#nicholas groth

[nicholasgroth1]

[kingstonansahblog]

Nicholas Groth

Though I can’t use them as much anymore, I am highly specialized in the skills of teaching and education, both in a school setting and sports setting. I have been able to maintain strong organizational and leadership skills in working with different companies and people, creating a new path forward for my life, and in setting up my own business. I am a very driven individual who wants to be the best at whatever I’m pursuing. From winning valedictorian to winning around 20 baseball championships as a coach to having the best end-of-year student progress reports for my class in the entire district, I want to excel at everything I do. My willpower, competitiveness, and mindset that everything is able to be figured out would be some of my greatest strengths.

[yourtoradorasextendedwarranty]

I have a bone to pick and people are not going to like it.

There is a Dr by the name of Nicholas Groth. He writes books on the psychology of rapists, more often specifically child rapists.

I've been looking for information on him for a decent chunk of time. I can't find a picture of him, I can't find who he is married too, nothing. Now the picture isn't important but the fact that he's supposedly been alive since 1937 would make him 86. And not one photo. Which I personally find suspicious. What's more, not only can I not find a picture of him, but his study on child predators has this weird problem as seen below.

So a few things about this piece lacking context. I've studied psychology for around 12-14 years now. Off and on. Partly out of general interest and partly to take some of my own power back.

And the above things here bother me.

Suppose for a second that the first part of the line, "They see the boy as a projected representation of themselves". Ok. So let's assume that for a moment. This would imply, that rather than abusing the child, that the predator is abusing themselves. However, he goes on to state that "-and therefore find themselves more comfortable (especially sexually) in the company of children..." Which would imply they view themselves as a child. These two things are mutually exclusive in most cases because in order to view someone as you while viewing yourself as them, takes a really stupid level of disassociation. Or being extremely autistic.

The fact that Groth here obfuscates the possibility that there are predators that are gay. And the manner in which he does this is by more or less saying that, "...molesters see themselves in their victims, but would not be attracted to adult males."

So full stop. Is Dr. Groth gay? Why would I ask this question. Well the obvious point here would be a conflict of interest in these studies in regards to sexuality of child molesters. But there's more contradiction here. And this is a clear thing that is not compatible when you are correct in your usage of language.

"See yourself in their victims" and "See the boy as a projected representation" are not the same thing. The may sound the same. But a person doing a research paper as a Dr. does not make this mistake.

When you see yourself IN the victim it implies that you see similarities between you and the victim.

However, when you see yourself projected as a representation, you are more or less seeing yourself AS the victim you intend to abuse.

No matter how subtle this difference is there IS one and it's not semantic. It's a meaningful difference. So the reason I call this out is because his research is a bit all over the place when it comes to the sexuality of predators. Reason being. He makes the claim that, "These men are heterosexual in their everyday lives, but assault kids as a form to take power." And while one part of that is true, there's more to it.

If you view yourself as a child or find yourself (more comfortable with kids sexually) psychologically speaking, if it's a man who targets only little boys, what does that imply? Well if we are answering honestly it could be a number of things. The man could be a bisexual but was never fully comfortable with sex as an adult, and thus forth upon having access to children, decided to live out the desires he had.

Also another interesting piece of information. Predators are often victims themselves. Sometimes they grow and aversion to the sex that victimized them, sometimes they don't. And when it's person of the same sex that does it to you. What tends to happen is that you run from it. Sometimes a lot harder than if it was someone of the opposite sex. Thing is if you look into it closely, one of the things that you find is that gay men who stay closeted for a very long time will do their best to come across as straight. Some men even have wives and kids along the way while not being sexually into women in that way. Why? Because they force themselves to be "Straight".

One of the largest reasons why this is a phenomenon is because they are trying to deny feeling that made them feel powerless. Which is to say, they as themselves when they got stunted mentally, emotionally, etc is a closer version of the real them. And YES it's horrific. To be attracted to kids in that way. However, after looking at all this research and not being able to find a shred of decent info on this Dr. I'm having doubts about the findings. Mostly because they are contrary to those I've found, and those of several of my friends in the field. Not everything is wrong mind you. However, there seems to be a number of things that don't properly add up.

And before anyone gets the idea that I'm calling all LGBT people or otherwise, all "Predators", I am not. However, As I've stated before. when a male predator goes out of his way to target only little boys, that in and of itself is a homosexual act. The man may well be a bisexual. But the age of the person involved does not change the sex they are. However, yes there are cases where there are predators that target both boys and girls. And if they view themselves as a child, they "as that child" are a bisexual. Even though they are also a predator.

And look. Anyone can be a predator no matter their orientation. But understand me when I say this. This researcher seems to be a fucking phantom. And given the subject matter they have produced, I don't like that. Several conclusions seemed rushed and don't fully add up.

[cattarattat]

A MUST, MUST, MUST READ/WATCH!!!

The reality is boys and girls are more likely to be molested/raped by heterosexual males than by anyone within the LGBTQIA community.

What do predatory heterosexual males GAIN from convincing the American public illegitimately that the LGBTQIA community is to be feared as the main sexual predators of children???

Parents will be MORE LIKELY to PLACE BLAME UPON & ATTACK innocent members of the LGBTQIA community while predatory heterosexual males making up the predatory majority FALL UNDER THE PARENTS' RADAR.

STOP the homophobic hating, START educating the public about actual statistical facts.

"…There are several myths that we work to dismantle for our audiences so that they can be aware of the real risks and can better protect the children in their lives.

Science and case management experience has shown us that MOST CHILD MOLESTERS ARE HETEROSEXUAL. Abuse is about power and control and is not anchored by sexual orientation. Dr. Gene Abel, a researcher in the field of sexual violence for over twenty-five years, wrote an article for the average parent in Redbook magazine to take the knowledge he gained in doing over 100 scientific articles to provide specific warning signs for parents and caregivers. In this article, he explicitly states that most cases of boys being molested are attributed to heterosexuals.

'…[M]ost men who molest little boys are not gay. Only 21 percent of the child molesters we studied who assault little boys were exclusively homosexual. Nearly 80 percent of the men who molested little boys were heterosexual or bisexual and most of these men were married and had children of their own.'

Dr. A. Nicholas Groth, researcher on adult male offenders and author of 'Men Who Rape: Psychology of the Offender', states that it is a myth that adult males who molest boys are homosexual. He provides several clinical examples to back up his finding including the connection that molesters see themselves in their victims, but would not be attracted to adult males.

'…They see the boy as a projected representation of themselves. They feel themselves to be more child than adult – more boys than men – and therefore find themselves more comfortable (especially sexually) in the company of children….' (Groth, 1982)

Medical data backs up this psychological observation. In a 1994 study, researchers reviewed 352 medical charts, representing all of the children seen in the emergency room or child abuse clinic of a Denver children’s hospital as a result of being sexually abused. In looking at charts for a one year period (from July 1, 1991 to June 30, 1992), the researchers found that the molester was a gay or lesbian adult in fewer than 1 percent of cases (2 of 269) in which the adult molester could be identified. (Jenny, Roesler, and Poyer, 1994).

Thankfully, most Americans have heard that message loud and clear. In a 1999 random digit dialing phone survey, the belief that most gay men are likely to molest or abuse children was endorsed by only 19 percent of heterosexual men and 10 percent of heterosexual women (Herek, G.M., 2002).

It is our goal to provide quality prevention education that is backed up by science and clinical experience to the families and organizations that we serve. We do help caregivers understand the difference between sexual orientation and sexual abuse so that they can keep their children safe. The prevention focus is on behavior and not relationship. The question has changed from 'do you know this person?' to 'how does this person make you feel?' Knowing that most child molesters are heterosexual in their consensual sexual activities, we take the focus off of orientation and put the focus where it belongs, ON THE BEHAVIOR." (uppercase mine)

https://www.zeroabuseproject.org/victim-assistance/jwrc/keep-kids-safe/sexuality-of-offenders/

[popculturebrain]

Here are the nominees for the 92nd Academy Awards

Best Picture:

“Ford v Ferrari” “The Irishman” “Jojo Rabbit” “Joker” “Little Women” “Marriage Story” “1917” “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” “Parasite”

Lead Actor:

Antonio Banderas “Pain and Glory” Leonardo DiCaprio “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” Adam Driver “Marriage Story” Joaquin Phoenix “Joker” Jonathan Pryce “The Two Popes”

Lead Actress:

Cynthia Erivo “Harriet” Scarlett Johansson “Marriage Story” Saoirse Ronan “Little Women” Charlize Theron “Bombshell” Renee Zellweger “Judy”

Supporting Actor:

Tom Hanks, “A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood” Anthony Hopkins, “The Two Popes” Al Pacino, “The Irishman” Joe Pesci, “The Irishman” Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

Supporting Actress:

Kathy Bates, “Richard Jewell” Laura Dern, “Marriage Story” Scarlett Johansson, “Jojo Rabbit” Florence Pugh, “Little Women” Margot Robbie, “Bombshell”

Director:

Martin Scorsese, “The Irishman” Todd Phillips, “Joker” Sam Mendes, “1917” Quentin Tarantino, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” Bong Joon Ho, “Parasite”

Animated Feature:

“How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World” Dean DeBlois “I Lost My Body” Jeremy Clapin “Klaus” Sergio Pablos “Missing Link” Chris Butler “Toy Story 4”  Josh Cooley

Animated Short:

“Dcera,” Daria Kashcheeva “Hair Love,” Matthew A. Cherry “Kitbull,” Rosana Sullivan “Memorable,” Bruno Collet “Sister,” Siqi Song

Adapted Screenplay:

“The Irishman,” Steven Zaillian “Jojo Rabbit,” Taika Waititi “Joker,” Todd Phillips, Scott Silver “Little Women,” Greta Gerwig “The Two Popes,” Anthony McCarten

Original Screenplay:

“Knives Out,” Rian Johnson “Marriage Story,” Noah Baumbach “1917,” Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Quentin Tarantino “Parasite,” Bong Joon-ho, Jin Won Han

Cinematography:

“The Irishman,” Rodrigo Prieto “Joker,” Lawrence Sher “The Lighthouse,” Jarin Blaschke “1917,” Roger Deakins “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Robert Richardson

Best Documentary Feature:

“American Factory,” Julia Rieichert, Steven Bognar “The Cave,” Feras Fayyad “The Edge of Democracy,” Petra Costa “For Sama,” Waad Al-Kateab, Edward Watts “Honeyland,” Tamara Kotevska, Ljubo Stefanov

Best Documentary Short Subject:

“In the Absence,” Yi Seung-Jun and Gary Byung-Seok Kam “Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone,” Carol Dysinger “Life Overtakes Me,” Kristine Samuelson and John Haptas “St. Louis Superman,” Smriti Mundhra and Sami Khan “Walk Run Cha-Cha,” Laura Nix

Best Live Action Short Film:

“Brotherhood,” Meryam Joobeur “Nefta Football Club,” Yves Piat “The Neighbors’ Window,” Marshall Curry “Saria,” Bryan Buckley “A Sister,” Delphine Girard

Best International Feature Film:

“Corpus Christi,” Jan Komasa “Honeyland,” Tamara Kotevska, Ljubo Stefanov “Les Miserables,” Ladj Ly “Pain and Glory,” Pedro Almodovar “Parasite,” Bong Joon Ho

Film Editing:

“Ford v Ferrari,” Michael McCusker, Andrew Buckland “The Irishman,” Thelma Schoonmaker “Jojo Rabbit,” Tom Eagles “Joker,” Jeff Groth “Parasite,” Jinmo Yang

Sound Editing:

“Ford v Ferrari,” Don Sylvester “Joker,” Alan Robert Murray “1917,” Oliver Tarney, Rachel Tate “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Wylie Stateman “Star Wars: The Rise of SkyWalker,” Matthew Wood, David Acord

Sound Mixing:

“Ad Astra” “Ford v Ferrari” “Joker” “1917” “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

Production Design:

“The Irishman,” Bob Shaw and Regina Graves “Jojo Rabbit,” Ra Vincent and Nora Sopkova “1917,” Dennis Gassner and Lee Sandales “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Barbara Ling and Nancy Haigh “Parasite,” Lee Ha-Jun and Cho Won Woo, Han Ga Ram, and Cho Hee

Original Score:

“Joker,” Hildur Guðnadóttir “Little Women,” Alexandre Desplat “Marriage Story,” Randy Newman “1917,” Thomas Newman “Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” John Williams*“The King,” Nicholas Britell

Original Song:

“I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away,” “Toy Story 4” “I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” “Rocketman” “I’m Standing With You,” “Breakthrough” “Into the Unknown,” “Frozen 2” “Stand Up,” “Harriet”

Makeup and Hair:

“Bombshell” “Joker” “Judy” “Maleficent: Mistress of Evil” “1917”

Costume Design:

”The Irishman,” Sandy Powell, Christopher Peterson “Jojo Rabbit,” Mayes C. Rubeo “Joker,” Mark Bridges “Little Women,” Jacqueline Durran “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Arianne Phillips

Visual Effects:

“Avengers Endgame” “The Irishman” “1917” “The Lion King” “Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker”

[rapeculturerealities]

Jennifer Kent’s 2014 directorial debut, The Babadook, grappled with the difficulty of confronting interior demons. The horror depicted in The Nightingale is that of colonial violence’s endlessness, a war for power designed to go on forever. Within The Nightingale’s landscape, rape is depicted as a tool used to oppress, an assertion of dominance over the collective bodies of women—especially those who are already marginalized and thus easier to control and disappear if necessary. But despite its brutality, The Nightingale is conservative in its depiction of bodies, with tight shots that keep the focus on emotion and the intent in the eyes. The Nightingale has been erroneously referred to as a rape-revenge story, but unlike the male directors who populate that genre, Kent depicts rape with no eroticism at all. These are violent expressions of power and domination, not passionate acts, and the film has a deep understanding of this fact.

Rape-revenge films historically obscure the emotional and psychological effects of rape on its victims, instead creating simple narratives wherein unspeakable violence (rape) is later repaid with violence that is more culturally acceptable (murder). Rape and murder often go hand in hand in discussions of crime, suggesting that there is a universal understanding that one is just as bad as the other. But that’s never been the case: We live in a culture that refuses to peel back the complexities of rape while simultaneously having an unsettling fascination with murder, one that has led to a certain numbness to the act itself. No one is immune to rape, and no one wants to believe that they are capable of committing such a crime. We now know more—and talk more—than we ever have about rape and the culture that has numbed us to it, but a cultural refusal to broach the issue critically remains.

In the Q&A following a screening of The Nightingale at the Brooklyn Academy of Music, Kent revealed that she read A. Nicholas Groth’s 1979 book, Men Who Rape: The Psychology of the Offender, while preparing to direct the film, emphasizing a need to understand her own male characters and their impulses. During filming, a psychologist who specializes in sexual violence was on set to support the cast and crew. The director also stressed the importance of taking special care with her performers, noting that even simulated rape can leave emotional scars. “You have to love your actors,” she said. And you could hear it in her voice that she did. “Sam [Claflin] cried after the especially brutal scenes. We made sure that he had the comfort and support he needed.”

By depicting rape as a tool of colonial oppression, The Nightingale perfectly highlights the power structures that created rape culture. Within the story, men are killed—shot point blank, often by other men, with no lingering. The end is abrupt and the pain is quick. But for women, both Black and white, agony is protracted and violation reaches into their very spirits. Men take their time breaking women, and there are systems in place to ensure that pain is drawn out to the very last second. Throughout the entire film, Clare only kills one person. The scene is lengthy in contrast to the other murders in the film. Clare gets one clear chance to mimic the brutality of men, using a knife to repeatedly pierce her victim’s body. Once she’s finished, she loses the stomach for it, abandoning her weapons in an effort to remove herself from the cycle of violence. She knows being violent toward others won’t help her retrieve what’s been stolen from her.

read more

[filmspun]

Oscar Nominations 2020: The Complete List

The Academy Awards will air on ABC on February 9, 2020

Best Picture:

“Ford v Ferrari”

“The Irishman”

“Jojo Rabbit”

“Joker”

“Little Women”

“Marriage Story”

“1917”

“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

“Parasite”

Lead Actor:

Antonio Banderas “Pain and Glory”

Leonardo DiCaprio “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

Adam Driver “Marriage Story”

Joaquin Phoenix “Joker”

Jonathan Pryce “The Two Popes”

Lead Actress:

Cynthia Erivo “Harriet”

Scarlett Johansson “Marriage Story”

Saoirse Ronan “Little Women”

Charlize Theron “Bombshell”

Renee Zellweger “Judy”

Supporting Actor:

Tom Hanks, “A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood”

Anthony Hopkins, “The Two Popes”

Al Pacino, “The Irishman”

Joe Pesci, “The Irishman”

Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

Supporting Actress:

Kathy Bates, “Richard Jewell”

Laura Dern, “Marriage Story”

Scarlett Johannson, “Jojo Rabbit”

Florence Pugh, “Little Women”

Margot Robbie, “Bombshell”

Director:

Martin Scorsese, “The Irishman”

Todd Phillips, “Joker”

Sam Mendes, “1917”

Quentin Tarantino, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

Bong Joon Ho, “Parasite”

Animated Feature:

“How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World” Dean DeBlois

“I Lost My Body” Jeremy Clapin

“Klaus” Sergio Pablos

“Missing Link” Chris Butler

“Toy Story 4”  Josh Cooley

Animated Short:

“Dcera,” Daria Kashcheeva

“Hair Love,” Matthew A. Cherry

“Kitbull,” Rosana Sullivan

“Memorable,” Bruno Collet

“Sister,” Siqi Song

Adapted Screenplay:

“The Irishman,” Steven Zaillian

“Jojo Rabbit,” Taika Waititi

“Joker,” Todd Phillips, Scott Silver

“Just Mercy” Destin Daniel Cretton and Andrew Lanham

“Little Women,” Greta Gerwig

“The Two Popes,” Anthony McCarten

Original Screenplay:

“Knives Out,” Rian Johnson

“Marriage Story,” Noah Baumbach

“1917,” Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns

“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Quentin Tarantino

“Parasite,” Bong Joon-ho, Jin Won Han

Cinematography:

“The Irishman,” Rodrigo Prieto

“Joker,” Lawrence Sher

“The Lighthouse,” Jarin Blaschke

“1917,” Roger Deakins

“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Robert Richardson

Best Documentary Feature:

“American Factory,” Julia Rieichert, Steven Bognar

“The Cave,” Feras Fayyad

“The Edge of Democracy,” Petra Costa

“For Sama,” Waad Al-Kateab, Edward Watts

“Honeyland,” Tamara Kotevska, Ljubo Stefanov

Best Documentary Short Subject:

“In the Absence”

“Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone,” Carol Dysinger

“Life Overtakes Me,” Kristine Samuelson, John Haptas

“St. Louis Superman”

“Walk Run Cha-Cha,” Laura Nix

Best Live Action Short Film:

“Brotherhood,” Meryam Joobeur

“Nefta Football Club,” Yves Piat

“The Neighbors’ Window,” Marshall Curry

“Saria,” Bryan Buckley

“A Sister,” Delphine Girard

Best International Feature Film:

“Corpus Christi,” Jan Komasa

“Honeyland,” Tamara Kotevska, Ljubo Stefanov

“Les Miserables,” Ladj Ly

“Pain and Glory,” Pedro Almodovar

“Parasite,” Bong Joon Ho

Film Editing:

“Ford v Ferrari,” Michael McCusker, Andrew Buckland

“The Irishman,” Thelma Schoonmaker

“Jojo Rabbit,” Tom Eagles

“Joker,” Jeff Groth

“Parasite,” Jinmo Yang

Sound Editing:

“Ford v Ferrari,” Don Sylvester

“Joker,” Alan Robert Murray

“1917,” Oliver Tarney, Rachel Tate

“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Wylie Stateman

“Star Wars: The Rise of SkyWalker,” Matthew Wood, David Acord

Sound Mixing:

“Ad Astra”

 “Ford v Ferrari”

“Joker”

“1917”

“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

Production Design:

“The Irishman,” Bob Shaw and Regina Graves

“Jojo Rabbit,” Ra Vincent and Nora Sopkova

“1917,” Dennis Gassner and Lee Sandales

“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Barbara Ling and Nancy Haigh

“Parasite,” Lee Ha-Jun and Cho Won Woo, Han Ga Ram, and Cho Hee

Original Score:

“Joker,” Hildur Guðnadóttir

“Little Women,” Alexandre Desplat

“Marriage Story,”Randy Newman

“1917,” Thomas Newman

“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” John Williams*“The King,” Nicholas Britell

Original Song:

“I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away,” “Toy Story 4”

“I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” “Rocketman”

“I’m Standing With You,” “Breakthrough”

“Into the Unknown,” “Frozen 2”

“Stand Up,” “Harriet”

Makeup and Hair:

“Bombshell”

“Joker”

“Judy”

“Maleficent: Mistress of Evil”

“1917”

Costume Design:

”The Irishman,” Sandy Powell, Christopher Peterson

“Jojo Rabbit,” Mayes C. Rubeo

“Joker,” Mark Bridges

“Little Women,” Jacqueline Durran

“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Arianne Phillips

Visual Effects:

“Avengers Endgame”

“The Irishman”

“1917”

“The Lion King”

“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker”

[honeysources]

ICON AND GIF HUNT PACK!

Over a year ago I made a icon and gif hunt blog called modelrps. I haven't been on top of posting and updating it, and decided to get rid of the blog. Instead of deleting all the content I'm just going to pile it into one zip file and post it here!

This pack contains over 95 subfolders of icons and gifs of various models and celebrities. Each person does not have a single zip file, so under the cut you will find info on which celebrities this zip contains and how many icons and gifs there are for them. Also in this pack is the psds I used for the icons and gifs.

The photos and videos used are fairly old, so for some it may be outdated. However, I hope some of you find it helpful! No need to credit me, just like or reblog if using.

DOWNLOAD HERE!

Luma Grothe: Icons (27) & Gifs (23) Elsa Hosk: Icons (30) & Gifs (14) Andreea Diaconu: Icons (20) & Gifs (44) Cami Morrone: Icons (24) & Gifs (4) Dua Lipa: Icons (21) & Gifs (9) Maddie Ziegler: Icons (20) & Gifs (74) Arielle Vandenberg: Icons (21) & Gifs (20) Bambi Northwood-Blythe: Icons (21) & Gifs (22) Duckie Thot: Icons (16) Fei Fei Sun: Icons (20) & Gifs (23) Frida Gustavsson: Icons (20) Bee 'Melvnin': Icons (16) Hailey Clauson: Icons (20) & Gifs (12) Riley Montana: Icons (20) Senait Gidey: Icons (20) & Gifs (8) Sasha Lush: Icons (20) & Gifs (13) Daniela Braga: Icons (20) & Gifs (10) Daphne Groeneveld: Icons (20) & Gifs (23) Hanna Verhees: Icons (22) Jena Goldsack: Icons (21) Matthew Noszka: Gifs (67) Josephine Skriver: Icons (20) & Gifs (27) Sabrina Carpenter: Icons (20) Bianca Balti: Icons (20) Ajak Deng: Icons (20) & Gifs (5) Suki Waterhouse: Icons (20) & Gifs (15) Bridget Satterlee: Icons (20) & Gifs (7) O'shea Robertson: Icons (18) Natalie Alyn Lind: Gifs (20) Neelam Gill: Icons (20) & Gifs (28) Kelly Gale: Icons (20) & Gifs (43) Joanna Halpin: Icons (25) & Gifs (31) Gizele Oliveria: Icons (21) Ashley Moore: Icons (27) & Gifs (9) Cailin Russo: Icons (23) & Gifs (11) Lais Ribeiro: Icons (20) Candice Swanepoel: Icons (24) & Gifs (47) Emily Ratajkowksi: Icons (20) & Gifs (40) Kaia Gerber: Icons (21) & Gifs (29) Lauren de Graaf: Icons (29) Leila Rahimi: Icons (20) Lily Maymac: Icons (20) & Gifs (41) Lorde: Icons (20) & Gifs (41) Magdalena Frackowiak: Icons (22) Mayowa Nicholas: Icons (20) Nyasha Matonhodze: Icons (20) Paige Reifler: Icons (23) Farhiya Shire: Icons (21) Adelaide Kane: Icons (20) Wildfox (brand): Icons (105) Jasmine Tookes: Icons (20) & Gifs (28) Imaan Hammam: Icons (20) Frida Aasen: Icons (20) & Gifs (9) Shelby Hamilton: Icons (20) & Gifs (30) Sui He: Icons (20) Sean O'Donnell: Gifs (40) Karlie Kloss: Icons (20) & Gifs (44) Alexandra Axelina: Icons (20) Shanina Shaik: Icons (20) Nadia Aboulhosn: Icons (20) Gemma Ward: Icons (20) Scarlett Leithold: Icons (20) & Gifs (7) Georgia Fowler: Icons (21) & Gifs (15) Xiao Wen Ju: Icons (20) & Gifs (23) Sydney Carlson: Icons (20) & Gifs (59) Amanda Steele: Icons (20) & Gifs (25) Diana Silvers: Icons (20) Cassie Amato: Icons (18) Ali Michael: Icons (20) Bruna Lirio: Icons (20) Tashi Rodriguez: Icons (19) Chloe Lukasiak: Icons (20) & Gifs (42) Dylan Jagger Lee: Gifs (15) Charli XCX: Icons (20) & Gifs (27) Kendall Vertes: Icons (19) & Gifs (53) Nia Sioux: Icons (19) & Gifs (35) Kalani Hilliker: Icons (20) & Gofs (16) Nicola Peltz: Icons (24) & Gifs (29) Nyane Lebajoa: Icons (22) & Gifs (11) Justine Skye: Icons (20) & Gifs (6) Romee Strijd: Icons (20) & Gifs (52) Leomie Anderson: Icons (20) & Gifs (50) Nadine Leopold: Icons (20) & Gifs (14) Mulan Bae (Yoon Young Bae): Icons (20) Ming Xi: Icons (19) Frederikke Sofie: Icons (20) Nicole Zimmermann: Icons (20) Amilna Estevao: Icons (20) Billie EIlish: Icons (20) & Gifs (47) Chloe Bridges: Icons (20) Sonia Ben Ammar: Icons (20) & Gifs (8) Mica Argañaraz: Icons (19) & Gifs (2) Skai Jackson: Icons (20) Liya Kebede: Icons (16) Alyssa Miller: Icons (20) & Gifs (33)

[skeptic42]

So, I stumbled Across this...

Hate speech.  All of it.

Supposedly, 92% of same sex partners abuse their children per this study.   There is some concern by the publishers, Hindawi, of the study.  (I’ve never heard of them, so can’t comment on the level of quality they normally publish.  There is a letter to the editor questioning the study, and the author’s response.

Looking closer at this “study,” it isn’t actually an in-depth study of children living with same-sex partners.  It’s a rehash of another on-going study that’s been running since 1995.  In that study, there are thousands of subjects involved (though the numbers continue to drop with each round of questioning.)

Now, I found the table on page where the alleged 92% comes from.

Measured at Wave III, Opposite Sex (OS) parent at 58.2% while Same Sex (SS) parent indeed at 92%.  Going down you’ll notice the first problem.  At the bottom of the table the number of OS parents is over 12,000.  The number of SS parents is at, wait for it........ 20.  That’s right.  This “data” is based off of 20 cases.  Now, mind you, the conclusion is derived from an extremely small sample size.  Further, the data is taken from 2001-2002.  Long before the legalization of same-sex marriages.

Further, is the bias injected by the author (ironically a catholic priest), a member of The Catholic University of America.  While this alone doesn’t invalidate the data, combined with the fact that he is using an extremely small sample size constitutes hate speech and academic failure.

This is the perfect example of piss-poor, biased data massaging by a hate-mongering homophobe.

And then there was this...

40% of sexual predators are “fags.”

Try this:

The distinction between a victim's gender and a perpetrator's sexual orientation is important because many child molesters don't really have an adult sexual orientation. They have never developed the capacity for mature sexual relationships with other adults, either men or women. Instead, their sexual attractions focus on children – boys, girls, or children of both sexes.

and here:

Dr. A. Nicholas Groth, researcher on adult male offenders and author of "Men Who Rape: Psychology of the Offender", states that it is a myth that adult males who molest boys are homosexual. He provides several clinical examples to back up his finding including the connection that molesters see themselves in their victims, but would not be attracted to adult males.

"…They see the boy as a projected representation of themselves. They feel themselves to be more child than adult – more boys than men – and therefore find themselves more comfortable (especially sexually) in the company of children...." (Groth, 1982)

Medical data backs up this psychological observation. In a 1994 study, researchers reviewed 352 medical charts, representing all of the children seen in the emergency room or child abuse clinic of a Denver children’s hospital as a result of being sexually abused. In looking at charts for a one year period (from July 1, 1991 to June 30, 1992), the researchers found that the molester was a gay or lesbian adult in fewer than 1 percent of cases (2 of 269) in which the adult molester could be identified. (Jenny, Roesler, and Poyer, 1994).

(emphasis is mine, bold epmhasis in original)

Child sex abuse has nothing to do with sexual orientation.

So this also is a lie.

As well as this...

So, 3% of the population accounts for the vast majority of major health issues.  Sourced from the CDC.  This is actually extremely hard to track down at the CDC website.  While the HIV is probably true, I had to search elsewhere.  There does indeed seem to be a disproportionate number of new cases (HBV, syphilis) being men who have sex with men in the UK.

Over half of new anal cancer cases in the UK (1,300) are diagnosed in people over 65.  Old age seems to be the more likely cause, though HPV and lifestyle can increase the likelihood.

So, while all of this may be true, it’s actual social value reaches the grand height of 0.  Zip, zilch, zero, nada, nothing.  It is nothing more than hate speech.

In fact, taking the 3% of the population and the less than 1% of child molesters being gay or lesbian, shows that children are even safer with LGBTQ people/parents than with heterosexual people/parents.  And it disproves the supposed “study” by the catholic priest LGBTQ hater.

He’s actually more likely to abuse children than anyone in the LGBTQ community.  I suspect his supposed study is actually a smoke screen.

tagging @jewishmagpie

[nicholasgroth1]

Nicholas Groth

Though I can’t use them as much anymore, I am highly specialized in the skills of teaching and education, both in a school setting and sports setting. I have been able to maintain strong organizational and leadership skills in working with different companies and people, creating a new path forward for my life, and in setting up my own business. I am a very driven individual who wants to be the best at whatever I’m pursuing. From winning valedictorian to winning around 20 baseball championships as a coach to having the best end-of-year student progress reports for my class in the entire district, I want to excel at everything I do. My willpower, competitiveness, and mindset that everything is able to be figured out would be some of my greatest strengths.

[davidtennantbrasil]

CRIMINAL: Netflix anunciou nova série de drama policial com David Tennant e nomes como Hayley Atwell e Nicholas Pinnock no elenco!

A Netflix revelou hoje mais detalhes e o elenco de sua nova série policial intitulada “Criminal”. Ela vai consistir em 12 episódios de 45 minutos, cada um deles em quatro países, equipes e línguas diferentes – Reino Unido, Espanha, França e Alemanha. A história focará em uma sala de interrogatório e no tenso conflito psicológico entre policial e suspeito.

Tendo como showrunners George Kay e Jim Field Smith, e na direção Jimmy Smith, todos os episódios serão filmados no centro de produção da Netflix em Ciudad de la Tele, em Madri.

Cada país contará com três episódios na temporada.

David atuará na produção inglesa, assim como Hayley Atwell, Katherine Kelly Lee Ingleby, Mark Stanley, Rochenda Sandall, Shubha, Saraf, Youssef Kerkour e Clare-Hope Ashitey.

Nos episódios franceses atuarão Margot Bancilhon e Laurent Lucas, nos alemães Eva Meckbach e Sylvester Groth e nos espanhóis Jorge Bosch, José Angel Egido e Nuria Mencia.

A Netflix ainda não anunciou a data de estreia da série.

Vídeo original

[arcticdementor]

America’s fertility rate has fallen to its lowest point in history, 1.73 babies per woman, according to data just released by the Centers for Disease Control. The truth is starker still around much of the developed world, as noted by a new Institute for Family Studies report. Across Europe and Asia especially, each year brings more countries hitting their lowest fertility rates in history. In South Korea, for instance, the average woman can now expect to have less than one child.

…

In fact, we should care that fertility is falling, for at least three big reasons.

First and foremost, the reality is that fertility rates around the world, and in the United States, are lower than what women themselves say they want. About 40 percent of American women in their 40s report that they would like to have more children than they currently do. This figure is markedly larger than the approximately 20 percent of their peers who say they have more children than they would like. Such numbers are worrying because research tells us that women who “miss” their fertility ideals tend to be less happy than those who make them.

Secondly, low birth rates can also have seismic economic consequences. A growing chorus of economists have begun to argue that slow population growth makes us all poorer. Declines in childbearing often “portend ominous change in economic prospects [for countries]: major increases in public debt burdens, and slower economic growth” because they eventually lead to declines in the number of adults working, absent major immigration, as the political economists Nicholas Eberstadt and Hans Groth have noted.

…

Finally, as J.D. Vance wryly observed at The American Conservative’s annual gala in May, “We should care about declining fertility, not just because it’s bad for our economy, but because we think babies are good, and we think babies are good because we’re not sociopaths.” Babies can be transformative for the men and women who have them, and for the families they build and grow.

…

For evidence in support of Vance’s view, one need only look to Japan. In the land of the setting sun, long-term low fertility has dealt a devastating blow to kinship ties and family life. Thanks to the very rapid fertility transition in Japan two generations ago, scores of older Japanese men and women face the prospect of lonely lives and lonelier deaths. Japanese retirees with fewer children, not to mention grandchildren, are often unvisited and cut off from the life of the young. As The New York Times reported in a harrowing account of the lonely old in Japan, “The extreme isolation of elderly Japanese is so common that an entire industry has emerged around it, specializing in cleaning out apartments where decomposing remains are found.”

[vsangelssparkle]

Casting (Callbacks):

1.    Abby Champion (Callbacks)

2.    Adrianna Bach

3.    Aiden Curtiss (Callbacks)

4.    Alana Felisberto (Callbacks)

5.    Alana Henry

6.    Alanna Arrington (Callbacks)

7.    Alannah Walton (Callbacks)

8.    Alecia Morais (Callbacks)

9.    Alessia Mertz

10.  Alexandra Bonnesen

11.  Alexina Graham (Gerücht: ohne Casting dabei)

12.  Aleyna Fitzgerald (Callbacks)

13.  Alicia Burke

14.  Alicia Burke (Callbacks)

15.  Alicia Herbeth

16.  Alina Bobyleva

17.  Alyssa Riley (Callbacks)

18.  Ambra Battilana Gutierrez

19.  Amilna Estevao (Callbacks)

20.  Amira Pinheiro

21.  Amy Black

22.  Anabela Belikava

23.  Anamarija Crnoja

24.  Anastasia Panasenko

25.  Angelica Erthal

26.  Ange-Marie Moutambou

27.  Anne de Paula

28.  Antonina Petkovic (Callbacks)

29.  Aqua Parios (Callbacks)

30.  Ariela Soares

31.  Ashika Pratt

32.  Ashley Karah

33.  Aube Jolicoeur

34.  Azlin Nicolette

35.  Barbara Fialho (Gerücht: ohne Casting dabei)

36.  Barbara Palvin (Callbacks)

37.  Barbara Valente

38.  Barbra Lee Grant

39.  Blanca Padilla (Callbacks)

40.  Bojana Krsmanovic

41.  Brittany Noon (Callbacks)

42.  Brittni Tucker (Callbacks)

43.  Brooke Lynn Buchanan

44.  Brooke Perry (Callbacks)

45.  Bruna Lirio (Callbacks)

46.  Camille Opp

47.  Candice Blackburn

48.  Carmen Bruendler

49.  Carola Remer

50.  Carolina Sanchez

51.  Catherine Laylin

52.  Cayley King

53.  Chantal Monaghan

54.  Charlee Fraser

55.  Charlotte D’Alessio

56.  Charlotte Rose Hansen

57.  Chase Carter (Callbacks)

58.  Chelsey Weimar

59.  Chen Estelle (Callbacks)

60.  Cheyenne Maya Carty (Callbacks)

61.  Chiharu Okunugi (Callbacks)

62.  Chloe Braaten

63.  Chuyan He (Callbacks)

64.  Cindy Bruna (Gerücht: ohne Casting dabei)

65.  Cindy Mello

66.  Dahlia Savic

67.  Daiane Sodre

68.  Daniela Braga (Callbacks)

69.  Danielle Herrington (Callbacks)

70.  Danielle Knudson (Callbacks)

71.  Dasha Malentina (Callbacks)

72.  Destene Marie

73.  Devon Windsor (Callbacks)

74.  Dilan Cicek Deniz

75.  Dilone (Callbacks)

76.  Domonique Babineaux

77.  Duckie Thot (Callbacks)

78.  Ebonee Davis (Callbacks)

79.  Effy Harvard

80.  Elena Matei

81.  Elizabeth Turner

82.  Ella Rattigan

83.  Ellen Rosa (Callbacks)

84.  Elsa Baldaia

85.  Emma Bartlett

86.  Emma Brandstrup

87.  Eniko Mihalik (Callbacks)

88.  Eniola Abioro (Callbacks)

89.  Erin Eliopulos

90.  Eva Adams (Callbacks)

91.  Eva Berzina (Callbacks)

92.  Faith Lynch

93.  Fernanda Ly (Callbacks)

94.  Fernanda Oliveira (Callbacks)

95.  Fiona Briseno

96.  Flavia Lucini (Callbacks)

97.  Frida Aasen (Callbacks)

98.  Gabrielle Caunesil (Callbacks)

99.  Georgia Fowler (Callbacks)

100.               Georgia Gibbs

101.               Gizele Oliveira (Callbacks)

102.               Grace Bol (Callbacks)

103.               Grace Elizabeth (ohne Casting dabei)

104.               Greta Varlese (Callbacks)

105.               Gwen van Meir

106.               Hailey Clauson (Callbacks)

107.               Hannah Donker

108.               Hannah Ferguson (Callbacks)

109.               He Cong (Callbacks)

110.               Herieth Paul (Callbacks)

111.               I-Hua

112.               Iana Godnia

113.               Iesha Hodges (Callbacks)

114.               Imade Ogbewi

115.               India Makailah Graham

116.               Isabel Scholten (Callbacks)

117.               Isilda Moreira (Callbacks)

118.               Iwanna Bella

119.               Jamea Byrd

120.               Jasmine Daniels

121.               Jasmine Sanders (Callbacks)

122.               Jessica Clements (Callbacks)

123.               Jessica Strother

124.               Jessica Whitlow

125.               Jessie Li

126.               Joanna Bella

127.               Johanna Szikszai

128.               Jordan Rand (Callbacks)

129.               Josephine Le Tutour (Callbacks)

130.               Josie Canseco (Callbacks)

131.               Jourdana Elizabeth (Callbacks)

132.               Joy van der Eecken

133.               Juana Burga

134.               Julia Banas

135.               Julia Belyakova (Callbacks)

136.               Kamila Hansen

137.               Kate Bock (Callbacks)

138.               Kate Grigorieva (Callbacks)

139.               Kate Li (Callbacks)

140.               Keke Lindgard

141.               Keliani Asmus

142.               Kelly Gale (Callbacks)

143.               Kelsey Merritt (Callbacks)

144.               Kennidy Hunter

145.               Kiko Arai

146.               Kirstin Liljegren

147.               Kristina Perie

148.               Kristina Romanova (Callbacks)

149.               Lais Oliveira (Callbacks)

150.               Lameka Fox (Callbacks)

151.               Lara Ghraoui (Callbacks)

152.               Lara Helmer

153.               Lauren de Graaf (Callbacks)

154.               Lauren Layne

155.               Leila Nda (Callbacks)

156.               Leomie Anderson (Callbacks)

157.               Lexi Hipchen

158.               Lieke van Houten

159.               Lilly-Marie Liegau

160.               Lily Fofana

161.               Linda Helena

162.               Lini Kennedy

163.               Lola Hendrickx Lomijoh

164.               Lorena Rae (Callbacks)

165.               Lotta Kaijarvi (Callbacks)

166.               Lotta Maybelake (Callbacks)

167.               Lucia Lopez (Callbacks)

168.               Luma Grothe (Callbacks)

169.               Luna Castilho

170.               Maartje Verhoef (Callbacks)

171.               Mackinley Hill

172.               Madisin Rian

173.               Madison Headrick

174.               Madison Kirkbride

175.               Maeva Marshall

176.               Maggie Laine (ohne Casting dabei)

177.               Maia Cotton (Callbacks)

178.               Malaika Firth

179.               Mame Camara (Callbacks)

180.               Margaret Elson

181.               Maria Borges (Callbacks)

182.               Mariah Strongin

183.               Mariama Diallo

184.               Marianne Forseca

185.               Martine Fox

186.               Maya Stepper

187.               Mayowa Nicholas (Callbacks)

188.               McKenna Hellam

189.               Megan Irminger

190.               Megan Puleri

191.               Megan Williams (Callbacks)

192.               Melie Tiacoh (Callbacks)

193.               Melissa Cuc

194.               Melodie Vroom

195.               Melodie Vaxelaire (Callbacks)

196.               Meri Gulin

197.               Mia Jokic

198.               Mia Speicher

199.               Michelle Dantas

200.               Michelle van Bijnen

201.               Michelle Xavier

202.               Michi Delane

203.               Mileshka Cortes (Callbacks)

204.               Mili Boskovic

205.               Ming Xi (Gerücht: ohne Casting dabei)

206.               Miquela Vos (Callbacks)

207.               Moa Aberg

208.               Monica Cima (Callbacks)

209.               Myla Dalbesio (Callbacks)

210.               Myrthe Bolt (Callbacks)

211.               Nadine Leopold (Callbacks)

212.               Naki Depass

213.               Natalia Sirotina

214.               Neelam Gill

215.               Nibar Madar

216.               Nicole Potur

217.               Noel Capri Berry

218.               Olivia Edit Aarnio

219.               One Wy (Callbacks)

220.               Ophelie Guillermand (Callbacks)

221.               Oumie Jammeh (Callbacks)

222.               Paige Reifler

223.               Pamela Ramos

224.               Paulina Frankowska

225.               Pauline Hoarau (Callbacks)

226.               Peyton Olivia Knight

227.               Pooja Mor

228.               Raven Lyn

229.               Raylane Raysa

230.               Regan Kemper (Callbacks)

231.               Regitze Christensen

232.               Riane Herzik (Callbacks)

233.               Riley Montana (Callbacks)

234.               Robin Marjolein Holzken (Callbacks)

235.               Rocio Crusset

236.               Roos Abels (Callbacks)

237.               Roosmarijn de Kok (Callbacks)

238.               Rosmary Altuve Gomez

239.               Rubina Dyan

240.               Sadie Newman (Callbacks)

241.               Samantha Archibald

242.               Samile Bermannelli (Callbacks)

243.               Sandra Martens

244.               Sanne Vloet (Callbacks)

245.               Sara Dijkink

246.               Sarah Fraser

247.               Sara Witt (Callbacks)

248.               Sasha Kichinga (Callbacks)

249.               Shanelle Nyasiase (Callbacks)

250.               Shani Zigron (Callbacks)

251.               Shanina Shaik (Callbacks)

252.               Sharina Gutierrez

253.               Shayna Terese Taylor (Callbacks)

254.               Soa Denise

255.               Sofia Jamora

256.               Sofia Resing (Callbacks)

257.               Sofie Grace Rovenstine (Callbacks)

258.               Solange van Doorn (Callbacks)

259.               Stamatina Vlami

260.               Stefanie Giesinger

261.               Stephanie Jackson

262.               Stephanie Lyne

263.               Subah Koj

264.               Sui He (Callbacks)

265.               Susanne Knipper

266.               Symone Challenger

267.               Taerlo Thein

268.               Tako Nats

269.               Tami Williams

270.               Tanya Kizko (Callbacks)

271.               Tarah Rodgers (Callbacks)

272.               Tatiana Ringsby (Callbacks)

273.               Toni Garrn (Callbacks)

274.               Valentina Sampaio

275.               Valery Kaufman (Callbacks)

276.               Vanessa Moody (Callbacks)

277.               Varsha Thapa

278.               Victoria Lee (Callbacks)

279.               Victoria Seng

280.               Vika Ihnatenko

281.               Wallette Watson

282.               Wanesa Milhomem

283.               Willow Hand (Callbacks)

284.               Winnie Harlow (Callbacks)

285.               Xiao Wen Ju (Callbacks)

286.               Xin Xie (Callbacks)

287.               Yada Villaret (Callbacks)

288.               Yana Trufano

289.               Yasmin Wijnaldum (Callbacks)

290.               Yovanna Ventura

291.               Ysaunny Brito

292.               Zahara Davis (Callbacks)

293.               Zoi Ageliki Mantzakanis

294.               Zorana Kuzmanovic

295.               Zuri Tibby (ohne Casting dabei)

[doomonfilm]

Winners : 92nd Annual Academy Awards Ceremony (2020)

NOTE - The following categories will be omitted from my predictions : ANIMATED FEATURE ANIMATED SHORT BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM ORIGINAL SONG

________________________________________

NOMINATIONS

BEST PICTURE

Ford v Ferrari (dir. James Mangold) The Irishman (dir. Martin Scorsese) Jojo Rabbit (dir. Taika Waititi) Joker (dir. Todd Phillips) Little Women (dir. Greta Gerwig) Marriage Story (dir. Noah Baumbach) 1917 (dir. Sam Mendes) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (dir. Quentin Tarantino) Parasite (dir. Bong Joon-ho)

prediction : Parasite (dir. Bong Joon-ho) winner : Parasite (dir. Bong Joon-ho)

thoughts : It was my favorite film of 2019, and my second favorite film of the decade.  I am extremely happy to see this juggernaut of a film have such an impressive night.

________________________________________

LEAD ACTOR

Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory) Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) Adam Driver (Marriage Story) Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)

prediction : Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) winner : Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

thoughts : Phoenix is rapidly becoming the defining actor of our generation, and his take on the Joker character is pitch-perfect considering the long-running success of the comic-based film.  A compelling experiment that has resulted in proper success for the man at the center of the beautiful storm.

________________________________________

LEAD ACTRESS

Cynthia Erivo (Harriet) Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story) Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) Charlize Theron (Bombshell) Renee Zellweger (Judy)

prediction : Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) winner : Renee Zellweger (Judy)

thoughts : This one shouldn’t have been a surprise, honestly, as Zellweger already pulled off a win at the Golden Globes, so props to her.  Sad that my girl Saoise didn’t win though, but I imagine she has years of powerful performances ahead of her. 

________________________________________

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood) Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes) Al Pacino (The Irishman) Joe Pesci (The Irishman) Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

prediction : Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) winner : Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

thoughts : This was a well-deserved win for Brad Pitt, as he brought some of the most natural charisma and on-screen chemistry with Leonardo DiCaprio to the table.  He also fit right in with the Spahn Ranch cast, as well as the top-tier production design.

________________________________________

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell) Laura Dern (Marriage Story) Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit) Florence Pugh (Little Women) Margot Robbie (Bombshell)

prediction : Laura Dern (Marriage Story) winner : Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

thoughts : In Netflix’s tour-de-force of acting, Dern was by far the most engaging and natural performance.  She’s an actress with an infinite amount of chops, and most importantly, she looks like she’s having fun nearly every time you see her on-screen these days.

________________________________________

DIRECTOR

Martin Scorsese (The Irishman) Todd Phillips (Joker) Sam Mendes (1917) Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

prediction : Bong Joon-ho (Parasite) winner : Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

thoughts : Another wonderful win for Bong Joon-ho, and a sweep of the major three awards that I thought he’d win.  This film really hit me in a major way, and I am happy to see it get all of the recognition that I feel it deserves.

________________________________________

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Steven Zaillian (The Irishman) Taika Waititi (Jojo Rabbit) Todd Phillips and Scott Silver (Joker) Greta Gerwig (Little Women) Anthony McCarten (The Two Popes)

prediction : Greta Gerwig (Little Women) winner : Taika Waititi (Jojo Rabbit)

thoughts : Sadly, I’ve been dragging my feet on seeing Jojo Rabbit, but the trailers had me hooked.  Waititi is also a master of making absurd premises ridiculously entertaining, so I am not surprised by this win one bit.

________________________________________

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Rian Johnson (Knives Out) Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story) Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns (1917) Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) Bong Joon-ho and Jin Won Han (Parasite)

prediction : Bong Joon-ho and Jin Won Han (Parasite) winner : Bong Joon-ho and Jin Won Han (Parasite)

thoughts : I expect Bong Joon-ho to be the bell of the ball, and this (other than Best International Film) seemed like a slam dunk choice.

________________________________________

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Rodrigo Prieto (The Irishman) Lawrence Sher (Joker) Jarin Blaschke (The Lighthouse) Roger Deakins (1917) Robert Richardson (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

prediction : Roger Deakins (1917) winner : Roger Deakins (1917)

thoughts : Deakins is a legend, and he pulled off one heck of a magic trick with 1917.  Another trophy for a master craftsman. 

________________________________________

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

Jan Komasa (Corpus Christi) Tamara Kotevska and Ljubo Stefanov (Honeyland) Ladj Ly (Les Miserables) Pedro Almodovar (Pain and Glory) Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

prediction : Bong Joon-hoo (Parasite) winner : Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

thoughts : No disrespect to anyone on this list, but this was always going to be Bong Joon-ho’s award to lose.

________________________________________

FILM EDITING

Michael McCusker and Andrew Buckland (Ford v Ferrari) Thelma Schoonmaker (The Irishman) Tom Eagles (Jojo Rabbit) Jeff Groth (Joker) Jinmo Yang (Parasite)

prediction : Jeff Groth (Joker) winner : Michael McCusker and Andrew Buckland (Ford v Ferrari)

thoughts : Here’s another film that’s been on my ‘to see’ list for too long.  With the technical awards it’s winning, however, I’ll be changing that sooner than later.

________________________________________

SOUND EDITING

Don Sylvester (Ford v Ferrari) Alan Robert Murray (Joker) Oliver Tarney and Rachel Tate (1917) Wylie Stateman (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) Matthew Wood and David Acord (Star Wars : The Rise of Skywalker)

prediction : Oliver Tarney and Rachel Tate (1917) winner : Don Sylvester (Ford v Ferrari)

thoughts : See the previous statement about the winner.

________________________________________

SOUND MIXING

Ad Astra Ford v Ferrari Joker 1917 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

prediction : 1917 winner : 1917

thoughts : This one feels like padding the stats just a little bit, especially with the wonderful radio/TV mixing for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, but I’m not surprised that 1917 is winning technical awards.

________________________________________

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Bob Shaw and Regina Graves (The Irishman) Ra Vincent and Nora Sopkova (Jojo Rabbit) Dennis Gassner and Lee Sandales (1917) Barbara Ling and Nancy Haigh (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) Lee Ha-Jun and Cho Won Woo, Han Ga Ram, and Cho Hee(Parasite)

prediction : Barbara Ling and Nancy Haigh (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood) winner : Barbara Ling and Nancy Haigh (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

thoughts : With this film being such an immersive experience, I am not surprised that it won a Production Design award.  Well-deserved.

________________________________________

ORIGINAL SCORE

Hildur Guðnadóttir (Joker) Alexandre Desplat (Little Women) Randy Newman (Marriage Story) Thomas Newman (1917) John Williams (Star Wars : The Rise of Skywalker) Nicholas Britell (The King)

prediction : Hildur Guðnadóttir (Joker) winner : Hildur Guðnadóttir (Joker)

thoughts : Of all the films nominated (that I saw), this one seemed like a lock for score, as that was one of several elements that pulled you into the engaging darkness of the film.  

________________________________________

MAKEUP AND HAIR

Bombshell Joker Judy Maleficent : Mistress of Evil 1917

prediction : Joker winner : Bombshell

thoughts : This win makes plenty of sense to me, as the very recognizable actresses throughout the film were properly turned into their real-life counterparts enough to suspend disbelief.  The Roger Ailes make-up was pretty spot-on as well.

________________________________________

COSTUME DESIGN

Sandy Powell and Christopher Peterson (The Irishman) Mayes C. Rubeo (Jojo Rabbit) Mark Bridges (Joker) Jacqueline Durran (Little Women) Arianne Phillips (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

prediction : Jacqueline Durran (Little Women) winner : Jacqueline Durran (Little Women)

thoughts : I wanted Greta Gerwig to get a couple of additional awards this year for Little Women, but if there was one award they were a lock for, I assumed that it would be costuming.

________________________________________

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers : Endgame The Irishman 1917 The Lion King Star Wars : The Rise of Skywalker

prediction : Star Wars : The Rise of Skywalker winner : 1917

thoughts : In all honesty, this was surprising.  No disrespect to 1917, but I figured it’d be the last one to win for Visual Effects simply because most everything was done real-world and captured in camera.

________________________________________

After a disappointing set of results for my Golden Globes guessing, I’m surprised how well I did with the Academy Awards, as I normally stand opposed to their choices.  I don’t know if my taste is shifting, or if Hollywood is shifting, but either way, 2019 was a wonderful year for film, and these results are a satisfying close to it.