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orbemnews · 4 years ago

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Britain and E.U. Attain Landmark Deal on Brexit LONDON — Britain and the European Union struck a hard-fought commerce settlement on Thursday, settling a bitter divorce that stretched over greater than 4 years and setting the phrases for a post-Brexit future as shut neighbors dwelling aside. The deal, which have to be ratified by the British and European Parliaments, got here collectively in Brussels after 11 months of grinding negotiations, culminating in a last-minute haggle over fishing rights that stretched into Christmas Eve, only a week earlier than a year-end deadline. Regardless of working to 1000’s of pages, the settlement leaves vital elements of the connection to be labored out later. And it’ll not forestall some disruption to commerce throughout the English Channel, since British exports will nonetheless be subjected to some border checks, including prices for corporations and inflicting potential delays at ports. However it’s nonetheless a landmark in the long-running Brexit drama — the bookend to Britain’s departure from the European Union in January and a blueprint for the way the 2 sides will coexist after severing deep ties constructed over a 47-year relationship. A failure to return to phrases may have left Britain and the European Union in a bitter standoff, poisoning relations for years to return. “It was a protracted and winding highway, however we now have acquired a very good deal to point out for it,” stated Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Fee, the bloc’s government arm. “This second marks the top of a protracted voyage.” Brexit started as a undertaking to say British sovereignty and throw off the constraints of Brussels. Fueled by anti-immigrant fervor and a perception that an impartial Britain would fare higher in a altering world, it turned at occasions an insoluble riddle — how you can unravel greater than 40 years of ties with out inviting chaos. As the controversy performed out, the world shifted round Britain. Rising populists like President Trump erected limitations to commerce; the pandemic put globalism on the defensive; and the victory of Joseph R. Biden Jr. within the American presidential election known as the go-it-alone ethos of Brexit into query. To permit sufficient time to confront these points, Britain agreed to proceed abiding by a lot of the guidelines and laws of the European Union till the top of this 12 months whereas negotiators hashed out new preparations to manipulate an enormous cross-Channel commerce, valued at greater than $900 billion a 12 months. If authorized, the settlement will take impact on Jan. 1, 4 and a half years after a slim majority of individuals in Britain voted to go away the European Union, plunging the nation into rancorous debate and political divisions. For Prime Minister Boris Johnson of Britain, who gained a landslide election victory in 2019 vowing to “get Brexit completed,” the deal permits him to meet that promise. He sounded triumphant when talking shortly after the announcement. “We’ve taken again management of our legal guidelines and our future,” he stated. “For the primary time since 1973,” Mr. Johnson stated, “we will likely be an impartial coastal nation with full management of our personal waters.” However to get there, the prime minister needed to make vital concessions, particularly on guidelines that cowl state support to companies and European rights to proceed fishing in these waters. Britain will subscribe to “stage taking part in area” ideas, hewing carefully to European Union requirements and laws for the foreseeable future. Ought to disputes come up, they are going to be settled via arbitration somewhat than the automated penalties that the European Union had been demanding. The European Courtroom of Justice, anathema to Brexiteers, could have no function. In fishing, the final subject to be resolved and probably the most politically delicate, the edges agreed on a 25 p.c discount in quotas for European Union nations to be phased in over 5 and a half years. Britain had been urgent for a three-year transition, the bloc for 14 years. The settlement doesn’t cowl providers, similar to London’s mighty finance sector, which account for about 80 p.c of the British economic system. In a blow to younger folks in Britain and throughout Europe, Mr. Johnson stated the nation would now not take part within the Erasmus change program, a Europe-wide program that has allowed about 200,000 college students a 12 months to journey overseas for research, work expertise and apprenticeships since 1987. In June, Mr. Johnson spurned an opportunity to increase the transition interval for a 12 months and warned that Britain was able to stroll away with out an settlement if Brussels didn’t give it ample latitude to develop its economic system free from the affect of European rule making. As late as this week, he insisted that Britain would “prosper mightily” with a no-deal exit. That assertion acquired an early take a look at over the previous week when the outbreak of a quickly spreading variant of the coronavirus in Britain prompted France to halt freight shipments for 2 days. That precipitated a big backup of vehicles near the ports of Dover in England and Calais in France, stoking fears of meals shortages and empty cabinets in British supermarkets. From the beginning, Mr. Johnson framed the negotiations as a possibility to say Britain’s sovereignty in a post-Brexit world. Inevitably, although, given the European Union’s a lot better measurement and financial muscle, its negotiators had been capable of insist that Britain keep aligned with the bloc in some vital respects. Ms. Von der Leyen stated the settlement would assure truthful competitors and respect for the European Union’s guidelines and requirements. “No deal on the planet can change actuality and gravity in right this moment’s world,” she stated. “We’re one of many giants.” Regardless of the huge pursuits at play, and up to date weeks of brinkmanship, the commerce talks unfolded for probably the most half with much less drama or visibility than the political debate that preceded them. That was partly deliberate. Mr. Johnson’s authorities wished to push Brexit out of the highlight with a view to spotlight an agenda of growing Britain’s industrial north. However exterior occasions additionally altered the negotiating dynamic. The pandemic ravaged Europe, preoccupying leaders and pushing Brexit off their radar screens till very late within the 12 months. It additionally added to the stress to conclude a deal, since neither aspect wished to inflict extra injury on their economies after the dislocation attributable to months of lockdowns. In the US, the victory of Joseph R. Biden Jr. over President Trump in final month’s election modified the calculation for Mr. Johnson. Mr. Trump, an enthusiastic proponent of Brexit, had promised that the US would negotiate a profitable commerce cope with Britain after it left the European embrace. Mr. Biden, nevertheless, has stated that he views Brexit as a mistake and has dominated out negotiating new commerce agreements with any nation till, he says, the US improves its competitiveness at dwelling. That has disadvantaged Mr. Johnson of considered one of his major promoting factors for concluding the Brexit course of. Mr. Biden can also be a staunch defender of Eire and the Good Friday Settlement, the peace accord that settled many years of sectarian violence in Northern Eire. A failed Brexit commerce negotiation may have threatened that peace, since it will have raised the specter of a return to a tough border throughout the island of Eire. Throughout the American marketing campaign, Mr. Biden put Mr. Johnson on discover that Britain mustn’t undermine the accord. And for the reason that election, British officers have been at pains to show their readiness to work with the Biden administration on points like local weather change and assist for NATO. The lengthy highway to the bare-bones settlement started in 2016, when the British prime minister on the time, David Cameron, scheduled a referendum on European Union membership as a manner of settling many years of division inside his Conservative Celebration over Britain’s integration with continental allies. Unexpectedly, voters backed leaving. However Mr. Cameron, who wished to stay within the bloc, prevented officers from drawing up plans for what Brexit would really appear like. That unenviable job fell to Theresa Might, who took over as prime minister when Mr. Cameron give up after the shock of the vote. For nearly three years, Mrs. Might labored in useless to craft and win Parliament’s assist for an association that will finish the suitable of Europeans to settle and work in Britain and permit the nation to go away the European Union’s financial embrace. Her answer to the riddle of Northern Eire was to vow to barter a commerce deal however, within the meantime, stay comparatively carefully tied to the European buying and selling system to forestall the creation of a tough border in Eire. Whereas that will have helped companies, which frightened in regards to the disruption of Brexit, it will have required persevering with to obey many European guidelines — one thing that was anathema to hard-line Brexiteers. Opponents of Brexit had been additionally unimpressed and pressed for a second referendum to overturn the consequence. The upshot was months of offended stalemate and repeated futile votes in Parliament, which ended solely with Mrs. Might’s resignation. Mr. Johnson then gained his thumping election victory. Although Mr. Johnson opted for a way more distant relationship with the European Union — searching for solely a primary commerce deal — even that proved elusive throughout months of bluster, bickering and brinkmanship. Usually, the 2 sides talked previous one another. For Mr. Johnson and his band of Brexiteers, reasserting sovereignty, escaping Europe’s financial rule e-book and revitalizing Britain’s economic system had been the cardinal goals. For the European Union, defending the integrity of its single market was paramount. Britain’s go-it-alone instincts meant that Brussels risked giving preferential entry to its market to a competitor who utilized much less stringent requirements to exports. Whereas a lot of the talks revolved round arcane problems with state support and dispute decision mechanisms, they had been practically sunk ultimately by the politically fraught, if economically marginal, subject of fishing rights. In Britain, simply 12,000 folks fish from 6,000 vessels and contribute lower than half of 1 p.c to the nation’s financial output — lower than that of the modern London division retailer Harrods. However in coastal cities and villages on each side of the English Channel, fishing is of important significance. Throughout the 2016 referendum marketing campaign, Mr. Johnson promised fishing employees in Britain that Brexit would reclaim management over the nation’s nationwide waters, which have been shared with French and different European fishing crews for many years or, in some circumstances, centuries. However fishing can also be resonant in France, not least for President Emmanuel Macron, who faces an election in 2022. French fleets rely closely on fish caught in British waters. Below present quotas, for instance, 84 p.c of the cod caught in a single zone off the English coast is allotted to France, whereas simply 9 p.c goes to Britain. The harried remaining days of Britain’s lengthy divorce from the European Union had been marked by haggling over one thing the 2 sides have shared for hundreds of years: haddock and cod. Supply hyperlink #Brexit #Britain #deal #Landmark #reach

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alexsmitposts · 5 years ago

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Putin, On Historical Revisionism And Its Dangers Erasmus wrote in his famous work, In Praise of Folly, that ‘man’s mind is so formed that it is far more susceptible to falsehood than to truth’. He could have added that telling falsehoods is the habitual practice of cowards afraid of the power of truth; for such is the state of the world that telling people lies about the world and history to maintain power is seen, by the United States and its allies, as a necessary condition of their existence. They see no shame in it because they have sacrificed morality on their blood-soaked altar of lust, lust for power, lust for riches, and so, necessarily, their lust for war. Today, 75 years after the fascist state of Nazi Germany was crushed by the Red Army, after the German people were liberated from the criminals who had brought destruction upon them by invading and devastating the Soviet Union, whose many peoples rose up as one mighty, unstoppable, force to destroy the armies that had descended upon them, the propagandists of the United States, of Britain, Germany, Canada and other nations held in the grip of American hegemony, are pouring out the most foul lies about the events of World War II, denying the heroic resistance of the Soviet peoples in their fight against the fascists. Today western governments and their controlled media try to claim that they alone saved the world, that the Soviet Union had no significant role defeating the Nazis. Worse, they rehabilitate the Nazis by making the absurd claim that the Soviet Union was equally responsible for the breakout of war, diminishing the responsibility of Hitler and the responsibility of the British and French who sold out Czechoslovakia to him in 1938, and then sat by as Poland was invaded, all the while encouraging Hitler to attack the Soviet Union instead of themselves. To do this they invent an illusion they call history, and sell this illusion to their people as facts, knowing as Goebbels did, that the bigger the lie, the more easily the people are duped, and by being duped, are reduced to unthinking automatons ready to obey the will of those who dupe them. Napoleon once said, though he was not the first to say it, that “history is a fable agreed upon.” But this statement was made at a time when history was based on ancient reports of doubtful origin and the facts of events were obscure. But the facts of the causes, context and events of World War II are well known. There is no dispute about them; they are known from documents of the time, recorded on paper, on film, in radio broadcasts, in the memories of the people who experienced them. The facts are known. The history is clear. Yet, the depth of their lies and their rapid dissemination in the west is so extensive and corrosive to the common world good that Russian President Putin felt compelled to write his now famous essay, “The Real Lessons of the 75th Anniversary of World War II” that appeared in the American journal, The National Interest on June 18th. It is now a part of the historical record and since it is impossible to comment on it without citing it at length I urge you to read it for yourself; It is an eloquent presentation of the facts, reminding the world of the role of Britain, France and the United States in assisting the Nazi’s rise to power and domination in Europe and their hope that Hitler would shatter the Soviet Union and overthrow its government and crush socialism. In fact the three nations were willing to support Hitler in his ambitions to control Eastern Europe so long as they got their fair share of the spoils. Robert Hudson, a senior British aide to the British cabinet of Neville Chamberlain, met with the German Ambassador in London on July 29, 1939 after which he made a report to the government, reflecting the views of many in government in the three nations, in which he stated, “I regarded Russia, China and the various colonial dependencies of the European Powers as areas which would provide almost unlimited openings for capital development and act as outlets for the heavy industry of ourselves, the Germans and the United States; that given the necessary preliminary of a solution of the political questions it ought to be not impossible to work out some forms of economic and industrial collaboration between our three countries…” To mention Russia as a country that could provide unlimited openings for capital development’ implied the reduction of the Soviet Union to a colony of the capitalist market. Hudson knew that at the time, only by defeating Russia in war could it be reduced to such a status, and it was more than implicit that Germany was to be given a free hand against Russia, to wage war on Russia, if the spoils could be shared. Russia is now a part of the capitalist system. But western capital did not succeed in completely penetrating and securing control of its markets and resources despite the overthrow of socialism in Russia. And so we see the same fascist forces, creating the scenario for another war against Russia, indeed, against all the countries where they have failed to secure dominance and control. And to create a war scenario they are undermining the international order established at the end of the world war that was established to try to prevent world war. They evade and mock international law, the UN Charter and create a new fascist order they call a “rules based order.” They rehabilitate Nazis and openly support them from Ukraine to Canada. They try to negate the Nuremberg trials that set out the facts of the war in Europe. They claim the right to destroy nations and profit from the chaos. They have done it since 1945 when they demonstrated to the world how ruthless they are by massacring the people of the cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, as a demonstration of their power and willingness to use it, and now they are preparing their people for another war by corrupting their minds so that the people will not only tolerate a war but call for one. That is the entire objective of their propaganda campaign, which is in nothing less than a crime against humanity. It is difficult to credit that in these times of abrupt climate change, ecological disaster, of pandemics, economic depression, and all the other issues we face which require global cooperation, that the nations of the west, that is the United States, Europe, Britain, Canada, Australia and Japan are intent on pushing us all to the brink of nuclear war, beyond any shred of human decency, of any concern for humanity and the planet we inhabit. They just don’t seem to give a damn. How society produces these monsters is a question, but the primary question is how we deal with them so that war is averted. For war is closer. And so Putin’s essay is a call for sanity and respect for history and for the sovereign nations of the world to live as they choose without being pushed around or destroyed by trumped nations of bandits armed to the teeth with weapons of world destruction, and so his call for a summit meeting of the world powers to try to re-establish the international order that has existed since 1945. But will they listen? Will they answer the call? I will close with the words of Vladimir Putin from his essay, where he states, in part, “Historical revisionism, the manifestations of which we now observe in the West, and primarily with regard to the subject of the Second World War and its outcome, is dangerous because it grossly and cynically distorts the understanding of the principles of peaceful development, laid down at the Yalta and San Francisco conferences in 1945. The major historic achievement of Yalta and other decisions of that time is the agreement to create a mechanism that would allow the leading powers to remain within the framework of diplomacy in resolving their differences. “The twentieth century brought large-scale and comprehensive global conflicts, and in 1945 the nuclear weapons capable of physically destroying the Earth also entered the scene. In other words, the settlement of disputes by force has become prohibitively dangerous. And the victors in the Second World War understood that. They understood and were aware of their own responsibility towards humanity,” And simply ask, what fate awaits us when our leaders’ responsibility towards humanity has, to paraphrase Marx, been thrown into the rubbish bin of history along with history itself?

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sherylkline0-blog · 8 years ago

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mckinneywrites · 8 years ago

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The costs of a “deep and special partnership”

Last week I spoke briefly on Nick Ferrari’s LBC radio show about the Brexit divorce bill, or “financial settlement of United Kingdom obligations”, as the European Commission would have it.

In mugging up for the programme I prepared an example of a plausible post-Brexit cost related to the EU.

Such future contributions are separate from the divorce bill. The divorce bill is about settling financial commitments the UK has already agreed to (from the EU-27 point of view) or fleecing a big net contributor for everything we’ve got on the way out the door (from the Brexiter point of view). Future contributions are about staying involved with EU programmes or agencies that make sense to be a part of, and paying a fair share of the running costs.

The government wants a “deep and special partnership” with the remaining EU post-Brexit, and there have been indications that the government is willing to pool its resources with those of the EU for certain purposes. Certainly it does not seem to be in anybody’s interests for the UK to leave a blameless agency like that European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, only to recreate its functions without the administrative economies of scale, just because it comes under the EU umbrella.

Now, this may still happen. First, there is the ECJ red line - in principle disputes about EU agencies may end up at the EU court, and the Prime Minister does not want to be subject to decisions of EU judges. Second, there is the Euratom example. The former Vote Leave campaign director, Dominic Cummings, has branded the decision to leave this vital cog in the nuclear machine as “near-retarded”. But it appears to be happening anyway, possibly for the reason already given. Third, there is the EU itself, which cannot be relied upon to meekly accept whatever bespoke plans the UK might deign to accept.

But let us say common sense prevailed on those fronts. A remaining domestic political obstacle might be the cost, given the weight placed on EU membership fees during the referendum campaign and since.

Take, then, the Erasmus student exchange programme. People tend to think it’s a wonderful thing. To my mind, a rational Brexit keeps the UK part of a scheme that sends 15,000 UK undergraduates abroad, and receives 30,000 EU undergraduates here, every year. (Erasmus+, the overall scheme, does much else besides, but the exchange programme is the most well-known aspect.)

Non-EU countries, such as Norway, are part of Erasmus+. They chip in toward the running costs - in 2017, €2.5 billion. Their share is based on the size of their economies. The UK has 14% of the total economy of all the full members of Erasmus+. And 14% of €2.5 billion is €350 million, for just one year.

I don’t pretend that this is precise. I have used Eurostat GDP data for 2015, but the exact formula by which EEA countries like Norway contribute to EU programmes is more complicated. In addition, there is nothing to say that the UK would not negotiate a different formula.

But this is a useful precedent and the number is a plausible ballpark indicator of what the UK might expect to pay to keep the Erasmus programme.

You can also take another example: the Institute for Government roughs out the UK contribution of EU science research funding at €800 million.

My point is that even a single strand of sensible future cooperation with the EU comes at a cost that sounds, to the ordinary voter, extravagant. There may well be a cost in political capital in selling the virtues of such resource-sharing to a Brexit- and austerity-weary electorate. Investing some at an early stage could be worthwhile.

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orbemnews · 4 years ago

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orbemnews · 4 years ago

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