#weatherblr

[armchair-meteorologist]

hey thats super really bad!!!

clinton IA if anyone else wants to look. the statement says its only "radar indicated" atm, no one has spotted a nado

(im not there, weather.com puts the dot on the city you search)

[hillbillyoracle]

CoCoRaHS but make it freezing

Weather app: "feels like 9 degrees"

9 degrees seems generous...

[kcowgill]

Some weather just left @excelwithpassion ‘s neck of the woods and is heading towards Chicago. Pretty sure these storm tracks just mean that these storm cells have the POTENTIAL to generate a tornado. And surely that precipitation rate has to be some sort of measurement error?

[curvyfitmilf]

[armchair-meteorologist]

I found! A Free! Intro To Meteorology! Course! From Penn State!!!

I haven't dug into it yet but it doesn't seem paywalled in any way!!!! AH!!!

[armchair-meteorologist]

Heard some mumblings thats its slowing down a bunch. Thats worrying for 2 reasons:

more time in the gulf is going to make this thing explode

iirc, from a mr weatherman video, how east this hits depends on the front coming down across the south rn, and if the storm takes longer to get caught in it (and being strong enough to fight the high pressure system on the Atlantic coast) it can make a more eastly landing

(which is bad for me personally so its extra bad)

[armchair-meteorologist]

Surely this wont cause any problems

[armchair-meteorologist]

its not even raining anymore...

[armchair-meteorologist]

Playing around on tropical tidbits and i was wonder how I could maybe ballpark intensity and found this!

First image is GFS (American) model at 2pm Oct 5th. 986 is upper tropical storm, maaaaaybe Cat 1

Second image is CMC (Canadian) model at 2pm Oct 5th. 992 is a decent tropical storm.

Looks like we are looking between New Orleans and Pensacola?

It looks like good news but it is NOT good news for the big bend, looks like theyre gonna get dumped on. CMC has it even further into the armpit :/

Can't wait for the next Mr. Weatherman video

[armchair-meteorologist]

Possibly-Debby is thru the dry air now, itll be interesting to see what tonight and tomorrow brings, should give us a better idea on if we are looking at a depression/storm/hurricane and of course WHERE

[armchair-meteorologist]

Bad news for folks in between St Louis and Jefferson city this afternoon

[armchair-meteorologist]

Its Big Idiots' first day in the pen and we have a storm rolling in!!!

it took them about 10 minutes to figure out that being under the rain fly keeps them drier, but they are fine, its still over 90°

[armchair-meteorologist]

So Helene is on an eerily similar track to Ian, and I'm gonna be completely honest. I signed up for a nice cat 1, MAYBE cat 2. I did not sign up for Ian 2.

a lot of people on twitter are drawing the same comparisons and the NHC has been creeping it east more into the peninsula

[armchair-meteorologist]

So in my itty bitty stormy knowledge:

high pressure is a fence, and fronts pull

i am having a super hard time finding any kind of forecast for front and i knowwwww they are a thing mr weatherman has them

this is the American model on Tuesday. Stronger storms can push back against high pressure and swing north, and a front coming odd the east coast will yank it up too

Haiti/DR/PR and all the islands from there to Venezuela (i don't know what they are called as a group😭) aren't getting out of this one but it looks like it's gonna miss the southern USA entirely?

[armchair-meteorologist]

remember when you could see 50mi of lightning data for free on weather.com

[armchair-meteorologist]

We need to build a real weather community!!!