#because I don’t see ppl as pandering but he is the definition of sucking up to ppl

[kavehater]

Am I the only one who can’t stand cyyu or whatever his name is Alejandro saab

[kendrixtermina]

The Trump Presidency

So, it is upon us. 

[Plays fitting music]

I see 5 basic possibilities of where this could go. So here, in Order of Badness: 

Scenario I: He’s Removed early on

I’ve almost completely given up on this one after the electoral college confirmed him - the system seems to be transisting neatly, no one is pointing at these 3 million more votes Clinton had - Also, Clinton herself wouldn’t fight here, she simply is a system person.   

He could still be impeached, but he’s persistently proven that nothing sticks to him and he can slime his way out of everything. Normal rules just don’t apply. 

It’s not like I don’t understand why they’re playing ball, anarchy is scary. I still don’t think it would be inevitable.

But - What’s true is that him being elected is horrible even if it doesn’t come to him being president; It’s a horrid thing that was better off not happening.

First there’s the question of legitimacy issues (he DID win  - if he were removed the electoral college would need to go in the same breath) and riots - His supporters have proven that they’re violent and Trump is utterly careless.

Also, who’d replace him? Probably a republican, most likely Paul Ryan or Mike Pence. They have the advantage of not being insane manchildren so they probably won’t cause a war, but, they are goddawful bigots and life for minorities would still be bad. 

A moderate republican would be an unlikely best-case scenario, because Trump has torn down all shame; Even if his impeachment softens this it’s not like it will be like he never happened; The definition of “unacceptable” has been altered.

I give this about 5%. 

Scenario II: He has no clue what he’s doing

As in, his sole goal is to enrich and aggrandize himself, and he’s got nothing planned beyond that; He said all those things for shock factor and attention and people ate it up.

There will be corporate plundering, social issues wont be solved, the country will be seriously mismanaged for a few years and life will suck, but beyond that, nothing worse will happen, at least no globally. 

Of course even if he doesn’t hunt minorities he won’t care about them and his supporters sure hate them, so they will suffer, but, like, none of the super extreme egregious things will happen. America will just get a little suckier, in the vein of how it has already been sucking and getting people trampled underfoot. 

You know things are bad when the president’s utter incompetence is the best case we can realistically hope for. 

But even like this, he could  do serious damage outside America; Maybe not to caucassian people, but, you saw the reaction the Taiwan tweet got. China’s spent ages waiting for pretexts to invade shit; Taiwan is a democracy where millions of people live. People will die, and Trump will have killed them.

Also, who profits most if the US and China compete & Sabotage each other? Russia. They could never compete with either of the other two world powers economically, but if they outplot us they can seize dominance. That said, the Chinese are ruthless, but pragmatic. They are nit fools. But, we shouldn’t be depending on the level-headedness of the Chinese to begin with!

Either way it will be a stagnation and a burden on world politics; The USA will go from being a however sneaky ally who nominally works for peace democracy & shit to being a liability, a big manchild for Merkel and the others to contain & babysit - and this comes at a time when France and Britain are in turmoil, too. It’s a mass carambolage of suck we do not need. 

The silver lining is that this makes him unlikely to be reelected, although that may depend on the Republicans’ ability to control him - a stuation where Trump does rallies and his cabinent does actual policy ( A possibility which I like to call Scenario II b): The Puppet King) might be terrifyingly effective, although mainstream republicans would be less likely to throw the world into chaos. 

That said, Trump has proven very pig-headed; He doesn’t know where his strenghts & weaknesses are. And it is no use to rely on the republicans to stop him, they proved their spinelessness when they defected to his side once he seemed to be winning. This is some Gul Dukat Allies With The Dominion level shit; They sold us all. 

I give this 35%

Scenario III: He goes through with it

As in, all of it; He actually go through with even the most egregious and cray-cray of his promises, stopped only by the laws of physics and other countries. 

He’ll build the wall. He’ll do the muslim registry. The flag burning penalty. The lowkey neonzi pandering. He might even “lock her up” a few years down the line. 

Needless to say, that will make dear ol’ murrica a very oppresive place. Somewhere people flee from instead of to. He might well bankrupt the country. But since it will please his cronies and disenfrachise those who would oppose him, this is the one scenario where he has the greatest chance for reelection. He needn’t care abou those who oppose him - all that matters is keeping the confused confused and keeping the flock in their own little parallel universe. 

Also, even though he is a wishy washy narcissist, he’s surrounded himself with terrible people who will push him toward going through. 

I give this 45%, the most out of any option, because he has proven again and again that he means business no matter how much everyone assumes he doesn’t. Heck, he’s already about to repeal all public health laws. Before long he’ll have killed people. 

Scenario VI: He goes Full Dictator

I don’t think this is particularly likely, but the very fact that it’s 

If he WERE to go Dictator, media control, erosion of minority rights and especially military would be what he’d do next. What makes me hopeful is that so far he’s been more isolationist than militaristic but there HAVE been hawkish quotes and the generals in his cabinet. Also he’d by definition do things worse than what he promised - Internment camps are almost a given, they happened before. 

Could mean nothing, could be an omen, you only ever know after the fact. 

Another arguments against is that he doesn’t really have a strong ideological core a la Hitler or Stalin. He’s pretty wishy-washy and his answers depend on who he’s talking to. 

If he were to do this tho, his takeover would be more gradual like Ergogan’s and Putin’s. more comfortable, less risky than hitler style. Or it might be a wholly new, uniquely USA flavor involving lots of dollar bills. 

I give this 15% 

Best Case ATM: 

Democrats change & regroup under Sanders and Warren, become popular by criticising Trump - remember, most ppl don’t want him. 

Also, he might be so incompetent that he can’t explain it away and the mismanaged people oust him gloriously (see Obama’s victory); At least no one can pretend that racism, xenophobia and anti-intellectualism aren’t rampant, and the US can’t play infallible world police anymore. 

Also if he’s a 1 term president this could seriously impact the republicans and make them reorient themselves - after all,  the baby boomers ain’t gonna live forever. 

Please make this the end of the American Exceptionalism that created this travesty in the first place.