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auburnfamilynews · 5 years ago

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Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Let’s take a closer look at yesterday’s gross loss.

Let’s get right to it. You know what happened yesterday in Baton Rouge — Auburn lost for the 11th straight time. It really sucked, as it felt like we had so many opportunities to make hay and even extend the leads that we held instead of letting LSU off the hook. There’s a ton to get to, so we’ll dive right in. First, the word from the head coach:

THE OFFENSE

What we saw yesterday was really similar in many ways to what we saw in Gainesville. That is... it was frustrating. That word was thrown around so much yesterday that I almost wanted to hit the thesaurus to find something better, but it’s the best word to describe the missed chances that Auburn had during the course of the game. We couldn’t run up the middle save for the two long runs by D.J. Williams (which only netted us 3 total points), and we couldn’t complete basic passes. LSU’s defense isn’t great. It might be overlooked, but it’s not great.

I think we knew that we would likely be incapable of making a huge hole in the middle of that defense, though, and that’s why what happened yesterday was really tough to watch. LSU wanted to make Bo Nix beat them, and he couldn’t. He just couldn’t hit the passes we needed to win. Our receivers weren’t on the same page with him, and he missed a ton of open guys. When they weren’t open, and had a one-on-one chance, he completely missed and never really let our guys make a play.

The game turned on the sequence near the end of the third quarter. LSU moved down to the goal line, and Auburn’s defense stuffed them on a 4th and goal from the 1-yard line. Backed way up, Nix missed an open slant to Anthony Schwartz and threw the out route instead. Schwartz had single coverage and a broken/missed tackle results in a 99-yard touchdown. Auburn punts from the end line. Roger McCreary then makes the (at the time) defensive play of the game by picking off Joe Burrow at the goal line, but Auburn’s right back where they were a minute ago.

We get a little breathing room and then Nix misses a pair of passes to Sal Cannella and Seth Williams. On the ensuing LSU drive, they take advantage of a tired Auburn defense and score the go-ahead touchdown. That was followed by another touchdown at the start of the fourth quarter, and Auburn couldn’t catch up.

For Nix, I’m not sure what it is. In his three home games, he’s completed 64% of his passes, with 6 total touchdowns and no turnovers. On the road — and against top ten competition — he’s completing 45% of his passes. That number includes the Oregon, A&M, Florida, and LSU games. Arkansas doesn’t really count. Under pressure, something changes, and it needs to be fixed. Who knows if it’s a road atmosphere thing, or a competition thing, but the inaccuracy on passes that are definitely open is troubling.

THE DEFENSE

I don’t really know what else to say here. They’ve been fantastic, and this is definitely the best defense that Auburn’s had under Gus. I really wish we could’ve had the 2013 or 2014 offense with this unit on the other side of the ball. We’d definitely have one national championship, and maybe another.

Derrick Brown and Marlon Davidson continue to roll along toward All-SEC seasons, and K.J. Britt played like a manimal yesterday as well. The young guys in the secondary were mostly fantastic save for a few plays here and there where the LSU receivers and Burrow just combined for great completions, but Auburn won its share of battles on that front. Roger McCreary gave up a few completions, but got the interception at the goal line. Jamien Sherwood, Jeremiah Dinson, Daniel Thomas, and Javaris Davis all added double-digit tackles.

They defended 88 total plays yesterday. There wasn’t much time to rest, and we nearly pulled it out.

As far as the lack of holding calls goes, there’s nothing we can do about it, and there’s nothing that’ll be done to make up for it either. Thankfully, to their credit, CBS addressed it a few times that LSU was getting away with some major stuff, and I’m sure Gus will submit 50 or 60 plays to the SEC for review, but that’s that. LSU was almost daring the refs to call penalties and they didn’t. In a close game like that, Gus can’t afford to go nuts on an official to get their attention either. You hate to have to semi-believe the conspiracy nature of the SEC wanting that #1 vs #2 matchup in Tuscaloosa in a couple weeks, but it certainly looked that way a few times yesterday.

THE SERIES

The streak is really terrible. Both of them. The Baton Rouge streak and the Ed Orgeron streak. Gus is 0-3 against Coach O, and Auburn has lost 11 in a row in Death Valley. Coach O really isn’t all that different from Les Miles, he’s just a little bit more willing to adapt. Les got stale at LSU, while Coach O decided to do something unexpected and bring in the offensive whiz of Joe Brady. Thankfully, there’s no way that guy sticks around long. Even better is that Joe Burrow will be gone next year too. He’s what makes that offense click, and without either one of them, LSU will fall back to earth a bit.

Thinking about the Baton Rouge streak, however, I felt a little better. Looking at each of the years we’ve lost, I don’t know how many times we honestly had the better team. 2001, 2003, 2007, and 2011 LSU ended up winning the SEC Championship. In 2005, I think we were the better team, but ya know... field goals.

2009 was Chizik’s first year, and we were even at best, but the atmosphere was way too much. 2013 we turned out to be better, and had we played LSU in late October rather than late September, we win by two scores at least. 2015 was Gus’ worst season, and in 2017 we were the better team by far. Going by that, only in 2005 and 2017 should we absolutely have won the game going by the odds. We’ve choked away two games there. It sucks, but it’s not the worst thing in the world.

GOING FORWARD

We’ll stifle Ole Miss this week and get to 7-2 in time for Georgia to come in, and unless the Bulldogs really improve on offense and decide not to have the flavor of pease porridge in the pot nine days old, we may just shut them out. Pray that they don’t lift the reins off of Jake Fromm and let him go nuts before then.

Auburn’s going to finish 8-4 at worst, 9-3 could be likely with both the Georgia and Alabama games at home, and a 10th win could be in the cards with a bowl win. Auburn fans are super fickle, as you well know, and if someone had guaranteed a 9-3 year before the season started, many of us would’ve been ecstatic. Now, we’re frustrated because we see how close we are to being undefeated. It’s the nature of college football. Still, please don’t lose sight of the fact that our schedule has been by far more difficult than anyone else near the top of the polls. Auburn’s opponents’ record so far? 40-24.

LSU’s? 32-29.

Alabama’s? 25-39.

We’d also be undefeated if we played basically any other schedule. Does that help? Probably not, but it needs to be noted.

Alright, Ole Miss up next, we’ll be talking with the fine folks at Red Cup Rebellion soon, so get your bowties ready. War Eagle.

from College and Magnolia - All Posts https://www.collegeandmagnolia.com/2019/10/27/20935546/about-last-night-2-lsu-23-9-auburn-20

#IFTTT #Blogger #auburn #auburn fast #wareagle #AuburnFamilyNews #war eagle #sec #football news #aubu

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airoasis · 7 years ago

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Trash talk or not, Auburn's defense isn't really lacking motivation going into the Peach Bowl

ATLANTA-- Auburn's gamers and coaches have heard the story that's out there like you have.The Tigers were one win except making the College Football Playoff, and their charge for falling to Georgia in the SEC National championship was a trip back to Atlanta to deal with a Group of 5 group in the Peach Bowl. On paper, it appears they ought to beat UCF. However will they be inspired enough to do so?It's a question's Auburn's defense takes some

umbrage with."When this last 4 occurred, part of what featured that is, OK

, if you're not in the last four, then what does it imply?" defensive coordinator Kevin Steele stated Friday."Well, it means a lot. It indicates a lot to a football group. I ensure you. I'm with those guys every day. It implies a lot to them. They have a great deal of concentrate on doing and playing their finest video game of the year this week. So that's external things. I guess it's good for scores, however we don't enable that in the room. "Of course, that's not to say Auburn wasn't at first disappointed with the

result. The team, on defense specifically, has actually spoken typically this season about the 24-hour guideline it imposes-- players and coaches have that long after a game to celebrate a win or lament a loss. As soon as that period passes, it's on to the next game.The 24 hours following the Dec. 2 loss to the Bulldogs in the SEC Champion were especially

difficult. A 28-7 defeat at the hands of one of your greatest rivals with a spot in a semifinal on the line will leave a bad taste in any player's mouth. The reality that Georgia and Alabama-- 2 groups Auburn beat easily in the regular season-- both secured playoff berths early the next day made matters even worse.But the dissatisfaction did fade."Since we've been practicing, we've always had great practices and had a lot of energy at practice,"Davis said."No

sad faces, no one stating I do not wish to

do this or that. Sincere to God truth. We're all set to play this game, so I have no idea where the buzz originates from." And if there were any gamers who weren't initially delighted about the possibility of playing in the Peach Bowl, senior safety Tray Matthews said, the remarks originating from their opponent over the last few weeks"woke everybody up." On Dec. 14, UCF running back Adrian Killins informed press reporters that Auburn "hasn't seen any speed like we have here"and would remain in for a"disrespectful awakening"come Monday. On Thursday, the headlines check out that freshman pass receiver Gabriel Davis stated there are "some holes" in the Tigers'defense.Auburn's protectors didn't put much stock into what was said Thursday. "That was simply the headline," Matthews said." If you check out into the story, he matched everyone on the defense. He just stated there was a hole in every defense.

""The media wants to blend things up, "he said.Killins' remarks were met more shock than anything. Auburn linebacker Tre 'Williams said of all the criticisms he has actually found out about the SEC, speed was never among them. Security Stephen Roberts stated"

I do not know exactly what movie they're seeing.

""I don't get it, because we have actually been playing great as a defense, so to say we do not have speed is type of questioning me,"Roberts continued.In all fairness, Killins is quickly-- he leads UCF with 762 hurrying backyards on 112 brings this season, and when he and Auburn corner Javaris Davis both contended in the 100-meter dash at the Florida Class 3A track and field state championships in 2015, he ran a 10.55 to Davis '11.21 in the preliminaries and took 2nd

overall.And Otis Anderson, one of the Knights 'other running backs, said his colleague was" misconstrued. "Killins wasn't stating that UCF was faster than other group that Auburn has actually played, but rather that it plays at an up-tempo speed on offense and "swarms to the ball"on defense.Regardless, Auburn isn't really reading much into exactly what has been stated. It isn't lobbing any

barbs back, either."We do not go down that road, "Steele said. "We actually don't, due to the fact that we are conditioned and developed to control what we can manage and do our job. That's simply the way it is. I do not know what else to state about that. It truly is not exactly what we concentrate on.

"Exactly what Auburn is focusing on, Steele continued, is a chance to do 3 things on Monday: Beat a third unbeaten group with a record of 9-0 or better this season, win an 11th game for a seventh time in program history, and create some momentum to bring into the 2018 season.The Tigers do not need any more inspiration than that. "We're looking to win the video game. That's simply the main objective whenever you go into a game,"protective deal with Dontavius Russell stated. "It does not matter who we play, what time we play, when we play; we constantly have the inspiration to go out and attempt to win the video game. Everyone is excited to be here and excited to have another chance, especially playing in the same location(as the

SEC Championship )and attempting to get that bad taste out

your mouth."

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emzeciorrr · 6 years ago

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Skate clip from John Wilson on Vimeo.

Nik Stain, Genesis Evans, Stu Kirst, Hugo Boserup, Andrew Wilson, Max Palmer, Cyrus Bennett, Alex Olson, Cruz Mendez, Nolan Benfield, Rowan Zorilla, Bag, John Franco, Caleb Barnett, Javaris Williams, and Vincent Touzery

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piranot · 6 years ago

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Necrologia do dia 7 de abril de 2019 em Piracicaba e região

Grupo Unidas

Ozeias Candido de Lima Faleceu anteontem, nesta cidade, contava 69 anos, filho dos finados Sr. Jose Cândido de Lima e da Sra. Adelina Moreira Lima, era casado com a Sra. Carmosina Atanásia da Silva Lima; deixa os filhos: Rodrigo Aparecido da Silva Lima, casado com a Sra. Meryane Fernandes Cyrino Lima; Keila Cândido Lima Pereira, casada com o Sr. Antonio Marcelino Pereira e Cassia Cândido Lima da Silva, casada com o Sr. Douglas Fernando da Silva. Deixa netos, demais parentes e amigos. Sua Cerimônia de Cremação foi realizada ontem, tendo saído o féretro às 14h00 da Igreja, cito a Rua: Mons. Manoel Francisco Rosa n 755, para o Crematório Unidas de Piracicaba – SP.

José Paulino Lambstein Faleceu anteontem, nesta cidade, contava 69 anos, filho dos finados Sr. Paulo Lambstein e da Sra. Maria Grigolon, era viúvo da Sra. Jacira Adorno Lambstein; deixa os filhos: Fernanda Lambstein e Bianca Lambstein. Deixa 06 netos, demais parentes e amigos, Seu sepultamento foi realizado ontem, tendo saído o féretro às 13h00 do Velório de Tupi, para o Cemitério da Saudade, em jazigo da família.

Sebastião Mathias Faleceu ontem, nesta cidade, contava 64 anos, filho do Sr. Benedicto Mathias, já falecido, e da Sra. Benedicta Ferraz Mathias, era casado com a Sra. Ivete Rosa da Silva Mathias; deixa os filhos: Cristiane da Silva Mathias Viesse, casada com o Sr. Rubens Viesse; Cristiano Sergio Mathias e Natalina Mathias. Deixa netos, demais parentes e amigos.Seu sepultamento foi realizado ontem, tendo saído o féretro às 16h00 da sala “01” do Velório do Cemitério da Vila Rezende, em jazigo da família.

Leonir dos Santos Mendonça Faleceu ontem, nesta cidade, contava 63 anos, filho dos finados Sr. Amilton Mendonça e da Sra. Terezinha dos Santos Mendonça, era casado com a Sra. Aparecida Inês Machado Mendonça; deixa os filhos: Wagner Machado Mendonça, casado com a Sra. Aline Cristina Luminato Mendonça; Valquíria Machado Mendonça; Vílson Machado Mendonça, casado com a Sra. Silvia Roberta Ribeiro; Valdinei Machado Mendonça, casado com a Sra. Sabrina Assunção Mendonça e Valdir Machado Mendonça, casado com a Sra. Roseneide Maria da Silva. Deixa netos, demais parentes e amigos.Seu sepultamento será realizado hoje, saindo o féretro às 09h00 da Igreja Pentecostal, cito a Rua: Jatoba, nº 65 – Javari III, para o Cemitério da Vila Rezende, em jazigo da família.

Laurindo Alves dos Santos Faleceu ontem, nesta cidade, contava 73 anos, filho dos finados Sr. Benedito Alves dos Santos e da Sra. Benedita de Souza, era casado com a Sra. Amelia da Silva Santos; deixa os filhos: Luciana Lopes, casada com o Sr. Odair Lopes; Fernando Alves dos Santos, casado com a Sra. Daniele Carvalho dos Santos e Marcio Alves dos Santos, casado com a Sra. Aline Carlucci dos Santos. Deixa neta, demais parentes e amigos.Seu sepultamento foi realizado ontem, tendo saído o féretro às 17h00 da sala “02” do Velório do Cemitério da Vila Rezende, em jazigo da família.

Edina Kraide Faleceu ontem, nesta cidade, contava 60 anos, filha dos finados Sr. Nagipio Kraide e da Sra. Esnestina Aparecida Ribeiro Jorge; deixa os filhos: Sthefany Keltrin Kraide Martinelli, casada com o Sr. Diego William Martinelli; Daniel Augusto Kraide e Jefferson Kraide, casado com a Sra. Hellen Kraide. Deixa netos, demais parentes e amigos.Seu sepultamento foi realizado ontem, tendo saído o féretro às 17h00 da sala ‘’A” do Velório do Cemitério do Parque da Ressurreição, em jazigo da família.

Maria Aparecida Pereira da Silva Faleceu ontem, nesta cidade, contava 46 anos, filha do Sr. Joaquim Mendes de Almeida, e da Sra. Ana Alves da Silva, era casada com o Sr. Arnaldo Medrado Silva; deixa os filhos: Alan Medrado Silva e Samuel Medrado Silva. Deixa irmãos, demais parentes e amigos.Seu sepultamento será realizado hoje, saindo o féretro às 10h30 da sala “03” do Velório do Cemitério da Vila Rezende, em jazigo da família.

Grupo Bom Jesus

Maria Aparecida Martini Graziano Faleceu anteontem na cidade de Piracicaba, aos 89 anos de idade e era viúva do Sr. Jose Graziano. Era filha do Sr. Ângelo Martine e da Sra. Maria Mazucato, ambos falecidos. Deixou os filhos: Jair Martine Graziano casado com Nilce Oste Graziano, Jaime Laerte Martine Graziano casado com Nelida A. Signoreti Grazizno e Jose Ivair Martine Graziano casado com Eliana de Melo Graziano. Deixa netos e bisnetos. O seu sepultamento deu-se anteontem as 17:00 hs, saindo a urna mortuária do Velório “C” do Cemitério Parque da Ressurreição, em jazigo da família.

Jose Lago Faleceu anteontem na cidade de Piracicaba aos 94 anos de idade e era casado com a Sra. Leonilha Vaz de Oliveira Lago. Era filho do Sr. João Lago e da Sra. Iole Zambeli, ambos falecidos. Deixa os filhos: Nora Alice Lago Rodrigues do Valle e Jose Carlos Lago. Deixa também vários netos. O seu sepultamento deu-se ontem as 15:00 hs, saindo a urna mortuária do velório do cemitério de Vila Rezende – sala 03, em jazigo da família.

Marcos Roberto Honório de Godoy Faleceu ontem na cidade de Piracicaba aos 48 anos de idade e era casado com a Sra. Marcia Cristina Gimenez de Godoy. Era filho do Sr. Joaquim Honório de Godoy e da Sra. Aparecida da Conceição Valério de Godoy, falecida. Deixou a filha: Ana Paula Gimenez de Godoy. O seu sepultamento deu-se ontem as 17:00 hs, saindo a urna mortuária do velório da Saudade – sala 02, seguindo para o cemitério da Saudade, em jazigo da família.

Atílio Francisco de Oliveira Faleceu ontem na cidade de Piracicaba aos 84 anos de idade e era viúvo da Sra. Maria Jose de Oliveira. Era filho do Sr. João Francisco de Oliveira e da Sra. Emilia Maria de Oliveira, ambos falecidos. Deixou os filhos: Amâncio Francisco de Oliveira, Crecio Francisco de Oliveira, Emilio Francisco de Oliveira, falecidos e Elza de Oliveira. Deixa também netos e bisnetos. O seu sepultamento dar-se-á hoje as 10:00 hs, saindo a urna mortuária do velório municipal de Charqueada, seguindo para o cemitério municipal naquela localidade, em jazigo da família.

O post Necrologia do dia 7 de abril de 2019 em Piracicaba e região apareceu primeiro em PIRANOT.

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davidcarterr · 6 years ago

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Skate Clip

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Skate Clip by Johnny Wilson. Nik Stain, Genesis Evans, Stu Kirst, Hugo Boserup, Andrew Wilson, Max Palmer, Cyrus Bennett, Alex Olson, Cruz Mendez, Nolan Benfield, Rowan Zorilla, Bag, John Franco, Caleb Barnett, Javaris Williams, and Vincent Touzery

Skate Clip published first on https://medium.com/@LaderaSkateboar

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frontsidegrinds · 6 years ago

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vimeo

Skate clip from John Wilson on Vimeo.

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realpaperclipsmagazine-blog · 6 years ago

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9 Forbidden Places Never to Visit

There are a lot of places and destinations you wish you could just go in an instant. Traveling in this era is such a fast commodity and we all hold the possibility of being able to go anywhere! But what if I told you that there are places that you are not even allowed to visit? Interested? Unless you are qualified, here are 20 forbidden places you are never allowed to visit: 1. North Sentinel Island (India)

Home of the Sentinelese, an untouched tribe who violently reject contact from the outside world, also one of the last people to be modernly uncivilized. The North Sentinel Island is located in the Indian Union Territory. Authorities from the Indian government have agreed to restrict any foreign affairs to be near the island and instructed the public to leave the islanders alone. 2. Coca-Cola Vault (Atlanta)

In love with Coke? Well, we all want to know what the super secret formula of the most historical and beloved beverage but unfortunately, the ingredients are kept hidden from the public inside the vault that is located inside Suntrust Bank in Downtown, Atlanta. The secret ingredient has been there since 1925. 3. Vatican Secret Archives (Vatican City)

It is the library of all the important documents of the Vatican. The acts of the promulgated by the Holy See, the state papers, and papal account books are all in the archives. It is even said that the written letters from Mary, Queen of Scotts are there, and other information that makes every scholar jaws drop. Only qualified researchers and scholars can view some content inside the archive. 4. White's Gentlemen's Club (London)

Known as one of the most exclusive private clubs in history, you can only be part of the club if you are notable and well-known. You also need to have connections to current members inside the club. To name a few: Prince Charles, Prince William, and Ian Cameron are members of this club. 5. Javari Reserve or Vale do Javari Reservation (Brazil)

There are many tribes that are living inside the Amazon forest for centuries but recently, an uncontacted tribe has been discovered. This tribe is 2000+ in population and also is avoiding contact with the outside world. Authorities in Brazil have made it clear to the public to stay away from the Amazon forest. 6. Google Data Centers

Google owns about 15 data centers around the world and all of them are strictly prohibited to the public. Google made it a mission to build efficient data centers and to make the facilities a product of great efforts. These centers' purpose is to secure all of our data. 7. Area 51 (Nevada)

A place so secret that it sparks many conspiracies of what is really inside, Area 51 is a top-secret US Air Force facility. The purpose of this place is generally unknown but it is likely to be a place where experimental weapons and aircraft are tested. 8. Snake Island (Brazil) Otherwise known as the 'Ilha da Queimada Grande', Snake Island is an island populated with so many snakes. It is also the home of some of the wildest and endangered species of serpents. It is rainforest in nature and temperate in climate. The only people who have access to this island are the Brazilian navy and a few selected researchers. 9. The Chapel of the Ark (Ethiopia)

This holy place is said to be the home of the 10 commandments from God. Since, the commandments are stored in the 'ark of the covenant', the monks in this chapel claim that the covenant is sheltered inside the chapel. Is it really there though? Many question the legitimacy because no one except the monks are allowed to come inside the chapel. Read the full article

#Amazingfacts #travel #wondersoftheworld

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jodyedgarus · 6 years ago

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The Most Promising Players In The NBA Draft According To My Computer

We usually don’t release our CARMELO NBA projections until after the NBA draft. But this year, in an effort to procrastinate from other modelling-related tasks,9 I finished them a little early. We’ll publish the complete set of CARMELO projections later this month, but with the draft scheduled for Thursday night, I wanted to share the system’s take on the best NCAA prospects.

Our methodology for CARMELO is pretty much the same as last year, with only minor tweaks. It works by identifying statistically comparable players — for instance, John Wall is currently similar to Detroit Pistons Hall of Famer Isiah Thomas and to Deron Williams. For NBA veterans, we use a database of player statistics since the ABA-NBA merger in 1976, and for rookies, we use a database of NCAA statistics since 2002, adjusted for pace and opponent strength, as provided to us by ESPN Stats & Information Group. The rookie projections also account for — indeed, heavily emphasize — where in the draft each player was selected. Because the 2018 draft hasn’t taken place yet, we can’t use that variable to evaluate this year’s prospects, so for now I’ve used scouting rankings for both current and historical players.10

As I said, the changes from last year’s model are pretty minor, but one of them is potentially relevant in the context of this year’s draft, which is heavy on big men, including traditional centers such as Arizona’s Deandre Ayton. As ESPN’s Kevin Pelton has found, it’s become easier in recent seasons for teams to find once-desirable big men on the waiver wire or available for the minimum salary; the former All-Star center Roy Hibbert, who didn’t play at all in the NBA last year, is one perfect example. After evaluating the performance of players on minimum salaries over the past four years, we now use position-based replacement levels,11 which reflect that it takes a little bit more for big men to generate surplus value in the NBA than it does for guards and wings.

One last important warning: This list does not include projections for European players (so no Luka Doncic) or for other players who did not play NCAA basketball for some reason. Also, since Michael Porter Jr. played in only three NCAA games as a result of injury, we don’t project him on the basis of his NCAA statistics.12

At any rate, here goes: The top prospects as projected by CARMELO, non-Doncic, non-Porter edition. Players are ranked by their projected wins above replacement over their first seven NBA seasons:

‘Stats + Scouts’ CARMELO projections for 2018 NBA draft

Not including European players or Michael Porter Jr.

Player Scout Rank Age on 2/1/19 Pos. WAR THRU 2025 Top Comps 1 Deandre Ayton 1 20.5 C 24.6 Jahlil Okafor, Greg Oden, Anthony Davis 2 Marvin Bagley III 5 19.9 C 19.0 Lauri Markkanen, Kevin Love, Derrick Favors 3 Jaren Jackson Jr. 4 19.4 C 18.6 Marquese Chriss, Derrick Favors, Noah Vonleh 4 Mohamed Bamba 3 20.7 C 15.8 Nerlens Noel, Ben Simmons, Michael Beasley 5 Wendell Carter Jr. 7 19.8 C 14.9 Noah Vonleh, Marquese Chriss, Derrick Favors 6 Trae Young 8 20.4 PG 14.3 Dennis Smith Jr., Brandon Knight, Mike Conley 7 Kevin Knox 9 19.5 PF 12.8 Tobias Harris, Thaddeus Young, Julius Randle 8 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 10 20.6 SG 11.9 DeMar DeRozan, Jamal Murray, Alec Burks 9 Collin Sexton 11 20.1 PG 11.8 Tyus Jones, Dennis Smith Jr., Malik Monk 10 Zhaire Smith 16 19.7 SF 11.5 Malik Beasley, Xavier Henry, Justise Winslow 11 Mikal Bridges 14 22.4 SF 10.8 Jimmy Butler, Nik Stauskas, John Jenkins 12 Kevin Huerter 20 20.4 SG 9.8 Jeremy Lamb, Alec Burks, Gary Harris 13 Miles Bridges 15 20.9 PF 8.6 TJ Warren, Ryan Anderson, Bobby Portis 14 Robert Williams 12 21.3 C 8.3 Cole Aldrich, Bobby Portis, Marreese Speights 15 Lonnie Walker IV 13 20.1 SG 7.2 Jrue Holiday, Austin Rivers, Avery Bradley 16 Troy Brown 18 19.5 SG 7.1 James Young, Archie Goodwin, Austin Rivers 17 Josh Okogie 25 20.4 SG 6.8 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Gary Harris, Jordan Adams 18 Jerome Robinson 17 21.9 PG 6.2 R.J. Hunter, Dominique Jones, Allen Crabbe 19 Aaron Holiday 22 22.3 PG 5.2 Demetrius Jackson, Reggie Jackson, Jimmer Fredette 20 Jalen Brunson 35 22.4 PG 4.7 John Jenkins, Michael Frazier II, Ty Lawson 21 Donte DiVincenzo 26 22.0 PG 4.5 Willie Warren, Tyler Dorsey, Doron Lamb 22 Gary Trent Jr. 39 20.0 SG 4.3 Rashad Vaughn, James Young, Javaris Crittenton 23 De’Anthony Melton 24 20.7 SG 4.1 Javaris Crittenton, Eric Bledsoe, Zach LaVine 24 Jacob Evans 30 21.6 SF 3.6 Dillon Brooks, Tim Hardaway Jr., Gerald Henderson 25 Grayson Allen 27 23.3 SG 3.6 Jimmer Fredette, Denzel Valentine, Nolan Smith 26 Moritz Wagner 36 21.8 C 3.4 Derrick Brown, Thomas Bryant, Marreese Speights 27 Khyri Thomas 31 22.7 SG 3.2 Jodie Meeks, Wayne Ellington, L.J. Peak 28 Landry Shamet 49 21.9 PG 3.1 Tyler Dorsey, Michael Frazier II, John Jenkins 29 Shake Milton 40 22.3 SG 3.0 Olivier Hanlan, Tyler Harvey, Allen Crabbe 30 Melvin Frazier 32 22.4 SF 2.2 Tony Snell, Dillon Brooks, Jordan Crawford 31 Chimezie Metu 45 21.9 C 2.2 Richaun Holmes, Justin Harper, Drew Gordon 32 Rawle Alkins 48 21.3 SG 2.2 Travis Leslie, Jared Cunningham, Aaron Harrison 33 Keita Bates-Diop 29 23.0 PF 2.0 Justin Harper, Quincy Pondexter, Trevor Booker 34 Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk 59 21.6 SG 1.9 L.J. Peak, Jared Cunningham, Andre Roberson 35 Bruce Brown Jr. 28 22.5 SG 1.9 Jamaal Franklin, Marcus Thornton, Will Barton 36 Malik Newman 47 21.9 SG 1.8 Jordan Crawford, Jared Cunningham, Edmond Sumner 37 Jevon Carter 34 23.4 PG 1.8 Demetri McCamey, Deonte Burton, Ben Uzoh 38 Omari Spellman 43 21.5 PF 1.7 Ben Bentil, Jarell Martin, Samardo Samuels 39 Devonte’ Graham 44 23.9 PG 1.6 Frank Mason III, Joe Young, Yogi Ferrell 40 Tony Carr 54 21.3 PG 1.6 Nick Calathes, Terrico White, Andrew Harrison 41 Ray Spalding 52 21.9 PF 1.6 Hollis Thompson, Kyle Kuzma, Brandon Ashley 42 Hamidou Diallo 37 20.5 SG 1.5 Avery Bradley, Josh Selby, Kobi Simmons 43 Chandler Hutchison 33 22.8 SF 1.5 Glen Rice Jr., C.J. Leslie, Jermaine Taylor 44 Vince Edwards 65 22.8 PF 1.3 Solomon Hill, Matt Howard, Jake Layman 45 Trevon Duval 53 20.5 PG 1.2 Cory Joseph, Dejounte Murray, Avery Bradley 46 Allonzo Trier 62 23.0 SG 1.2 Tyler Harvey, James Blackmon Jr., Khalif Wyatt 47 Keenan Evans 72 22.4 PG 1.1 Marcus Denmon, Derrick Marks, Rasheed Sulaimon 48 Bonzie Colson 68 23.1 PF 1.0 Perry Ellis, Branden Dawson, Matt Howard 49 Justin Jackson 41 22.0 PF 1.0 Ben Bentil, Vince Hunter, Tony Mitchell 50 Kevin Hervey 46 22.6 SF 1.0 Draymond Green, C.J. Leslie, Akil Mitchell 51 Brandon McCoy 64 20.6 C 0.7 Greg Smith, Kosta Koufos, Jordan Williams 52 Dakota Mathias 75 23.6 SG 0.7 Dez Wells, Thomas Walkup, Ron Baker 53 Yante Maten 88 22.5 PF 0.7 Brandon Costner, Rick Jackson, Marqus Blakely 54 Gary Clark 57 24.2 PF 0.6 Arsalan Kazemi, Melvin Ejim, Jaron Blossomgame 55 Kostas Antetokounmpo 58 20.7 SF 0.4 Chris Walker, Grant Jerrett, Derrick Jones Jr. 56 Devon Hall 51 23.6 SG 0.4 Jermaine Taylor, Lamar Patterson, MarShon Brooks 57 Alize Johnson 61 22.8 PF 0.4 Malcolm Thomas, Eric Griffin, Khem Birch 58 Kenrich Williams 63 24.2 PF 0.3 Jaron Blossomgame, Michael Gbinije, Kris Joseph 59 DJ Hogg 60 22.4 PF 0.3 DeAndre Daniels, Cameron Moore, J.P. Tokoto 60 Isaac Haas 73 23.3 C 0.3 Dexter Pittman, Justin Hamilton, Trevor Thompson 61 Jarred Vanderbilt 56 19.8 SF 0.3 Grant Jerrett, Jereme Richmond, Ioannis Papapetrou 62 Theo Pinson 70 23.2 SG 0.2 Durrell Summers, Jajuan Johnson, Peter Jok 63 Doral Moore 86 22.0 C 0.2 Dexter Pittman, Chinemelu Elonu, Josh Harrellson 64 Jaylen Barford 92 23.0 SG 0.2 Dwayne Bacon, James Blackmon Jr., Sonny Weems 65 George King 71 25.0 SF 0.1 Elgin Cook, Jamel Artis, Andy Rautins 66 MiKyle McIntosh 81 24.5 PF -0.2 Herb Pope, Taylor Griffin, Robert Dozier

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One thing you see is that CARMELO is extremely deferential to the scout rankings — more so than other systems that use similar data, such as Pelton’s system or the Stats & Info system. Both CARMELO and the scouts have Ayton as the No. 1 pick, for example. The order of the big men listed just after Ayton is slightly different — CARMELO prefers Duke’s Marvin Bagley III and Michigan State’s Jaren Jackson Jr. to Texas’s Mohamed Bamba — but these differences are minor. As both an empirical and a philosophical matter, we think it’s hard to beat the consensus rankings of NBA scouts and franchises. NBA teams are smart these days: Many of them have projection systems that are at least as sophisticated as CARMELO, plus they have lots of other information that we can’t possibly account for. So if CARMELO disagrees with the consensus of NBA teams, we don’t necessarily want to take CARMELO’s side of the bet.

With that said, there are a few differences. CARMELO puts a lot of emphasis on a player’s age; it’s relevant, for instance, that Jackson is more than a full year younger than fellow freshman Bamba. The counterpoint to this is that older players can sometimes help a team now, even if they have less upside. For instance, Mikal Bridges, who played three seasons at Villanova, is one of just three players who project to have a positive WAR in 2018-19. (The others are Ayton and Bamba; Doncic would probably also qualify if we projected him.) And Duke senior Grayson Allen has the fifth-best projection for 2018-19 even though he rates as just the 25th-best long-term prospect.

We can get a better sense for where CARMELO differs from the scouts by taking the scouting rankings out of the system and running “pure stats” projections instead. (Note that these projections still account for a player’s height, weight, position and age, in addition to his NCAA statistics.) Again, we would not recommend that NBA teams draft players on the basis of the list, but it helps to reveal how CARMELO “thinks”:

‘Pure stats’ CARMELO projections for 2018 NBA draft

Not including European players or Michael Porter Jr.

Player Scout Rank Age on 2/1/19 Pos. WAR THRU 2025 Top Comps 1 Marvin Bagley III 5 19.9 C 15.0 Anthony Davis, Lauri Markkanen, Kevin Love 2 Zhaire Smith 16 19.7 SF 14.2 Justise Winslow, Malik Beasley, Malik Monk 3 Jaren Jackson Jr. 4 19.4 C 12.5 Diamond Stone, Karl-Anthony Towns, Marquese Chriss 4 Wendell Carter Jr. 7 19.8 C 12.3 Derrick Favors, Diamond Stone, Greg Oden 5 Deandre Ayton 1 20.5 C 11.6 Jahlil Okafor, Kevin Love, Lauri Markkanen 6 Kevin Huerter 20 20.4 SG 11.5 Alec Burks, Jeremy Lamb, Gary Harris 7 Kevin Knox 9 19.5 PF 11.5 James Young, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Kevon Looney 8 Trae Young 8 20.4 PG 11.0 Dennis Smith Jr., Mike Conley, Brandon Knight 9 Collin Sexton 11 20.1 PG 11.0 Derrick Rose, De’Aaron Fox, Mike Conley 10 Gary Trent Jr. 39 20.0 SG 10.3 DeMar DeRozan, Bradley Beal, Andrew Wiggins 11 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 10 20.6 SG 9.8 D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, John Wall 12 Troy Brown 18 19.5 SG 9.6 Rashad Vaughn, James Young, Thaddeus Young 13 Josh Okogie 25 20.4 SG 9.3 Gary Harris, Marcus Smart, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 14 Miles Bridges 15 20.9 PF 7.6 Caleb Swanigan, Ivan Rabb, Gordon Hayward 15 Mohamed Bamba 3 20.7 C 7.3 Meyers Leonard, JJ Hickson, Lauri Markkanen 16 Landry Shamet 49 21.9 PG 7.2 Tyler Dorsey, Luke Kennard, Doron Lamb 17 Lonnie Walker IV 13 20.1 SG 6.9 Jrue Holiday, Tyreke Evans, Russell Westbrook 18 Mikal Bridges 14 22.4 SF 6.7 Quincy Acy, Derrick Brown, John Jenkins 19 Jalen Brunson 35 22.4 PG 6.3 Ty Lawson, Demetrius Jackson, John Jenkins 20 De’Anthony Melton 24 20.7 SG 5.9 Russell Westbrook, Derrick Rose, Tyreke Evans 21 Robert Williams 12 21.3 C 5.9 Marreese Speights, Caleb Swanigan, Cole Aldrich 22 Moritz Wagner 36 21.8 C 5.5 Jakob Poeltl, Cole Aldrich, Derrick Brown 23 Brandon McCoy 64 20.6 C 5.5 Meyers Leonard, Brook Lopez, Kosta Koufos 24 Rawle Alkins 48 21.3 SG 5.3 Donovan Mitchell, Aaron Harrison, Elliot Williams 25 Donte DiVincenzo 26 22.0 PG 5.3 Tyler Dorsey, Jodie Meeks, Victor Oladipo 26 Trevon Duval 53 20.5 PG 5.2 Avery Bradley, Cory Joseph, Marquis Teague 27 Shake Milton 40 22.3 SG 5.0 Tyler Harvey, Olivier Hanlan, James Anderson 28 Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk 59 21.6 SG 4.9 L.J. Peak, Jared Cunningham, Wayne Ellington 29 Tony Carr 54 21.3 PG 4.9 Darius Morris, Malcolm Lee, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 30 Jerome Robinson 17 21.9 PG 4.8 Armon Johnson, Allen Crabbe, R.J. Hunter 31 Aaron Holiday 22 22.3 PG 4.8 Demetrius Jackson, Stephen Curry, Isaiah Canaan 32 Jacob Evans 30 21.6 SF 4.6 Andre Roberson, L.J. Peak, Jared Cunningham 33 Omari Spellman 43 21.5 PF 4.4 Anthony Bennett, Samardo Samuels, Ben Bentil 34 Chimezie Metu 45 21.9 C 4.4 Damian Jones, Richaun Holmes, Brandon Ashley 35 Jarred Vanderbilt 56 19.8 SF 4.2 Grant Jerrett, Jereme Richmond, Daequan Cook 36 Malik Newman 47 21.9 SG 4.2 Jordan Crawford, Jeff Teague, Jared Cunningham 37 Hamidou Diallo 37 20.5 SG 4.0 Kobi Simmons, Lance Stephenson, Avery Bradley 38 Khyri Thomas 31 22.7 SG 3.9 Khalif Wyatt, James Blackmon Jr., Jodie Meeks 39 Keenan Evans 72 22.4 PG 3.8 Tyshawn Taylor, Marcus Denmon, Derrick Marks 40 Ray Spalding 52 21.9 PF 3.8 Brandon Ashley, Marcus Morris, Ed Davis 41 Allonzo Trier 62 23.0 SG 3.6 James Blackmon Jr., Tyler Harvey, Khalif Wyatt 42 Doral Moore 86 22.0 C 3.5 Dexter Pittman, Byron Mullens, Mitch McGary 43 Vince Edwards 65 22.8 PF 3.4 Matt Howard, Solomon Hill, Trevor Booker 44 Kostas Antetokounmpo 58 20.7 SF 3.4 Chris Walker, Grant Jerrett, Skal Labissiere 45 Grayson Allen 27 23.3 SG 3.3 Buddy Hield, Pat Connaughton, Joe Harris 46 Yante Maten 88 22.5 PF 3.2 Rick Jackson, Brandon Costner, Joel Bolomboy 47 Bonzie Colson 68 23.1 PF 3.1 Matt Howard, Perry Ellis, Branden Dawson 48 Melvin Frazier 32 22.4 SF 2.9 Andre Roberson, K.J. McDaniels, Tony Snell 49 Dakota Mathias 75 23.6 SG 2.6 Dez Wells, Thomas Walkup, Marcus Denmon 50 Devonte’ Graham 44 23.9 PG 2.5 Kendall Williams, Aaron Craft, Yogi Ferrell 51 Justin Jackson 41 22.0 PF 2.4 Vince Hunter, Ben Bentil, Tony Mitchell 52 Bruce Brown Jr. 28 22.5 SG 2.4 Jamaal Franklin, Sonny Weems, Marcus Thornton 53 Jevon Carter 34 23.4 PG 2.1 Demetri McCamey, T.J. Williams, Keith Appling 54 Kevin Hervey 46 22.6 SF 2.0 Stanley Robinson, Rodney Williams, Draymond Green 55 Keita Bates-Diop 29 23.0 PF 2.0 Brandon Costner, Robert Carter Jr., Branden Dawson 56 Jaylen Barford 92 23.0 SG 2.0 Marcus Thornton, Jordan Crawford, Jodie Meeks 57 Chandler Hutchison 33 22.8 SF 1.9 Scotty Hopson, Landry Fields, Stanley Robinson 58 Alize Johnson 61 22.8 PF 1.7 Eric Griffin, Malcolm Thomas, Khem Birch 59 DJ Hogg 60 22.4 PF 1.6 Cameron Moore, John Henson, Joe Alexander 60 Gary Clark 57 24.2 PF 1.5 Arsalan Kazemi, Melvin Ejim, Elias Harris 61 Isaac Haas 73 23.3 C 1.4 Dexter Pittman, Brian Zoubek, Festus Ezeli 62 Theo Pinson 70 23.2 SG 1.3 Durrell Summers, Jajuan Johnson, Peter Jok 63 Kenrich Williams 63 24.2 PF 1.3 Jaron Blossomgame, Taj Gibson, Michael Gbinije 64 Devon Hall 51 23.6 SG 1.2 Peter Jok, Jermaine Taylor, Lamar Patterson 65 George King 71 25.0 SF 0.5 Jamel Artis, Elgin Cook, Gilbert Brown 66 MiKyle McIntosh 81 24.5 PF 0.2 Jackie Carmichael, Herb Pope, Lazar Hayward

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On a pure stats basis, Bagley rates as the top pick, somewhat ahead of Ayton. CARMELO sees the two players as being highly similar — they share many of the same comparables — but Bagley is half a year younger, and he posted his stats against tougher competition at Duke than Ayton did at Arizona. College statistics don’t do a good job of accounting for defense, and there are concerns about Bagley’s defense, but the same is true for Ayton. My point is not necessarily that teams should draft Bagley over Ayton — I’d defer to the scouts who say Ayton has more upside. But I do think it’s probably more of a crapshoot than most fans assume.

There’s a similar dynamic between the top point guards in the draft, Oklahoma’s Trae Young and Alabama’s Collin Sexton. The scouts have Young ranked slightly higher, but CARMELO sees them has very comparable players on the basis of their statistics. It’s true that Young scored more points per game than Sexton (27.4 versus 19.2), but that’s because the Sooners played at a faster pace, and Young played more minutes and used a larger share of his team’s possessions — all factors that aren’t particularly predictive of success at an NBA level.

CARMELO also sometimes like guys who played non-starring roles on good teams, such as Kentucky’s Kevin Knox and Duke’s Gary Trent Jr. These players don’t necessarily post hugely impressive raw statistics, in part because they have to share the ball with a lot of other talented players. But they look better when evaluated on an efficiency basis and adjusted for strength of competition.

Finally, there are a few true “computer picks” — guys who didn’t have great scouting pedigrees coming out of high school but who had impressive NCAA seasons. These include Texas Tech’s Zhaire Smith and Maryland’s Kevin Huerter, both of whom are reportedly rising on NBA teams’ draft boards.

from News About Sports https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-most-promising-players-in-the-nba-draft-according-to-my-computer/

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dmbreport-blog · 7 years ago

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3 Auburn starters sit out against Missouri due to injuries

Three Auburn players were held out of Saturday’s 51-14 win over Missouri because of injuries. Junior running back Kamryn Pettway, senior linebacker Tre’ Williams and sophomore cornerback Javaris Davis, all of whom are starters, did not play against Missouri. Auburn coach Gus Malzahn told reporters after the game that all three weren’t “100 percent” but […] The post 3 Auburn starters sit out…

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auburnfamilynews · 5 years ago

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Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

Easy peezy. Piggie squeezy.

Hey, that was a nice day. You get up, eat some breakfast, maybe run the lawn mower over some leaves real quick, then crack a beer and it’s time for football. Then, the carnage is over before your lunch has even settled and the stress is done!

Not that there was much stress today.

Auburn shellacked Arkansas 51-10 in Fayetteville this afternoon to improve to 6-1 and reach bowl eligibility in the process. Bo Nix threw for three touchdowns and was nearly flawless in the second half, but the Tigers ended this game early with two quick touchdown drives.

Marlon Davidson forced and recovered a fumble on Arkansas’ first drive of the game, and just three plays later Nix scrambled left and into the end zone. It took just 62 seconds. Right after forcing a three and out, A 52-yard run by Kam Martin put the Tigers into good position again, and Shaun Shivers punched in a touchdown from 6 yards away to make it 14-0 just 4:12 into the contest.

Arkansas settled in, and Auburn began to get a little sloppy for the remainder of the first half. Joey Gatewood got stuffed on a fourth down on the next drive, then Anders Carlson went 1-2 on field goal attempts on the next two possessions. After that, Auburn sandwiched two three-and-outs around halftime, and led 17-0 at the break.

After the half, the Tigers figured it out and turned a sloppy and mildly competitive game into a rout. Arkansas dinged the scoreboard with a field goal, but that only seemed to anger Gus Malzahn. On the ensuing drive, Bo Nix finally got the opportunity to go deep and found Seth Williams for a 48-yard touchdown, his first scoring pass of the day. Right after that, Javaris Davis snagged an interception on Arkansas’ first play, and Nix went back to the air to find Anthony Schwartz on a 28-yard strike for another touchdown. Like that, the rout was on.

Arkansas would turn a broken play into a touchdown on a 45-yard scoring catch and run by Cheyenne O’Grady, but Auburn answered with Williams’ second touchdown of the day. That one came on a beautiful back-shoulder throw from Nix for 15 yards, but the extra point was missed. That shank broke the NCAA record streak that was set earlier in the game by Anders Carlson. Auburn had hit 303 consecutive extra points, dating back nearly a decade, and set that record in this game before missing what would have been the 304th straight PAT.

The Tigers added two more scores on a Joey Gatewood toss to Jay Jay Wilson and a 32-yard Harold Joiner scoring run, and escaped Fayetteville with yet another large victory over the Razorbacks. It was Gus Malzahn’s sixth in seven tries, and only padded his average margin of victory.

Offensively, Bo Nix went 12-17 for 176 yards and 3 touchdowns, while a plethora of running backs turned in solid performances, led by Kam Martin’s 84 yards on 10 carries. Seth Williams caught 4 balls for 90 yards and a pair of touchdowns while Schwartz grabbed 6 catches for 73 yards and a score. Auburn turned in 491 yards overall, including 298 on the ground. Arkansas was held to just 234 total yards by Auburn’s defense. For that unit, the Tigers were led by Marlon Davidson, who put together another Player of the Week performance with 5 tackles, 3 TFLs, 2 sacks, a forced fumble, and a fumble recovery.

Here are the final numbers:

Up next for Auburn it’s the toughest game of the midseason. The Tigers head to Baton Rouge next Saturday to meet #2 LSU at 2:30 pm CST. The Bayou Bengals stayed perfect today by taking down Mississippi State in Starkville.

from College and Magnolia - All Posts https://www.collegeandmagnolia.com/2019/10/19/20922846/game-recap-auburn-51-arkansas-10

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