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Golden Chance Lotto

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Golden Chance Lotto Results for 30/04/2019

Golden Chance Lotto Results for 30/04/2019

Golden Chance Lotto Results for 30/04/2019 We have decided to widen our lotto coverage range, to accommodate other lotto games. This decision was reached by our board as a result of numerous request sent to us by our esteemed page visitors who requested that we accommodate other lotto companies games on our website to easy their difficulty on trying to source the results of the games after each…

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Why we love to play the lottery when we know we won’t win

In the fall of 2018, America was infected with Mega Millions fever. The jackpot for the Mega Millions — one of the two biggest nationwide lottery games, along with Powerball — had climbed to an astonishing $1.6 billion, the highest in history, and across the country, cartoon dollar signs were popping into people’s eyes.

After weeks of breathless media speculation, it was announced: A single ticket, sold at a KC Mart in Simpsonville, South Carolina, had won the grand prize — a feat with the approximate odds of one in 302.6 million.

Yet the ticket went unclaimed for months. A winner only has 180 days to come forward with the prize ticket; otherwise, the money would be dispersed among the states based on ticket sales, and the expected windfall for South Carolina ($61 million) and even the clerk whose convenience store sold the golden ticket ($50,000) would evaporate.

Finally, on March 4, just under the cutoff, a woman came forward to claim the prize. But because South Carolina law allows lottery winners to remain anonymous, we may never know the name of the person whose stroke of luck let her walk away with a lump sum of nearly $878 million, the largest payout to a single winner in history.

Four days later, news outlets had moved on: to the story of an unemployed 54-year-old man who won $173 million off a Mega Millions ticket he bought — and mistakenly left — at a Quick Check in Phillipsburg, New Jersey, and was able to reclaim after a Good Samaritan turned in the ticket for the store to hold.

We love stories like this. Lottery wins are a staple of local news coverage, and periodically, when the jackpot climbs high enough, the national press gets in on the action too — and even people who otherwise would never think of it might find themselves shelling out for a ticket. It’s that potent combination of envy and hope; in a world where the American ethos of hard work and perseverance paying off seems increasingly like a lie, where the chips seem stacked against us anyway, why couldn’t it be me, or you, who somehow beats the odds and finds riches beyond measure at a Quick Check off the interstate?

But while the game of lightning-strike fame and fortune might seem like a product of the modern culture that birthed Instagram and the Kardashians, the roots of the lottery in America are as old as the country itself.

A brief history of the lottery

Ronshelley/Wikimedia Commons

First, a few definitions. Per the North American Association of State and Provincial Lotteries (NASPL) “lottery” can refer to three things:

1) An entity that operates or administers lottery games — usually a governmental or quasi-government agency or a corporation licensed by a government. 2) A game in which all plays have an equal chance of winning. 3) A game with three components for the players: a prize to be won, a chance to win and not win, and an element of consideration (such as buying a ticket) to enter the game.

Under the umbrella of lottery games are many types: number or daily games (such as Pick 3 and Pick 4), instant games (scratch-off tickets), keno (in which players pick numbers to match numbers chosen by the game from a certain quantity of numbers — 10 of 20 of 80, for instance), online games, and more. The ones that collect the biggest jackpots in North America, and thus the ones you’ve probably heard the most about, are the Mega Millions and Powerball games (more on these below).

While the ways to play have expanded over time, along with the jackpots, the basic concept of lotteries is swirled into the DNA of the country; they were first used to fund the colonies and eventually became the province of the newly formed states. As Jonathan Cohen detailed in a great piece for Vox, they served (and still do) as a sort of voluntary tax, bringing in significant sums for the government without the type of pushback that raising tax rates elicits:

Once states took control of the lottery system, they could authorize games as they saw fit in order to help specific institutions raise money. State governments owned lottery wheels, which were used for drawing tickets, and politicians would lend them to the organizations the state permitted to hold drawings.

Though conservative Protestants have opposed gambling for centuries, many of the first church buildings in the United States were built with lottery money. Many of the world’s most elite universities, too, owe their existence to lotteries. Parts of the campuses of Harvard, Yale, Brown, Princeton, and Dartmouth were paid for with lottery money, and the New York legislature held multiple lotteries to fund the creation of what is now Columbia University. And because lotteries were tied to specific institutions — or even specific buildings — the public had obvious evidence of their effectiveness in avoiding taxes and building the new nation.

Lotteries fell out of favor around the 1850s and were outlawed in the 1890s, and it wasn’t until the mid-20th century that the modern lotto emerged: first in 1934 with the Puerto Rico Lottery, then 30 years later with the New Hampshire Sweepstakes. Lotteries were then still illegal at the federal level, but the Department of Justice determined the New Hampshire contest would be permissible as long as tickets didn’t cross state lines (people in Rhode Island, New Jersey, and New York were arrested for being in possession of New Hampshire lottery tickets).

According to NH Magazine, it proved to be a huge draw: People flocked to the Granite State to take part in the sweepstakes, which was a horse race; names of ticket holders would be drawn and randomly assigned to one of the 11 competing horses, and dollar amounts were designated for first place ($100,000), second place ($50,000), and so on. If their horse won, so would they. By the time the race began, the state had sold $5.7 million in $3 tickets. Among that first lotto’s grand prize winners were a barber named Frank Malkus and his wife Eleanor, who won $100,000 off a stallion named Roman Brother (about $819,000 today).

Herb Scharfman/The LIFE Images Collection/Getty Images

Alvarez Fernando, the jockey for first-place winner Roman Brother, with winners Paul Cordone and his wife, after the New Hampshire sweepstakes.

After that, the lottery began to catch on in other states. According to the NAASPL, Massachusetts pioneered the scratch-off game in 1975; the “quick pick” numbers option, which now accounts for 35 percent of all lottery sales, launched in 1982; and three years later, Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont banded together for the first multi-state lottery, the Tri-State Megabucks.

These days, 44 states and the District of Columbia run their own lotteries. The six states that don’t — and where you also can’t play Powerball or Mega Millions — are Alabama, Alaska, Hawaii, Mississippi, Utah, and, somewhat incredibly, Nevada, home to the gambling paradise of Las Vegas. The reasons vary, per the BBC; Alabama and Utah’s absences are motivated by religious concerns; the state governments of Mississippi and Nevada, which allow gambling, already get a cut of that revenue and don’t want a competing entity to cut into the profits; and Alaska, thanks to its budget surplus from oil drilling, lacks the “fiscal urgency” that might motivate other states to adopt the lottery.

“If it seems like everyone rushes to play Powerball one month and then stocks up on Mega Millions tickets the next, that’s because it’s intentional”

So people in those states who want a crack at the multimillion-dollar jackpots regularly offered by the major multi-state lotto games, Powerball and Mega Millions, are out of luck.

And what, you might ask, is the difference between the two games, anyway? According to Slate, there’s not much. Powerball draws five balls from a lot of 69, versus five from 70 for Mega Millions. And while the two were introduced at different times (Powerball in 1988, Mega Millions in 1996), and were originally mutually exclusive — states where one game could be played couldn’t offer the other — that hasn’t been true since they merged jurisdictions in 2009. Now they’re offered everywhere that also has a state lotto, and per Slate’s Nick Greene, there’s little appreciable difference between them, which is likely intentional to motivate sales:

If it seems like everyone rushes to play Powerball one month and then stocks up on Mega Millions tickets the next, that’s because it’s intentional. The cycle of highly publicized mega-jackpots followed by a trickle of lesser winnings is by design. Powerball reduced its odds to produce bigger prizes in 2015, and Mega Millions followed suit two years later. The result is a kind of seesaw effect, in which the games’ terrible odds allow their jackpots to grow ever-bigger.

Opponents argue that the lottery preys on the already marginalized

Xinhua News Agency/Getty Images

An advertisement for the Powerball jackpot is seen in midtown Manhattan on January 11, 2016.

Lotteries may be great for states, whose coffers swell thanks to both ticket sales and winners, but that money comes from somewhere, and study after study has suggested it’s largely from low-income people, minorities, and people with gambling addiction.

Vox’s Alvin Chang looked at the data for Connecticut, which has some of the richest and poorest neighborhoods in the country, and found that lotto ticket sales are disproportionately concentrated in zip codes with more low-income and minority residents.

A Business Insider analysis of census data, which divided the total income from all the lotteries in a state by the estimated number of residents, found that Massachusetts spends the most on lottery tickets by far, an average of $767 per person in 2016. West Virginia is in second place at $594, and Rhode Island is in third at $513. All that spending adds up to tens of billions of dollars for state governments, which largely goes to education (though it still represents just a tiny fraction of overall state spending).

Among households in the lowest income bracket, 28 percent play the lottery once a week

While probably few would argue that more funding for education is a bad thing, the demographics of regular lottery players are concerning to the games’ opponents. A Bankrate survey found that among households in the lowest income bracket, 28 percent play the lottery once a week, and those seemingly insignificant ticket purchases add up to more than $400 a year — money that could go toward paying off debt or accumulating savings.

The NASPL disputes these findings. Its website links to a 2016 Gallup poll that found lower-income and less educated Americans were less likely to say they had bought a state lottery ticket in the past year — about 40 percent for people with a household income of less than $36,000 per year, versus 56 percent and 53 percent for middle- and high-income people, respectively.

Still, the lottery’s business model relies on a base of regular players. As Les Bernal, an anti-state-sponsored gambling activist, told Pew Charitable Trusts, state-sponsored lotteries rely heavily on super users, “getting up to 70 to 80 percent of their revenue from 10 percent of the people that use the lottery.” The problem is so pervasive that some state lawmakers have even put forth proposals to limit lotteries, or at least restrict new modes of play like credit card sales of tickets and online games.

And even for those rare few whose hopeful ticket purchases actually pay off, their issues might just be beginning.

The “curse” of lottery winners

Susan Watts/NY Daily News Archive via Getty Images

Andrew (Jack) Whittaker (center) takes wife Jewell (right) and granddaughter Brandi Bragg, 15, to lunch at Tavern on the Green in Central Park after Whittaker won the $314.9 million Powerball jackpot on Christmas Day. Whittaker beat the 120-million-to-one odds to rope in what was then the biggest single-ticket lottery jackpot ever.

Stories of lottery winners may inspire envy, but there’s no shortage of schadenfreude either — which brings us to the cottage industry of horrific stories about “cursed” lottery winners.

While curses aren’t real (as far as I know), winning the lottery has historically seemed to precede a string of terrible luck for many otherwise ordinary people. To preface: In a majority of states, lottery winners are legally not allowed to remain anonymous. As Aditi Shrikant wrote for Vox:

Winners must sign the back of the ticket to officially claim it, then contact their state’s lottery commission, which announces the lottery is closed by saying who won. In only eight states — Delaware, Georgia, Kansas, Maryland, North Dakota, Ohio, South Carolina, and Texas — are winners allowed to conceal their names, but even then, they can only stay anonymous below a certain earnings threshold or for a certain time period.

It makes sense from the states’ perspective: Putting a face and a name to that big ol’ pile of money makes it easier for other people to imagine themselves in that lucky person’s shoes, and can thus drive the ticket sales that put money in the state budget. To wit, past winners’ full names, hometowns, and even photos are listed right on the Powerball and Mega Millions websites.

But this also means that winner is now low-grade famous — and a potential target for robbery, kidnapping, scam artists, and even murder.

There was Abraham Shakespeare, who won $31 million in 2006 and whose body was found in 2010 concealed under a concrete slab; and Jeffrey Dampier, who after he won $20 million was kidnapped and then shot in the head by his sister-in-law and her boyfriend; and Urooj Khan, who dropped dead the day after winning a comparatively tame $1 million and was later found to have been poisoned by cyanide.

70 percent of lottery winners end up bankrupt in just a few years

Perhaps the most widely reported tale of woe is that of Jack Whittaker, a kindly West Virginia man who became somewhat of a folk hero in his state after winning $314 million in 2002. As April Witt wrote for the Washington Post Magazine in 2005, Whittaker’s seeming stroke of good luck destroyed his life: He was robbed and sued multiple times, he got a DUI, his business and his marriage fell apart, and his granddaughter Brandi died less than two years later from a drug overdose.

And this isn’t even to touch on the more straightforward issue of financial mismanagement. Per the National Endowment for Financial Education, 70 percent of lottery winners end up bankrupt in just a few years. As Jim Shagawat, a financial adviser with Windfall Wealth Advisors, told me, this could be attributed to the fact that “a lot of lottery winners simply don’t have life experience having a lot of money. They do things like give away too much to family and friends, or have scam artists take advantage of them, or they get a feeling like this money’s unlimited and start spending it all.”

Low-income people living paycheck to paycheck — again, the people who are most likely to play the lottery regularly — may not have much experience with investment or savings. “If you’re a trust fund baby, you’re kinda taught about the team of advisers you need” to manage your money, Shagawat told me. Many of us might be able to handle smaller sums but aren’t equipped to deal with, say a windfall of $15 million. “All of a sudden, the way you did things just won’t work anymore.”

Don McNay, a financial adviser and the author of Life Lessons From the Lottery, put it even more bluntly. “The money just overwhelms them,” he told the New York Times’s Joe Nocera in 2012 of lottery winners. “It just causes them to lose their sense of values.”

Gaming the odds

Eric Baradat/AFP/Getty Images

A woman buys Mega Millions tickets hours before the draw of the $1.6 billion jackpot at a liquor store in Downtown Washington, DC, on October 23, 2018.

Given that the chance of winning the kind of jackpot that can turn you into an overnight millionaire is infinitesimally small — you’re statistically far more likely to be struck by lightning or guess every single team in your Sweet 16 March Madness bracket correctly — it’s perhaps not surprising that there’s a long history of people trying to hack the lottery, sometimes quite literally.

HuffPost’s Highline tells the story of a couple in their 60s who made nearly $27 million over nine years via games in their home state of Michigan because the husband noticed a flaw in the games’ rules. Their tactic: bulk-buying tickets, thousands at a time, to ensure the odds were in their favor, basically turning playing the lottery into a full-time job. They soon began traveling regularly to play a similar game in Massachusetts, where a group of MIT students had figured out the same thing simultaneously.

Stefan Mandel won not only the $27 million jackpot but also $900,000 in additional prizes by buying up every possible number combination in the Virginia lottery

The two competing parties’ large bets in the game, called Cash WinFall, eventually triggered an investigation by a Boston Globe reporter and turned into a national scandal; the state lottery commission went on to suspend the licenses of several stores that had sold tickets to the two groups and then announced it would phase out Cash WinFall entirely.

There was also a woman with a PhD in statistics from Stanford who won the Texas lottery four times in 10 years to the tune of nearly $20 million (and who, unlike the MIT and Michigan players, has not been forthcoming about her methods).

Stefan Mandel, a Romanian economist living in Australia, won not only the $27 million jackpot but also $900,000 in additional prizes by systematically buying up every possible number combination in the Virginia lottery. As Zachary Crockett wrote for the Hustle, Mandel was subject to investigation by 14 law enforcement agencies but ultimately found not guilty of wrongdoing; Crockett writes that “in his home country of Australia, he became something of a folk hero: A widely-circulated cartoon depicted him as a kangaroo hopping out of the US with a pouch full of cash.”

And in 2017, PennLive published a whole investigative series on the surprisingly high number of lottery players who’ve won multiple times — too many times to be statistically plausible (though there’s not yet hard evidence of illegal doings).

Of course, there have been some high-profile cases of straight-up cheating too. There was the infamous “Triple Six Fix” incident of 1980, in which Nick Perry, the announcer of Pennsylvania’s “Daily Number” game, cooked up a plot to weight the ping-pong balls used in the drawing to ensure his victory. Aided by the lottery’s “shockingly lax” security, Perry pulled it off, winning $1.8 million with the portentous drawing of “666” — but officials were immediately suspicious and launched an investigation that ended in a criminal conviction for Perry.

Perhaps the biggest lottery scam in the US was orchestrated by a programmer named Eddie Tipton in what’s now known as the “Hot Lotto fraud scandal.” As the New York Times explains, Tipton worked for the Multi-State Lottery Association as a security employee and figured out how to game the lottery via inserting fraudulent code into the random number generator machine to game the system in lotteries across multiple states. Across the long-running scam, he got friends and family members to collect the winning tickets, and eventually was busted after trying to collect a $16.5 million ticket in 2010. Tipton was sentenced to 25 years in prison in 2017 (though he could get out on parole much earlier).

While Americans may enjoy a good grifter story, those who game the lottery don’t seem to inspire the same grudging admiration — perhaps because the odds are so long to begin with that for those who do play by the rules, it feels a lot more personal when someone profits by flouting them. HuffPost’s Jason Fagone put it well: “Even if the lottery is a shitty deal and a sucker’s bet, at least everyone who plays is getting the same shitty deal.”

Still, even the wild improbability of winning and the stories of some occasional bad actors is apparently not enough to dissuade many people with a couple of dollars in their pocket and a misty dream in their heart. After all, this weekend’s Powerball jackpot is already up again, to nearly $500 million. As the fraudster Nick Perry’s lottery catchphrase used to go, “If you’ve got it, come and get it; if not, better luck tomorrow.”

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Lottery 6-49 - Learn How to Win Today

If you live in the country of Canada, you must be one of the hundreds of people who enthusiastically play the Lottery 6/49. It is actually one of the major lottery games in Canada, the other one being the Lotto Super 7. In this game of chance, the winning number combinations are being drawn on Wednesdays and Saturdays.

A Quick Look at its Past

The Lottery 6/49 was launched in June of the year 1982 and was credited to be the first nationwide lottery game in the entire Canadian state. This game allows the players to decide on their own numbers. Even before, there were other lottery games which existed in Canada. They were the Lotto Canada, Olympic Lottery, and the Super Lotto. All of which utilized the serial numbers on their tickets. However, when Lotto 6/49 emerged, it rendered the previous lottery games obsolete.

Playing the Game

As its very name implies, there are 6 numbers which are drawn from among the set of 49 numbers. The jackpot prize varies depending on whether or not someone has already taken it home. One hits the jackpot if his chosen 6 numbers match the winning number combination. A "second prize" is won when the player's ticket equals five numbers from the winning combination along with the bonus number. The rule of thumb is that when there is more than one winner who wins either the jackpot or the second prize, the total amount is to be divided among all of them.

The minor prizes are awarded to the players who get three numbers, or two of the winning combination numbers plus the bonus number. Now, if no one gets the much coveted jackpot prize, then, the amount increases over the next draws until someone finally wins it.

The Price of the Ticket

The tickets are typically cheap. They often range between $1 up to $2. Who else will not want to join the rage when in fact a big amount of money is at stake?

A Player's Goal

Obviously, someone who plays for the Canadian lottery has only one goal. That is, to take home the jackpot prize. Several of the players generally believe that winning or losing is based on luck. The problem is that, they don't trust that there is a better strategy that will topple over their rivals.

The secret to winning in the Lottery 6/49 is all about envisaging the next batch of winning numbers. It is all about predicting the upcoming number combination. Try as you might in deciphering the pattern used, your effort will remain futile. Why? It is because a machine picks the numbers.

What you must do is to skip some numbers. Refrain from employing the natural sequence of numbers. Also, combine both the odd Golden Chance Lotto Result and even numbers for more chances of winning.

The good news is that there is a system that you can make use of to make sure that you will win as you play in the Lottery 6/49. It is a tool that sharpens your skills in predicting the outcome of the game. If you purchase this guide, you will comprehensively learn what it takes to become the winner!

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[daveandtrev]

2017 Draft Recap

Friends, Confidants, members of the Star Wars Club, I’m going to get straight to the point. It’s good to be writing to you. Mon and I are in month five of our journey around the world (if Europe was the only continent in said world) and being the guy on his computer typing every day is starting to get me weird stares (because of course the WiFi is only in the common area.) So let’s dive into a bit of draft recap and see what we can find.

Per popular request (and for those who said I wouldn’t do it until next year week 8, Mr. Grundy) I want to take a look back at some of my favorite picks right after draft day as well as what I think are the best picks looking back after six weeks. Please note that I would have liked to have made the draft day player selections before Week 1 and I will definitely make a point of selecting these picks earlier next year. For this edition, I looked back to my final draft board and found players who went cheaper than I had them valued and picked the most interesting cases. Picks I like now are the best values with the future in mind.

One last, quick note: I’ve come to really believe that draft results are the biggest indicator of season long success. This sometimes goes without saying, but I don’t think I bought into this enough until last season. Honestly, I asked myself “Why am I not winning more?” and when I looked at the previous drafts (and my preparation habits) I started to understand. With 12 teams reducing viable waiver pickups, the draft has become even more important. I have renewed vigor for draft study and therefore will be tying the draft into most of my thinking and content about our league.

Plunk - My favorite picks on draft day: Stefon Diggs at $12. (I valued him at $15 on draft day). I liked Stefon Diggs a lot and was targeting him from the start…that is until I took the plunge on two expensive RBs in the first 3 picks of the draft and all my planning got scrapped. I was a bit worried when I heard he would play on the outside more this year (as he had so much success in the slot) but really that’s just opened up longer targets and showcased the guy’s talent. He is legit and would probably be worth $25 or more if we drafted again today. His box scores going into the year remind me a lot of Golden Tate (or even TY Hilton): blow up games (150+ yards) mixed with the occasional dud and only a lack of red zone usage/efficiency keeping him from the elite tier. (He has already tripled his RZ scoring from last year. He has three TDs already in five games compared to one TD over the entire previous season. Perhaps he can make the leap.)

Now: Chris Hogan at $3. (Honorable mention to Diggs and Gurley). Gurley has been the RB2 through 6 weeks and Diggs has been the WR7, but Chris Hogan checks in at WR8 and cost a piddly $3 on draft day. He has returned incredible value thus far and should continue to dominate the Pats WR volume. This happens once or twice a year at that point in the draft, but it’s the envy of those $17 Allen Robinson bidders. And those who bought Maclin at $7,Marshall at $8 or Crowder at $10. We won’t even mention Amari Cooper at $37 who currently sits at WR76…

Soape - My favorite pick on draft day: Kareem Hunt, $27. (Valued at $30 on draft day). I wanted to put Adam Thielen here at $3. Unfortunately, even though I liked him on draft day, my final draft board says he was a $2 player. So technically he wasn’t a draft day value. Hence I land on the only player who fits the value criteria – Kareem Hunt. I hoped that nobody would know his name with the late Spencer Ware injury and he’d land in the $18-$20 range. No such luck. Soape came out of a multi year hiatus and picked the best fantasy player in the league for under $30. I won’t even try to say I thought this kind of season was coming. I definitely did not think he’d be sitting at RB1 through 6 weeks. The only reason I put him above TyMont and Cook was because I knew his competition would be near zilch with Ware out (competition was a bit unclear in the other two cases). Well done Soape.

Now: Kareem Hunt at $27. This is clearly a league winning pick if Hunt keeps it up. Soape has shaken off the rust of a year away and is absolutely loaded (He’s also sitting on Antonio Brown and Melvin Gordon. Plus Dak, a legit WR2 in Adam Thielen and Derrick Henry lurking as an absolute beast if given the opportunity.) (How many compliments do I need to give to get that Chik-fil-A bro?)

And I’m going to cheat here….

Now (1B): Adam Thielen at $3. And here is the other lucky lotto winner who has unearthed a starter for under $5. Thielen succeeded towards the end of last year and from what I read, was legitimately creating separation on his routes and beating guys (aka being good at receiver). After talks with Grundy who was worried about the O-Line, I hesitated on my initial love for the Vikes this year and ended up downgrading their offense a bit before draft day. Big mistakey. (I should know that the homers always protect themselves from disappointment. Plenty of people were up on the Bucs this year but I was not buying it myself. It’s the disappointment that comes after elevated expectations that is the true heart killer, so even though you think you’re getting a “better” opinion by talking to said homer, you’re really introducing a reverse bias. Unless you talk to Jason. From which you get, “WE’RE GONNA THRASH!!!!”)

Swave – My favorite pick on draft day: Emmanuel Sanders at $10. (Valued at $15 on draft day). Sanders had almost the same target share as DT last year and was targeted in the red zone and inside the 10 at the exact same rate as DT. And he cost $10 less on draft day. He was a solid pick then and a solid pick now.

Now: Michael Crabtree at $18. I think Sanders is still a good bargain at that price, but I prefer Michael Crabtree today. He is still scoring TDs and its only a matter of time before the Raiders offense starts clicking. He’s currently sitting at WR11. I am starting to come around (slightly) on Duke Johnson who is becoming a staple in the game plan. I annually get nervous to back these exclusive pass catching backs but one or two always end up a top-20 RB by the end of the year and Duke could be forcing his way into the conversation at a  cost of only $2.

Dave – My favorite pick on draft day: Ezekiel Elliot at $35. (Valued at $45 on draft day). So in my first draft over on ESPN with my uncle and cousins, Zeke fell to the third round. As soon as I saw him picked at 22nd overall, I knew he was a steal. I decided to make a run for him in our league and see if I could get him under $40 which I was able to do. Yes, he has risk. The suspension clearly could put a damper on things. But the upside was phenomenal. Over the years I have continually wrestled with upside vs. safety and when to pursue each. I used to love the running QBs who had “QB1 overall upside” like Vick, Kaepernick, RG3, and Cam. I would always err on the side of potential and I paid top dollar to draft them. More times than not, I got burned (drafting Vick #2 overall was the pinnacle of that thought process. It did not work out.) I don’t think the problem was pursuing these guys – I think I pursued them when they were priced the highest. Let’s face it – Zeke would have went for $50+ without a suspension. At that price, he’s a bad bet when he could miss half a fantasy season. But at $35? With the recent precedent of Brady two years back in which he played all year long through a similar suspension? I take the bet and hope he returns $50 worth of value but am not killed if he misses 6 games and turns out to only be worth around $20.

Now: Alex Smith at $1. I mean come on! We should have seen this coming right? 10 year veteran breaks out into an MVP player, tapping into the potential we always knew he had as a former #1 overall pick. He puts aside his game-manager ways to relentlessly attack defenses down the field and finally feature his stud TE. This was obvious right? Yup…sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good.

Cristian – My favorite pick on draft day: DeAndre Hopkins at $18. (Valued at $25 on draft day). I probably moved Hopkins and Allen Robinson more than any other players on my draft board. They oscillated between $30 and $15 for a solid month and I never felt good about the spot they were in. (My final draft board had both at $25). The thing I couldn’t argue with was opportunity (which both had a ton of last year) but the thing we knew was that quarterbacks kept them down in previous seasons, and the QB situations of both teams wasn’t resolved. Looking at it six weeks in, I laugh at how we will remember this year for those two players. Robinson was a bust, Hopkins a stud. I love this, because this is the essence of fantasy football. It’s not one-strategy-fits-all.  Neither situation was better than the other on draft day (in my opinion). Yet Scooter gets burned and Cristian gets a steal. (Remember this next time you beat yourself up for your season gone amuck: fantasy football is a gambler’s game and hence you get gambler’s odds. With 12 teams its my estimate that everyone has less than a 50% chance at a playoff season, regardless of skill, and the competition in our league likely pushes that number lower (maybe 40%?) for even the most skilled players. We’ll test this thought going forward.)

Now: DeShaun Watson at $1. Yeah bro. He was the best pick on the team. He’s now starring on Jack’s team. Live by the undervalued player, die by the player who explodes after you drop him. At least he plays for the home team, right Cristian?

Monica – My favorite pick on draft day: Gronk at $28. (Valued at $30 on draft day). I also liked Demaryius Thomas at a larger discount, but I was so surprised at Gronk’s price tag (I predicted that he would go for $40) that I believe he was the best pick. The write-up on Zeke applies here. Take the risk when the price drops.

Now: Gronk at $28. I started this article last week and had Rodgers as the potential pick here. That won’t work going forward, even though I think Rodgers at $36 is a solid investment. Even after taking a 0 from a missed game, Gronk is the TE2 with a 30 point lead on the TE6. He is the #1 option on offense for New England and is the favorite to lead the position in points at season’s end.

Grundy: My favorite pick on draft day: Dalvin Cook at $19. (Valued at $25 on draft day). I told Grundy on draft night that I’d rather have Cook at $19 then TyMont at $18, both of whom I valued at $25. Offensive line issues notwithstanding, Dalvin was a massive upgrade over Vikings RBs last year and was going to be featured in the pass game. He was a good bet for work on all downs and I prefer rookies at RB (who see higher efficiency than their older counterparts.) Of course, before we see it happen on the field we are just guessing. At this price, it was a good bet that paid off before injury. (I once took Ryan Matthews in the first round when he was a rookie with the Chargers and I thought he was the next LaDainian Tomlinson. He wasn’t and I sucked that year. Even for “fantasy truths” such as rookie RBs being potentially better picks – consider the price.)

Now: Dalvin was clearly going to be the pick her pre-injury, but going forward I will pivot to Carson Wentz at $8. Wentz has made immense strides this season, vaulting the Philly pass game from the 25th ranking in Passing DVOA up to the 6th ranked team as of Week 6. (DVOA is a Football Outsiders metric which can be read about on footballoutsiders.com. It’s an efficiency metric which means that the Eagles now have a borderline elite passing offense as opposed to being among the league worst last year.) Everyone is waiting on Jameis and Mariota to make the leap – but it’s Wentz who is beating them to it. Grundy is reaping the benefits: Wentz would now fetch over $20 if we drafted today and sits as the overall QB4. (I’m imagining a wistful Jason reading this in Longview as he has collected nearly all Eagles properties without securing the most valuable piece.)

Jason – My favorite pick on draft day: Golden Tate for $11. (Valued at $20 on draft day.) I think I liked every WR that went between $10 and $12 (Sanders, Benjamin, Tate, Garcon, Diggs). Their roles were secure and I felt like most were worth $15 or more. They fell below that threshold and still I drafted exactly zero of them, leaving me with lots of post-draft regret. Tate is a stud who does everything except score double digit TDs. You’re going to get 90 catches, 1000 yards and 5 TDs no matter what. He is the guy in Detroit and he really stood out to me as a bargain when I looked over draft results for the first time. (Side note: remember when he disappeared for the first 5 games last year and he was sitting on waivers for weeks? His coaches had to come out and say he was still a priority on offense. I’m still not sure what happened – but he got his numbers by season’s end).

Now: Tate for $11. Steady as he goes. He is what we thought he was at WR13 so far. (Side note on Jason’s team: What has happened to Gilislee over the past few weeks??)

Trevor – My favorite pick on draft day: Keenan Allen at $21. (Valued at $30 on draft day). Allen has had a strange career with weird injuries. He’s torn an ACL and lacerated a kidney the last two years but has clearly been effective when healthy. I felt that those were more freak injuries than the constant nicks and bruises some players sustain (hello, Jordan Reed) and liked him quite a bit on draft day.

Now: Zach Ertz at $11. Sorry Jason, I misspoke earlier. Ertz may be more valuable than Wentz at his respective position, again showing the growth of the Eagles offense as a whole. Ertz dominated last year when Jordan Matthews was out, but small samples don’t always hold true into the next year (Kyle Rudolph dominated in a similar spot without Diggs last year, but hasn’t had the same value this year, especially without Bradford). In this case, Ertz was a clear bargain at $11 and is scoring at a much higher clip this year (his one previous knock) making him a great selection who currently tops the TE position in fantasy points. (I'll go ahead and plug him for Trevor – he’s very available for trade!)

Phil – My favorite pick on draft day: Doug Martin at $6. (Valued at $10 on draft day.) I figured he might go for $12 or $15 to someone who paired him with Quizz Rodgers or another cheap RB who could get you through the first 3 weeks. But for $6, he’s almost no risk at all. If I wouldn’t have panic drafted Maclin at $7 like a chump (and drafted an $11 WR like I wanted) I would have certainly challenged Phil on this guy. Preseason puff pieces are always something to be weary of, but the Bucs beat reporters seemed earnest on Doug being committed physically and mentally this year. Through two games, this pick looks to be on the right track.

Now: Cameron Brate at $3. Shamelessly target the home team Phil Stark. I admire your faith. Brate has gone nowhere this year despite additions of OJ Howard and DeSean Jackson, keeping his spot as the second option in the Bucs passing game. I think we need to consider the notion that he is establishing himself as a top 5 or 6 fantasy tight end (currently at TE4). Jameis loves him in the red zone and will continue to target him there and everywhere as the season progresses. (Stave Dark home team film review: Brate makes a “wow” play once or twice a game where he makes a reception with a high degree of difficulty. He’s a legitimate talent.)

Scooter: My favorite pick on draft day: Terrelle Pryor at $28. (Valued at $30 on draft day.) My pre draft thoughts: Cousins is still good and all his WRs were leaving. Pryor dominated with Cleveland and was now upgrading to a good QB on a team that wants to pass and should score points. By all accounts the guy is a physical size/speed specimen. I want to bet on guys like this. I valued him conservatively at $30 but felt his upside was top 10 at the position and simply just wanted him on my team (I told you before I’m a sucker for potential). Looking back now, I do think I should have taken two things into account. 1) New QB/WR combos take time to gel and 2) Offensive coordinator changes mean something. Sean McVay was good at his job, and we are seeing him do well with another offensive out in LA. Cousins has been merely okay without him thus far. The jury is still out here, but I absolutely bought in to the hype before the draft and thought he was a great pick.

My other favorite pick on draft day: Darren McFadden at $2. (Valued at $10 on draft day.) I was incredulous to see him go this cheap as a Zeke owner. I just ran out of money (everyone nods with empathy). I was more excited about the Pryor pick (and had more to write on it) but this pick was a great investment if Zeke were to serve his six game suspension. Picks like this can make a 2-3 win difference which can vault a team into the playoffs.

Now: Jordy Nelson at $45. This becomes much tougher to back with Rodgers down, but Hundley has shown well in the preseason before and Jordy is the best weapon on the team. He continues to have the most upside for Scooter’s team going forward.

Jack – My favorite pick on draft day: Leonard Fournette* at $20 (Valued at $25 on draft day.) I have to put an asterisk. I was scared on Fournette. Even though he was a rookie who figured to get featured usage (“fantasy truth” in the right direction) he was also on a bad team who typically see depressed running back points due to being behind on the scoreboard (“fantasy truth” in the wrong direction). He was the only player that Jack drafted who was a bargain in comparison to my auction values. So essentially I didn’t like his team on draft day. I say that for a reason: I was simply wrong. Jack is sitting at 1st overall in the league and is red hot lately as his team put up ridiculously high totals for the 4th straight week. DeShaun Watson has been the waiver pickup of the year and the Jordan Howard trade has worked out nicely thus far. This is with Martavis, Jimmy Graham, and Danny Woodhead adding little (all drafted at over $12+). But Devante is scoring, Fournette is dominant, Howard is getting fantastic volume, and the QB play is exceptional, not to mention the Jacksonville D putting up absurd stat lines. I don’t know many guys who want to win more than Jack does (or who have seen the share of fantasy disappointment that Jack has) so here’s to the scoring binge carrying on a few more weeks.

Now: Fournette at $20. It’s easy at this point. Jacksonville is not a bad team and they boast a dominant defense. I want to say they remind me of an old Ravens team, but Bortles is still 10x worse than Flacco ever was (before this year of course). Fournette is going to crush his draft value and is making a play for top 5 fantasy player in 2017 (I think Hunt, LeVeon, Antonio, and maybe Gurley or Gordon are the only other players that belong in that conversation.) Fournette is currently the overall RB3 and has outscored all WRs and TEs.

 One final thought: I believe every fantasy season has a story that cannot be told without making note of significant injuries. It’s the minefield we all play in. Which bombs are going to go off while you are standing above them? This effect uniquely defines each season as much as the draft (low hanging fruit, but I think relevant). Injuries suck in real life and in fantasy too – it isn’t really a skill to avoid them. Through Week 6, here is the scoreboard of major injuries to the game’s main pieces.

Injuries per team of players drafted for $5+: Jack 1 (Woodhead), Scooter 2 (A-Rob, Olsen), Trevor 2 (Dave Johnson, Marshall), Grundy 3 (OBJ, Cook, Luck), Monica 1 (Rodgers). That’s nine major injuries to $5+ players through Week 6. When we look at just draft dollars, Grundy is playing $84 down (although Luck may return soon) and Trevor is down $58, putting both at extreme disadvantages.

I feel this is shorter than usual but 3,700 words will have to do in the midst of globetrotting. I have some other ideas for visualizing our draft investments which I will send out when the travel schedule allows. Truly, I love being a part of this league with you guys and it has been the perfect way to stay in touch with home (‘Merica).

Ciao from Italy,

Stave Dark