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Premier League predictions: Lawro v rapper & Man Utd fan Avelino
New Post has been published on https://thebiafrastar.com/premier-league-predictions-lawro-v-rapper-man-utd-fan-avelino/
Premier League predictions: Lawro v rapper & Man Utd fan Avelino
Arsenal host Chelsea on Sunday but which of these inconsistent sides will come out on top?
“Take away Liverpool, Leicester and Manchester City, and there are a lot of bang-average sides in the Premier League this season,” said BBC football expert Mark Lawrenson.
“People talk about how good Chelsea are ‘on their day’, and say the same about Tottenham or Arsenal too – but they are not having many days.
“All of these sides are being beaten by teams you would not expect to, and sometimes pretty easily.”
Lawro is making predictions for all 380 top-flight matches this season, against a variety of guests.
This weekend, he is up againstrapper and Manchester United fan Avelino.
Avelino grew up in Tottenham but fell in love with Manchester United after watching David Beckham and Paul Scholes on TV. “Kevin de Bruyne is the best player in the Premier league – much as I hate to say it. My favourite player cannot be a City player, though, so I am going with Paul Pogba. Why? On his day, he is unstoppable.”
Avelino, whose latest song Higher Power is out now, has been frustrated by United’s up-and-down form this season – and thinks Paul Pogba could help provide the solution.
“Nothing comes as a surprise to me with United this season,” he told BBC Sport. “I have been saying for a while that, in the bigger games, we tend to do all right.
“We just need to figure out a different way of playing because when we are asked to have most of the ball, it is like we don’t know how to break teams down – there are no ideas, it is like we are running into a brick wall.
“The reason Pogba could help fix that problem is because of his inventiveness. He can just pick a pass or do something where he changes a game with one moment.
“He is head and shoulders above the other guys. It is almost like being back in the playground, when one of the older boys would get on the ball. Everything about him is just better.
“I don’t think he can do it on his own, though. We have to build on what we have with him in the team, but we definitely need one or two other players who can do something similar.
“People say he is inconsistent but I think we have to admit United are not one of the best teams in the country right now, and he needs some help.
“Pogba plays with the best of the best for France, but it is not the same for him at United – and when the United team does not perform then it does not seem fair to always say it is his fault.”
Premier League predictions – week 20 Result Lawro Avelino SATURDAY Brighton v Bournemouth x-x 1-2 2-1 Newcastle v Everton x-x 1-1 1-1 Southampton v Crystal Palace x-x 2-0 0-1 Watford v Aston Villa x-x 2-1 2-0 Norwich v Tottenham x-x 0-2 2-1 West Ham v Leicester x-x 1-1 1-2 Burnley v Man Utd x-x 0-2 0-3 SUNDAY Arsenal v Chelsea x-x 1-1 0-2 Liverpool v Wolves x-x 2-0 1-1 Man City v Sheff Utd x-x 3-0 4-2
A correct result (picking a win, draw or defeat) is worth10points. The exact score earns40points.
LAWRO’S PREDICTIONS
All kick-offs 15:00 GMT unless stated.
SATURDAY
Brighton v Bournemouth (12:30 GMT)
Brighton played well in the first half against Tottenham but ended up with nothing to show for it.
That seems to happen quite often with the Seagulls. They are nice to watch but they are not clinical at putting teams away.
Media playback is not supported on this device
‘Lots of positives’ despite Brighton defeat – Graham Potter
Bournemouth are pretty similar, just more experienced at this level. Cherries striker Callum Wilson is fit again, which is a big boost for them, and it would be just like them to go to Brighton and win.
Lawro’s prediction:1-2
Avelino’s prediction:2-1
Newcastle v Everton
Everton got a good win over Burnley in Carlo Ancelotti’s first game as Toffees boss. They had to wait to make the breakthrough, but they deserved the points.
Media playback is not supported on this device
Carlo Ancelotti pleased with ‘special’ Everton win
The worst thing Newcastle did in their defeat at Old Trafford was scoring first, because they made Manchester United angry.
However, the Magpies have been in decent form at St James’ Park under Steve Bruce – they have not lost there in the league since Arsenal beat them on the opening weekend.
If they react as a team, like they did after their last heavy loss against Leicester in September, when they responded by winning three and drawing one of their next five games, then they will get something out of this one.
Lawro’s prediction:1-1
Avelino’s prediction:1-1
Southampton v Crystal Palace
Southampton produced their best performance of the season to completely outplay Chelsea on Thursday.
Media playback is not supported on this device
Massive performance from every Saints player – Ralph Hasenhuttl
Their results have picked up a lot in the past month, which shows what a good idea it was to back Saints manager Ralph Hasenhuttl when he was under pressure earlier in the season.
A lot of clubs might have reacted differently after losing 9-0 at home when they were in the bottom three.
Crystal Palace also got a really good result, fighting back from 1-0 down to beat West Ham, especially because the Eagles do not score very many goals.
I am going with another Southampton win here, though. They have the worst home record in the top flight at the moment, but Hasenhuttl has developed a knack of picking the right team to get the job done.
Lawro’s prediction:2-0
Avelino’s prediction:0-1
Watford v Aston Villa
Watford are off the bottom of the table and their improvement continues. They had to work very hard for their point against Sheffield United last time out – but they got it.
The great thing for new Hornets boss Nigel Pearson is that he has come in and got results straight away.
Doing that means he gets a response on the training ground too, because the players think: ‘He knows what he is talking about.’
Aston Villa hung on to beat Norwich but it is a real worry for them that they are conceding so many goals and chances.
It is alarming how open they are, and that is why I am backing the Watford revival to continue.
Lawro’s prediction:2-1
Avelino’s prediction:2-0
Norwich v Tottenham
Norwich made lots of chances in their defeat by Aston Villa but, not for the first time this season, they finished empty handed.
The Canaries will think they can get at Spurs too but, unless they improve defensively, this will probably end up with a familiar outcome for Daniel Farke’s side.
Lawro’s prediction:0-2
Avelino’s prediction:There might be a bit of a shock here. 2-1
West Ham v Leicester (17:30)
I thought Leicester’s tactics were strange in Thursday’s defeat by Liverpool. James Maddison was on the left of midfield but he kept disappearing to come inside and play, because that is what he does.
That left Trent Alexander-Arnold completely free to pile forward down Liverpool’s right. Everyone knows what a threat he is, and I don’t really understand how Foxes boss Brendan Rodgers did not spot what was happening, or try to change things to stop him.
Leicester are now without a win in three league games, and I am not convinced they will get a victory here, either.
Media playback is not supported on this device
Manuel Pellegrini ‘disappointed’ with manner of West Ham defeat
The pressure is mounting on West Ham boss Manuel Pellegrini as his side slide down the table, but they have picked up some decent one-off results along the way and I just have a feeling this will end up in a draw.
Lawro’s prediction:1-1
Avelino’s prediction:1-2
Burnley v Man Utd (19:45)
Which Manchester United will show up? At the moment, you just don’t know.
As poor as they can be – their defeat by Watford before Christmas, for example – United are very dangerous when they are at it.
This is a tough game to predict, because I also think Burnley will be better than they were when they lost at Goodison Park in their last game.
But if United play well, they will win.
Lawro’s prediction:0-2
Avelino’s prediction:I have been buzzing off United striker Mason Greenwood since before the season started. He is unreal.
I speak to some of the people at United and, even in the summer, his name was buzzing.
He was the talk of the club, with people expecting big things from him, so I started looking into him and saw this young guy who is two-footed and has got ice in his veins with his finishing. He has got a lot of work to do, but you can see what everyone is talking about – he is just so dangerous.
I love seeing talented young players but what sticks out for me is if I can identify character and temperament too.
If I could pick one player for United to sign in January, it would be Jadon Sancho from Borussia Dortmund. He is quick, dynamic and young, and he is creative and hungry for success too.
He would be able to handle the pressure of playing for United too – obviously talent is the first thing you need but to be a success at big clubs you need the right mentality too, and he showed that by going to Germany and becoming a key player for his team.
As for the game? It is a tough one but we are going to go there and absolutely pulverise them. Pogba will be back in the side too. 0-3
SUNDAY
Arsenal v Chelsea (14:00)
This is Mikel Arteta’s first home game as Arsenal boss, and I am sure that will give everyone a bit of a lift.
But I just don’t trust the Gunners defensively – you can’t, because it is still the same players, regardless of who is in charge.
Chelsea are so inconsistent at the moment too. I watched their defeat by Southampton last time out and, as frustrating as they were in that game, I would not be surprised if they played much better here.
Lawro’s prediction:1-1
Avelino’s prediction:Willian looked like Lionel Messi when Chelsea beat Tottenham last week. I am a big, big fan of the Blues right now, and their manager Frank Lampard.
Chelsea are a young team so they are going to have some weeks where things do not go so well for them, but it is exciting to see a lot of young English players get their chance. 0-2
Liverpool v Wolves (16:30)
The number of chances Liverpool have created in the first five minutes of their past two league games is just frightening.
What Jurgen Klopp’s side are doing slightly differently now is they keep hitting these long balls, from Trent Alexander-Arnold and Virgil van Dijk, and they are so accurate.
It is so difficult for teams to try to stop them, because they don’t really know what is coming.
It just means Liverpool keep getting behind defences, and not just from interplay in the opposition half – they can hurt you from distance now too.
That is what whoever they are up against has to contend with, and I think they will cause real problems for Wolves – who will have had a day’s less rest than them before playing it too.
Lawro’s prediction:2-0
Avelino’s prediction:I love watching Wolves. They are good defensively and they are a good counter-attacking team, and I think they can come away with a point. 1-1
Man City v Sheff Utd (18:00)
Sheffield United have not been beaten in any of their nine away league games so far, but this is by far and away their toughest assignment to date.
If City play anywhere near as well as we know they can, they will have too much firepower for the Blades.
I am not expecting United to make life easy for them, because they will be solid and well organised, and they are a clever side.
But the teams who have beaten City at Etihad Stadium this season – Wolves and Manchester United – undid them using absolute pace, and Chris Wilder’s side do not have that in their attack.
Lawro’s prediction:3-0
Avelino’s prediction:To beat City at the Etihad like Wolves and Manchester United did, you pretty much have to play the perfect game.
As great as Sheffield United have been this season, I think City will have too much for them. Kevin de Bruyne is playing like an alien at the moment, and is the best player in the Premier League without a doubt. 4-2
Lawro was speaking to BBC Sport’s Chris Bevan.
How did Lawro do last week?
From the festive Premier League matches on 26 and 27 December, Lawro got five correct results with no exact scores from 10 games for a total of50 points.
He was beaten by singer-songwriter Richard Hawley who got four correct results, but with one exact score, for a total of70 points.
+/- DENOTE POSITION DIFFERENCE BETWEEN LAWRO’S TABLE AND ACTUAL POSITION TEAM P W D L PTS +/- 1 Man City 19 18 0 1 54 +2 2 Liverpool 18 16 2 0 50 -1 3 Tottenham 19 14 4 1 46 +2 4 Chelsea 19 13 3 3 42 0 5 Arsenal 19 10 5 4 35 +6 6 Man Utd 19 9 5 5 32 +1 7 Leicester 19 9 4 6 31 -5 8 Aston Villa 19 7 4 8 25 +10 =9 Burnley 19 7 3 9 24 +3 =9 Watford 19 7 3 9 24 +10 =11 Everton 19 6 5 8 23 +2 =11 West Ham 18 7 2 9 23 +6 =11 Wolves 19 7 2 10 23 -6 14 Bournemouth 19 6 2 11 20 +2 15 Newcastle 19 6 1 12 19 -5 16 Brighton 19 5 2 12 17 -1 17 Southampton 19 4 3 12 15 -3 =18 Crystal Palace 19 3 5 11 14 -9 =18 Sheff Utd 19 4 2 13 14 -12 20 Norwich 19 0 7 12 7 0
GUEST LEADERBOARD 2019-20
Score Guest leaderboard 160 Gabriel Luna 140 Arnold Schwarzenegger 100 Adam Peaty 90 Helen Housby, Jo Harten, Bobby Seagull, Geraint Thomas 80 Andy Murray, Stephen Graham 77 Lawro (average after 19 weeks) 70 David Baddiel, Richard Hawley, Michael Johnson, Craig Mitch, Alex Scott 60 Sonny Bill Williams, Serge from Kasabian, Stefan Ratchford 50 Chelcee Grimes, Reece Parkinson, Sam Warburton 40 Stephen Fry, Neil Jones, Tommy O’Dell 30 Seth Rollins
Total scores after week 19 Lawro 1,470 Guests 1,320
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(Bloomberg) -- Sign up to our Brexit Bulletin, follow us @Brexit and subscribe to our podcast.The U.K. votes on Thursday to determine whether Prime Minister Boris Johnson gets the mandate he wants to “get Brexit done,” or Labour Party Leader Jeremy Corbyn replaces him in 10 Downing Street to pursue his “radical agenda” of wealth redistribution and nationalizations.British general elections are decided by separate races in 650 districts, with each assigned a seat in the House of Commons. Most won’t change hands: just 70 did in 2017, with 111 doing so two years earlier.But it’s the ones that do that determine who governs.The key to interpreting the results is the concept of swing -- the shift in votes from one party to another compared with the previous election.Click here for an interactive election mapA party needs 326 out of 650 seats for a majority in the House of Commons, though in practice, about 320 will suffice because the speaker and three deputies don’t vote, and Northern Ireland’s Sinn Fein chooses not to sit in the Westminster parliament.Johnson’s predecessor, Theresa May, won 317 seats two years ago. In theory, it means that with a uniform 0.54% swing among voters to the Conservatives from Labour, the Tories could take the nine seats it needs from Jeremy Corbyn’s party to secure a majority. A swing of just over 3% would see Johnson’s party take about 30 seats off the opposition, delivering a majority of around 40.But in reality, it’s a much more complicated calculation because voter swings are not consistent nationwide due to the presence of smaller parties, tactical voting and the blurring of support due to Brexit. Johnson will probably need to win seats in the north and midlands to offset potential losses in pro-European districts in southern England and Scotland, where growing support for independence is also bolstering the Scottish National Party.The polls have consistently pointed to a Tory win, though the margin has narrowed and according to YouGov, everything from a Tory landslide to a hung Parliament -- where no party holds a majority -- remains within the margin of error. A small change in voter mood could swing the election in either direction.Below is a list of some key results to watch for and when.10 p.m.Voting ends and broadcasters release their exit poll. Last time, it predicted 314 seats for the Tories and 266 for Labour -- close to the final result of 317 to 262. Once enough results are in later in the night, psephologists employed by TV stations will announce their projections for the final result.11 p.m.The northeastern cities of Sunderland and Newcastle upon Tyne, with 3 seats each, are vying to be first to announce their results between 11 p.m. and midnight.The last time any Sunderland seat returned a Tory Member of Parliament was in 1959; Newcastle hasn’t done so since 1983. If Labour loses any of these seats, it suggests they’re set for a bad night. A swing in Brexit-supporting Sunderland in particular could point to Tory gains later in the night in marginal Labour seats that voted to leave the European Union in 2016.1 a.m.With most of the early reporting seats having safe majorities, the first rumblings of change may come now.The Tories have targeted a type of voter they dubbed “Workington Man,” defined as “a typically older, white, non-graduate male” from a northern town. Brexit-backing Workington, on the west coast, could be the first indication of whether Johnson’s party has broken through Labour’s “red wall” of seats in central and northern England. They need a 4.7% swing to overturn a majority of almost 4,000.North of the border, there could be more Labour misery with Rutherglen & Hamilton West expected to be the first Scottish seat to declare. The Scottish National Party are targeting Labour’s 265-vote majority.1:30 a.m.Darlington -- 35th on the Tory target list of Labour-held seats -- is due to announce. If Johnson’s party can overturn Labour’s 3,280-vote majority on a 3.7% swing, a 60-seat majority could be on the cards.2 a.m.The pace picks up with more than 75 results expected. The Tories could pick up “red wall” Labour seats including Great Grimsby, Bury North and Bury South.Wrexham, in north Wales, is another to watch, as well as two strongly Labour-held pro-Brexit seats in West Bromwich. None has ever voted Conservative, but polls suggest they’re in play.Hartlepool is one of the stronger seats for Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party, though polls suggest it’s unlikely to win. In Lanark & Hamilton East, just 360 votes separated the winning SNP from the Tories and Labour last time.Battersea and Putney should provide insight into how Johnson’s pro-Brexit message is faring in Remain-backing London seats.3 a.m.Results will be coming in at about six per minute by now. If the Tories are on a roll, they could take Sedgefield -- former Labour Prime Minister Tony Blair’s seat until 2007 -- as well as Labour seats including Bedford, Bishop Auckland, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Blackpool South and Birmingham Northfield. A win in Don Valley, Labour-held since 1922, could be a sign the Tories’ “Get Brexit Done” slogan has cut through -- even though Caroline Flint, the Labour incumbent, supported Johnson’s deal.In North Wales, a battle in Ynys Mon between the Tories, Labour and the Welsh nationalists Plaid Cymru could go the ruling party’s way for the first time since 1983, while Alyn & Deeside and Delyn are also in Conservative sights.But if Labour are confounding expectations -- as they did two years ago -- they could pick up Bolton West and Norwich North from the Tories. Holding Peterborough, which voted 63% to leave the EU, would suggest Labour’s plan to hold a second referendum hasn’t damaged its prospects. A big scalp could come in London, where Labour are mounting a strong challenge to former Tory leader and prominent Brexiteer Iain Duncan Smith in Chingford & Woodford Green.A Labour revival also requires picking up seats in Scotland, its former stronghold. They need tiny swings to capture Glasgow East and Glasgow South West from the SNP, and a 1.6% swing to capture Glasgow North.Corbyn is expected to broadcast comments after his very safe Islington North seat declares. Liberal Democrat Leader Jo Swinson is also likely to speak when Dunbartonshire East seat announces. She’s defending a majority of 5,339.Elsewhere in Scotland, the SNP aim to overturn Tory majorities in the district of Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock, and in Stirling.Key Liberal Democrat targets include the Cities of London & Westminster, where Labour defector Chuka Umunna is their candidate, Guildford, and Esher & Walton, where polls suggest they have a chance of overturning Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab’s huge majority.In Belfast North, the Democratic Unionist Party’s Westminster leader Nigel Dodds faces a challenge from Sinn Fein. And former Attorney General Dominic Grieve, who was ejected from the Tory Party over Brexit, is running as an independent in Beaconsfield to try to overturn the majority of more than 24,000 he won for the Conservatives in 2017.3:30 a.m.Close to half of the results should be in by now. If the Tories are doing well, they could defeat former Liberal Democrat Leader Tim Farron in Westmorland & Lonsdale, or overturn the SNP’s 21-vote majority in Perth & North Perthshire. Labour is eyeing an opportunity to take former Home Secretary Amber Rudd’s old seat of Hastings & Rye, where the Tory majority is 346.4 a.m.Even with 180-odd seats still to report, the direction of travel should be clear.A tiny swing from Labour would be expected to give the Conservatives Crewe & Nantwich, and Canterbury, which Labour won in 2017 for the first time. A swing of just under 5% to the Tories would win them Bassetlaw for the first time since 1910; Ipswich, Lincoln, Wakefield and Warrington South require much less than that.Results are also due in two Liberal Democrat target seats held by the Tories: Cheltenham and St. Albans.4:30 a.m.More than 500 seats should have declared and unless it’s really close, the winner should be clear. Johnson will be expected to speak after the declaration at his Uxbridge & South Ruislip seat, where Labour is targeting his majority of 5,034.Tory targets include Weaver Vale and Kensington -- which Labour took for the first time in 2017 by just 20 votes. Though the Tories only won Mansfield for the first time in 2017, Labour regaining it would be a surprise and a sign they’re doing better than expected.5 a.m.If the election is still too close to call, it’s because Labour is picking up seats. Five of the party’s 10 most-winnable Tory-held targets report: Southampton Itchen, Stoke-on-Trent South, Pudsey, Calder Valley and Broxtowe, where former Tory Anna Soubry is running and may cannibalize the Tory vote.Tory targets include Bolsover, where a 5.7% swing would see them defeat Labour’s Dennis Skinner, an MP since 1970. That would truly indicate the “red wall” has crumbled. Another big -- if unlikely -- scalp for the Tories would be Labour education spokeswoman Angela Rayner in Ashton-under-Lyne.Tory wins in Ashfield, Colne Valley, Dewsbury, Dudley North and Derby North, and two seats in Stoke-on-Trent, would suggest they’re heading for a majority.The Liberal Democrats will be hoping to pick up Cheadle from the Conservatives, and the SNP are targeting Tory-held Gordon -- the former seat of their one-time leader Alex Salmond.5:30 a.m.Barrow & Furness is the Tories’ 6th most-winnable Labour-held seat; Environment Secretary Theresa Villiers is trying to hold off a Labour challenge in Chipping Barnet, where her majority was whittled to just 353 in 2017. Either could change hands.6 a.m.Only about 20 seats should be left -- barring recounts. If the result is clear, expect Johnson or Corbyn to make a victory speech over the next few hours.In Richmond Park in southwest London, the Liberal Democrats hope to eject Tory Environment Minister Zac Goldsmith for the second time in three years. They’re also looking to re-establish themselves in southwest England, where St. Ives is their best chance to do so after a narrow loss in 2017.The last results are due at 10 a.m. If one party has a majority, the focus will switch to cabinet announcements. But if it’s a hung parliament, it’s all about potential coalitions or backroom deals to prop up a minority administration.21 Seats to Watch(Updates with Bolton West in 3 a.m. section. An earlier version of this story was corrected to show Bedford is a Tory target.)\--With assistance from Greg Ritchie.To contact the reporter on this story: Alex Morales in London at [email protected] contact the editors responsible for this story: Tim Ross at [email protected], Stuart Biggs, Thomas PennyFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
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