#YES IM INVESTED AND SOLD ON THIS THEORY

[queenangst]

Glitch Techs: A Theory about Miko, the Kubotas, and Hinobi

Includes Glitch Techs Season 2 spoilers.

With Glitch Techs season 2 comes more questions and more information. And I have thoughts. Parts of this theory may not be “new,” and have been discussed elsewhere/builds on other ideas pointed out in the fandom before. 

Thank you to @happi-tree for feeding this theory and adding to it. And here’s some great theory by @frogsfangs that covers some points about Hinobi. 

So Glitch Miko is not a new concept to the fandom at all since season 1, though HinobiTech (the Glitch Techs Twitter) has debunked the theory of Miko as a Glitch. According to HinobiTech, “she's only a 16-year-old gamer!” 

We know Miko’s not a Glitch... but that doesn’t mean she can’t be Glitch-like or part-Glitch, a hybrid experiment by Hinobi from their so-called development labs. 

Theory continues under the cut, due to the length.

In seasons 1 and 2 (or seasons 1a/1b, as we can technically consider these two as one running storyline/arc), the most obvious piece of evidence is that Miko cannot be reset with the mind-wipe. This is an anomaly; as Mitch says, everyone can be reset. Why not Miko? This is pointed out multiple times in the show. Another interesting narrative choice is that when involved with the Glitch Techs, in Collection Quest and Karate Trainer, neither of Miko’s sisters were reset. The implication of this is that the question whether or not they can be reset is important to the narrative, and can impact the story later on. 

Here’s where the Kubotas come in. They’re a busy, and incredibly talented family. Nica is tech-savvy. She’s the older sister who taught Miko to game, and is proficient in mobile games, or apps. Lexi, who eavesdrops on Miko and their parents in Age of Hinobi, is proficient in karate, tracking, and seems to be highly athletic. Miko dances well, and as pointed out by Mitch in Find the Glitch, was “one of the only players to log in remotely” at the Hinobi tournament, her teamwork with Five caused “a glitch that nearly took down the entire store,” isn’t able to be reset, “incited the release of a viral glitch [Chomp Kitty],” went on to “destroy the training sim, and... released a dangerous Glitch into HQ.” Not exactly a great track record. And notably, her reflexes are “inhuman.” Nobody could be that good... except for Miko. All of the Kubota sisters (with little information on the brothers) are knowledge or proficient in skills that are what Hinobi wants from a perfect Glitch Tech: athletic, fighting, quick-thinking gamers, who are as if not better than the average. And these are the skills that will hopefully lead Hinobi to Bolypius. 

What about, and why not Nica? Nica is one of the first experiments, but maybe she’s a failed one in the eyes of Hinobi. She’s skilled and knowledgable, yes, but maybe doesn’t display the qualities or desires that Miko does. Hinobi may monitor the experiments as young children/teens, and deemed Nica to be less useful, whereas Miko has more potential. Lexi, at eleven, isn’t quite old enough.

Now for the Kubota parents. Here’s a thought—Mayumi and Hugh Kubota are former Glitch Techs, or even higher-ups at Hinobi, who consented for their children to be Glitch experiments. Mayumi seems quite excited for Miko to get a job at Hinobi, and her parents support that. When we meet them, we also see both parents wearing wrist/smartwatches. While these are shown to help them keep track of time, these could also be a subtle connection to Hinobi; a way for Hinobi to keep track of the Kubotas, or communicate with them. And it’s possible for Hinobi to record any information the Kubotas have forgotten, in case of a mind-wipe like in the first episode, which I’ll talk about later; or the Kubotas themselves may have also consented to having their minds wiped.

But let’s talk about Phil, Inspector Seven, the end of Season 2, and do a little bit of math. Based on what we know from BITT Prime, Phil has been around managing Bailley Glitch Techs for at least 20 years, though he has likely been a Glitch Tech for longer. His younger self at the end of the episode says that Phil has probably has his mind wiped again, so this has happened multiple times, enough that Phil eventually figures out to hide a file and all the information “recovered from Hinobi’s development labs” in BITT, where most won’t find it. 

Jump to Inspector Seven. This is all connected, I promise. Inspector Seven knows about Miko. She also occasionally comes by with her job as an inspector, but that might not be the only purpose. She needs to make sure Miko is progressing as desired, and to keep Phil from being suspicious; to the point whenever she comes for an “inspection,” she’s really mind-wiping Phil for getting too close to the truth about the development labs. Note that in Season 1, the first episode is when Miko is hired and Phil meets (and mind-wipes) Mayumi and Hugh. Right after that, in the second episode, is when Inspector Seven visits Bailley HQ, when she can mind-wipe Phil in case his interaction with the Kubotas causes any trouble. Whenever Phil gets close, he gets mind-wiped. The timeline also appears to line up. Nica is seventeen and Miko is sixteen, which is around the right time for Phil to discover the plans/their existence around twenty or so years ago. (This is, of course, approximate because twenty years refers to when Phil last deleted a file, and so may account for any confusions in the timeline.) 

Hinobi seems to keep track of high-profile and skilled gamers as potential recruits, which is why they host the SmashBall tournament—perhaps to test their skills. Inspector Seven is implied to know Miko, and refers to Miko specifically as “the subject,” whereas High Five is “the subject’s friend.” 

If Miko is a successful Hinobi experiment, a hybrid, human Glitch, she needs training before she can be used. This comes from her own parents and their family, but also from being a Glitch Tech—where Hinobi can keep a close eye on her progress. They need these experiments, because regular Glitch Techs haven’t been working the way Hinobi wants. And they need Miko, too; if she can’t be reset as a side effect/part of the experiment, then Hinobi needs to make sure Miko is working for them under control and not against. 

Also... if Miko is part-Glitch, maybe Ridley can mod her, too, if needed.

There’s a couple questions that still need answers, though. What or who is Bolypius? What about Miko’s brothers? What is on Phil’s files? And hey, what the fuck does Hinobi want? 

(Anyway, real or not, this is some great fic material. And I sure want to write it.)

[scannerly]

Journal: March 29, 2001

• Place order to sell position in London Pacific Group (LDP) at the market. • Place order to sell position in Spherion (SFN) at the market. • Place order to buy 500 shares of GTSI Corp. (GTSI) at 4 7/8 limit, good until canceled.

Real stocks, real profit, real value My short of Adobe (ADBE) was not triggered. But I do recommend rereading my argument for doing so. I am not short Adobe in real life either, but the same logic applies to many, many of the tech stocks out there. I do not believe we are near a bottom yet because in the cold light of a bear market these types of things -- such as dilutive options compensation and hiding mistakes with charge-offs-matter. The greater fool theory no longer rules. What a relief

Now, maybe, finally, we have a time for rational stock picking. If the market begins the first multi-decade sideways run of the new century (there were two such runs last century – both times after extreme valuation bubbles), then the surest way to profit will be to buy stocks of incontrovertible value. Stocks of profitable companies that can be bought for their level of earnings per share five to 10 years out meet this criterion. In this vein, buy 500 more shares of GTSI Corp. (GTSI). This is one of the cheapest stocks in my universe, with the best story. They distribute technology products to the military, the IRS and others. Over $650 million in sales and a $35 million market cap. No debt. Net net value (net working capital less all liabilities) is north of $6. And they will earn over a buck a share this year. They earned a buck a share last year, but that was with a tax loss shelter from the era before new management took over. They have seen steady gross margin improvement, and even with full taxation this year, they expect earnings to beat last year’s untaxed income. Because of the contractual nature of the business, there is some visibility, and yes, there’s growth.

The company just won a dispute over a large contract to supply products and services to the government. While awards within the contract are still open to competition between the company and IBM (IBM), GTSI should do well. This is a relationships business, and GTSI competes well because they have the relationships with the government decision makers and the willingness to get into all the government paperwork. It is a low, low margin business in which the largest portion of capital is usually tied up in working capital. To the extent that new technologies help them squeeze working capital, cash will be freed up for other uses. The company is looking to do its first-ever road trip and broadcast the better business practices that now hold sway over all that revenue.

Insiders were buying at lower levels, as was I. For a few years it was a lock of a trade from 2 5/8 to about 4. Lacy Linwood, the largest shareholder, has been buying in the open market and was one of the founders of Ingram Micro (IM). Having a large, non-management shareholder with a large, illiquid stake is catalyst waiting to happen, though without guarantees. His background confirms that Ingram and its ilk are not the competitive threats here, as one might think.

Undoing some mistakes Investment managers are bound to be wrong many, many times in their lives. This is a business of managing emotion as much as managing money, and taking one’s lumps is the surest path to a more erudite view. So it is time to own up to a few mistakes. In my last entry, I outlined my pessimistic outlook for technology shares based on the devious, unfriendly manner in which many tech managers try to hide the truth from shareholders. Two of my holdings do not reflect that pessimism.

DiamondCluster (DTPI) and London Pacific Group (LDP) were very big timing mistakes. The same mistakes I made at the beginning of the last round -- being overly optimistic as a new round gets under way, and under some self-imposed pressure to make some moves. Optimism in such cases is rarely warranted. Nearly without fail, egg will befall one’s face. With stocks in freefall, I thought, "Well, these two are interesting situations and we have at least six months." Unfortunately, every time I think like that I become cavalier in my timing. The fact of the matter is I should always wait for my rules to kick in – and that includes waiting for falling knives to lay motionless on the floor before trying to pick them up. I violated these rules, and now I’ve lost two fingers to a couple of very sharp blades. There is value in these companies at current levels, however, and I’ll hold DiamondCluster for now.

I am selling London Pacific Group at the market open because of something I call the "5 to 3" effect. Illiquid stocks falling beneath 5 often fall much further because of margin calls that kick in in the 3-5 price range. Forced selling in illiquid stocks is a recipe for price risk, so I have found it prudent to get out of stocks as they cross below 5. It is a very rare case that I pay attention to absolute share prices, but this is one of them.

I should note that DiamondCluster is about to lose significant European business because of Ericsson’s (ERICY) cost-cutting and the European slowdown. This non-U.S. business had shielded DiamondCluster from some of the rampant devaluation in the e-consultancy sector. Not anymore. Nevertheless, I expect both layoffs and quite significant cash drain over the coming quarters at DiamondCluster. At current prices, however, this pessimism is largely discounted. Whether DiamondCluster will recover before the end of the Strategy Lab round is a matter in serious doubt. Moreover, DiamondCluster has a big options compensation problem, much as I described with Adobe. Nevertheless, the value five years or so out should be greater than it is now, and the company has become an attractive acquisition target with a load of cash on the balance sheet. The earnings power in good times is roughly about 33% of the current share price net of cash, with no debt and a resilient business model.

An event play, sans the event Sell Spherion (SFN) at the market open. This was an event-driven value play, and the event occurred after I submitted the story. In this case, the event did not look like I thought it would look. Too late to cancel the story, so the order went through and I bought a position. One more reason I say learn what you can from me, but don’t imitate me. Now I’m selling it because in event-driven investment if the event does not turn out as predicted, the only prudent thing to do is to exit the position. Spherion is likely to announce horrendous numbers, and there is price risk in the stock. A good argument can be made that it is only fairly valued in the 7’s, not undervalued. To justify a sell I must only be able to make such an argument.

What happened? As this was an event-driven value trade, for the investment to work we had to have the event go off nearly as planned. In this case, the event -- a float of subsidiary Michael Page in London -- did not go off nearly as planned. Actually, the pricing still hit the bottom of my model, so there was some safety in the price I paid given the information I had.

The circumstantial evidence points to some skullduggery, however. Michael Page's officers had some incentive to have the offering priced low. Now any options that they get -- and that they can use to incentivize employees -- will be priced low. Moreover, they had incentive to do an offering rather than to sell to others in a private transaction worth as much as 25% more. The incentive involved the fact that Page management was getting 6% of the company and there was a large 12% overallotment for the underwriters. Unfortunately, there was every incentive, except fiduciary responsibility to the shareholders, to price this offering low. Michael Page is a good buy now over on the London exchange. I doubt that it will stay under 200p long.

Also, it appears that Ray Marcy, the CEO of Spherion, now wishes to use the proceeds to pay off some debt and then hold cash for the downturn. This is opposed to the previous statement "pay down all debt and buy back stock." The two statements imply drastically different levels of confidence in the business. One potential catalyst -- again, this was an event-driven trade/special situation -- was that the company would at least support its stock in the market. That would be relatively easy to do given the stock’s illiquidity. A buyback of 30% to 40% of the capital stock could even push the moderately higher, and with some more optimistic projections, build more intrinsic value per share. It is not to be.

A board member who was selling large chunks of stock in Spherion during the months leading up to the offering could be a target of shareholder scorn. The prevalent idea was that this was distressed selling for him because of personal financial difficulties. Even if true, he engaged in massive dumping of large blocks in the months leading up to some very bad news. Spherion has never been the best-managed company, but the degree of funny business here is illuminating as to what management will do with future cash flows.

Event-driven trades occasionally don't work out in the short-term, but what you want is a fundamental floor to your valuation in the worst possible case. I think we have that here, and it is around the mid 7’s. But I’m not hanging around for the questionable appreciation potential and sure-fire bad news that management will announce regarding earnings within the next two or three weeks.

Also, before Michael Page, the company had significant difficulties producing free cash flow. If they just sold off all their free cash flow production, the situation could deteriorate, and we can't know this for certain yet. This situation would have been mitigated if they had received $300 million more in the offering, as we were recently told to expect. Instead, we are left with the image of a desperate seller in need of much more shareholder-friendly management and a better economic outlook.

[addictionfreedom]

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Seriously - There's Never ever Been an Easier Method to Create Easy Associate Income from FREE Website traffic Each and every single Day!

Find out how you can establish endless passive affiliate revenue makers that scale to $100/day or more! Discover the best ways to create 100% FREE traffic to your sites (we have actually create numerous FREE site visitors to our websites using these strategies). Finally obtain the traffic and revenues to make the remainder of 2017 the best year yet! Stop shedding a hole in your wallet-- this needs NO paid advertising and marketing. Absolutely no threat! Conserve time by following my precise detailed videos. Follow my case study, and also you will get results ... it's that simple! Little to no maintenance called for after first configuration. Think this only works with affiliate marketing? Think again! This system works with any kind of type of money making technique ... also by offering your personal products! There's no limitation to just how much you can make. Create as numerous income devices as you like and follow our steps!

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No more seeing $0 month after month in your PayPal account ... No more coming down with another scammy product ... No more dodgy methods that don't show each step in information ... Say goodbye to slaving hrs every day hoping to make SOMETHING work ... Say goodbye to cash on paid advertising and marketing ... All It Takes is 3 Simple Actions ...

Spend $10 on a domain (the ONLY expense you need to make this work). Get 100% FREE web traffic to your website (I'll show you specifically ways to do it). Enjoy passive associate commissions each and every single day. After that, simply rinse and also repeat with another site if you like (this works in practically ANY particular niche!). Lurn Summit is So Simple That Your Regular Average Individual Can Make This Job!

Right here's What You're Obtaining Today ... The "Lurn Summit" Passive System - (VALUE $127).

Plus These UNIQUE BONUSES For Quick Action-Takers ... INCENTIVES # 1: Advanced Web traffic Masterclass (WORTH $297). Get access to our web traffic masterclass. In this series of video clip training, Stefan and Greg will reveal you exactly just what they're doing to own over 15,000 visitors a day to their websites, without advertisement spending plan. These techniques will completely enhance what you will find out inside Lurn Summit.

BENEFIT # 2: Exclusive Collection of IM Graphics (Currently Sold For $27). For anything you do online, you need sensational graphics to make your product or services a lot more expert. That's why we have decided to likewise provide you with a collection of spectacular IM graphics. There more than 650 premium quality themes for anything you could potentially require: arrowheads, bullets, banners, ebook design templates, font styles, headers, icons, you call it ... It will be a substantial help for you in anything you do online. And you could easily use this pack to develop amazing profit-pulling sites making use of the Lurn Summit system.

BONUS OFFER # 3: Micro Case Studies Package (WORTH $67). Whenever Greg and Stefan get outcomes doing something new, they record them in little micro case studies. You'll obtain a neat package of several of their ideal micro study including web traffic approach results, easy fast revenues, low-cost leads and also more. These are battle-tested by them as well as will provide you insider understanding to improve your traffic and earnings.

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Plus you're covered by our 30-Day No Questions Asked Money-Back Assurance.

Experiment with Lurn Summit. If for whatever reason you feel it's not for you, after that just let me understand and I'll reimburse your cash. That's exactly how positive I am in what I instruct.

You have actually seen all the evidence ... and also you have actually seen all the rave evaluations from other individuals as well! Lurn Summit simply plain WORKS! After the price cut period, the cost goes up to $67 (Do you wish to pay that much? Or ...). Order Your Copy TODAY for Only $17:.

Frequently Asked Questions. Q: Do I need any tech abilities or previous experience to make this work? A: Not at all. All you require is a computer or laptop with internet link to see our training and also begin seeing outcomes!

Q: When can I expect to see results? A: It differs for each individual. The quicker you implement my actions, the faster you reap the rewards. It really depends upon how much you want this to help you.

Q: Exactly how can Lurn Summit profit me? A: Not only will it help you obtain even more targeted visitors to your website, blog or offers, it will additionally help you earn EASY payment from that web traffic! This system was created so that it is lasting.

Q: Will this operate in ANY niche? A: Absolutely. Whether you're in the natural health and wellness specific niche or the pet training specific niche, this will certainly 100% help you assuming you follow my precise actions. Period.

Q: Will this approach get oversaturated? A: Never - because the internet is so large that there's more than enough traffic to be had. Saturation will never be an issue with this.

Q: Are there any kind of One-Time Offers or Upsells after I buy? A: Yes - currently we are providing a few of our upgrade plans at a fantastic price cut. Having said that, these are optional and will not stop you from making this job. Yet we do advise you taking advantage of them since they are of such wonderful value.

Q: What happens if I have any other questions? A: This rarely occurs due to exactly how "in-depth" my training is, BUT we agree to respond to any concerns you have with our assistance e-mail exclusive for members of the program.

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