#be strong arget
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The fiancee keeps teasing me about having a ring but waiting for the right moment (I already proposed). Im dying...
#arget rambles#i wanna know what it looks like#i wanna knowwwwwww#but all i can do is wait#be strong arget
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Chris and Derek are a goated duo
I feel like we - if you think the same of course - were robbed of a very powerful and amazing duo - just so you know I'm gonna analysis both characters simultaneously and how they evolved be the two faces of the same coin.
Character analysis:
Both Derek and Chris have a strong sense of justice and duty despite the way they showed it in the early seasons and have great strength in their own fields, that be in combact with weapons or claws.
They are both very family-guided or have a lot of interest in their own families, that being staying in the family business or fighting for their own family and pride.
They both ends up being the only one left - in a generalize measure - of their own families/clans and brings changes to their own after being faced with another prospective that 'lets everyone lives'. And they are both willing to take the risk - whatever it might be - to save others' while being already severely injured.
Both have being 'teachers' to their respective 'young ones' and did fairly well somehow. Chris had Allison and she turned out to be very strong and leader-like, while derek had Isacc, Boyd and Erica and despite the fact two of them died, Derek managed to still teach them something rather valuable about being werewolves.
How they evolved to 'the coin':
throughout the seasons they ends up being the only one they can rely onto when something new comes up or when they need to get information or help to deal with something.
And don't get me wrong, they have other people too, but you remeber it too that Chris specificly went to find Derek in the middle of Brazil and was the only one who remotely knew something about Derek?
Also, example of this is when they were talking about the nogitsune while being imprisoned at the police station, they share their opinions about what to do with Stiles while possessed and despite having different povs they ends up working on it together, especially because they both wanted to save a life and not take one more.
And as they both were the 'bad guys' at the start of the show they surely did a turn around and became some of the 'best guys' who protects people whenever is needed, no questions asked.
Chris Arget passed from hunting down supernatural creatures to helping them killing the actually bad ones, and not killing regardless of being guilty or innocent of any crime.
Derek Hale went from ripping people's throats out almost without a second though on the matter, caring only about power and building a pack for himself, to actually caring for the people he ends up with and not caring about being the Alpha of the situation.
And so, they are opposite yet the same, their willpower leads them the same way but along different paths, they want the same things but try to achive them in two distant ways, they have the same start - as the 'bad one' to someone - but ends up regaining people's respect and love.
Most of the time, this 'two face of the same coin' has a bad interpretation, but I don't think it does right now. If the coin has to faces, no matter how different the faces are, how opposite they might be, they are still part of the same coin. They have the same roots just different branches, maybe different leaves but same fruits.
You might be doing something one way and I might be doing it the other, but if our goal is the same they we are part of the same thing deep down, casue what we are looking for and trying to achive is the same. We are just two different people, and the same goes for opinions, idea, ways of being/working/expressing yourself.
And sometimes you might need someone who does things differelty than you, despite having the same goal, cause maybe what you are failing to understand is what they are the best at and viceversa, so you need the other half of the information to find the solution.
Lastly:
If Chris is willing to kill to protect even if it means killing someone you also care for, then Derek is willing to take the risk, even only upon himself alone, to get back the people he loves.
The difference is: Chris is willing to make a sacrifice, Derek is willing to be it.
(almost all the time)
The goated duo:
So, I believe they are a goated duo that could easily take down almost anything or anyone if needed, when they worked together. That they evolved to be better almost together since I think they both learned something from one another.
They went from total enemies to best allies and they are both the best at what they do cause they basically saw it all. They hold such strength on their own that if they worked together - which they don't do on the field (from what I can tell from the show and the movie - they could probably hunt down the bad guys and be done with them in a few business days.
They would've been a powerful duo if only they had the time to be it.
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My current WIP's.
So I saw a post at some point showing the current WIPs that people have and those that they have posted. I kind of liked the idea so I thought that I would do the same.
Currently writing and have posted to AO3:
Signal in the sky - Steter (8/?) - Slow build, bad friend Scott McCall, Stiles leaves Beacon Hills, The Hales don't live in BH, Good friend Jackson, Emissary Stiles, The Hales all live, Peter didn't bite Scott, As Stiles spoke and recounted everything to the vet, Stiles thought it would be harder to tell it, but the words flowed easily as he described everything the best he could, from the letter he had gotten to the pack meeting before coming here. The more Stiles thought about it, the more he was feeling better, the weight was lifting higher off his shoulders as he breathed out freely. It felt like it was a second chance for him, like this had been the signal he had been waiting for in a long time.
I'm growing roots in the idea of you - Sterek (2/?) - Slow build, Emissary Stiles, Single father Derek, Fisherman Derek, Alpha Derek Hale, Derek deserves nice things, ‘’Join the Emissary program they said, it would be fun they said. You’ll get assigned to California they said.’’ Stiles grumbled beneath his breath as he shifted on his feet. His hands were pressed as far and as deep as they could get in the large puffy jacket he was wearing, his eyes moving back and forth as he watches the bag carousal go round and around, bringing bags out to everyone but himself.
Si Vis Pacem, Para Bellum - If you want peace, prepare for war - Sterek (16/?) - Female Stiles Stilinski, Tribal AU, Alpha Derek Hale, Good Peter Hale, Human Stiles, Stiles becomes pack, Warrior Stiles, Bad Scott McCall, Trigger warnings - loss of child, Fast asleep, the Alpha watched her eyes flicker under their lids with dream. Her mouth twisting down as her skin pulled around three large scars. From just above her left brow to mid cheek, he takes in the old wound, skin raised and jagged like claws. A war wound.
Scars and stripes - Sterek (10/?) - Single parent Derek, Soldier Stiles, Injured Stiles, Stiles has PTSD, Human AU, Alive Hales, Derek take cares of Stiles, Trigger warnings - Suicide attempt, Slow build He wished he could say that, he first saw him again at the school reunion he had gone back too, ten years after they had left high school, but in truth...it wasn't, and even so...it wasn't him who noticed him sat there, it was his daughter.
The Tattooed King - Steter (1/?) - King Stiles, King Peter, Human Stiles, Fae Stiles, Magical Stiles, Alpha Peter, Wolf Peter, Slow build, curses, warrior Stiles, Words whispered of pale skin and dark ink. They spoke of curses and lore, trailing through the night. Words spoke of a mighty king, one who slayed every time. They spoke of a wrath so strong that even his own men were afraid of him. Words spoke of a predator who hunted and captured in every step, of a king that was feared and loved together. Words spoke of a cold tune, echoing through colder hallways of night. They speak of a soul tainted and stained with the dead
Currently writing but have not posted.
Unpredictable - Sterek, - told from Scott's pov, time travel, Scott tries to change everything, blames Stiles for everything that has happened including the bite.
City of Shadows - Peter/Chris/Stiles. - Stiles can see the dead, Dead Laura Hale, Alive Derek,
If there's anything I've learned/ Flowers - Steter, Stiles/Chris briefly - Stiles is pushed out the pack, female Stiles, magic Stiles, Stiles gets the bite, slow build Steter,
It will never be the way it was - Unknown pairing - Stiles is in therapy, Trigger warning - talk of suicide and attempts,
Holding out for a hero - Steter - Stiles leaves Beacon Hills, Good friend Jackson, Bad pack, Bad Sheriff Stilinski, Chris Arget is the hero, Stiles gets attacked, Alpha Peter, Sane Peter Hale,
#handsofred#fics#current fics#WIPs#Peter Hale#Stiles Stilinski#Derek Hale#Teen Wolf#Jackson Whittemore#fan fiction#work in progress#Bad friend Scott#Bad father Sheriff Stilinski#Magical Stiles#Human Stiles#Alpha Peter#Alpha Derek#Single father Derek
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Alpilean Reviews
Alpilean Reviews argets low internal body temperature and helps you raise it to the ideal level for healthy weight loss. This is based on scientific research showing that a low core body temperature leads to a slow metabolic rate and The makers of Alpilean believe that each drop in internal core body temperature slows metabolism by 13% or more. Therefore, they have added a strong dose of bitter orange to the formula to increase your body's internal temperature and accelerate your weight loss.
Weight loss can be frustrating, but Alpilean Reviews like Alpilean can make it easy and less tiring by showing faster results. According to the information, this product is a blend of natural ingredients from premium quality sources. As a formula, it is designed to address a unique problem that most obese bodies experience: low core body temperature
.
People often confuse core body temperature with the temperature the skin feels. These two are not the same, and the core body temperature actually means the temperature of the cells and organs inside. Some research suggests that without maintaining this temperature, cellular efficiency may be affected, making it harder for the body to function in certain ways. These affected functions include fat burning, which is why people with low Alpilean Reviews temperature may find it difficult to lose weight sometimes, and they sometimes lose heart.
Official Website: https://www.deccanherald.com/brandspot/sponsored-health/alpilean-reviews-2023-weight-loss-ice-hack-truth-exposed-by-medical-expert-side-effects-complaints-2642284
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So Arget: Twin daggers Llewyn: bare fists Kaevar 3/4 bowstaff? You :knives Jade: also knives and Avien: BOMBS (most likely grenades )
If you want to give Llewyn a weapon try brass knuckles, leg weights, gauntlets, hidden blades in gloves, brass knuckles with claws, and some strong boots probably with spikes that can actually injure someone and knee pads with said spikes
Kaevar probably needs to find a weapon suitable for them so experiment find what suits them best out of what you got
Try getting a blunt weapon for torxen about the same length and weight of a sword get them used to that without hitting themselves and then give them the sword back (hold it hostage they will learn faster)
You jade and arget are fine for now tho both you and jade need a spare blade set each
And lastly avien science and mech something to make the casing something to make the thing explode simple
Now if you’re finding what you need off the street I can’t help you more than this if it helps at all if you’re not then try to find something to sharpen your blades like a whetstone and try using specific chemicals in the grenades to make something more or less lethal and for all of you MAKE TRAPS I cannot stress this enough it can and will save your hide
What is your favorite weapon mine is either a scythe or a kusarigama. Guns and knives are good too tho and more readily available and easier to get
Scythe: (I like double sided best tho)
Kusarigama: (it’s like a little scythe {a sickle} with a chain on it with a weight on the end that allows you to swing the sickle around)
@thebutterflyoficeandwisteria have you thought about this before?
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Lyse
Firstly, thank you anonnie! <3
How I feel about this character I love her. I know loads of people think she's boring or one-dimensional but... Regardless of that... She's leading a nation. She's a fairly young woman, and has been through SO MUCH, yet as far as we know she's a fair and just leader, who genuinely cares and tries to do the best by her people. IDK I have a lot of Feelings about Lyse and what she's been through, and how level-headed and well-adjusted she is despite everything.
All the people I ship romantically with this character I kind of like the M'naago and Lyse ship! BUT I don't hardcore ship her with anyone really.
My non-romantic OTP for this character Am I allowed to say M'naago again? Lol. I don't know that I really have any pairing preferences about Lyse and shipping, romantic or not-romantic, to be honest.
My unpopular opinion about this character I feel like she gets the short straw in the fandom a lot. Partly due to how rushed the Ala Mhigan part of SB was, which I feel affected how much development we actually saw on screen of Lyse's personality and motivations, partly because of sexism, misogyny, etc. and how female characters are often the ones which the fandom at large, (less so Tumblr XIV fans, but Reddit and stuff...) arget and call boring or whatever, before swiftly objectifying them and drawing porn of them lol.
One thing I wish would happen / had happened with this character in canon. I hope, with EW being on the Source world and based heavily on the Garlean's and their wars/occupations/etc. that we get to see way more of Lyse as a strong female leader of Ala Mhigo, and that she's an integral part of EW, much like the other cty state leaders have been in the past where fighting the Garleans as a united front has been necessary. I'd also like to see more of Lyse in general because she's woefully underrated in my opinion!
Ask me about characters from XIV! Send me a character!
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My Dragon- Ezilion
I haven’t gotten shit for sleep lately... like at all. I’ve been waking up hearing someone whisper my name at around 1:30 am for the last week... it’s not creepy sounding but familiar.
I decided to go into the astral after I couldn’t go back to sleep when I got there I heard Ezilion talking to someone.
E- ‘She does not need another guardian, fool.’
?- ‘Maybe in your eyes, I feel if you gave me a chance I could help. With more than just guardianship.’
E- ‘What could you do that I couldn’t? What can you offer that, me a dragon, could not?!’
I could hear the irritation building in his voice, I stepped into view and saw him standing talking with a gentleman.
‘Dumb child! Always butting in when you’re not supposed to!’ Ezilion hissed practicality.
‘Curiosity killed the cat but satisfaction brought it back dear dragon!’ the man said
He was really a good looking man, he had long red hair that had braids and hypnotic light brown eyes almost golden really. He was dressed very nice, he was wearing a white button up with dark green riding pants and black riding boots. He’s fairly tall, at least 6’6 if not a little taller, his skin was a tan color but was still a little pale (if that makes since), he had a very attractive jaw line and all in all was fairly good looking. He began walking toward me and I took a cautious step back. He stopped and held his hands up in surrender.
From the way he was talking to Ezilion they’ve known each other for a long time or Ezilion knows this guy is strong because he had no problem eating Arget. I asked him who he was and he bowed deeply.
?- ‘You’ll find out soon enough, you’re a cute little thing aren’t you?’
Ezilion took a direct step blocking the mans view of me. ‘That’s enough you pompous degenerate.’
The mans laugh reminded me of Argets contagious bubbly laugh.
?- ‘In due time dear dragon, in due time.’
He said ominously before stepping around Ezilion and giving me a deep bow.
?- ‘Until I see you again dear Lullah.’ (Which freaked me out because Lullah is something my husband calls me)
He turned toward the direction of the warded off area and walked confidently away. I turned to Ezilion, I was kind of upset. How did this man know me? How did he know Ezilion? I began to open my mouth and it was as if Ezilion had read my mind.
‘That man is a faerie in the Autumn court and has been watching you almost as long as I have, he came into your life when you were just learning witchcraft again. He wants to be a companion but faeries are tricksters and you dont need one of those.’ He said point blank.
Not gonna lie I was kinda offended. I told him he was part of the same realm as them technically and that not all faeries were tricksters.
‘Not all of them are nice either.’
I told him he wasn’t exactly nice either. He snorted.
‘I am a dragon.’
I said the other guy was a faerie.
He cut his blood red eyes at me and blew steam at me before knocking me out of the astral plane.
So somewhere there is a handsome faerie in the astral plane wanting to be a guardian and companion but Ezilion doesn’t trust him though this guy has been following me for almost 15 years??? I’m kind of weary and nervous, I’ve never seen a faerie human sized before (in ‘real’ life anyway, I’ve seen them in books) but I’ve also never had a faerie companion. Any tips? At all?
#witchcraft#witch#draconic witch#eclectic witch#witchblr#astral journal#astral projection#astral plane#i just want sleep#faeries#faerie companion#ezilion#dragons#dragon companion#im getting a new guardian?#maybe
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Some people crack open wine on their bad days; me? I crack open twitter dot com.
#arget rambles#the mind fog is strong today#i need to talk to someone besides my roommate whose anxiety feels palpable#it sucks that all these great people i want to talk to are on twitter#because that site drives me crazy#long sigh#and i sitll have to work#we'll see how that goes
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EPA RRP Training Course Certification
The EPA RRP Course is designed to instruct individuals on the health effects of lead-based paint, how to test for lead-based paint, how to work using lead-safe work practices if lead is present, and how to educate your customer on the hazards of lead based paint. There is no need for EPA lead certification lookup, cause you already find everything you need to know.
Any contractor disturbing more than 6 square ft. of space in pre-1978 housing or child occupied facility must employ at least one certified renovator who has successfully completed the EPA certification test online or in-person and obtained a certificate. If you are the owner of a company, you or a principle of the company must complete the EPA RRP Training Certification course/strong. After completing the course successfully and receiving a lead-safe certified renovator certification the employees of the company may work under your lead certification.
Already an EPA RRP Lead-Safe Certified Renovator? EPA lead safe certification is valid for 5 years. If you are already a certified renovator and your certification has not yet expired you are eligible to take a 4 hour refresher course entirely online. eparrponline.com offers a quick and convenient way to renew your lead certificate entirely online at very little cost to you. If your certificate has already expired you are no longer eligible to take the refresher course and must re-take the 8-hour initial lead certification course again.
CEU's: 08
CEU Requirements:
1. 100% attendance for the 8 Hour EPA RRP blended Course
2. Completion of Continuing Education and Training Registration Form
3. Active participation in all class exercises (determined by course instructor)
4. Completion of required pre-and post-quiz assessment
5. As applicable, achievement of minimum passing score on required end-of-course examination
6. Participation and submittal of end-of-course evaluation form (must provide name on form to receive credit)
Learning Outcomes
Module 1 - Lead Based Paint Information
1. Define "lead-based paint" in accordance with Federal standards.
2. Describe the health risks to children and adults associated with lead.
3. List the reasons lead-contaminated dust poses health risks to children and adults.
Module 2 - Regulations
1. Identify the differences between lead abatement activities and lead renovation, repair and painting.
2. Define T"arget Housing" as specified by the RRP Rule.
3. Define "Child Occupied Facility" as specified by the RRP Rule.
4. Identify activities covered/excluded under the RRP Rule.
5. Indicate when an owner can opt out of RRP Rule.
6. List a firm's responsibilities as a "Certified Renovator" including recordkeeping requirements.
7. List the responsibilities of an individual "Certified Renovator".
8. State the civil penalties for violation of the RRP Rule.
9. Recognize when the HUD Lead Safe Housing Rule is in effect.
10. Explain differences between the RRP Rule and the HUD LSH rule.
Module 3 - Before Beginning Work
1. Define the requirements for distribution of the Renovate Right pamphlet under the Pre-Renovation Education (PRE) rule.
2. Indicate the recordkeeping requirements of the PRE rule.
3. Explain that many pre-1978 homes contain lead, especially those built before 1960.
4. Identify the choices available for pre-work lead testing by Certified Renovators.
5. State the requirement to report lead test kits result to clients within 30 days of use.
Module 4 - Containing Dust
1. List the benefits of "Containment".
2. Explain containment requirements for interior renovations including covering of floors and furniture, closing and sealing doors and vents, and posting signs.
3. Explain containment requirements for exterior renovations including covering the ground, closing doors and windows, and preventing migration of dust.
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Neurotransmitters
Central nervous system
Glutamate
GABA
Glycine
Dopamine
Serotonin
Noradrenaline
Histamine
Orexin
Endorphins
Peripheral nervous system
Noradrenaline
Acetylcholine
Neurotransmitter synthesis/packaging
Some neurotransmitters are readily available amino acids eg Glutamate, glycine
Some are synthesised by the cells that secrete them eg GABA, noradrenaline, dopamine
Noradrenaline synthesis:
Packaging
In the presynapse, neurotransmitter is contained in vesicles
The neurotransmitter must be packaged into the vesicle ready for release
Uses transporters and proton gradients to package
[packaging and release - above]
Neurotransmitter release is quantal – Each vesicle contains the same amount of neurotransmitter
Therefore it is the number of vesicles fusing which determines the post synaptic potentials
membranes must fuse for release - membrane fusion is energetically unfavourable so must be catalysed by something
SNARE Hypothesis
Proteins on the presynaptic membrane ‘grab’ proteins on the vesicle membrane
These SNARE proteins pull the two membranes close together
SNARE proteins provide most of the energy for membrane fusion
v-SNARE (VAMP2) – on vesicle membrane
t-SNAREs (syntaxin1A, SNAP-25) on target membrane
Bind together to make SNARE complex
SNARE ‘zippering’ forces the membranes close together
Spontaneous, highly energetically favourable
Once assembled, they require ATP hydrolysis to separate them
Ca2+ binding to synaptotagmin provides extra energy to fuse the membranes
Neurotransmitter release
synaptic vesicle release sites are highly organised and regulated
exocytose into synaptic cleft
presynaptic active zone:
Neurotransmitter detection
Ionotropic (ion channel coupled) – Glutamate, GABA, Glycine
Metabotropic (G-protein coupled) – monoamines, histamine etc.
Some have both kinds, e.g. glutamate, GABA
Ionotropic responses are faster
Metabotropic responses can have more diverse effects
Glutamate receptors
Glutamate is the main excitatory neurotransmitter in the brain
Three classes of ionotropic receptor – AMPA – NMDA – Kainate
Named after pharmacological agonists
All let in positive ions when they bind glutamate
Glutamate also has a family of metabotropic receptors – mGluRs – These modulate neurotransmission
AMPA Receptors
Main fast excitatory receptor
Strength of a synapse is largely determined by its complement of AMPARs
More AMPAR in the post-synaptic membrane = stronger synaptic transmission
NMDA Receptors
Minor role in postsynaptic firing
Major role is in synaptic plasticity
NMDA receptors are calcium permeable
require strong neurotransmitter release to open
#neuropharmacology#neurology#neurons#neurotransmitters#science#physiology#notes#biology#medblr#studyblr#medicine#human biology#biomedicine#2
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BEST PICTURE NOMINEES (2018) AESTHETICS. repost, don’t reblog. bold whatever applies. tag whoever you want and feel free to add to the categories.
Tagged by: me Tagging: you
THE SHAPE OF WATER : early mornings. art on an easel. being trapped. flashy cars. self-righteous intolerance. speaking volumes without a word. being submerged. learning and adapting. raindrops on windows. bubbles rising in water. cats. taboo desires. tanks of water. kitschy nostalgia. kissing underwater. silence. isolation. golden age hollywood. sign language. scales. egg shells. jell-o. the smell of cleaning supplies. creature features. the space race. red coats. monstrous fairy tales. lab coats. lunches in brown bags. the click of shoes. smog. dance routines. slices of pie. toxic masculinity. chains. government secrets. seeing past flaws. floating aimlessly. needles. greens and blues. deep, inexorable scars. gills. music from the 30′s. retro-futurism. bloody handprints. routines. record players. old movies. love in unexpected places.
PHANTOM THREAD : a doll in a gilded birdcage. butter to bread. the death of a mother. cycles. hidden messages. a disruptive presence. longing. wedding gowns. posh control. post-war. brightly colored socks. inner turmoil. poison. an air of quiet death. hallucinations. family dysfunction. rich fabrics. curses.soft piano music. restrained anger. spinning out of control. artist and muse. dark love. pastels. peace in the countryside. clockwork dynamics. perfection. wild mushrooms. giving up every piece of yourself. rags to riches. ghosts. new year’s. lingering gazes. needle and thread. fine dining. hearing every sound. being ambushed. ego. flowing dresses. a person out of place. defiance. ink to paper. an artist tortured by their art. obsessive personalities. peepholes. soothing elegance. silk. spiral staircases. driving at high speeds. high society.
THE POST : typewriters. newspapers. tense climates. distrust of authority. internal battles. a legacy at stake. secrets. cover-ups. defending what you believe. peering through windows.melodrama.political corruption. behind closed doors. sniffing a scoop. ringing phones. lying for over a decade. cramming and crowding. cold grays. war. fluorescent lights. treason. shuffled papers. the jungle. a weight on your shoulders. fresh coffee. thousands of deaths. burglary. finding your voice. risking everything.propaganda. tough choices. exposure. type being set by hand. workplace rivalries. abuses of power. security breaches. hierarchy. a bed strewn with papers and books. paranoia. orders. clicking keys. redacted files. desk clutter. cigarette smoke. precious cargo. vanished technologies. suspenseful conversations. facing charges. courtroom battles. suits and ties.
DARKEST HOUR : never surrendering. duty. countless negotiations. the flash of cameras. beaches. historic buildings. guzzling booze. resignation. utter catastrophe. bunkers. radio broadcasts.going against the odds. bathed in red light. a sense of humor. allies. shouting matches. small square windows. selfishness. walking with a cane. war rooms. chandeliers. dust floating in air. righteousness. a poor reputation. an elevator surrounded by darkness. a world at war.needing a miracle. interruptions. a last hope. cigar smoke. quoting poetry. photos of a loved one. a single sunbeam. monarchy. vanity. rescue missions. refusing peace. pallid chambers. military uniforms. taking a stand. common folk. suicide missions. drums of war. tears down sullen cheeks. reluctance. complete collapse. evacuations. enveloped by fog. changing history. blood, toil, tears and sweat.
THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI : severe burns. police uniforms. sirens. the calmness of a deer. strumming guitars. grieving. horrifying memories. sucker punches. a lack of respect. facing threats. skin under fingernails. flicking cigarettes. awkward dates. nasty rumors. claustrophobia. lush green pastures. molotov cocktails. the fire of anger and revenge. strangers. no remorse. bashing in windows. the midwest. provoking a fight. pointing fingers. being pressed for time. rundown old houses. grey morality. dark undercurrents. insurmountable losses. cruel laughs. the american flag. dive bars. guilty no matter what. buildings in flames. ambulances. coughing up blood. spitting. chewing on fingernails. one versus many. black and red. not understanding another’s feelings. a mother and child.the pain of others. a quest of justice. abandoned billboards. a hardened gaze. driving to nowhere. small towns. last letters. absurd violence.
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME : heartbreak. unbuttoned shirts. fields of flowers. having to say goodbye. cobblestone streets. rendezvous at midnight. battling temptation. academic paperwork. peeling an orange. 80’s nostalgia. classical music. long walks. ancient artifacts. abundant orchards. shoulder massages. expressive sexuality. remembering everything. staring into a fireplace. dipping your feet in cool water. uncertainty. villa vacations. curly hair. longing gazes. riding a bicycle around. mystery of love. balconies. swimming naked. first times. bathing suits. roman statues. secret sensuality. peaches. piano music. sun-soaked summer. having your nose in a book. just rooms apart. crystal blue water. growing attractions. changing your name. intimacy beyond physical. love affairs. rich wines. finding pleasure in grief. daring to desire. european lyricism. loving father figures. dancing to disco. laying in green grass. awkward adolescence. hands interlinked. sentimental jewelry. connection through identity. the magen david.
DUNKIRK : burying a body. warm cider. narrow escapes. a race against time. a small boat. all hope lost. being unable to come home. taken prisoner. shipwrecks. assuming the identity of someone else. setting fire to it all. smoke rising from a crash. sea foam. seaports. rendered blind. dropping to take cover. land, sea, and air. entangled in chain. toast with jam. suspense. waiting for escape. wounded men. lying in the sand. trauma. blank spaces. sinking ships. commended a hero. cocking a gun. swallowed by darkness. bullet holes. obstacles and delays. a hero’s welcome. planes overhead. the sounds of a ticking clock. bullets ricocheting off metal. people by the thousands. shell-shocked. the explosions of shells on shores. the sound of destruction. rising tides.head injuries. target practice. compressed time and space. the perennial threat of death. oil ignited into flames. lying for the greater good. blocking out the noise. primal dangers. taking command. sole survivor.
GET OUT : deer antlers. suburbs. hypnosis. strange behavior. familial tension. chopping wood. uneasy stares. tears and a smile. deception. fight or flight. blindness. survival. sinking into the floor. watching but powerless. strapped to a chair. plugged ears. a failed handshake. car accidents. sunken places.something out of a nightmare. going hysterical. bingo cards. smoking cigarettes. static on a television set.doing more harm than good. a hint of a smile. a stranger in any environment that is foreign to them. waiting for someone to come when they never will. overturned candles. wealthy garden parties. constantly looking over your shoulder. silence no matter how hard you scream. trances. catharsis. a battle of wills. layers being peeled back. a cup of tea. nosebleeds. addiction. last bits of life leaving a body. black and white photography. sprinting at high speeds. conspiracies. surgery. blankly polite speech. noise of a spoon scraping across a teacup. a deer in headlights. staring at your own reflection. unable to sleep. loyal friends.
LADY BIRD : california landscapes. budding romance. uniforms. consolation. plain and luscious colors. apologizing. boorish sex. prom dresses. secondhand dresses. strong personalities. the theatre.being simultaneously warm and scary. battling depression. 90’s fashion. dreaming of elsewhere. partying. signatures on a cast. living on the wrong side of the tracks. not being bound by any era. rejection. sparklers. thrift stores. high school. identity crisis. a place that looks like a memory. going behind backs. disappointed parents. catholicism. poverty. busy new york city streets. monotonous hometowns. shitty bands. teenage anarchy. drifting in and out of friendships. menial jobs. red hair. self-given names. coming-of-age. a broken arm. excessive drinking. first kisses. cupcakes. smudged eye makeup. strained relationships. screaming in the middle of the street.thoughtful letters. standing out. decorated bedroom walls. having a change of heart. expressing individuality.
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Geo Targeting Pro- An Asset For Local-Based Marketing
It is challenging for small businesses and startups to gain a competitive edge in today’s corporate scenario – they need to formulate a distinct brand identity by showcasing their business address and invest in a credible phone system. Opening the channels for smooth two-way communication is a great way for organizations to capture a large target audience and build a positive brand reputation in new markets.
With the advent of globalization, many companies are conducting an online local business in multiple locations – in such cases, they face a number of obstacles in their routine functioning. Companies need to change their business model, product offerings and content based on client’s geographical locations – it’s a tough task for managers and not easy on the pocket either.
Small businesses need to cater for different pricing models for different geographical zones based on local currencies. Organizations also need to develop specialized content that is curated for local readers to gain interest in their products and services. Investing in a reliable virtual phone system such as CallHippo online phone number is a great way to adopt revolutionary technological platforms and enhance the quality of local-based marketing in different locations.
How Exactly Can Geo Targeting Pro Help Your Business?
GeoTargeting Pro is the future of telecommunications – this radical wordpress plugin helps to display different content on wordpress based on the geolocation of the user. This makes it possible to display different phone numbers based on each client’s location, thereby enhancing the personal touch and boosting user engagement. It is a user-friendly and quick process that can help any growing business establish a strong local presence, e.g If your organization has a New York virtual phone number as it operates in the United States, GeoTargeting Pro makes it possible to use separate short codes to target specific countries or regions, and display the local number that is most suitable for customer calls.
There is no doubt that GeoTargeting Pro is a new-age innovative solution that can help marketers in their quest of capturing a local customer base effectively. Many organizations are skeptical about jumping onboard this comprehensive platform, however it is definitely the ideal choice for any business that is operating in multiple international locations.
Getting a CallHippo business phone will help your organization accrue all the benefits associated with GeoTargeting Pro, and enhance profitability parameters instantly! Here are some instantaneous advantages that your company can accrue through using GeoTargeting Pro to display different phone numbers in WordPress for different locations:
Personalized Service: One of the most amazing benefits of using GeoTargeting Pro on your office phone system is that your organization will be able to offer personalized services and content to clients from particular geographic regions. It boosts customized product offerings for customers and displays options that are best suited for them. Customers remain super happy with such personalized support and services, thus remain retained and loyal to your organization.
Know Your Customers Better: Location based services offered by GeoTargeting Pro is the best way to get to know your customers preferences and adapt to providing them superior quality service. Virtual phone systems will be able to record, track and analyze consumer choices and preferences, thereby giving your organization complete knowledge to keep them retained in the long run.
Offer Different Pricing Based on Location: GeoTargeting Pro is a great business asset for companies with customers across the globe. It automatically displays product prices in the default currencies, and also shows the existing exchange rates for seamless transactions. Clients will instantly have the price context, and will be able to take informed decisions with respect to monetary aspects.
Show Different Ad Links to Different Country Users: GeoTargeting Pro is a potent marketing tool, and it can be used to show advertisement links to users most suited to their specific interests. You can divert your international call traffic, and optimize advertising function by specifically targeting clients from particular countries – a smart business strategy that will increase bottom line results exponentially!
If your business organization or startup receives calls from all over the world, Geo targeting can help in different numbers in WordPress for callers from various countries – this can help managers in planning impactful location based marketing and gathering a huge target client base in overseas markets. For example: If you have a New York business phone, GeoT argeting will allow your organization to design content, display local currency rates, give language options and show specific products for customers calling from a specific geographical area, thereby keeping them delighted by providing customized service.
Use the services of a sophisticated and novel business phone system to optimize conversion rate, boost customer retention and foster team collaboration. Displaying different numbers in wordpress through GeoTargeting is a must-have tool for any modern business organization – it can immediately enhance efficiency, productivity and satisfaction levels, thereby taking your organization to the peak of commercial success!
Reference: Geo Targeting Pro- An Asset For Local-Based Marketing
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5 States That Will Decide the House Majority
5 States That Will Decide the House Majority By Nathan L. Gonzales
With a growing number of vulnerable House districts, there might be too much to watch for on election night. But by focusing on just a handful of states, you can get a pretty good idea of whether Democrats are having a good enough night to gain the 23 seats necessary to win back the majority.
Minnesota
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 1
The Land of 10,000 Lakes is home to five competitive House races, which is remarkable considering there are only eight congressional districts total in Minnesota.
Netting one seat might not sound like a steep climb for Democrats (who are technically part of the state’s Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party), but it would be a significant feat considering they are defending three districts that President Donald Trump carried in 2016.
DFL Rep. Collin C. Peterson is likely to win re-election in the 7th District (rated Likely Democratic), but holding the open 1st and 8th districts (left behind by gubernatorial nominee Rep. Tim Walz and retiring Rep. Rick Nolan, respectively) will be more difficult. Both are rated Toss-ups at this stage, but Democrats might be fortunate to lose just one.
On their offensive map, Democrats are probably struggling to reach a majority if they can’t defeat Republican Rep. Jason Lewis in the 2nd District (Toss-up). But if they can knock off Lewis and GOP Rep. Erik Paulsen in the 3rd District (Tilts Republican), they’ll probably be able to gain a seat out of the state.
Minnesota bottom line: Democrats probably need to gain at least a seat, while breaking even would be a disappointment.
California
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 5
Unlike Minnesota, it’s virtually all upside for Democrats in the Golden State. There are at least nine legitimately vulnerable GOP districts, while the Republican takeover opportunities have either faded or have yet to develop.
The most likely to flip right now is the 49th District (Tilts Democratic), which opened after GOP Rep. Darrell Issa decided against seeking re-election. Democrats are also optimistic about winning Rep. Ed Royce’s open seat in the 39th District (Toss-up), although Republicans, who are confident about their nominee, have a very different view of the race. Democrats also believe they’re likely to defeat GOP Dana Rohrabacher in the 48th (Toss-up). Losing any of those seats — especially the open seats in districts that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016 — would be a punch in the gut for Democrats.
But the party also has good takeover opportunities against Reps. Jeff Denham(10th District), Steve Knight (25th District), and Mimi Walters (45th District). The three races are currently rated Tilts Republican, but winning at least one of them is reasonable for Democrats under reasonably good electoral conditions.
Reps. Tom McClintock (4th District), David Valadao (21st District), and Duncan Hunter (50th District) are all vulnerable, albeit for different reasons. Their races are rated Likely Republican. Valadao has been a particularly elusive target for Democrats, and defeating him would be as symbolic of the cycle as it would be important for the majority.
California bottom line: Democrats need to gain five seats here, but could theoretically get close to half of the overall gains they need for a majority if they sweep the California races.
New York
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
When it comes to New York, Democrats need a takeover state of mind, but none of the vulnerable Republican seats are easy or guaranteed. If Democrats fail to oust Reps. Claudia Tenney (22nd District) and John J. Faso (19th District), it’s going to be a long night for the party. Both seats are currently Toss-ups, but both incumbents are polling in the low- to mid-40s in most surveys.
GOP Rep. John Katko consistently turns potentially competitive races into laughers, but Democrats haven’t given up hope in the 24th District this year. Even though former Rep. Michael G. Grimm didn’t win the Republican primary in the 11th District, Democrats still have a credible challenger to Rep. Dan Donovan. And Rep. Chris Collins’ indictment for insider trading opens the door for Democrats in the open 27th District. All are rated as Likely Republican, and wins here would be indicators of a good night for Democrats.
New York bottom line: Democrats have a handful of opportunities and probably need to gain at least two for a majority. If they win more, and races such as the 1st District against Rep. Lee Zeldin truly come into play, Democrats are having a great night.
Pennsylvania
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 4
Democrats had a handful of targets in the Keystone State before the new congressional map was put in place. Now, with a combination of new district lines and open seats, Democrats have at least seven takeover opportunities.
The 5th and 6th districts (Likely Democratic), left open by GOP Reps. Patrick Meehan and Ryan A. Costello, are ripe for the picking for Democrats. Former GOP Rep. Charlie Dent left behind a seat (now the new 7th District), which is vulnerable (Tilts Democratic), probably more so now that the GOP candidate had to spend time fending off a misconduct allegation. And new Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb has an excellent chance of knocking off GOP Rep. Keith Rothfus in the 17th District (Leans Democratic).
Democrats are also excited about their chances in the 1st District (Tilts Republican) against GOP Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and have longer-shot chances against Scott Perry (10th District) and Mike Kelly (16th District), with both races rated Likely Republican.
Democrats are likely to lose the 14th District, which constitutes a majority of the territory where Lamb won his special election. But Lamb lives — and is running — in the newly drawn 17th. So Democrats will have to subtract at least one from any gains elsewhere. Republicans also have a credible challenger against Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright in the 8th District (Leans Democratic), but it’s still too early to know if the congressman is in real trouble.
Pennsylvania bottom line: Democrats have a plethora of opportunities but will take at least one hit to their gains. They probably need to net at least four seats here.
Illinois
Competitive races: 3
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
There aren’t a ton of competitive races in Illinois, but they could be symptomatic of races around the country.
GOP Rep. Peter Roskam hasn’t had a competitive race in years, but he’s vulnerable in his 6th District (Toss-up), in part because of Trump’s unpopularity in the Chicago suburbs. Downstate, Trump carried the 12th District (Tilts Republican) handily by 15 points, but GOP Rep. Mike Bost is vulnerable, in part because Democrats recruited a strong challenger.
GOP Rep. Rodney Davis is also vulnerable in the 13th District (Leans Republican) and could suffer from increased college student turnout against the president. But the congressman isn’t in as bad of a shape right now as Roskam and Bost. If Rep. Randy Hultgren ends up in a neck-and-neck race in the 14th District, Democrats are having a solid night. His race is rated Solid Republican for now. Trump carried the 14th District — drawn to elect a Republican after the last census — by nearly 4 points, but the congressman hasn’t had a real race in years.
Illinois bottom line: Democrats need to gain two seats here for numerical and symbolic reasons. The party needs the numbers to get back to the majority, but winning in the suburbs is key (6th District), and seeing their top recruits succeed (12th District) would be good for morale as well.
View Article at Inside Elections
https://ift.tt/2xchYG1
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5 States That Will Decide the House Majority
5 States That Will Decide the House Majority By Nathan L. Gonzales
With a growing number of vulnerable House districts, there might be too much to watch for on election night. But by focusing on just a handful of states, you can get a pretty good idea of whether Democrats are having a good enough night to gain the 23 seats necessary to win back the majority.
Minnesota
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 1
The Land of 10,000 Lakes is home to five competitive House races, which is remarkable considering there are only eight congressional districts total in Minnesota.
Netting one seat might not sound like a steep climb for Democrats (who are technically part of the state’s Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party), but it would be a significant feat considering they are defending three districts that President Donald Trump carried in 2016.
DFL Rep. Collin C. Peterson is likely to win re-election in the 7th District (rated Likely Democratic), but holding the open 1st and 8th districts (left behind by gubernatorial nominee Rep. Tim Walz and retiring Rep. Rick Nolan, respectively) will be more difficult. Both are rated Toss-ups at this stage, but Democrats might be fortunate to lose just one.
On their offensive map, Democrats are probably struggling to reach a majority if they can’t defeat Republican Rep. Jason Lewis in the 2nd District (Toss-up). But if they can knock off Lewis and GOP Rep. Erik Paulsen in the 3rd District (Tilts Republican), they’ll probably be able to gain a seat out of the state.
Minnesota bottom line: Democrats probably need to gain at least a seat, while breaking even would be a disappointment.
California
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 5
Unlike Minnesota, it’s virtually all upside for Democrats in the Golden State. There are at least nine legitimately vulnerable GOP districts, while the Republican takeover opportunities have either faded or have yet to develop.
The most likely to flip right now is the 49th District (Tilts Democratic), which opened after GOP Rep. Darrell Issa decided against seeking re-election. Democrats are also optimistic about winning Rep. Ed Royce’s open seat in the 39th District (Toss-up), although Republicans, who are confident about their nominee, have a very different view of the race. Democrats also believe they’re likely to defeat GOP Dana Rohrabacher in the 48th (Toss-up). Losing any of those seats — especially the open seats in districts that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016 — would be a punch in the gut for Democrats.
But the party also has good takeover opportunities against Reps. Jeff Denham(10th District), Steve Knight (25th District), and Mimi Walters (45th District). The three races are currently rated Tilts Republican, but winning at least one of them is reasonable for Democrats under reasonably good electoral conditions.
Reps. Tom McClintock (4th District), David Valadao (21st District), and Duncan Hunter (50th District) are all vulnerable, albeit for different reasons. Their races are rated Likely Republican. Valadao has been a particularly elusive target for Democrats, and defeating him would be as symbolic of the cycle as it would be important for the majority.
California bottom line: Democrats need to gain five seats here, but could theoretically get close to half of the overall gains they need for a majority if they sweep the California races.
New York
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
When it comes to New York, Democrats need a takeover state of mind, but none of the vulnerable Republican seats are easy or guaranteed. If Democrats fail to oust Reps. Claudia Tenney (22nd District) and John J. Faso (19th District), it’s going to be a long night for the party. Both seats are currently Toss-ups, but both incumbents are polling in the low- to mid-40s in most surveys.
GOP Rep. John Katko consistently turns potentially competitive races into laughers, but Democrats haven’t given up hope in the 24th District this year. Even though former Rep. Michael G. Grimm didn’t win the Republican primary in the 11th District, Democrats still have a credible challenger to Rep. Dan Donovan. And Rep. Chris Collins’ indictment for insider trading opens the door for Democrats in the open 27th District. All are rated as Likely Republican, and wins here would be indicators of a good night for Democrats.
New York bottom line: Democrats have a handful of opportunities and probably need to gain at least two for a majority. If they win more, and races such as the 1st District against Rep. Lee Zeldin truly come into play, Democrats are having a great night.
Pennsylvania
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 4
Democrats had a handful of targets in the Keystone State before the new congressional map was put in place. Now, with a combination of new district lines and open seats, Democrats have at least seven takeover opportunities.
The 5th and 6th districts (Likely Democratic), left open by GOP Reps. Patrick Meehan and Ryan A. Costello, are ripe for the picking for Democrats. Former GOP Rep. Charlie Dent left behind a seat (now the new 7th District), which is vulnerable (Tilts Democratic), probably more so now that the GOP candidate had to spend time fending off a misconduct allegation. And new Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb has an excellent chance of knocking off GOP Rep. Keith Rothfus in the 17th District (Leans Democratic).
Democrats are also excited about their chances in the 1st District (Tilts Republican) against GOP Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and have longer-shot chances against Scott Perry (10th District) and Mike Kelly (16th District), with both races rated Likely Republican.
Democrats are likely to lose the 14th District, which constitutes a majority of the territory where Lamb won his special election. But Lamb lives — and is running — in the newly drawn 17th. So Democrats will have to subtract at least one from any gains elsewhere. Republicans also have a credible challenger against Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright in the 8th District (Leans Democratic), but it’s still too early to know if the congressman is in real trouble.
Pennsylvania bottom line: Democrats have a plethora of opportunities but will take at least one hit to their gains. They probably need to net at least four seats here.
Illinois
Competitive races: 3
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
There aren’t a ton of competitive races in Illinois, but they could be symptomatic of races around the country.
GOP Rep. Peter Roskam hasn’t had a competitive race in years, but he’s vulnerable in his 6th District (Toss-up), in part because of Trump’s unpopularity in the Chicago suburbs. Downstate, Trump carried the 12th District (Tilts Republican) handily by 15 points, but GOP Rep. Mike Bost is vulnerable, in part because Democrats recruited a strong challenger.
GOP Rep. Rodney Davis is also vulnerable in the 13th District (Leans Republican) and could suffer from increased college student turnout against the president. But the congressman isn’t in as bad of a shape right now as Roskam and Bost. If Rep. Randy Hultgren ends up in a neck-and-neck race in the 14th District, Democrats are having a solid night. His race is rated Solid Republican for now. Trump carried the 14th District — drawn to elect a Republican after the last census — by nearly 4 points, but the congressman hasn’t had a real race in years.
Illinois bottom line: Democrats need to gain two seats here for numerical and symbolic reasons. The party needs the numbers to get back to the majority, but winning in the suburbs is key (6th District), and seeing their top recruits succeed (12th District) would be good for morale as well.
View Article at Inside Elections
https://ift.tt/2xchYG1
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5 States That Will Decide the House Majority
5 States That Will Decide the House Majority By Nathan L. Gonzales
With a growing number of vulnerable House districts, there might be too much to watch for on election night. But by focusing on just a handful of states, you can get a pretty good idea of whether Democrats are having a good enough night to gain the 23 seats necessary to win back the majority.
Minnesota
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 1
The Land of 10,000 Lakes is home to five competitive House races, which is remarkable considering there are only eight congressional districts total in Minnesota.
Netting one seat might not sound like a steep climb for Democrats (who are technically part of the state’s Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party), but it would be a significant feat considering they are defending three districts that President Donald Trump carried in 2016.
DFL Rep. Collin C. Peterson is likely to win re-election in the 7th District (rated Likely Democratic), but holding the open 1st and 8th districts (left behind by gubernatorial nominee Rep. Tim Walz and retiring Rep. Rick Nolan, respectively) will be more difficult. Both are rated Toss-ups at this stage, but Democrats might be fortunate to lose just one.
On their offensive map, Democrats are probably struggling to reach a majority if they can’t defeat Republican Rep. Jason Lewis in the 2nd District (Toss-up). But if they can knock off Lewis and GOP Rep. Erik Paulsen in the 3rd District (Tilts Republican), they’ll probably be able to gain a seat out of the state.
Minnesota bottom line: Democrats probably need to gain at least a seat, while breaking even would be a disappointment.
California
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 5
Unlike Minnesota, it’s virtually all upside for Democrats in the Golden State. There are at least nine legitimately vulnerable GOP districts, while the Republican takeover opportunities have either faded or have yet to develop.
The most likely to flip right now is the 49th District (Tilts Democratic), which opened after GOP Rep. Darrell Issa decided against seeking re-election. Democrats are also optimistic about winning Rep. Ed Royce’s open seat in the 39th District (Toss-up), although Republicans, who are confident about their nominee, have a very different view of the race. Democrats also believe they’re likely to defeat GOP Dana Rohrabacher in the 48th (Toss-up). Losing any of those seats — especially the open seats in districts that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016 — would be a punch in the gut for Democrats.
But the party also has good takeover opportunities against Reps. Jeff Denham(10th District), Steve Knight (25th District), and Mimi Walters (45th District). The three races are currently rated Tilts Republican, but winning at least one of them is reasonable for Democrats under reasonably good electoral conditions.
Reps. Tom McClintock (4th District), David Valadao (21st District), and Duncan Hunter (50th District) are all vulnerable, albeit for different reasons. Their races are rated Likely Republican. Valadao has been a particularly elusive target for Democrats, and defeating him would be as symbolic of the cycle as it would be important for the majority.
California bottom line: Democrats need to gain five seats here, but could theoretically get close to half of the overall gains they need for a majority if they sweep the California races.
New York
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
When it comes to New York, Democrats need a takeover state of mind, but none of the vulnerable Republican seats are easy or guaranteed. If Democrats fail to oust Reps. Claudia Tenney (22nd District) and John J. Faso (19th District), it’s going to be a long night for the party. Both seats are currently Toss-ups, but both incumbents are polling in the low- to mid-40s in most surveys.
GOP Rep. John Katko consistently turns potentially competitive races into laughers, but Democrats haven’t given up hope in the 24th District this year. Even though former Rep. Michael G. Grimm didn’t win the Republican primary in the 11th District, Democrats still have a credible challenger to Rep. Dan Donovan. And Rep. Chris Collins’ indictment for insider trading opens the door for Democrats in the open 27th District. All are rated as Likely Republican, and wins here would be indicators of a good night for Democrats.
New York bottom line: Democrats have a handful of opportunities and probably need to gain at least two for a majority. If they win more, and races such as the 1st District against Rep. Lee Zeldin truly come into play, Democrats are having a great night.
Pennsylvania
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 4
Democrats had a handful of targets in the Keystone State before the new congressional map was put in place. Now, with a combination of new district lines and open seats, Democrats have at least seven takeover opportunities.
The 5th and 6th districts (Likely Democratic), left open by GOP Reps. Patrick Meehan and Ryan A. Costello, are ripe for the picking for Democrats. Former GOP Rep. Charlie Dent left behind a seat (now the new 7th District), which is vulnerable (Tilts Democratic), probably more so now that the GOP candidate had to spend time fending off a misconduct allegation. And new Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb has an excellent chance of knocking off GOP Rep. Keith Rothfus in the 17th District (Leans Democratic).
Democrats are also excited about their chances in the 1st District (Tilts Republican) against GOP Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and have longer-shot chances against Scott Perry (10th District) and Mike Kelly (16th District), with both races rated Likely Republican.
Democrats are likely to lose the 14th District, which constitutes a majority of the territory where Lamb won his special election. But Lamb lives — and is running — in the newly drawn 17th. So Democrats will have to subtract at least one from any gains elsewhere. Republicans also have a credible challenger against Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright in the 8th District (Leans Democratic), but it’s still too early to know if the congressman is in real trouble.
Pennsylvania bottom line: Democrats have a plethora of opportunities but will take at least one hit to their gains. They probably need to net at least four seats here.
Illinois
Competitive races: 3
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
There aren’t a ton of competitive races in Illinois, but they could be symptomatic of races around the country.
GOP Rep. Peter Roskam hasn’t had a competitive race in years, but he’s vulnerable in his 6th District (Toss-up), in part because of Trump’s unpopularity in the Chicago suburbs. Downstate, Trump carried the 12th District (Tilts Republican) handily by 15 points, but GOP Rep. Mike Bost is vulnerable, in part because Democrats recruited a strong challenger.
GOP Rep. Rodney Davis is also vulnerable in the 13th District (Leans Republican) and could suffer from increased college student turnout against the president. But the congressman isn’t in as bad of a shape right now as Roskam and Bost. If Rep. Randy Hultgren ends up in a neck-and-neck race in the 14th District, Democrats are having a solid night. His race is rated Solid Republican for now. Trump carried the 14th District — drawn to elect a Republican after the last census — by nearly 4 points, but the congressman hasn’t had a real race in years.
Illinois bottom line: Democrats need to gain two seats here for numerical and symbolic reasons. The party needs the numbers to get back to the majority, but winning in the suburbs is key (6th District), and seeing their top recruits succeed (12th District) would be good for morale as well.
View Article at Inside Elections
https://ift.tt/2xchYG1
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I think one of the reasons why the Hero Aca fandom is vibrant is because the source material is lacking, if we’re being totally honest.
#arget rambles#i've had this thought for a while#about what fosters 'fandom'#and a lot of times it feels like#IPs that fell short on the execution department but had strong concepts#stuff that is extremely strong#a lot of times i don't see As Much#this was also why i got into fire emblem awakening#the flaws meant i had to make stuff to fill it#because it drove me bonkers#OTL
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