#p500

[hipsternumbertwo]

[nilpotence]

this was supposed to be some quick practice to figure out what I want to get better at drawing I've been staring at this for song long my eyes have glazed a full 360 degrees torment neverending until now.

[whovian223]

Friday Night Shots - Pre-Order Extravaganza!

Friday Night Shots - Pre-Order Extravaganza! @gmtgames @garphillgames @compassgamesllc @djackthompson @trevormbenjamin

Welcome back! Belly up to the bar and let me get you a drink of some kind. Doesn’t have to be booze. It’s Friday again. The week has kind of flown by, though that could be because it feels like I have a million things to do before my month-long vacation starts after next Friday. So I’m sitting here sipping my whiskey and Diet Pepsi, getting ready for dinner, and thinking. What am I…

[mothkisserx]

[antihibikase]

Thank you school for asking me to pay additional things on top of my tuition. I hope you go to hell.

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

Perception: Half of Americans believed that the stock market is falling this year. Those who watch Fox News believe it is tanking.

Reality: The S&P 500 is up 11% in 2024 thus far as America experiences a bull market with few precedents.

[Robert Scott Horton]

* * * *

In the history book These Truths, by Jill Lepore, are the following paragraphs about the first, highly successful political campaign managers, Campaigns, Inc., aka The Lie Factory, founded in 1933. They never lost a campaign. Republicans have mastered their campaign strategy rules:

'Every campaign needs a theme. Keep it simple. Rhyming is good. Never explain anything. "The more you have to explain, the more difficult it is to win support." Say the same thing over and over again. "We assume we have to get a voter's attention 7 times to make a sale". Subtlety is your enemy. "Words that lean on your mind are no good. They must dent it." Simplify, simplify, simplify. "A wall goes up when you try to make Mr. And Mrs. Average American Citizen work or think."

Make it personal. Candidates are easier to sell than issues. If your position doesn't have an opponent, invent one. Pretend that you are the voice of the people. You can't wage a defensive campaign and win. Never shy from controversy; instead win the controversy. "The average American doesn't want to be educated, he doesn't want to improve his mind; he doesn't want to work, consciously, at being a good citizen. But there are 2 ways you can interest him in a campaign, and only 2 that we have ever found successful." You can put on a fight ("He likes a good battle with no punches pulled"), or you can put on a show ("He likes the movies, he likes mysteries; he likes fireworks and parades). "So, if you can't fight, PUT ON A SHOW! If you put on a good show, Mr. And Mrs. America will turn out to see it.'

[dataanxiety]

Nice historical volatility chart

This is a helpful annotated chart of yearly S&P 500 volatility. I bookmarked it back in 2014, so it only covers the years from 1929 to 2014.

S&P 500 calendar year realized volatility from 1929-2014 $SPY $SPX $VIX

— via Ro_Patel on StockTwits, October 09, 2014

The y-axis is S&P Calendar Year Realized Volatility as a percentage. The x-axis is time in years. I hope it is possible to enlarge the image by clicking on it! The red bars represent the 10 years with highest volatility. The green bars represent the 10 years with the lowest volatility. I am guessing that the blue bars are all other years.

I wondered why the chart was tagged with $SPY $SPX and $VIX. Both StockTwits and Twitter used to denote stock symbols with a dollar sign instead of a hash tag.

The first two were easy. SPY is an ETF that is backed by actual shares of stock in the companies that are included in Standard & Poor's 500 index. SPX is driven by the price of the S&P 500 Index itself. SPX isn't tradeable per se, but there are SPX futures and various SPX options.

Volatility and the fear indicator

Volatility is the standard deviation of a stock, stock index, or other security's annualized returns over a time period; essentially, the rate at which the security or index price increases or decreases. ‘Actual’ (historical) volatility measures the variability of known prices.

What is $VIX

VIX is called the fear indicator because it is used to infer a quantitative metric of market risk, fear, and stress. It is defined as the 30-day expected volatility of the S&P 500 stock index, using Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) listed S&P 500 options data. VIX is a measure of implied volatility (forward-looking) not historical. Values over 30 are considered high, while 20 is more typical. There's no upper bound on VIX.

The VIX isn't tradeable, which is why I am amused that its CBOE landing page (URL above) has "tradeable" in the URL! Instead, there are VIX futures, call and put options for trading.

The VIX was introduced by CBOE in 1993. I think that's why this chart doesn't have VIX on the y-axis (only alluding to it with $VIX) as an historical time series. It wouldn't be possible to impute historical values, especially not to 1929 but not even prior to 1993, because VIX is calculated by aggregating weighted prices of a constantly changing portfolio of S&P 500 calls and puts over a range of strike prices.

StockTwits

StockTwits seems mostly moribund to me, since about 2015. The name is a little strange, but it is a great idea: A social network for investor/speculators. The realtime, Twitter-like functionality, and user interface, are well-designed and fun. I think StockTwits was founded by Howard Lindzon who is nice, and maybe Fred Wilson the AVC guy ("A Venture Capitalist"?). EDIT: I just checked. It is still active but not exactly a huge startup venture.

Now that Amazon.com has retired Alexa, I can't find website metrics as easily. I'm mildly curious about StockTwits. I wish I could average unique annual page views per year, and then do a 3-line time series graph of unique daily views during 2012 (when it was really active), 2015, and last year.

[world-and-usa]

How the Hype Around Chinese AI Model DeepSeek Triggered a Massive Nasdaq Sell-Off

[trader35]

Los índices se distancian del "Hueco Trump"

El “hueco Trump” ha resistido. Este hecho es el más reseñable en las bolsas en las últimas semanas, lo que refuerza el control de los alcistas a medio y largo plazo. Hablamos de la zona de soporte que identificamos en el hueco alcista que abrieron los principales índices de referencia en Wall Street a primeros de noviembre tras la victoria electoral de Donald Trump. En el caso del Dow Jones, el…

[eugeniosartorelli]

Analisi di Sentiment sui principali Mercati -26-gen-25.

Nuovo Libro (16° anno pubblicazione): Analisi, Previsioni, Strategie 2025

- Per approfondimenti: https://www.investimentivincenti.it/

[hipsternumbertwo]

[leeekholm]

Earn Twice the S&P Returns | Lee Ek Holm Investment Strategies

Maximize your investment potential with Lee Ek Holm’s proven strategy to earn twice the S&P 500. Our expert team focuses on smart, risk-managed strategies designed to outperform traditional market benchmarks. We provide personalized investment solutions tailored to your financial goals, helping you achieve superior returns with confidence. Let Lee Ek Holm guide you to smarter, more profitable investments. Start your journey toward financial growth today!

[aktieportfoljen]

De 10 största aktierna på S&P 500 representerar nu 39,9 % av indexets börsvärde

[mimivsjames-blog]

Read the article for details:

[skrillnetworkblog]

📈 Market Momentum Pauses as Investors Await Key Data

After a strong post-election rally, Wall Street eased on Tuesday as investors took a breather, shifting their attention to upcoming economic data that could influence market trends. Here’s a snapshot of the current landscape:

🌐 Key Highlights:

1. Market Pause After Record-Setting Rally

Dow Jones rose 73 points (+0.2%), S&P 500 inched up, while Nasdaq saw a minor dip of 0.1% as the market steadied after the recent election-driven momentum.

2. Wall Street Bonuses on the Rise

Underwriters and traders can expect a significant boost in bonuses this year, with Johnson Associates projecting up to 35% increases for bond underwriters and 20% for traders, thanks to strong stock trading activity.

3. Stock Movements Show Mixed Reactions

Shopify surged 14% post-earnings, Home Depot gained 1.7% with an improved outlook, and Live Nation spiked 5% on robust Q3 results. However, Tesla fell 3.5% after its rally retraced slightly.

4. Eyes on Inflation Data

With the Fed’s recent rate cut in place, CPI and PPI reports are in focus. While high inflation could be concerning, analysts suggest steady Fed policies will continue unless inflation consistently exceeds 4%.

5. Economic Data Could Shape Year-End Strategy

As 2024 nears its end, investors are keenly watching economic updates on inflation and interest rates, especially in the financial and consumer sectors.

Stay tuned as Wall Street navigates these critical indicators, aiming to close the year on a positive note!

[enterprisewired]

Airbnb’s Mixed Q3 Results Reflect Steady Demand Amid Stock Volatility

Source: marketscreener.com

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Airbnb’s Q3 experienced fluctuating stock movement following its mixed third-quarter results, with shares bouncing between a high of an 11% increase and a low of a 4% drop before eventually closing down over 2% at $143.21 in after-hours trading. The company reported earnings of $2.13 per share on revenues of $3.73 billion for the September-ended quarter. While earnings narrowly missed analyst expectations of $2.14 per share, revenues slightly surpassed the $3.72 billion forecast, according to FactSet.

Airbnb’s guidance for the fourth quarter projects revenues of approximately $2.42 billion, aligning closely with analyst predictions for the holiday quarter. In its shareholder letter, the company highlighted strong demand trends in Q4, especially across core and emerging markets, and anticipated higher growth in “Nights and Experiences Booked” year-over-year in Q4 compared to Q3.

Growth and Earnings Insights

Airbnb’s Q3 saw a 10% increase in year-over-year revenue while earnings dropped 68% due to a one-time tax benefit of $2.8 billion included in the previous year’s earnings. The company’s EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) rose 7% to $1.96 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.86 billion. Gross bookings also climbed 10% to reach $20.1 billion, exceeding estimates of $19.8 billion.

Airbnb noted a slower start in bookings from North America, its largest market, which then accelerated over the quarter. In a statement, the company indicated that domestic travel remained strong in the region, with non-urban destinations and larger group travel showing the fastest growth rates.

Stock Performance and Outlook

Airbnb’s Q3 followed a strong 2023, rising 60% during the “revenge travel” trend that fueled the company’s entry into the S&P 500. However, this year, Airbnb’s stock gains have been modest at just 7%, trailing the S&P 500’s 25% growth year-to-date. The company previously warned of softening U.S. demand in its second-quarter report, which led to a 13% dip in its stock at that time. However, shares have recently rebounded, gaining 7% this week as broader markets rallied after the U.S. presidential election results.

Despite its recovery, Airbnb’s stock holds a somewhat moderate Composite Rating of 68 out of 99, as assessed by IBD Stock Checkup. The company’s Relative Strength Rating stands at 57, indicating it has outperformed 57% of stocks in the IBD database over the past year, below the typical target of 80 for strong growth stocks.