#David Seymour MP

[cathnews]

Broaden euthanasia eligibility: Not now

Broaden euthanasia eligibility: Not now

More palliative care investment is needed in New Zealand, says Royal College of GPs medical director Dr Bryan Betty. He’s concerned about ACT Party leader David Seymour’s desire to widen the End of Life Choice Act criteria. Seymour argues the change is necessary, as many who want assisted suicide are “missing out”. Seymour says this is mainly because those people don’t have a terminal illness…

[sapphia]

Can I get more info about what's going on in nz? I watch global news regularly and nothing about this has come up and I find this highly disturbing.

we elected a neoliberal nightmare of a government who are destroying our health system, water system, ferry and rail system, environment and democracy for profit. people are literally dying in hospitals because there is no doctor in hospitals in multiple rural towns and they just have a consultation on an ipad. the government are trying to frame Health NZ as having a budget deficit of 1.5 billion when in reality that deficit exists because they provided like 3 billion dollars with of tax cuts they couldn’t afford. National cuts spending to health every time they get in government and the disjointed DHB system has been unable to keep up financially with the growing population and health needs.

i personally have just been FUCKED by national as for the last two years i have been navigating our labyrinth of a health system, not working due to being intensely suicidal, trying to find therapy to get better and there just isn’t any available. so i payed for a private autism diagnosis to try and access funding for therapy through the ministry of disability and also get under their umbrella because they actually treat you like a person there and also don’t actively seem to want you dead like they do in the mental health system. but the process took so long that by the time i got my diagnosis and through the referral system, national had yoinked the funding and deemed that therapy will no longer be covered by the disability funding system. all therapies. for disabled people.

oh also they’re like trying to start a race war or something as both minor parties in the 3-way coalition government are trying to negate the Treaty of Waitangi in law, and they’re also attacking the judiciary and had to be told to stop by our attorney general, who they ignored obviously.

our prime minister answers every question with “i say to you” followed by just a literal lie, they’re all just lying through their teeth, i literally have an OIA request about when David Seymour, our deputy-PM-in-waiting (don’t ask) said that preschool education needed to be reviewed because they were being prevented from teaching phonics. they’re not. someone just expressed concern that that might be happening to him, and apparently he is basing government policy on that?? or at least using it to falsely justify it to the nation.

their ideas are all bad and disproven by evidence-based studies, despite their slogan being “we’re going to make evidence-based decisions”. New Zealand has hit a funding wall where we’ve kicked the can too far down the road on like everything and it’s all starting to collapse at once and this government are not only letting it happen, they’re actively helping it along because they’ve all got shares in private rival companies or mates they want to give contracts to (our former national PM got paid insane money to write an insanely biased report attacking our ministry of social housing) or they’ve had their careers helped along by lobbying firms or they want to work for lobbying firms after they leave parliament.

the speaker of the house (who is right now being accused of not dealing with racism within his own party because of course he isn’t, he’s gerry fucking brownlee, the most hated man in christchurch) has allowed lobbyists unprecedented unrecorded entry to parliament. the minister for conservation keeps “forgetting” to write his lobby dinners in his diary. one of them told an mp “he’s not in mexico anymore”. no one is getting in trouble for this shit while the left are being raked over the coals. there’s like so much more. no one can keep up. and nothings being done about it.

tldr; help

[planefood]

I don’t usually bring up NZ politics here cus I know most people following me aren’t from here but holyyyy shit the amount of fuck wits talking about “anti white racism” in light of fucking David Seymour and ACT asking other MPs why “ethnicity was a factor” in surgery waiting lists in one fucking city. (as in, making sure marginalised peoples have EQUAL opportunity for medical care when they’re so under represented, esp Māori, as pākehā. It’s NOT denying white people medical care because the government is “racist against white people”, think for a moment. It also includes area you live in and time waited on the list as well as other factors.) It’s such a slimey move to bring it up as well in the midst of the actually racist “stop co governance” rallies and meetings that have been popping up around the country.  Marama actually said so herself that Seymour bringing it up was to just spark racial discourse between the public and she got kicked out of the house of parliament for it??? because it was “too serious an accusation” WHEN NATIONAL LEADER LUXON ACCUSED HER OF BEING RACIST TO WHITE PEOPLE BACK DURING THE ANTI TRANS RALLIES FOR SAYING THAT WHITE CIS MEN CAUSED A LOT OF VIOLENCE IN THE WORLD when she was in hospital was hit by a fucking motorcycle for supporting trans people at the rally holy shit I am so angry. Nobody said anything about him bringing up “too serious accusations”  I think I’ll throw a missile at the next person who says anything about “anti white racism” the people that whine about that shit are awfully quiet when they’re shown rates of actual medical discrimination against Māori and Pasifika.  These people turning around and telling actual racial minorities that they’re “stuck in the past” and being “racist” against Pākehā when they’re the ones digging in their heels anytime there’s even a hint of racial equality in this country or ignoring actual racism. Fuck I thought those guys liked traditional values and wanted this country to be the same as it was back in the 1800s. I don’t want to live in a country governed by ACT or National that puts my actual life at risk as a marginalised person all because some dumbasses decided that they were being racially discriminated for being white. You wouldn’t survive a day facing actual discrimination you snotball  

[codystottstudio5]

Rules about Line Placement

I realized to avoid biases and confusions I needed clear rules about line placement. For every placement I give a party I need ...

A Quote An official either spoken quote by a party official, or a quote pulled from an official party document such as a website or manifesto.

An Action A documented action taken by the party surrounding this topic.

If a party doesn't meet this critea, they will not be placed on the line. The two of these combined should ensure that line placement is factual, researchable and official rather than based on my own assumptions.

An Example - Abortion Law

NATIONAL

Quote

"Yes. There's no change to abortion laws, access to funding, access to healthcare. Those laws have been settled. They're not changing under my government.” - Christopher Luxon, 2023

Action

Voted 48% on Abortion legalization in 2020. National was the only party to vote against the policy. 

LABOUR

Quote

“"That's not what the Government is going to do, it's not going to change the law." - Anahila Kanongata'a-Suisuiki 2022

Action

Voted 84% on Abortion legalization in 2020, and supported Greens in their push for the policy.

ACT

Quote

"“This abortion reform is about personal freedom and personal choice.” - David Seymour, 2020

Action

Voted 100% on Abortion legalization in 2020, 

GREEN

Quote

"After calling for it for years, a ground-breaking law passed that decriminalises abortion and ensures women and pregnant people seeking abortions have safe and compassionate healthcare.” - Green Party Website

Action

Voted 100% on Abortion legalization in 2020. The MP incharge of the bill was Greens Auckland MP Chloe Swarbick.

NZ FIRST

No Placement Explanation

New Zealand First gave a somewhat split vote to the 2020 Abortion Law, with 74% of the party voting in favor. As an independent the party is not aligned to fixed coalition partners and have no official policy on the matter.

TE PATI MAORI

No Placement Explanation

Explanation

While some Maori party leaders have spoken out against abortion, other evidence suggests they would likely support it. Given their generally liberal stance and coalition partners.

However the party has no explicitly stated policy on the matter.

LOYAL

Quote

"Only in extreme cases where the mothers life may be in jeopardy, or a medical examination is deemed the child will have no quality of life should abortion be completed” - Liz Gunn 2023

Action

NZ Loyal party representative John Armstrong campaigned to to repeal the Therapeutic Products Bill and the Abortion Legislation Act in 2022

TOP

No Placement Explanation

Explanation

TOP have never officially been in office, and they have not published any official policy or statement on abortion stance. Given their stance as centerists it would be ill advised to hypothesize on where they may stand on the debate.

[swldx]

RNZ Pacific 1307 10 Mar 2024

7390Khz 1259 10 MAR 2024 - RNZ PACIFIC (NEW ZEALAND) in ENGLISH from RANGITAIKI. SINPO = 55445. English, s/on w/bellbird int. until pips and news @1300z anchored by Vicki McKay. Landlords will once again be able to claim tax deductions for interest on residential investment property from the start of next month, David Seymour says. The policy was promised among tax reforms announced by the new coalition government late last year. Seymour, the leader of the ACT Party and the Associate Minister of Finance, said the change would benefit both landlords and renters. Auckland Central MP Chlöe Swarbrick will be the Green Party's new co-leader alongside Marama Davidson, as James Shaw steps down. Last month, Shaw said he would be stepping down from his duties as co-leader in March. Donald Trump has posted a US$91.6 million (NZ$155.4m) bond as he appeals against the verdict in E Jean Carroll's defamation lawsuit against him. A jury in January found Trump owed the former columnist millions of dollars for defamation when he denied he sexually assaulted her. A judge had rejected the former president's request for more time to secure a bond to cover the penalty. Trump also owes over US$400m in a separate fraud case. Portugal's criminal police agency PJ said on Saturday it arrested a member of Italy's Camorra crime group who has been on the run for two decades. PJ said in a statement it made the arrest in the country's northern region and that the member of the Camorra, as the Naples version of the mafia is known, was the target of a European arrest warrant. The first official photo of the Princess of Wales since her abdominal surgery in January has been released by Kensington Palace. The image, taken by Prince William at Windsor earlier this week, shows the princess with her three children. The photo is accompanied by a Mother's Day message along with a "thank you" from the princess for the public's "continued support". She is not expected to return to public duties before Easter. @1303z trailer for RNZ "Pacific Waves". @1304z Weather Forecast: Fine, cloudy periods with odd showers in the afternoon. @1305z "All Night Programme" anchored by Vicki McKay. Backyard gutter antenna, Etón e1XM. 100kW, beamAz 35°, bearing 240°. Received at Plymouth, MN, United States, 12912KM from transmitter at Rangitaiki. Local time: 0759.

[fvdnews]

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern was caught on mic calling a fellow MP an insulting name, shortly after speaking in parliament. Ms Adern has since apologised for the comment aimed at David Seymour, the leader of the minor opposition ACT party.

[thetopbestguide]

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern was caught on mic calling a fellow MP an insulting name, shortly after speaking in parliament. Ms Adern has since apologised for the comment aimed at David Seymour, the leader of the minor opposition ACT party. #Zealand #Jacinda #Ardern #caught #mic #insulting #parliament

[toptrending2]

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern was caught on mic calling a fellow MP an insulting name, shortly after speaking in parliament. Ms Adern has since apologised for the comment aimed at David Seymour, the leader of the minor opposition ACT party. #Zealand #Jacinda #Ardern #caught #mic #insulting #parliament

[williamchasterson]

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern caught on mic insulting MP in parliament

Jacinda Ardern had just finished answering a question by David Seymour, the leader of a minor opposition partner. from BBC News – World https://ift.tt/VIshMBW via IFTTT

[cathnews]

ACT fears people missing out on euthanasia

ACT fears people missing out on euthanasia

Looser criteria in the euthanasia law are needed, says ACT Party leader David Seymour. A year after coming into force, the End of Life Choice Act is working well and opponents of the law change had “melted away,” Seymour says. “The figures overwhelmingly show a law that is working. People can and do get through the process to become eligible for assisted dying, some change their mind, some are…

[unwhitewashthebadbatch]

Party wants all original te reo Māori place names to be officially restored across the country in the next five years

The Māori party has launched a petition to change New Zealand’s official name to Aotearoa, the te reo Māori, indigenous language name for the country.

“It’s well past time that Te Reo Māori was restored to its rightful place as the first and official language of this country,” Te Pāti Māori leaders, Rawiri Waititi and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer said in a statement launching the petition. “We are a Polynesian country – we are Aotearoa.”

“Aotearoa is a name that will unify our country rather than divide it,” Waititi said. “Others are trying to use it is a divisive tool, but this is an inclusive tool, where our ancestors consented to us all living on this whenua [land] together."

“New Zealand is a Dutch name. Even the Dutch have changed their name – from Holland to the Netherlands, for Christ’s sakes!”

The petition also calls on the government to “identify and officially restore the original Te Reo Māori names for all towns, cities and places right across the country” over the next five years, completing the process by 2026.

“Tangata whenua are sick to death of our ancestral names being mangled, bastardised, and ignored. It’s the 21st century, this must change,” the petition reads.

Te Pāti Māori said successive governments and “the imposition of a colonial agenda in the education system” had resulted in widespread language loss among Māori, with fluency dropping from 90% to 20% over the past 90 years.

“It is the duty of the Crown to do all that it can to restore the status of our language. That means it needs to be accessible in the most obvious of places; on our televisions, on our radio stations, on road signs, maps and official advertising, and in our education system.” they said.

Over time, New Zealanders, including state officials, political leaders and companies have increasingly come to use Aotearoa interchangeably with or alongside New Zealand – but the shift hasn’t been made official.

Prime minister Jacinda Ardern said last year that an official name-change, was “not something we’ve explored,” but that she supported more people using the name. “I hear more and more often the use of Aotearoa interchangeably with New Zealand and that is a positive thing,” she said.

“Whether or not we change it in law I don’t think changes the fact New Zealanders do increasingly refer to Aotearoa, and I think that’s a transition that has been welcomed.”

That transition also hasn’t been without controversy. On the right, National party leader Judith Collins has called for a referendum on the use of Aotearoa for different reasons – saying the name was being implemented “by stealth,” and National MP Stuart Smith has floated the idea of banning its use by public officials. Libertarian ACT party leader David Seymour said via Twitter: “People are already free to use Māori placenames. What the Māori Party is saying is it would like to ban people calling our country New Zealand.”

The launch of the petition comes 49 years to the day after the Māori language petition was delivered to parliament – a drive which eventually led to Māori becoming an official language.

“I acknowledge the people who laid down that challenge,” Waititi said. “In 2021, we continue to take up the challenge and continue to push further, to ensure that the mahi, the work that they have done, is not lost to the history books of time, but is continued to ensure that we are creating a better Aotearoa for our mokopuna, for the next generation to come.”

He said in the first two and a half hours of the treaty going online, it had garnered 3,000 signatures. “There is a mood for change,” Waititi said.

[highlights-of-the-lowlife]

First image description: David Seymour standing in a business suit with a large dish of lasagne photoshopped into his hands.

Second image description: “This auction is for lunch and a tour of Parliament with David Seymour for you and two mates. Lunch will be at the iconic Bellamy's Restaurant in the Beehive, where many a political deal has been made over a pint and a steak. After lunch David will take you and your friends on a private tour of Parliament.

This is a once in a lifetime opportunity to get a personalized tour of Parliament by one of New Zealand's political superstars, as well as sit down for a meal and a chat .The winner of this auction will need to get themselves to Wellington for this experience. If you cannot get to Wellington, arrangements can be made to meet in another city. This will mean lunch at a different restaurant and forgoing the tour of Parliament. Once the auction has been won, we will arrange a date that suits both you and David before the 15th October.”

This is for a cancer charity but its still pretty vile. Its essentially paying to get access to a sitting politician. Granted David Seymour isn’t profiting directly but he is gaining a lot of free press and good will for helping charity.

Nobody is paying for this because they like Seymour. He has all the charm and personality of a sandpaper face wash. This is clearly an opportunity to get into the ear of a far right MP who is willing to make deals involving government assets and tax rates.

[swldx]

RNZ Pacific 1224 20 Oct 2022

7245Khz 1148 20 OCT 2022 - RNZ PACIFIC (NEW ZEALAND) in ENGLISH from RANGITAIKI. SINPO = 55445. English, music until pips and news @1200z anchored by Peter McIlwaine. The High Court has declared Parliament's Speaker was unreasonable, irrational, and unjustified in his decision to trespass NZ First leader Winston Peters. The former speaker Trevor Mallard issued the warnings - which prohibited entry to parliament grounds for two years - after protesters continued to occupy parliament's grounds in February and March after being told to leave. Peters visited the protesters. An Auckland GP accused of incorrectly prescribing ritalin and other ADHD drugs has been found guilty of professional misconduct. The medical disciplinary tribunal chairperson Royden Hindle delivered the unanimous verdict, saying Dr Tony Hanne would be sanctioned. It's been an extraordinary evening in UK politics, with some pundits saying it looks like a "death spiral" for Prime Minister Liz Truss, who's been in the job for just six weeks. There was total chaos in the Commons during a vote on fracking with reports of Tory MPs being "manhandled" into the voting chamber. The drama continued when Home Secretary Suella Braverman resigned over two data breaches, launching an attack on Liz Truss' premiership in her resignation letter. A small crowd of protesters - estimated to be fewer than 100 people - gathered at Parliament, though it was hard to gauge the size given the presence of a second protest event over fair pay. ACT's leader David Seymour said he had not met with the protesters, though some other MPs from his party had. He raised concerns about other groups having hijacked the protests. "I understand that there's been quite a range of people trying to hijack the event," he said. "My understanding is you've got some other groups with other causes that have tried to get on the bandwagon so to speak, our view is we support the opposition to an avalanche of regulation that rural New Zealanders faced I think that they do need to be stood up for." Auckland Zoo has completed its largest project yet, an Indonesian Swamp Forest, inside a 400 square metre climate-controlled dome. It is the final part of a $62 million South East Asia Jungle Track project, full of fish, plants, and crocodiles. Sports. @1204z trailer for an RNZ Music Show. @1205z Weather Forecast: fine spells with isolated showers and cloudy periods. @1206z "All Night Programme" music DJ'd by Peter McIlwaine. Backyard fence antenna, Etón e1XM. 100kW, beamAz 325°, bearing 240°. Received at Plymouth, United States, 12912KM from transmitter at Rangitaiki. Local time: 0648.

[pappito]

Election results 2020 - Labour's Jacinda Ardern wins second term, crush National and Judith Collins; Winston Peters and NZ First out; Act's David Seymour and Greens' James Shaw and Marama Davidson get 10 MPs each - NZ Herald

Nesztek, a messziről olyan szép még progresszív csodanőből lesz még három év. Fingers crossed hogy legalább a zöldeket ne húzza be a koalícióba.

[allthecanadianpolitics]

Where the NDP could win:

…and hence where you should absolutely vote NDP and not fear ‘vote splitting’ or ‘handing the election to the Conservatives.’ Ridings where the NDP are incumbent but behind have to be considered at least plausible.

(working from this great breakdown from @Historian_Matt on twitter, using projections (not polls) from 338 and riding history from wikipedia)

Newfoundland & Labrador - swept by LPC, time to take it back. St. John’s East: won by Jack Harris in ‘08 &’11, Harris is running again. Two way race between NDP & LPC on 338. St. John’s South—Mount Pearl: won by Ryan Cleary in ‘11, 338 doesn’t like the odds. Nova Scotia - Some lost territory to regain, CPC not a huge factor. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour: won by Robert Chisholm in ‘11, Emma Norton is an ‘Our Time’ endorsed environmental activist.    Halifax: won by the excellent Megan Leslie in’08 and ‘11, previously won by former leader Alexa McDonough, this is a two-way race and this should be an NDP riding. Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook: won by (the now-disgraced) Peter Stoffer in six consecutive elections, currently a three-way race.  New Brunswick - Acadians rise up. Acadie—Bathurst: won by Yvon Godin six times between ‘97 and ‘15, two-way race against incumbent LPC Serge Cormier. Quebec - NDP not looking good, but the CPC is even lower most places. Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou: Enormous Northern riding held by the retiring Romeo Saganash. 338 has this split between the Bloc and LPC, but with the NDP not far behind. The Tories are a non-factor.

Abitibi—Témiscamingue: Currently held by retiring Christine Moore, another tight one between LPC/BQ/NDP.  Beloeil—Chambly: Currently held by Matthew Dubé, the last-standing member of the McGill 5. 338 has him well behind the LPC and BQ. Berthier—Maskinongé: Currently held by Ruth Ellen Brosseau (the notorious REB) and one of the few Quebec ridings that the NDP can be said to be leading in. It would be ludicrous to vote Liberal here, it’s REB or the Bloc. Drummond: Currently held by Francois Choquette, 338′s breakdown somehow puts him 4th. Hochelaga: Currently held by retiring Marjolaine Boutin-Sweet, now allegedly a LPC/Bloc battleground. Fuck ‘em both, vote NDP. Jonquière: Currently held by Karine Trudel, who, like Choquette in Drummond, is improbably in 4th.                  Laurier—Sainte-Marie: The site of the retiring Hélène Laverdière defeating Bloc leader Gilles Duceppe, and a Quebec riding where the NDP are second to the LPC. Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques: Leadership candidate Guy Caron’s riding, which he won in ‘11 and ‘15. 338 has him behind the Bloc and LPC. Sucks to that. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie: NDP Deputy Leader Alexandre Boulerice isn’t going anywhere. Currently ahead.   Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot: Currently held by Brigitte Sansoucy. Salaberry—Suroît: Held by the retiring Anne Minh-Thu Quach. Sherbrooke: Pierre-Luc Dusseault is now 28 years old after two full terms in office, unfortunately Sherbrooke is yet another Quebec riding now being contested between the Bloc and LPC. Trois-Rivières: Another of the 2011 pickups that weathered 2015, incumbent Robert Aubin being given a disrespectful 8.9% on 338. Ontario - Big yikes of a province, but traditional ridings could hold. Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing: Carol Hughes has represented this rural riding since 2008, currently polling well. Brampton East: Raj Grewal left the LPC amid a particularly spicy investigation into his gambling debts. Canada’s only majority South Asian riding, its provincial analogue is held by Jagmeet’s brother. 338 lists it as safe LPC even so. Beaches—East York: NDP has been a strong performer in this riding and held it in the past, it’s a two-way race between them and LPC. Davenport: Won by Andrew Cash in 2011, he’s back and trailing slightly. Essex: Tracey Ramsey won this riding in 2015, this is a rare NDP/CPC race and Tracey’s leading but she needs your vote. Hamilton Centre: The retiring David Christopherson is the only MP this riding has known (created in 2004,) Our Time is endorsing his replacement, Matthew Green. He’s leading, according to 338. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek: Previously held by Wayne Marston from ‘06 to ‘15, and a race between the LPC and NDP. Hamilton Mountain: Historically always a LPC/NDP battleground, currently an orange seat for Scott Duvall. London—Fanshawe: I don’t generally approve of dynastic politics, but the retiring Irene Mathyssen’s daughter Lindsay is vying to replace her in London and is currently ahead of the LPC. Niagara Centre: Malcolm Allen won this riding in ‘08 and ‘11 and is trying to avenge his 2015 defeat in what now looks like a three-way race. Nickel Belt: Traded between LPC and NDP for decades, singer-songwriter Stef Paquette is in yet another close race. Oshawa: Not sure I agree with the detective work on this one. Yes, Ed Broadbent used to rep Oshawa. Literally thirty years ago. Candidate seems like a good one though. Ottawa Centre: Also repped by Ed and the late, great Paul Dewar. Currently held by the duplicitous Catherine McKenna, the NDP are polling 2nd in this used-to-be stronghold. Parkdale—High Park: Once the riding of powerhouse Peggy Nash, another two-way race. Check out Paul Taylor’s specs.   Sault Ste. Marie: Strong NDP results historically, held by Tony Martin among others. NDP candidate Sara McCleary really laid it all out when she was nominated. Scarborough North: Previously held by Rathika Sitsabaiesan in 2011, NDP currently polling 3rd.  Scarborough Southwest: Strong LPC district, though Dan Harris won this riding in 2011. Whoever you vote for here, maybe don’t vote for Bill fucking Blair. Spadina—Fort York: downtown Toronto, previously the riding of Olivia Chow. Climate activist Diana Yoon in tough against incumbent Adam Vaughn. CPC a non-factor.      Sudbury: LPC/NDP battleground, with the Liberals on top pretty solidly in the polls. Thunder Bay—Rainy River: Close race between incumbent LPC and the NDP. The late John Rafferty represented the riding between 2008-2015. Thunder Bay—Superior North: Contest is a three-way between aisle-crossing GPC Bruce Hyer, incumbent LPC Patty Hadju and the NDP’s Anna Betty Achneepinsekum, former Deputy Grand Chief of the Nishnawbe Aski Nation.    Timmins–James Bay: Say what you will about Charlie Angus, the wannabe-Pat Martin is not in any particular danger of losing this race. Toronto—Danforth: As matter of principle the NDP should not have lost Jack’s riding in 2015, and as this is essentially a two-way race between them and the LPC, documentarian Min Sook Lee should absolutely have your vote. Windsor—Tecumseh: Big NDP riding, incumbent Cheryl Hardcastle should be able to hold a riding the party has held all millennium. Windsor West: Similarly, Brian Masse has represented Windsor West since 2002. It’s his to lose. Toronto Centre: I mean, imagine unseating Bill Morneau. Liberals have a big lead here, the CPC are a non-factor and Brian Chang is an excellent candidate. University—Rosedale: Still unhappy that Jennifer Hollett lost out to Capitalism with a Human Face Chrystia Freeland, and further unhappy that Freeland seems a shoe-in for re-election. NDP are second, for what it’s worth. York South—Weston: Won by the NDP’s Mike Sullivan in ‘11, something of an LPC stronghold otherwise. Again, NDP are second in a very Liberal riding. Manitoba - well, it’s not all bad news.  Churchill—Keewatinook Aski: Yeah, Niki Ashton’s sticking around. It was close in 2015, but this is her 4th rodeo. Elmwood—Transcona: aka, the Blaikie dynasty riding. Again, I don’t care for that sort of thing but I do hope Daniel Blaikie holds on here. Currently 2nd behind the CPC. Winnipeg Centre: I feel like the good people of Winnipeg, who dumped Pat Martin for the Liberals in 2015, should be real disappointed with Ouellette. 338 has this one pretty tight with the NDP, and Leah Gazan is an incredible candidate. Winnipeg North: Historically a strong NDP riding despite disappointing results this decade.  Saskatchewan - The LPC is almost completely absent, the NDP trail the CPC everywhere. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River: Currently held by Georgina Jolibois, tight race with the CPC here. Saskatoon West: Currently held by deputy NDP leader Sheri Benson, and apparently another tight one.  Regina—Lewvan: Oy. Currently held by former-NDP Erin Weir, who is thankfully not running. Seems like a loss incoming, CPC leading the NDP. Saskatoon—Grasswood: Safe CPC territory but with decent NDP numbers. Saskatoon—University: Oh gods, Brad Trost’s riding. The NDP are the second choice overwhelmingly here, but the Trostlodyte seems entrenched. Alberta - Let’s keep this short. Edmonton Strathcona: Linda Duncan, who won this seat in 2011, is retiring. Her would-be replacement Heather McPherson has a real uphill battle against… Alberta, conceptually. BC - The Greens are beginning to become a problem. Burnaby North—Seymour: Svend Robinson is back. Despicable CPC candidate Heather Leung has been removed (but remains on the ballot.) LPC incumbent Terry Beech has made wild claims about the necessity of defeating the Conservatives. I wanna bet on Svend but it seems like a hard one, especially with a strong Green 3rd place.  Burnaby South: If the NDP lose this riding we’ve learned a very important and painful lesson. CPC Jay Shin has disturbingly high numbers. Cowichan—Malahat—Langford: Alistair McGregor won this riding in 2015 and looks ahead of the pack in the rare 4-way race. Courtenay—Alberni: close CPC/NDP race with incumbent NDP Gord Johns looking okay but not exactly strong. Greens in a close third place. Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke: On the island, NDP incumbents like Randall Garrison are in real danger of being run-over by the Greens – he’s currently polling third, behind the GPC and CPC.   Kootenay—Columbia: NDP incumbent Wayne Stetski is in a close race with the CPC, they’re the only two parties relevant in this interior battle. Nanaimo—Ladysmith: Paul Manly won a spring by-election for the Greens, taking the riding from the NDP. Every expectation is they’ll hold it, and the NDP seem to be fighting the Conservatives for 2nd.   New Westminster—Burnaby: Peter Julian has represented the NDP from a variation of this riding since 2004, his biggest rival here is the LPC. North Island—Powell River: Incumbent NDPer Rachel Blaney barely leads the pack of 4, edging out the CPC. Needs your help, for sure. Port Moody—Coquitlam: part-man part-shark Fin Donnelly, having finally realized his legislative goals of banning shark-fins, is retiring. The NDP are thus in tough against the CPC for the fate of Po-Mo-Co, with the LPC not super far behind. Skeena—Bulkley Valley: Everyone’s favourite NDP MP Nathan Cullen is retiring and this enormous riding is sadly thus in play, a race between the NDP and CPC. South Okanagan—West Kootenay: Incumbent NDP Dick Cannings, avian biologist extraordinaire, is in a rare Interior three-way with retired tennis pro Helena Konanz and an unusually strong LPC in third. Surrey Centre: LPC seem likely to hold, the NDP are well-back in 2nd. NDP have a history of doing well in North Surrey. Surrey—Newton: I don’t think the recent scandal involving former MP Jinny Sims is going to help the NDP in this riding, but they are the 2nd choice to the incumbent LPC. Vancouver East: Never in doubt. The NDP have repped East Van consistently since they were the CCF, going all the way back to the thirties. Two brief interruptions in the 70s and 90s, otherwise 75 of the last 84 years this fortress of leftism has held. Vancouver Kingsway: My riding. Don Davies has done well by us for more than a decade. The Liberals attempting to gain this riding by parachuting in TV presenter Tamara Taggart kinda makes my blood boil. I’m good with Don. He’s got a healthy lead but it’ll be closer than I’d like. Northwest Territory At-Large: Three way race, could be a vote splitter. Nunavut At-Large: Three way race, could be a vote splitter. Sure would like to see them dump Leona. Mumilaq Qaqqaq is a fascinating candidate for the NDP.

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Submitted by @omegatheunknown