#anyway there's like 57 nominees and he's not the most nominated | Explore Tumblr posts and blogs

patriotsnet · 3 years ago

Text

What Republicans Are Running Against President Trump

New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/what-republicans-are-running-against-president-trump/

What Republicans Are Running Against President Trump

The 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Wild Cards

The first Democratic debate back in 2019 had 20 — TWENTY! — candidates, so don’t be surprised if the Republican field is just as large or larger. We could have some more governors or representatives run, or even other nontraditional candidates, like a Trump family member, a Fox News host or a celebrity, like Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, who’s said he’s “seriously considering” a run. Stranger things have happened.

If Trump Were To Run In 2024 New Poll Shows He Would Dominate The Race

Olivia Brown

Perhaps the positive results of this new poll will finally lead Donald Trump to throw his hat into the ring for the 2024 presidential election.

The former president has previously said that he is looking at the possibility “very seriously” but “it’s a little too soon” to announce his campaign.

The May 2021 poll shows that Donald Trump would come out on top as the winner if he were to run in the 2024 presidential election against Vice President Kamala Harris.

When polling likely voters for the general election, national survey research company McLaughlin & Associates discovered that more than three-quarters of Republicans would vote for Trump. In fact, an astounding 83 percent of likely Republican voters would cast their ballots for Trump in the general election.

Trump has nearly unanimous support in the Republican Party and seems to be favored above all other potential Republican candidates.

When compared to former Vice President Mike Pence, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, Trump took the majority lead at 57 percent.

Meanwhile, Pence trailed behind at 10 percent, at eight percent and Haley at five percent.

With Republican voters seemingly in the bag, where does Trump stand with the rest of the nation?

Given the fact that 64 percent of voters polled believed Vice President Kamala Harris would assume the nation’s highest office before the end of President Joe Biden’s official term, Trump seems to be in solid standing.

Wheres Kamala Last Person In Room Harris Silent 6 Days Amid Afghan Pullout Chaos

Democrats are increasingly fearful Vice President Kamala Harris’ missteps will open the door for Republicans to regain the White House, a new report said Friday.

Dems, including senior White House officials, fear that Harris will lose to any Republican she faces — including former President Donald Trump— if President Biden does not seek reelection in 2024, Axios reported.

At 56, Harris is more than two decades Biden’s junior — and has been considered the heir apparent to the 46th president since he selected her to be his running mate last year.

While Harris will still be the presumptive nominee if Biden becomes the first president since Lyndon Johnson to not seek a second full term, Axios reports that a series of blunders have left officials and operatives concerned.

Right now, one operative told Axios, the feeling among Democrats isn’t “‘Oh, no, our heir apparent is f—ing up, what are we gonna do?’ It’s more that people think, ‘Oh, she’s f—ing up, maybe she shouldn’t be the heir apparent.’”

Harris has repeatedly been criticized for her handling of the illegal immigration crisis along the US-Mexico border, a problem Biden dumped in her lap in March by tasking her to deal with the “root causes” of the issue.

According to Axios, several White House officials have also described Harris’ office as a “sh—tshow,” poorly managed, and staffed with people who don’t know the vice president well.

Us Election 2020: The Other 1214 Candidates Running For President

The US has had presidents for more than 230 years, but only the first – George Washington – has ever been elected as an independent candidate.

The twin peaks of US politics, the Republican and Democratic parties, dominate media coverage and campaign donations so completely that the chances of an outsider winning are virtually nil.

What kind of person looks at those near-insurmountable odds and thinks – I’m running anyway?

Quite a range as it turns out: As of 9 October, some 1,216 candidates have filed with the Federal Election Commission to run for president.

The BBC asked three of them – a concert pianist and motivational speaker, a Native American IT technician, and a crypto billionaire – what they stand for, and why they deserve the votes of Americans.

Sen Marco Rubio Of Florida

Like Cruz, Rubio would enter the 2024 presidential race with heightened name ID and experience from his 2016 run. One of Rubio’s biggest challenges, though, could be his fellow Floridians. If DeSantis and fellow Sen. Rick Scott run, there could be just one ticket out of Florida, a Republican strategist said.

Rubio, 49, is married to Jeanette Dousdebes and they have four children. He graduated from the University of Florida and University of Miami School of Law and was speaker of the Florida House of Representatives before running for U.S. Senate in 2010.

Republican Leadership Thus Far Mum On 2024 Preferences

RNC officials have vowed to remain neutral in the future presidential race. They say their focus right now is on the 2022 elections – a major item on the retreat agenda – as the party tries to regain control of the U.S. House and Senate.

House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., and other election officials are attending the retreat. Scott, a Florida senator and potential presidential candidate, heads up the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

The weekend series of meetings includes panels and speeches on such topics as improving Republican voter turnout, expanding GOP coalitions, and building a campaign case against Biden, his administration and the Democratic-led Congress.

To Democrats, this weekend’s activities in Palm Beach look a lot like sucking up to Trump. Democratic National Committee spokesman Ammar Moussa likened the would-be presidential candidates to contestants on Trump’s old television show, “The Apprentice.”

“While Republicans are hobnobbing with their special interest donors, President Biden and Democrats are delivering for everyday Americans, putting vaccines in arms, money in pockets, and bringing normalcy back,” he said.

Eight Republican 2024 Candidates Speak In Texas Next Week But Not Trump

Steve Holland

WASHINGTON, April 30 – A Republican Party event in Texas next week will hear from eight potential candidates for the party’s presidential nomination in 2024, without former President Donald Trump, a source involved in the planning said on Friday.

The May 7 event at a hotel in Austin is being co-hosted by U.S. Senator John Cornyn and Texas Governor Greg Abbott, to thank donors who helped fund a voter registration drive and get-out-the-vote efforts in the state.

High-profile Republican politicians who are considering whether to seek the party’s nomination in 2024 are expected to speak to the crowd of about 200 donors.

They include former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former Vice President Mike Pence, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and U.S. senators Marco Rubio, Tim Scott and Rick Scott, the source said.

The event comes as Republicans wrestle with whether to try to move past Trump in the next election cycle or fall in line behind him. Trump told Fox Business Network’s Maria Bartiromo on Thursday that he was “100%” considering another run after losing in 2020 to Democrat Joe Biden.

Trump was not invited to Texas, the source said. Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley was invited but was unable to attend, the source said.

Many Republican insiders doubt Trump will follow through on his musings about running for president in 2024, leaving a void that other party leaders will seek to fill.

Who Are The Republicans Challenging Trump For 2020 Nomination

Only one candidate is now vying to defeat Trump for Republican nomination in the 2020 presidential race.

While the pool of Democrats vying for the party’s presidential nomination was among the largest and most diverse in the history of the United States, President Donald Trump faced a much smaller cadre of challengers for the Republican ticket in 2020.

After two Republicans dropped out, only one opponent remains in the race against Trump. That’s in contrast to the three remaining contenders in the Democratic field, which once had more than two dozen candidates.

In a statement in April, the Republican National Convention said the Republican Party is firmly behind Trump and “any effort to challenge the president’s nomination is bound to go absolutely nowhere”, prompting criticism that Republican leaders are making it impossible for another candidate to succeed.

Here is a look at the now sole Republican challenging Trump.

More Gop Challengers Line Up Against Trump More States Cancel Their Primaries

Alex Seitz-Wald

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump now has three GOP primary challengers, but they won’t be given a chance to compete in at least four states after Republicans there decided to scrap their presidential nominating contests in favor of supporting Trump.

The Republican parties of Nevada and South Carolina, both crucial early nominating states, voted this weekend not to hold contests, as did Kansas and Arizona.

“With no legitimate primary challenger and President Trump’s record of results, the decision was made to save South Carolina taxpayers over $1.2 million and forgo an unnecessary primary,” South Carolina GOP Chairman Drew McKissick said in a statement. “President Trump and his administration have delivered for South Carolinians, and we look forward to ensuring that Republican candidates up and down the ballot are elected in 2020.”

All The Republicans Who Wont Support Trump

Numerous top G.O.P. officials have said publicly or privately that they will not be backing the president’s re-election. Some have even endorsed Joe Biden. Here’s a look at where they all stand.

Follow our latest coverage of the Biden vs. Trump 2020 election here.

As November draws nearer, some current and former Republican officials have begun to break ranks with the rest of their party, saying in public and private conversations that they will not support President Trump in his re-election. A number have even said that they will be voting for his Democratic opponent, Joseph R. Biden Jr.

As Mr. Trump’s political standing has slipped, fueled by his failures in handling the coronavirus pandemic and by the economic recession, some Republicans have found it easier to publicly renounce their backing.

Here is a running list of those who have said they will support Mr. Biden in the fall, those who simply won’t support Mr. Trump, and those who have hinted they may not back the president.

Trump Remains The Center Of Attention

So much of the Republican Party’s future revolves around Trump and whether he will run again in 2024 – and whether his campaigning for conservative allies in 2022 congressional and state elections will split the party.

The former president is even hosting one of the events at this weekend’s retreat, a Saturday night dinner at his Mar-a-Lago estate. Other retreat activities will take place at the Four Seasons resort hotel, about four miles south of Mar-a-Lago.

More:Exclusive: Defeated and impeached, Trump still commands the loyalty of the GOP’s voters

Trump, who remains popular with Republican voters despite his election loss to President Joe Biden and the chaos that surrounded it, has repeatedly said it is too early to decide whether he will run again in 2024.

But Trump plans to get involved in the the 2022 races, targeting Republicans who supported impeaching him over the Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol or otherwise opposed his efforts to overturn the election.

Trump’s endorsements of favored candidates in Republican primaries threaten to split the Republican Party. His 2022 activity also means it could be years before he announces what he will do in 2024, effectively freezing the Republican presidential race.

Still, some Republicans are doing the kinds of things future presidential candidates do, regardless of whether Trump has announced.

Former President Donald Trump

Trump told Fox News host Sean Hannity that he made up his mind about whether he’ll run for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination again, but he didn’t say what the answer is, keeping the 2024 field open, for now.

The former president held his first post-White House rally in Ohio on June 26 — the first since his inflammatory Jan. 6 “Save America” rally that preceded the failed insurrection attempt at the U.S. Capitol by his supporters. Trump called it the “first rally of the 2022 election,” but no cable news network carried it live, not even Fox News.

The rally came in the middle of a busy few days in June for Trump. Trump’s personal attorney Rudy Giuliani had his law license suspended in the state of New York over his false and misleading claims about the 2020 election, and a week ago, The Trump Organization and its Chief Financial Officer Allen Weisselberg were indicted on tax fraud charges and accused as part of a two-year investigation that began when Trump was still in office. Weisselberg and lawyers for the Trump Organization both pleaded not guilty.

The former president has reportedly told others that he won’t have to wait until 2024 to return to the White House. The New York Times and other news outlets have reported that Trump expects to be reinstated as president by August.

Trump’s power in the Republican Party is growing. Here’s how we know

Sen Tom Cotton Of Arkansas

Cotton needs to work on his pushups. The 44-year-old senator did 22 pushups onstage at a Republican fundraiser in Iowa alongside Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, and he barely had any depth. Grassley’s weren’t any better, but he gets a pass for being 87 years old, and he runs four days a week. The contest was for a good cause: to raise awareness of the average 22 veterans a day who take their life.

Cotton’s remarks at the fundraiser were an early preview of what could become a campaign stump speech. He attacked Biden, critical race theory and China, according to in Des Moines. He also offered his full throated endorsement of the Iowa caucus, which is something candidates who want to win the Iowa caucus do.

“Why should there be any change to the Republicans’ first in the nation status just because the Democrats can’t run a caucus?” Cotton said, referencing Democrats’ delayed caucus results in 2020. “Iowa has had this status now going back decades and that develops more than just a custom or habit, it develops a tradition of civic engagement unlike you see almost anywhere else in the country.”

Led By Giuliani Trump Campaign Effort To Stop Certification Falters In Pennsylvania

Although Wisconsin does not have automatic recounts, state law allows a losing candidate behind by 1% to file a sworn petition, along with a filing fee. The state will only pay for a recount if the margin of victory is .25% or less.

The Wisconsin Elections Commission it had received a $3 million wire transfer from the campaign to cover the estimated cost of the recounts.

“No petition has been received yet, but the Trump campaign has told WEC staff one will be filed today,” the tweet said.

Wisconsin Elections Commissioner Dean Knudson also about the cash transfer Wednesday morning.

Wisconsin law allows candidate behind under 1% to request recount, either full statewide or selected wards, with payment of estimated costs upfront. Formal petition&paymt due 5pm today. Est full cost $8M. Trump paid $3M overnight. 1/2

toggle caption

Election workers count absentee ballots earlier this month in Detroit, the county seat of Wayne County, Mich.

Officials in Michigan’s most populous county reversed course and certified its election results Tuesday evening, just a few hours after a surprising party-line deadlock suddenly cast the certification of more than 800,000 votes in doubt. Wayne County voted overwhelmingly for President-elect Joe Biden.

It stood for just about three hours under withering criticism, as residents made their complaints clear during a public comment period and local and national leaders lambasted the two members’ decision online.

No Evidence Election Was Compromised Cybersecurity Agency Says

The dust-up in Wayne County unfolded amid a nationwide effort by Trump and many of his GOP allies to push back on the results of the election. The outgoing president has claimed widespread voting fraud, without evidence, in the several of the states that he lost, including Michigan.

On Wednesday, the president reiterated his claim that a “giant scam” robbed him of a victory in the state. “I win Michigan!” .

He and his allies, however, have repeatedly failed to produce evidence supporting their allegations of election fraud.

That failure has spelled trouble in court for his campaign to get the election results overturned. In Michigan, an appeals court on Monday unanimously ruled against a Republican bid to invalidate the vote in Wayne County. The decision backed a lower-court ruling that found the allegations to be simply “not credible.”

And the legal setbacks for Trump haven’t been confined to Michigan’s borders, either. As NPR’s Pam Fessler explains, similar efforts challenging the vote in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Wisconsin have failed to gain traction.

Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger speaks during a news conference Wednesday in Atlanta.

Georgia’s secretary of state said Tuesday that some fellow Republicans have tried to pressure him into disqualifying legal ballots that may not have favored President Trump.

“Failed candidate Doug Collins is a liar— but what’s new?”Raffensperger wrote in a Facebook post.

toggle caption

Maryland Gov Larry Hogan

Hogan, 64, is a two-term governor and cancer survivor who underwent chemotherapy while in office. He was declared cancer-free in 2015. A moderate, Hogan told The Washington Post that he saw the 2024 Republican primary as a competition between “10 or 12 or more people fighting in the same lane to carry on the mantle of Donald Trump” and another lane “straight up the middle” that would be much less crowded. Though he said it was too early to say whether he saw himself in that lane, Hogan wrote in his 2020 memoir “Still Standing” that members of Trump’s cabinet approached him about challenging Trump in the GOP 2020 primary.

Why Donald Trump Is Republicans’ Worst Nightmare In 2024

Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large

Earlier this week, amid a rambling attack on the validity of the 2020 election, former President Donald Trump said this: “Interesting that today a poll came out indicating I’m far in the lead for the Republican Presidential Primary and the General Election in 2024.”

this on Trump’s future political ambitions from Politico“Trump is confiding in allies that he intends to run again in 2024 with one contingency: that he still has a good bill of health, according to two sources close to the former president. That means Trump is going to hang over the Republican Party despite its attempts to rebrand during his exile and its blockade of a Trump-centric investigation into January’s insurrection.”new Quinnipiac University national pollhis growing legal and financial entanglementsAs CNN reported on Wednesday night“Manhattan prosecutors pursuing a criminal case against former President Donald Trump, his company and its executives have told at least one witness to prepare for grand jury testimony, according to a person familiar with the matter — a signal that the lengthy investigation is moving into an advanced stage.”

Some Republicans Could Buckle Under Trump’s Attacks

Sen. Jerry Moran of Kansas was one of 20 senators from both parties who pledged to support the infrastructure bill, but the Trump-backed candidate is up for reelection next year, and some Trump-allied groups are running ads against his early endorsement. Moran voted against it twice last month, though his vote won’t be pivotal to the bill’s success.

Republicans are already eyeing the next stage of the infrastructure fight: The $3.5 trillion Democratic spending bill. That package will have to go through reconciliation, a legislative pathway for bills to be approved with 51 votes in the Senate instead of the usual 60. It is very unlikely to attract a single Republican vote.

McConnell is already trying to turn up the heat by threatening to withhold GOP support for suspending or raising the debt limit in the fall. That would force Democrats to do it on their own. Congressional inaction or gridlock could mean a devastating default.

“Let me make something perfectly clear: if they don’t need or want our input, they won’t get our help,” McConnell said Thursday. “They won’t get our help with the debt limit increase that these reckless plans will require.”

Republican Party Presidential Primaries

Republican National Convention

First place by first-instance vote

Donald Trump

Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place in many U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories from February 3 to August 11, 2020, to elect most of the 2,550 delegates to send to the Republican National Convention. Delegates to the national convention in other states were elected by the respective state party organizations. The delegates to the national convention voted on the first ballot to select Donald Trump as the Republican Party’s presidential nominee for president of the United States in the 2020 election, and selected Mike Pence as the vice-presidential nominee.

President Donald Trump informally launched his bid for reelection on February 18, 2017. He launched his reelection campaign earlier in his presidency than any of his predecessors did. He was followed by former governor of MassachusettsBill Weld, who announced his on April 15, 2019, and former Illinois congressmanJoe Walsh, who declared his candidacy on August 25, 2019. Former governor of South Carolina and U.S. representativeMark Sanford launched a primary challenge on September 8, 2019. In addition, businessman Rocky De La Fuente entered the race on May 16, 2019, but was not widely recognized as a major candidate.

Biden Flips Coveted Georgia The Last State To Be Called By The Ap

The full hand recount of the state’s 5 million presidential votes resulted in a narrowing of Biden’s lead over President Trump in Georgia, but not nearly enough to change the result. He started out with a 14,000 vote lead, and now leads by just over 12,000 votes.

The recount, formally known as a risk-limiting audit, is intended to verify the contest’s winner. As Georgia Public Broadcasting’s Stephen Fowler , four counties uncovered a few thousand previously uncounted votes, which subsequently cut into Biden’s margin of victory.

Douglas, Walton, Fayette and Floyd counties all experienced issues with missing or unscanned votes related to human error — but the numbers weren’t significant enough to change the outcome of the election.

Loading…

There is no mandatory recount law in Georgia, but state law does allow for a recount if the margin is less than .5%. It currently stands at .2%.

Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger announced the hand audit last week, citing the close margin of the race.

The four counties with new vote totals must recertify their results. Statewide election results must be certified by Friday. The Trump campaign then has until Tuesday to request an additional recount, which would be by machine rather than by hand.

Trump has repeatedly questioned the integrity of Georgia’s vote counting, it both a “joke” and a process that led to “fraudulent votes” being found.

Who Is Trump Reaching

If the former president proves to be a kingmaker in the 2022 midterms, his allies say he may seek reelection in 2024.

“The Republican Party is just a name,” Steve Bannon told me last week. I had called him to ask about the influence he believes his old boss still carries inside the GOP. “The bulk of it is a populist, nationalist party led by Donald Trump.” As for the rest of it? “The Republican Party, pre-2016, are the modern Whigs,” he added, referring to the national party that collapsed in the mid-19th century over divided views on slavery.

Bannon might not be the most reliable barometer of the political moment, but some of Trump’s fiercest Republican critics share his belief that the former president maintains a strong grip on his party. “He sparked this , and now others are going ahead and taking the baton of batshittery,” Representative Adam Kinzinger, a Republican from Illinois and a staunch Trump critic, told me last week.

After losing badly in 2020, the GOP wants candidates who can win in 2022. But the party’s biggest star seems less concerned with fellow Republicans’ electability than with their fealty. Trump aims to punish incumbents who voted for his impeachment and reward those who support the culture war he’s stoked. Republicans want to talk about Joe Biden’s liberal leanings and how inflation is making life more expensive for most Americans. Trump wants to talk about himself and his personal woes.

What will voters want to hear?

0 notes

theliberaltony · 7 years ago

Link

via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup.

Poll of the week

Thirty-eight percent of Republicans believe President Trump should face a GOP primary challenger in the 2020 election, according to a Morning Consult/Politico poll released this week. Fifty percent said he should not; the other 12 percent did not express an opinion.

Other polls have also shown that a significant bloc of Republicans would like to see someone challenge Trump. But it’s hard to know what to make of that 38 percent number. We found a few polls that asked somewhat similar questions about past presidents,1 and there’s a bit more intraparty opposition to Trump than some others, but not much.

Support for a primary challenger to incumbent presidents

Among members of the president’s party

Primary Challenge President Pollster Date Support Don’t Support Trump Morning Consult May 2018 38% 50% CNN March 2018 20 75 YouGov Jan. 2018 31 48 YouGov Jan. 2018 25 57 Obama Marist Nov. 2010 45 46 AP/GFK Nov. 2010 38 58 CNN March 2010 20 76 Clinton CNN Nov. 1994 32 57 Time/CNN/Yankelovich Partners March 1994 32 48

Note: The question wording in these polls varied somewhat, but all tested support for a primary challenger without naming any potential challenge candidate. We limited our search for such polls to each president’s first midterm year and the year after that for presidents since Gerald Ford.

So let’s unpack these numbers in two ways.

Trump’s re-election: The last three incumbent presidents who were defeated (Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush) all have one thing in common: They faced a fairly serious primary challenger.2 In contrast, the other modern presidents who won second terms — Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama — did not draw major primary challengers.3 It’s not totally clear which way the causation runs here — did the primary challenge weaken Ford, Carter and H.W. Bush ahead of the general election, or was it simply a symptom of a weakness that already existed? I tend to believe the second theory.

Either way, Trump should be hoping he is not challenged in a primary. But will it happen anyway?

Is Trump so weak that of course another Republican should challenge him? I’m not sure. As the table above shows, about a third of Democrats wanted someone to challenge Bill Clinton according to a CNN poll conducted in late 1994, but no one ever did, and Clinton cruised to re-election.4 In a March 2010 CNN poll, 20 percent of Democrats wanted a candidate other than Barack Obama. He too never received a serious primary challenge and won re-election. (Somewhat annoyingly, we weren’t able to find similarly phrased questions for Ford, Carter or the elder Bush. )

Overall, the numbers suggest it’s perfectly reasonable for 20 percent of your party to be interested in replacing you with some unnamed alternative, and that’s where a CNN poll had Trump, but nearly 40 percent (Trump’s number in the Politico/Morning Consult poll) is high. And if that’s where this number is in 2019, Trump may be in some trouble. But remember, Obama was in this territory too, in late 2010, before regaining cruising to re-nomination.

Trump’s standing in the party now: When congressional Republicans defend controversial things Trump does or says, political analysts (myself included) often explain the logic behind the officials’ actions by noting that Trump has rock-solid support among self-identified Republican voters, close to 90 percent in some surveys. Many congressional Republicans, particularly those who are seeking re-election, have every incentive not to criticize the president, at least according to his raw approval ratings in the party.

But these numbers, particularly the Morning Consult/Politico survey, suggest a diversity of GOP opinion about the president that is perhaps not captured by the approval question. If a third of Republicans want someone else to run in the primary against the president, that’s less-than-ironclad backing.

Similarly, a Pew Research Center poll released this week found that 63 percent of Republicans who live in urban areas have warm views of Trump, compared to 25 percent who have cold views. (Respondents were asked to rate him on a “feelings thermometer.”) But in rural areas, 71 percent of Republicans had warm views of Trump, compared to 18 percent with cold views. So that data reinforces the idea that there is some weakness in Trump’s backing among Republicans and helps locate where it is — cities. SurveyMonkey polls put Trump’s approval rating at above 90 percent among self-described conservative Republicans, but below 80 among moderate and liberal Republicans. And Trump is more popular among older Republicans than younger ones.

I’m always wary of emphasizing the GOP opposition to Trump, since it had much more bark than bite in 2016 (Trump won the overwhelming majority of Republican voters despite the media attention given to the “Never Trump” bloc in the party). Even this data suggests that Trump is the heavy, heavy favorite to be the GOP nominee. But we should be watching carefully to see if Trump draws a Republican opponent next year — it’s the telltale sign of a weak incumbent president.

Other Polling Nuggets

A YouGov poll found that 37 percent of Americans approved of the Supreme Court’s decision to invalidate a federal law prohibiting state legislatures from legalizing sports betting. Twenty percent disapproved, and 43 percent weren’t sure.

Morning Consult found that support for net neutrality (the idea that an internet service provide can’t block, throttle or prioritize certain content) increased from 49 percent in December 2017 to 60 percent this month after the Senate voted to restore net neutrality rules that the Federal Communications Commission voted last year to repeal.

A new report from Pew Research Center took a deep dive into the differences between urban, suburban and rural communities. The survey found that 58 percent of rural residents said the values of most people in urban areas are different from their own. Fifty-three percent of urban residents said the same of people who live in rural areas.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is ahead of his Democratic challenger, Beto O’Rourke, 47 percent to 40 percent, according to a poll from JMC Analytics.

An online survey by Gravis Marketing found incumbent Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly of Indiana essentially tied with Republican challenger Mike Braun 46 percent to 47 percent.

A YouGov/HuffPost poll found that after the school shooting in Santa Fe, Texas, Americans are no more convinced that gun control is politically possible.

Approval for same-sex marriage has reached a new high in the Gallup poll, with 67 percent of Americans saying they should be legally valid. That includes 83 percent of Democrats and 44 percent of Republicans.

Yanny or Laurel? HuffPost commissioned a YouGov poll to answer the question after an ambiguous audio recording went viral. The poll found that 35 percent heard “Yanny,” while 31 percent heard “Laurel.” Younger people were more likely to hear “Yanny,” and older people were more likely to hear Laurel.

Pew Research Center conducted a survey of attitudes toward news media in eight Western European countries. The poll found larger gaps in trust in news media between people with populist views and those with non-populist views than between people on the political left and those on the political right.

Trump approval

The president’s approval rating (42 percent) and disapproval rating (53 percent) are just slightly better than what they were at this time last month, when about 41 percent of Americans approved of him and 54 percent disapproved.

Generic congressional ballot

The Democrats’ 45 percent to 40 percent lead over the Republicans is narrower than it was this time last month, when they led 47 percent to 40 percent.

#IFTTT #Politics – FiveThirtyEight #politics #538 #Perry Bacon Jr. and Dhrumil Mehta

1 note · View note

iowamusicshowcase · 7 years ago

Link

"Lyrics, Life and Love are the foundations of the artist known as Dominique Morgan. Since age 7, this storyteller narrates tales of the heart; recalling personal trials, tribulations and chronicles of passion. This 12-time Omaha Entertainment & Arts Award nominee has been deemed by Encounter Magazine as '…one of the most celebrated R&B artists in the Midwest.' Composing hit songs like 'In My Zone' (from the album Party Soul by Jus.B). Mr. Morgan has composed over 400 songs of expression throughout his music career - with albums like Loveaholics and Love Chronicles, Dominique eloquently translates life’s pain into musical memoirs of strength and courage." = from his home page "Dominique Morgan got into the music scene very early on and knew that music was what he was meant to do with his life. In 2005 he began to work at Icon One Music as a member of the writing staff, Penfluence while crafting songs for his own project. He spent years contributing to other artists projects until he was featured on the Icon One Music Christmas compilation Icon Onederland in 2009... This entire time he was writing and producing songs that would come to be his first project 'A Thin Line Between Love & Hate' in 2011 and that same year he won Performer of the Year from Brainstorm Promotions one of the largest LGBT promotions companies in the Midwest." - from his ReverbNation page "'I’m gonna be so honest with you right now it will piss…you…off. I started writing music at seven. Music just comes to me. I don’t read music. The shit just happens and I just go with it and I just go with it ‘til I can’t go anymore.' "Dominique Morgan, orator of the aforementioned, was a show choir kid at Benson High. At age 14, he came out as gay to his family, “who were cool with it.” He left home during his senior year, 'making a stink about being grown,' and followed friends to UNL, where almost no one knew he wasn’t enrolled or that he got by sleeping in cars. Bad checks led to prison. "That was before 2009. Now he is one of the metro’s most celebrated R&B recording artists and a prominent activist. Morgan recently headlined at the Baltimore Pride Celebration, which he described as a highlight of his career... "An unguarded man expressing his pain and hope on- and off-stage, Morgan brought himself and his fans to tears during an acoustic set with Kevin Sullivan of Bells and Whistles during the 2015 OEAA nominee showcase at Reverb Lounge. His album, Loveaholics Anonymous, is a well-received tribute to the highs and lows of romance, earning him three nominations for best R&B artist, album of the year, and artist of the year. A holiday album, Dom’s Favorite Things, launched in late 2015. If the past is prologue, the next act for this Omaha original could be biblical. What comes after a year like that?" - from the article, "Dominique Morgan: Fusing Reinvention and Love  with Activism and Music", by Greg Jerrett on the website, OmahaMagazine.com 'R&B and soul singer-songwriter Dominique Morgan, 33, has emerged as an urban music force with multiple Omaha Entertainment and Arts Awards nominations for his Love Chronicles album. "His tunes of love and loss come from personal experience: an abusive relationship, homophobia, both parents passing, incarceration. "Alfonzo Lee Jones, founder-president of Icon One Music, the local label Morgan records on, says the artist has 'absolute determination.' "Music is Morgan's passion and sustenance. When he bravely came out at 14, he leaned on music for solace. "'It was an important part of my secret life. I spent a lot of time in my room listening to music. No one knew this was my salvation, this was my safe space,' Morgan says. 'I was very closeted about music. I didn't sing in front of people. But I had this desire to perform. I wrote songs in a notebook I hid under my bed. I was just very insecure and being a performer is the ultimate exposure.' "He got up enough nerve to sing in Benson High's mixed chorus and to audition for its Studio Singers show choir. "'I was frightened to death to audition. I didn't know how to dance in time, I didn't know how to read music, I felt so behind.' "He made the cut anyway. "'It was the first time I had been chosen for something and somebody saw something special in me. That experience was amazing. It opened me up to discipline, group dynamics, being a leader.'... "While incarcerated his father died suddenly. He'd been Morgan's only regular visitor. Morgan stopped calling home. Hearing freedom on the other end only made his confinement worse. 'It was too much for me.' "He turned to music to cope. "'It was like this wall burst in my head and these words, these songs, these melodies just flooded out of me. I thought, One day I want to sing my songs. Music kept me going. It was my saving grace.' "He wrote the songs in long-hand, with a pen, in notebooks and on kites (internal request forms). He utilized mics and mixing boards in prison music rooms, buying access to the gear via handmade checks he covered with the $1.21 a day he made working in the kitchen. He earned a culinary degree he uses today as a caterer. "In a prison talent contest he revealed music chops he'd kept on the down low. The prospect of using those chops on the outside kept him sane. After serving eight-plus years, he got out February 2009 and cared for his ill mother until she died that December. "'It was devastating.' "His youngest sibling, Andrea, came to live with him. "He tracked down Icon One's Alfonzo Lee Jones and began writing songs for the label. Jones admires 'the soul and feeling Morgan puts into his writing,' adding, 'Dom paints a vivid picture with every song he composes. You can feel the emotion. That's powerful.' Morgan says in Jones he's found 'more than a producer – he's like a brother to me.'... "His music took off as a recording artist and live performer, he says, once he stopped trying to position himself as a gay singer-songwriter. That transition came with his outreach work for the nonprofit LGBT advocacy group, Heartland Pride. "'I am a singer who happens to be gay. I can still be myself through that but I let the music speak for itself.' - from the article, "Dominique Morgan's voice will not be stilled", by Leo Adam Biga on the website, The Reader

Home page: http://ift.tt/1zCnHy3 Facebook: http://ift.tt/2zP2GY2 ReverbNation: http://ift.tt/2a2cF4I

#Iowa #Iowa Music #Music #Midwest Music #Midwestern Music

0 notes

sportsloungeblog · 8 years ago

Text

Donald Trump and the Patriots, the Comeback Kings, For Better or Worse

The connection between Donald Trump and the New England Patriots is obvious. Trump has a relationship with Tom Brady, as well as head coach Bill Belichick. All are easily hateable characters, ridden with scandal and controversy, but in the end, winners. It was quite remarkable how similar Trump’s surprising comeback on election night was compared to the Patriots unprecedented Super Bowl comeback. Maybe even more similar than you think.

12:15 left in the 1st Quarter. Devonta Freeman 5-yard TD run. Falcons lead 7-0

Trump vs. John McCain

A scoreless first quarter and the high scoring game in the 30′s that most expected may not be happening. Four punts in the first quarter and plenty of early sacks. The Patriots fumble just as they were approaching field goal range. Could this be a defensive battle? Trump said in July of 2015 that Arizona Sen. John McCain wasn't a war hero because he was taken prisoner of war in Vietnam. Not the greatest way to start a campaign.

8:48 left in the 2nd Quarter. Matt Ryan 19-yard TD pass to Austin Hooper Falcons lead 14-0 Trump vs. Megyn Kelly Well, Atlanta did have the best offense in football and can score points in bunches. The six previous Belichick and Brady Super Bowls have been decided by three or four points. They’ll score eventually and make it close, although the largest comeback in a Super Bowl is 10 points, so maybe Atlanta is just that good. When the Fox News anchor asked Trump about his many anti-women comments over the years, Trump said: “You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes. Blood coming out of her wherever.” 2:21 left in the 2nd Quarter. Robert Alford 82-yard interception return TD Falcons lead 21-0 Trump vs. Khan New England looks to be in good shape to make this a seven point game going into halftime. However, a terrible pass by Brady results in a pick-six and this Super Bowl is starting too look very similar to the NFC Championship two weeks ago.

After Khizr Khan—the father of a U.S. Army captain who was killed in Iraq and was awarded the Bronze Star Medal and the Purple Heart—gave a speech at the Democratic convention condemning Trump for his comments about Muslims and pulled out a pocket-sized copy of the Constitution to ask if Trump knew about the right to equal protection, Trump struck back. Trump said Khan had “viciously attacked” him and erroneously claimed that Khan’s wife, Ghazala, was not allowed to speak because she was Muslim. “She probably, maybe she wasn’t allowed to have anything to say,” Trump said. Feuding with a Gold Star family? And this guy is running for President? And the front runner on the Republican side?

Halftime. Stephen Gostkowski hits a 41-yard field goal Falcons lead 21-3 Trump wins the Republican Nomination New England answers the 10-14 point turnaround off the Brady turnover with three points before the half. It’s something. The bad news is the Falcons get the ball to start the second half. The Patriots defense has to get some stops. It seems inevitable that Atlanta will score at least 35 points. That’s going to be hard for Brady and Co. to match in a half. Somehow the Republicans scrape the bottom of the barrel and this is what they come up with. This is their nominee for President. He’s gotten this far, but it’s hard to imagine how he even comes close to making this a race in the general election.

8:31 left in the 3rd Quarter. Matt Ryan 6-yard TD pass to Tevin Coleman Falcons lead 28-3 Trump Hollywood Access video This was the Patriots “Grab them by the pussy,” moment. At this point the game and election was over. Not only would New England have to score four times over the last quarter-and-a-half, they would have to stop Atlanta, which didn’t seem possible. At this point in the campaign, one month out, this was the death blow. How the hell could America elect a man that was describing how he sexually assaulted women? Regardless of what you thought of Trump’s promises, this was another level of disgust. Ultimately, not enough people cared. 2:06 left in the 3rd Quarter. Tom Brady 5-yard TD pass to James White Falcons lead 28-9 Polls close in Ohio. Trump wins. A long Patriots drive ends with their first touchdown. It wouldn’t really matter. It took over six minutes, they missed the extra point. They were still down 19 points and wouldn’t get the ball back until the start of the 4th quarter. Ohio is always a swing state. The polls were strongly leaning Trump and no Republican has ever won the White House without the state. So what if Trump won Ohio. He still had to win Florida and even that wouldn’t be enough. 9:44 left in the 4th Quarter. Stephen Gostkowski 33-yard field goal Falcons lead 28-12 Trump wins Florida. Another long drive from New England that takes over five minutes and only results in three points. They are still down 16 points, only two possessions, assuming they can convert a pair of two point conversions. If Atlanta can just put up a field goal, it would give them their first Super Bowl. The polls are always close in Florida. A nice win for Trump. The two biggest electoral college victories that he needed. He still has to win North Carolina and the Rust Belt states. Good look taking Pennsylvania, which has voted blue in every Presidential election since 1992. 5:56 left in the 4th Quarter. Tom Brady 6-yard TD to Danny Amendola Falcons lead 28-20 Trump wins North Carolina Well, we have a one score game. If New England gets another stop and has enough time, could they actually force overtime? There’s never been a Super Bowl that has gone into overtime. And they have a few timeouts. And Tom Brady. What? How? Trump was down anywhere from three to six points in the last polls in North Carolina and he ends up winning it? This is going to be closer than anyone would have imagined. He still doesn’t have enough to win. Polls are close in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Could he possible win one or more of those states? If so, he might win this thing. 0:57 left in the 4th Quarter. James White 1-yard TD run Game Tied at 28 Trumps wins Pennsylvania There wasn’t much doubt when Brady got the ball back with 3:30 left, 91 yards to go and two timeouts that he would lead New England down the field for a touchdown. It all comes down to the two point conversion and it was another brilliant call at the goal line. The Patriots needed stops on defense. Even an Atlanta field goal would have been enough. The Falcons were at the NE 22-yard line, up eight, with four minutes left. Take a knee three times and set things up for a 40-yard field goal to put the game away. He did it. He actually did it. There really isn’t any way Trump can lose now. Wisconsin and Michigan are still out there, but it’s looking very likely that he will win those too and get over 300 electoral college votes. He needed to run the table and he did. Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. James White 2-yard run. New England wins the Super Bowl 34-28 in OT Trump wins Wisconsin and Michigan. The Patriots won the coin toss. Nobody was surprised that they marched down the field, scoring in just under four minutes to end the game with 31 unanswered points. Since 2001, teams down between 26 and 23 points with 6-9 min left in the 3rd quarter were 0-190, now 1-191, about .5% win rate. No playoff team EVER had comeback from down 19 or more points at the start of the 4th quarter. The New England comeback was unprecedented and we may never see anything like it again. At this point, Trump can win without Wisconsin or Michigan, but add them to his tally anyway. Once he got Pennsylvania, it was done.

0 notes

patriotsnet · 3 years ago

Text

What Republicans Are Running Against President Trump

New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/what-republicans-are-running-against-president-trump/

What Republicans Are Running Against President Trump