#1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election | Explore Tumblr posts and blogs

deadpresidents · 1 year ago

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The Twin Cities PBS affiliate (Minneapolis/Saint Paul) made an EXCELLENT documentary that they just released called "Jesse Ventura Shocks the World!" about Ventura's stunning election in 1998 as Governor of Minnesota. I'm always happy to praise the work of public television, but they did such a great job in making this awesome documentary and I hope that people outside of Minnesota will take the time to check it out.

Ventura's election as Governor was revolutionary and it could have and should have been a big step in the establishment of a viable third political party on a national level, but the Reform Party could never get it's act together and Ventura's victory ended up being the party's high point. Ventura got so fed up with the infighting and various factions of the Reform Party that he actually quit the party halfway through his single term as Governor. Frustrated with the toll that the job was having on his family, Ventura chose not to seek re-election in 2002.

What the documentary from Twin Cities Public Television does best is show the absolutely brilliant campaign that Jesse Ventura ran against two opponents from the two major parties who were about as strong and qualified as it got for candidates for high office in Minnesota at the time. The Democratic nominee, Skip Humphrey, had been Minnesota's Attorney General for 16 years and had been one of the most popular and successful politicians in the state for well over a decade. He also just happened to be the son of longtime U.S. Senator and former Vice President Hubert Humphrey. The Republican nominee, Norm Coleman, was the Mayor of Saint Paul where he was popular for bringing an NHL team back to the Twin Cities. But Ventura's campaign manager, Dean Barkley, helped put together an incredible campaign that used every bit of Ventura's charisma and star power while registering new voters and getting others to the polls who might otherwise have stayed home had they not been intrigued by how different Ventura was. Ventura also did a fantastic job debating Humphrey and Coleman, and was incredible as a retail campaigner, hitting as many colleges and small towns throughout the state as possible.

But best of all were the television ads for Ventura created by Bill Hillsman, which remain among the most creative and effective political ads ever made at ANY level of politics. These included a faux action figure commercial where a Jesse Ventura action figure battles "special interests man" and the personification of "politics as usual". It's an absolutely genius political ad and was perfect for Ventura's personality and the political role he needed to play in order to win a three-way race against two tough, major-party opponents. Hillsman also created an ad called "Jesse the Mind" where Ventura was posing like Rodin's The Thinker sculpture as a voiceover explained that he wasn't just a former professional wrestler but had a wide variety of unique life experiences that made him different than traditional career politicians like Humphrey and Coleman.

"Jesse Ventura Shocks the World!" is awesome and a fascinating look at a remarkable moment in political history. It also points out how Governor Ventura led the way for Governor Schwarzenegger and President Trump, although Ventura adamantly disagrees with who Trump -- who was once a friend and potential political ally of Ventura's when Trump was teasing running for office in the late-90s -- has become and is disgusted by his impact on the country. The documentary also raises questions about what Ventura could have done (and how far he could have gone) had he not grown so frustrated with his role and with the media's coverage while he was Governor. Watching the documentary makes you think about what could have been had Ventura not turned into such a -- and excuse me for using such a scholarly phrase from political science: batshit crazy weirdo conspiracy theorist.

Still, check out the documentary, "Jesse Ventura Shocks the World!", and big shout-out to the folks at Twin Cities PBS/Twin Cities Public Television for making such an entertaining and interesting -- and really fun! -- look at a genuinely remarkable political figure.

#History #Politics #Political History #Jesse Ventura #Jesse “The Body” Ventura #Governor Ventura #Governor of Minnesota #Minnesota #Twin Cities PBS #Twin Cities Public Television #Twin Cities #Jesse Ventura Shocks the World!#1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election #Minnesota Politics #Campaigns #Campaign Ads

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theliberaltony · 5 years ago

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UPDATED DEC. 13, 2019 AT 11:50 AM

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Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

APRIL 2019MAYJUNEJULYAUG.SEPT.OCT.NOV.DEC.01020304050%DEC. 13 LEADERDEC. 13 LEADERBidenBiden26.2%BidenWarrenSandersButtigieg

Average as of Dec. 13

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Biden26.2%

Sanders17.0%

Warren14.9%

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President: Democratic primary DEC 4-9, 2019 B+Quinnipiac University 665 RV Biden 29% More Biden +12 President: Democratic primary DEC 4-8, 2019 A+Monmouth University 384 RV Biden 26% More Biden +5

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President: Democratic primary DEC 2-8, 2019 B/CMorning Consult 15,442 LV Biden 30% More Biden +8 President: Democratic primary NOV 27-29, 2019 C+Harris Poll 756 RV H. Clinton 21% More H. Clinton +1 President: Democratic primary NOV 15-21, 2019 B/CRealClear Opinion Research 987 LV Biden 30% More Biden +7

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kayfabeconspiracy · 5 years ago

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Nov. 3, 1998 - Minnesota governor-elect Jesse Ventura signals number one to supporters at his Shakopee, Minn., election night party after winning the gubernatorial race

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blockheadbrands · 6 years ago

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The Top 10 Democratic Contenders of 2020 Who Support Legal Weed

Nick Kazden of High Times Reports:

How 420-friendly are the 2020 Presidential contenders?

In the lead up to the 2020 Presidential election, there are a lot of important issues that warrant debate. Everything from healthcare to net neutrality will be discussed during campaign season, but there’s one issue of particular importance: the legalization and decriminalization of cannabis.

Legal weed isn’t really a wedge issue that causes people to shift their party allegiance. But it’s still important to know what major politicians think about its status, as we buildup to the next election. This look into ten Democratic contenders (only some have announced their exploratory committees while the rest have coyly voiced their interest in running) will explore how their views have changed and how they interacted with the so-called War on Drugs in the past.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren

Elizabeth Warren is the first major Democrat to announce her intentions of running for president. A fierce advocate for consumer protections, the Harvard-professor-turned-Massachusetts-senator is now a supporter of federal legalization. Back in 2016, Warren refused to endorse the issue when it hit her home state’s ballot. But, as public opinion in the Democratic party shifted, Warren has followed the wind and earned an A-rating from the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws (NORML).

With Cory Gardner, a Republican Senator from Colorado, Warren introduced the Strengthening the Tenth Amendment Through Entrusting States (STATES) Act in June during the previous Congress. If passed, the bill would have amended the Controlled Substance Act to block federal interference in state-legal marijuana-related activities. She was also a co-sponsor of the Carers Act that would protect medical pot patients from federal punishment; and the Marijuana Justice Act, legislation that would have ended federal prohibition and directed the courts to expunge people’s records.

Sen. Cory Booker

While he hasn’t formally announced whether he’s running for president, Senator Cory Booker’s name has been thrown around as a potential candidate since he served as the Mayor of Newark, New Jersey.

In the last Congress, Senator Booker introduced the Marijuana Justice Act, a bill that other senators on this list co-sponsored. While the bill wasn’t signed into law, it would have removed cannabis from the Controlled Substance Act, ended federal prohibition, and set up a structure that reduces law-enforcement funds for states that disproportionately target low-income residents or people of color for cannabis-related charges. In addition to having some good ideas, Booker also knows how to maximize his message around legalization. On the most recent 4/20, Booker released a video on Mic that laid out his views on the racial discrepancies related to legalization.

Booker, who is a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, even joked that he was planning on “sending brownies to [Senator Lindsey Graham’s] office to celebrate his new chairmanship,” after Graham indicated he wasn’t planning on tackling marijuana reform.

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand

Instead of announcing her intentions to run for President in an intimate speech in her hometown of Albany, New York, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand made a grand announcement on the The Late Show with Stephen Colbert. A savvy move for someone who doesn’t have much name recognition outside of her crusades against sexual assault in the military, Gillibrand is a tough former attorney who supports progressive policies like Medicare for all and a federal jobs guarantee.

Gillibrand admits that before she became a senator, she was a bit more conservative leaning as a member of the House from northern New York. In the House she didn’t support any bills related to legalization, in fact, she went as far as to block an amendment that would have defended medical marijuana from increased federal scrutiny in 2007. Since then, however, she’s had a change of heart. A co-sponsor of Senator Booker’s Marijuana Justice Act, Gillibrand supports full legalization and is an advocate for additional research to see how its medical uses can assist veterans with specific mental health conditions.

Secretary Julian Castro

Julian Castro, the former Mayor of San Antonio, Texas, was first elected into public office at 26-years-old. His name started appearing on people’s political radar after he gave the keynote speech at the Democratic National Convention in 2012, similar to President Obama’s claim to fame by giving the same speech at the 2004 convention.

A proclaimed progressive who’s called off of PAC donations for his campaign, Castro was the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) when they published a rather restrictive memo in 2014 regarding public housing tenants who use cannabis. The memo, which was an update to a 2011 document, clarified that “owners must deny admission to assisted housing” if individuals are illegally using cannabis. Even if a tenant resided in a state where medical or recreational use was legal, the owner was still required to deny entry to the housing. Since then, Castro has criticized the Trump administration for voicing intentions to interfere with legal state markets but it’s still not clear where he stands in regards to federal legalization and regulation.

Sen. Kamala Harris

Since first joining the Senate in 2016, Kamala Harris has become a national player thanks to the viral nature of her pointed questions in Judicial Committee hearings. California’s junior Senator turned Presidential candidate has cultivated an image for herself as a “progressive prosecutor,” but some of her actions as California’s top law-enforcement officer don’t represent that label.

Back in 2014, when Harris’ campaign for Attorney General was heating up, she was asked about her Republican opponents’ support of legalizing cannabis on the federal level. Instead of voicing her support or opposition to the policy, she simply laughed and stated he was entitled to his opinions. In 2018 however, now that the national conversation around weed has shifted, Harris is on board with legalization at the federal level and tweeted her support of Cory Booker’s Marijuana Justice Act. In her new book, The Truths We Hold, Harris voiced her support for regulation and for removing “non-violent marijuana-related offenses from the records of millions of people who have been arrested and incarcerated so they can get on with their lives.”

Rep. Beto O’Rourke

The Democratic superstar from Texas whose popularity led him to think posting an Instagram story during a dental examination was a good idea, is an exciting breath of fresh air for the party. Robert “Beto” O’Rourke may have lost in his bid to unseat Texas Senator Ted Cruz last November, but he awakened a national fanbase that catapulted him to financial dominance and the top of many prediction lists. While he has yet to set-up an exploratory committee or announce his candidacy, a group of activists and former staffers are waiting in the wings for him to make an announcement.

In a livechat recorded while driving around Texas, O’Rourke talks about his belief that ending the Drug War is one of the most important challenges for the country. While he’s quick to indicate he believes there’s no “perfect option” when it comes to keeping cannabis away from children, he believes a federal system of legalization and regulation is the best way to control the customer base and ensure fewer profits flow to illegal drug enterprises.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar, the senior Senator from Minnesota, blew onto the national stage in a big way over an exchange with Justice Brett Kavanaugh during his committee hearing. She doesn’t have the widespread name recognition of other superstars in the party, but Klobuchar was just elected to her third Senate term in November with 60.3 percent of the vote, a resounding victory in a state where Hillary Clinton only beat President Trump by 1.5 percent.

While Klobuchar has a D-rating from NORML, she was a co-sponsor on Sen. Warren’s STATES Act. If passed, the bill would have prevented federal interference in states where cannabis is legal, ended the prohibition of industrial hemp, and allowed banks to provide financial services to legal cannabis businesses. A Democrat from the midwest, Klobuchar hasn’t made any public statements about federal prohibition, but with legalization likely hitting her state this year, expect her to make her position known soon if she decides to run.

Thomas Sørenes/Wikimedia Commons

Gov. Jay Inslee

The only Governor on this list, Jay Inslee currently serves the people of Washington. Before being elected to the state’s top Executive position in 2012, Inslee represented Washington in the House from 1993 up until his Gubernatorial election. While he has so-far positioned himself as a potential candidate whose primary focus will be fighting climate change, he also stands out as a leader from the first U.S. state where recreational cannabis-use was deemed legal.

At this year’s Washington Cannabis Summit, the Governor announced his Marijuana Justice Initiative. An attempt to give clemency to individuals who have been prosecuted for weed charges in Washington between 1998 and 2012, the Governor will pardon residents over the age of 21 who only have one cannabis misdemeanor on their record. In Inslee’s opinion, expunging these convictions removes obstacles for these individuals to obtain “housing, employment, and education.”

(If you or someone you know lives in Washington and is interested in requesting a pardon, start the process by filling out the form on this page.)

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard

Potentially the candidate with the lowest national profile, Representative Tulsi Gabbard has represented Hawaii in Congress since 2013. While the Congresswoman has a shaky track record when it comes to LGBT rights and foreign policy, Gabbard has evolved into a more progressive candidate and distanced herself from many of her previous positions.

Gabbard, who has a B+ from NORML, supports a gauntlet of reforms related to legalization. A co-sponsor of the Marijuana Justice Act in 2018 in the House, Gabbard is an advocate for reduced federal interference in legal states, industrial hemp production and increased research into the medicinal benefits of both THC and CBD. During an interview on the Joe Rogan podcast, Gabbard voiced her frustration with the pharmaceutical industry and the way it profits off the opioid crisis by selling both addictive substances and medications designed to wean people off the drugs. In her opinion, marijuana legalization on both the state and federal levels will play a big part in reducing the addiction and overdose rates in the U.S.

Sen. Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders is the most popular Senator in the United States and will be a strong contender if he decides to run for president once again. The politician is regarded for adhering to the same ideological beliefs over his decades in public service, and that also expands to his views on marijuana. An advocate for treatment instead of punishment for addicts, Sanders has long opposed the failed War on Drugs. Comparing it to tobacco and alcohol, the Senator, who co-sponsored the Marijuana Justice Act, told an audience of college students back in October 2015 that he believes the government should end the federal prohibition of cannabis.

As he does with every issue, Sanders likes to tie his support for legalization and criminal justice reform to his crusade against the one percent. During a Democratic Primary debate back in January 2016, he shamed the fact that millions of individuals have marijuana-related crimes on their record but “the CEO’s of Wall Street companies who destroyed our economy have no police records.”

TO READ MORE OF THIS ARTICLE ON HIGH TIMES, CLICK HERE.

https://hightimes.com/news/politics/the-top-10-democratic-contenders-of-2020-who-think-about-legal-weed/

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theliberaltony · 6 years ago

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via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

We went into Election Day with a hypothesis: Most Americans would cast a straight-ticket ballot — with some notable exceptions, which we’ll address in a moment. And we decided a good way to test this was to look at statewide races most likely to drive turnout in a midterm election cycle: U.S. Senate and governor contests.

There were 22 states that had races for both the Senate and governor on the ballot this election cycle. And what we found was the same party swept both offices in 16 of the 21 states where each race has been called1, with Democrats capturing both races in 12 states and Republicans doing so in four. Or, in other words, our hypothesis was mostly right — most Americans did vote for the same party in their Senate and governors race. But there were five states — Arizona, Maryland, Massachusetts, Ohio and Vermont — where voters chose a Republican governor and a Democratic senator.

And while we were interested in what happened in these five states (more in a moment), we also wanted to look at every state that had both a Senate and governor race on the ballot to see just how far apart the voting margins were. The idea was this will help us understand how uncommon — or common — split-ticket voting was in 2018. And we could then situate what happened in 2018 by looking at previous midterms to see if there was a trend in how much split-ticket voting occurred between these two offices. (Spoiler: Split-ticket voting hit a new low.)

To do this, I calculated the difference between the margin of victory in the Senate and gubernatorial races for each state using the Democratic and Republican vote shares in each contest.2 And as the table below shows, Massachusetts had the biggest difference between its vote share margin in its races for Senate and governor. Republican Gov. Charlie Baker won reelection by about 32 percentage points and Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren garnered a second term with a roughly 26-point margin, producing a gap of 57 points. So, in other words, in hyper-blue Massachusetts roughly 25 to 30 percent of voters cast ballots for both Baker and Warren.3 Two other states, Vermont and Maryland, also had very large differences between their Senate and governor races — about 55 and 47 points, respectively. Along with Massachusetts, these races all featured relatively popular incumbent Republican governors — Phil Scott in Vermont and Larry Hogan in Maryland — running in strongly Democratic states that easily reelected incumbent Democratic senators. The popularity and independent streaks of these GOP governors clearly helped them overcome the sharply Democratic leans of their states.

Split ticket voting in statewide races is pretty rare

Difference between the size of the margin of victory in 2018 Senate and governor races

Senate Governor State Winner Incumb. Margin Winner Incumb. Margin Difference MA Warren ✓ +25.5 Baker ✓ +31.9 57.4 VT Sanders* ✓ +40.3 Scott ✓ +14.6 54.9 MD Cardin ✓ +33.4 Hogan ✓ +13.4 46.8 CT Murphy ✓ +20.2 Lamont +3.1 17 AZ Sinema ✓ +2.0 Ducey ✓ +14.4 16.5 HI Hirono ✓ +42.3 Ige ✓ +29.0 13.3 MN‡ Klobuchar ✓ +24.1 Walz +11.4 12.7 ME King* ✓ +19.0 Mills +7.6 11.5 TX Cruz ✓ +2.6 Abbott ✓ +13.3 10.7 NY Gillibrand ✓ +33.0 Cuomo ✓ +22.3 10.7 OH Brown ✓ +6.4 DeWine +4.2 10.6 TN Blackburn +10.8 Lee +21.1 10.2 WI Baldwin ✓ +10.9 Evers +1.1 9.7 NM Heinrich ✓ +23.5 Grisham +14.3 9.2 RI Whitehouse ✓ +23.0 Raimondo ✓ +15.5 7.6 PA Casey ✓ +12.8 Wolf ✓ +16.8 4 MI Stabenow ✓ +6.4 Whitmer +9.5 3 WY Barrasso ✓ +36.9 Gordon +39.8 2.9 NV Rosen +5.0 Sisolak +4.1 0.9 MN‡ Smith ✓ +10.6 Walz +11.4 0.8 NE Fischer ✓ +19.2 Ricketts ✓ +18.9 0.4

Election data as of 10 a.m. on Nov. 16, 2018. Only states with both a Senate and gubernatorial election that featured candidates from both major parties are included. This means California is excluded because no Republican candidate qualified for its Senate election. Florida is also not included because both its Senate and gubernatorial elections are still uncalled. Some data may not add up due to rounding.

*Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Maine Sen. Angus King are included as Democrats because they caucus with the party in the Senate.

‡Minnesota is included twice because it had two Senate elections this year.

Source: ABC NEWS

But these three states were notable outliers — no other state had a difference between their Senate and governor races that was greater than 17 points. That said, these less divided contests can still show you where a stronger candidate for one party may have made a difference. Take Tennessee’s Senate race, for instance. Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn defeated Democrat Phil Bredesen there, but Bredesen — a popular former governor — made the Senate contest notably closer than the gubernatorial election.

Incumbency may have been a factor, too. Both the Tennessee Senate and gubernatorial races were open seats, but in another GOP-leaning state like Ohio, there was one incumbent on the ballot, which might help explain why Ohioans elected a Democratic senator and a Republican governor. Incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown won his race by about 6 points and Republican Mike DeWine won the open-seat governor race by 4 points. Given that Ohio is 7 points to the right of the country, Brown probably benefited at least some from an incumbency advantage The two races ran relatively close together — the difference was 11 points — suggesting that most voters voted for the same party in both contests.

But we were also interested in what would happen if we took a step back and zoomed out, looking at other midterm cycles and split-ticket voting. How would 2018 compare? It turns out that 2018 is part of a trend that shows fewer Americans are splitting their tickets (at least in races for the Senate and governors in midterm elections). This election had the smallest median difference of any midterm cycle going back to at least 1990 — 10 points.4

As you can see, even though 2018 has the lowest mark in the past three decades, the median difference from election cycle to election cycle has bounced around. Still, the overall trend is one of decline, at least since 1998. You might wonder why there are fairly regular ups and downs in the chart, but this can be explained by the number of elected governors running for re-election in each cycle.

For example, only eight incumbent governors ran in the 24 states included in my calculations for 2010, whereas in the 2014 cycle there were 16 states with incumbent governors. And what I found was cycles with fewer incumbent governors running tended to show less evidence of split-ticket voting (a lower median) while cycles with more incumbents demonstrated more evidence of split-ticket voting (a slightly higher median). Part of this is because governors often benefit from an incumbency advantage. As my colleague Nate Silver pointed out in his introduction to FiveThirtyEight’s governor forecast, partisanship explains less in gubernatorial elections than it does in federal contests, and therefore, incumbency might matter slightly more for governors than it does in either the House or Senate.

No matter which way you cut it, the difference between the margins in a state’s gubernatorial and Senate races has shrunk. More voters are casting straight-ticket ballots. There are exceptions, of course, but this shift matches what we know about the larger electoral picture: voters are more partisan and the country is more divided than it’s ever been in the modern era of U.S. politics.

#IFTTT #Politics – FiveThirtyEight #politics #538 #Geoffrey Skelley

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theliberaltony · 4 years ago

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via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

UPDATED SEP. 21, 2021, AT 10:34 AM

Latest PollsUpdated throughout the day.

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All pollsBiden approvalGeneric ballotGovernorGovernor recallU.S. HousePresident: general electionPresident: Democratic primaryPresident: Republican primaryU.S. SenateTrump approval

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All Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

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AllWho’s ahead in the Virginia governor’s race?

An updating average for each candidate, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

AUG. 2021SEPT.OCT.NOV.3040506070%SEPT. 21, 2021 LEADERSEPT. 21, 2021 LEADERMcAuliffeMcAuliffe+3.1McAuliffe 47.2%Youngkin 44.1%

Average as of today

McAuliffe47.2%

Youngkin44.1%

FILTER BY POLLSTER GRADE

A+BCDAdded today

DATES POLLSTER SAMPLE RESULT NET RESULT Governor Va. SEP 17-18, 2021 A-Public Policy Polling* 875 V McAuliffe 45% 42% Youngkin McAuliffe +3

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A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Yesterday

Governor Va. SEP 7-15, 2021 B/CVirginia Commonwealth University 731 LV McAuliffe 43% 34% Youngkin McAuliffe +9

Sept. 17, 2021

Governor Va. SEP 7-13, 2021 A+The Washington Post/George Mason University 728 LV McAuliffe 50% 47% Youngkin McAuliffe +3 Governor Va. SEP 7-13, 2021 A+The Washington Post/George Mason University 907 RV McAuliffe 49% 43% Youngkin McAuliffe +6

Sept. 16, 2021

Governor Va. SEP 13-14, 2021 A-Emerson College 778 LV McAuliffe 51% 48% Youngkin McAuliffe +3

Sept. 9, 2021

Governor Va. AUG 30-SEP 2, 2021 B/CWPA Intelligence* 734 LV McAuliffe 48% 48% Youngkin EVEN Governor Va. AUG 3-5, 2021 B/CWPA Intelligence* 734 LV McAuliffe 50% More McAuliffe +7 Governor Va. AUG 3-5, 2021 B/CWPA Intelligence* 734 LV McAuliffe 51% 45% Youngkin McAuliffe +6

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