#you are of course welcome to vote for them via the 'other' option and the power of tags
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#andrei bolkonsky#war and peace#i didnt put the understudies for andrei#bc i feel like hes such a small character in the musical that only ppl who saw them live have any opinion on the covers#whereas scott stangland is one of my favorite pierres and i never saw him live#you are of course welcome to vote for them via the 'other' option and the power of tags
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Welcome to a little interactive Tav/Astarion Au fic.
Hello, I'm your writer and DM today. This will be a story where the major decisions and dialogue choices will be determined via twitter poll. I am aiming for this to be a gender-neutral Tav, so you can headcanon whatever you want in that regard, but we are gonna give them some character nonetheless. Also: It's an AU, so we won't touch the main plotpoints of the game. This is for the silly romance feels and perhaps some vampire steaminess. So be aware that, depending on choices, this could get nsfw.
And because I am very tired of the constant Spawn vs Ascended discourse, we are going with a secret third option, the details of which you might find out in the story, again, depending on choices, of course. ^^
You can find the interactive version here on my Twitter
Setting: Countess Sierran is known for throwing the social events of the season in Neverwinter, raising money for good causes, and giving people a platform to meet all sorts of new acquaintances. You know that this is also an inofficial welcome to someone fairly new to the city. A white-haired man who bought a sizable estate but not that many people have met yet in person. Rumor has it he has left his home of Baldur's Gate behind for good, but why and what for is the source of much gossip. Perhaps tonight, there will be some answers, or maybe just a lot more questions.
But before we can start: Character creation!
The options are under the cut and on twitter, under this post with the matching polls to vote for.
Pick a name, I've tried to pick suggestions that work for any gender. 1 - River 2 - Ash 3 - Morgan 4 - Storm
What brings you to the palace tonight? (Background)
1 - The Hero You are a seasoned adventurer that has been through a lot and made a name for themselves. Even when not being part of nobility, your deeds have granted you an invitiation nonetheless. Everyone in the city knows your name, after all. If its generosity or a political move, you cannot say. Yet.
2 - The Commoner You are an oridinary person, a commoner living in the city and making ends meed by working as a tailor. One of your oldest friends has married rich and keeps sending buisness your way. And one day, an invitation along with this. You are here on their good graces, trying not to leave a bad impression.
3 - The Servant You are a servant of the palace, having worked for the countess for a while. You keep your ear to the ground, hearing far more of what the nobility gossips about than anyone could possibly imagine. It's a simple life, but your employer is fair and you can't complain. Tonight, you're responsible for seeing to the guest's needs, even thought o msot of them, you are mostly invisible.
4 - The Criminal You've spent your childhood on the streets, learning early that no one gives you anything, and you have to take what you want by any means necessary. Nowadays, you are a blade for hire, and your current employer has sent you here with an invitation and a target. You know how to blend in perfectly, dagger hidden beneath clothes as you wait for just the right moment.
What do people think of you (Personality)
1 - The Closed Book You are a closed book, you rarely talk, and especially not about something personal. You are so stoic, people have a hard time getting to know you, and many don't put in the effort to try.
2 - The Charmer You are upbeat and easy to talk to, but you know how to play an audience. You use charme to set people at ease, but what you truly feel and think is often a mystery.
3 - The Open One You are friendly and open, not seeing a point in hiding how you truly feel. You wear your heart on your sleeve and often disarm people with how genuine you are.
4 - The Liar Telling the truth is for peple not careful enough. You have an easy time lying and utilize that skill to keep yourself safe and others at arm's length.
What do you strive for (Goals)
1 - Riches and Comfort You want more. No matter where you are right now, you know there is something more for you out there, and all you need to do is go after it with all your heart.
2 - A Different Life Everything is wrong. You know you are not who you are supposed to be. You need to get away from the status quo by any means necessary, even if that means accepting help.
3 - Peace and Quiet All you want is to rest. Life has been troublesome enough, you just want something quaint and peaceful where you don't have to be "someone" anymore.
4 - Nothing You are perfectly content in your current situation, you want nothing to change at all, and if you have to, you are ready to put the work in or even fight to keep what you have.
What frightens you (Fears)
1 - Lonelyness You can't stand the thought of being on your own. You need someone with you, someone who fights for you and you for them.
2 - Death You fear nothing more than the cold finality of death. It lurks around every corner and you know you have to be smart to outwit it.
3 - Betrayal You have difficulties trusting people, the thought that someone who knows you intimately turns your back on you is petrifying.
4 - Obscurity The thought of being forgotten, of your life not mattering to anyone in the long run and leaving no impact behind once you are gone sends chills down your back.
If you wanna influence the main character you have until the weekend to vote on it here.
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RESULTS ARE IN!
The correct answer is...
Someone gets sick from eating a sparkly rock they thought was candy!
This event does NOT happen in any Lalaloopsy canon.
Now, for the others:
The entire life force of a world almost drains out because of a giant strawberry
This happens in the movie Lala-Oopsies: A Sew Magical Tale, where the strawberry milk that flows all over Lala-Oopsies Land suddenly stops flowing, and starts draining from the world, making the colors from land start fading. The problem is solved when a giant strawberry is dislodged from the big straw that makes the milk flow.
Worldwide shortage of sugar
This happens in the movie Lalaloopsy: Festival of Sugary Sweets. The sugar shortage threatens the Festival, and participants cannot make all their sweet treats without sugar.
Attempt to lure someone out of hiding via cookie crumb trail
(This was the only option with zero votes! Glad to know we're all familiar with the first movie!)
This happens in Adventures in Lalaloopsyland: The Search for Pillow. After Pillow goes missing, Crumbs and her sister Sprinkle try to make Pillow come out by crumbling up a batch of cookies and leaving a trail...which Sprinkle and Mouse eat off of the ground.
The pet cats of two characters have kittens together
This happens in the Netflix series We're Lalaloopsy, episode 13B, "Storm E. Sky's Arrive." Storm E's cat and Jewel's cat reveal that the two have had kittens.
Friendly alien lands on Earth
Of course, this is about Haley Galaxy's debut in the Nick Jr. show, season 2, episode 15: So Near and yet So Far. Haley hides on Dot's spaceship, afraid to come out, before Dot offers to help her get home.
A presidential election, complete with debates.
But for with the kind of debates you may be thinking of! This happens in Lalaloopsy Girls: Welcome to L.A.L.A. Prep School. Jewel and Storm E. compete for the favor of their peers to become class president, with debates composed of study questions rather than debate topics.
Art block
This may have happened more than once, but the instance I thought of was in Lalaloopsy: Band Together, in which Spot keeps trying to make some revolutionary new art piece, only to find out she's done all of them before, and can't think of new ideas.
Eight characters knowing each other as babies
Correction: Only six of the original eight dolls show up as babies in this movie. Justice for Dot and Spot!!!
The original 8 dolls all knew each other since they were babies! In Lalaloopsy Babies: First Steps, we get to see all of them as adorable babies playing with each other for the first time!
It rains gumdrops
Another Netflix show event! Episode 12A, "Dot's Big Storm." Storm E.'s van is fueled by rain, so she asks Dot to create a storm for her. Things don't exactly go as planned.
reblog this so it breaches containment
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A couple weeks ago you mentioned in a post that most of what's known about Robespierre is propaganda, could you elaborate on that?
Of course Anon! I’m always glad to talk about anything pertaining to the Frev! I’m not sure how much you already know about the French revolution, but I know other people will read this so hold on, 'cause it’s about to get long and in-depth as hell!
Also: Just a reminder that I don’t have a degree in history or anything. I simply spend a majority of my free time looking up information cause I’m a nerd like that. And of course, my statement about Robespierre could be applied with different levels of accuracy to other historical figures at the time, including the monarchy. This is just how it applies to Maxime as requested. Any questions about any other aspects of the French Revolution are always welcome. I'll try to answer then as clearly, accurately, and respectfully as possible.
A majority of information commonly spread about Robespierre is that he was a vicious and cruel leader with no regard for anyone but himself. Supposedly, he was so obsessed with the ideas of perfection and ‘virtue’ that he lost any human emotion, rendering him cold, friendless, and willing to sacrifice anything or anyone to get his way. In fact, when I first was introduced to him and the French Revolution in school several years ago, I was under the impression that he personally was responsible for a majority of deaths that occurred during the revolution. That’s what caused me to first look into him. Morbid stuff has always interested me and I wanted to know all about the vicious relentless killer who had no regard for human life and wanted to purge France of anyone who lacked the necessary virtues of his twisted moral code.
As I began to research I realized the picture of Robespierre painted for me by the flawed American education system, the modern media, and a surprising amount of books summarizing the history of the world was incredibly skewed, usually in favor of the ‘poor monarchy’ who were ‘thrust into an impossible position and didn’t mean for anything to happen’.
In reality, Robespierre was, despite remaining a flawed individual like the rest of us, a quiet well dressed, polite man who was loyal to his friends, cared deeply about his family, wanted to reform the country in favor of the common people, and fought for what he believed in. Maxime had social anxiety and loved animals especially birds and dogs. Oftentimes he left his glasses places and couldn’t remember where he put them. He once wrote a poem about how much he loved tarts. Things made him angry, happy, and scared. The man who played such a crucial part in the revolution was still the same person as the young man who cried when his youngest sister Henriette died at age seventeen and the man who was praised as being a bright student at Louis-le-Grand. He advocated for women’s rights to an education, supported the rights of Jews in France (who were an unrepresented minority at the time), proposed laws in an attempt to decrease unnecessary violence (which he hated along with the war against Austria, the dechristianization of France, and the dangerous mob mentality). Maximilien Robespierre was an actual person who actually felt things like the rest of us. He was no heartless monster who preyed on innocent Frenchmen for no reason.
Now it’s time to point out the wrongs he committed. It can never be a fair judge of someone’s character, living or dead, without taking into account the bad things they have done. Robespierre did vote in favor of Louis XVI’s execution, mistakenly believing that France would benefit from the king’s death. After Capet’s execution violence spiraled out of control, resulting in a period of death known as The Reign of Terror. He also didn’t do as much as he should have to oust revolutionaries with dangerous tendencies and a penchant to condone mob violence. One of his biggest faults was his habit of compromising when he should have stood his ground and standing his ground when compromising would be the better option. His signature can be found on the arrest warrant sent out for the Dantonists, including his friend (to some degree) Georges Danton and childhood friend Camille Desmoulins, who eventually would go on to be executed.
Now the question is, how did a usually quiet, reserved individual become known as a bloodthirsty cult leader? The answer is, of course, Thermidorian Propaganda. For those of you that don’t know what that means, allow me to explain.
Thermidor was the name of the fifth month on the revolutionary calendar (which was implemented in 1793 and used in France through 1805 ) that spanned from July 19th to August 17th on the Gregorian Calendar. At the beginning of Thermidor Maximilien was to make a speech to the National Convention speaking about but refusing to then name of several members who were corrupt or had committed crimes against the revolution and defending his own part in trying to find them. (Actually, I believe he straight-up named three people, but I don’t remember their names so it’s not important.) Convention members who feared exposure by the speech conspired together to overthrow Robespierre, who was seen as the figurehead of the revolution, (similarly to how the president represents the United States as a whole) and save their reputations. Robespierre and those still loyal to him fled to the Hotel de Ville, were captured by the National Guard, and were sentenced to death via guillotine all within the span of a few days. Those who accused and condemned him have come to be known as Thermidorians and the event itself known as the Thermidorian Reaction.
In order to preserve their reputations, the Thermidorians began criminalizing Robespierre and using him as a scapegoat for crimes committed (and not committed at all) by different people during the revolution. As the common saying goes, “History is written by the winners.” Because they succeeded in their plot against the Robespierrists and frightened anyone who wished to stand up and support their own Robespierrist views, the Thermidorians were able to control the narrative and the light in which Robespierre is presented. As his rivals/enemies they wanted themselves to seem obviously correct and Robespierre to seem clearly in the wrong. Things were not so black and white, so they fudged the information a little to help their cause.
As a result our picture of Robespierre is very different from the actual man. I'd like to say that he did both helpful and problematic things over the course of his time in the spotlight. He was a human, simple as that. It isn't right to demonize him and completely butcher his true self the way the Thermidorians and many historians since have done, but in the same breath we also have to remember all the awful things he allowed and was a part of.
Sorry it got so long, but I hoped I cleared things up for you Anon. If you have more questions, please hit me up!
~Dara
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FAQ
What is the purpose of Fanexus?
Fanexus was originally conceived as a way to make it easier to organize fandom content. The founders are fans who have followed fandom activity as it has migrated across many different social media platforms, and found that none of them quite suited their needs. After spending years thinking about how each of these platforms could be altered to better support fandom activity, we eventually realized that we’d amassed the money, skills and connections to make a platform ourselves.
Fanexus is also open to use by original creators; original works are where fandom begins, after all. Enthusiasts of non-media fandoms, such as people who are passionate about interests as broad as cooking, crafting, interior decorating, brewing, extreme sports, rock collecting, history, model-building, archaeology, philosophy, etc, are also all welcome to use Fanexus as a place to post about and discuss their interests and ideas. Fanexus can be used for any type of interest so long as it doesn’t violate our rules regarding legality, harassment and hate speech.
While we originally wanted to create Fanexus as a means to better organize our content, as we’ve watched toxicity in fandom grow to increasingly alarming levels in the last few years, we’ve decided that making Fanexus a space that actively opposes this toxicity is a goal of equal importance to us. We want Fanexus to be a place where people can explore weird, complex and dark things in art and fiction without being accused of endorsing those things, and can have nuanced discussions and debates without things immediately devolving into insults and dogpiling.
You can read more about the philosophy driving Fanexus here.
Why an integrated wiki?
We would like to go over some of the issues we’ve faced as fans that inspired the inclusion of the wiki:
There are a lot of fandoms that have very complex fanon worldbuilding/terminology/characterisations/etc, and this can be very confusing for a new fan. The way we have the wiki set up means that users will be able to go straight from a post that mentions those concepts to the wiki page for those concepts (we’ll elaborate on how this works in a later post dedicated to this feature), instead of having to search through other parts of the internet for an up-to-date fanon wiki for this fandom. We feel like people will be more likely to keep these wiki pages updated than they would if it were an external wiki, because once they have accounts on Fanexus, it will be very easy to quickly go and update a wiki page on the site, rather than going and creating a new account for a separate wiki.
In a similar vein, fandoms can produce very interesting AUs that many different fans contribute to. We’ve had the experience of coming across a piece of artwork or fiction based on one of these AUs and wanting to know more, but then finding it very difficult to track down information that explains what the AU is about, and people’s various different takes on it. We thought that by providing a wiki feature, people could create pages for each of these AUs and then update them as they develop. The AU itself may not be complex enough to justify the creation of an entire wiki for it, but having a page or two dedicated to it could certainly be helpful. The same logic applies to things such as OCs.
People develop their own personal headcanons which can be very complex, and it can be tiresome to have to explain them over and over. So if users can create wiki pages for each of their headcanons (or AUs, OCs, etc) and link them whenever they’re necessary to understand the context of say, a fic they wrote or a piece of art they made, it could save them a lot of bother. Personal wiki pages won’t be available on launch, but we’re endeavouring to add them as soon as we can.
Can you tell us more about your other features?
Details of the features we’ve announced so far can be found here.
We intend to add new features to Fanexus to improve our users’ experiences for as long as we have the funding to do so. We endeavour to add features that are highly demanded by our userbase, so long as the features in question are within our legal and technical capabilities to implement, and align with the philosophy of Fanexus.
How is this being funded? Will it be free to use?
Right now the beta is being paid for by the founders. Once the beta is online and in use, we plan to have a Kickstarter to fund the development of additional features we couldn’t afford to include in the beta. Fanexus will be freemium, which means it will be free to use, with premium features such as added customisation, that will be used for the ongoing funding of the site.
Will there be a mobile app?
Currently we have a responsive web app, but a mobile app is one of the first things we intend to develop should we get the required funding via the Kickstarter.
What kind of customisation options will Fanexus have?
In the long term, we hope to introduce in-depth customisation options to Fanexus, some of which will be premium options. We will take feedback from our userbase to decide what customisation features we will prioritise implementing first.
Are all ships welcome on Fanexus?
Yes. We understand that the reasons someone may enjoy a ship can be very complex, unexpected and/or personal, and have nothing to do with a belief that the ship is healthy or a desirable relationship to have in reality. So long as a person understands the separation between fiction and reality, and knows what a healthy real life relationship is like, we maintain that they should be able to ship what they like. We just ask that they tag their content for people who wish to avoid it. This extends to the shipping of real life people, with the provision that if Fanexus gets a direct request from any of these real people asking to have shipping content of them removed, we will remove content containing them specifically, out of courtesy.
Is NSFW content allowed on Fanexus?
Fanexus welcomes NSFW content, simply requiring that it be tagged with an adult content warning so that it is hidden from underage users.
Our servers are currently hosted in Denmark, so content posted on Fanexus must abide by Danish law.
Further details of what sort of content is and isn’t permitted on Fanexus will be outlined in our TOS, which will be shared prior to launch.
How old do you have to be to use Fanexus?
Fanexus will be 13+, with adults-only spaces. On sign up, users will be asked if they are over 18, and anyone who indicates that they are a minor will be required to enter their DOB. Posts and blogs that are marked as Adults Only will then be hidden from minor users until they turn 18. Minors found to be lying about their age to interact with adult content will be banned. We looked into ways we could have people prove their age on sign up, but we couldn’t find any practical, reliable method. People were uncomfortable with providing personal information, and given that many adults don’t have credit cards, while many minors borrow their guardians’ credit cards, having people make a credit card deposit to prove their age wasn’t a viable solution.
Will Fanexus be doing anything to protect minors?
We believe that the best form of protection against online dangers is education, and so we’re in the process of compiling educational resources to be made available on the site so that people are aware of what sort of red flags to look out for when it comes to a variety of online threats. We also want to provide information about the separation between fiction and reality, so that minors (or anybody impressionable) won’t misunderstand or be manipulated with fiction into thinking that unhealthy behaviors and attitudes presented in dark/complicated/self-indulgent fiction and art are acceptable in reality.
We currently have the following ideas for distributing this information:
We’ll have a staff blog that provides site updates, and also periodically posts articles containing this information.
We’ll keep a compilation of this information available on a page on the site, which will be easily accessible via the navigation bar.
Eventually we want to introduce a feature where if a user searches for particular keywords, a banner appears above the search results, linking to helpful/education information relevant to the keywords. The banner will be able to be hid so it doesn’t show up again in subsequent searches.
We will of course also have a mod team watching out for any reports of suspect behaviour that may be endangering minors (or any of our users), who will take action to neutralise these threats. Another feature we are planning to develop to help our mods protect minors is a keyword detector for comments and DMs. This will scan the comments and DMs of minor users for any keywords that suggest they may be being targeted, and send a warning to our mods to check up on them.
What is your affiliation with the Prostasia Foundation?
The Prostasia Foundation is a child protection organization that adopts an evidence-based approach to child sexual abuse prevention, that respects human rights and is sex-positive. Being evidence-based means that their positions are based on scientific research. Fanexus reached out to Prostasia because we agree with these tenets, and wanted to find ways to create a safe space that doesn’t resort to censorship. Prostasia proved to be extremely helpful in this respect, offering us information on legality, the impact fiction actually has on reality, and effective methods to protect minors, all based on research. They have also offered to help us develop our keyword detector feature.
Prostasia has an Advisory Council made of voluntary, unpaid experts from relevant fields. These advisory members do not carry any vote or authority on deciding Prostasia policy, and the views that they express on social media or elsewhere are not necessarily representative of the views of the Prostasia Foundation. Fanexus’s point of contact with Prostasia has been with the Foundation’s Executive Director, and we have no affiliation with the members of their Advisory Council.
Similarly, Fanexus has no vote or authority in deciding Prostasia policy, nor do we sign off on anything they publish, unless it directly references us. The reverse is also true, while Prostasia provides us with advice, they don’t sign off on all the decisions or statements made by Fanexus.
Are you trying to replace Archive of Our Own?
No. We love Archive of Our Own and we have tremendous respect for the Organisation for Transformative Works, but we can’t affiliate with them due to the rules that govern not-for-profit organisations. You will definitely be able to host fanfiction and original fiction on Fanexus, but we’re currently more focused on covering the areas that Archive of Our Own doesn’t already have great features for, such as providing a space where people can host art, have discussions, role play, and document information about their headcanons, worldbuilding, original characters, etc.
Will Fanexus be open to all or invite-only?
We want Fanexus to be open to all eventually, but we also anticipate that the sort of people who promote and thrive on fandom’s toxicity will sign-up with the express purpose of breaking the rules we put in place to protect people from them. To avoid that happening en masse on launch, Fanexus will initially be invite-only. Once we have an established community of fans who can report trolls and other troublemakers, we will open Fanexus up.
In order to get an invite to Fanexus, you will need to apply via this form. If you are accepted, you will be emailed an invite (please check your junk mail) to our Forum and Discord. Users of the Forum and Discord will be given priority invites to the site.
When’s the release?
As of the 29th of August, most of our initial features are finished, and are in the process of being bug-tested. We plan to start allowing users of our Forum/Discord on the site within the next month. Fanexus will open up to the public after the Forum/Discord users have thoroughly tested the capabilities of the site, and we’ve implemented any further features required to cover weaknesses they’ve found.
Are there other places I can follow Fanexus news?
We share updates on the following accounts:
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𝐂𝐎𝐌𝐄 𝐀𝐍𝐃 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐋𝐎𝐑𝐄 𝐀 𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐖𝐀𝐘 𝐓𝐎 𝐏𝐋𝐀𝐘...
This year marks the introduction of Custom Night ! A unique experience with events that trigger based on personal choices and build off of one another in a more closed environment for a continuity driven experience.
But what is Custom Night? How is it different? How does it work? How do you join? This step by step guide will talk you through every step of the Custom Night experience in both single player and multiplayer mode.
𝐃𝐀𝐒𝐇 𝐌𝐎𝐃𝐄 𝐯𝐬. 𝐂𝐔𝐒𝐓𝐎𝐌 𝐍𝐈𝐆𝐇𝐓
What is Dash Mode?:
Your typical dash event format, a main account publishes “event prompts or activities” that the participating characters can react to or partake in at specific times that contribute to a loose narrative based on the events concept: (eg: A Costume Ball would have a dinner, a dance, perhaps a costume contest. A trip to a resort might have a Spa Day, A Scuba Diving Day, A Night out on the town, etc etc. )
The players use a specific tag to mark posts participating in that event, and to allow others participating in that event to find them and interact. Established partners might have specific plots that they enact over the course of these events; but essentially the prompts are a loose guide and not a strict narrative they are apart of. One participant isn’t co-existing in the same universe as every other participant typically. You can also choose to opt out of prompts you don’t wish to do.
No application process is required, the most might be an information form to share to your followers about any important information important to the event --- but its not mandatory. To join, you merely need to just start posting and replying to others.
What is Custom Night?:
Participants of Custom Night have two options when joining: you can apply as a single participant or as a group. There aren’t too many differences between them, but there are a few that will be touched upon later.
Players have options between writing on the dash together for their followers to see, or in private --- however, your prompts are custom prompted by a generator that has been filtered to your preferences and will be a more personal experience for you and your group members. They will not the ones posted on the blog --- although you might see some crossover for major events. Everyone sharing your custom night prompts is in the same universe, and will often encourage interaction with each other and will build off of the story that has been generated for you. This is a more focused and narrative experience.
An application is required to participate in this, everyone will be accepted but there is prep work that needs to be done so there is a deadline. The application is submitted via a google form that can be found linked at the bottom of this post and on our blog.
𝐖𝐇𝐀𝐓 𝐇𝐀𝐏𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐒 𝐈𝐍 𝐂𝐔𝐒𝐓𝐎𝐌 𝐍𝐈𝐆𝐇𝐓?
Firstly, you need to apply. Fill out the applicable google form, read over instructions for the sections carefully because not every spot will apply to you. Within 2 business days, you will receive a IM confirmation from nightmareonbleeckerstreet on tumblr, confirming your application.
As the event grows closer, you will receive information through IMs for a discord group dedicated to the event where you will finalize details for your custom story. This group will be used for ooc conversation only between your group and the moderators.
This is also where you will get your Team Name and Prompts as the event continues. You’ll have a check in every week for any major things that you guys have written that should be factored in your event generation. Prompts come every other day.
Your prompts are private, but in the weekly recap for the event, your Team will also have a small section included for your own benefit and also to share the fun with others. This section will include a small recap of what has happened to your group so far.
A few weeks after the event, your team will get a written recap and graphic that can be reblogged by all members. As well as the ability to vote for events that happen next year as a bonus!
𝐖𝐇𝐀𝐓 𝐈𝐒 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐃𝐈𝐅𝐅𝐄𝐑𝐄𝐍𝐂𝐄 𝐁𝐄𝐓𝐖𝐄𝐄𝐍 𝐒𝐈𝐍𝐆𝐋𝐄 𝐀𝐍𝐃 𝐆𝐑𝐎𝐔𝐏 𝐌𝐔𝐋𝐓𝐈𝐏𝐋𝐀𝐘𝐄𝐑?
SINGLE PLAYER MODE:
You will apply with a single player form.
You will be placed in a randomly assigned team based on the answers you gave in your form. Ensuring you do not end up in a group that has options you didn't want active.
Groups will have a minimum of four (three only if we have uneven numbers) players, and a maximum of six (seven if uneven numbers)
MULTIPLAYER MODE:
You will be applying with a group of people you already know, this mode is meant for friends who want to share a custom experience together.
You will come up with a passphrase, that notifies us that you are in the same group when applying.
For the application process, one person will be the Main Applicant (this is purely to spare the process of getting multiple people having to submit the exact same information. They will fill out everything in the Main Applicant section, these questions merely state the settings your group will have decided already upon. (eg: can members of your group die? do you require a happy ending? are any of you minors or play minors?)
The rest of your group will apply afterwards, filling in the Additional Applicant section only, where your own information is required that will help us contact you.
Everyone will fill out the final section, with their personal preferences for the game.
Based on your information, we will compile a selection of prompts that fit your criteria.
The standard size is a minimum of four and a maximum of six, but exceptions can be made if you contact the event blog directly before applying
𝐂𝐀𝐍 𝐈 𝐏𝐋𝐀𝐘 𝐌𝐎𝐑𝐄 𝐓𝐇𝐀𝐍 𝐎𝐍𝐄 𝐖𝐀𝐘?
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𝐈 𝐇𝐀𝐕𝐄 𝐐𝐔𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍𝐒 𝐓𝐇𝐀𝐓 𝐖𝐄𝐑𝐄𝐍'𝐓 𝐂𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑𝐄𝐃 𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐄, 𝐖𝐇𝐀𝐓 𝐃𝐎 𝐈 𝐃𝐎?
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𝐖𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐄 𝐓𝐎 𝐀𝐏𝐏𝐋𝐘:
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#custom night.#nightmare on bleecker street 2#dash event#rp event#rp promo#can you survive the night?#the ghoulish gatsby#nightmare on bleecker street
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Orion Digest No. 10 - A Proposal For Regional Economies
Before we can answer the question of how a world federation would be setup, we must first determine what would be the setup of an ideal member nation. I admit that, as a citizen of the U.S., my views on government and economy are somewhat biased, being raised to believe that this structure was all that was necessary, and that we were the 'best nation on Earth.' Nationalist rhetoric aside, I have come to both criticize and admire aspects of my home country, particularly it's original design via the Constitution.
The flaws in any nation are always best solved from the foundation, and a good founding document that provides protections against tyranny sets itself up for stability in the future. The system of checks and balances and the multi-house system of legislative government are two aspects of the U.S. Constitution that I think still have some use in future governments, because they operate off of a basic idea - there will always be a chance that one person, group, or party will try to gain power and abuse it, so government must be split and accountable, as well as dependent on input from the people.
For those unfamiliar, I will summarize - the legislative branch of the U.S. government is composed of two houses, each that contribute to the law-making progress, and that are composed of representatives from all over the nation. The House of Representatives is population-based representation (the number of Representatives an area gets is determined by how many people live there), while the Senate has two Senators for every state, regardless of size. The system of checks and balances, on the other hand, refers to authorities and limitations on each branch of government, tied to the other branches in order to make sure each piece keeps the others in line. No side is able to get too much power, because the others can limit what they do, and keep seizure of power at bay.
Now, although the government itself is rather balanced out, external organizations seem to cause most of the issues we see today - large, power-hungry corporations, and bloated, gridlocked political parties. The Republican and Democratic Parties did not exist when the Constitution was put to paper, and are not an official part of the U.S. Government, yet they exert almost singular authority over the operations of the nation. Right or wrong, they are considered the only viable options, and if you want anything done in government, you had better hope that one of them wants it too. Theoretically, other parties could rise and fight for dominance, but no 'third-party' has ever been able to stand against such juggernauts, and even the Supreme Court has began making decisions about whether third-party candidates should be allowed if they disrupt the two-party balance.
In the economic side of things, the competition for the largest corporations is rapidly dwindling, and anti-monopolistic action has been minimal on the part of the government (no surprise - where would our politicians be without the benefactors that bankroll them?). With no affront to their power, there is little workers can do but hope that their employers are merciful, and mercy does not make a profit. The pursuit of money in general has hindered our politics, as marketing and alliances and support during campaigns all come down to how much the party is willing to spend on a candidate, and whether they think said candidate is a good investment. If they might risk losing money and time, it doesn't matter the ideals of a candidate - they aren't important. Joe Biden, the newest addition to the Presidential line, is close enough to familiarity that he provided a safe bet for the Democratic Party.
The Democratic Party is known as progressive, but they are just as in it for the money and prestige of having supreme authority over the U.S. as the Republican Party. In the end, both of these centuries old institutions have our political system tied up in knots, and they aren't doing much to restrict the dangerously authoritarian practices of corporate juggernauts. I don't think that the momentum we need to bring about change can be mustered up by either of these parties, and I think that to restore democracy in America, these giants will need to be the first to go.
But if we're discussing renovation, it's best to take a look at how we can start things on the right track this time, given what we know. My nation might need to be changed someday, if the principles I lay down here today find themselves outdated in say, another 250 years. I fully anticipate that another change will be necessary, and I welcome it. But given what we know now, I think much of the current U.S. political system can be preserved in our hypothetical nation, with a few major differences.
Our hypothetical member nation of a world federation, like all others, answers to the coordination and regulations of the world federation, so it is, of course, a democracy. There is a Congress, with a multi-party House of Representatives, where the people can go and establish policy, as well as a second half of Congress, headed by a new type of Senator that represents the interests of the world federation and progressive policy. Technically a single party branch, this will still be subject to change based on the direction of decisions by the world federation, but overall, the purpose is to balance out the will of the people with a general direction towards eco-friendliness, equal rights, universal human rights and fulfillment of basic survival needs.
Of course, the second house of Congress will be made up of elected representatives from the member nation, who simply work and respond directly to the world federation. The two houses will decide and coordinate policy among each other. The judicial branch, while able to be swayed, is a part of the government that I have no problem with, as it is largely simplistic - uphold the law and interpret the founding documents of the nation. The executive branch, on the other hand, will largely have it's functions absorbed into the workings of the world federal government (the need for a commander of the Armed Forces or a diplomat is lessened when we've achieved peace and work with every nation).
Below these branches of government is a department under the jurisdiction of Congress/Parliament. The Department of the Economy provides a series of regulations and requirements for every business in the nation, and any operating business has to register with the Department to be legitimate. While the businesses will be worker-run (democratic workplace), they will be inspected and reviewed, as well as subordinate to the Department. More essential industries will be managed directly by the Department, with smaller businesses being allowed to be worker-run, state-managed.
The goal here is to keep the workings of a member nation going in a specific direction (given the issues we face, I think moving things along is rather necessary), but to have democracy and input from the people at every stage of the process. A citizen will have a say in the operation of their business, they will get a vote and representation in the Congress that controls and manages the Department of the Economy, and they will be able to also vote and be represented in the world federation, which will manage the Executive House of Congress. There will ultimately be no form of government at any level in a world federation that isn't subordinate and accountable to the people.
For the most part, a region should be able to run self sufficiently, but the purpose of world federal intervention is to ensure that, if resources need to be allocated from one region of the world to another (famine, natural disaster, etc.), those can be accessed directly by the federal government, cutting through any red tape we are stuck with today. So many obstacles to democracy and progress plague my own nation, and as always, a strong world federation would do well to keep us on track for the future.
- DKTC FL
#us politics#house of representatives#senate#representation#representative government#socialism#democratic socialism#state socialism#welfare#member nations#united nations#world federalism#world federation#congress#united states#usa#orion#orion digest#sword of orion#essay#politics#political#political essay
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MamaCat Has Been Sick of This Conspiracy Theory Crap Since Before This One Existed
Yea, though I stagger through the final bloody chaotic days of the Trump “presidency,” I shall fear no evil, for the Constitution is with me. Kamala and Joe, they comfort me.
On the real though: scared shitless of the evil.
Rightfully so, for here is the welcome some of our fellow Americans have for the incoming Administration. Almost makes ‘em seem... un-American. May these creeps fail mightily and may Inauguration Day be free of violence.
“‘He has an obligation to them’: Attorney for ‘QAnon shaman’ asks Trump to pardon rioters,” says Politico. “He felt like his voice was, for the first time, being heard,” Watkins said. “And what ended up happening, over the course of the lead-up to the election, over the course of the period from the election to Jan. 6 — it was a driving force by a man he hung his hat on, he hitched his wagon to. He loved Trump. Every word, he listens to him.”
Ugh. There it is. The continental divide between objective reality and Trumpism reality. “Every word, he listens to him.” I saw a classic strongman dictatorship rising, somebody else saw Jesus. I saw my least favorite showman in my lifetime doing his best P. T. Barnum a la Mussolini, somebody else saw the only plausible leader for troubled times.
Perhaps as many as a few thousand of those somebodies attacked our Capitol, and I am not over it. Some more of those somebodies, who knows the actual number, are contributing to online chatter about setting loose further chaos in the next five days.
It’s literally insane, and a lot of it is attributed to the Q conspiracy phenomenon. Two crazy ladies who buy into it have been sent to Washington, D.C., as elected representatives (rollcall.com).
A week after the attempted coup, as the wheels of a second impeachment were grinding over his legacy, the Dear Leader of those who used to watch “The Apprentice” delivered a disingenuous, if carefully-worded, video. In it he denounced the violence. He also employed the No True Scotsman argument, perhaps my favorite of the logical fallacies.
I didn’t buy it, but it wasn’t for me. No, it was for his base, and for his attorneys. Whether he made the attorneys happy is not for me to say. Allegedly Rudy Giuliani is his attorney, and allegedly Rudy’s not getting paid.
No, it’s the latest iteration of Q nonsense on my mind this snowy morning. That video? I saw a beaten man, a would-be Caesar, out of options, doing as he was told for once. Somebody else saw a Q message. Go on over to secondnexus.com and check it out, I’ll wait. You’ll enjoy the screenshotted tweets.
Adding to MamaCat’s recent attack of nostalgia, one learned recently that a former lover, a very bad boyfriend from days of yore, had passed on. Big, strong, handsome, witty, fantastic in bed, cruelly abusive, and possessed of sketchy background, he was champion and nemesis to me in those bizarre days of the mid-90s, when (among other things) I experienced a noticeably short second marriage and met some conspiracy theorists. May he rest in peace. I, for one, am actually relieved. Talk about smart women making foolish choices. I got a million of ‘em. But the mind will cast its glance backwards at such moments.
Wait till you’re old and crochety, kids, your stories may be wacky and bizarre one day too!
So there was this couple, both my late problematic boyfriend and my second husband knew them, so in the course of things I came to know them too. They seemed like a pretty cool couple, we had interests and friends in common. Then one evening at their house, they began to explain, very carefully and for my own good, about Area 51, Ancient Astronauts, and why the income tax is illegal. Why I should read Ayn Rand, become a Sovereign Citizen, and stock up on guns & ammo.
I was insecure enough in the first place, so at the time, it seemed like the polite way to avoid confrontation was just to listen and not argue too much. I was at their place, without my own car, thinking maybe this won’t go on all night, how can I change the subject to Star Trek… but when we got to the taxes portion of the presentation, I just couldn’t stop myself.
“What about the roads and bridges?”
There was a lot of incoherent babbling about per-use fees and private property and so forth. And as I sat listening, politely, hoping my ride was about ready to go, I was thinking, “They don’t understand how any of this works. They’re grown-ass adults, regurgitating faulty reasoning, telling me mad re-interpretations of what the 1st and 2nd Amendments mean, and they really don’t know how little they know. It’s like an alternate reality. I want to go home.”
(Think about it. The Internet barely existed yet. This was mainly spread face to face and via phone trees at the time.)
That friendship didn’t blossom much after that. Nice enough folks on the face of it, but the crazy talk kept returning to the word, “militia,” and I was not a fan. At that time in my life, I was actually a pretty decent shot, with a number of different firearms (not an owner, though). I let go of this friendship, and not long after, I let go of guns. What I couldn’t let go of was the nagging sense that if this sort of conspiratorial thinking were to get out of hand, become somehow mainstreamed, the only logical outcome would be eventual violence. You can’t combine hatred for the notion of government itself, with fantasies about actual extraterrestrials, with disdain for taxpayer-provided goods and services, with guns and ammo and militia identity, without eventual violence.
And for just a moment, late last night, it felt like the intervening 20 -25 years had never happened. In my actor’s imagination, I could see it like a film cut, from the sepia tones of that living room in New Mexico so long ago, to the craziest damned January in American memory. Nonexistent voter fraud, Q, rightwing hate media; these lie along a straight line from that Sovereign Citizen baloney my friends served for dinner that night. A straight, incredibly white, line.
I really, really hope that the Biden administration comes on like gangbusters in the first hundred days. I hope people’s lives improve drastically, quickly, especially for people who think we voted in Stalinism or something. I really hope we can raise the standard of living across the board (below, say, $250k/annum, you $250k+ guys are actually fine up there). I really, really hope we can address the pandemic. I don’t see any way to controvert the conspiracy-based thinking, unless we just take this opportunity to actually govern for a change, and lift everybody up.
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The Takeout’s fantasy food draft: Best pumpkin spice items
Takeout DraftTakeout DraftFood. Fantasy sports. Debating over Slack. Welcome to The Takeout Draft.
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Every week, we will select a topic of conversation from the food and drink world. Takeout writers will then field a team via the snake draft format. After five rounds, The Takeout commenteriat will vote on who they believe was victorious in that week’s draft. At the end of 2020, the staffer with the most weekly victories will select a charity of his/her choice that The Takeout will make a donation toward. (The 2019 victor, Kate Bernot, selected the U.S. Bartenders’ Guild National Charity Foundation.)
The previous drew many passionate voters who were more than ready to reminisce about summers past. After a tight race throughout the first day of votes, Aimee Levitt pulled ahead and scored a well-earned victory with expert picks like garlic fries and lemon slushie (as well as an unexpected swerve toward lobster rolls in the final round). Congrats, Aimee!
This week’s draft is nothing if not seasonal, and it’s equally likely to delight and disgust you: Best pumpkin spice items. Is this a joke? Maybe. Are we about to take our Draft duties very, very seriously? Absolutely.
G/O Media may get a commission
Now let’s cozy up to fall’s coziest flavor.
Marnie: Okay, let’s kick it off with the acknowledgment that Aimee winning the Best Ballpark Food draft is appropriate, since she’s the biggest (only?) baseball fan of the three of us.
Allison: Everybody loves hot dogs.
Marnie: And garlic fries. This Draft will be tough to win people over with. But Allison’s got first crack at it.
Allison: Wait... I have the first pick? I can’t remember the last time this happened! I’m so overwhelmed!
Marnie: Use it wisely
Allison: Alright, so obviously my first pick has to be the iconic pumpkin spice latte. It’s the crossover item that made us a pumpkin-crazy nation.
Marnie: OF COURSE
Allison: Once upon a time, back in the Dark Ages, coffee and pie were two entirely separate things. No one had dreamed they could be together in one cup.
It changed the way we see everything. There would be no Cronut without pumpkin spice lattes. No sushi burritos. Why have one when you can have both?
Marnie: Do you think its popularity is deserved?
Allison: I am a devoted black coffee drinker, and I still get a PSL whenever the first crisp day of fall arrives, and one on Thanksgiving morning.
Allison: I don’t know how anyone could drink them regularly, but they’re a nice treat. And, nowadays, a good reason to get out of the house.
Going out to get a PSL is not an errand. It’s an event.
You need a special outfit that includes a soft sweater, and maybe a scarf. You need to inform everyone you know on social media before, during, and after.
Marnie: That would have been my first pick too. So now I’m in a lurch. But I’ll say Pumpkin Spice Tea. Because we always talk about how it’s really just spices like clove and nutmeg and cinnamon, and those are nice in a warm drink beyond coffee.
This photo of a cheese-stuffed pumpkin in Always Add Lemon is enough to make you kick yourself for…
Allison: You know, I don’t know if I’ve ever tried this. How does it differ from chai?
Marnie: It’s probably just like any number of other warm spiced teas, just with pumpkiny marketing. But Trader Joe’s “Pumpkin Spice Rooibos” tin is adorable, dammit!
Aimee: Of course it is.
Marnie: I fall for it every time. And it’s not as sweet as a PSL.
Aimee: Well, few things are. But maybe if you dumped in a few tablespoons of sugar?
Allison: Or actual pumpkin...
Aimee: That would spoil it! It’s about the SPICE!
Allison: What about blending pumpkin with maple syrup, and putting a spoonful of that in your tea?
Aimee: Huh. That could either be really good or amazingly terrible.
Marnie: TBD.... First pick, Aimee?
Aimee: Pumpkin bread!
Marnie: Oh damn, of course
Allison: There has never been a day where a pumpkin bread has been in front of me and I didn’t eat the whole thing.
Aimee: I especially love the recipe in Joy of Cooking. It’s sweet and spicy and perfect.
Marnie: The “spicy” makes all the difference. I think it should make your nose wrinkle a little.
Aimee: But I also love the pumpkin challah in . I made a couple last week and they make the best French toast.
Allison: I used to make a pumpkin brioche and use it to make bread pudding. It was pretty damn amazing.
Marnie: You were born for this draft
Aimee: I was actually torn between waffles and pancakes, but I love waffles more, so that’s what I’m going with.
Allison: I have not had these either, and am wondering how these particular waffles have been pumpkin spiced.
Is there pumpkin in the batter? Poured on top?
Aimee: In the batter, and mixed with the ginger, cinnamon, and cloves.
Marnie: Does it need cream cheese drizzle on top to really sing?
Aimee: Oooooh, yes, that’s genius!
Allison: I’m thinking of the recipe I did last year for butternut squash pavlova, but making the topping with pumpkin and putting it on a stack of Belgian waffles.
Marnie: Aimee’s double whammy of delicious pumpkin spice carbs has me reeling. How can my second pick compete?
Aimee: I believe in you!
Marnie: I will say pumpkin spice Cheerios. Getting to drink pumpkin spice cereal milk is a lovely way to start the day.
And it’s a nice contrast with all the hot pumpkin spice stuff we usually eat and drink
Allison: Oh GODDAMNIT that was my pick!
Marnie: HA!
Allison: I was apprehensive about buying that, but I had to because of the pumpkin spice bet I have with my husband. When we tried them, the Cheerios made the milk taste like pumpkin pie custard.
Allison: We bought like 20 boxes so we could enjoy them all winter. It was a fine decision.
Marnie: Allison, what’ll you choose now that I’ve swooped into the cereal space?
Allison: I’m going to take pumpkin spice ice cream, much for the reason you picked the Cheerios—it’s a nice cold option, in contrast to the PSL and so many other pumpkin spice’d foods.
Aimee: With caramel sauce and lots of whipped cream! Maybe pecans?
Marnie: Ooo, any particular brand?
Allison: Remember those Talenti layer things I love? They’ve got a pumpkin pie one now with pie crust and stuff.
Marnie: DAMN I want to try that
Allison: What’s also nice: we’re all so ready for fall the second Labor Day is over, but it’s still hot. And even though it’s hot, I’m STILL wearing a cute jacket outside, out of principle.
Marnie: True. We need pumpkiny items for the last legs of summer
Aimee: With the hot sun of summer but the cool breeze of fall...
Allison: I anticipate eating a LOT of ice cream over the next five weeks or so.
Next up: pumpkin pie toaster strudel. You can debate the need for pumpkin spice-anything all you want, but when you see pumpkin toaster strudel, it’s like “this makes perfect sense”
There’s nothing to quibble about. It’s a thing, and it should be a thing.
Aimee: This is true. It’s like a pie.
Allison: If anything, the pumpkin spice latte walked so that pumpkin spice toaster strudel could run.
Aimee: That’s beautiful. Brought a tear to my eye. (Pumpkin spiced tear, of course.)
Marnie: Only major downside of toaster strudel is that you absolutely have to warm it, whereas a Pop-Tart is flexible and can be eaten room temp. But a warm toaster strudel really is amazing
Allison: What I don’t like about pumpkin Pop Tarts is that they should be better. It’s like, if Pop Tarts respected us, it could be amazing. But they don’t. They phone it in.
Aimee: I feel that way about most Pop Tarts.
Marnie: Okay, my third pick might be....controversial. But hear me out: pumpkin pie
Aimee: Ha ha!
Marnie: The original pumpkin spice item
Aimee: It’s true! It’s so obvious, no one even thinks of it anymore. Someone should call it pumpkin spice pie.
Allison: Pumpkin pie is one of my favorite “bed pies.” Have I told you about that concept?
Marnie: Sounds self-explanatory
Allison: I wrote about it a few years ago. It’s essentially a family bonding experience where we all stay in bed and eat an entire pie together from the pan while watching old cartoons, like Garfield’s Halloween and Charlie Brown Thanksgiving. Pumpkin is ideal for this.
Allison: The filling isn’t going to plop out all over the sheets. And the crust isn’t ultra crumbly
Aimee: Ah, yeah, I guess you wouldn’t have bits of fruit falling all over the sheets.
Allison: If made well, you can pick up a slice of pumpkin pie and eat it with your hands. Just like pizza (non-folded, of course). I very much encourage both of you to try this.
Aimee: And you can squirt the whipped cream directly into your mouth. No mess!
Allison: You understand me, Levitt!
Marnie: AIMEE
Aimee: Rolled in lots of cinnamon sugar.
Marnie: STOP TAKING THE GOOD THINGS WHILE I FAIL TO THINK OF THEM
THAT’S....CHEATING, SOMEHOW
Allison: I have not had a good doughnut in a while, and now it’s all I can think about.
Marnie: So just to be clear, we’re not talking about a filled doughnut
More like a cider doughnut, but pumpkinified?
Aimee: Well, I suppose you could... but yes, I was thinking of the cakey doughnuts. I love cider doughnuts so much.
Marnie: Yes please
Aimee: Oh, yes. With a variation for the stove!
Allison: Here’s your variation for the stove: fry it in hot oil just like any other doughnut. There ya go.
Aimee: My next pick is pumpkin spice oatmeal. With lots of brown sugar.
Marnie: Interesting—does it come in that flavor or do you add the spices to make it that way?
Aimee: Quaker does make that flavor, but I’ll bet you could just add the pumpkin spice if you want to do homemade.
My philosophy is that anything that tastes good with cinnamon would also taste good with pumpkin spice.
Marnie: Yes, I can’t imagine anyone being all in on cinnamon but out on nutmeg. Cloves? Mayyyyybe divisive. But it all seems to speak to the same palate
Aimee: Warming spices!
Allison: And it’s coldest in the morning! This is science.
Marnie: How does the pumpkin factor in if you make it yourself? Pumpkin puree right in there with the oats?
Aimee: The beauty of pumpkin spice is that there doesn’t have to be pumpkin. Only spice: the blend of cinnamon, ginger, nutmeg, allspice, and cloves.
Allison: Yup! You can just stir it right in, with a bit of spice, and maybe some maple syrup to sweeten.
Marnie: I’m going to try to court the CPG crowd with a busy, on-the-go pumpkin spice item: the Spiced Pumpkin Pie CLIF Bar
Allison: Never eaten this! I had a Clif bar once in the early 2000s, and that was the end of that.
Marnie: Yeah, you either love them or hate them. I love that they actually feel substantial, like you just had breakfast. Regular granola bars never make me feel that way. And the Pumpkin Pie CLIF Bar comes with a drizzle of icing that, in my opinion, could stand to be paired with a lot more pumpkin spice items.
Pairs great with coffee! People are going to hate me for this but it’s my truth!
Aimee: That’s fine. You have every right to it.
Marnie: Aimee, do you have a firm stance on CLIF bars?
Aimee: I do not because I’ve never had one.
Marnie: I somehow think you’d despise them.
Aimee: I think so, too, which is why I’ve never had one.
Marnie: Last two picks, Allison!
Allison: Alright — my fourth pick is pumpkin butter. What makes this so great is it has the power to make anything into pumpkin spice.
Marnie: Here’s my question with pumpkin butter: what does it work best on? I can never figure out what to apply it to
Allison: You can stir a spoonful into your oatmeal, or put it on ice cream, or into your coffee or tea. Literally anything.
Warm milk! Pancakes! Toast!
Serve it with pork chops, smear it on cookies or graham crackers.
Marnie: Has an application ever failed spectacularly??
Aimee: This is like the shrimp scene in Forrest Gump.
Allison: ^^^and shrimp is a bad place to use apple butter.
But if you don’t know how to restrain yourself when feeding yourself pumpkin butter you should just stop cooking. Let other people do it for you. You can’t be trusted.
Allison: Very! I shared my super-easy apple butter recipe here last fall. You can do that with cubed pumpkin, or canned. As always, just keep an eye on things, because it’s all visual cues on that one. The line between apples and pumpkins in fall desserts is very thin.
I don’t believe that apple butter needs to be a fussy, complicated thing to make. You shouldn’t…
Marnie: That’s a good utility pick and I feel like the voters will reward you for it.
Unless you mess it all up on the last pick.....
Allison: Don’t think I am, because I’m reaching into my personal back catalog again and going with . You know me and pudding.
Marnie: Picking your OWN RECIPE on the final round is A POWER MOVE
Allison: Damn straight it is.
Marnie: I begrudgingly respect this decision
Please tell us what makes it a worthy pick, for those of us who haven’t tasted its majesty yet
Allison: Pumpkin pudding is much creamier and luxurious than pie! And easier to make, in a way. You don’t need to fuss with the oven, and don’t need to worry about making a pie crust. I make a pie crust better than anyone, and honestly do enjoy the process, but it adds a good amount of time to the process.
Sometimes you’re okay with waiting a few hours for pie. And sometimes you’re like “I want pumpkin something within the hour,” and this is what can get you there.
Marnie: A shortcut to immediate pumpkin spice intake is key
Allison: Exactly. There’s a ton of variables I consider when coming up with recipes.
One of them being “how long do I have to wait before I eat this dessert”
Aimee: That’s always an important one.
Marnie: Sometimes you don’t need to consider cook time at all. Because sometimes the thing you want is not edible in the least. Folks, my last pick is a pumpkin spice candle. To make EVERY room in the house smell delicious, not just the kitchen!
Aimee: Ha ha!
Marnie: It is a far-reaching, long-lasting pumpkin spice item. Perhaps the most cost-effective, too.
Aimee: AND if you don’t like pumpkin, it’s still mostly a pleasurable experience.
Marnie: A signal of the changing seasons! Coziness incarnate. People of all palates can agree on smells, can’t they?
Allison: I believe I have at least ten of these in my house right now.
Even if it’s not fall outside, it can be fall inside, whenever you damn well please. You guys need to try lighting up one of those bad boys in April and see how that changes you.
Aimee: As long as they’re not those cinnamon brooms. I don’t know why, but they annoy the crap out of me.
Allison: What are these cinnamon brooms? Another midwest thing?
Aimee: They sell them at Trader Joe’s. They’re in the front where you first walk in, with the pumpkins and the plants, so you can’t avoid them.
Marnie: They look sort of sinister
Aimee: Exactly. They’d be good for witches, but they smell like cinnamon which is somehow not exactly witchy.
Anyway, last pick goes to Aimee! What’s it gonna be?
Aimee: My last pick is... pumpkin spice cotton candy. Mostly because I would really like to find out if you can taste the spices.
Marnie: Does.....does it exist outside of your mind?
This is the first time I’ve really thought about cotton candy having a flavor. Isn’t it usually just sugar, in technicolor?
Allison: I do not like cotton candy, and yet I want to try this.
Aimee: Once I tried a rosé cotton candy and it tasted like rosé if you did the taste equivalent of squinting.
These people are geniuses!
Marnie: I’m excited to let this Takeout Draft loose upon the world.
Aimee: Because no one is tired of pumpkin spice yet!
Who won this week’s Takeout Draft? Vote in the comments.
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Island-wide Broadcast: Q&A
In case this is your first time hearing about us then please check out our original promo! For quick reference, @nookincgetaway is an upcoming Animal Crossing: New Horizons Discord-based MFRP.
We’ve received 54 responses from our questionnaire and just a few questions were sent in, but we’re here to answer them early! We’re putting this under Read More since this is a rather long post... Thank you everyone for taking part in our questionnaire and for all the well wishes, excitement, as well as the encouragement to get this going! ♡♡♡ Thank you, thank you!
If you’d like to give us some suggestions for island names then please reply to this tweet: Click Here!
As always, if you have any questions or anything then please send a message here or here !
Question 1:
You all might be wondering what we’re going to do with the AU version vs Canon version question, so which will we go with...?
This has been a steady tie for quite a while and it’s currently 28 to 25. After thinking on it and seeing how everyone has voted for things thus far, it makes the most sense to have an AU premise that puts all of our characters on equal grounds with one another in terms of powers and ending up in such a peaceful world at that. But at the same time, we also feel it’s unfair to force our characters to give up on the character development they may have gone through in their own world (or another world...? of the MFRP variety) which leaves us somewhere in the middle of wanting to please both sides of this equation.
Which is why we’ve decided to have reincarnation as part of our premise!
Now what does this entail...? How can one keep their character development if they were born into this world? Well, that’s going to be up to you for the most part! The main idea will be that our characters may feel déjà vu when it comes to meeting the soul of someone they once knew or coming across something that may remind them of something from their past life... Those pieces of their puzzle will be something to fall back on to help explain their quirks and nature, but that doesn’t mean you can’t come up with a new twist of their backstory since they have been living in the Animal Crossing world for quite some time! If you need help with figuring things out and seeing what may or may not be acceptable, then you can always send an ask!
You can also choose to have preexisting connections with your canon cast-mates without worrying about losing them, so long as you talk to them about it, of course. (Isn’t it great to meet your best friends or soulmate again in another life?)
On that note... Since plotting is possibly going to be a big necessity to square things away, we’re going to open up a portion of our Discord server to everyone who needs the space to plot things out! (When the time comes, not yet ready though.) This will be a permanent feature going forward so this space will always be there even if you aren’t an official member of our RPC! We hope this will soothe any worries out there, but feel free to send a message if you have any questions about this!
Here are some key notes:
All characters have been reincarnated to live a new life in this world. Their canon development will still carry over in certain ways, it isn’t being entirely erased from their history, but you’ll still have to put together a backstory for their new life.
Their reason for accepting the Getaway Package will be your choice.
Everyone will have the opportunity to plot things out via our Discord server upon sending a reserve. We will still expect you to follow our guidelines whether or not you’re an official member here.
You can make preexisting connections with other characters, canon cast-mates or otherwise. Just be sure to ask for permission and communicate with one another!
It’s your choice if your character is ever going to recover vague memories or feel some sort of familiarity with others.
You also get to choose if your character will be a human or animal villager! The animal type will be up to you as well.
We will most likely give the option to reserve NPC Villagers and if that’s the case, then they will have no idea that other worlds even exist so it may be best to keep things hush-hush if anyone ever figures that out.
NPC Villagers would have the opportunity to toss odd (ridiculous) requests on the Bulletin Board... Which means the adventurous types will have to go do some hunting! Who could resist helping them anyway?
--
Question 2:
We were asked if there will be an age restriction for muns and characters...
Muns: 16+
For potential mature language (such as using curse words while Out of Character). However, this only means speaking casually will not come with warnings attached so long as you’re being respectful of everyone else. This is Animal Crossing, so anything that’s specifically nsfw will need to be kept outside of the server anyway.
There’s also the chance that some character’s canon background information might have mature themes that aren’t suitable for a younger audience.
Characters: No age restriction.
Some plotting may have to be done in order to explain why a child may show up on the island though.
--
Question 3:
We’ve received a few questions in regards to our Mod team and we couldn’t answer quite yet since this initially started out on a whim on my part (yes, hello, I’m Celeste!) but there are some kind folks who have volunteered to help wherever they can! (They have my thanks and appreciation for signing up!) I will confess that this is our first time running an mfrp, but all of us do have some mod experience from working with other rp communities in the past. In any case, we’re hoping to make this a fun and safe experience for everyone!
Now to present the Mod team...! (Official page will be made later!)
Celeste
Ash
Forecast
Valor
--
One last piece of news for the day!
Upon your arrival at your Nook Inc. Island Getaway, all new island residents will receive their very own NookPhone and one physical copy of the Tortimer Archipelago Map (click here to see the full map in all of its glory) that showcases the surrounding area. The NookPhone also comes preloaded with apps (as well as a virtual map) that will assist you in your daily life on the islands, so be sure to take good care of it and do not lose it (or the map, for that matter).
We do plan on bringing out another questionnaire in the coming days, so keep your eyes peeled for that! You’re still welcome to fill out the current one if you haven’t had the chance to. In the mean time, we hope that you are having a good week and that you’ll be looking forward to your stay with us in the near future!
As for a good note to end on, in Tom Nook’s own words:
I'm sure some of you have already decided to make the move. Others might still be thinking it over.
I hope all of you use the time until our getaway-package flights begin to imagine what your life would be like!
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florida 1st insurance
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Hands-On Experience With Yes Bank Yes First Exclusive Credit Card
Today the banks, their credit cards have reached a saturated position. Because today is the day of competition. Who will give less feature, service, benefits cannot hold a position in the market? So, all of the banks provide their best to compete so that we are confused to decide what to take. But by saying that, I am not saying that all features are perfectly the same. The types of features are the same; the difference lies in the amount. So, if you are puzzled with the premium cards, you may check ‘Hands-on experience with Yes bank Yes First exclusive credit card’ – the decision is yours, guides are ours!
Yes Bank Yes First Exclusive Credit Card
Key Highlights Of Yes Bank Yes First Exclusive Credit Card
I am sure that you will be amazed to see the features. It is not lag behind others in terms of features and benefits. So, there is no reason for underestimating this card.
Rewards are good enough, in my opinion, because you will get rewards on everything – renewal card, travelling, flight booking, movie booking, dining, and other expenses made through this card.
You can enjoy golf round.
We are discussing a premium card’s review – so it makes sense that rewards will be vast. But we need to see whether it can fulfil our demands or not.
You can convert reward points into air miles and club Vistara points. The rate of conversion is 10 reward points stands for 1 Intermile or 1 Club Vistara point. You can redeem them and use them anywhere, which are partners.
Features And Benefits Of Yes Bank Yes First Exclusive Credit Card
If you are familiar with this type of card, then the facilities and benefits may seem to be similar to you. Let’s see what those are:
Get rewards on almost everything: You can earn reward points on welcome gifts, registration, dining, and so on. And the amount of reward is quite good. Even you can earn rewards on every expense value.
Enjoy golf rounds: You can enjoy 4 complimentary golf rounds per year at selected golf courses. Not only that, but you can also take golf lessons per year at selected golf courses in India. You can book the golf lesson by contacting over 1800 102 6263.
Priority pass and lounge access: You will get priority pass membership by which you can enjoy unlimited visits outside India. This facility is available for both primary and adds–on the cardholder. Also, you can get lounge access at 25+ lounges across India. Again, this facility is available for both primary and add-on cardholder.
Enough coverage amount: You can get a solid amount of insurance coverage for the following cases-
You can claim up to 3 crore rupees for death due to a flight accident.
While travelling overseas, you can get up to Rs 50 lakh as medical insurance in emergency hospitalization.
If the primary cardholder dies in an accident, your family members will get the credit shield cover.
Concierge service is on your phone: Like any other premium card, this card also offers easy concierge service. But the difference is in the attributes of the concierge service. Seriously, there are many services like – Car reservations, Hotel reservations, Travel, Special event book, restaurant booking, table reservation and much more. Just contact them over the phone by dialling 1800 11 9371 or 022 42320239.
Change your lifestyle: Enjoy great offers in various fields like – dining, travelling, shopping, wellness, and much more in selected cities in India.
Go contactless: The Yes first exclusive credit card supports the contactless payment option. It comes with NFC technology. The transaction is fast, convenient, and, of course, secured!
Security is the highest priority: You need not be worried about security because your online transaction is secured with MasterCard Secure code which works on the OTP system.
Who Should Opt For This Card?
The net income constraint in the eligibility criteria makes it clear that this card is for the ‘fancy’ users. [Eligibility criteria are discussed in point 4] People who love to travel, shop, and enjoy golf rounds – the card suits them. Saving is not at all a thing of concern to them. Rather they love to spend money for enjoying their life. A luxurious lifestyle is their motto. Daily usage patterns are completely different from other people. They should be the main users of this card. Rewards attract them much, and they don’t hesitate to follow the transaction or any other goals to avail the rewards. Of course, not all rich people need to apply for this card!
The credit card is exclusively for premium users. If you are a member of the group of those who have a net income excellent, you may apply for this card. You have to be that. Otherwise, you will be struck at the constraint of eligibility criteria. There is no question of common people applying for this card.
Fees Of Yes Bank Yes First Exclusive Credit Card
As I mentioned, the charges are not too much because all premium-type credit cards usually charge like this. From this point of view, it is not right to say that the charges are high.
Why Yes First Exclusive Credit Card Is Better Than Other Cards?
Similar cards are available which also offer almost the same features. But differences should be there! Those are discussed below:
Eligibility Criteria And Documents Required For Yes Bank Yes First Exclusive Credit Card
Of course, the eligibility criteria are full of constraints, but these are logical for a premium card. Let’s see what those are:
You should have a source of income.
Your monthly income should be Rs 4 lakhs in a month or above. And in the case of a self – employee, your annual income should be a minimum of Rs 50 lakhs.
You have to be in between 21 and 60 years of age.
Documents Required
The list of required documents is given below:
Identity proof- you can choose any of the following- PAN card, AADHAR card, Voter Id slip as proof.
Address/residence proof- An address proof is also required. You can choose any of the following-ration cards, electric bill, water bill, telephone exchange bill, bill of new gas connection, or anything.
Income proof – This is the most important document you have to show. You can show the Latest pay slip of three months, Form 16, or anything as income proof.
How To Apply For This Card?
The online process is quite simple and easy to understand. Just follow some steps listed below:
Go to the official website www.yesbank.in. At the bottom of the page, you will find the option of applying with a button named “APPLY NOW”. Click on that. You will find some questions are asking for details. Fill very carefully.
On the second step, you have to fill in some other fields – mobile number, PAN number, pin code, Net annual income, and so on. Keep all the documents ready in your hand to avoid an error.
Fill the forms very carefully. And also, read all the disclaimer terms and conditions before applying.
I am not describing all the points for applying for the card. It is a pretty simple process. Fill in the form and enter the next form by clicking on the “next” button. Remember- forms will be rejected in case of any false information.
Cards Similar To Yes First Exclusive Credit Card
Cards like HDFC Infinia, Lifestyle HC SBI prime are the head–to–head competitors of this card.
FAQs
1. Can the annual fee be waived off?
Of course, you can waive off the annual fee but by meeting the transaction goal. That is, you have to make a total expense of Rs 6 lakhs.
2. How can I convert the purchase into EMI schemes?
You can convert any purchase value over Rs 2500 into EMI options. But you have to do a little task! Just log into your account and make any transaction of Rs 2500.
3. What is the grace limit period?
Generally, the grace period is 20 – 50 days.
4. What is the credit limit?
It depends on income, age, credit score, the certainty of your employment, and so on. Considering these situations, the bank will decide the credit limit.
5. Is any contactless facility available?
Yes, of course. It is a premium credit card. So, it is quite obvious that a contactless facility will be supported.
Final Talk
The time has come for taking the boldest decision – whether you should apply for this card or not. I am indicating to the fancy, rich people for taking this decision. My suggestion is, of course! Here I am talking to only those ‘fancy’ persons. See, you want a credit card for all-in-one purposes. You want a premium card that offers premium features. But the Yes Bank yes credit card offers more benefits like golf rounds, good insurance coverage than others. Being a premium card, it enables many luxurious features for you. Considering all the aspects, my vote will always go for Yes Bank’s yes first exclusive credit card.
Via https://invested.in/yes-bank-yes-first-exclusive-credit-card/
source https://investedin.weebly.com/blog/hands-on-experience-with-yes-bank-yes-first-exclusive-credit-card
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How to Start a War in 5 Easy Steps
By Stephen M. Walt, Foreign Policy, April 2, 2018
Is the United States on the road to war? The number of people who think so seems to be growing, especially after President Donald Trump fired several of the grown-ups who were reportedly tempering his worst instincts and proceeded to elevate hawks such as CIA Director Mike Pompeo and John Bolton, the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations. Writing in the New York Times Magazine this past Sunday, Robert Worth portrays Defense Secretary James Mattis as the sole voice of reason in Trump’s new “war cabinet” and highlights the risks of conflict with Iran, North Korea, and maybe a few other countries. How nervous should we be, and how might we tell if Trump is really serious about war or not?
The first thing to remember is that leaders don’t start wars that they believe will be long, costly, and might end in their own defeat. Plenty of wars turn out that way, of course, but the leaders who begin them do so because they fool themselves into thinking the war will be quick, cheap, and successful. Before World War I, Germany’s leaders thought the Schlieffen Plan would allow them to defeat France and Russia in a couple of months, and Hitler had similar hopes for the blitzkrieg and organized the entire Nazi war machine on the assumption that the war would be brief. Japan knew it couldn’t win a long war against the United States, and the attack on Pearl Harbor was a desperate gamble that Tokyo hoped would shatter U.S. morale and convince Washington to give it a free hand in East Asia. Saddam Hussein didn’t think anyone would resist the seizure of Kuwait, and George W. Bush and the neocons (as well as Bolton) foolishly believed the Iraq War would be easy, short, and pay for itself.
In a democracy, leaders bent on war also must convince the public that rolling the “iron dice” of war, to quote German Chancellor Theobald von Bethmann-Hollweg in 1914, is necessary and wise. Congress abdicated its constitutional role to declare war a long time ago, which gives presidents a pretty free hand, but no president is likely to order the large-scale use of force (as opposed to drones or small-scale raids) if he believes the public is dead set against it. Instead, he and his team will go to great lengths to persuade the public to go along.
So, if a president and his advisors are looking to start a war, how will they sell it? Here are the five main arguments that hawks typically advance when seeking to justify a war. You might think of them as the Top Five Warning Signs We’re Going to War.
The danger is grave and growing. The basic logic behind preventive war is the assumption that war is coming and that it is better to fight now instead of later. Thus, Germany went to war in 1914 because it believed (incorrectly) that Russian power would soon eclipse its own, and the Bush administration attacked Iraq because it thought Saddam was hellbent on acquiring weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and the situation would be intolerable if he ever managed to do so. Accordingly, anyone seeking to start a war will try to convince the public that the United States is facing multiple adverse trends and that its deteriorating position can be reversed only via military action. The lesson? Watch for rhetoric about “gaps,” “red lines” “points of no return,” or “time is running out,” which imply the United States must act before it is too late.
It is therefore worrisome that the Trump administration insists that North Korea’s improving nuclear and missile capabilities constitute an existential threat that cannot be tolerated and other warmongers conjure up lurid fears of a new “Persian empire” that must be defeated before it takes over the whole region. Both statements imply that America’s security is running out--like sands in an hourglass--making war almost impossible to avoid.
Such dark warnings rest on little more than guesswork about the future, of course, and typically depend on worst-case assumptions about where current trends might lead. If the United States were scuttle the nuclear deal with Iran and Tehran eventually got nuclear weapons, for example, there’s no reason to think deterrence wouldn’t work as effectively as it did with other nuclear powers. Similarly, it is hardly obvious that North Korea’s growing nuclear and missile capabilities will inevitably lead it to become more aggressive--let alone threaten the United States directly. It’s just as likely that it will become more cooperative once it is no longer worried about U.S.-sponsored regime change. I’m not saying that would be the case, mind you, but it is as plausible as believing that acquiring WMD or enhanced missile capabilities would suddenly lead Pyongyang or Tehran to launch a vast imperial rampage. Because the future is always uncertain, fear of adverse circumstances that may never materialize is a poor justification for war and especially for a country that is as powerful, wealthy, and secure as the United States actually is. That is why German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck called preventive war “committing suicide for fear of death.”
Notice further that the logic of preventive war implicitly acknowledges that the United States is still far stronger and more secure than any of these adversaries and need not go to war from a sense of panic. Which brings me to No. 2.
War will be easy and cheap (but only if we act now). As noted above, nobody launches a war if he or she is certain it will be long, costly, or likely to end in defeat. Accordingly, anyone trying to make the case for war has to convince him or herself and the public that it will be easy and that victory will be both inevitable and cheap. In practice, this means persuading people that the costs to the United States will be negligible, the risks of escalation controllable, and the likely outcome easy to foresee.
What does that tell us to look out for? Well, the more that the administration talks about “limited options,” a “bloody nose” strike, the potency of air power, the ability to conduct “precision attacks” with no collateral damage, or other supposedly controllable war scenarios, the more worried you should be. Those are the signs that a government is convincing itself that it has lots of options that will wreak havoc on its foes but pose little danger to the country. And you should be especially concerned when those advocating war seem to be assuming that the enemy will behave exactly as they would like them to, instead of coming up with responses they didn’t anticipate. “The enemy gets a vote” is a familiar cliche but also one that hawks routinely dismiss when making the case for action.
War will solve all (or at least most) of our problems. Advocates for war typically promise that victory will solve lots of problems at once. Saddam thought invading Kuwait was a masterstroke that would eliminate one of his main creditors, increase Iraq’s GNP by billions of dollars overnight, enhance his leverage over Saudi Arabia, dampen domestic discontent, and give him the wherewithal to compete with a potentially more powerful Iran. Similarly, Bush and the neocons thought toppling Saddam would eliminate a potential aggressor, send a message to other would-be proliferators, restore U.S. credibility after 9/11, and began a process of democratization in the Middle East that would eventually mitigate the danger of Islamic terrorism.
Hawks also like to argue the flip side: A failure to act now (or soon) will have dire consequences. Not only will it allow the balance of power to shift against the United States (see #1), but it will also lead others to doubt the country’s resolve and question its credibility. In other words: If the United States uses force, other states will respect it, deterrence will be strengthened, and peace will spread far and wide. If it doesn’t act, by contrast, adversaries will be emboldened, allies enfeebled, and the world will descend into darkness.
The astonishing thing about such claims is how often they get recycled. No matter how many times the United States goes to war or uses force--and it has done a lot of both in recent decades--it’s never enough. The positive effects of vigorous never seem to last more than a few months--at least according to the hawks--and soon they are telling Americans that they have to blow something up again so that others will know they can and will.
The enemy is evil. Or crazy. Maybe both. If you want to lead a country into war, don’t forget to demonize your opponent. Portraying the conflict as a straightforward clash of competing interests isn’t enough, because if that were the case, the problem might be resolved via diplomacy and compromise rather than by military force. Accordingly, hawks go to great lengths to portray opponents as the embodiment of evil and to convince the public that the enemy is morally repugnant and unalterably hostile. After all, if a foreign government does some bad things, and if its hostility to America will never, ever change, then the only long-term solution is to get rid of it. As former Vice President Dick Cheney put it, “We don’t negotiate with evil. We defeat it.”
A second line of argument is the claim that America’s adversaries are irrational, fanatical aggressors that cannot be deterred by its superior military power, huge arsenal of sophisticated nuclear weapons, robust network of allies, and assorted economic tools. Thus, Iran’s leaders are routinely described as religious fanatics who would welcome martyrdom, and North Korea’s three Kims have been routinely depicted as bizarre, crazy, extremely bellicose, and therefore impossible to deter. Never mind that both regimes have repeatedly shown themselves to be obsessed not with martyrdom or ideology but rather with retaining power and staying alive. To make the case for war, it’s more effective to tell the public these folks are dangerously bonkers.
Yet when it suits them, hawks also tend to portray the enemy as smart and sensible, to make using force seem safe. A leader like Kim Jong Un is said to be too irrational to deter, which is why the United States must go after him. But hawks also argue that if America does decide to attack North Korea’s nuclear infrastructure, it will in fact be possible to deter him from retaliating against U.S. allies or against the United States itself. Those who favor attacking Iran use similar arguments: Iran’s leaders are supposedly irrational fanatics who could not be deterred if they ever got nuclear weapons, but they are also smart and sensible enough to sit quietly while the U.S. Air Force conducts a devastating bombing campaign throughout their country. Needless to say, when you see an openly contradictory argument like this, you know you are in the realm of pro-war propaganda rather than serious analysis.
Peace is unpatriotic. The final warning sign is when an administration starts wrapping itself in the flag and suggesting that skepticism about the use of force is a sign of insufficient patriotism. During the Vietnam War, Lyndon Johnson and Richard Nixon accused anti-war activists of giving aid and comfort to the enemy, and an administration eager to sell a war is bound to portray those opposing it as weak-willed, naive, or insufficiently committed to U.S. security. If Trump is contemplating war and prominent people start to challenge him, you’ll know by keeping a close eye on his Twitter feed.
As I’ve noted before, U.S. politicians’ present aversion to peace is puzzling. I’m a realist and not a pacifist, but a country whose global position is as favorable as the United States has an obvious interest in peace and stability and little interest in taking big risks for small gains. Unfortunately, after 27 years of being the indispensable nation, and 17 years of fighting the war on terror, Americans have become accustomed to presidents trying to solve complex strategic and political problems mostly by blowing stuff up. This approach hasn’t worked very well, but it is still the default response of the foreign-policy establishment. Just remember the outpouring of bipartisan support that Trump received when he fired a few dozen cruise missiles into Syria. It was a one-off gesture that did not affect the war there in the slightest, yet Republicans--and Democrats--hailed it as a sign that Trump was finally taking his presidential responsibilities seriously.
My point is that if this administration decides it wants to start a war, it will do everything it can to intimidate or marginalize skeptics. The most reliable way to do that is to impugn their patriotism, in the hope that everyone will have forgotten how much damage overzealous hawks have done in recent years.
So, if you see the Trump administration deploying any of the arguments I’ve just identified (and to be fair, it already has to some degree)--look out. What makes this tricky, however, is that an administration that didn’t want to go to war might still act as if it were itching for a fight, in the hope of persuading the other side to make concessions. But this is a dangerous gambit, either because the bluff can get called or because you can start believing your own propaganda and talk yourself into war by stages.
If Trump does choose war, where is it most likely to occur? I’d say Iran, for two reasons. First, North Korea already has nuclear weapons, and Iran has none, so the risks of war with the former are infinitely greater. Second, even a purely conventional war on the Korean Peninsula would make South Korea, Japan, China, and others very nervous; by contrast, America’s Middle East clients would be positively giddy if Trump succumbed to their blandishments and attacked Iran on their behalf. If Trump is eager to distract people from his other troubles, or is determined to compensate for those small hands of his, war with Iran makes a lot more sense than a war with North Korea.
Which is not to say that it makes much sense at all. I still think war with either country is unlikely because the United States has little to gain and much to lose by launching another war. And it shouldn’t take a genius to figure that out. But that’s pretty cold comfort because I’ve overestimated the intelligence, prudence, and judgment of U.S. leaders before. Sadly, sometimes very bad ideas get implemented anyway.
Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.
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