#mrp awards

[questrealestateblog]

Lisa Robertson Earns NAR’s Military Relocation Professional Certification

Lisa Robertson with QUEST Real Estate Services of Florida, LLC has been awarded the nationally recognized Military Relocation Professional Certification. The National Association of REALTORS® awards the MRP certification to REALTORS® who help military personnel, veterans and their families find housing that lets them make the best use of their benefits and serves the unique needs of military life read more here...

[technuter]

MSI launches its new-line-up of laptops equipped with RTX 40 Series GPUs in India

MSI has launched its all-new laptop line-up equipped with the latest NVIDIA GeForce RTX 40 series GPUs and up to 13th Gen Intel Core HX series processors in India. With the leap of performance boosting and the awarded recognition at CES, MSI is pushing the peak of performance and innovation with the whole new laptop lineup of gaming, creator and B&P laptops. The laptops come with innovative technology breakthroughs, extremely powerful performance and aesthetic designs that ensure the best-in-class user experience for all its consumers.

The latest MSI laptops are powered by the ultra-efficient NVIDIA Ada Lovelace architecture, bringing a quantum leap in performance with AI-powered DLSS 3 and enabling lifelike virtual worlds with full ray tracing. With the exceptional power improvement, eight of the newly MSI laptops are NVIDIA Studio validated, not only in the Content Creation series but also in the Gaming and Business and Productivity series. Backed by NVIDIA Studio technologies for creators, products with NVIDIA RTX GPUs benefit from RTX optimizations in over 110 creative apps, NVIDIA Studio Drivers for the highest levels of stability and performance in creative apps, and exclusive AI-powered NVIDIA tools: Canvas, Broadcast, and RTX Remix. MSI Stealth, Creator Z and Prestige series laptops come pre-installed with NVIDIA Broadcast, transforming any room into a home studio through the power of AI. Commenting on the announcement, Mr. Bruce Lin, Regional Marketing Manager, MSI, said, “We are thrilled to announce this new line up of RTX 40 series of laptops which takes us straight into the world of Omniverse. The new series will be a culmination of three values we focus at MSI - extreme performance, innovative technology, and luxurious aesthetics. The laptops are powered by the all-new 13th Gen Intel Core processors that promises best-in-class performance, security, reliability, and style. With this launch, we are confident that we will be able to cater to our consumers' needs and give them an experience they have never imagined before.” The new MSI laptops also feature the brand-new Intel 13th gen processors with an overall performance increase up to 45% benefiting from the increased core count and turbo frequency. Model   CPU + GPU MRP Titan GT77 HX 13VI/ 13VH 13th Gen Intel Core i9 (RTX 4090, GDDR6 16GB / RTX 4080, GDDR6 12GB) INR 6,71,990/ INR 5,48,990 Stealth 17 A13VH/ A13VG 13th Gen Intel Core i9 (RTX 4080, GDDR6 12GB) / 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4070, GDDR6 8GB) INR 4,92,990/ INR 3,47,990 Stealth 16 Studio A13VG/ A13VF 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4070, GDDR6 8GB) / (RTX 4060, GDDR6 8GB) INR 3,35,990/ INR 2,79,990 Stealth 15 A13VF/ A13VE 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4060, GDDR6 8GB) / (RTX 4050, GDDR6 6GB) INR 2,09,990 / INR 1,62,990 Stealth 14 Studio A13VF/ A13VE 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4060, GDDR6 8GB)/ (RTX 4050, GDDR6 6GB) INR 2,35,990 / INR 2,01,990 Raider GE78 HX 13VI 13th Gen Intel Core i9 (RTX 4090, GDDR6 16GB) INR 5,59,990 Raider GE78 HX 13VH 13th Gen Intel Core i9/ i7 (RTX 4080, GDDR6 12GB) INR 4,47,990/ INR 4,14,990 Raider GE68 HX 13VG 13th Gen Intel Core i9/ i7 (RTX 4070, GDDR6 8GB) INR 3,58,990/ INR 3,35,990 Vector GP77 13VG 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4070, GDDR6 8GB) INR 2,79,990 Pulse 17 B13VGK 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4070, GDDR6 8GB) INR 2,07,990 Pulse 15 B13VFK 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4060, GDDR6 8GB) INR 1,90,990 Katana 15 13VFK/ VEK 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4060, GDDR6 8GB) / (RTX 4050, GDDR6 6GB) INR 1,64,990 / INR 1,54,990 Cyborg 15 A12VF 12th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4060, GDDR6 8GB) INR 1,41,990 / INR 1,35,990 / INR 1,34,990 / (Price varies as per colour) Cyborg 15 A12VE 12th Gen Intel Core i7/ i5 (RTX 4050, GDDR6 6GB) INR 1,24,990/ INR 1,23,990/ INR 1,12,990/ INR 1,11,990 Summit E16 Flip Evo A13VET 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4050, GDDR6 6GB) INR 2,12,990 Summit E14 Flip Evo A13MT 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (Iris Xe Graphics) INR 1,62,990 Summit E13 Flip Evo A13MT 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (Iris Xe Graphics) INR 1,65,990 Prestige 16 A13VE 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (RTX 4050, GDDR6 6GB) INR 2,01,990 Prestige 16 Evo A13M 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (Iris Xe Graphics) INR 1,51,990 Prestige 14 Evo B13M 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (Iris Xe Graphics) INR 1,34,990 Prestige 13 Evo A13 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (Iris Xe Graphics) INR 1,39,990 Modern 15 B13M 13th Gen Intel Core i7/ i5 (Iris Xe Graphics) INR 87,990/ INR 77,990/ INR 83,990/ INR 73,990 Modern 14 C13M 13th Gen Intel Core i7/ i5/ i3 (Iris Xe Graphics)/ (Intel UHD Graphics) INR 85,990/ INR 73,990/ INR 70,990/ INR 58,990 Creator Z17 HX Studio A13VGT 13th Gen Intel Core i9/ i7 (RTX 4070, GDDR6 8GB) INR 4,47,990/ INR 3,91,990 Creator Z16 HX Studio B13VFTO 13th Gen Intel Core i9/ i7 (RTX 4060, GDDR6 8GB) INR 3,35,990/ INR 2,79,990 CreatorPro X17 HX A13VK 13th Gen Intel Core i9 (NVIDIA RTX 3500 Ada Laptop GPU) (12GB GDDR6) INR 5,82,990 CreatorPro Z17 HX Studio A13VKT 13th Gen Intel Core i9 (NVIDIA RTX 3000 Ada Laptop GPU) (8GB GDDR6) INR 5,59,990 CreatorPro Z16 HX Studio B13VKTO/ VJTO 13th Gen Intel Core i9/ i7 (NVIDIA RTX 3000 Ada Laptop GPU) (8GB GDDR6)/ (NVIDIA RTX 2000 Ada Laptop GPU) (8GB GDDR6) INR 5,37,990/ INR 4,03,990 CreatorPro M16 B13VJ/ VI 13th Gen Intel Core i7 (NVIDIA RTX 3000/2000/A1000 Ada Laptop GPU) (8GB GDDR6) INR 4,25,990/ INR 3,13,990/ INR 2,23,990 All new Gaming Series: Powerful than Ever The new MSI gaming laptop comes with the latest exclusive thermal design, which helps to make the gaming series more powerful than ever. All the heat pipes have been redesigned to shared pipes, dedicated pipes, and VRAM-exclusive pipes, to assure the performance will be fully delivered. In response to the performance enhancement, MSI’s GeForce RTX 40 Series laptops, from the high-end Titan series to the entry gaming Katana series, incorporate the MUX design to allow activation of Discrete Graphics Mode through MSI Center, further unleashing more GPU power. With the aesthetic design motto, MSI has released more than 10 new ID designs gaming laptops and also applied the 16:10 QHD+ 240Hz refresh rate display in high-end gaming, namely Raider GE, Vector GP, and Stealth series. Moreover, the exclusive futuristic translucent keycap design allows gamers easier to navigate the control and shortcut which greatly enhance the gaming experience. Titan GT series/ Raider GE series/ Vector GP series: Extreme Powerhouse The award-winning Titan GT and Raider GE come with the top-notch i9-13980HX processor and up to GeForce RTX 4090 Laptop GPU together with the exclusive MSI OverBoost Ultra technology, pushing the processors and graphics to 250W total full power or support 5.2GHz frequency across 8 P-cores depending on workload. To present these incredible performances, Titan GT and Raider GE come with a world-class display. Titan GT is equipped with the world’s first 4K/144Hz Mini LED display, featuring over 1000 nits of peak brightness with over 1000 local-dimming zones, while Raider GE is geared with the 16:10 QHD+ 240Hz display. These world-class displays clearly present those frames driven by powerful hardware. The Raider GE series comes with a new chassis with an upgraded matrix light bar which is fancier and more futuristic. As well as Vector GP series, with the low profile and minimalism new design but also impressive performance to become the best choice for STEM and engineering users. Stealth Series: Sleek and Sharp in Every Range The slim and powerful award-winning Stealth series is now coming with a full-size range from 14, 15, 16, to 17-inch. Introducing the newly designed Stealth 14 Studio and Stealth 16 Studio. Both of them are favored by the magnesium-aluminum alloy body to deliver a thin and lightweight chassis. While Stealth 14 Studio features the MSI Vapor Chamber thermal design, making it the most powerful 14-inch gaming laptop. Moreover, the Stealth 16 Studio comes with a trilateral Dynaudio 6-speaker sound system providing the most immersive entertainment experience. Furthermore, to deliver mighty performance, the Stealth 17/16/14 studio are NVIDIA Studio validated laptops, which fulfill different needs across gaming and content creation. To deliver the most immersive and stunning experience, Stealth 15 brings a revolutionary high refresh rate OLED display, with 240Hz and less than 0.2 ms response time. It also supports a 100% DCI-P3 color gamut, allowing users to experience the next level of gaming. With the NVIDIA Max-Q suite of technologies that optimizes system performance, power, battery life, and acoustics for peak efficiency. The Stealth series is not just blazing-fast performance, but also thin and quiet. Cyborg/ Pulse/ Katana/ Sword series: Wide Selection for Gamers Introducing the whole-new series of entry gaming laptops, Cyborg 15. It comes with a futuristic translucent chassis design, which you can see the mechanical & electrical parts through it. With its thin and light body and cyberpunk-inspired design, Cyborg 15 is a perfect choice for those bored with the ordinary entry gaming design. MSI has also refreshed the hot-selling gaming series Katana, Sword and Pulse to the latest graphics and processors for better gaming performance. Moreover, Pulse, Katana and Sword are now available with MUX switch. Gamers can easily switch between hybrid graphics mode or discrete graphic mode via the built-in MSI Center. Creator Z Series: Dominate Creation Power The CNC-crafted beautiful chassis is not just the only spotlight in the content creation series, the performance of Creator Z series is now on another level. The latest Creator Z17 HX Studio/ Creator Z16 HX Studio comes with the top 13th gen Intel HX series processors and has also been certified by NVIDIAStudio. With the Vapor Chamber Cooler thermal design, the Creator Z series become the most powerful creator laptops in the market. Along with the support of the brand-new MSI Pen 2. The award-winning MSI Pen 2 uses the latest MPP2.6 Technology, with 4096 pressure level and haptic feedback, making it feels like writing on actual paper. Furthermore, you can also use the MSI Pen 2 as a traditional pencil on paper without switching to actual pens. Prestige series: Thin & Powerful The power of the Prestige series has come to a new level. The new Prestige 14 Evo and Prestige 16 Evo support up to the latest Intel Core i7 H series processor, which provides a lightweight yet powerful experience for users. While Prestige 16 Studio also comes with GeForce RTX 40 Series Laptop GPUs, and is NVIDIA Studio validated, promising even better productivity and peak reliability. The brand new 13-inch Prestige 13 Evo is the lightest laptop in the whole MSI series, built of magnesium aluminum alloy, it weighs only 990g. The Prestige 13 Evo is also equipped with a 75Whrs large-capacity battery, which could last long for 15 hrs. Read the full article

[pannimanagementteam]

Sage X3 Deployment Streamlines Operations And Drives

ERP is a fully built-in, pre-configured software solution that ensures consistent, cross-functional use throughout your distribution business. Its singular system and database account for all users concerned in operating your corporation, so you can easily manage distribution, CRM, warehouse and accounting capabilities. NexTec Group is an award-winning enterprise software program consulting firm sage x3 distribution with over 25 years’ expertise. We concentrate on implementing ERP, CRM, BI, Cloud and On-premise solutions that may manage product remembers and buyer points, monitor merchandise, reduce waste and improve operations. Fishbowl Warehouse is a highly integrative answer that assists businesses of all sizes with processes related to inventory, transport and accounting.

Important features similar to duration of the sales cycle, the interval, value and the return fee are considered which immediately leads to an enhanced stock administration. It can be essential to make sure that goods are tagged properly with the batch number, tracking number and best earlier than monitoring with a high turnover which helps in product monitoring. TheSage X3 Project and Job Costingmodule is designed to simplify project administration and centralize all operational, sales, and monetary data in a single single ERP system. Sage X3 V12 delivers extraordinary, robust capabilities for the wholesale distribution industry. Its cohesive answer helps you handle functionality for landed price calculations, inventory valuation, mobile-based validations, license plate monitoring, and a giant number of different important supply chain tasks. Sage 500 is a comprehensive, cloud-based MRP system that streamlines operations for manufacturing businesses of all sizes.

Transforming the administration of processes, operations, and different people. This video explains the meeting and disassembly capabilities inside the stock module in Sage X3 Enterprise Management. This video describes a pair strategies of performing transfers of inventory between warehouse places in Sage X3 enterprise Management. How to issue credit memos to customers to deal with pricing issues or returns throughout the Sage Enterprise Management system.

Asset monitoring Monitor tools and on-site belongings to enhance safety, utilization and uptime. Compliance management Simplify and automate your compliance work, together with driving hours and inspections. Fleet monitoring GPS fleet tracking, upkeep alerts, efficiency reporting and asset monitoring. IWI Consulting is dedicated to serving to companies realize long-term success through comprehensive deployment and integration of the Sage X3 answer. From improved operational outcomes to reduced budgetary pressures, Sage X3 software program backed by IWI’s expertise can both improve overall ROI and drive enhanced total economic impact .

Sales is your one cease store for every little thing buyer and prospect related. This module provides you with a quick look at important information regarding products, reductions, carriers, and extra. Sales for Sage X3 lets you easily handle the complete gross sales process – from buyer quotes and contracts to price lists and order fulfillment. We mix our expertise with accounting skills and systems experience, tailoring our services and solutions to satisfy your expertise wants.

Learn how NexTec can help you discover a resolution for your company’s unique needs. With Sage X3, a more streamlined, environment friendly and profitable enterprise is possible. Sage X3 is a modern ERP answer that is quick, simple to use and accessible on any device.

Sage Business Cloud X3 is probably the most powerful and flexible business management resolution provided by Sage. It empowers mid-sized and bigger firms inside the manufacturing and distribution industries with the flexibility to develop a competitive business with restricted sage x3 distribution IT assets. Sage X3 offers industry-leading performance that encompasses all enterprise processes. Its compact software design helps industry-specific processes and supplies end-to-end visibility throughout finance, gross sales, customer service, buying, stock and manufacturing operations.

Use the Attribute operate to outline customized attributes for products and product-site records, similar to shade or measurement. Several updates in finance are designed to streamline revenue recognition. This consists of an enhanced approach to outline accounts for Actual revenue and/or Actual price sage x3 distribution Column sorts. Based on the calculation foundation chosen, a new window opens that lists all accounts in the primary common ledger or primary basic analytical ledger. You can choose as many accounts as you need with no character limits as nicely as export the listing of accounts to Excel.

Not instantly available in the software, but may be completed using different built-in options, workarounds, or add-ons/products from the vendor with or without any additional price. Fully or moderately supported out-of-the-box with industry-leading capabilities and is immediately out there after installation while not having any add-ons, integrations, or custom improvement. About SelectHub We’re the Employee-owned Austin-based startup democratizing software information so you also can make your decisions in an influence-free zone. Our market data is crowdsourced from our user-base of a hundred,000+ firms. It has on-premise and cloud deployability and caters to all industries and businesses of any measurement. Users may customize it to suit their particular business necessities and permit APIs to make the most of external providers.

We make expertise be just right for you, and supply the expertise and expertise to get the job done by working with both your wants and the business management software that truly support your ways of doing business. Our accredited software program integration partners might help lengthen the functionality of your fleet management resolution, including integration with industry-specific fleet upkeep and gasoline management providers. Data warehouses usually are not tangible objects that are bodily stored someplace; they're digital entities staged on a server. A data warehouse historically was a development project for IT teams, designed particularly for an organization, usually taking years to finish the project. Nowadays, knowledge warehouses are commercial software program choices that you can buy and configure to fulfill your data management goals. Comparing Sage X3 vs SAP Business One, each ERP methods present enterprise management and accounting software program for mid-sized firms and include a CRM for buyer relationship management.

[reportwire]

Godlan, Infor SyteLine Manufacturing ERP and Consulting Specialist, Achieves Ranking on Bob Scott's VAR Stars for 2020

Godlan, Infor SyteLine Manufacturing ERP and Consulting Specialist, Achieves Ranking on Bob Scott’s VAR Stars for 2020

Godlan, a specialist in manufacturing ERP software (Infor SyteLine (CloudSuite Industrial)), CPQ (Configure Price Quote), industrial automation (IIoT), and an Infor Gold Channel Partner, announced today that they have achieved placement on Bob Scott’s VAR Stars for 2020, a group of 100 organizations honored for their accomplishments in the field of mid-market financial software. Members of the…

[lekkiesmedia-blog]

Lekkies Media Updates >>>>> Music & Video: Wizkid – Joro #wizkid #joro Call of Duty: Modern Warfare's Story Mode Has Been Revealed #call of duty #callofdutymodernwarfare #storymode Music & Video: Mr P – Karma #mrp #karma Halsey & Brother Sevian Frolick Through Aquarium in New 'Clementine' Video #halsey #video #sevianfrolick #aquarium #clementine Music: Dotman - Awe #music #dotman #awe Best Of Nollywood Awards: Award Nominations | 2019 BON Awards #bestofnollywoodawards #award #nominations #2019BONAwards ....... More On Lekkiesmedia.com https://www.instagram.com/p/B3ECNUYnrXV/?igshid=1logdw1mpyetn

[alovesongshewrote]

They’re So Pretty, It Hurts | Zoe

Plot:  Several minutes of the reader being a disaster

Word Count: 1,870

Warnings:  Pining.  So much pining.

A/N:  it’s woman loving hours, lads.  

Tags: @yagirlcheesely @moppetwithamanbun @tales-of-hisirdoux @blixeon

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Sometimes, you go to a bookstore, and you see a pretty girl.  You make eye contact, and it’s only for a second, but it still takes your breath away.  Her eyes are just so blue, the colour of the sky when the sun is finished rising.  You could get lost in them, you wanted to get lost in them, but instead, you look away almost instantly because being perceived is Not Fun.  Still, your cheeks are warm, and you’re desperate to steal another glance at her.

This is one of those times.  Except you worked at the bookstore, but that didn’t really matter in the grand scheme of things.  Bottom line, you’d made eye contact with a cute girl and instantly fallen in love with her.  It be like that sometimes, but we manage and move forward.  You managed and moved forward by hiding behind one of the shelves.  You were not the best at managing and moving forward.  You may have actually gone backwards, I’m not sure.  Either way, your heart was racing, practically beating out of your chest.  It felt you couldn't breathe, like oxygen was made of cute girls, which sounds nice but is, in practice, really impractical and very suffocating.

“Uh, (Y/N)?  You good, mate?”

“Hhjkjadfhkaljdfhakhfd-”

“Oh, fuzzbuckets.”

Your lovely, lovely coworker, Hisirdoux Casperan, had noticed you hiding behind the shelf, which wasn’t difficult at all, really.  You didn’t care though, you were mostly hiding from the cute girl.  Literally, anyone and everyone else who entered the bookstore could see you, but that didn’t matter.  As long as she didn’t see, everything would be fine.  Douxie, however, thought you may have had a stroke.

“(Y/N)?” he gave your arm a little poke, “(Y/N)?  (Y/N) darling, are you-”

“Alkjdhfalksdhfajlksdfhakjf, yeah, sorry, I just-” you didn’t finish your sentence.  You just kind of floated away into the void, attention stolen again by the cute girl.  Her hair was pink, her clothes very punk-rock.  Yeah, yeah, you were a goner.  God, she was pretty.  Oh.  Oh, fuck, she was coming this way.  

You jerked your head to face the books you were hiding behind (something about true crime?  It looked cool, but now was not the time,) while Douxie faced the cute girl head-on.  You would never know where he found the confidence, but you respected it.

“Zoe!  This is (Y/N), she’s the new one I was telling you about.”

Zoe.  Zoe.  You liked it.  It was pretty, like her.  Oh, god, she was talking to you.

“(Y/N), huh?  Cute name, it suits you.”

If you could think coherently, you would have been wondering if that meant she found you cute, but you couldn’t think coherently.  At the moment, your thoughts were mostly “AKJKDSFHKJHG,” and “KSHFJAHFKJHAKDFHKALDFHLAJSDFHKLJADSHFKLHASKDJFHKALS,” and you still couldn’t breathe!  It was very valid of you, to be honest.

“Uhh, thanks.  You too.”

Good, good, that was what a normal person would say.  This was a normal, average conversation.  You definitely didn’t have a huge crush on her or anything, nooooo-

“So, uh… true crime?”

You blinked a few times in confusion before realizing that she was referring to the shelf you were leaning on.  Oh, yeah, true crime.  Oh, god, she was looking at you, they were both looking at you, QUICK THINK OF SOMETHING TO SAY ABOUT TRUE CRIME.

“Uh, yeah, I like… crime.”

Oh, wow that was dumb.  I mean, it wasn’t the worst thing you could have said, but you would always remember that one of the first things you said to Zoe was “I like crime.”

She raised an eyebrow, “You… like crime?”

Too late to back out now, “...Yes.  I’m…  I’m good at crime.  I enjoy arson.”

It was stupid.  Really stupid, like, you didn’t even know where that came from.  But it made her laugh.  And you knew at that moment that you would do anything to make her laugh again.  Her smile was a blessing that brought light into your world, and you wanted to see it every day if she was okay with that.

“Ah, I like you, you’re cute.  Anyway, I have to get back to work, but I’ll see you later.  And you!”

You were trying to recover from the first six words of that sentence, but now she was pointing at you!  And looking!  Eye contact!  Ah!

“Stick around Arcadia, ok?  I wanna see you again.”

“I-I um-” you were straight-up dying now, ok, “Well, you know where to find me!”

Her smile was the most important thing in the world and you would die to protect it.

“Aight, I’m out!  Bye guys!”

“See you, Zo.”

“B-bye!”

As soon as she was gone, you collapsed against the bookshelf and buried your face in your hands.  AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA, WELL, that could have gone better, but it didn’t go worse, and for that you were thankful.

Douxie stared at you for a second.  He’d seen friends in this state before, as often as the night prior, actually.  Zoe had had the same reaction when she first saw you that you had to seeing her now, and he’d promised to introduce you.  She’d been so calm earlier because she’d been practicing what to say in the mirror for, like, a day.  You, on the other hand, had not prepared for this.  It was finals week and you had not studied.  Shit, you hadn’t even known about finals week.  Your friend had just devised this gay little plot and it left you a flustered mess with no study materials.  There were no cue cards in this world, only pretty-girl-panic and fits of uncontrollable blushing.

He knelt down to get on your level, “You okay?”

“Hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.”

“Understandable.  You wanna chill in the back for a minute?”

“Hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.”

It wasn’t a verbal confirmation, but you nodded, and he took that as a yes.  He helped you to your feet and led you to the back, which was technically his house, but whatever, semantics. 

“Here, I’ll just let you chill for a bit.  I’ll be back soon, please don’t die.”

“I won’t!”

He smiled at that and walked back into the shop to continue dealing with the public.  F in the chat for Douxie.  In the meantime, you just curled yourself into a ball on his couch and made a low humming noise.  Man, were you bad at… everything or what?

“Mrowr?”  You looked up to see a familiar mass of black fur, his head tilted in curiosity.  

“Ah, hey Arch.”

“Mrp.”

“You know you don’t have to do the whole cat thing with me?  I know you can talk.”

“Well, it’s nice to pretend sometimes.  Besides, we don’t know when that door’ll open again or for who.  It’s best to stay inconspicuous.”

You let a small laugh escape you as you started to calm down, your lungs finally getting the oxygen they’d so desperately missed, “I mean, that’s fair.”

“Mrpt?”  which, in cat, meant, “So, what’s up?”

“Well, it’s this girl.  Zoe.  Pink hair, blue eyes, the most gorgeous human being I’ve ever seen.  I just… she’s really cute and I made an absolute fool out of myself in front of her.”

“Mrooooooooooooooooooooow,” meaning, “(Y/N), dear, I know this Zoe.  She’s friends with Douxie.  The bar for general foolery is pretty high.”

“You really think so?”

“Mrow!”  “(Y/N), I know so.  If you like her so much, you should talk to her more!  You’re a nice person, I’m sure she’d like you!”

“Thanks, Arch.”

“Prrbt,” “You’re welcome.”

“Well, I should probably get out there.  Go be a functioning member of society.  Thanks again, bud,”  you gave the cat-dragon a little scratch behind the ears, smiling again at how he stretched up to meet your hand, “See ya around, cat man.”

“See you, (Y/N).”

You gave the familiar one last grin before you slipped out the door, glad that you could breathe, finally.  And then that was ripped away from you by a cute pink-haired lady in the middle of the bookstore.

“Oh!  Zoe!  Hi!”

“Hey, (Y/N)!  I just realized I uh, sort of forgot what I came here for.” 

“That’s understandable!  It happens to me all the time!”

“Heh, yeah,”  she stopped talking and just stared at you for a second.  You did the same before remembering that she said words, and that meant something.

“O-oh, yeah.  What is it that you were looking for?”

“Oh, just,” she pulled a post-it note out of her pocket and handed it to you.  Her finger brushed over yours and you could almost feel a spark there, “Just this.”

“C-cool!  Cool, cool, cool, cool, cool, cool, cool, I’ll be right back!”  you gave her a quick nod before running upstairs to grab the book.  While you were distracted, Zoe had her own little meltdown, but she composed herself as soon as she noticed you coming down the stairs.

“Aight, so here you go,” you handed her the book, fingers brushing hers, electricity running through them.  Literally, there was electricity.  You waved it off though.  It was a magical world, and this wasn’t the weirdest thing to happen today (nope, that little award went to “I enjoy arson.”)

“That’ll beeeee, nothing.  Take it.”

“Wait, that’s-that, why?

“I mean, it’s not something I’m allowed to do but, eh, you’re cute.  And I told you I enjoy crime, didn’t I?”

“I’m-”

“Don’t worry, I’ll pay for it,” you said, immediately losing any cool persona you may have had.  Zoe didn’t mind.  She thought you were cute no matter what you did.  That in itself was made evident by the blush on her cheeks.

“O-oh.”

You smiled a little.  You did that, you were the cause of it.  You could only hope that she was also okay with this.

“Well,” you bit your lip.  The longer she stayed quiet the more you doubted your flirting skills, “I’ll be seeing you!”

“Wait!”

Your head shot up, eyes immediately focused on her, ready to hear whatever she had to say.  Man, you were a simp.

“I uh… I was wondering if I could get your number?  With this?”

You were pretty sure you died for a second, but when you recovered, you stuttered out a, “Yeah,” and quickly wrote your name and number on the post-it note she’d handed you.

The smile she gave you when you passed her the note was quite possibly the best thing you’d ever seen in your life.

“Well, I’ll call you!  Or text you, or whatever…”

You couldn’t help but laugh at how nervous she was, because that was a solid mood, “I look forward to it!”

And with that, she was gone, but she couldn’t stop thinking about your laugh, and how she’d do anything to see your smile again.

Inside, you were thinking the same, or you were until Douxie re-appeared from wherever he'd been hiding.

"Congratulations!"

You jumped an entire foot in the air, something you didn't really think was possible until right then, "Jesus Christ, Casperan!  Don't sneak up on me like that, God.  That's the seventh time today, we need to get you a cowbell or something, my Go-"

"So, did it go well?"

Your satisfaction painted itself on your face, "Yeah," you hummed, looking out the window, "It went well."

[gadgetguruyatin]

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[ziskeyt]

In Cool News: I've received an award from the Jewish Studies department for doing my grad research!

AND I got an A on my MRP for my MA. The title is pretty blah, but well, I kinda ran out of steam when it came time for it: "Negative Coding: the Influence of Medieval Opinions on Characters in Fantasy Literature"

Essentially, it's a paper where I follow the way Jews were regarded in the middle ages to imaginary Jews in folklore to coding in fantasy literature that can be linked to these conceptions and interpretations of Jews. I go over laws about sorcery, Christian plays, the prevalence of Blood Libels, stories like the Jew in the Thornbush, the Bronze Ring, and Cornish Knackers, and speak to other research on Tolkein's dwarves as they are in The Hobbit, and then I bring it around to an analysis of the various tropes that have these possible links to antisemitic rhetoric in Harry Potter used on some of the evilest of characters in the series. It's not just the goblins! Though, I do talk about the goblins.

I'm not sure what I will do with the paper now, or if I will go on for a Ph.D., but I think I will print it nice for myself at the very least.

[jacquiebethelina44]

Thank you so much to the MRPS Discord for the absolute honor of being a part of the Annual Clarkman Fanfic Awards!

Winning (in even just one category let alone three!) was just the cherry on top!

All of the amazing winners are posted on A03! Check them out!

[theliberaltony]

via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

Today we launched our general election polling averages, nationally and for all states with a sufficient number of polls. Recent polls show former Vice President Joe Biden with a solid lead over President Trump nationally, and in most swing states. Biden currently leads Trump 50.5 percent to 41.3 percent in national polls, according to our average — a 9.2-point lead.1

Biden also leads Trump in swing states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Arizona — although his lead in many swing states are not as wide as his margin in national polls, suggesting that the Electoral College could once again favor Trump in the event of a close election.

Here’s a table showing the averages in swing states:

Biden leads nationally and in most swing states

FiveThirtyEight polling averages as of 5:30 p.m. on June 17, 2020

State Biden Trump Biden Margin Colorado 54.1% 37.1% +17.0 Maine* 53.2 39.7 +13.5 New Mexico* 54.1 40.8 +13.3 Virginia 50.5 39.9 +10.6 Michigan 50.9 40.7 +10.2 National 50.5 41.3 +9.2 Nevada 48.2 40.1 +8.0 New Hampshire 50.0 42.3 +7.7 Florida 49.7 42.8 +6.9 Minnesota* 50.8 44.2 +6.6 Wisconsin 49.0 42.4 +6.6 Pennsylvania 49.0 43.7 +5.3 Arizona 47.7 43.6 +4.0 North Carolina 47.6 44.6 +3.0 Ohio 48.4 45.7 +2.7 Georgia 47.0 46.1 +1.0 Iowa 45.6 46.2 -0.6 Texas 46.5 47.2 -0.7

Polls are adjusted for house effects, whether or not they were conducted among likely voters, and the time the poll was conducted.

* Maine, Minnesota and New Mexico do not yet have enough polls for us to display a chart on our polling averages page, but we can calculate an average based on the polls available.

Overall — assuming that states that haven’t been polled go the same way as they did in 2016 — Biden leads in states worth 368 electoral votes, while Trump leads in states totalling 170 electoral votes.2

But a potential problem for Biden is that Trump could have an Electoral College advantage if the election tightens. Biden currently leads Trump by “only” 6.6 points in the current tipping-point state, Minnesota, but this is narrower than Biden’s 9.2-point lead in the national polls. So while a Biden landslide is possible if he wins all these swing states, so is a Trump Electoral College victory, depending on which way the race moves between now and November.

The rest of this article covers how our polling averages work in a fair amount of detail. We know that a lot of you will probably take the off-ramp here and not read through the methodology. However, we’d encourage you to at least read the next section, which distinguishes between our polling averages (what we’ve just released) and our election forecast model (which we’ll publish later).

Polling averages are a snapshot, not a forecast

The goal of our polling averages is to reflect the current state of the polling in each state, rather than to predict the eventual outcome. That is to say, our averages are a snapshot, not a forecast. Indeed, the way we calibrate various settings in the polling averages — such as how aggressive they are in responding to new data — is mostly based on how well the polling average predicts future polls,3 not how well they predict the outcome of the race.4

The polling averages will, of course, be a major ingredient in our forecast model. But there are times when they will differ from the forecast. For instance, parties typically get a boost in the polls following their national convention. However, this can be fleeting; the convention bounce usually fades over time. Our forecast will adjust for this, but the polling averages are a snapshot of the race today and will not.

In addition, our forecast model will blend the polls with other ways of projecting the outcome in each state, such as what happened in the previous election or its demographics. Our polling averages do not do this, however. They simply reflect the polls, albeit with a number of adjustments that I’ll describe later.

Which polls we include and how we weight them

One pillar of FiveThirtyEight’s philosophy is to include as many polls as possible, although we do use an algorithm that assigns a higher weight to polls with a higher pollster rating. That means we don’t exclude polls just because they’re outliers, because we think the polling firm is partisan, and for any similar reasons. Instead, we have a variety of strategies to make our polling averages more robust without having to cherry-pick data.

But as polling gets more complicated, there are an increasing number of edge cases where it may be unclear what constitutes a scientific poll. So there are some situations where data is excluded:

We don’t use polls that are banned by FiveThirtyEight because we know or suspect that the pollster faked data.

We don’t use DIY polls commissioned by nonprofessional hobbyists on online platforms such as Google Surveys. (Professional or campaign polls using these platforms are fine.)

We don’t treat subsamples of multistate polls as individual “polls” unless certain conditions are met.5

We don’t use “polls” that blend or smooth their data using methods such as MRP. These can be smart techniques — but if a pollster uses them, they’re really running a model rather than a poll. We want to do the blending and smoothing ourselves rather than inputting other people’s models into our own.

We exclude polls that ask the voter who they support only after revealing leading information about the candidates. If, for instance, a poll says “Joe Biden loves puppies. Who do you plan to support: Biden or Trump?” we won’t include it.

We exclude polls that test hypothetical candidates — for instance, a poll testing a hypothetical three-way race between Trump, Biden and Utah Sen. Mitt Romney.

There have also been some recent cases where media organizations that sponsor polls misrepresented what those polls actually say. We are working on policies for how to handle these.

However, we do include a campaign’s internal polls in our averages if they are released to the public. (This is a change from 2016, although something we implemented in our midterm forecast in 2018.) These internal polls are subject to a fairly harsh house effects adjustment though (see below), as historically, internal polls exaggerate their candidate’s margin by a net of around 5 percentage points in presidential races.

If you don’t see a poll listed, it may be that we simply haven’t gotten around to adding it yet, or that we are working with the pollster or the media sponsor to nail down certain information about it. We strongly encourage all press releases and stories about polls to include the following details, at a minimum: the dates the poll was conducted, the sample size, the sample frame (e.g. likely voters) and the firm responsible for conducting the poll. Please don’t hesitate to drop us a line if you think you’ve found a poll that we’re missing.

Finally, a few notes on how our averages use multiple versions of the same poll and weight polls. Sometimes, the same poll will include multiple turnout models, or several versions of a question (i.e., with or without third-party candidates). When a poll has more than one turnout model, we always use the likely voter version of a poll before the registered voter version, and the registered voter version before the version conducted among all adults. However, if a pollster releases three turnout models and doesn’t designate any of them as the main one, we simply average the versions together.

As for how we weight polls, their weights are based on their sample size and pollster rating. The pollster ratings, in turn, reflect a combination of the pollster’s past performance and whether it meets current industry best practices. In addition, polls receive a penalty to their weight if they are conducted among registered voters or all adults rather than likely voters.6 And if a particular polling firm conducts a large number of polls in a state within a short period of time, the weight assigned to each of its polls during this period will be discounted. Thus, a pollster cannot “flood the zone” by releasing, say, 10 polls of Arizona all at once.

How we calculate our polling average

Once we’ve decided which polls to include and how to weight them, there are basically two ways you can calculate a polling average:

You can take a simple average of recent polls, which is basically what RealClearPolitics does;

Or you can use any of a variety of methods to calculate a trend line of the polls, as HuffPost Pollster formerly did.

FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages are basically a blend of these two techniques, which is slightly more accurate than using either method on its own. For most of the race, our average primarily relies on the averaging method, which is usually the more conservative of the two. (Although, unlike in the case of RCP, there’s not a hard cut-off for the date; rather, the weight assigned to each poll gradually ramps down to zero depending on the number of polls and how long ago it was conducted.) However, our average leans more heavily into the polynomial method of calculating a trend line in the final couple of weeks of the campaign. Thus, our polling averages can be fairly conservative for most of the race but more aggressive later on.

We also introduced a change with our presidential primary averages this year, where our method now recognizes that certain types of major events are more likely to produce changes in the polls. That means we now treat certain events as essentially spanning multiple days on the calendar. Specifically:

We treat each party’s convention as being equivalent to 15 days on the campaign trail.

A candidate clinching his or her party’s nomination counts as 10 days.7

A presidential debate is equivalent to six days.8

And the announcement of the nominee’s VP choice is four days.

Movement in the polls following these events is likely to be real and not statistical noise, so we made these tweaks so that the polling average responds more aggressively following them. Although, as I mentioned in the case of convention bounces, the polls can sometimes revert to the mean a few weeks later, so some of these event-based gains might still be short-lived.

The nitty-gritty on how we adjust polls

At this point, we want to give you a deep dive on what we’re adjusting for in our polling averages. Namely, we adjust polls in three ways: There’s a likely voter adjustment, a house effects adjustment and what we call a timeline adjustment that accounts for how recent a poll is.

First, the likely voter adjustment works by taking polls of registered voters or all adults and inferring what they would say if they were conducted among likely voters instead. The reason we do this is that almost all polls conducted in the closing weeks of the campaign are among likely voters — and likely voter polls are generally more accurate. But many polls earlier in the cycle, especially before Labor Day, are conducted among registered voters. So we’re trying to distinguish actual changes in the state of the race from changes that just reflect a pollster turning on its likely voter filter.

The way the likely voter adjustment works is by starting with historical priors based on the effects that likely voter screens tend to have, but then adjusting these priors as polls are released that provide direct comparisons of likely voter and registered voter versions of the same poll.9 For instance, if the same poll has Biden ahead by 6 points among registered voters but only up by 4 points among likely voters, that helps us to calibrate the adjustment. (In other words, we love it when pollsters publish both registered voter and likely voter numbers.)

Republican candidates generally tend to gain more ground from likely voter screens than Democratic ones do, since Republican voters tend to be older and whiter, which are characteristics associated with higher turnout. However, challengers — regardless of party — tend to gain ground in likely voter polls relative to incumbents, probably because some low-propensity voters may choose the incumbent as a default, whereas likely voters have thought through their choice more carefully. That means the effects could be somewhat offsetting this year — Trump is a Republican (which should help him among likely voters) but he’s also an incumbent (which should hurt him).

Still, the effects from partisanship are slightly stronger than the effects from incumbency, and Trump has been doing slightly better in likely voter polls than in registered voter polls so far. Thus, likely voter screens may slightly improve Trump’s position overall — perhaps by a percentage point or so relative to Biden.10

Next, our house effects adjustment attempts to correct for polls that consistently lean toward one candidate or the other. In our presidential approval averages, for instance, the polling firm Rasmussen Reports has a strong pro-Trump house effect, as Trump tends to have a higher approval rating in those polls than in those from other pollsters. To be clear, there isn’t necessarily anything wrong with having a house effect; sometimes, an “outlier” poll turns out to be right. But adjusting for house effects makes polling averages more stable.

However, the mechanics of house effects can quickly become complicated, especially if you’re looking at polls across multiple states. For instance, if a certain polling firm has a 3-point pro-Biden house effect in its poll of Colorado, should we also assume it has a 3-point pro-Biden effect when it polls in, say, Pennsylvania?

In past years when calculating house effects, we applied a constant house effects adjustment to all of a firm’s polls, regardless of what state they were conducted in. But after extensively testing that assumption, we found that this strategy doesn’t actually improve the accuracy of your average very much. In fact, it can potentially even make your polling averages less accurate.

I’ll skip the gory details, but if you’re not careful, what can wind up happening is that your averages become anchored to prolific pollsters that poll across many states,11 and pollsters that focus on just one or a handful of states end up having their numbers adjusted toward these more prolific pollsters. This is a problem because a lot of the information we gain from local pollsters is lost in this process, and pollsters that survey just one state or one region often do a really good job of it.

For example, a lot of Missouri-specific pollsters (correctly, it turned out) had Republican Josh Hawley ahead of Democrat Claire McCaskill in that state’s U.S. Senate race in 2018 while other pollsters (such as Marist College) that conduct polls in many states had McCaskill leading. Our house effects adjustment ended up shifting all the local polls toward McCaskill, putting her ahead in our average when a straight average would have shown Hawley ahead … andHawley eventually won by 6 percentage points.

Thus, we’ve changed our house effects adjustment so that it mostly reflects how a poll compares to others in the same state.12

A few technical notes about our house effects adjustment:

The adjustment is more aggressive for firms that have done more polling. For instance, if a firm had an apparent 5-point pro-Biden house effect in Wisconsin, but this was only based on one poll, it would be hard to say whether this reflected an actual house effect or if the firm had just happened to come up with an outlier. That’s why our adjustment is more aggressive in cases where a firm has conducted many polls.

Polling firms also vary in how many undecided and third-party voters they tend to include. Some pollsters often publish results such as Biden 50, Trump 49, for example, with few undecideds. Our house effects adjustment also adjusts for this.13

For a campaign’s internal polls, our algorithm starts with the prior that they do have a fairly strong house effect favoring the party conducting the poll. This differs from nonpartisan polls, where we start with a prior that the house effect is zero. In both cases, the house effects adjustment moves away from the prior as we collect more data.

Finally, we apply a timeline adjustment based on the recency of the poll14 which adjusts for shifts in the overall race since a poll was conducted. For instance, say that a poll of Arizona last month showed Biden up 3 points there, but there’s been a strong shift toward Trump since then in national polls and in polls of similar states such as Nevada. This adjustment will shift that older Arizona poll toward Trump.

Of course, it would be better to have a new Arizona poll instead of having to adjust the old one. But sometimes, a key swing state can go weeks with little or no polling. (Especially as shrinking media budgets force pollsters to pick and choose their battles more; there was a dearth of high-quality polls in Michigan and Wisconsin toward the end of the 2016 race, for example.) So this adjustment mostly matters when the polling in a state is “stale”; it considerably improves accuracy in these cases. But it doesn’t have much of an effect when there is a lot of recent polling in a state.

The way this adjustment works is that our program examines the trends in national polls and in polls of states that are similar based on our CANTOR scores. So, for instance, the polls of similar states such as Wisconsin and Ohio will have more influence on the adjustment of polls in Michigan than will polls of dissimilar states such as California or Mississippi. National polls also have a major influence on this timeline adjustment, simply because there are a lot of them, so they’re often the easiest way to detect a trend.

Additionally, this adjustment also accounts for the elasticity of each state, or how responsive it is to the national environment. Some states (such as New Hampshire) tend to be “swingier” than others because they have a lot of swing voters. So if national polls move by, say, 4 percentage points toward Trump over a particular period of time, we might expect them to move by more than that (perhaps 5 points) in New Hampshire.

Other states are relatively inelastic and tend not to swing as much. Georgia, for instance, has a lot of African American voters and young urban professionals who are heavily Democratic, and a lot of older white evangelicals who are heavily Republican. So even though Georgia has become increasingly competitive as the number of young, college-educated professionals grows, there aren’t actually that many swing voters there, so its polls tend to be fairly stable.

Elasticity scores for 2020, are based on an examination of individual-level polling data from the exit polls in 2008 and from the Cooperative Congressional Election Study in 2012 and 2016, are as follows:

Every state’s elasticity score

Updated for 2020

State Elasticity New Hampshire 1.28 Rhode Island 1.26 Maine 1st District 1.25 Vermont 1.23 Maine 1.17 Massachusetts 1.17 Hawaii 1.15 Iowa 1.13 North Dakota 1.11 Idaho 1.10 West Virginia 1.10 Maine 2nd District 1.09 New Mexico 1.09 Colorado 1.09 Connecticut 1.09 Nevada 1.08 Alaska 1.07 Arizona 1.07 Oregon 1.07 Wisconsin 1.06 Washington 1.06 Nebraska 2nd District 1.06 Montana 1.05 Kansas 1.04 Florida 1.04 New Jersey 1.04 Nebraska 3nd District 1.03 South Dakota 1.03 Michigan 1.03 Ohio 1.02 Nebraska 1.02 Utah 1.02 Arkansas 1.02 Texas 1.02 Missouri 1.01 Minnesota 1.01 Indiana 1.00 Kentucky 1.00 Tennessee 0.98 Illinois 0.98 Pennsylvania 0.97 Nebraska 1st District 0.97 California 0.96 New York 0.96 Wyoming 0.95 North Carolina 0.94 Louisiana 0.93 Oklahoma 0.93 Virginia 0.92 Delaware 0.90 South Carolina 0.88 Maryland 0.87 Georgia 0.84 Alabama 0.81 Mississippi 0.79 District of Columbia 0.62

Elasticity scores reflect how much a state’s polls would be expected to change based on a change in national polls. For instance, if Idaho’s elasticity score is 1.1, a 5-point swing in national polls would be expected to produce a 5.5-point swing in Idaho.

Sources: Exit Polls, Cooperative Congressional Election Study

Note that swinger states tend to be white and relatively irreligious. Black voters are generally the most reliable Democratic voters, while white evangelical Christians are generally the most reliable Republican ones. So states such as New Hampshire that have neither many Black voters nor many evangelical Christians tend to be elastic.

That’s it for now! But please drop us a line if anything seems wrong. We do discover bugs from time to time when we’ve launched a new product, and tips from readers are invaluable in catching those.

[warninggraphiccontent]

29 November 2019

Manifesto destiny

What do this year's manifestos have to say about data, digital, open government and technology?

While we wouldn't expect them to get into the finer points of digital government and better uses of data in government - not in themselves the most doorstep-friendly of issues - there's a fair amount in there. Online harms, cybersecurity, citizens' digital rights, using data to better understand barriers to diversity (very Race Disparity Audit) and general references to technology across various sectors all make an appearance. There's not that much on open data or open government (beyond an eye-catching Lib Dem promise on a citizens' assembly on algorithms), or much detail on the Conservative promise to improve the use of data, data science and evidence in government (#classicdom). We've got a summary here, the Ada Lovelace Institute have one here, and Peter Wells has a thread on each here.

It's interesting to compare with the 2017 versions. The Conservatives apparently promised some new bodies on the use and ethics of data, and geospatial data - whatever happened to those? - while Labour promised to keep the Land Registry and all its data under public control (repeated this time around) and extend freedom of information to private providers of public services (ditto). No mention of Freedom of Information in the Lib Dem manifesto for the first time in a while.

There'll be some more on manifestos on this week's Inside Briefing podcast. We looked at, or rather listened to, prime ministerial tenure last week.

And in brief:

It was a real pleasure to chair Will from Full Fact, Liz from Digital Action, my old boss Martin from King's and the chair of the Electoral Commission, Sir John Holmes, on whether we can trust our electoral system in an age of rapidly evolving technology. All killer, no filler, as the kids say - well worth a watch or listen.

And if you liked that, you may like some of our other #IFGElection2019 events, including one next week on other aspects of our electoral system.

Another important event: on starting a career in public policy. Thinking about a career in public policy? Never thought about a career in public policy? Want to get started in thinktanks, or still wondering what a thinktank is? Come and have your questions answered on Monday 9 December.

To the Argentine Embassy for the launch of the Bennett Institute's new report on digital government in Argentina since 2015. Excellent discussion, excellent report, excellent empanadas.

No Data Bites next week - we're hoping to get started again in February. But as well as watching all the previous ones back, you can join us for some drinks on Wednesday - get in touch via Twitter if you'd like to join.

RIP Clive James.

It's easy to forget in the midst of the election campaign but it is nearly Christmas. Come and celebrate with my choir, the New Tottenham Singers, on Saturday 14 December.

Have a great weekend

Gavin

Today's links:

Graphic content

Let's talk about MRP

The key findings from our MRP (YouGov)

Election Centre (YouGov)

MRP election poll: Boris Johnson heads for big majority* (The Times)

Poll forecasts Commons majority for Boris Johnson* (FT)

How do pollsters predict UK general election results? (FT)

Manifestos

Where does the climate emergency first get mention in the party manifestos? (Tortoise)

A chart based analysis of the text in the Conservative and Labour manifestos (Daniel Tomlinson)

Manifesto word count (me for IfG)

#GE2019, etc

Top target seats in the 2019 general election – interactive (The Guardian)

Meet Parliament’s class of 2019* (The Economist, via Tom)

What happens if a prime minister loses their seat in a general election? (IfG)

A New Class Of Angry Partisan Facebook Pages Are Dominating The Online War In The British General Election (BuzzFeed)

Trust in civil servants/politicians (me for IfG)

Veracity Index (Ipsos MORI)

We're now three weeks without a Secretary of State for Wales (me for IfG)

Long term trend shows decreasing concern over economy, unemployment, rise of Brexit (Ipsos MORI)

Women in parliament (Alice for IfG)

Tax and spend

This is how marginal taxes work (Mona Chalabi)

Explaining progressive income tax (Matthew Armstrong)

Divided and connected: Regional inequalities in the North, the UK and the developed world – State of the North 2019 (IPPR)

Elections elsewhere

Hong Kong election results mapped* (New York Times)

A Staggering Number of Candidates Are Running for U.S. President* (Bloomberg)

Who is ahead in the Democratic primary race?* (The Economist)

Everything else

How Do You Find Good NFL Defenders? By Measuring What’s Not There. (FiveThirtyEight)

A kaleidoscope of river pollution (The ENDS Report)

Die letzten Mieter (Zeit Online)

Pope Francis, globe-trotting at an age when other popes have eased up, is trying to transform the church through his travels* (Washington Post)

Data and #dataviz

Survey of public sector information management 2018/19 (data.gov.nz)

Make your own UK General Election maps (Flourish)

Lowering the bar (Full Fact)

Reddit's Bar Chart Race moratorium is a good thing for #dataviz. Here's why. (Andy Cotgreave)

Meta data

Poll position

How YouGov's 2019 General Election model works (YouGov)

FAQs about YouGov's 2019 general election MRP model (YouGov)

MRP Estimates and the 2019 General Election (Anthony B. Masters)

Why you should take YouGov's MRP with a pinch of salt; Six thoughts on YouGov's MRP model of the 2019 election* (New Statesman)

Brexit didn’t cause all our divisions (UnHerd - although...)

Forensic polling analysis shows how Boris Johnson is on course to win—and how he can be stopped* (Prospect)

What to make of the polls? (Will Jennings)

The hidden predictor? Council control (Ian Warren)

Four Problems With 2016 Trump Polling That Could Play Out Again in 2020* (New York Times)

Election 2019: Can we trust our electoral system? (Institute for Government)

Manifestos

General Election 2019: manifesto tracker (Institute for Government)

Manifestos still matter even though their promises aren't being delivered (Institute for Government)

Tech/data in the 2019 manifestos (Peter Wells)

How will data and AI work for people and society after the UK General Election 2019? (Ada Lovelace Institute)

2019 Manifesto - 'Towards a Better Future' (techUK)

The Startup Manifesto (The Entrepreneurs Network/Coadec)

Future of the web

Contract for the Web (World Wide Web Foundation)

Tim Berners-Lee unveils global plan to save the web (The Guardian)

Read Sacha Baron Cohen's scathing attack on Facebook in full: 'greatest propaganda machine in history' (The Guardian)

Platforms don't exist (Ben Tarnoff)

Internet Harms: We need a Regulator, not a Censor (Martin Stanley for the Bennett Institute)

Internet world despairs as non-profit .org sold for $$$$ to private equity firm, price caps axed (The Register)

Oil, data, data, oil

Oil is the New Data (Logic)

The Next Big Cheap: Calling data “the new oil” takes its exploitation for granted (Real Life)

Data, transparency, openness

Unlocking the value of London’s public sector data (Eddie Copeland)

What does transparency mean? (Understanding Patient Data)

Open government must be more than a commitment on paper* (Apolitical)

11 thoughts on Donald Trump, Transparency and Records (Ben Worthy)

Cabinet Office ignores court order to release secret fracking report (The Guardian)

Open Banking: Consumer consent frameworks around the globe (ODI/Equifax)

Thierry Breton to be in charge of leading new ‘EU data strategy’* (Politico)

Everything else

Better than ethics (Rachel Coldicutt, Doteveryone)

Help TheyWorkForYou make sense of Parliament (Crowdfunder)

Taiwan is making democracy work again. It's time we paid attention* (Wired)

Facebook’s only fact-checking service in the Netherlands just quit (The Verge)

OPSI Primer on AI for the Public Sector (OECD, via Marcus)

Opportunities

AWARD: 2020 Statistical Excellence in Journalism awards launched (Royal Statistical Society)

JOB: RESEARCHER/POSTDOCTORAL SCHOLAR, AI ON THE GROUND INITIATIVE (Data & Society)

JOB: Director of Standards & Interoperability (NHS England)

JOB: Senior Researcher: Court Monitoring and Open Justice (Spotlight on Corruption)

JOBS: 2020 US Election (FT)

JOBS (Luminate)

And finally...

Thanksgiving

The Ultimate Thanksgiving Dinner Menu (FiveThirtyEight)

9 charts to be thankful for this Thanksgiving (Vox)

Practice makes perfect: Carve this virtual turkey* (Washington Post)

Politics

How the UK are predicted to vote is... (@notstelfc, via Haydon)

Winning here. Hang on... (via Alasdair)

Medieval Catholicism nudged Europe towards democracy and development* (The Economist)

Irish parliament red-faced over printer too big to fit through doors (The Guardian, via Alice)

Fibonacci Day

Fibonacci Anonymous meetings this afternoon... (Moose Allain)

A poem (Brian Bilston)

Everything else

How Emojis Have Invaded the Courtroom (Slate)

The Big Data of Big Hair (The Pudding)

Same. (@kamal_hothi)

Day in the life of a data journalist. (David Ottewell, via Graham)

Warning: Reading the Wikipedia entry for the guy who invented the bar chart will give you multiple cases of serious whiplash (Tom Wilson, via Tim)

Hi, I'm Bill gates and today I will teach you how to count to ten (@OneDevloperArmy)

[greysell2022]

TALKING ABOUT ONE OF THE BEST IN PACKAGING

The initial look and feel of a product on the shelf plays a vital role in influencing consumers. Buying is largely an intuitive process. This is the reason; product packaging contributes effectively to the success of a product.

Packaging Design

packaging protects the contents during transportation and storage.

Most importantly packaging protects the contents during transportation and storage. Therefore, organizations spend a lot of valuable time and resources to choose the best material for packaging, especially for perishable products. Apart from the material, the shape too is a determining factor. It decides its place on the supermarket aisles. Similarly, the color of the packaging material majorly contributes to attractiveness.

Packaging also differentiates a product from its competitors.

Labeling is another important aspect that carries mandated information. It includes Batch No., License No., Date of Packaging & Maximum Retail Price (MRP). Food items have Best Before or Expiry Date and Nutrient Information. Few products especially gadgets specify instructions for usage and storage. Packaging also differentiates a product from its competitors. It helps influence decision-making on a subconscious level too. In a few cases, we see that the success of a product is largely due to creative and innovative out-of-the-box thinking which is appealing and endearing to the target audience.

The best example of the above would be the Gortz World of Birds. It contains shoelaces representing the beaks of 5 specially designed bird characters. These are strategically placed in the sales areas of children’s shoes. Their eye-catching designs attract children who love to play and collect them. Their display succeeded tremendously in driving footfall to the designated areas. It led to higher sales and revenues not only for the shoes but for the Gortz store card as well. The achievement speaks highly of the creative skills of the Agency gürtlerbachmann GmbH, of Hamburg, and the entire team led by Creative Director Uli Gürtler. This work has attracted the attention of the entire packaging industry and marketing fraternity and has been awarded for its sheer innovation too.

packaging of Japanese products

On the other hand, the packaging of Japanese products is totally different. Their style is subtle and subdued much like the people themselves. There are no garish colors or characters. Muted hues and minimalist designs rule the roost. The effect is a rich and opulent elegance which is impressive in its understatement. The design uses motifs and styles from the rich art and craft traditions of the country and is an ambassador of the legacy.

experience in package designs

These examples validate the need for specialized and innovative creative teams. They can harness their expertise and experience in package designs and influence the success of the product. This is where we at Greysell step in to provide much-needed creative and marketing support. In addition, from selecting material, we choose the right colors, styles, designs, and fonts. Likewise, we also take care of labeling to ensure compliance with legal requirements. Do feel free to drop us a line for any information that you might require so we can assist you better. 

[tesnipharma1-blog]

What Makes PCD Pharma Franchise Companies a Successful Business?

The Indian pharmaceutical industry is soaring high in leaps and bounds, worth millions of dollars. The value is going to skyrocket by the end of the decade. The pharmaceutical industry is booming at an unprecedented rate.

The pharmaceutical franchise sector is vital to the Indian pharmaceutical industry, accounting for a significant portion of total pharma market value. Looking at the surge in numbers and high success rates, it is obvious; that it is one of the rewarding businesses. It is why many pharma aspirants in India choose to start their pharma franchise businesses.

Continue reading to learn more about the reasons behind the success of the PCD Pharma Franchise Business in India.

Lucrative profits

The high-profit margin of the PCD Pharma franchise company in India is one of the key reasons for its success. Because of the increase in demand for pharmaceutical products, there is a fantastic opportunity to make a lot of money. Pretty much every single company sells products with high-profit margins. Furthermore, some products are in high demand and have significant price differences between the MRP and the purchasing price.

You can be your boss

Another reason why PCD pharma franchises are growing in popularity is that the individual does not have to report to anyone and can make their own decisions while running their firm. Pharma professionals can start their firm with a minimal initial expenditure in this enterprise. If the pharma franchise business were supposed to compare with a job, you would not have the authority to make company decisions. Whereas, in the franchise industry, on the other hand, you are free to make decisions that benefit your own company.

Minimal Initial Investment

Almost all businesses necessitate a significant financial investment. However, a pharma franchise does not require an enormous investment and can start with a small one. It is relevant even if you can launch your company for as little as 10000 to 20000 INR, which may seem like a small investment for a pharmaceutical franchise.

Monopoly Based Pharma Franchise Business

One of the most critical reasons for the success of the PCD Pharma franchise business is the availability of monopoly rights in this business concept. This strategy enables you to offer pharmaceutical products in a specific area or region without facing any competition. The pharmaceutical industry will only award you a franchise in the specified or chosen region, and no one else will receive one. It will help to establish a strong market presence.

Loss Probability is relatively low

In recent decades, the demand for effective treatment and pharmaceutical products has reached an all-time high. It reduces the likelihood of stock remaining unsold, resulting in a loss. It is a rare occurrence. As a result, this is one of the reasons why the franchise industry in India is thriving.

To Become a Recognized Brand

Many pharma companies offer their franchise to popularize their brand name in the market. This franchise model is a popular way for companies to sell their products in India by creating networks across the country. Through this franchise model, pharma companies; can earn public goodwill in a relatively short period. Offering the PCD Pharma franchise is one of the key reasons; why the pharmaceutical industry is soaring faster than ever before. 

Nil Promotion Investment

If you feel that a pharma franchise firm requires the same amount of money for marketing goals as any other business, you are wrong. In this industry, the pharma company provides all marketing tools to the franchise owner to promote their businesses and market the products.

No Particular Target in Pharma Franchise Business

Most pharma companies offer pharma franchise businesses with no target, allowing newcomers to start their own business with no pressure. It enables you to manage the business with clarity and gives you time to research the entire pharma business concept.

Conclusion

To sum it all up, it is clear why the pharma franchise industry in India is flourishing based on the above factors. Numerous important factors contribute to the success of a PCD pharma franchise business, but the most vital factor is the expanding market for pharmaceutical products.

Tesni Pharmaceuticals is one of the premier ISO-certified companies and a renowned name in the pharmaceutical industry. The company offers a PCD Pharma Franchise with monopoly rights and lucrative services with numerous benefits. They also provide GMP-certified products at extremely low prices, allowing anyone to afford them and expand their market presence.

[erpcompanymalaysiasingapore]

5 Minute Guide to ERP

Information technology has transformed the means we live and the way we do business. ERP, or Enterprise Resource Planning, is one of most commonly implemented organization software systems in a wide array of industries and companies. In this short post, we'll try to briefly discuss the standard yet vital ideas pertinent to ERP.

ERP interpretation refers to both ERP software and service techniques that carry out ERP systems. ERP application makes use of different ERP software applications to enhance the performance of organizations for 1) resource planning, 2) management control and 3) functional control. ERP Solutions - ERP is a lot even more than an item of computer system software. A ERP System consists of ERP Software, Company Processes, Users and Equipment that run the ERP software. History of ERP - Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) is the development of Manufacturing Demands Planning (MRP) II in 1980s, while MRP is the advancement of Inventory Management & Control conceived in 1960s. ERP has broadened from control of manufacturing procedures to the assimilation of enterprise-wide backend procedures. In regards to technology, ERP has advanced from heritage application to much more adaptable tiered client-server design. Benefits of ERP - ERP software attempts to integrate service processes throughout divisions onto a single enterprise-wide information system. In reality, resource planning has been the weakest link in ERP practice due to the complexity of tactical planning and absence of ample combination of ERP with Choice Support Systems (DSS). ERP Failures - We could not end our quick overview to ERP without pointing out ERP failures. We have determined the 4 parts of an ERP System - 1) ERP software, 2) Organization Procedures that ERP software sustains, 3) Individuals of ERP systems, and 4) Equipment and Operating Equipments that run ERP applications.

Synnove Systems provides quality SAP Consulting Services in the region with our regional offices in Singapore, Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia. Our award winning team bring innovation and differentiated capabilities that help Clients create value and deliver business outcomes. Synnove Systems is set to become a market leader in Enterprise Business Solutions. Synnove Systems – One of the competent IT consulting companies in Malaysia‎, ERP software Malaysia, ERP system Malaysia, SAP Malaysia sdn bhd.

Synnove Systems Pte. Ltd. 3 International Business Park, #03-31 Nordic European Centre, Singapore 609927

[foodcloud]

Order Healthy Vegan Snacks And Begin A Wholesome Regimen With Foodcloud Munchies

Thankfully, many mixes of plant foods can compose satisfying and healthy treats whether you consume completely vegan or are just interested in decreasing animal items in your diet regimen. Enjoy a healthy meal by choosing to Order Healthy Vegan Snacks from an authentic source. And among all the available online snack stores, Foodcloud munchies has stood to be one of the most credible stores for now. At Foodcloud Munchies you get a surplus range of products from which you can Order Homemade Vegan Snacks of your choice. 

Authenticity Of Foodcloud Munchies

As proof of being the best online store to Order Healthy Vegan Snacks, the company was entitled as the winner of National Startup Awards 2020 by the Department Of Promotion Of Industry And Internal Trade. And that is enough proof to tell how credible and authentic the source is.

Range Of Vegan Snacks Offered Here

Pick from typical Indian treats as well as namkeen such as Baked Moong Dal Twisty, Homemade baked Achari Mathi, Vegan roasted blend, Healthy Homemade Baked Vegan Methi Mathi, Chilly Garlic Paste, and more. Foodcloud munchies is the perfect spot to Order Vegan Snacks including Vegan-Friendly Namkeen as well as Vegan-Friendly Snack Food items due to our range and likewise due to the fact that the company offers Vegan Food at MRP. 

The company aspires to offer best in class services to its customers. So it follows certain policies that allow both the seller and customer to enjoy easy purchase and exchange. 

Health as well as safety 

Not just the range of products but the health towards delivery and preservation is prioritized here so that the customers can Buy Homemade Vegan Snacks, without any burden of health and hygiene.

The company guarantees that the products provided on the website are maintained hygienic under proper food security standards, and has actually gotten on top of the priority listing from the day Foodcloud munchies was first introduced. Hence if hygiene is your concern you can order healthy vegan snacks online without being much concerned about the quality of product offered.

Conclusion So you can surely kick start your journey towards healthy eating by choosing Foodcloud munchies to buy and Order Healthy Vegan Snacks,.

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