#Donella H. Meadows
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Thinking in systems :: illustration is AI drawing of the sacrum
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A citizenry that is both environmentally-literate and active will be required to generate the political will for policies that limit growth. By investing in the young generation now and, at the same time effecting quicker change by allowing citizens to act on the values they already have but may not act upon, gives us one more basket for our proverbial eggs. (via Dennis Meadows: Limiting Growth to Save the World - Our World (unu.edu))
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Everything we think we know about the world is a model. Every word and every language is a model. All maps and statistics, books and databases, equations and computer programs are models. So are the ways I picture the world in my head—my mental models. None of these is or ever will be the real world.
Donella H. Meadows, Thinking in Systems: A Primer
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There are no separate systems. The world is a continuum. Where to draw a boundary around a system depends on the purpose of the discussion—the questions we want to ask.
Donella H. Meadows, Thinking in Systems
#quote#Donella Meadows#systems#systems theory#systems thinking#integration#Meadows#Thinking in Systems#boundaries#questions#world#continuum
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People don't need enormous cars; they need admiration and respect. They don't need a constant stream of new clothes; they need to feel that others consider them to be attractive, and they need excitement and variety and beauty. People don't need electronic entertainment; they need something interesting to occupy their minds and emotions. And so forth. Trying to fill real but nonmaterial needs-for identity, community, self-esteem, challenge, love, joy-with material things is to set up an unquenchable appetite for false solutions to never-satisfied longings. A society that allows itself to admit and articulate its nonmaterial human needs, and to find nonmaterial ways to satisfy them, would require much lower material and energy throughputs and would provide much higher levels of human fulfillment.
Donella H. Meadows, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update
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Οι μοντελοποιήσεις των ηλεκτρονικών υπολογιστών μάς είχαν προειδοποιήσει ήδη από τις αρχές της δεκαετίας του 1970: αν συνεχίζαμε να αντλούμε πόρους της γης, να ρυπαίνουμε σε μαζική κλίμακα και να αυξανόμαστε σε αριθμούς ο πολιτισμός θα κατέρρεε μέσα σε έναν αιώνα. Η μοντελοποίηση έδειξε πάνω-κάτω αυτά που συμβαίνουν σήμερα: κλιματική αλλαγή, ανυδρία, μικροπλαστικά να καταστρέφουν κάθε γωνιά του πλανήτη. Αλλά δεν δώσαμε σημασία στην τεχνολογία της δεκαετίας του 1970, ούτε στο βιβλίο «The Limits to Growth» (Τα όρια της ανάπτυξης), που εξέδωσε το 1972 η Λέσχη της Ρώμης. Το βιβλίο ωστόσο πούλησε εκατομμύρια αντίτυπα και μεταφράστηκε σε τουλάχιστον 30 γλώσσες, προκαλώντας διαμάχες. Πράγματι βασιζόταν σε πολύ πρώιμες μοντελοποιήσεις του MIT και προσπαθούσε να διατυπώσει με απλουστευμένο τρόπο τα περίπλοκα παγκόσμια συστήματα. Όλα τα μοντέλα των Η/Υ είναι λανθασμένα, αλλά μερικά είναι χρήσιμα: αυτό το μοντέλο δεν ήταν καν λανθασμένο και παρότι προειδοποιούσε για τις ζημιές της λεηλασίας των πόρων, η ανθρωπότητα συνέχισε να αδιαφορεί για τον υπερπληθυσμό και τη ρύπανση.
Το βιβλίο «The Limits to Growth» είχαν γράψει τέσσερις, νέοι τότε, επιστήμονες —η Donella H. Meadows, ο Dennis L. Meadows, ο Jørgen Randers και ο William W. Behrens IΙΙ— που προσπαθούσαν να απαντήσουν στο θεμελιώδες ερώτημα: Είναι δυνατόν να επεκταθεί η ανθρώπινη ανάπτυξη χωρίς αρνητικές συνέπειες; Ήταν μια σοβαρή προσπάθεια χρήσης των γνώσεων και των καλύτερων εργαλείων υπολογιστών που διαθέταμε τότε ώστε να προσομοιωθούν μια σειρά από σενάρια για το μέλλον. Μπορούσαμε άραγε να βρούμε μια ισορροπία μεταξύ της ανθρώπινης ευημερίας ή της ανθρώπινης ανάπτυξης και του γεγονότος ότι οι πόροι ήταν πεπερασμένοι; Κινδυνεύουμε από κατάρρευση; Τι μπορεί να μειώνει τη ρύπανση; Πώς μπορούμε να περιορίσουμε την κατανάλωση;
Οι κύριες μεταβλητές είναι πέντε: πληθυσμός, παραγωγή τροφίμων, βιομηχανική παραγωγή, φυσικοί πόροι και ρύπανση. Αυτό που προκαλεί κατάρρευση στα περισσότερα σενάρια είναι ένας συνδυασμός, όχι μόνο ένα πράγμα. Ανάμεσα στα ερωτήματα ήταν ότι αν η δικαιοσύνη στη διαχείριση των πόρων θα μπορούσε να διασώσει την ανθρωπότητα και τον πολιτισμό της, αν μια καλύτερη σχέση με τους άλλους ανθρώπους και με τη φύση, αν π.χ. η αποσύνδεση της ευημερίας από την αύξηση της κατανάλωσης θα έκανε το μέλλον μας πιο σίγουρο. Είναι αλήθεια ότι το μέσο αποτύπωμα των ανθρώπων στις ΗΠΑ είναι 20 φορές εντονότερο από το μέσο αποτύπωμα στην Αφρική —ωστόσο, αυτό δεν σημαίνει ότι η αύξηση του πληθυσμού στην Αφρική είναι επιθυμητή· ο μεγαλύτερος πληθυσμός σημαίνει αθροιστικό μεγαλύτερο οικολογικό αποτύπωμα. Εξάλλου, στην Αφρική λείπουν οι υποδομές διαχείρισής του· π.χ. η βιομηχανία της ανακύκλωσης.
Oι συγγραφείς του «The Limits to Growth» (LTG) χρησιμοποίησαν το μοντέλο World3 για να προσομοιώσουν τις συνέπειες των αλληλεπιδράσεων μεταξύ της Γης και των ανθρώπινων συστημάτων. Βασίστηκαν στις εργασίες του Jay Forrester από το MIT, και ιδιαίτερα στο βιβλίο του World Dynamics. Για την έρευνα και τη συγγραφή συνεργάστηκαν 17 ερευνητές, οι οποίοι συνέχισαν τη δουλειά αυτή με διαρκείς ενημερώσεις: το 1992 κυκλοφόρησε το Beyond the Limits ενώ το 20024 το «The Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update». Το 2012, ο Νορβηγός συν-συγγραφέας Jørgen Randers δημοσίευσε το «2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years» και το 2022, μαζί με ��ον Dennis Meadows και άλλους 19 επιστήμονες έβγαλαν το «Limits and Beyond». Το συμπέρασμα είναι πάνω-κάτω το εξής: αν ο ρυθμός του πληθυσμού διατηρηθεί μαζί με την εξόρυξη γήινων πόρων, έχουμε περίπου 100 χρόνια ζωής στον πλανήτη. Βεβαίως, στο πέρασμα του χρόνου κάποιοι παράγοντες μπορούν να αλλάξουν και θα αλλάξουν· π.χ. η εισαγωγή ανανεώσιμων πηγών ενέργειας.
Υπάρχει ένα υπαρξιακό δίλημμα. Πολλοί πολιτικοί του 20ού αιώνα, όπως ο Ρόναλντ Ρέιγκαν και η Μάργκαρετ Θάτσερ, είχαν μια επικούρεια αντίληψη σε πλανητική κλίμακα: ας ζήσουμε στο μάξιμουμ και ας καταστραφούμε όλοι μαζί στα μέσα του 21ου αιώνα. Η αντίθετη αντίληψη είναι πιο συντηρητική υπό την έννοια ότι παίρνει υπόψη τον παράγοντα της βιωσιμότητας των αγέννητων. Όταν κυκλοφόρησε πάντως το βιβλίο «The Limits to Growth», απορρίφθηκε από πολλούς ως προφητεία για την Ημέρα της Κρίσεως. Στους οικονομολόγους δεν άρεσε γιατί η ανάπτυξη είναι εγγενής στον καπιταλισμό, τουλάχιστον στον καπιταλισμό του 20ού αιώνα που κάλπαζε χωρίς να ενδιαφέρεται αν καίει ή αν κλέβει τον χρόνο των ανθρώπων στο μέλλον. Ο χρόνος των επερχόμενων γενεών θα ξοδευτεί στην αποπληρωμή του χρέους που έχει συσσωρευτεί· μιλάμε για χρέος οικονομικό και οικολογικό. Σήμερα ξέρουμε ότι θα ξεμείνουμε από πόρους, αλλά πασχίζουμε να βρούμε άλλους ελπίζοντας ότι θα μας σώσει η τεχνολογία.
Μισό αιώνα από την έκδοση του βιβλίου αντιμετωπίζουμε την υπερθέρμανση και την απώλεια της βιοποικιλότητας. Αλλά έχουμε κάνει αρκετά βήματα στην αντιμετώπιση της παγκόσμιας φτώχειας όπως και στην εξεύρεση ανανεώσιμων πηγών ενέργειας. Εκτυλίσσεται μια αθόρυβη επανάσταση που δεν τη βλέπουμε ακόμα. Ίσως μάς κάνει λίγο πιο αισιόδοξους το ότι το «Τhe Limits of Growth» γράφτηκε όταν ακόμα πόλεις σαν το Ντένβερ και το Λος Άντζελες ήταν τυλιγμένες στην αιθαλομίχλη.
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You think that because you understand “one” that you must therefore understand “two” because one and one make two. But you forget that you must also understand “and".
~ Donella H. Meadows, environmental scientist, educator, and writer
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Meadows Donella H., Meadows Dennis L., Randers Jorgen, Behrens III William W., prefazione di Aurelio Peccei, I limiti dello sviluppo. Rapporto del system dynamics of technology (MIT) per il progetto del club di Roma sui dilemmi dell'umanità, Edizioni scientifiche e tecniche Mondadori, 1972. Indice del libro
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Expand Time Horizons. One of the worst ideas humanity ever had was the interest rate, which led to the further ideas of payback periods and discount rates, all of which provide a rational, quantitative excuse for ignoring the long term.
The official time horizon of industrial society doesn’t extend beyond what will happen after the next election or beyond the payback period of current investments. The time horizon of most families still extends farther than that—through the lifetimes of children or grandchildren. Many Native American cultures actively spoke of and considered in their decisions the effects on the seventh generation to come. The longer the operant time horizon, the better the chances for survival.
-- Thinking in systems
Donella H. Meadows
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📚 Leitura Recomendada: "Pensando em Sistemas" de Donella H. Meadows 🌍
Donella H. Meadows, uma das mentes brilhantes por trás da Teoria dos Sistemas, nos presenteou com esta obra inspiradora. Este livro nos convida a enxergar o mundo de uma perspectiva sistêmica, compreendendo como todas as partes se relacionam.
#Sistemas #TeoriaDosSistemas #DonellaMeadows #LivroRecomendado #CompreendendoSistemas #PensandoEmSistemas #LeituraInteligente #MudançaDeParadigma #Sustentabilidade #Complexidade #AprendizadoContínuo
Uma leitura essencial para aqueles que desejam impactar o mundo de forma positiva e entender as interconexões que moldam nossa realidade. 🌟
Quem já leu? Deixe sua opinião nos comentários! 📖✨
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Problem-Solving Books Every Entrepreneur Should Read
Challenges in the organization are something that cannot be avoided in this fast-paced world. However, there are many entrepreneurs who do not possess the ability to solve the problem easily. In these cases, books may play a critical role in giving us insight into an issue and a solution that can be beneficial to the company. They also offer us an important lesson that will help us in both our personal and professional lives.
In this post, We will give you a sneak peek at various Recommended Books for Business Problem Solving that every entrepreneur should read
BOOK ONE- Thinking in Systems
Author - Donella H. Meadows
Ratings - 4.6/5
The first Problem-Solving book for Entrepreneurs is Thinking in Systems. In this book, the author, Donella H. Meadows, explains the concept of systems thinking, which is an important skill for entrepreneurs, and shows how we can use systems thinking to understand how things work, which will help us discover essential problems and their causes and detect new possibilities, which will help us make better decisions and adapt to changing conditions
Famous quotes- "Remember, always, that everything you know, and everything everyone knows, is only a model. Get your model out there where it can be seen. Invite others to challenge your assumptions and add their own."
BOOK TWO - The Lean Startup
Author - Eric Ries
Ratings - 4.5/5
The book The Lean Startup delves into the concept of lean principles in business.
A lean startup is a way of establishing a new firm or launching a new product on behalf of an existing company. The book teaches readers how to build and operate firms using the principles of lean and agile methodologies.
Eric Ries, the author, discusses the need for continual growth and emphasizes the need for adaptation and continuous growth.
Famous quotes - "We must learn what customers really want, not what they say they want or what we think they should want."
BOOK THREE - Grit: The Power of Passion and Perseverance
Author - Angela Duckworth
Ratings - 4.5/5
Angela Duckworth, the author, describes grit as "passion and perseverance toward a long-term goal."
Grit may help us accomplish seemingly difficult tasks and give our strengths personality. Angela Duckworth examines grit and how it might help people achieve long-term objectives. Entrepreneurs may understand how passion and tenacity can lead to problem-solving skills by reading this book.
Famous quotes - "there are no shortcuts to excellence. Developing real expertise, and figuring out really hard problems, all take time longer than most people imagine. you've got to apply those skills and produce goods or services that are valuable to people.. love?staying. Grit is about working on something you care about so much that you're willing to stay loyal to it it's doing what you love, but not just falling in love."
BOOK FOUR - The Art of Possibility
Author - Rosamund Stone Zander and Benjamin Zander
Ratings - 4.5/5
This book teaches us to perceive life from a different perspective, which will help us forget about our difficulties. Every day, entrepreneurs encounter new obstacles, and this book presents a positive approach and stance on innovation, leadership, and problem-solving skills.
Famous quotes - "Every problem, every dilemma, every dead end we find ourselves facing in life, only appears unsolvable inside a particular frame or point of view. Enlarge the box, or create another frame around the data, and problems vanish, while new opportunities appear."
BOOK FIVE - Deep Work
Author - Cal Newport
Ratings - 4.5/5
Cal Newport's book Deep Work presents us with strategies that will help us remain focused and concentrate on work, which is critical for entrepreneurs in order to build their organization and manage challenging situations with ease.
Famous quote - "Passion comes after you put in the hard work to become excellent at something valuable, not before. In other words, what you do for a living is much less important than how you do it."
Conclusion
The Problem-Solving Books for Entrepreneurs listed cover an extensive variety of business topics, from problem-solving strategies to offering insight to new and experienced business owners. These books can assist you in solving issues with ease. Keep in mind that mastering problem-solving strategies requires a lot of patience and time, and books can be your partner in this journey.
Visit More : https://apacbusinessheadlines.com/retail/problem-solving-books-every-entrepreneur-should-read/
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Information is power. Anyone interested in power grasps that idea very quickly. The media, the public relations people, the politicians, and advertisers who regulate much of the public flow of information have far more power than most people realize. They filter and channel information. Often they do so for short-term, self-interested purposes. It’s no wonder our that social systems so often run amok.
Donella H. Meadows, Thinking in Systems: A Primer
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Thinking in Systems: A Primer by Donella H. Meadows, ISBN-13: 978-1603580557 [PDF eBook eTextbook] Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing (December 3, 2008) Language: English 240 pages ISBN-10: 1603580557 ISBN-13: 978-1603580557 The classic book on systems thinking―with more than half a million copies sold worldwide! “This is a fabulous book… This book opened my mind and reshaped the way I think about investing.”―Forbes “Thinking in Systems is required reading for anyone hoping to run a successful company, community, or country. Learning how to think in systems is now part of change-agent literacy. And this is the best book of its kind.”―Hunter Lovins In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, Limits to Growth―the first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet―Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001. Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute’s Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life. Some of the biggest problems facing the world―war, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation―are essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking. While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner. In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, Thinking in Systems helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions. A woman whose pioneering work in the 1970s still makes front-page news, Donella Meadows was a scientist, author, teacher, and farmer widely considered ahead of her time. She was one of the world’s foremost systems analysts and lead author of the influential Limits to Growth–the 1972 book on global trends in population, economics, and the environment that was translated into 28 languages and became an international bestseller. That book launched a worldwide debate on the earth’s capacity to withstand constant human development and expansion. Twenty years later, she and co-authors Dennis Meadows and Jorgen Randers reported on their follow-up study in Beyond the Limits and a final revision of their research, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update, was drafted in 2004. What makes us different? • Instant Download • Always Competitive Pricing • 100% Privacy • FREE Sample Available • 24-7 LIVE Customer Support
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Thinking in Systems: A Primer by Donella H. Meadows, ISBN-13: 978-1603580557 [PDF eBook eTextbook] Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing (December 3, 2008) Language: English 240 pages ISBN-10: 1603580557 ISBN-13: 978-1603580557 The classic book on systems thinking―with more than half a million copies sold worldwide! “This is a fabulous book… This book opened my mind and reshaped the way I think about investing.”―Forbes “Thinking in Systems is required reading for anyone hoping to run a successful company, community, or country. Learning how to think in systems is now part of change-agent literacy. And this is the best book of its kind.”―Hunter Lovins In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, Limits to Growth―the first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet―Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001. Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute’s Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life. Some of the biggest problems facing the world―war, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation―are essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking. While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner. In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, Thinking in Systems helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions. A woman whose pioneering work in the 1970s still makes front-page news, Donella Meadows was a scientist, author, teacher, and farmer widely considered ahead of her time. She was one of the world’s foremost systems analysts and lead author of the influential Limits to Growth–the 1972 book on global trends in population, economics, and the environment that was translated into 28 languages and became an international bestseller. That book launched a worldwide debate on the earth’s capacity to withstand constant human development and expansion. Twenty years later, she and co-authors Dennis Meadows and Jorgen Randers reported on their follow-up study in Beyond the Limits and a final revision of their research, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update, was published in 2004. What makes us different? • Instant Download • Always Competitive Pricing • 100% Privacy • FREE Sample Available • 24-7 LIVE Customer Support
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Thinking in Systems: A Primer by Donella H. Meadows, ISBN-13: 978-1603580557 [PDF eBook eTextbook] Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing (December 3, 2008) Language: English 240 pages ISBN-10: 1603580557 ISBN-13: 978-1603580557 The classic book on systems thinking―with more than half a million copies sold worldwide! “This is a fabulous book… This book opened my mind and reshaped the way I think about investing.”―Forbes “Thinking in Systems is required reading for anyone hoping to run a successful company, community, or country. Learning how to think in systems is now part of change-agent literacy. And this is the best book of its kind.”―Hunter Lovins In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, Limits to Growth―the first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet―Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001. Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute’s Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life. Some of the biggest problems facing the world―war, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation―are essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking. While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner. In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, Thinking in Systems helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions. A woman whose pioneering work in the 1970s still makes front-page news, Donella Meadows was a scientist, author, teacher, and farmer widely considered ahead of her time. She was one of the world’s foremost systems analysts and lead author of the influential Limits to Growth–the 1972 book on global trends in population, economics, and the environment that was translated into 28 languages and became an international bestseller. That book launched a worldwide debate on the earth’s capacity to withstand constant human development and expansion. Twenty years later, she and co-authors Dennis Meadows and Jorgen Randers reported on their follow-up study in Beyond the Limits and a final revision of their research, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update, was drafted in 2004. What makes us different? • Instant Download • Always Competitive Pricing • 100% Privacy • FREE Sample Available • 24-7 LIVE Customer Support
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The Limits to Growth
The classic system dynamics world growth simulation that shook —and keeps on shaking— the world.
The Limits to Growth is a 1972 report that discussed the possibility of exponential economic and population growth with finite supply of resources, studied by computer simulation. The study used the World3 computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the earth and human systems. The model was based on the work of Jay Forrester of MIT, as described in his book World Dynamics. Commissioned by the Club of Rome, the findings of the study were first presented at international gatherings in Moscow and Rio de Janeiro in the summer of 1971. The report's authors are Donella H. Meadows, Dennis L. Meadows, Jørgen Randers, and William W. Behrens III, representing a team of 17 researchers. The report concludes that, without substantial changes in resource consumption, "the most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity".
— Wikipedia
Read/Download Limits — DonellaMeadows.org
The Limits to Growth+50 — Club of Rome
The Limits to Growth after 50 — Resilience.org
World3 model standard run adapted from Limits printout Fig. 35, p. 124. By YaguraStation, CC 4.0, Wikimedia Commons
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