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decentralizedsociety · 6 years

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Future histories, and hope

Note: this is the follow-up to a previous letter on optimism and climate change.

On April, 19 2018, at 12:52 Timotej wrote: But I cant help to think your pessimistic view stems from a deeper distrust in humanity in general.

Hey Timotej,

Thanks for another great suggestion. You’re helping me write. :)

I suppose that’s true. Due to the way most humans have treated me most of my life, I tend to be less biased against favoring human beings. I’ve known we are unlikely to sustain ourselves since I was about 8 years.

But by now, I truly love and care about humanity, which gives the collective and unnessary suicide of my species a very bitter aftertaste.

I know for a fact that children can be monsters (I was not only on the receiving side), under the right pretence. If even children can act like monsters - normal children, not sociopaths - then surely adults can. Same mammalian group brain.

Context is the key here, the overall modifying factor to our behaviour. Given the right context, the most bitter isolated person can flourish into a warm-hearted beautiful being, within hours. Given several days, or weeks, in such a healing context could allow for a more sustained healing, one that might spread itself.

It is part of my focus and essential to my desires that contexts like this, environments that incentivize and promote loving and sharing, compassion, co-existence, be created and to be part of them.

I would not believe this if I had not experienced it, first hand, several times, in different environments and situations. I’ve also seen it switch from a brighter, open to a closed and darker outlook and vice versa; these are metastable resonant (social) states that can oscillate back and forth.

I’ve often felt that it is our day-to-day lives, our jobs, our economic situations, together with limiting social norms and believes about the self and humanity that are the real culprit here, the decisive factor. It is precisely (but not exclusively) this which I think any ‘healthy’ community should attain; freedom from the labour-wage relationship, newly defined social norms and rituals embedded in the story of a connected self and the economic freedom to join or leave the community.

However, there is a big discrepancy between the aforementioned, utopic, dream and the lives of most people. In cities, due to inflated house prices and related strong sense of private ownership of land and dwellings, most people do not have the freedom to leave their (often senseless and soon to be automated automated) jobs, their houses or their communities. In ruralities, modern farming and forestry has forced farmers to scale up and lower their margins, enabled by credits. Because their margins are diminishing with their yields, they are forced to degrade their own land with ever more intense extraction of resources while the time and monetary investments needed to switch to regenerative, sustainable methods are unavailable.

The overall sense, which pervades through all levels of society, from the rich to the poor, is that of scarcity; we have constructed an economic system poised on an ever expanding monetary realm, but the underlying physical, human and natural resource bases are diminishing as they are exploited. A focus on the short-term is incentivized by the rents payable together with refinancing requirements of debts that span timescales that a mismatch with nature’s regenerative potential.

In short, the challenge here is to translate profits on long (80-120y) and medium (15-80y) to short (2-15y) timescales, when working bottom-up, or to simply change the timescales at which financing is provided to aim for profits at the longest possible scale.

I, personally, deem the latter option most unlikely, although I do think that would be the most effective way to change our society in the most sensible and efficient way. It would require banks to completely overhaul their strategies, which again would force people away from the short-term ‘scarcity mindset’ to dreaming about, realistically achievable, abundance and regeneration.

As I am yet to be surprised by fundamental changes in the structure of our financial industries, forced or spontaneous, my angle is the bottom-up solution. Where groups of people create cooperative, regenerative, structures and financial instruments, parallel and connected to, the existing (financial) infrastructure. Whereas the long-term yields of existing structures tend to decline, those of regenerative structures keeps rising over time. Note that the difference can be very small as this accumulates over time.

This way, slowly but surely, the regenerative cultures will outlast and outperform the destructive ones, in terms of resources, energy and quality of life, which will make it an attractive option for those living within the current, degrading, system.

But be aware that, due to cultural, social and institutional momentum, especially developed countries might have a hard time allowing these regenerative structures to arrive. We are currently living in a very unsustainable comfort that we are very reluctant to give up. Even as many people in many countries will fall below this Western standard of living, possibly degrading all the way down to the poverty line, many tend to hold on to the ‘American dream’; ‘making it big time’, or possibly the centralized socialist ‘the state provides enough for everyone’.

These are the stories our societies still believe in, and it is these stories that need to be replaced. I am working on a better story or, at least, a more imaginative one. One that aligns with the limitations, the border conditions, set forth by climate and systems science. One that aligns with human and natural grace, and dignity.

But it will be a difficult story; the Free Ones, the heroes of this story, will have difficulties to overcome. Vested interests, the rich, living the nightmare of scarcity, will feel that the reclamation of their ‘rightful’ property, the lands, the houses, the money, is an assault on their ‘fragile’ sustenance, their freedom, as soon as larger movements are starting to form.

My best guess would be, to stay under the radar. Implementing a cultural virus, growing communities horizontally, decentrally. Each one connected to the next, all the way to a concentration sufficient for most people to know 1 or 2 friends living ‘outside the system’. That would be only several percents, at most (whereas it’s about 0.01% right now), but it would be sufficient.

As the dominant pattern in our society, the complete colonisation of our environment, will naturally degrade under the weight of the (material, energy, information) costs of its own sustenance, becoming ever more detrimental to basic freedoms as inequality grows manyfold, people are incentivized to grow previously marginalized alternatives.

Where, even though their may not be ‘enough’ food, people take care of each other. The weak are protected and there will be a dialogue with our environments.

Surely, this is just but one of many alternative ‘future histories’. And, as bright as it might sound, this ‘slow collapse’ scenario involves a great deal of dying, suffering, migration, degradation and poverty. Literally, hundreds of millions of people will be forced to move. Urbanities, especially megapolises, will experience immense resource stresses due to their high population density with regards to the solar surfaces they are exposed to.

Then, we should also allow the possibilities of other scenario’s, potentially in parallel. Solar energy is about to become cheaper than oil, which some say that together with a breakthrough in nuclear fusion, would (temporarily) solve our energy problems, allowing up to remain in a growth pattern until we’re forced to become an interplanetary society. Personally, I think these dreams are far-fetched, but some powerful voices adhere to them. But, as with my vision, part of them might turn out to be true.

Lastly, there is a darker vision and I have, sadly, not been able to shake it off. It is one where a centralized police state is losing over raging plunderers and militants. Where violent gangs rape and plunder the countryside, where no one is safe, while our planet is scavenged until the last resources are used up. It’s this scenario I often find myself confronted with; so what, if I live in a peaceful community, if there’s men with guns, will I protect my kids?

Anyways, I hope you appreciate my reflection. Consider it an invitation to dream with me.

Mathijs

#article #sustainability #hope #humanity #futurism #utopia #dystopia #homesteading #urbanism #rural #ecology #systems #finance #money #economy #bottom-up

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captain-unlikelynutbouquet-blog · 6 years

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"Sterling Virginia Cheap car insurance quotes zip 20163

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Im gonna be financing a 04 mustang soon. Thanks.

Health Insurance?

This may be silly, but I saw a commercial the other day on tv that was advertising for health insurance for a little over &5.00 a day. I am currently in the hunt for health insurance so i wanted to go online and get some info. As luck may have it by the time i was able to get on the internet i forgot what the website was. I know the company starts with an e and its right at the tip of my brain, but i cant remember. Like i said this is a bit silly, but if anyone knows what im talking about please let me know! I havent seen a commercial for it sense.... I live in dutchess county, NY. Thanks!""

How can I get insurance? Full time student and bulimic?

Hi, I am 19 years old and a full time college student. My mom works two 25-30 hour jobs but does not get insurancew through either jobs. I am bulimic and can't get any private insurance because of my bulimia and also cannot afford it. I paid out of pocket to have a physical and my doctor said I need to be hospitalized, as I am in critical condition. Problem is, I have no idea how to get insurance. Is it possible for me to get insurance? Should I speak with the Department of Health and Social Services or my college counselor? I am not lazy and not looking for free help and am willing to put all the money I make towards insurance...I just really want to get help before I die. Any supportive help is much appreciated, thank you""

Does the insurance rate go up if there's a gap?

I dont have insurance for the last 4 months.. I had it for 3 years before

Do I have to insure my son when he turns 16?

My auto insurance company called me yesterday asking for the names and birthdays of my children. I refused to tell them anything. My oldest son will turn 16 in November, and I was not planning on adding him as a driver, because we have full coverage insurance and I thought that would cover anyone.""

Visa debit card for rental car insurance?

I read that Visa covers the damage/loss insurance of rental car. Is that just for credit card? How about debit card? Thanks!

Is a 1994 Eagle Talon Esi good for a teen Insurance and Saftey wise?

Hi I am look at an 1994 Eagle Talon and I thinking about buying it. But is it a good car for a teen just for a daily driver? How about the insurance rates will it be high?

Health insurance for immigrant children?

can someone please help me out im a 17 years old immigrant in florida and i want to try out for soccer and i need insurance but i don't have it what is the cheapest solution you can give me

What happens if someone who doesn't have car insurance hits a BMW?

Someone without car insurance hit my car. Luckily it won't cost much but just say they had hit an expensive car and actually wrote it off, how would they pay for that?""

""Becky has 25/50/10 automobile insurance coverage. If two people received $35,000 each how much will be covered?""

Becky has 25/50/10 automobile insurance coverage. If two people received $35,000 each how much will be covered?""

How much will my car insurance cost?

I am seventeen years old, I live in New Jersey and my car is a two door 1997 Honda Civic EX. I am turning eighteen in two months. Which car insurance providers will be the most likely to give me good deals, and roughly how much would I be paying?""

How much would insurance for 2009 Ford Focus be? Estimate?

I'm wondering how much insurance would cost for the 2009 Ford Focus for a 17 year old girl be? I want to buy a 2009 Ford Focus when I turn 17 not this coming up January but next. Oh and prices of how much the car costs would be nice too. Thanks!

Do beneficiaries have to pay taxes on life insurance policies?

Licence and Insurance?

im 17 years old and i have my probationary quebec licence. I am insured on the car and am able to drive it alone but with 4 points and 0 alcohol tolerance. Would i be able to drive in the USA with my licence? but i would have to get insured with an american company. any idea how much that would cost? thanks

Can you give me any car recommendations?

ok im a 16 year old boy turning 17 next month and my parents are buying me a car.they said that there are some requirements of their own 1.the oldest it could be is a 2005 model(i don't know why) and it needs to be with in our price range which is $10,000 to $20,000.i don't have many requirements just that it needs to have something where i can connect my ipod and phone to the car to play music or make a call and i don't want a honda or toyota because everyone has one of those in my area and at school(sorry if it sounds bratty but it kinda feels weird to me to have a car that most people have in my area). so what are some nice cars in our price range that would be a good first car.also my parents said the insurance cost doesn't matter.""

Are you in favor of getting rid of health insurance for people with pre-existing conditions?

Do any insurance companies for motorcycles....?

Do any insurance companies for motorcycles offer a month by month payment plan?

What do car insurance investigators do?

My fiancee is an excluded driver on my car ins. He was driving my vehicle one day and got into a very small 'fender bender'. His fault. Barely bumped the lady. When she filed a claim, my insurance called me. Well of course I tried to convince them that i was driving the vehicle, but they don't believe me. My own car insurance. Aren't they supposed to be behind you and not the other driver? But anyway, he said SINCE he doesnt believe me, he's going to get insurance fraud investigators to do some investigating. The woman's car isnt worth but $900 blue book value. The fix of her bumper cost $1600. I'm not understanding why this is a big deal. I get that I'm trying to cover myself and have ins cover it, and lying about it, so please don't scold me for that. I'm just trying to get advice on this, and what i should do NOW. I'm not sure if the whole investigation thing is a joke, or something serious. Also, if i were to turn around and tell them that my fiancee was really driving, what would they do now that I've lied? Does car ins go on your credit if they drop you? HELP!""

Sterling Virginia Cheap car insurance quotes zip 20163

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-happens-you-dont-pay-your-car-loan-michael-keller/"

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