics.
Sure, the sibling/parent/incestuous slants are there--however, AMC never makes anything of it the way the books do. Louis is SAFE. Even the prostitutes like pimp!Lou. book!/AMC!Claudia still sleeps in book!film!AMC!Lou's coffin ("Paul crawled up in my bed last night"), and they are constant companions after 1x5--Les has Antoinette, and Lou has Claudia. But unlike Les having copious sex with Antoinette in Algiers, Lou is NOT having sex with Claudia--or with ANYONE. That's the whole problem-Louis is SEXLESS in a hedonistic world.
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Les even weaponized this against Lou during the Trial, as the reason/excuse/CRIME that villainized Lou in his whole sob story about Vampire Loneliness being "the single worst thing that a vampire can feel." Louis refuses to have sex anymore. First he's anorexic & his libido's too low; then he's depressed & empty-nesting & ignoring Lestat's considerable considerables; then he's a cripple after being Dropped from the sky & all his bones are shattered.
Claudia becomes HIS mother, nursing him back to health and teaching HIM how to walk and feed himself, and keeping the dangerous Lestat OUT of their house and away from HER child/fledgling. It's an added element that the book/film never had, which emphasizes how AMC!Louis is NOT meant to be seen as her sexual predator--and it's Claudia's diaries that confirm that he's Daddy Lou to her, and then he's her brother, and then he's "Louis de Pointe du Lac. Dead weight," and she finally finds Madeleine & stops using her diaries altogether ("diaries are friends of LAST RESORT" when she's LONELY, too--Louis is a USELESS companion for her). It's not Louis emphasizing that he wasn't a sexual threat to her, it's her own testimony.
And ironically, the strongest associations with sex that Claudia addresses are all related to LESTAT: Charlie, and Bruce.
Claudia & Bruce
"He takes her to Lover’s Lane where she first sees sex and has a sexual awaking which leads to her to kill her first boyfriend and would-be sexual partner.... When Louis and Lestst confront Claudia about her kills, Lestst hides in her bed/coffin. He doesn’t knock when she demands he does after she gets her own room.
Exactly. And then LES is the one who violates her diaries (her private parts/body of work--Lou specifically tells him "don't do that, it's private!"). And the part AMC just so happens for Les to read is the part where she says how much it hurts whenever she has sex cuz her hymen keeps growing back. 😬
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Louis goes along with it, cuz he IS complicit, and he's dying to know what she's been hiding (but he refuses to read the other diaries). But LESTAT reads them all, and HE is the one who takes umbrage with her "ungratefulness," and then he immediately puts his hands on her when she talks back & stands up for herself.
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Which DIRECTLY parallels her experience with Bruce--they bond over talking about their abusive European Makers, and how she loves books, and Bruce oversteps by telling her to read a book on Etiquette and immediately attacks her when she talks back & stands up for herself.
I've said over & over: Lestat (& Bruce) had zero respect for Claudia, or her intelligence, and weaponize book-reading against them (& Louis).
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"Lestat gives her a necklace he knows she’ll never grow into.... Lestst mocks her and forced her to watch as his body burns. "
Which makes him being forced to watch as her body burns SUCH a nice touch. 👌 Karma's a b****!
"Lestat does threaten her on the train saying he would do worse to her than Bruce did."
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Lestat mocks/weaponizes Claudia's trauma CONSTANTLY, even in Ep5, so it's not beyond the pale that he'd say wild ish about Bruce SAing her. And here's where we get to the nitty gritty. Cuz this is Claudia's diaries--not Lou misremembering or Armand's effery. The only 2 people who can confirm that the Train Scene happened are Les & Claudia--and she's DEAD now. Not that it matters what Les did or didn't say--she ran away, got on that train, and he forced her back.
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Claudia realized that Loustat weren't angels who'd rescued her from the fire--she calls them "Hell Demons." Her diaries explicitly say she "died in a fire but came back by the blood magic of two demons...that same girl was being raised to kill like her demon parents did." She says immediately: "I have my own room now, which is good, 'cause Daddy Lou can be smotherin', just as Uncle Les can get crotchety."
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But she also says "There ain't no doubt Daddy Lou is my favorite. But sometimes, Uncle Les and I have a lot in common." She hollers at Lestat for not knocking on her door and throws her brush at him to make HIM get out of her room--NOT Louis. She KNOWS from the get-go that there's TWO of them at fault for making her, but SHE points the finger/blame at LESTAT. Way before Ep5 went to hell, there's ALREADY static b/t her & Les, but it just EXPLODES in Ep5. And then we see exactly what she thinks about Lestat in 1x6.
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The screen diabolically overlays Bruce's face while Loustat are having sex--or rather, while Lestat is having sex & Louis is disassociating.
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So yes, there's all kinds of layers to how Claudia perceives Lestat, and how she relates Loustat to her own experiences.
She's 19 when Bruce SA's her, and Bruce KNOWS she's older than she looks ("Always had a fondness for older women!"), but she LOOKS like a 14y/o child ("How old are you, Claudia?" "104!").
Lestat KNOWS she's a vampire stroner than an actual child, but he ALSO says she's "built like a bird," and that the vampires out there would "shred you to strips" cuz she's TINY.
They don't CARE how vulnerable she is. They use their strength against her, and throw everything she hates most about herself back in her face.
And Armand & Santiago do even worse to her in S2, cuz the whole point is that she (& Louis) are constantly being disrespected, violated & sexually assaulted. Which is why the moment she finally chooses her companion, it's when she's rescuing MADELEINE, who's about to be gang-raped. She hates Lestat so much that she balks at Les' blood being used to Turn Madeleine, he's so beneath her.
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People keep complaining about Claudia's SA arc, but I think Rolin planned it from the get-go, cuz he knew he wanted Claudeleine to have that in common. They're both victims of SA, and see e/o as equals cuz they both know what it's like to feel like powerless women in a patriarchal world where they're never safe. And they pay the ultimate price when they're burned alive together on that stage, their ashes STEPPED ON & used as lube by Santiago--the bottle-blonde knockoff obsessed with being the coven's next Lestat.
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roservicenearme · 30 days ago
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damonbation · 3 years ago
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Unhashed Podcast - Ruben Grows His Hair Out
On this episode of the Unhashed Podcast, we talk AMC accepting bitcoin, infrastructure bill shenanigans, Ee-lawn Musque's take on mining energy mix, how ETFs might or might not track the BTC price, half a billion dollars in a DeFi hack, and then finish off with some movie reviews.
AMC Theaters will accept the cryptocurrency bitcoin for movie tickets and concessions in the U.S. by the end of 2021, according to CEO Adam Aron, who first made the announcement during an earnings call on Monday. The theater chain will also start accepting Apple Pay and Google Pay, but there are still plenty of important questions about AMC's bitcoin bet that haven't yet been answered. 'œI've had to learn more in the past six months about blockchain and cryptocurrency than I learned about it in the entire decade before that,' Aron told members of the conference call. 'œThis increased knowledge has given me the confidence to tell you all today that AMC is hereby formally announcing on this call that by year's end we will have the information technology systems in place to accept bitcoin,' Aron continued. Aron noted that all bitcoin purchases of movie tickets and concessions would need to happen online, leaving some question about whether customers would be able to change their purchases after they showed up to the theater.
A compromise crypto amendment between senators Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.), Pat Toomey (R-Pa.), and the U.S. Treasury failed to make it into the final version of the infrastructure bill. Today in the Senate, Senator Toomey introduced a process known as Unanimous Consent, which required zero objections to pass a motion. Although support for the compromise agreement was widespread, it failed on the objection of Senator Richard Shelby (R-AL), who objected with the request of including a $50 billion defense amendment to the bill. Then in a last-ditch effort Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) asked for Unanimous Consent on his own amendment, which would have stricken the crypto language from the bill altogether. However, Shelby objected for the same reasons. There had been optimism this morning when the bi-partisan group of senators, which had been promoting competing agreements over the past few days, that the '˜problematic' language from the original bill would be struck before a final vote. In particular, Senators Ron Wyden (D-OE), Cynthia Lummis (R-WY), and Pat Toomey (R-PA), objected to vague language that would require any node or miner, as well as software developers, to be categorized as a '˜broker' and produce 1099s for crypto users. The compromise language would have exempted these entities to primarily focus on crypto exchanges, such as Coinbase. The failure comes on the back of widespread crypto industry rallying, including more than 40,000 calls reportedly made to Senators by the non-profit Fight for the future. With no more paths to alter the bill's language, the next step in the process is for the $1.2 trillion bill to be voted on in its entirety by the Senate, which could happen anytime. Given the bi-partisan nature of the bill, it is expected to pass. It must then be reconciled with a version produced by the 435 member House of Representatives before getting signed by President Biden and becoming law. Actual implementation of the law is expected in 2023.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk said the company will likely start accepting bitcoin for vehicle purchases again. 'œIt looks like bitcoin is shifting a lot more toward renewables and a bunch of the heavy-duty coal plants that were being used...have been shut down, especially in China,' said Musk on Wednesday at The B-Word conference, an event hosted by the Crypto Council for Innovation. 'œI want to do a little more due diligence to confirm that the percentage of renewable energy usage is most likely at or above 50% and that there is a trend toward increasing that number. If so, Tesla will most likely resume accepting bitcoin,' he said. In May, Musk said on Twitter that the company would suspend vehicle purchases using bitcoin out of concern over the 'œrapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for bitcoin mining.' Since then, Beijing has cracked down on crypto, expelling the country's crypto miners, who have since begun to patriate elsewhere. New data from Cambridge University shows many miners are headed to the U.S., which is now the second-biggest destination for the world's bitcoin miners. The U.S. is home to some of the cheapest sources of power on the planet, which, more often than not, are renewable. Fred Thiel of Marathon Digital said most miners new to North America will be powered by renewables, or gas offset by renewable energy credits, and Compass CEO Whit Gibbs estimated that bitcoin mining in the U.S. is more than 50% powered by renewables. 'œLong-term, renewable energy will be the cheapest energy, but it doesn't just happen overnight,' Musk said. 'œBut as long as there is a conscious and determined, real effort by the mining community to move toward renewables, then obviously Tesla can support that.'
French regulators have approved asset manager Melanion Capital to begin offering a bitcoin-tied exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the European Union. Though this asset does not have full correlation to the price of the world's number one cryptocurrency, its wide international market and 90%+ correlation marks major progress for investors' ability to gain bitcoin exposure. The struggle to create a legal, regulator-approved Bitcoin ETF has been a major ongoing development for years now. An ETF is a type of derivative that has its own value set to correspond with the value of some outside tangible or intangible asset, such as gold bullion or the growth in stocks of a specific private firm. The mechanisms of keeping this valuation on target can be a challenge, with slight fluctuations from the actual value to be expected, but complicated systems of arbitrage exist for most ETFs so that the asset managers can respond to changes in the financial world with speed and precision.
Hackers allegedly breached blockchain-based platform Poly Network and extracted more than $600 million in cryptocurrencies on Tuesday, the company announced on Twitter, marking the biggest hack ever in the decentralized finance space that's heating up among investors. Crypto-exchange operators spoke out soon after the massive hack. Changpeng Zhao, the billionaire CEO of cryptocurrency exchange Binance said in tweets that the company, which serves as the primary operator of the blockchain on which binance coins are built, will coordinate with its security partners and 'œdo as much as [it] can' to help. Meanwhile, Jay Hao, the CEO of cryptocurrency exchange OKEx, said the company is "watching the flow of coins and will do [its] best to manage the situation." According to a series of tweets by Mudit Gupta, the contract with the funds on Ethereum was essentially controlled by a single key, so the "hack" may have been as simple as a custodian losing their key.
from Money 101 https://letstalkbitcoin.com/blog/post/unhashed-ruben-grows-his-hair-out via http://www.rssmix.com/
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orbemnews · 4 years ago
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Steel prices have tripled. Now Bank of America is sounding the alarm The pandemic brought the American steel industry to its knees last spring, forcing manufacturers to shut down production as they struggled to survive the imploding economy. But as the recovery got underway, mills were slow to resume production, and that created a massive steel shortage. “This is going to be short-lived. It’s very appropriate to call this a bubble,” Bank of America analyst Timna Tanners told CNN Business, using the “b-word” that equity analysts from major banks typically avoid. After bottoming out around $460 last year, US benchmark hot-rolled coil steel prices are now sitting at around $1,500 a ton, a record high that is nearly triple the 20-year average. Steel stocks are on fire. US Steel (X), which crashed to a record low last March amid bankruptcy fears, has skyrocketed 200% in just 12 months. Nucor (NUE) has spiked 76% this year alone. While “scarcity and panic” are lifting steel prices and stocks today, Tanners predicted a painful reversal as supply catches up with what she described as unimpressive demand. “We expect this will correct — and often when it corrects, it over-corrects,” said Tanners, a two-decade veteran of the metals industry who authored a report last week headlined “Steel stocks in a bubble.” ‘A bit frothy’ Phil Gibbs, director of metals equity research at KeyBanc Capital Markets, agreed that steel prices are at unsustainable levels. “This would be like $170-a-barrel oil. At some point, people will say, ‘F this, I’m not going to drive, I will take the bus,'” Gibbs told CNN Business. “The correction will be very intense. It’s just a matter of when and how it happens.” Gibbs said he is “more confident the steel price is in a bubble,” rather than that steel stocks themselves are in a bubble. The steel bubble buzz is just the latest debate about the sustainability of booming pockets of the market in this era of rock-bottom interest rates. Bitcoin, ethereum, dogecoin and other cryptocurrencies are on fire. GameStop (GME), AMC (AMC) and their fellow Reddit-fueled stocks skyrocketed earlier this year. And blank-check companies, some backed by celebrities, are raising gobs of money. Even Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has acknowledged the risk of overspeculation. “You are seeing things in capital markets that are a bit frothy,” Powell said during last week’s press conference. “That’s a fact. I won’t say it has nothing to do with monetary policy, but also it has a tremendous amount to do with vaccination and reopening of the economy.” Yet another shortage as the economy reopens Steel is just the latest shortage to hit the US economy as it recovers from a pandemic that scrambled supply chains and set off sharp shifts in demand. Everything from computer chips and lumber to chlorine and tanker truck drivers are in short supply. Manufacturers, restaurants and other businesses are also desperate for workers. Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency warned this week that there isn’t enough copper, lithium and other raw earth minerals available to make global clean energy ambitions a reality. The world risks “running out of copper,” Bank of America strategists said in a recent note to clients. Much like lumber, the steel industry was caught off guard by the rapid recovery in demand that began last summer — especially in the auto industry. “All of a sudden people were buying lots of cars,” said Tanners, the Bank of America analyst. And it took time for America’s aging steel mills to resume the production they had sharply cut at the onset of the pandemic. Steel inventories shrank rapidly and shipments were delayed, just as steel buyers began ordering more than usual. ‘Peak’ prices? The good news, for steel buyers at least, is that analysts say all of the US steel production capacity that was idled during the pandemic has returned. That’s why Tanners said she’s very confident the shortage will soon end, causing steel prices to collapse. History shows that steel stocks “tend to peak” a month or so before steel prices, Tanners wrote in her report. She said US Steel in particular is vulnerable to a commodity downturn because it has the most amount of debt and the greatest need to spend to upgrade its plants. But for now, steel stocks may continue to look attractive to investors because the industry is minting money at the moment. The North American flat steel sector is expected to generate record earnings in 2021, according to Citigroup. “Current steel prices are peak (or close to it) … and will correct sharply lower at some point,” Citi analyst Alexander Hacking wrote in a note to clients Wednesday. “The current scenario presents investors with the classic peak earnings dilemma.” Hacking warned though that steel stocks can’t escape a commodity downturn. “We can recall exactly zero examples where steel equities have gone up during 25%+ metal price corrections,” he wrote. The fate of Trump’s tariffs Of course, those predicting a steel downturn may be underestimating the strength of the global economic recovery. A longer lasting boom could lift steel demand enough to keep prices lofty. Another risk is whether tougher environmental regulations in China will limit steel supply there. One big wildcard is the fate of the tariffs on most imported steel the Trump administration imposed in 2018 to boost the domestic industry. If the Biden administration rolls back even just some of those tariffs, it would ease supply constraints and weigh on steel prices. Tanners thinks that is likely to happen in the next 12 months. “We are protecting an industry where there is scarcity and prices are almost triple historical averages,” she said. Source link Orbem News #Alarm #America #bank #investing #Prices #sounding #Steel #Steelpriceshavetripled.NowBankofAmericaissoundingthealarm-CNN #TRIPLED
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dipulb3 · 4 years ago
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Steel prices have tripled. Now Bank of America is sounding the alarm
New Post has been published on https://appradab.com/steel-prices-have-tripled-now-bank-of-america-is-sounding-the-alarm/
Steel prices have tripled. Now Bank of America is sounding the alarm
The pandemic brought the American steel industry to its knees last spring, forcing manufacturers to shut down production as they struggled to survive the imploding economy. But as the recovery got underway, mills were slow to resume production, and that created a massive steel shortage.
“This is going to be short-lived. It’s very appropriate to call this a bubble,” Bank of America analyst Timna Tanners told Appradab Business, using the “b-word” that equity analysts from major banks typically avoid.
After bottoming out around $460 last year, US benchmark hot-rolled coil steel prices are now sitting at around $1,500 a ton, a record high that is nearly triple the 20-year average.
Steel stocks are on fire. US Steel (X), which crashed to a record low last March amid bankruptcy fears, has skyrocketed 200% in just 12 months. Nucor (NUE) has spiked 76% this year alone.
While “scarcity and panic” are lifting steel prices and stocks today, Tanners predicted a painful reversal as supply catches up with what she described as unimpressive demand.
“We expect this will correct — and often when it corrects, it over-corrects,” said Tanners, a two-decade veteran of the metals industry who authored a report last week headlined “Steel stocks in a bubble.”
‘A bit frothy’
Phil Gibbs, director of metals equity research at KeyBanc Capital Markets, agreed that steel prices are at unsustainable levels.
“This would be like $170-a-barrel oil. At some point, people will say, ‘F this, I’m not going to drive, I will take the bus,'” Gibbs told Appradab Business. “The correction will be very intense. It’s just a matter of when and how it happens.”
Gibbs said he is “more confident the steel price is in a bubble,” rather than that steel stocks themselves are in a bubble.
The steel bubble buzz is just the latest debate about the sustainability of booming pockets of the market in this era of rock-bottom interest rates. Bitcoin, ethereum, dogecoin and other cryptocurrencies are on fire. GameStop (GME), AMC (AMC) and their fellow Reddit-fueled stocks skyrocketed earlier this year. And blank-check companies, some backed by celebrities, are raising gobs of money.
Even Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has acknowledged the risk of overspeculation.
“You are seeing things in capital markets that are a bit frothy,” Powell said during last week’s press conference. “That’s a fact. I won’t say it has nothing to do with monetary policy, but also it has a tremendous amount to do with vaccination and reopening of the economy.”
Yet another shortage as the economy reopens
Steel is just the latest shortage to hit the US economy as it recovers from a pandemic that scrambled supply chains and set off sharp shifts in demand.
Everything from computer chips and lumber to chlorine and tanker truck drivers are in short supply. Manufacturers, restaurants and other businesses are also desperate for workers.
Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency warned this week that there isn’t enough copper, lithium and other raw earth minerals available to make global clean energy ambitions a reality. The world risks “running out of copper,” Bank of America strategists said in a recent note to clients.
Much like lumber, the steel industry was caught off guard by the rapid recovery in demand that began last summer — especially in the auto industry.
“All of a sudden people were buying lots of cars,” said Tanners, the Bank of America analyst.
And it took time for America’s aging steel mills to resume the production they had sharply cut at the onset of the pandemic. Steel inventories shrank rapidly and shipments were delayed, just as steel buyers began ordering more than usual.
‘Peak’ prices?
The good news, for steel buyers at least, is that analysts say all of the US steel production capacity that was idled during the pandemic has returned.
That’s why Tanners said she’s very confident the shortage will soon end, causing steel prices to collapse. History shows that steel stocks “tend to peak” a month or so before steel prices, Tanners wrote in her report.
She said US Steel in particular is vulnerable to a commodity downturn because it has the most amount of debt and the greatest need to spend to upgrade its plants.
But for now, steel stocks may continue to look attractive to investors because the industry is minting money at the moment. The North American flat steel sector is expected to generate record earnings in 2021, according to Citigroup.
“Current steel prices are peak (or close to it) … and will correct sharply lower at some point,” Citi analyst Alexander Hacking wrote in a note to clients Wednesday. “The current scenario presents investors with the classic peak earnings dilemma.”
Hacking warned though that steel stocks can’t escape a commodity downturn. “We can recall exactly zero examples where steel equities have gone up during 25%+ metal price corrections,” he wrote.
The fate of Trump’s tariffs
Of course, those predicting a steel downturn may be underestimating the strength of the global economic recovery. A longer lasting boom could lift steel demand enough to keep prices lofty. Another risk is whether tougher environmental regulations in China will limit steel supply there.
One big wildcard is the fate of the tariffs on most imported steel the Trump administration imposed in 2018 to boost the domestic industry.
If the Biden administration rolls back even just some of those tariffs, it would ease supply constraints and weigh on steel prices.
Tanners thinks that is likely to happen in the next 12 months.
“We are protecting an industry where there is scarcity and prices are almost triple historical averages,” she said.
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roservicenearme · 1 month ago
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TV Premiere Dates: 2021 Calendar
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Wondering when your favorite shows are coming back and what new series you can look forward to? We’ve got you covered with the Den of Geek 2021 TV Premiere Dates Calendar, where we keep track of TV series premiere dates, return dates, and more for the year and beyond. 
We’ll continue to update this page weekly on Fridays as networks announce dates. A lot of these shows we’ll be watching or covering, so be sure to follow along with us! 
Please note that all times are EST. 
DATESHOWNETWORKFriday, March 12Marvel Studios Assembled: The Making of WandaVisionDisney+Friday, March 12Marvel Studios: LegendsDisney+Friday, March 12Isabel HBO MaxFriday, March 12The OneNetflixFriday, March 12Paradise PDNetflixFriday, March 12Love AlarmNetflixMonday, March 15Zero ChillNetflixMonday, March 15Bloodlands Acorn TVMonday, March 15Bulletproof (8:00 p.m.)CWTuesday, March 16Waffles + MochiNetflixTuesday, March 16StagedHuluTuesday, March 16Mayans MC (10:00 p.m.)FXWednesday, March 17Under Suspicion: Uncovering the Wesphael CaseNetflixWednesday, March 17The Pole & The Summoner (11:15 p.m.)SyFyThursday, March 18B: The Beginning: SuccessionNetflixThursday, March 18Trolls: TrollsTopiaHuluFriday, March 19The Falcon and the Winter SoldierDisney+Friday, March 19Country ComfortNetflixFriday, March 19Alien TVNetflixFriday, March 19Formula 1: Drive to SurviveNetflixFriday, March 19Sky RojoNetflixFriday, March 19Cypher  RokuFriday, March 19Calls Apple TV+Saturday, March 20Final Space (10:30 p.m.)Adult SwimSunday, March 21Doctor Who: Fury From the Deep (6:00 p.m.)BBC AmericaSunday, March 21Genius: Aretha (9:00 p.m.)Nat GeoSunday, March 21The Gloaming (9:00 p.m.)StarzMonday, March 22Navillera NetflixMonday, March 22The AttachéAcorn TVMonday, March 22Deliciousness (7:00 p.m.)MTVMonday, March 22Breeders (10:00 p.m.)FXWednesday, March 24Who Killed Sara?NetflixThursday, March 25DOTA: Dragon’s BloodNetflixThursday, March 25The RestaurantSundance NowFriday, March 26Solar OppositesHuluFriday, March 26Into the Dark: Blood MoonHuluFriday, March 26Invincible AmazonFriday, March 26La TemplanzaAmazonFriday, March 26The Mighty Ducks: Game ChangersDisney+Friday, March 26Inside Pixar: Foundations Batch 3Disney+Friday, March 26The IrregularsNetflixSunday, March 28City on a Hill (10:00 p.m.)ShowtimeMonday, March 29The Brokenwood MysteriesAcorn TVTuesday, March 30Supergirl (8:00 p.m.)CWWednesday, March 31Back (12:00 a.m.)IFCThursday, April 1Creepshow ShudderThursday, April 1Ghostwriter: Beyond the PageApple TV+Thursday, April 1Manifest (8:00 p.m.)NBCThursday, April 1The Moodys (9:00 p.m.)FOXThursday, April 1United States of Al (9:30 p.m.)CBSThursday, April 1Law & Order: Organized Crime (10:00 p.m.)NBCFriday, April 2Doug UnplugsApple TV+Friday, April 2The SerpentNetflixSunday, April 4Atlantic Crossing (9:00 p.m.) | US PremierePBSSunday, April 4Gangs of London (10:00 p.m.) | US broadcast premiereAMC+Monday, April 5Family ReunionNetflixTuesday, April 6Chad (10:30 p.m.)TBSWednesday, April 7Snabba CashNetflixWednesday, April 7Kung Fu (8:00 p.m.)CWWednesday, April 7Home Economics (8:30 p.m.)ABCWednesday, April 7Queen of the South (10:00 p.m.)USAThursday, April 8No ActivityParamount+Thursday, April 8Rebel (10:00 p.m.)ABCThursday, April 8Everything’s Gonna Be Okay (10:00 p.m.)FreeformFriday, April 9Them AmazonSunday, April 11Fear the Walking Dead (9:00 p.m.)AMCSunday, April 11The Nevers (9:00 p.m.)HBOSunday, April 11Saints & Sinners (9:00 p.m.)BounceMonday, April 12BäckströmAcorn TVThursday, April 15Infinity TrainHBO MaxFriday, April 16Big ShotDisney+Friday, April 16The Last Drive-In With Joe Bob BriggsShudderSunday, April 18Luis Miguel, The SeriesNetflixSunday, April 18Mare of Easttown (10:00 p.m.)HBOMonday, April 19American Dad! (10:00 p.m.)TBSMonday, April 19The Secrets She Keeps (10:00 p.m.) | US broadcast premiereAMCTuesday, April 20SasquatchHuluTuesday, April 20Cruel Summer (9:00 p.m.)FreeformThursday, April 22Create TogetherYouTubeFriday, April 23Shadow and BoneNetflixMonday, April 26Keeping FaithAcorn TVWednesday, April 28The Handmaid’s TaleHuluThursday, April 29The Bad SeedSundance NowThursday, April 29Deadhouse DarkShudderThursday, April 29Yasuke NetflixFriday, April 30The Mosquito CoastApple TV+Sunday, May 2DC’s Legends of Tomorrow (8:00 p.m.)CWSunday, May 2Pose (10:00 p.m.)FXTuesday, May 4Star Wars: The Bad BatchDisney+Thursday, May 6Stuck With YouALLBLKFriday, May 7ShrillHuluFriday, May 7Mythic Quest: Raven’s BanquetApple TV+Friday, May 7GhostwriterApple TV+Friday, May 7Jupiter’s LegacyNetflixFriday, May 7Dynasty (9:00 p.m.)CWFriday, May 14Selena: The SeriesNetflixFriday, May 14High School Musical: The Musical: The SeriesDisney+Friday, May 14The Underground RailroadAmazonSunday, May 16Good Witch (9:00 p.m.)HallmarkThursday, May 20SpecialNetflixFriday, May 21Jurassic World: Camp CretaceousNetflixFriday, May 21Marvel’s M.O.D.O.K.HuluSunday, May 23Duncanville (8:00 p.m.)FOXMonday, May 31Housebroken (9:00 p.m.)FOXWednesday, June 9In the Dark (9:00 p.m.)CWFriday, June 11LokiDisney+Friday, June 11ZenimationDisney+Friday, June 11Love, VictorHuluMonday, June 14The Republic of Sarah (9:00 p.m.)CWFriday, June 25Central ParkApple TV+Friday, June 25The Mysterious Benedict SocietyDisney+Friday, July 2Monsters at WorkDisney+Wednesday, July 7Riverdale (8:00 p.m.)CWFriday, July 16Turner & HoochDisney+Friday, July 23Chip ‘N’ Dale: Park LifeDisney+
If we’ve forgotten a show, feel free to drop a reminder in the comment section below!
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