#IPCC report

[jackoshadows]

Energy demand reduction options for meeting national zero-emission targets in the United Kingdom

Millionaire spending incompatible with 1.5 °C ambitions

The Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty initiative

[sinister-yet-satisfying]

New IPCC Report just dropped. We’re fucked.

See the red line? That’s where we are now.

See the blue line? That’s the absolute bare minimum of where we should be.

If you haven’t heard of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) report, it’s a report that is produced once every every seven years by scientists from around the world who work on a series of reports culminating in one final “synthesis report.” The report released this week was the sixth such report produced since 1990.

The report updates and compiles findings from all the reports in the IPCC’s latest assessment cycle, which covered the latest climate science, the threats we’re already facing today from climate change, and what we can do to limit further temperature rises and the dangers that poses for the whole planet.

The latest report is very clear about the urgency of the climate crisis.

This is what we mean when we say the planet will become unlivable.

Crops will fail, entire cities will wash away, global supply chains will collapse and billions will die. The death toll from extreme weather events, starvation, illness and other impacts of climate change will be unlike anything we’ve seen in centuries, possibly ever. Some scientists are predicting that the human species will be extinct by the end of the century if we continue on our current track.

Here’s an idea of what you might be facing in your lifetime.

Amidst all of this, Biden just signed off on one of the largest oil projects to ever be established on U.S soil. The Willow Project will produce an estimated 260 million metric tons of heat-trapping gases over 30 years. We don’t have 30 years.

We have to cut global emissions in half by 2030 in order to avoid 2C of global warming.

You can read the IPCC synthesis report here.

Keep in mind when you read the synthesis report that non scientists had input on what was included and omitted from the report and that input resulted in things such as the Saudi Arabian delegate having any mention of fossil fuels being identified as the root cause of climate change removed from the report.

Read the full report here:

There is hope. All is not lost.

Policy makers just need to get off their asses and out of the pockets of the fossil fuel industry.

There are so many stories like this. Hold your politicians accountable. Do not accept inaction.

Educate yourself and the people in your life, vote green, advocate for climate policies and take direct action toward climate goals and do not let yourself fall for doomerism.

It is not too late, we can still avoid the worst of what’s to come and save billions of lives if we start demanding action and stop accepting inaction from our leaders.

[grandmatapati]

Climate Cover-Up: The Crusade to Deny Global Warming

1.99 for Kindle today, the book documents how a false debate on climate change was deliberately created and what tactics were used.

This is still in progress, obviously. But anyone who reads the latest IPCC report or has observed the dramatic increase in wildfires combined with an increase in heat deaths and extreme weather events, understands that the climate is changing. We need to understand the tactics of those who want to keep on burning fossil fuels like there's no tomorrow.

Book blurb:

This “must-read book describes in disturbing detail” how the energy industry has fueled a bogus controversy about manmade climate change (Toronto Star).   This book rips the lid off the campaign to discredit scientists, confuse journalists, and deny climate change. The tactics have been slick, but PR expert James Hoggan and investigative journalist Richard Littlemore have compiled a readable, accessible guidebook through the muck. Beginning with leaked memos from the coal industry, the oil industry and the tobacco-sponsored lie-about-science industry, the authors expose the plans to "debunk" global warming; they track the execution of those plans; and they illuminate the results—confusion, inaction, and an epidemic of public mistrust.

[filosofablogger]

Happy Earth Day 2024!!!

This is an updated version of my Earth Day post that I have revised and used every year since 2017.  As my late ex-husband used to say, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it,” and this post remains a timely reminder that we still need every year!  Today is Earth Day … the 54th anniversary of Earth Day, to be exact.  Typically, Earth Day is assigned a different theme or area of focus each year and…

[ianmiller42]

IPCC Conclusion: We Are Cooked!

Recall the saying, “There are lies, damned lies, and statistics”. I would add a further term at the end – ” There are lies, damned lies, statistics, and models.” What sparked this bout of negativity? Well, last week I went to a talk from one of the NZ representative of the International Panel on Climate Change. The talk was headed, “Where are we, and how do we get out of this?” The entire talk…

[monriatitans]

PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/ponderful KO-FI: https://ko-fi.com/ponderful LINKTREE: https://linktr.ee/PonderfulYT 

Can you please stop denying climate change for a sec & watch this? Inspired by Naomi Klein's This Changes Everything, I analyze why our common responses to the climate crisis are way off the mark. In case you're wondering why this video came out now, the IPCC report on climate change warned "Code Red For Humanity" & yet I still keep hearing the same old responses. From conscious consumerism to futurism, from right wing competitiveness to doomerism - learn why we really just need to shift our thinking & change our economy. 

Many thanks to Mainely Mandy for lending her voice - check out her amazing channel here -   / mainelymandy   

TIMESTAMPS 00:00 - Intro 00:32 - Conscious Consumer 10:32 - Futurist 19:20 - Competitor 28:04 - Doomer & Conclusion 

SOURCES - https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Y... 

IMAGE & MUSIC CREDITS By NASA - http://www.thespacereview.com/archive... another version existion on the nasa.gov web, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index... By http://www.hogwild.net/images/Misc/je..., Fair use, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?... An anti-pipeline protester holds a bottle of water near police officers in riot gear.Wes Enzinna Life of Riley by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-... Artist: http://incompetech.com/ By The Heritage Foundation, Fair use, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?... By Eddo - Own work, évocation du codex Borgia, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index... By Mhapon - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index... By Excerpt of anonymous 19th Dynasty papyrus painting, curated for the British Museum by Mykola Tarasenko in 2016. - British Museum, available online: https://www.britishmuseum.org/collect..., CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index...

[dbunicorn]

Watch "Latest UN report on Climate Change. How we doin'?" on YouTube

I'm not a climate alarmist and tend towards analytical pragmatism. The reality is as humans we will and often make mistakes. Now is not the time for strongmen but balanced, reasoned decision makers who SERVE their PEOPLE. Informed collective action based on data & civil debate will provide the best outcomes. The tools are there I'm not sure about the political will.

[fashionfotorecccluse]

Climate = NOT CLICHÉ!

STILL, too many people are not taking this seriously: In the most dire scenario, newborns today, almost turning 80 by the end of this century, will be virtually completely dried out even inside their homes, while practically INCINERATED outside!

[worldinyourpalm]

जलवायु परिवर्तन के खिलाफ त्वरित कार्रवाई की जरूरत: संयुक्त राष्ट्र पैनल | UN Panel: Urgent Climate Change Action Is Required;

पारिस्थितिक तंत्रों पर अपरिवर्तनीय प्रभाव

आईपीसीसी की एक रिपोर्ट में कहा गया है कि ग्लोबल वार्मिंग को 1.5 डिग्री सेल्सियस तक सीमित करने में विफल रहने से कुछ पारिस्थितिक तंत्रों पर अपरिवर्तनीय प्रभाव पड़ेगा; 'तेजी से बंद होने वाले अवसर की खिड़की' की चेतावनी दी।

जलवायु परिवर्तन पर अंतर सरकारी पैनल (आईपीसीसी) ने सोमवार को एक रिपोर्ट में कहा कि जलवायु परिवर्तन मानव कल्याण और ग्रहों के स्वास्थ्य के लिए एक खतरा है और सभी के लिए रहने योग्य और टिकाऊ भविष्य को सुरक्षित करने के अवसर की तेजी से समाप्ति खिड़की है।

IPCC की भविष्य की रिपोर्ट

संयुक्त राष्ट्र का पैनल स्वयं वैज्ञानिक मूल्यांकन नहीं करता है बल्कि जलवायु परिवर्तन के विभिन्न पहलुओं पर वैज्ञानिक साक्ष्य की स्थिति का मूल्यांकन करता है। वर्तमान रिपोर्ट में नए वैज्ञानिक प्रमाणों पर ध्यान नहीं दिया गया है, लेकिन तीन कार्य समूहों के निष्कर्षों का संश्लेषण किया गया है। यह छठे मूल्यांकन चक्र के दौरान तीन विशेष रिपोर्टों के साक्ष्य को भी एकीकृत करता है।

IPCC की भविष्य की रिपोर्ट 2030 तक अपेक्षित नहीं हैं और इसे पहले से ही एक सीमा बिंदु वर्ष के रूप में चिह्नित किया गया है - यदि उत्सर्जन में कटौती करने के लिए महत्वपूर्ण कार्रवाई नहीं की जाती है - तो पृथ्वी को 1. 5 डिग्री सेल्सियस ऊपर गर्म होने से रोकना असंभव होगा पूर्व-औद्योगिक स्तर।

"1.5 डिग्री सेल्सियस से अधिक तापमान कम लचीलेपन के साथ कुछ पारिस्थितिक तंत्रों पर अपरिवर्तनीय प्रतिकूल प्रभाव का परिणाम होगा, जैसे कि ध्रुवीय, पर्वतीय और तटीय पारिस्थितिक तंत्र, बर्फ की चादर, ग्लेशियर के पिघलने, या तेजी से और उच्च प्रतिबद्ध समुद्र स्तर की वृद्धि से प्रभावित," आईपीसीसी ने रिपोर्ट में कहा।

अपरिहार्य और/या अपरिवर्तनीय

इसमें कहा गया है कि भविष्य में होने वाले कुछ परिवर्तन "अपरिहार्य और/या अपरिवर्तनीय" हैं, लेकिन गहन, तीव्र और निरंतर वैश्विक ग्रीनहाउस गैस उत्सर्जन में कमी से इसे सीमित किया जा सकता है।

आईपीसीसी के अध्यक्ष होसुंग ली ने एक बयान में कहा, "प्रभावी और न्यायसंगत जलवायु कार्रवाई को मुख्यधारा में लाने से न केवल प्रकृति और लोगों के लिए नुकसान और क्षति कम होगी, बल्कि यह व्यापक लाभ भी प्रदान करेगी.......

[davidbrake]

Will the climate run AMOC?

I have been taking a (free) @effectivealtruism course and reading The Precipice by a leading EA longtermist thinker. It tends to minimize the possibility that climate change might be an existential risk. I also just listened to an interesting episode of the Clearer Thinking podcast on this issue, where Misha Glouberman was suggesting the projections he was able to find tended to class the consequences of high end climate change as bad but essentially manageable. So in light of the recent release of the latest IPCC "Synthesis Report" summary, I thought I would take a look and see for myself if anything new and alarming there about the more extreme climate risks. Unfortunately, I did...

Something I always thought of as a "long tail" climate risk (in 2014 it was deemed "very unlikely" by the IPCC) has turned into a roughly 50% risk by 2100 in the latest report. I guess this may be old news to dedicated climate change followers but it was news to me...

Specifically, the IPCC now estimates the odds are roughly 50/50 that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) - which includes the Gulf Stream - will collapse before 2100 (pp 19-20). If that happened, an MIT Technology Review AMOC summary suggests,

it could freeze the far north of Europe, driving down average winter temperatures by more than 10 °C. It might cut crop production and incomes across the continent as much of the land becomes cooler and drier. Sea levels could rise as much as a foot on the Eastern Seaboard, flooding homes and businesses up and down the coast. And the summer monsoons over major parts of Africa and Asia might weaken, raising the odds of droughts and famines that could leave untold numbers without adequate food or water.

Back in 2014, the IPCC also said (p. 1079)

Large CH4 release to the atmosphere [due to accelerated emissions of CH4 from wetlands, permafrost, and ocean hydrates during this century is unlikely [0=33%] (WGI AR5 Section 6.4.7.3). Owing to such uncertainties, the existence of a tipping point cannot be ascertained.

Am waiting nervously to find out whether they are officially still not that worried about that potential disaster.

[cinnamonchaos]

the window of opportunity for action is rapidly closing...

So the IPCC report for 2023 has been approved and if anything I would really like you to see this figure which shows how change is necessary - but also still possible.

(You can find the report/officials summary here, a (more accessible) breakdown can be found here, and here)

[1ore]

I see your destinies above you like angels who don't love you

[filosofablogger]

Happy Earth Day 2023!!!

This is an updated version of my Earth Day post that I have revised and used every year since 2017.  As my late ex-husband used to say, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it,” and this post remains a timely reminder that we still need every year!  Today is Earth Day … the 53rd anniversary of Earth Day, to be exact.  Typically, Earth Day is assigned a different theme or area of focus each year; last…