#Wizard larry Recovery

[allwaswell16]

This is a fic rec of my favorite One Direction fan fics with praise kink in them as requested in this ask. If you enjoy the fics, please leave kudos and comments for the writers! You can find my other fic recs here. Happy reading!

-Larry-

Missed Connection by @littlelouishiccups

(E, 39k, soulmates au, soul marks, strangers to friends to lovers, fwb, musician Harry, nurse Louis, dom /sub, angst with a happy ending, fluff, smut, oral sex, praise kink, sex toys)

Soulmate AU where your soulmate’s first words to you are tattooed on your skin.

Small Doses (Loving You It's Explosive) by QuickedWeen / @becomeawendybird

(E, 38k, boxing au, boxer Harry, personal trainer Harry, teacher Louis, dirty talk, praise kink, d/s, dom Louis, sub Harry, bondage, oral sex, teasing, lap dance, light angst, subspace, riding, rimming, smut)

Louis Tomlinson finds himself at Vitality Fitness to try and turn his life around after having left his cheating boyfriend of four years.

Here to Stay (here to Play) by @sadaveniren

(E, 28k, chapter 18, Kinktober, praise kink, lingerie, camboy, dom/sub, dom Louis, sub Harry, bondage, sex toys, smut)

“He’s such a pretty thing, isn’t he?” Louis watched the comments roll in, agreeing with him.

Time Out by Speechless / @smokingluckiesalltheway

(E, 27k, break up au, role play, getting back together, angst with a happy ending, fluff, jealousy, possessive behavior, d/s, kink, praise kink, smut, bl)

Harry and Louis are perfect for each other.

Oh Glory by @alivingfire

(E, 21k, Olympics au, sports, swimming, gymnastics, praise kink, bondage, swimmer Harry, gymnast Louis, smut)

Harry Styles is Team Great Britain's newest swimmer, and has spent his whole life training for this moment, a chance at the gold medal in the Rio 2016 Olympics.

Save your loving arms for a rainy day by BriaMaria / @briannamarguerite

(E, 18k, famous/not famous au, famous Louis, not famous Harry, pop star Louis, lost voice, angst with a happy ending, body worship, praise kink, smut)

the one where Louis is a pop star who has lost his voice and Harry helps him find it.

This Play Between The Sheets by Harriet1dfan

(E, 15k, first date, bdsm, dom Harry, sub Louis, embarrassing situation, online dating, texting, pwp, fluff, lingerie, praise kink, daddy kink, body worship, oral sex, coming untouched, size difference, smut, bl)

the totally gratuitous BDSM fic where Louis' is a drama queen and gets far too excited to pay attention to who he's texting.

the flower that blooms in adversity by docklands / @hershelsue

(E, 13k, a/b/o, alpha Louis, unlabeled Harry, camping, virgin Harry, first time, light angst, humiliation kink, praise kink, kink, fluff, smut)

Harry is twenty-six and he hasn't presented yet.

Shackles (I Just Want to Praise You) by theweightofmywords / @rockstarlouis

(E, 8k, bdsm au, dom Harry, sub Louis, actor Louis, Hollywood, subspace, aftercare, nervous Harry, praise kink, rough sex, pet names, mirror sex, smut)

Louis is an extra for a low-budget gladiator movie.

Every Good Boy Deserves Cookies by @fournipplesau

(E, 8k, chef Harry, teacher Harry, shy Harry, teasing, premature ejaculation, praise kink, food play, smut)

Harry is a chef who teaches a class and Louis swears it's only Harry's bossiness that turns him on, not the recipe for cookies and Harry likes being praised.

My Pleasure (to make you mine) by zanni_scaramouche / @zanniscaramouche

(E, 6k, piercing au, praise kink, light dom/sub, fluff, porn, coming untouched, piercings, smut)

Harry decides to get his nipples pierced.

Here, Kitty by dimpled_halo / @comebackassholes

(E, 4k, roommate au, friends to lovers, uni, fluff, kink discovery, master/pet, d/s, kink exploration, master Louis, kitten Harry, praise kink, love confessions, smut)

When Harry and Louis become roommates, Louis discovers a side of Harry that he's more than willing to explore with him.

Good boy by 28sunflowers / @vintageumbroshirt

(E, 2k, tattoo au, tattoo artist Louis, customer Harry, pwp, masturbation, bathroom sex, oral sex, praise kink, pain kink, kink discovery, smut)

Harry is startled out of his thoughts by the needle going over one of his ribs.

Mommy by @jaerie

(E, 2k, sugar baby Louis, lactation kink, rough oral sex, choking, caretaking, praise kink, kink, smut)

Louis is Harry's baby. Harry takes good care of him.

-Tomagher-

There’s A World There For The Taking, gayumbrella​

(E, 9k, Louis/Liam Gallagher, yes a made up ship name, canon, praise kink, recording studio, alcohol, smut)

Louis and Liam Gallagher at the same studio.

-Tomlinshaw-

Little Lion Man by Writcraft / @writcraft

(E, 123k, Louis/Nick Grimshaw, Harry Potter au, age difference, coming of age, supernatural elements, Hogwarts, homophobia, romance, mental health issues, hurt/comfort, injury, injury recovery, light bdsm, grief/mourning, character death, kink exploration, ghosts, praise kink, smut)

As Louis tries to negotiate coming of age, sexuality, first times, homophobia in the wizarding world and his growing feelings for Nick, a new evil emerges which puts Louis and Nick in serious danger.

-Ziam-

Just As Fast, Twice As Dangerous by lightswoodmagic / @lightwoodsmagic

(E, 45k, Zayn/Liam, superhero au, uni, empath, telekinesis, pining, friends to lovers, fwb, misunderstandings, angst, hurt/comfort, dom/sub, dom Liam, sub Zayn, praise kink, bondage, daddy kink, smut)

Zayn's a normal student by day, and a superhero by night.

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[phdmama]

Fic Writer Questions

Thank you for tagging me, @slytherinzouis! These are fun!

How many works do you have on Ao3?

95 - HOLY HECK!! I didn’t realize it was that many!

What’s your total Ao3 word count?

787,686 - I don’t think I can get to a million this year. Maybe next year? Also that’s such a nice number, it’ll be tough to change that ha ha

How many fandoms have you written for and what are they?

I’ve got 64 fics published for 1D, 31 for HP, and 1 listed as multifandom which is a compilation of a bunch of shorter pieces.

I am actually writing some Stucky but who knows if I’ll ever finish it or publish it. I’m not counting on it.

What are your top 5 fics by kudos?

Hold My Heart (LARRY, co-written with @a-writerwrites, and I’m sure it’s her popularity that drove that one!)

I Like the Way You Move for Me (Drarry, written for @bixgirl1)

Feels Like Coming Home (Larry)

Beautiful Madness (Drarry, utter ridiculousness and hot gifs!)

On the Go (Larry, this was entirely @kingsofeverything‘s fault)

What’s the fic you’ve written with the angstiest ending?

I realllly don’t write angsty endings, having a happy ending is really important to me. I wrote one Larry fic - We Had a Good Thing (Going) - where I had an open ending, but in MY HEAD it’s a happy ending, they get their shit together. Other than that, yeah. Happy endings all the way.

What’s the fic you’ve written with the happiest ending?

I guess it depends on what you mean by happy? I think for me personally, Feels Like Coming Home and (We'll Call This Fixer-Upper) Home  (Drarry) are fics that feel like they address a lot of pain and a lot of healing, and the way two people can fall apart and fall together, and how love heals. So they’re not fluffy, I don’t think, but to me, they’re very real and solid. The endings feel like *real* happy endings (which is to say, beginnings as well). 

Do you write crossovers?

I don’t think I have! i’ve got a wizard Larry thing in flight that that’s sooooort of a harry potter world? but in the US? 

Do you write smut? If so, what kind?

For the most part, not particularly kinky smut at all. I write a lot of non-penetration smut. I’ve written some bad sex, some great sex, some fun sex. I feel like my smut writing tends to be more buildup and less focusing on all the minutia of the encounter. Usually feelings are involved but not always.

Do you respond to comments? Why or why not?

I very much try to! I will admit I had a period where I got really overwhelmed and sort of checked out, and I’m trying to get back on track and answer. THey. mean SO MUCH to me!

Have you ever received hate on a fic?

I don’t think so, at least, not to my face. I’ve had people ask only “WHO BOTTOMS” which makes me a bit irritated. I am still salty about a comment on a bookmark about how I addressed an addiction recovery process, saying that it wasn’t realistic when I literally have both personal experience and had it med-picked by an addictions psychologist (and, err, I’m also a licensed psychologist so.....) - yeah. Still a bit salty.

Have you ever had a fic stolen?

I don’t think so? I’m not that big a writer, none of my stuff is that popular! I did have someone put a bunch of them on Goodreads, which didn’t feel great so I was able to get them taken down.

Have you ever had a fic translated?

I’ve been approached a few times, and I generally say no for a couple of reasons. The first is that translation is an art, and I’d want to be very involved in the process, and I don’t have the spoons for that. Also, since I can only read one langauge, I don’t at this point want things attirbuted to me that I can’t make sure are what I want, if that makes sense.

Have you ever co-written a fic before?

Just two! Hold My Heart, which is listed above, and Wine Not, which I worked on with so many amazing writers. That chat is still one of my favorite places to be and we talk every day! I’ve also written a few things inspired by my darling @julcheninred!

Harry Scissorhands (art collaboration with @m4g0rtz)

Whispers in the Dark (art collaboration with @m4g0rtz)

The Common Pneumerator

What’s your all time favorite ship?

I can’t have just one. I mean, Drarry is probably my oldest love. Larry will always always have a soft spot in my heart. Sterek is a HUGE LOVE right now. I’ve read some amazing Destial and I’m very open to more. I read a ton of ships in OMGCP. I definitely read other pairings in 1D, HP, SPN. 

What’s a WIP that you want to finish but you don’t think you ever will?

Uggh. Too many to list, sadly. I do want to finish them all, but I don’t know. We’ll see.

What are your writing strengths?

Umm. I’m not sure I’m the best to evaluate that? I tend to be... pretty critical of my own writing. I can definitely get into a flow of short, funny things, and I do like those. I also think I can do angsty-pain okay? I love writing good communication and feelings. Don’t know how well I do it though.

What are your writing weaknesses?

I can get too caught up in the details and in a continuous linear flow (I.e. no scene jumps) . Finishing stuff is hard too. I love starting things.

What are your thoughts on writing dialogue in other languages in a fic?

If it’s there, I love having a translation provided. I don’t really do it because I’m an American heathen who only speaks one language!

What was the first fandom you wrote for?

Well to be honest, I wrote my first fic at 16 (so... pre-everyone on the internet by, like a LOT) - I wrote it for a friend, so it was a self-insert but friend-insert? About Mikhail Baryshnikov. The first fandom I published in on AO3 was 1D.

What’s your favorite fic you’ve written?

I don’t have a favorite! I will confess, I do reread my own stuff because I do write stories I want to read. It helps to give them a year or two before I reread. I cringe a bit at the writing in some of my earlier stuff when I was still trying to sound like popular fic in the fandom as opposed to having found my own voice (god some of the cliches are painful!!), but it’s also part of the learning process so I’m not planning at this point to take anything down. Anything I’ve linked here, I’d love for people to read, and are all fics I have a fondness for!

I feel like everyone’s been tagged in this one? But if you haven’t and want to do it! Please do and tag me!! :-D

[modmad]

Hi Mod, sorry to be a bother like this. I have been slowly making progress and am now on 12fps with Larry and I am having some confused for the past couple sessions. Engie has a curse-word activated flame sword, a pink knitted scarf and a green knitted brooch now and I don’t remember listening to sessions were he actually OBTAINED those items? Are there any games that are missing from the Engie playlist where he gets all these things from, or was this “off screen” stuff that you have to be part of the discord to be privy to?

alas, the scarf was in a written game in the discord! so yes that’s uh, sort of bonus but it was really cute and happened on the Never Ending Train (I do talk about that in the Recovery Car game in NETrain). The sword was what he found in the wizard’s tower way back in the first carriage on that train too, and the green brooch is a gift he hasn’t been given yet, but Minty’s player asked me to have him have, because she *will* give him it... and time continuity is a bit of a headache to deal with BASICALLY JUST DON’T WORRY ABOUT IIIIT

[ssportsnews]

'No. 1' Sociedad's tank Merino, increasing intimidation 먹튀검증

먹튀검증먹튀사이트먹튀검증사이트먹튀 검증  먹튀 사이트 먹튀 검증 사이트

Larry's discourse unfolds.

The Second Punic War began in 219 BC when Hannibal, a great general, attacked Saguntum (now Sagunto) in Spain. This will have a huge impact on world history. Like the moment of the Saguntum battle, STN Sports delivers an important La Liga discourse as a serial.

Mikel Merino, 25, is becoming more and more intimidating.

Real Sociedad defeated Celta Vigo 2-0 in the 11th round of the Spanish La Liga match held at Vallaidos in Vigo, Ponte Vedra, Galicia, Spain on the 29th (Korean time). Sociedad won the first two league matches, while Celta failed to win the second consecutive league.

La Liga has finished 11 rounds on weekdays and is about to start round 12 on weekends. In effect, we are already reaching a third of the season. It means that the season has progressed to a certain extent, but the current leaderboards are unfamiliar and surprising.

As of the 30th, the top places in La Liga are not Real Madrid and FC Barcelona. Nor is it not the defending champions Atlético Madrid, who won the previous season. Sociedad is currently number one in La Liga. Although the number of games varies by one or two for each team, there is no team that can exceed Sociedad's 24 points by the 11th round.

As the first team, all players in all positions are playing their part, but the contribution of central midfielder Merino cannot be left out. Merino has a crazy presence in midfield in every Sociedad game, contributing to his team's leading sprint.

Following the previous season, Sociedad, who is being managed by Immanol Al-Nisil this season, uses the 4-3-3 formation as the main formation. Merino acts as one of the two attacking midfielders in this formation, the so-called 'Mezzala'. David Silva, the 'Wizard', is mainly located on the right mezzala, and Merino stands on the left mezzala.

Respected from a much younger age, Merino has often been seen straddling the ball and creating his chances since his early days as a prospect. However, as his body grew and his muscles grew, his power in the ball situation increased even more, making it difficult to block. He is also excellent at passing pressure and contributing well in defense. His stature is not small, which is an advantage in aerial ball competitions.

This match against Celta was a match where Merino's strengths were all melted away. It was Merino who raised attack points first. In the 33rd minute of the second half, a corner kick from the left flank by Benat Turientes was put in by Merino into the header. Coincidentally, this header hit Aritz Elustondo's body and was recorded as an assist, not a goal.

Merino's true value came from his contribution to open play rather than his attacking points. According to the soccer statistics site FotMob on the same day, Merino recorded 10 ball game victories that day, and went all the way through the midfield. His most surprising stat was recovery, which means the act of bringing the ball out of control.

He was the one who pushed through the Olympics until this summer. Even though he started the season with almost no rest, he is showing off his energy and intimidation in the midfield like this. This is Merino, who has been playing in all league matches, staying strong even when his partner Silva has been away for a while due to an injury.

His characteristic expressionless appearance, without showing any signs of exhaustion, is reminiscent of a streetcar. It resembles an iron-clad tank poking through infantry in wartime. Its speed is also increasing gradually. Merino's advance continues.

[palmettocapital]

Hedge Fund Market Wizards (Jack Schwager, 2012)

Takeaways:

This is an extremely long set of notes because it’s a long and dense book and every trader has something valuable. Very long book but also quite skimmable if you skip the interviews (which are full of interesting stories) and only read Schwager’s conclusions to each chapter as well as the “40 lessons” at the end (there is also an excellent Intro to Options at the end that is the best I’ve ever read in only 4 pages). *Best interviews are: Colm O’Shea, Jamie Mai, Ed Thorp, Tom Claugus & Michael Platt.

Much of the advice in this book can sound pedantic, but more often it’s deceptive in its simplicity. Worth considering these traders are not just high-return but extremely high R/R over long track records.

To me, the message boils down: figure out exactly what works best for you and do only that as much as you can, structure bets with asymmetric payoff schemes (relative to probabilistically-considered outcomes) and do it in a size/manner that keeps you from making emotional mistakes. 

Really crucial is the ability to adapt over a long career, because no system works forever--market structure changes.

My sense is trade structuring and risk management is something the average equities investor doesn’t not pay enough attention to. Structuring can make mediocre or ok R/R into great R/R -- this is basically the key insight of Beat The Dealer and also highly achievable through options.

I like Schwager’s Gain to Pain Ratio, which is defined as the sum of all monthly (arithmetic, not compounded) for a strategy divided by the absolute value of the sum of all losing months. He considers >1.0 very good and >1.5 excellent. 1.0 implies an investor experiences on average an equal amount of monthly losses to the net amount gained over a year. Preferable to Sharpe Ratio because it doesn’t penalize upside vol.

Loved Steve Clark’s advice about not staring at the screens if you’re the sort of investor who sets your bets and has to wait for them to work -- I’ve witnessed first-hand what he means by over-processing and over-trading that results.

Greenblatt’s Magic Formula does not seem to fit a world where the best companies invest via the income statement and employ primarily intangible assets.

Macro

*Colm O’Shea

Wrong at least 50% of the time but never lets a mistake get anywhere near where it would make a good story

Views his trading ideas as hypotheses

The mathematization of economics has greatly narrowed scope of field -- true economists reside in history, poli sci and sociology fields

Policymakers don’t understand they’re not in control. Speculators aren’t either -- fundamentals actually matter

All markets look liquid during a bubble, but it’s liquidity after that matters

Buyer of options in 2006-2007 because low ERP meant option prices were too cheap. Prefers being long options, never short a horrible tail

During 2005-2006, got paid repeatedly to bet that maybe Fed wouldn’t stop hiking. People were fighting the Fed

Avoid conceptualizing the market in antropomorphic terms -- markets don’t think, like mobs don’t.

Prefers macro because HFs tiny there, playing against real money and not against true competitors in a zero-sum way

Prior to 1998 financial crisis, he’d never heard of LTCM - just saw T-bond futures limit up every day, meant something was up and to trade accordingly. Often if you wait to find out the reason first, it’s too late. Soros: Invest first, investigate later. Empiricist at heart.

“Fundamentals are not about forecasting the weather for tomorrow, but rather noticing that it is raining today”. Soros GBP short in 1992 was based on something that had already happens (deep recession in UK = unable to maintain high interest rates necessary for ERM)

LT inflation-adjusted housing prices were sideways from the 19th century until mid-2000s (excluding post-Depression bust), and then 2x’d in a few years

Roulette = world of risk, economy = world of uncertainty 

Equity vol tends to be expensive because no natural sellers and everyone is a natural buyer

Markets often confuse liquidity and solvency. You can’t fix a solvency problem by adding liquidity. 

Ex: on a $100k house with $200k mortgage, lending you another $100k doesn’t solve the problem.

Seeks asymmetric trades -- like betting against TED spread narrowing after Bear Stearns bailout in 2Q08. When sentiment improved, didn’t lose much because he’d bet at levels already reflecting optimism 

Lehman going under was not a surprise - it was expected, but people failed to understand what it meant

Stayed short in GFC until April 2009, until they started losing money. Economy stopped getting worse -- what matters for markets is better/worse > good/bad. Sought out another hypothesis-- Asia-led recovery

Marco is 10% storytelling, 90% flexibility and implementation

Soros plays up to his image as a guru, but as a trader he has no regret and no emotional attachment to an idea.

You have to embrace uncertainty and risk

Biggest mistakes are missed opportunities - often believing something acts as a constraint on making profitable trades

Bubbles last a long time and there’s money to be made. Worst thing to do in a bubble is be stubborn and then late to convert

“If it trades like a bull market, it’s a bull market.” 

“Beliefs that are completely invulnerable to evidence and passionately defended are quite durable”. Ex: gold is special

Natural way to trade a bubble is from the long side. Uses options to structure to avoid taking on gap risk on collapse -- low vol bubbles are great for this because premiums stay low

Rare to find comfortable shorts in bear markets. You won’t find a lot of people who have made majority of their money shorting bubbles

Looks for deviations between fundamental probability distribution he perceives and the one priced in by markets

Successful traders adapt and break their own rules. Frameworks > rules

VAR is maligned but does what it claims -- tells you how volatile your current portfolio was in the past. 

Most common error he sees is people setting stops at pain thresholds and not at prices that tell you you’re wrong. People who aren’t convinced they’re wrong by being stopped out will keep putting the trade back on. Sets stops at a level where it would be proof he’s wrong and sizes trades according to what that implies potential loss is. If he gets stopped out, it’s because prices are inconsistent with his hypothesis

Recognizing > forecasting

Ray Dalio

Quadrant conceptualization -- two factors and two states = four conditions. All Weather looks at growth and inflation, increasing or decreasing. Divides world into creditors and debtors x independent monetary policy / don’t control monpol (US/UK = debtors with control; Greece/Portugal = debtors w/o control; Brazil = creditor with control; China = creditor w/o control because of USD peg)

Loves mistakes because they provide learning experiences that catalyze improvement

You will certainly make mistakes and have weaknesses. What matters is how you deal with them

Two core concepts in Principles: 1) improvement through mistakes, 2) radical transparency

8/15/71, when Nixon took US off gold standard, sticks in his mind because stock market went up a lot. Learned currency depreciation/money printing is good for stocks, and don’t trust policymakers. Also, markets anticipate bearish events (rumor --> news phenom) and also bearish events can trigger new events with bullish consequences

Don’t fight the Fed (unless you have very good reason to believe their moves won’t work)

Holy Grail of investing: x-axis = number of investments, y-axis = stdev. Curve slopes down and to the right, ie volatility of portfolio goes down as number of assets goes up. Can only cut correlation by 15% with stocks because avg stock has 0.60 correlation to any other, but if you diversify across 15 assets with average of 0 correlation, you can cut vol by 80%. Structuring trades is key to producing uncorrelated bets. Correlation is an outcome, not an input. Doesn’t look at the correlation when setting up bets, looks at whether drivers are different.

People experience drawdowns bigger than they expect because of lack of understanding of how their strategy performs in diff environments. BW tests criteria to ascertain they are 1) timeless (hold across all diff time periods) and 2) universal (across all diff countries)

Hold ~20 signif positions consisting of 80% of the risk, uncorrelated to each other.

Universal truth that you can enhance R/R by reducing correlation

Transaction costs are a function of the amount you have to move in a given timeframe

Did well in 2008 because critera for trading a deleveraging had been established by study other deleveragings (inflationary = 1920s Germany, 1980s LatAm; deflationary = Great Depression, 1990s Japan)

Avoiding unmanaged contraction is essential in preserving social/political order. Spread problems out to keep g>r with fiscal/monetary policy.

He believes US has gone through 4th of 5 cycles a country goes through; went from “country that thinks it is rich but isn’t” to “decline”. Entire cycle is 100-150 years, decline = ~20.

Biggest mistake people make in investing is believing what’s happened in recent past is likely to persist.

In a deleveraging, monpol is ineffective in creating credit. Diff from a recession where rates can be cut to ease debt service, stimulate economic activity and produce positive wealth effect.

In the business cycle, availability & cost of credit driven by central bankers; in the long-wave cycle, depend on factors beyond bankers’ control

Bubbles occur frequently in countries in Stage 4 (getting poorer but still think they’re rich) because economic actors (investors, policymakers, operators) bet big on trends continuing as they have in recent past. Believe investments that have gone up are good rather than expensive, borrow money to buy them.

Larry Benedict

Risk mgmt dominates his approach. If monthly losses approach 2.5%, liquidates entire portfolio and starts over, trading at reduced size. ~2% loss, cuts unit size to 50% or less than usual. Plays at small size until profitable again.

Key experience for him was being on floor on day of 1987 crash. Learned early that ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN.

Learned from Marty Schwartz: Don’t average losing trades. Be smaller than you need to be. Take profits.

You can’t be emotional. (Ex: lost a bunch of money going long right after 9/11)

Leave opinions at the door

85% of the time, they mark up market on day of opex. Going on for 25 years.

Trader’s fail because of gambler mentality, ie when they’re losing look for one trade to make it all back.

You are not a trader, you are a risk manager. Never stay in a losing trade because you think it will come back. Minimize the loss. Accept it and walk away. Worst thing a trader can do is freeze. Need to know how you will respond in any situation.

Scott Ramsey

Process: received a printer chart book every week, updated it every day for over 10 years. Made him pay attention to every market, every day.

Buy the rumor, sell the facts puts you on the other side of retail trading

Tries to imagine where the guy on the opposite side of the trade feels and where he’ll capitulate.

Learn a lot when markets have crisis events. Measuring which markets are the strongest during a crisis can tell you which are likley to lead when pressure is off. Always wants to buy stronger and sell weakest.

Only risks 10 bps of AUM on a typical trade but often out before even that is breached--Very quick to cut trades based on how quickly they go in his favor.

Might lose 10x on an idea but on the 11th it works and more than makes up for the losses. (Opposite of O’Shea, similar to Benedict)

Uses RSI a lot -- looks for divergences between RSI & price

One principile you can’t violate: Know what you can lose.

Trading on exchanges or the interbank market give you so many advantages (ie liquidity not at the whim of a dealer) that giving up those benefits not worth it. His style requires liquidity (being able to stop out at 10 bps)

You should always be swinging the bat - reduces position size in a drawdown

Keep a journal of your trades - if you make a mistake, write it down

Ex of shorting the weakest: when QE2 was implemented, Turkish lira couldn’t rally against USD -- meant it must be pretty bearish and would continue to weaken when QE2 ended. Waited for breakdown out of 2-year range to confirm.

Buying a laggard as a proxy for a leader is a bad idea.

Risk-on/risk-off framework broke down in mid-Sept 2011, when commodities diverged negatively from stocks

Jaffray Woodriff

As a CTA, started out using market-specific models but realized they broke down more because over-fitted to past data. Realized more data used to train models = better performance, switched to using same models across multiple markets.

Avoids trend-following or mean-reversion, the two main strategies for CTAs. Instead looks at things like volatility measure which are derived from price without any direct relationship to price direction.

He does not start by formulating a hypothesis and then test that to see if data supports-- blinding searches through data for emergent patterns

Trains models on fictitious (random) data with a certain distribution which provides a baseline -- then come up with models that do much better. Performance difference between real-data model and baseline indicative of performance, not the full performance of the model in training.

Out of sample results >50% of in-sample results indicative of a good model

Stationarity of patterns they’ve discovered surprises him. Takes a ton of deterioration for them to drop a model, because 1 year’s performance is simply not predictive of the next’s. Test it over 30+ years, so 3% provided by most recent year rarely meaningful

Capacity of a model is not statis, move around with changes in volume and vol

Core of their risk mgmt is evaluating risk of each market based on exponentially weighted moving avg of daily dollar range per contract. Target 12% annualized vol.

Key trading rule: Adjust position sizes to overall risk to target a particular vol

Multi-strat

*Ed Thorp

His key insight in blackjack was that while average edge was against the player, player could overcome this by varying bet size (ie betting big when edge is positive and small or not at all when it’s negative)

Picture blackjack probability problem as a 10-dimensional space where every card is 1/13 (except 10-values which pool to 4/13) and every possible deck is some point in that 10-dimensional space whose coordinates are determined by the fraction of each card value remaining in the deck)

With 4 aces out, edge goes to -2.5%. Implies with 4 extra aces, edge of +2.5%. Can’t have 4 extra aces, but can have half a deck with none of the aces out yet, where odds are the same as a full deck with 8 aces.

5s strategy provided higher probability bet, but went with 10s because it provided more opportunities (goes 5s, Aces, 10s, 6s in terms of influence)

“I just don’t scare. I am aware, and I avoid taking foolish risks”

Provable that complete-point-count system (high cards -1, low cards +1) is approximately the best possible system for equivalent simplicity

Don’t be more than you’re comfortable with. Take your time until you’re ready.

Historically, ideas don’t just appear in one place -- appear in several places at nearly the same time (Newton & Leibniz, Darwin & Wallace). This is due to technology

Beat The Market insight was that warrants with <2 years to maturity traded at premiums that were too high, so shorted warrant and bought stock. Initially on static hedge, later with dynamic delta hedging.

His option pricing model came out of deciding he could derive a formula if he assumes all investments grew at RFR.

Kelly Criterion for bet sizing: F= P(w) - [P(L)/W) where F=fraction of capital, W=dollars won per dollar wagered, P(W)=win prob, P(L)=lose prob. Aligns your bet with your edge (win rate - loss rate). KC also implicitly assumes there’s no minimum bet size which is simplifying. F (fraction of capital) is actually fraction of riskable/losable capital (ie less than 100% of capital if you can’t tolerate 100% drawdown) -- if you have $1m purse but can only tolerate $200k loss, KC perspective is your F is based off $200k. If you hedge and neutralize risk, KC may imply using leverage.

Half Kelly is psychologically better because you get 3/4 the return with 1/2 the vol (ie better Sharpe). Also prevents you from overbetting due to miscalculating -- negative impacts of overestimating trade size is 2x as large as negative impacts of underestimating correct trade size by same amount, so err smaller, esp if precise win/lose prob is not known (usually the case in trading).

60-day lookback is usually the best for measuring correlation between assets.

Degree of confidence is key in determining size of trade and also in deciding on how to risk manage (ie take your lumps or employ safety mechanism to limit drawdown)

*Jamie Mai

All trades are structured and implemented to be highly asymmetric and positive-skew

They love bull-bear battlegrounds -- while markets are good at estimating magnitude of contingent liability, they’re poor at evaluating outcomes probabilistically (eg, litigations, regulatory actions, anything else that creates perception of going concern risk)

Whenever a market is pointing at something and saying this is a risk to be concerned about, most of the time the risk ends up being not as bad as anticipated

Looks for cases with binary outcomes where the options market assigns normal probability distribution

Often, the longer the option’s duration, the lower the IV, which makes no sense. Ex: bought far OTM DJIA call as an inflation hedge with very low IV. Taking exposure on the RFR implicit in option pricing models

Another ex: selling vol on Brazilian interest rates where 6-month forward rate was >400 bps from current, implying rates staying similar to current over 6 months was a >4 stdev event. Structured trade around +200 bps strike which was cheap because it was far OTM based on forward rate.

Creative structuring: bespoke “worst of” option for shorting EUR while IV on Euro puts was high. Shorted “worst of” EUR/AUD and EUR/CHF which was cheaper but they expectd both to weaken. If one had expired OTM, option buyer would lose entire premium. Expected correlation between the two crosses is a key input. Their insight was that in a Euro crash, neg correlation between EUR/AUD and EUR/CHF would decouple and both would go down. Allowed them to get short at 1/10 the premium as % of notional as the straigh Euro puts.

Grantham places relative valuations in context of cycle--low-quality outperforms early, and high-quality toward the end.

Strategy called “cheap sigma” -- options prices dramatically understate potential price move of markets that trend. Options prices tend to be underpriced in smoothly trending markets. (Sounds similar to Woodriff who doesn’t bet on trends or on mean-reversion but on vol of prices around trends)

Options math works better over short intervals - options pricing assumes vol increases with the square root of time. Reasonable <1 year, but doesn’t scale properly beyond that. Ex: if 1-year stdev is 5%, 9-year stdev will be priced at 15% (sqrt(9)*5%) which is prob too low. This is because the longer the time, more potential for a trend and for price move to exceed stdev-implied probability.

Their trades combine: a mispricing that arises because standard market pricing assumptions are inappropriate for a given situation + asymmetric R/R profile.

Don’t have high level of conviction in an outcome, instead high conviction in that the odds were mispriced.

High conviction on an event path prices like a low-prob event is their Holy Grail. Subprime CDS was that. Got to the trend late which is typical for them because they like situations where there’s a compelling reason a trade should be working but the only counter-argument is that while it should work, it hasn’t yet.

Their view was that the GFC started on Feb 1, 2007 when ABX started tanking, more than a year before Bear failed. (This is also what Colm O’Shea observed before MMF liquidity dried up in Aug 2007 which showed banks weren’t comfortable lending to other banks)

Their model is to find experts in the domain to follow. “River guides”

Never go outright short a stock due to upside-down R/R. Buy OTM puts, but when rising IVs make that too expensive, shift to ITM to reduce time-value decay.

Require that the expected value of a trade (W * P(W)) >2x expected loss (L * P(L))

They use cash to target portfolio risk (50-80% typical), since the premia they pay put on a lot of risk relative to cash deployed.

Options prices being based on normal distribution implies what’s likeliest is prices near current -- this isn’t always true! If the odds of a large move in either direction are >stdev, OTM options are too cheap.

Optiond models ignore potential to trend and use only vol and time. Implicit assumption is that direction of daily price moves is random, which is not true.

*Michael Platt

Starts from the perspective of “what do I know for sure” -- one of the only things he could say with certainty is that markets trend. Observable in any market, in any era (ie timeless & universal, as Dalio would say)

Markets trend because rather than discounting all information and holding static until new information arises, people remember the past in bullet points and then use thoughts & feelings from the current moment to fill it in.

May initially trend for fundamental reasons, but prices overshoot ludicrously

Another thing you know is diversification works

Best systems degrade -- ways of making money in the market don’t last forever

Describes seeing LIBOR jump 10 bps in Aug 2007 and thought, “this just feels bad and scary” -- was a major signal to him because it happened  “for no reason at all”

He moved firm’s money in 2008 to 2-year Tsys to reduce exposure even to MMFs.

Trades that accounted for gains in 2009 were fading very big call/put skews, selling OTM options and buying ATM.

His firm (BlueCrest) is structured so every trader starts the year with a risk allocation, if they lose 3% their risk gets cut by 50%, and if they lose 3% of the remainder, they’re liquidated. Want people to scale down if they’re getting it wrong and scale up if getting it right. Rebases annually unless a trader carries over PnL (ie doesn’t get paid on a portion of what they made in a calendar year in order to start the next with more leeway). Effectively structures traders like they are options.

Risk management is the most important thing. Key thing his risk mgmt team monitors for is breakdowns in correlation. Most of their positions are spreads, so lower correlations are riskier. If two assets have a correlation of 0.95, can put on a large spread position with relatively small risk. If that correlation is 0.50, can be wiped out very quickly. 

Risk managers scan portfolios for vulnerabilities and ask traders, “if you were going to lose $10m, where would it come from?” Traders will typically known

Bias is neutral-to-long vol, great protection against all scenarios. Hates shorting OTM strikes.

For traders, he wants “people who know that anything can happen” -- as opposed to analysts, people are more prescriptive. Wants someone who understands an edge.

Market maker traders know the market is always right and you are wrong if you’re losing money for any reason at all. Know value is irrelevant in times of market stress, and in those times it’s all about positioning -- markets will trade against positions.

Key problem with analyst/economist types is ego - can never admit when they’re wrong

No tolerance for losses - kills you by impeding you psychologically, making you miss opportunity. 80% of profits from 20% of ideas, so tightening up at the wrong time can have big opportunity cost.

Looks at every trade in his book every day and asks if he’d enter it today at that price. Usually stops himself out of positions due to time, not price. If the trade isn’t working, alarm bells start ringing

Need 3 things to make money: 1) decent fundamental story, 2) good trend and 3) the market handling news the way you think it should. Bull markets ignore bad news, and any good news is reason for a rally. 

Ex: 2s10s steepener trade in 2009 where he kept seeing news that he thought meant he was going to get screwed, but position didn’t move against him. Realized curve could not get flatter no matter how bad the news, 4x’d his position and made a great trade.

Likes to know consensus view because you make the most when consensus shifts. Rather than ask people their position, asks people their position -- they are more willing to talk because they feel important.

“When I am wrong, the only instinct I have is to get out” -- want to be the first one to sell. In investment mgmt, you have an option to keep 20% of PnL, but want to own the serial option of being able to do that every year. Can’t blow up.

Equities

Steve Clark

Price is where anyone is prepared to deal, and it can be anything. Need to internalize that

Being inexperienced can be good because fear often cripples people who have been in the business too long. Too many fat tails damages people. You can’t afford blowups emotionally.

Used volume as a screen for what stocks to be looking at because clearly something is going on.

Can’t predict the future from past data - can talk about percentage probabilities of what might happen next, but can’t go any further

When you are trading over short to medium term, your views on the fundamentals are irrelevant - have to gauge what the market thinks of the story.

“Do more of what works and less of what doesn’t” -- dissect your PnL and see what works for you and what doesn’t

Favorite trades in risk arb were parents buying out subs because no due diligence issues and you knew deal would close.

He is very confident in his abilities -- holds the view that he can do anything he wants to.

There is no career in trading, you’re only as good as your last trade.

Enjoyed being a trader more than running a business, because you can’t walk away -- it’s a prison, while being a trader is very free.

You have to train yourself to trade within your emotional capacity

When a merger deal breaks, they cut right away because there is a pocket of liquidity, even if price lower. Price is irrelevant, it’s size that can kill you -- too big in an illiquid stock and there’s no way out

Being busy as a prop trader is important to get you away from the screen. If you have positions on and are waiting for the market to do what it needs to do, need to find something else to do in the interim. Staring at the screen won’t tell you much, you’ll start to overprocess and overtrade. You’ll be less patient and start feeling pain with every tick against you.

Need to be willing to call people to hound them for information, and “ask the next question” -- can infer a lot that way

Nearly all successful traders he’s known have been one-trick ponies -- do one thing very well, and if they stray it’s a disaster.

In 2007-2008, got out of everything directional or long-dated and put all risk into short duration risk arb (wide spreads due to liquidity crunch and high likelihood to close). Only risk he could see to that strategy was brokers changing margin requirements, which would only happen with major market distress, so he bought OTM puts / sold OTM calls on SPX to hedge.

When vol quadrupled in 2008, he decided the world had changed and they need to trade a fraction of before. Most people didn’t do that and got blown up. Doesn’t believe in cutting exposure gradually, cut drastically. Gut feel is important.

Trading rules he lives by: “If you wake up thinking about a position, it’s too big”, “never stop asking questions, speak to as many people as you can, research every opposing opinion.” If a position starts acting in a way you don’t understand, you need to cut it because the market is telling you you don’t know what’s going on.

The market is not about facts, it’s about people’s opinions and positions. “Anything can be at any price, any time.”

When trading poorly, he liquidates everything and takes a vacation -- helps you regain objectivity.

Martin Taylor

Describes being super bearish on Russia in 1997 but the reason it didn’t blow up until Aug 1998 is because the money pulled out of Asia due to the crisis there went to Eastern Europe and Latin America and created big bull markets there. 

Officially, Russia was running a current account surplus, so it seemed diff from Asia (which was a CA deficit issue when countries couldn’t service debt). True measure of balance of payments is what happens to reserves -- even though Russia supposedly had large CA surplus and capital inflows, reserves were going down, not up. Knew reserves numbers were truthful because central bank couldn’t lie without getting found out quickly (by comparing to other CBs). What was happening was exports were hugely overstated in cash terms. Yeltsin government inept and theft of company asset rampant. Money from exports was being diverted into Swiss accounts and never making its way back to Russia. $100m of goods would be sold, would be booked as $50m, missing $50m would go to a Swiss bank account, and $40m of the $50m booked as revenue would be booked as a receivable and also go into that Swiss bank account. So you’d end up with only $10m cash inflow on $100m of goods leaving the country. Simple capital flight.

Money fleeing Asia flowed into Russian market due to post-Communist “miracle” story. First crack was a rumor in Oct 1997 that Yeltsin was in failing health and market dropped 23% in a session. Rebounded 30% the next day as Yeltsin gov’t denied and people rushed in for the buying opportunity. But a sudden break emotionally reminds people they can lose money, and they started studying the fundamentals more closely, which he already knew were bad. Was then -50% by Feb. He doubled down on bearish positioning, and market ultimately declined another 88% from there. Ultimate catalyst was a $25B bond sale done by GS in summer 1998 that should have doubled foreign reserves but only added $3B -- became obvious money was going elsewhere.

Int’l funds were long GKOs because the rates were ridiculously good, but they were so good because nobody domestic wanted to buy. In an EM, the smart money is domestic, not international.

Buying low beta stocks instead of cash is a mistake - market -40% means your stocks -20%, market +50% your stocks +10% = negative asymmetry. For the same reason, EM bonds are inherently unattractive. Structures his portfolio as high-beta stocks balanced by cash or shorts.

He looks for favorable macro situation, a secular trend and good company management.

Ex: As a result of the collapse in 1998, Russian balance of payments picture changed dramatically -->  80% ruble devaluation led to a surge in foreign reserve, “liquefaction” of economy and end of nonpayments culture, meaning workers started getting paid real money and there was a massive increase in purchasing power for middle class, drove a strong secular trend. He saw mobile phone penetration increasing 25% pa and mobile carriers with good mgmt teams, so he owned the Russian mobile carriers from 1999-2005.

Always tells new investors they will lose money with him at various points in the year and it will be unpleasant. Considers it a crucial “health warning”

Net exposure ranges 20-110%. Holds net long positioning even when bearish because he thinks if you’re trading volatile instruments, can never get totally out because you’ll never get in on a reversal. When the market is so bad that you think it’s obvious you should be net short, that’s usually when it’s all in the price and you should be buying. Maintaining 20% exposure helped them avoid getting whipsawed (3 15-20% rallies in 4Q08 alone, all followed by new lows)

Running OPM, can’t take extreme positions and maintain his mental equilibrium. 

Targets upside capture of 70-80% and downside capture of 30-40%

“Tyranny” of HF monthly returns -- comes from FOFs whose clients receive monthly data

Forecast earnings for every company they follow for 3-4 years out, then invest in the ones cheap vs. sector where they have earnings > consensus. Catalyst should be earnings surprise

He was super long AAPL despite the move because it was still cheap on his estimates. Anecdote about RIMM PlayBook which they rushed to market to compete with iPad but without ability to do email on it despite being for corporate market. Predicted RIMM would be bust in 3-4 years.

Bad companies in EM are always at risk of being taken over, because EM is full of sectors where multi-nationals want exposure and their only option is a bad company because regulators won’t let them buy the good one, instead they approve purchase of the bad one because it’s saving jobs.

As such, they focus on shorting bad companies that can’t be taken over because they’re owned by gov’t or their own pension fund -- means it will never be sold because the workers are afraid of layoffs. In EM, that’s ~1/3 of companies owned that way.

His estimates often differ from consensus because he sees a new trend while they are extrapolating history.

If he’s bullish on a stock without a full position and sees a breakout on the chart, will go to full position because market is now seeing same thing he is. Charts are supplemental.

Only time he will initiate a trade based on chart is if a company is extremely oversold, like 3-year low on RSI. Usually means whatever is killing it is in the price. Doesn’t believe RSI works for overbought because stocks can stay overbought for a long time, whereas oversold is usually something pretty acute that resolves in a few weeks.

Gut feel is crucial -- understanding if something isn’t “acting right” is a sign to recheck your work.

Have to be an expert in what you invest in. Need to understand what you invest in. If you don’t understand why you’re in a trade, won’t understand when the right time to sell is.

Post-GFC, volumes took a long time to recover to pre-crisis levels

He had to return outside money in mid-2010 because his confidence was shaken from post-GFC. Only that allowed him to return to his former style.

*Tom Claugus

Obsessed with financial independence from a young age -- attributes to his dad being a product of the Depression, scared to death of being poor and managing to transfer that insecurity to him.

When he went to college, his dad told him he was going to feel like he was going to prison. “You can go out Friday night or Saturday night, but you can’t go out both, or else you won’t get ahead”

Adheres to a discipline of living on 1/3 of his income + 3% of NW (1/3 of ~10% pa target return) and investing the remainder.

Grossing up in a crash -- went into 1987 crash very net short, bought high quality longs that day to raise his net rather than covering shorts, since he was short low quality stocks and saw no need to cover.

Super interesting life story where he was on track to be CEO of Rohm & Haas in Philadelphia but making more money investing than at his job. Hit $1.6m in NW, realized he could live on 3% of that ($48k) and economic necessity to work completely disappeared. Launched a fund, but OPM responsibility weighed on him, closed quickly and almost went back to work.

Can only manage OPM with complete dedication -- “If I am 100% dedicated to managing your money, and I lose you money, I can look you in the eye and say, ‘I did my best,’ and I could be okay with that”

He thinks in terms of reversion-to-mean. Manages exposures relative to a best-fit regressions line for log of prices from 1932-present and calculates a 95% confidence interval (used to be 90% but that failed in 1999) -- output is two lines parallel to best-fit line that encompass 95% of all the months. At lower band, exposure will be 130/-20; at mid 100/-50 (want to be net long at midpoint because of secular uptrend in equities), at high end, 20/-90. Do this for SPX, Nasdaq and Russell 2k and derive a composite target exposure based on those.

Spend 90% of their time figuring out why a sector or stock is expensive or cheap, and what is going to change that. 

Looks for anomalies -- screens for quarterly earnings +50%+ or -30%+ and tries to understand why.

Ex: Rock Tenn earnings up huge recently. Paper co, had been cheap for 4-5 years, mediocre business, looking for a reason to buy but never found anything. Ultimately, industry growth reduced capacity because no new supply and industry consolidated. Ultimately there was an inflection point in favor of suppliers.

Considers +/-7% a normal range of monthly outcomes for his fund -- where they’ve been 90% of all months. Being < -7% and not knowing why is a major red flag. Doesn’t do much proactive risk mgmt. Losing money on longs is diff from on shorts for him

“Evel Knievel short screen” -- companies trying to jump the Grand Canyon that prob won’t make it, his job is to figure out why they won’t make it. Two criteria: FCF burn & >5x BV. Normally ~60 companies, in 1999 it was 180 and 2/3 of them had 2x’d in price in the last quarter.

When market sells off really hard, it’s usually a liquidity issue -- no place to hide in a liquidity sell-off, people sell everything because they have to, not because they want to. Reverse rarely happens on the long side. 

Shorts are actually easier to find than longs -- easier to spot a broken company than a good company, easier to identify bad mgmt than good mgmt.

Track basic indicators to get a feel for economy. Rail traffic & truck traffic tell you whether there’s expansion or contraction. Load factors on airplanes. RevPAR. Construction & housing starts.

He was bullish airlines -- believed airlines’ lack of profitability went back to regulated days, because pricing umbrella encouraged inefficiency in cost structure. Deregulated made legacy carriers compete with newcomers (Southwest) with lower cost structures. Ultimately, all but AA went bankrupt and rx’d costs. And industry mergers have consolidated down to major 3 players.

Describes his process as trying to find oil companies whose price reflects only current production without accounting for ongoing exploration with potential to increase future production. IE, free optionality. People who use fundamental screens (P/FCF) do not see the future revenue in those statistics. AAPL was recently priced at value of existing products without potential for new ones despite a record of consistent innovation. Can also work for asset values -- Paramount Resources which identifies land with potential for O&G exploration and sells it when the area becomes discovered by E&Ps drilling exploratory wells. Numbers never reflect that value because they are not developing it themselves.

Often finds market won’t pay anything for production potential >1 year away

General principle is future revenue generation that can be “reasonably anticipated” but is not reflected in current market price

Joe Vidich

Described by an acquaintances as "an intellectual who was always a trader” -- combined longer-term investment themes with reading of market sentiment in indiv names

Begins by formulating a big picture of the economy & stock market. Looks for themes that drives him to sectors or subsectors. Does fundamental analysis and observes trading activity to select best stocks in those sectors.

Timing in entering and exiting is heavily influenced by assessment of sentiment, which is mostly price action relative to events.

Feels he has most skill on trading from short side due to years as market maker -- if retail order flow long-biases, market maker by definition trades from short side, and is constantly trading out of a short position for every buy order he fills.

Paints as a way to relax

It is always preferable to do your own works and get your own info because then you will have more confidence. If you listen to someone to get into a trade and it goes against you, have to listen to that person again to get out.

A good growth stock is always overvalued and a lousy company is always undervalued. Until you get a turn where market recognizes improvement in business model, a value stock will always be undervalued.

Had a good year in 2008 by realizing banks were heavily leveraged to MBS even though he didn’t understand the securities. Had seen it all before -- a number of big banks went to zero in S&L crisis with insiders buying on the way down.

In 2009, went looking for best business models and balance sheets ot buy -- stocks with lowest financial risk, no need to refi debt and able to ride out a prolonged, deep recession. Ex: no-debt retailers with lots of cash (Gap at $11 with $5/sh in cash and $1/sh of earnings); Shaw at $18 with $12/sh in cash

In a bull market, prices open lower and then go up rest of the day. In a bear market, open higher and fade rest of day. Toward end of a bull market, prices start opening higher

If there is bearish news before the open and market does not trade down much during first hour, indicates smart money is not selling and it’s a buyable dip.

Market sentiment (stock moves) > public sentiment (what CNBC says). How the market responds to external events is extremely important.

Determines where stops are and places buy orders half-point below where they believe that is.

Every stock has its own risk profile. Some stocks can go -50% without it really meaning anything, whereas with KO you should be reevaluating if it moves 5% against you.

“Don’t ever consider yourself right” Begins by selling 20% of a position if it’s on the way down because that way he can feel like he was right either way.

Often best to liquidate entire positions. Harvesting losses forces you to revisit the trade. If you’re in it, you’re always defending it. Liquidating forces you to reevaluate it relative to other opportunities.

To be successful, must be willing to change your opinion. Most people aren’t. Have to be humble about your ideas. 

Most people are more afraid of making money than losing money -- sell a stock that’s +20% but not one -20%, because it would confirm they were wrong.

Big diff between informed sentiment (CEOs) and investor sentiment, which is usually what you want to bet against over the long term.

Considers charts extremely important. One of the best patterns is a sideways stock for a long time that has a sudden sharp upmove on large volume. Wake-up call that you need to take a look.

Critical risk controls are being diversified and cutting exposure when you don’t understand what markets are doing and why you are wrong.

Even if you are wrong to harvest a loss, it cleans the slate which is therapeutic and valuable. Getting out sometimes right before a stock turns is the price you pay to keep your losses under control.

“Don’t try to be 100% right”

“Limit your size in any position so that fear does not become the prevailing instinct guiding your judgement”

Kevin Daly

Regular reading he finds helpful (beyond the obvious): Wall Street Transcript, Dick Davis Investment Digest, Grant’s IRO, VII, Santangel’s Review, Form4Oracle, VIC, SumZero, Vickers Stock Research

Finds reading sellside initiations a valuable first step when researching an idea because of the industry comparisons and background on the company. Found IAA (then IAAI) this way when reading a CPRT report.

Holds a stock “as long as the share price doesn’t get too far ahead of a company’s intrinsic value”

Exposure is usually 30-90% long and 10% short.

Esoteric economic data point he watches is weekly rail car loadings.

Stays as unemotional as possible when things go against him

Jimmy Balodimas

Trades against trend (short ~75% of the time career in aggregate). Always takes money off the table when it’s in his favor - “always always always”

Doesn’t let himself panic, even if he does’t know what’s going on, won’t exit something going against him until he finds out what’s going on and can make a decision, rather than responding out of emotion.

Used to be that intraday trading was more volatile and gave him more opportunities to take chips off when in his favor. Last 5-8 years (prior to 2012) that changed with higher HF participation, they’re now the main players intraday and there are far fewer pullbacks, trends in indiv stocks are smoother. This is why the 2 years from April 2009-March 2011 have devastated shorts much more than any other period (including the Internt bubble), because no opportunities to get out.

Never afraid of missing anything -- market is always providing opportunities. All he thinks about is making money, not being right.

Divides stocks into those he’s looking to buy and short, and then recognizes a pattern in those where there’s a possibility for an accelerated move in a short period of time -- chart, group

People who run most of the money on Wall Street are never going to put their necks out there -- waiting for the trend to be intact and to catch middle part of the move

Joel Greenblatt

Magic Formula: combined rank of earnings yield (EBIT/EV) and ROTC (EBIT / Tangible Capital Employed or NWC+PPE). Basically systematizes Buffett’s cheap+good methodology. 

magicformulainvesting.com

First job on Wall Street was trading options at Bear Stearns, doing risk arbs when forward conversions (long stock + synthetic short of short call/long put at same strike/expiry) returns 18-19% annualized.

Did risk arb on the buyside but negative asymmetry of merger arb turned him off. Instead, attracted to periphery with weird deals or interesting paper being issues. Situations the typical analyst was not equipped to evaluate. Reading the 400-page document he knew no one else was reading.

Example of an early trade was MAR spin of HST. Marriott got caught owning owning hotel properties in early-90s hotel downdraft, Spun those out with the debt into Host Marriott and kept the good (franchise) business, Marriott Int’l. Host was “toxic waste” and heavily leveraged, out of favor. Knew institutions would sell because it was only 10-15% the size of original, too small to hold, diffrent business, looked ugly. He found insiders including the Marriott family kept a big stake and the guy who planned the spin-off was going with HST -- told him HST wasn’t structured to fail. Equity was $3-5/sh with $20-25/sh of debt -- so a 15% improvement in EV 2x’s the stock

Early 90′s trade on WFC where it was trading for $80 and CA was going through a RE recession. Binary outcome in a year, stock was either worth $150+ or $0. Used 2-year LEAPS to turn a 1:1 R/R trade into 5:1

Value approach is very hard to follow -- that’s why it works. Need to have a ton of confidence in it or you won’t be able to follow it.

Gotham just built a database of 4000 US + foreign stocks where they have sourced the historical cash flow and balance sheets themselves. No forward estimates.

By definition, a market cap-weighted index owns too much of overpriced stocks and too little of bargain-price stocks. Comping to equal-weighted index can show you whether that’s costing you performance. Historically over last 40 years that’s been 2%pa. EW index does have more txn costs.

Lesser-followed companies more likely to be misvalued, either under or over. Doesn’t believe there’s a directional bias on that on average.

If you can’t value a business, you have no basis on which to invest.

Investors avoid owning the stocks that are painful to own and thereby miss some of the biggest winners. Observed this empirically from self-managed accounts using their Magic Formula website--letting investors make their own decisions about which of the stocks to own destroyed all of the outperformance.

Believes vol is widely used as a risk metric because it’s easy to measure, not because it’s a useful gauge of risk.

Diff between investors who succeed and don’t is how they think about the market. Everyone bombarded with price movements and news, successful ones build a process for cutting through that.

“no called strikes” mentality

Always assumes minimum bogey is 6%, even if interest rates are near 0. Compares normalized earnings (yield) to higher of RFR or 6%. 

Presumably normalized earnings means “owner earnings” in the WEB sense.

Time horizons for investment performance have shortened. Institutions increasingly likely to redeem from managers who have a bad year or two. This means most managers can’t wait for two years for an investment to work. That’s why companies that are not expected to do well in the next 1-2 years or are subject to near-term uncertainty are systematically underpriced.

Study of managers from 2000-2009 showed 97% of top-quartile managers spent at least 3 years in bottom half; 79% spend 3+ years in the bottom quartile, and ~50% of them spent 3 years in the bottom decile. Probably just as difficult to pick a good manager as it is to pick a good stock.

He is super involved in education reform, charter schools -- believes capitalism works better when everyone has a fair chance and education gives you the most bang for your buck for achieving that goal.

You are setting yourself up for failure if you invest differently than you want in order to place investors.

Manage your PA if you can -- nothing like doing it and learning what it’s like when you lose money and what your emotions are when doing well and not well.

Studying ROIC is key for keeping you out of value traps (not sure I agree with this)

[mikariazure]

http://miliblue.carrd.co http://twitter.com/miliazure http://app.roll20.net/users/5710223/mili

This is a homebrew adventure full of inprov scenes and random fun so the plot has changed over time as new ideas come and new characters are added. These are two versions of it, one that I made originally just to detail a series of events that corresponded to the characters’ background stories and another that I turned into a homebrew campaign where my characters are NPCs offering clues, quests and items and the main adventures falls to a group of unnamed adventurers. The geography of the land also changed a bit with each draft until I decided to keep everything in the same general area. If you want to play my homebrew when I DM it without spoilers, this is your chance to stop reading.

Homebrew Timeline Many years ago, a group of good Dragonborn monks sealed an evil dragon underground in a secluded island. One of them volunteered to stay behind frozen in time, only to awaken if he needed to defend the seal from intruders. Starlight Kingdom was located in a small island, secluded from the rest of the world. The vast majority of the population and the royal family were humans, but there were also a few elves and half-elves. An elf was chosen at birth to serve as the caretaker of the magical archives and tasked with dedicating her life to studying magic. The shrine maiden died of old age and a new elven shrine maiden was selected, Azure. Though she had no claim to the throne, she was given the family name of the royals, Starlight, to show their connection to the kingdom’s magic. The evil elven sorcerer Blanc Noir reached Starlight island and casted a spell to make the island invisible. This caused ships to become disoriented and travel to be almost non-existent. Blanc Noir and the human wizard Cerise, had twin boys. Blanc choose one as his heir and partner in crime and abandoned the other, deeming him to have insufficient magical potential. The captain of the royal guard, sir Larry Lavender found a half-elf baby abandoned in the forest and adopted him as his son, Lore Lavender. Blanc Noir kidnapped young prince Crimson Starlight IV. Tabaxi adventurer Lilac and her young daughter, Cyna, accidentally ran their boat into the shores of Starlight Island. The citizens of Starlight were suspicious of Lilac. To earn their trust, and because this was in her line of work, Lilac left her daughter in town and set out to help rescue the young prince. Lilac and Larry, teamed up with a few others and rescued prince Crimson. However, Lilac was mortally wounded protecting the prince. With her dying breath, she asked that her daughter be taken care of. In gratitude for the safe return of his only son, King Crimson Starlight III adopted Cyna as his daughter. Azure Starlight became tired of her life of studies and isolation. Princess Cyna, who missed the life of adventure of her childhood, helped Azure escape from the archives and leave the island. Azure arrived in a neighboring continent and started looking for work as an adventurer. She teamed up with another adventurer called Genesis and continued to travel with him ever since. The Tenshi Knights met the genasi seer, Rose Pyro, who told them of an island that disappeared years ago. She sensed that a great evil was on the island, but was unable to perceive any further details. She gave them precise directions to reach the island that they would not see until they set foot on its shores. Tenshi Knight Turquoise and his daughter, Indigo, who were in training, teamed up with Larry, Lore and a few others to defeat Blanc Noir. Blanc knew he couldn’t win, so he retreated in a weakened state. The Tenshi Knights left Starlight Island, which was visible and ready to reconnect with the rest of the world. After that mission, Indigo became an official Tenshi Knight and began her own journey, able to take on missions on her own. The human wizard Cerise, poisoned Sapphire lake, to exterminate the triton living in it and take over the magical artifacts they collected. Most of them survived, but had a slow recovery, unable to stop Cerise from taking their treasures. Aquamarine was away from Sapphire Lake during Cerise’s attack. When she returned from her trip she was shocked to find out about the attack. Cerise stole her family’s treasured Bowl of Commanding Water Elemental, which Aquamarine was determined to get back. At Starlight, Blanc’s son, Void Noir, pretended to be Lore while the real Lore was off on a trip, but Larry realized that wasn’t his son. Before Larry could inquire further, Void managed to kill him, but not without a witness. Lore returned home to find his father at the verge of death with the look alike murderer before him. Lore tried to stop him, but Void escaped. Void’s existence was a secret, so everyone thought Lore was guilty, since he was the only one anyone thought they saw going in and out of his father’s house. Declared a traitor and murderer, Lore realized that Void had fled the island and went on a quest to find him, traveling under the alias of Mythos. Princess Cyna believed in Lore’s innocence and after the king declared him a wanted criminal, she had enough of the life she was never truly comfortable with. Cyna left Starlight, but she occasionally wrote to her brother, who had also disagreed with his father’s decision against Lore. The king contacted the Tenshi Knights and Indigo took on the mission of investigating Lore’s whereabouts. Blanc Noir began to take over the Emerald Forest, trying to make it his next base of operations, like Starlight Island had been in the past. Cyna wrote to Crimson about a delicious dessert made with fruits from the Emerald Forest, which got him curious about it. The people of a small human town called Lost Edge, located just outside of Emerald Forest, said the centaur came out to trade for weapons, which was very unusual, but it gave them access to fruits of the forest. After Starlight was freed, they became traders, being an ideal point in the middle of a long stretch of ocean for ships to stop. Due to the increasing maritime commerce, many exotic products could be found at the Starlight markets. Prince Crimson left Starlight Island on a diplomatic mission to establish a trading contract with the rulers of the Emerald Forest. The centaur of the Emerald Forest were very territorial and didn't like establishing trade, but Crimson was adamant in taking any opportunity that could be good for the Starlight Kingdom. The prince ignored the warnings from the people of Lost Edge about getting lost in the forest. He became separated from his guards and though the guards managed to make it back to town in a disoriented state, thanks to some help from a mysterious centaur, the prince was missing. King Crimson fell ill during his son’s absence and the nobles began to fight over who would inherit the throne. Word reached Cyna about her brother’s disappearance and the king’s condition, so she began to search for the prince. During her travels, she found Azure and asked her to temporarily return to Starlight and reclaim her position as shrine maiden to help stabilize the kingdom. Cyna revealed that she took responsibility for Azure’s departure and to save face, the royal family had kept it a secret. The nobles thought the shrine maiden had retreated deep into the magic archives to study for the benefit of the kingdom. Indigo found Mythos and sensed no evil in him, thus promised to help find the mysterious evil twin. They met up with Cyna and learned about the missing prince. Indigo, Mythos and Cyna ventured into the forest and become disoriented. They were attacked by dangerous plant monsters, until they were found and guided out by a centaur called Vermilion, who had also helped the guards before. Vermilion explained that his people didn’t usually accept help from outsiders and generally kept to themselves, but were up against an enemy of great magical power, the elven sorcerer Blanc Noir and human wizard Cerise. While Cyna, Indigo, Mythos and Vermilion prepared to venture back into the forest, a strange light overtook the forest. Upon investigating, they found runes had been carved into the trees surrounding the outer forest, encircling the center. They discovered Cerise casting a strange spell on the forest. Indigo, Cyna, Mythos and Vermilion teamed up to defeat Cerise. After she was defeated, her magic dissipated from the Emerald Forest, but it was too late. Upon examining the forest, they found several of its deceased inhabitants, reanimated as undead monsters. After getting past the undead and making their way to the center of the forest, they found some suspicious magic scrolls that were not able to decipher, but no signs of the prince. The surviving centaurs rebuilt their village and Vermilion decided to continue traveling with the group until Blanc was defeated. Cyna suggested going to Starlight to ask Azure if she could get any clues from the scrolls. Blanc was clearly gone and was unlikely to return, since he had clearly gotten what he wanted from the Emerald Forest. Aquamarine arrived at Starlight Island, following rumors that a man on a ship had used what could be her heirloom. She hoped to collect information, since so many ships stopped there and rumors from across the globe reached the island. A nobleman was drowned by a water elemental. While Azure investigated the happenings, she met Aquamarine and learned her story. Rose Pyro arrived at Starlight requesting an audience with the shrine maiden in the name of the Tenshi Knights. Though she was not a Tenshi Knight, she knew the name of the Tenshi would be the fastest way to get an audience. She had finally been able to decipher the prophecy that took the Tenshi to Starlight long ago. A dragon was slumbering sealed beneath Starlight Island, waiting to wake up and devour the kingdom. Azure, Aquamarine and Rose went to Blanc’s old hideout and found a secret passage thanks to Rose’s predictions. Underground they found a frozen Dragonborn encased in an icy crystal. The ice melted away and the Dragonborn attacked. After fighting him, he began to regain his senses and Rose realized he was trying to prevent the evil dragon from being woken up. They assured him that was not their intention and advised by Rose, laid down their weapons. Upon investigating the caverns further, the Dragonborn, Silver, realized that someone had already gone past him without waking him thus if the dragon still slept, it was left that way on purpose. Silver couldn’t explain how someone got past him, but knew it was no one in present company, since they were unable to get by without detection this time. They wondered why the dragon wasn’t awake if Blanc Noir possibly made it through before. The water elemental attacked and began to flood the caverns. Azure, Aquamarine, Rose and Silver tried to locate the source. Aquamarine went underwater to attack Void, and try to make him lose control over the elemental. Silver, Azure and Rose took the chance to catch up and attack Void, who retreated and got away. Aquamarine had recovered her heirloom but decided to stay and help her new friends. After Void was gone, the group continued to explore the caverns and found many previously magical artifacts drained of their power next to the dragon. The cave floor was filled with strange runes and a dome of energy surrounded the large red dragon in the center. When the group tried to approach they were teleported unto a trap. They discovered some runes that could focus energy and used them to have Azure receive energy from Rose, Silver and Aquamarine, for a teleportation spell strong enough to escape. That explained the drained artifacts and how Blanc got past Silver. Azure mentions she might not have figured it out without the knowledge of the outside world. Cyna, Indigo, Mythos and Vermilion returned to Starlight. Mythos, who was reluctant to return, went into hiding while Cyna and Indigo sorted things out. Cyna, Indigo and Vermilion met up with Azure, Aquamarine, Rose and Silver. Azure was able to interpret the scrolls and found that the magical energy from the artifacts the centaur kept was drained out of them and absorbed into something or someone else. Cyna told the king they found Crimson and he stayed behind doing business protected by the Tenshi. In a separate audience, Indigo told the king that she believed in Lore’s innocence and they were working on finding the real culprit. The king passed away that night and Cyna announced to the nobles that Crimson was on his way home. Mythos tracked down Void and challenged him. The battle caught the attention of Tenshi Turquoise, who had recently arrived at Starlight and chosen to keep his presence a secret. Though he just barely made it, Mythos managed to defeat Void and Turquoise captured him. Void was taken captive and interrogated. They found out that Blanc was already somewhere on the island and he had prince Crimson captive. They also learned the truth about Lore’s origin and his parents, Blanc and Cerise, but kept it a secret from the rest of the kingdom. Silver returned to guard the red dragon. Rose said she was unable to see the future, as her predictions came at random. Void escaped from prison and used his necromancy that he claimed to have learned from Cerise, to raise a zombie army, but overdid it and his life was consumed by the intensity of the spell. The royal guards scattered overwhelmed by the zombies, but Turquoise, got them organized to protect the kingdom. A mysterious masked bard joined the fight on the side of the zombies. Indigo, Mythos, Vermilion and Rose went to check on Silver and he met them half way. The Dragonborn had left the cave to announce that the red dragon within the energy dome disappeared and he had a bad feeling about it. Azure, Cyna, Aquamarine encountered the mysterious bard and fought him. Cyna recognized him as Crimson and the rest of the group met up with them. After tiring him out, they were finally able to destroy the mask used to amplify his power and control him. Crimson was saved, plus Turquoise and the royal guards were getting the zombies under control, but they still didn’t understand what happened with the dragon. Blanc Noir finally revealed himself. It was Blanc’s plan all along was to fuse with the dragon to obtain his power, a process that was very slow and required a lot of magical energy to accomplish it and survive. While Turquoise and Crimson protected the Starlight Kingdom alongside the royal guards, Cyna, Mythos, Indigo, Azure, Silver, Rose, Vermilion and Aquamarine faced the final battle against Blanc Noir.

Homebrew Adventures Characters are introduced, make notes about their background. Level (1). The adventurers are looking for work and learn about the genasi seer, Rose Pyro. She reads their fortunes and gives them specific directions to Starlight Island. The group must choose a ship to travel on between merchants, fishermen or pirates. The merchants are attacked by pirates and a sea monster, the pirates betray the adventurers and the fishing boat almost sinks because of a sea monster. The adventurers get 100 gold each from the merchants for helping them. They also level up (2). Upon reaching Starlight, people are suspicious of them and the group learns about the island and Blanc Noir. They can also buy supplies. The royal guards take the adventurers to Azure and Cerise. If they resist they must fight the guards, Cerise and Azure. If they go with the guards Cerise explains more about Starlight’s traditions of the royal family and shrine maiden. Then she tests the adventurers by sending them on a dream adventure. The adventurers are transported to an illusion of Starlight’s past. The queen is killed and the prince is kidnapped. They meet young Cyna in town and Lilac has gone to save the prince. The adventurers must get through the traps in Blanc Noir’s hideout in time to save Crimson. Arrow corridors, slippery stairs, trap bridge, monster den, if they take too long they fail, but if they hurry, they see Lilac die protecting the prince and take the prince outside. The illusion is so real they somehow level up (3). If they succeed Azure gives them a choice between: Tome of Clear Thought (Int +2) Tome of Understanding (Wis +2) T of Leadership & Influence (Cha +2) Manual of Bodily Health (Con +2) Manual of Gainful Exercise (Str +2) M of Quickness of Action (Dex +2) Cerise storms off and Azure talks to the adventurers a bit more. They can’t get the benefits of the book yet. Indigo arrives and tells them she represents the Tenshi Knights and is here following Rose’s prediction about an invisible island containing a great evil. Cerise says Blanc is gone and his hideout is abandoned but Indigo insist on investigating. They go through the same hideout but the traps have been rearmed with a spear corridor, poison gas stairs, lava bridge and a stronger monster den. A masked figure challenges the group. Indigo says she senses a greater evil deeper in and tells the group to move forward while she fights the masked figure. The group fights Cerise, defeats her and levels up (4). Indigo caches up and says the so called servant was the real Blanc, who teleported away. They report to the king, who rewards them with 1000 gold. Indigo says she senses something on the island but can’t quite figure out what’s going on. The king is feeling unsure and requests that Indigo stay in the palace. They can also stop for supplies. Mythos is accused of killing Sir Lavender and the adventurers must investigate. There’s a chase through town with obstacles in the city. They finally see the twin and follow him into a haunted house. They chase him, fight ghosts and find Mythos and Void together. Void and the ghosts are defeated. They level up (5) and obtain the Oathbow. The king is growing restless and insist Indigo stay at the palace. Cyna asks the adventurers to consult with the centaur. When they go to the Emerald Forest they find it full of zombies and must make their way to the center. They help the centaur and Vermilion gives them the Cloak of the Mantaray and they level up (6). He tells them the triton know a lot of old legends. At Sapphire Lake Aquamarine tells them about the Dragonborn atop the mountain and gives them the Pearl of Power. She says that the water of Sapphire Lake will awaken the mountain guardian. At Lightning Mountain they must pass through narrow paths, an unstable bridge and climb. The top has a lot of lightning strikes and a petrified Dragonborn. Using the water on him wakes him up. Silver tells them about the Dragonborn monks and the sealed dragons. He gives them the Staff of Thunder and Lightning. Blanc Noir attacks and the city is filled with zombies and ghosts. He appears riding the red dragon. Indigo leads Azure, Mythos, Cyna and Silver to protect the island while the adventurers fight Blanc. They level up (7). Indigo will continue her travels as a Tenshi Knight. Azure wants to see the outside world and make friends. Cyna wants to be an adventurer. Mythos wants a vacation. Silver wants a nap. The king and prince reward the group with 2000 gold and the Helm of Brilliance.

[surveys-at-your-service]

Survey #98

“white trash, get down on your knees.”

have you ever lied to a person of authority? what did you say? i mean, i've lied to my parents. and i don't know, multiple things that don't immediately come to my head. are your eyebrows darker than your hair? yeah. what do you prefer, lasagna or spaghetti and meatballs? spaghetti w/ meatballs. i don't like lasagna because of the cheese. are all your pets micro chipped? no, but they have tags. would you ever cope in a jail? NO. i would be depressed out of my SENSES. have you ever seen an alligator in person? in zoos as well as the wild. when hurricane floyd like ruined everything, the zoo flooded and was essentially destroyed. apparently, an alligator got out, because i saw one in the ditch once shortly after the hurricane. that zoo was never rebuilt. do you live across from a corn field? no, but i once lived across from a tobacco field. welcome to nc. how long have you been tattooed? if you’re not, do you want to get tattooed?  i got my first for my 18th birthday, so a few years. are you a liberal?  not mostly, but i have some liberal traits, ex. i support gay marriage. were you fearless or a coward in the face of the child hunter in "chitty chitty bang bang?" i'm pretty sure he scared me. i don't remember much about the movie. did you ever hit anything while learning to drive?  i literally almost immediately hit a curb lol. jeff foxworthy, bill engvall, ron white, or larry the cable guy? i enjoy them all, but jeff's gotta top the list. have you or a pet ever gotten a tapeworm? no. i would rather die than get one. i am deathly afraid of internal parasites. do you know any furries? yes. i once lived with two of 'em. do you ever worry about your future? (i.e.: college, marriage, kids, etc)  yes. more than anything, i worry about what my job situation is going to be like. do you snore? steal the covers? roll around in your sleep? I STEAL THE FUCK OUT OF COVERS is the lion the best character in "the wizard of oz?"  i actually like the scarecrow. would you immediately look for someone right after you broke up with your bf/gf? no. it just doesn't seem... right. if you became a doctor, would you help your patients kill themselves? no. just. no. do you tell your best friend EVERYTHING? no. do you have someone who you can be your complete self around? only sara and connie. have you ever tried to learn another language? how did it go? i took four years of german, and i got to the point where i was pretty fluent. it's atrophied all to hell though. have you ever shared a house with a significant other? an apartment, yes. do you have a crush on anyone? tell me about them. i'm dating whom i have a crush on. have you ever had something signed by someone famous? what and who? no. i think. does your father have any facial hair? he has a van dyke beard/mustache. have you ever felt like you were making a mistake when dating someone? oh boy, have i. did you continue the relationship or end it when you realized? ended it. do you think you look similar to your siblings? we have some similarities. ex., we all have the same shade of brown hair naturally. have you ever played cards against humanity? did you like it? oh my actual god, one time when i was at colleen's, we did as a family. we all had a couple drinks, so it was funnier than it should've been. closest i have EVER been to peeing myself. however, it's not as funny with subsequent plays, because you know what cards to expect. do you know anyone who’s lived through a natural disaster? yeah, me and many family members and friends. hurricanes are a common occurrence in nc. how many brothers/sisters do you have? two immediate sisters, one half-brother, three half-sisters. are you lactose intolerant? no. would you describe yourself as more punk or pastel?  dude i am the weirdest mix of both lol. how do you feel about tattoos and piercings? explain. they are wonderful ways of expression. i just find some piercings aesthetically pleasing on certain people, while tattoos are how you can easily paint the picture of your life on yourself. list the concerts you have been to and talk about how they make you feel. i've only been to one, and that was alice cooper. it was very fun, despite thunderstorming the whole time. have you ever been on drugs for anxiety, depression, mental illness? i have been since the 6th grade and i still am. do you like green apples?  only if they're crisp. have you ever had a guinea pig for a pet? yes. squeak, harry potter, snickers, and one other whose name i've forgotten... do you shop at hot topic? yes. have you ever studied any new age or occult religions such as wicca?  no, but they intrigue me, especially wicca. would you rather be a boy or girl?  a girl. do you prefer to be around introverted or extroverted people?  introverted. not trying to generalize here, but i find they tend to be more insightful. what do you think makes you a good girlfriend or boyfriend? i'm devoted and loyal as fuck, very loving, and will emotionally support a partner through thick and thin. what do you think makes you a bad girlfriend or boyfriend? one, my anxiety and insecurity. i've also never encountered this situation before, but i honestly feel that i'd get pretty jealous if he ever hung out with another girl platonically, because i'm immensely paranoid. like do not get me wrong, i wouldn't prevent him from doing it, i'd just be very worried. an issue i'm sure a lot of people would have with me is the fact i'm a pretty big prude. has anyone written a song or a piece of poetry about you? yeah. but i can virtually guarantee he used it on other girls. how many drinks does it take for you to become drunk?  i wouldn't know, considering i've never been drunk. i was relatively tipsy after four bottles of very mild alcohol, though. do you admire brutal honesty?  sometimes. other times it is completely unnecessary. what is your party trick? hiding out in the background somewhere, playing with your pet. <-- THIS haha <<< SAME if you had a mental disorder, what would it be? i'm diagnosed with chronic depression, general anxiety & social anxiety, ptsd (which i think i'm recovered from), and i've heard both bipolar ii and borderline personality disorder. do you think the "paranormal activity" movies were scary? no. i actually liked them. do you want someone aggressive or passive in bed? i'm honestly very passive, so aggressive. the last time you drank with someone else or more than one person who was in the worst shape? chelsea always is. she takes two bottles of light alcohol and she's vomiting lol. what would you say is the worst part of high school, period? you're going through it in arguably the biggest time of your life. you are constantly changing and developing and going through so much mentally. you're still figuring out who you want to be. not to mention, you're expected to make huge decisions, all the while still having to ask to go to the bathroom. you have so much responsibility just all of the sudden while your brain is morphing a lot. are you someone who actually likes to babysit children? no. too much responsibility. not to mention they try to get into everything; you can't turn away for two seconds. what is the worst name a friend has ever called you? do you remember? probably just "bitch" or something along the line. no friend has ever called me one to my face, but i can literally guarantee some have. ACTUALLY. to my face, i was called a martyr by my ex's friend after the break-up. and i'm certain he didn't mean it as in "you'd die for your beliefs," he meant it as in "hey you pretend it's the apocalypse to get sympathy."  which is entirely fucking untrue about me. that honestly hurt a lot and it still sticks with me. it honestly made me more uncomfortable to express my feelings. do you find any of your friends’ parents creepy or really mean? i can't stand colleen's mom because she's a grade-a bitch, and her dad makes me uncomfortable, but he's not creepy. what is your least favorite word? i literally abhor the word "cunt." hurts to even type. what turns you on? various, pretty normal stuff. what turns you off? the usual stuff - bad hygiene, bad manners, etc <–Yep. <<<< I agree. <<<<< same. have you ever been to a psychiatrist/therapist? i've had one since the 6th grade. have you ever had a crush on a fictional character? not a legitimate crush, no. who is your celebrity crush? ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) who is your most loyal friend? i honestly feel like connie. we've literally never fought, and she's always been there.

why are you happy, if you even are?

 because i've come so far in my recovery that i have no excuse to complain.

is there a secret you’ve never told your parents?

 yes.

what do you think of when you hear the name mark?

lol you know exactly who i think of.

kristin?

 no one.

zoe?

only the best character from "ssx tricky"

jamie?

 no one.

adam?

alex shepherd's dad from "silent hill: homecoming"

carmen?

the best dancer that was ever at the dance studio i used to go to

do you like fluffy yogurts?

NO. i CANNOT do the texture.

don’t you hate that you have to watch the baby being born in health class?

 i actually never did. but i physically wouldn't have been able to. i would've 100% shielded my eyes.

what’s the earliest memory you have?

walking out into the living room with my stuffed baby bunny and seeing ashley play "medievil" (i'm pretty sure that's how they spelled it). we all used to love that game. we only had the demo disc, though.

do you ever say “fail” when people mess up?

no, but i usually say "gg" lol

how important is it for a significant other to be good with kids?

not all that important considering i don't want any, but simultaneously, i certainly wouldn't tolerate them being mean to kids.

what was the last thing that hurt your feelings? was it warranted or do you think you just took it too personally?

i'd rather just not talk about it, but yeah, it was warranted.

what is your dad’s name?

kenneth, but everyone calls him ken.

does your mother have a sister? if so, what's her name?

 ... wait,

does

she? i don't think so, actually... maybe...

is your favorite color the same as when you were a kid?

 not exactly; my first favorite color was just normal red, now it's maroon.

who last grabbed your ass?

 chelsea lol

have you ever been called a slut/whore?

no, because i am literally the direct opposite. well correction, chelsea, colleen, and alex have playfully, but none of them have ever meant it. we all call each other shit names lol. all in love<3

who is your favorite foreign singer/musician?

 rammstein. they have amazing music and their lyrics are usually pretty cool.

do you ever get mad at people for not having the same opinion as you (ie abortion being wrong/right, meat-eating being wrong/right)?

no. i enjoy people having different opinions.  grow the fuck up and let people think differently.

do you edit any of your pictures? in what ways?

yes. i tend to do general things, like color correction and basic enhancement. sometimes i do more, particularly if it's legitimate photography of mine, in which case i tend to either bump up or desaturate the colors.

who do you know personally that has a nice singing voice?

 colleen

what months were you and your siblings born in?

as far as immediate siblings, april and june, and i was born in february.

do you prefer prince or michael jackson?

jackson. i was never into prince.

do you like spring rolls?

yeah. ruby tuesday's has the best.

when was the last time you painted something?

it's been about a year.

name one favorite thing to do with kids while babysitting.

if they're old enough, i love to teach them how to play games from my childhood. if not, idk. i just in general don't like watching kids.

what kind of things do you post on tumblr?

rhett&link + markiplier stuff, mostly. but i also reblog some funny stuff, plus meerkat pictures.

what band would you stand in line for 24 hours to see?

 none.

name the three biggest things that make up you.

passion, anxiety, dank memage. *finger guns*

what song is your ‘anthem’?

 the song "that's what you get" by paramore reminds me most of myself, particularly the line "i drowned out all my sense with the sound of its beating."

which movie villain do you find the most terrifying?

hmmm. a number. i find christabella laroache from the "silent hill" moving frightening (no, i'm not being biased) because she's like the queen example that religion can drive people insane. the joker is also horrifying for the simple fact he's legitimately insane.

do you think frogs/toads look disgusting?

no, they're cute.

what happens when you strongly disagree with someone?

if i voice my opinion, i get very scared that they'll get angry with me. if i don't, nothing. i just accept their opinion.

have you ever been tested for drugs?

yes, while i was at the er for suicide attempts/being suicidal.

do you own any fish? if so, are the docile or aggressive?

no.

if your lover cheated on you and profusely apologized, would you accept them back into your life?

nope.

are you allergic to any insect bites?

no.

who is your favorite golden girl?

rose!!! (:

what is your favorite commercial of the moment?

it is legitimately always going to be the sexy mr. clean commercial lmao

do you have any famous relatives?

 not relatives, but ancestors. we're related to queen victoria and william clark.

favorite album?

"black rain" by ozzy osbourne. i literally love every song on the album and it was my first voyage into heavy metal.

if your son said he was gay, how would you react?

i would be really really proud of him for trusting me with such a thing!!

would you date someone who played video games all weekend long?

 so long he does his responsibilities, sure. let him do what he enjoys.

what are your top three video games of all time?

"silent hill 2," "amnesia: a machine for pigs," and then probably "silent hill 3."

what's your favorite care bear?

i remember i liked the one with a rainbow on its stomach.

state 8 facts about your body.

i'm 5'5''. just gonna say i'm bigger than i'm supposed to be. i have five piercings. my hair is naturally brown, but dyed red. my eyes are blue. the nail on both of my rings fingers is slightly deformed (my sisters' are, too). i have incredibly tiny toes. i wear glasses.

what was your kinkiest wet dream?

 not a kinky person over here.

what song, no matter where you are or what you are doing, immediately takes you back to high school?

 "all signs point to lauderdale" by a day to remember, DEFINITELY.

do you think you could join the army?

no way. i couldn't anyway because i'm mentally ill/have a suicidal history.

would you date someone who has cheated in their previous relationships?

nope.

do you have soft hands? do you like holding hands?

just about everyone who's ever touched my hands tells me they're soft. and yeah, so long they're not sweaty.

do you think having a sleepover with a guy is theoretically acceptable?

 to me, it really depends on where you're sleeping.

have you ever failed a class?

 only in college.

have you ever cried over a breakup?

 only for over a year.

are you planning on dying your hair any time soon?

hopefully.

do you feel as though you're good at understanding/communicating with animals?

people have called me dr. doolittle since i was a very young kid for a reason lol

where would you like to spend your honeymoon?  

i actually don't have big plans. i'd just love to spend a little while in the mountains of nc.

what's one thing you collected as a child:

stickers. my dresser at the time was legitimately covered.

what fictional animal do you wish was real?

oh my GOD, the fey dragons from wow. they are fucking adorable and so pure.

have you ever been told you’ve punched someone in your sleep?

lol yeah. sorry, jason.

have you ever written a song or poem for someone special?

 a few poems, yeah.

what is your favorite vampire book/movie/show?

 i remember i loved the book "bite me"

do you actually know anyone who is homophobic?

 yes.

did you ever read "the giver"? see the movie?

i read the book and loved it.

what was your first impression of your best friend?

i don't have a *best* friend, but i'll answer for the two closest to me. one, i don't really remember because we were super super young. the other, oh my god it was obvious we hated each other.

what is your profile pic a picture of?

i'mma just answer for like... all of them lol. main tumblr & youtube: link neal (but i'mma change yt to mark when i'm not being lazy); facebook&this blog: me; deviantart: an oc; km rp: mark fischbach; aaand i'm sure i'm forgetting some

have you ever been dumped really harshly?

very. he dumped me over facebook messenger like a coward, considering we'd been dating for 3 1/2 years.

has a tree ever fallen down on your house?

yes, during a hurricane. i was totally knocked out asleep so i didn't even hear it land directly above my head lol. then at our second house, a tree fell on our fuel tank, literally landing directly beside the cap, sooo we're lucky as fuck it didn't blow up.

would you ever get your hips pierced?

no. dermals sound really painful.

what if someone asked you to be in a relationship with them?

 i'm in a relationship right now and am happy that way.

what will your next piercing be?

my nose.

what do you regret doing at FAR too young?

i'd rather just not talk about it.

marvel or dc?

dc, maybe.

what are you most proud of?

how far i've come

what is your favorite otp?

that actually exists, mark&amy. hypothetically, rhett&link

who is your favorite disney villain?

scar, maybe? OH. maleficent, actually.

did you ever watch "phil of the future"?

 not really. i was never a big fan.

are sex and sexual activities something you enjoy?

sexual activities, sure. sex itself, i wouldn't know.

how old were you when you first became sexually active?

 again, mind you, i'm a virgin, but if you're talking about doing anything sexual, probably 16. maaaybe 17, but i'm pretty sure 16.

would you rather have a pet crocodile or a pet octopus?

 i legitimately wanted a caiman for a while because apparently that's legal lol

where is the last place you’d want to be on halloween night?

 not sure

describe your favorite comedy movie?

my favorite's "white chicks" omg

what, in your opinion, is the most disgusting part of the human body?

i've stated before i have some asexual traits, and part of that is found in the fact i find both genitalia legitimately disgusting.

what feelings come over you when you know you’re falling in love?

i smile a lot and get very shy around the person. looots of butterflies.

do you believe in ghosts, spirits, demons?

yes to all.

would you consider yourself creative and how wide would you say your imagination can stretch?

 i honestly believe i'm creative as fuck. it goes pretty damn far.

if you could go into any video game world, what would it be and why?

"world of warcraft." because. like. just take me to azeroth, pls.  god i am such a nerd.

hamburger or hot dog?

 cheeseburgers, usually.

what's something nerdy about you?

 i am legitimately made of nerdy shit

would you cheat on your significant other if it meant sleeping with your celebrity crush?

no, actually. probably surprising considered how obsessed i am with him lol

how old do you want to live to?

maybe like 75? 80? i don't want to get to the point of being old where i'm like pissing myself and need help with literally everything. that would be legitimate torture to me.

are you comfortable with your height?

 sure.

have you ever slept on a couch with someone else, with whom?

yeah, jason.

do you think the legal drinking age should be changed?

 not entirely. i do, however, believe 18-year-olds should be allowed to drink only if accompanied by an adult.

have you ever felt like you hit rock bottom?

i have hit rock bottom before.

have you ever been bitten by a snake?

no.

do you like train’s music?

i was a big fan way before they become mainstream thanks to mom.

how’s your relationship between you and your grandparents?

dad's mom is dead, mom's dad is dead, i don't even remember the last time i talked to my dad's dad (but he's suuuuper nice and supportive), and i'm pretty damn sure mom's mom doesn't like me. she's bitched me out before and has said some very rude things to me. i'm not particularly fond of her either, but i try.

has the last person you had sex with ever had sex with someone besides you?

never had sex, but as for the only person i've ever been sex

ual

with, yes.

are both of your blood parents still in your life?

my parents are divorced so i don't really see my dad, but he's still a part of my life.

do you like your best friend’s boy/girlfriend?

colleen's husband is awesome and is quite a bit like myself, but sara's not in a relationship.

have your parents met the person you’re currently interested in?

 yeah.

when you’re interested in someone, do you let them know?

 no.

have you ever had a kinky dream about a celebrity?

 ha ha omg yeah

what are your parents’ middle names?

 marie & john

in your opinion, which is more attractive: nice biceps or washboard abs?

biceps.  really obnoxious abs aren't that appealing to me.

have you ever been hypnotized?

 no. i don't believe in that jazz.

do you have any lockets with pictures inside?

no.

what would you consider to be the worst television channel out there?

 mtv

do you have any siblings you absolutely despise? why?

no.

do you think age matters in friendship?

 no. i have a friend who's 30.

how old do you think you will be when you finally have kids?

i don't want kids. i'm fine with my nieces and nephews.

list your fandoms and one character from each that you identify with.

heather (silent hill), tyler is legitimately me (markiplier crew), chase (rhett&link crew)

what’s a popular movie you’ve never seen?

the entirety of "harry potter." and "lord of the rings."

has anyone ever gotten in your face completely bitching you out?

my grandma, yes.

does it annoy you when people use too many emoticons when they’re typing?

it can.

would you ever consider yourself over dramatic?

i can be, honestly.

would you consider yourself more indie or mainstream?

 indie. essentially nothing about me is mainstream.

do you ever use cheats when you play video games?

 no.

has anyone, besides yourself, considered you as a failure?  

most likely.

did you go to pre-k?

 yeah.

have you ever stolen a friend's boyfriend?

not intentionally. then there's the fact we never actually dated.

do you regret it?

 i regret ever being flirty with him, yes.

are you sorry?

 it's only like my biggest regret, so.

who was your first celebrity crush?

probably jesse mccartney lol

would you smoke if it meant getting $30, or do you smoke anyways?

 no.

what school teams or clubs are/were you a part of?

 art honors society, honors society.

do you enjoy going through old pictures?

sometimes. other times, the nostalgia is too much.

is there a band you like with amazing music but a bad vocalist?

i honestly find dave mustaine of megadeth to be an awful singer, but somehow, i feel it adds to his charm??

do you tend to get clingy in relationships?

really, it depends on my mood and how comfortable i am with you. i legitimately demand space early in a relationship, and i romantically bond with people very slowly. once i actually feel attached to you, i can be sometimes. other times, i still need space.

have you ever dated outside of your race?

for less than a day, so you couldn't really call it "dating." he was hispanic.

when was the last time you received a massage?

never had one professionally, but jason and i would give each other a massage if we legitimately felt like we needed one.

would you rather have curvy legs or skinny legs?

not like really big, but curvy.

what do you usually put in your omelets?

cheese and ham. man... now i really want an omelet lol

do you like kiwis?

YAAAAAS

do you want any piercings?

my nose will be next, then more in my ears. i also would like a belly button ring one day, but i'd only get it once i'm much smaller. absolutely no offense intended, but i don't think they look good on bigger people like me.

have you ever flipped off your mother or father?

no, but i said "fuck you" to my mother only a few months ago. that went over well.

have you ever bowled a strike?

probably.

which is worse: stale chips or flat soda?

stale chips. flat soda doesn't bother me too much.

have you ever questioned your sexuality?

not seriously. when i had ocd, added onto my anxiety, i got into this totally random repetitive thought cycle that i secretly bisexual. i am in no way bisexual, but it was a random question and then my mind obsessed over the possibility i was lying to myself.

what did you usually pack for lunch at school?

sandwiches.

favorite nonliving musician?

probably freddie mercury. wonderfully talented man.

biggest learning experience of your life?  

holly hill

what’s your opinion on religion in schools?

i believe all of the more common religions should be electives. i know that's a bit unfair, but if we're being realistic, there's too many religions to fit and get instructors for all of them.

how do you decide whether to accept or not accept a friend request?

i have to know the person and like them to accept them.

do you have an unspeakable past regret?

unspeakable, no.

do you litter?

absolutely not.

do you feed your pets gourmet pet food?

no.

were you miserable in middle school?

 i wouldn't say "miserable," but it was definitely the worst school years. it's when my anxiety and depression started, so.

how many people do you know who identify as transgender?

one that i'm certain of. i have another friend that went through a transgender phase.

what is your preferred painkiller?

 advil

what color was your senior prom dress?

black

do you support transgenders being able to use the opposite restroom?

i promise, you don't want my opinion.

do you support the raising of the minimum wage?

yes. you can't live off of $7.25.

are you courageous?

not really, if i'm being honest.

could you ever forgive your best friend for sleeping with your boyfriend?

nope.

do you live with your biological parents?  

with my mom, yes.

do you have a snapchat?

no.

who is your hero?

mark <3

are you allergic to bees?

i wouldn't know. never been stung.

have you ever had stitches?

yes, in my chin.

did you graduate high school a virgin?

 yeah.

would you ever date out of your own race?

 yes.

can you describe your father in one word?

forgiving<3

what’s your favorite movie trilogy?

"shiloh," maybe

do you play any games on facebook?

 no.

do you have a dog?

 we have three.

do you have a step-parent?

 yes, but i don't call her "mom" or anything.

do you like grasshoppers?

they actually kinda scare me, especially big ones lol

do you like laffy taffy?

yeah!

at concerts, do you buy merch?

only been to one, but i did. i'd like to think i always would.

what color is your underwear?  

i don't wear underwear unless entirely necessary. increases your chances of a yeast infection and they're just uncomfortable.

what’s an interesting fact about the state in which you were born?

 it has an abandoned wizard of oz-themed park.

outside of school, have you ever used a thesaurus?

yes. i use it occasionally for writing.

do either of your parents have any tattoos or piercings?

my mom has her ears pierced.

would you ever stalk a celebrity?  

no. i have respect.

do your parents use social media? if so, which ones?

mom has facebook.

do you believe that there’s good in everybody?

 nope.

person you used to have feelings for shows up at your house, you say:

"get the fuck away from my house" or something like that.

were your parents married when you were born?

yes.

have you ever thought about having sex?

 yeah?

are you available?

 no.

do you live in a big house?

 no.

have you ever flown in a plane?

twice, but the first i don't remember.

do you like mangoes?

 i've actually never had a real mango, but i think i'd like them. i love mango juice.

do you think you’re always right?

 absolutely not. it's a ridiculous thing to think.

what’s your favorite season?

autumn.

best disney song?  

dude let's be real, "be prepared" from tlk was fire

what’s the worst veggie?

 BEANS.

do you like the color yellow?

nooo. it's one of my least favorites.

do you have any old calendars in your room?

i have two meerkat calendars from years ago that are part of my collection.

is it important to you to make a good impression on a bf/gf’s parents?

of course.

are you one of the people who think obama will be assassinated?

well, he obviously wasn't. if anyone's going to get assassinated, it'll be trump.

are you more sympathetic towards animals or humans?

animals, because they have no voice and are never truly do things out of ill intent.

when did your parents stop enforcing curfew?

 i never really had a curfew.

how long does it take you in the shower?

not even 15 minutes. i've never understood how people can take such long showers. do your shit and get out.

ever kissed anyone with a nipple piercing? what about a lip piercing? nose piercing?

 lip piercings, yes.

ever made out in a pool?

maybe, but i don't think so.

are you a virgin?

depends on how you define "virgin." but by my definition, yes.

be honest. have you had any dirty thoughts today?

 well now that you mention it.

have you ever purchased a pregnancy test, for yourself or otherwise?

no.

do you have trouble reading small fonts?

 not usually. depends on what the font is.

are there any old [as in, no longer on television, not necessarily old in terms of years] television shows that you could happily sit through and re-watch the entire series?

"that '70s show"

of all the decisions you have thus far made in your life, which was the best and which was the worst?

best: going to holly hill. worst: letting jason be my everything.

if you were presented with a bowl of fruit with apples, oranges, bananas, and grapes in it - which fruit would you pick to eat?

grapes.

do you have any gay friends?

yes, and i love them.

are you gay yourself?

 no, but i don't discriminate against those who are.

how many brothers do you have?

 one half-brother.

do you like mexican food?

 noooo.

what’s your best friend’s pet’s name(s)?  

colleen: miracle, maxwell, maze. i couldn't even try to name all of sara's lol

do you need to shave?

 no.

do you see yourself married in the next five years?

nope.

are you responsible?

if i'm being honest, no.

ever had a pregnancy scare?

 no. well, because i have anxiety, i was once scared while i was with jason because i missed my period, despite the fact we never had actual sex. safe to say, i wasn't pregnant. it was my anxiety getting to me.

do you partake in gaming?

 if i can, i do. however, my consoles are broken and the psu or graphics card on my gaming laptop is fried, so i haven't in like... six, seven months. it's been torture lol

who has your heart?

 two internet celebrities that don't know i exist lmao

do you have an ex who still talks to you? do they want to be with you again?

 no. tyler tried to, but he finally got that i wanted nothing to do with him.

ever get mad at something that happened years ago?

yep.

don’t you hate when people assume you’re jealous of somebody just because you dislike them?

y e s

do your legs get really itchy after shaving them?

 YES. it's why i have a scar on my shin because i scratched the fuck out of it.

who was the last person you went out to eat with?

 dad, his wife, sisters, and my sister's in-laws.

honestly, if you wanted to get laid right now, could you?  

probably not. i wouldn't want to anyway, since i'm like 95% sure i want to save 'til marriage.

have you ever kissed someone with a tattoo?

 regrettably.

ever had a guy best friend?

yes.

how is your last ex doing?

 i don't know and i don't care.

ever given your ALL to someone?

yes, and it was the wrong fucking choice.

how do you know the majority of the people you know?

 school, the internet

have you ever had pink eye?

no, but my sister has.

do you really care how many friends you or anyone else has on myspace/facebook?

nope.

how many band shirts do you own? which?

including those that don't fit anymore but i have saved, two for ozzy osbourne, two for metallica, otep, disturbed, asking alexandria, hollywood undead, iwrestledabearonce (which i no longer like), marilyn manson, two for alice cooper, and i am 100% positive i've had more. i've had a loooot.

is nutella amazing?

 yaaaas queen

have you ever had anything pierced that you don’t have now?

yes. right side of my nose, left anti-tragus, right tragus, left cartilage. they all closed while i was in the hospital.

would you consider yourself “tough”?

emotionally.

do you have any twins/multiples in your family? are they identical or fraternal?

 i don't think so?

who is the youngest person in your family that you know of?

my nephew, i think.

is your mom a good mom?

she tries her best and does so much for me.

who was your first friend?

brianna. we drifted apart in middle school.

would you consider yourself a shy person?

 waaaay too shy.

are you on good terms with your last ex?

no.

would you rather be a toaster, or a calculator?

... lol wut

do you like beards, and if so, what is the ideal beard length?

no opinion.

did/do you play with barbies?

i did only when nicole wanted to.

what holidays do you decorate for?

halloween, christmas.

have you ever been high?

no. it just doesn't interest me. i don't like my mind being foggy. it's partially why i've never even been drunk.

do you believe in homosexuality?

yes?? it obviously exists, and there's nothing wrong with it??

do you believe in jesus?

yes. it's a historical fact that he existed, it's just a matter of if you believe in the stories of what he did or not.

who was the last person you kissed?

my boyfriend.

do you play minecraft?

i never have and i'm not interested in it.

do you like mozzarella sticks?

noooo. the only cheese i like is american.

do you listen to nickelback?

i have no shame in admitting that i like some of their songs.

do you watch pewdiepie?

i've been a fan since 2013, or maybe 2012. he's a funny guy. he's got a lot of drama around him, but i sincerely think he's entertaining. i've enjoyed watching him develop as a person and comedian.

do you like the water?

no. i literally never drink it unless i'm dehydrated.

do you like eating zebra cakes?

 sure. been a long, long time since i've had one, though.

are there any hobbies you have that you don’t perform in front of others?

 write, draw.

have you ever felt as though you were unrecognizable to yourself?

yep.

when was the last time you took a taxi somewhere?

 never.

what was the most embarrassing thing you’ve had to buy?

 nothing really embarrassing.

have you ever mistaken a person’s gender?

 yeah.

did you stay calm during the whole swine flu scare?

 yes.  i have the immune system of a god.

without the aid of mascara, do you have long eyelashes?

  yes.  my old english teacher literally stopped class once just to point out to the whole class that i had super long eyelashes lol.  i loved her.

is there a kind of music you listen to that helps you release your anger?

 yeah.  tends to be rammstein or metallica.

do any of your close friends have children?

 no.

were you ever rushed by an ambulance into the emergency room?

 no.

when was the last time you were at the hospital, and why?

 in february for a suicide attempt.

"the breakfast club," yay or nay?

 i couldn't get into it.

have you ever had a piercing get infected?

 yes.  second piercing in my right ear lobe.

do you get embarrassed easily?

 just about everything embarrasses me, so.

is anybody in your family a carpenter?

  no, but my dad was.

would you date someone 8 years older than you?

  yeah, but that's like my limit.  i'd have to

really

like someone who was nine years older, but i'm cool with eight.

would you rather date someone older than you or younger?  

older.  at my current age, i wouldn't date someone younger than me.

have you ever dated someone you met online?  

no.

what’s something you have a very strong opinion about?

  abortion, more than anything.  i'm getting more heavily adamant about gay rights.

what gets you emotional?

 recalling past struggles and people, seeing others suffer, people doing good in the world, etc.

do you often try to find common ground when in a political debate?

  ugh.  i just don't like political debates.

do you come across as cold and aloof at times?

 i'm sure.

do you think the last person you kissed is a player?

 no.

if an ex said they hated you, you say?

  good for you.

could you ever be friends with the person who hurt you most in life?

 no.

are you happy with yourself?

  in certain aspects.

would you change yourself for the person you love?

  to some degree.  it depends.

has a guy ever seriously punched you more than once?

 no one's ever punched me, thankfully.

do you think you were ever in love?

 i can say without the slightest doubt in my mind that i was.

have you ever dated your friend’s ex?

 no.

have you done bad things with your parents nearby?  

define "bad things."

have you started a horrible rumor about somebody?

  no, i'm not that low.

why do you believe/not believe in god?

  because it just seems most logical to me.  it just seems... highly, highly unlikely that the fucking stars aligned so perfectly as to make this all possible.  but i perfectly respect people that think the opposite, so long they don't stomp on religion.

do you have any recurring dreams? what are they?

  no.

what is your favorite baked good?

  muffins, maybe.

do you have an addiction to anything?

  i have an addictive personality, so, a number of things.  nothing unhealthy, though.

during thunderstorms, how does your pet react?

 teddy and bentley don't care, cali gets so terrified that she quakes and hides behind the couch.

are you addicted to any energy drinks?

  no.  energy drinks taste like poison to me.

do you like croutons in your salad?  

noooo

when did you meet the last male you texted?

  when i was born.  he's my dad.

have you ever talked to a boyfriend about a previous ex-boyfriend?

 yes.  i was having a ptsd breakdown and needed to know if i could confide in him about some things.

can two living souls become one?  

no.

has a stranger ever yelled at you for your language?

 no, but someone probably should lol.  i recently realized that i say "fuck" waaay too much.  jason's family defiled me.  they swear like sailors and like everyone i know noticed my profanity got worse after dating jason for a while because i was with his family a lot and it rubbed off.

why aren’t you in love with your ex anymore?  

because you don't love the person that almost caused you to kill yourself.

if your best friend “came out”, how would you feel?

 colleen: i would go into legitimate shock since she's for traditional marriage and whatnot.  sara: she's demisexual, so.

ever kissed someone you weren’t in a relationship with?

  no.

have you ever been given a lapdance by an actual stripper?

 ew, no.

what was the last song you listened to?

 "cake and sodomy" by marilyn manson

have you ever been on a ferris wheel that had swinging cages/gondolas? were you in the swinging cage/gondola or too chicken to go on it?

 yeah.  it was at a little festival so it was sketchy as fuck too lol.  i went with jason, who's afraid of heights, so that was interesting.

do you want a small or big wedding?

  small.

are your parents going to buy you a car?

  probably not.  i don't drive, anyway.

who’s your favorite rapper? and your favorite song by this rapper?

 the only rapper i genuinely like is eminem, and i really like "space bound"

how about your favorite band? and your favorite song by this band?

  oh brother...  ozzy osbourne: "trap door," metallica: "whiskey in the jar," otep: uhhh "special pets" or "apex predator," a day to remember: "i'm made of wax, larry, what are you made of?," marilyn manson: "heart-shaped glasses," rammstein: "nebel" or "donaukinder," cradle of filth: probably their cover of "mr. crowley," korn: "here to stay"

do you hate your last name? do you want to get married so you can change it?

 i don't like my last name, but i don't want to get married just so it'll change.

who was your first boyfriend/girlfriend? why did you break up?

 if you're talking about the first guy who ever had the title of "boyfriend," aaron.  we were in the 7th grade and i just didn't like him like that.

do you drink coffee?

  no, it's bitter as fuck and just overall gross.

what outfit makes you feel the most attractive?

  you assume any outfit makes me attractive.

what do you think of people who always wear make-up?

  whatever.

has anyone of the same sex ever hit on you?

  i think so.

are you open to a same-sex relationship and why or why not?

  no, i'm straight.

have you ever wanted to vlog?

 no.  too awkward for that shit.

who was the last person you held hands with?

  ugh.

have you ever told someone to their face that they were ugly?

 what the fuck, no.

have you ever seen a live bat?

  yeah.  they're so cute.

would you ever let your child drop out of high school?

 depends on the reason.

do you pronounce “aunt” like “want” or “ant”?

 "ant"

would you ever let a girl/boy put you through hell and back?

  never again.

have you watched porn alone before?

 i don't watch porn to begin with.

what do you think about weed?

 i think it smells fucking awful more than anything.

recommend a book:

 i recommend "johnny got his gun" by dalton trumbo more than any book on the face of the planet.  the writing style is very unique and a bit hard to understand sometimes, but the meaning behind it.  it increased my pacifism by a mile.

do you like to cook? or do you always prefer take out?

  i can't cook.  i literally burned a hot dog to where it split in half in the microwave.

are pets allowed to be on the furniture in your house?

  yes.  they live here.

declawing cats: for or against?

 against

what theory (serious or not) has always intrigued you?

  if the moon landing was fake or not.  i believe it was real, but there is some seriously compelling evidence that it was a studio trick.  i'd highly recommend reading about it.

do you consider yourself a perfectionist?

  about some things.

[casualcynic]

stellar data recovery reviews

It's useless, can't handle the big hard drive. Can't move, can't stretch, leave it alone.

Like an idiot I thought I'd give this another chance to merge partitions.... Ended up wiping the hard drive raw.... Nice. At least I was smart enough to back up first. Don't trust this app!!! Use it at your own risk!!!!

Gary Kutac Gary Kutac 2 Comments One star. Bad. a day ago Only four files were recovered from a 1G hard drive... ... Only recovered 4 files from a 1G hard drive. Came back a month later and automatically charged me another $70 more. Far from it.

D_i_a_v_l_o. 2 Comments One star. Bad. 2 days ago

, 512MB in reality.

Joe. 1 review One star. Bad. 3 days ago Need money for documents. I can't get a file back without having to pay $60.

Rafael. 1 review Five stars. Excellent. 3 days ago Excellent support While I wouldn't rate the video editing program more than 4 stars, Stellar  support is the best. Their staff is helpful, patient, and courteous. For that, I give them a 5-star overall rating.

Gabriel Troisgros Gabriel Troisgros 1 review Five stars. Excellent. 3 days ago good support Used it to transfer an application that I lost the installer. Was not working the first time, support advised me to help and repeat, and finally has worked properly.

Philippe El Baze 1 review Five stars. Excellent. 4 days ago I'll keep the good stuff. I will keep good things going when I contact Stellar  for support.

Thanks everyone.

mr.D 1 Comment Five stars. Excellent. 4 days ago The people at Stellar  helped me with a problem. After the at Stellar  folks helped me with a problem with my disk space, it didn't show its true space allocation. Well deserved pat on the back for customer support. Thank you easyUS.

Pete Corwel Pete Corwel 1 review Five stars. Excellent. 5 days ago A miraculous solution to my problem. advertising

Tim Lammon Tim Lammon 2 Comments One star. Bad. 6 days ago Not so easy to use and unclear. Not so easy to use and unclear. Says I can do a cleanup of old files, but not and instructions suck.

Stellar 's reply. 4 days ago Dear Tim.

We are very sorry to hear that. Let's just work together and try to find out what the problem is. We suggest you contact our customer service directly and let them help you further. Lucas. 1 review One star. Bad. June 20, 2020 Worst program I've ever used. Worst program I've ever used. The program wouldn't even start properly when I tried to recover the external drive insert of the file. Freezes all the time. Obviously, this is a low paying job for an F-level coder. Never buy this crap.

Response from Stellar . 4 days ago Dear Lukas.

You have a physical problem with your hard drive or an unstable disk connection. During the process of scanning for lost files, our product cannot read the disk properly. Please connect the disk to another port or try on another computer. Nathalia Lemotte 1 review Five stars. Excellent. June 20, 2020 Warren has been super helpful with my questions.... Warren was super helpful with my questions and was eager to get me back on track with my questions. Very accommodating and professional. I would work with him again at any time.

Raymond Jones. Raymond Jones 1 review Five stars. Excellent. June 19, 2020 There's a problem that took a lot of time to solve... ... Had a problem that took a lot of time to solve... Alex was the bomb. Patient, helpful and professional. My program is running smoothly now. I'm very satisfied.

Sharon Gladworth 1 review Five stars. Excellent. June 19, 2020 Warren's team members who handle... ... Warren, the team member who handled my problem, was excellent. All my data was retrieved and found and saved. These guys provide an excellent service. Thank you.

Larry Becker. 2 Comments Five stars. Excellent. June 19, 2020 I'm having a problem with upgrading... I am having a problem with upgrading PartitionMaster under Lifetime Upgrade. The rep, Gap Qui, was very helpful and patient in resolving the issue. When I had to reboot, it was nice to be able to work with the same rep throughout the issue. It was much easier than if I had to re-explain the problem to a different rep. Kudos to Stellar .

Gautam Sengupta 1 review Five stars. Excellent. June 19, 2020 Unparalleled customer service! Stellar 's customer service is unparalleled! After failing to recover an accidentally deleted partition using the Data Recovery Wizard, I contacted their customer service for help. Mark, the service engineer, spent hours manually rebuilding the partition table and directory structure on my hard drive. Without his help, I would have lost years of painfully collected reading material. Thank you Mark! You made my day.

Javier 1 review Five stars. Excellent. June 17, 2020 The best program ever!!! So helpful! 1,000,000/10 recommended they will help you throughout the process if you need them in live chat! You can ask them as many questions as you like and they'll answer them the best they can. You can ask them as many questions as you like, and they will answer their most

[krispyweiss]

Quarter Notes: Blurbs & Briefs from Sound Bites

CROSBY, WHO, WHO AND WHO? David Crosby tweeted the tease of a lifetime when a fan suggested he undertake a get-out-the-vote tour.

“You’re going to freak when you find out who,” the Croz responded.

TERESA WILLIAMS TO HAVE SHOULDER SURGERY: Larry Campbell & Teresa Williams dropped out of John Prine’s All the Best Festival, Nov. 11-15 in Dominican Republic, so Williams can have shoulder surgery.

“We wish Teresa a quick recovery and look forward to seeing them both in the future,” Prine said in a statement.

OYSTERHEAD RETURNS: Oysterhead, the short-lived, long-dormant supergroup consisting of Phish’s Trey Anastasio, Primus’ Les Claypool and the Police’s Stewart Copeland, will regroup for concerts Feb. 14 and 15 in Colorado. Ticking info here.

THE INDIVIDUAL WIZARD: Todd Rundgren will devote the second set of shows on his 2020 Individualist tour to playing sides from his 1973 album, A Wizard, a True Star, Billboard reports.

10/17/19

[nbafunnymeme]

Fantasy basketball -- Ish Smith among top waiver-wire finds in fantasy hoops

Working the waiver wire is pivotal to succeeding in fantasy basketball. With so many games, injuries and endless shifts in rotations throughout the season, we’ll need to source stats from free agency to maximize our imaginary rosters.

Here are some of the top options widely available in ESPN leagues to pick up ahead of this week’s games.

Point guard

Kris Dunn, Chicago Bulls (Rostered in 47.1 percent of ESPN leagues): It’s understandable to see Dunn’s popularity plummet recently given a multi-week recovery from a concussion, but it’s also important to remember that during the 10 games prior to his injury he averaged 15.1 PPG, 7.8 APG, 4.6 RPG, 2.2 SPG and nearly a block and a 3-pointer per game. The steal rate is simply elite, which helps buffer any expected loss in usage now that Zach LaVine is proving capable.

Ish Smith, Detroit Pistons (36.9 percent): I’ve been championing Smith as a quality addition ever since the team netted Blake Griffin. During his past six starts, Smith is averaging 15.5 PPG 5.5 APG in 31.7 MPG.

Terry Rozier, Boston Celtics (36.6 percent): Even as Rozier has cooled down over the past several games, he’s still consuming valuable minutes and touches in place of Marcus Smart. Once his shot starts falling again, Rozier will return real value for patient managers.

Tomas Satoransky, Washington Wizards (11 percent): John Wall‘s injury has vaulted Satoransky to a starting role, as he’s gotten the call in eight straight. During these eight starts, the former FC Barcelona star has averaged 11.8 PPG, 5.3 APG and 1.6 SPG per game while sinking 68 percent of his 3-point attempts. For some positional context, he’s sixth among point guards on the Player Rater over the past 15 days. If he’s getting starting minutes, Satoransky is worth rostering in deeper and more challenging formats.

Shelvin Mack, Orlando Magic (2.3 percent): One of the best speculative investments in the league at the moment, Mack might just be the de facto replacement for Elfrid Payton in Orlando. It might just be a one-game outlier, but it appears the team trusts Mack to do the heavy lifting, and not D.J. Augustin.

Shooting guard

Rodney Hood, Cleveland Cavaliers (32.2 percent): I’ve been a Hood believer for much of the past year. For whatever can be made of his weak defensive metrics, Hood is a gifted scorer and shooter who should see a ton of minutes and opportunities on the new-look Cavs. It won’t matter if Cleveland doesn’t feature him right away. Hood, after all, is 10th in the NBA in points per touch (0.398) among players averaging at least 20 minutes.

Allen Crabbe, Brooklyn Nets (9.6 percent): On a uniquely prolific scoring bender, Crabbe is averaging 31 PPG during his past two starts. What I find most revealing is that he’s averaged 33.3 MPG the past six games, all starts. With a massive shooting workload (9.2 attempts per game from 3-point range over this recent stretch) on one of the league’s fastest offenses, Crabbe is a top specialist to consider.

Small forward

Josh Jackson, Phoenix Suns (39.5 percent): I’ll freely admit when I miss on a piece of analysis. I doubted Jackson’s ability to sustain a scoring binge from a few weeks ago and he’s proven me wrong; he’s averaged 17.3 PPG and 6.2 RPG during the past 10 games. The biggest key is a positive correction on interior shooting, as he’s been among the worst in the league on layups and within three feet of the rim for much of the season. It’s great to see Jackson regularly top 35 minutes on the floor lately, as heavy exposure is the most realistic path to sustaining fantasy value.

Rudy Gay, San Antonio Spurs (23.6 percent): The options are getting leaner at the wing this late into the campaign, which means it’s time to stash an ailing vet like Gay. Once he returns to the floor, Gay could provide a nice blend of 3-pointers, steals and blocks.

Bogdan Bogdanovic, Sacramento Kings (15.7 percent): This guy is more than simply a shooting specialist; he’s averaging nearly five dimes in addition to 2.3 3PG and 1.8 SPG during his past four starts. There should be plenty of minutes and shots available to him down the stretch as the Kings trend young with the rotation.

Stanley Johnson, Detroit Pistons (12.8 percent): Another beneficiary of the team’s blockbuster deal, Johnson has averaged 34.8 MPG during the past seven games. Being on the floor this often naturally leads to rewarding scoring and defensive results.

Power forward

Markieff Morris, Washington Wizards (47.6 percent): You need to embrace the variance of this stretch forward’s game … he’s going to endure hot and cold stretches from the field. Helping to buffer his volatile scoring profile, Morris has 13 steals during his past eight appearances.

Joe Ingles, Utah Jazz (37.6 percent): This dude is simply a very good basketball player. It doesn’t always translate well to fantasy stardom, but his versatile floor game and deft shooting touch supports top-100 value in all formats.

Bobby Portis, Chicago Bulls (33.3 percent): During the past five games, Portis is tied with Al Horford with 13.6 rebounding chances per game (within 3.5 feet of an available rebound). Throw in a quality steal rate, and Portis is a fine utility addition.

Larry Nance Jr., Cleveland Cavaliers (24.7 percent): Cleveland appears rebuilt to play small-ball lineups that feature Nance as a rim-running glue guy. I could buy into Nance having better usage and opportunity rates in Cleveland than he enjoyed with the Lakers over the past month.

Dwight Powell, Dallas Mavericks (10.8 percent): The Mavericks are affording Powell more opportunities of late; he’s averaged 27.2 MPG leading to 12.2 PPG and 8.2 RPG during the past six outings. With a shooting rate of 74.4 percent during this stretch, Powell can help in several categories.

Center

John Collins, Atlanta Hawks (44.4 percent): It doesn’t take a ton of minutes for Collins to exceed value these days, as he’s tallied 9.1 PPG, 7.7 RPG and 1.2 BPG during the past 10 games. If he’s still floating in your league, it’s time to acquire this gifted rookie.

Jarrett Allen, Brooklyn Nets (36 percent): In what is an emergent rookie class at the position, Allen is finally getting meaningful minutes for the Nets. For blocks, boards and efficient scoring, Allen is a gem for the stretch run.

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http://nbafunnymeme.com/fantasy-basketball-ish-smith-among-top-waiver-wire-finds-in-fantasy-hoops/

[junker-town]

Bay Area teams and athletes are donating to North Bay wildfire relief

Add Klay Thompson and DeAndre Jordan to the list of players helping relief efforts after fires destroyed almost 100,000 acres of land.

Fires are raging in towns and forests outside of San Francisco, sweeping through the North Bay and ravaging Wine Country and all the communities that call that area home.

So far, the six fires have killed more than 20 people while destroying nearly 100,000 acres of land. 380 people are missing, and 3,500 or more homes and businesses are gone.

In the wake of the destruction that has happened in only a few days, and looks to continue through the rest of this week unless the fires are contained quickly, athletes and teams who call the Bay Area home are donating money or raising funds to help those who have lost their homes, livelihoods, and more.

Jonny Gomes, who played for more than a half dozen MLB teams in his career as well as a club in Japan, was raised in Northern California and is understandably taking the fires hard. He started a GoFundMe to raise money to help victims and included a photo of one of his old schools charred beyond recognition.

On the fundraiser’s main page, Gomes says,

I'm Major League Baseball Champion, Jonny Gomes. I've played professional baseball around the globe but the 707 area code of Northern California is my home. My friends are there. My family is there. I grew up playing ball in the fields and streets of Santa Rosa, Petaluma, Sonoma, Napa and beyond. That's why you see "707" proudly displayed on my cleats. These people are my neighbors!

Now I need you to help me give back to the thousands affected by this horrific catastrophe. Kids are without homes and schools. People have nothing but the clothes on their back. My hometown is a wasteland of ash and rubble. You and I are going to change that!

The residents of these affected communities don't need a home run from us - they need a GRAND SLAM! Give now and I will work with the people and organizations in the area to ensure that we are bringing home a win. When I identify a need I will allocate your donation swiftly, ethically and honestly. Let's do this!

His goal is a lofty 1 million dollars, and he has already raised nearly $10,000 in just a few hours.

In addition to Gomes, seven teams that call San Francisco and the North Bay area their home are coming together to donate $450,000 to ongoing fire relief efforts. As reported by the San Francisco Chronicle, each team released a small statement about the fires and their donation.

From the San Francisco 49ers:

“The North Bay fires have devastated families, homes, businesses, and schools across the region, and as first responders work tirelessly to put out the fires and aid those in need, Bay Area sports teams are unified in supporting relief efforts,” said CEO Jed York. “Although we can never replace what was lost, together we can help those impacted by the fires rebuild.”

From the Oakland A’s:

“When a tragedy hits this close to home, we feel it’s our duty to get involved and to help our community and those who have been impacted,” said President Dave Kaval. “We are proud to team up with all of the Bay Area professional sports teams to support North Bay disaster relief efforts.”

From the San Jose Earthquakes:

“The world has faced an unimaginable amount of tragedy and devastation in the past few months and the fires in the North Bay hit particularly close to home,” said President Tom Fox. “We’re happy to do our part, along with the other pro teams in the region, to help rebuild our community stronger than ever.”

From the San Francisco Giants:

“We want all the communities affected by these horrific fires to know the Giants and all of the Bay Area teams are here to support you as you recover and rebuild in the days, weeks and months ahead,” said President and CEO Larry Baer. “You are part of our family and we are holding all of you close to our hearts.”

From the Oakland Raiders:

“The Raiders family expresses our deepest concern for everyone affected by the North Bay fires,” said President Marc Badain. “The Raiders have held training camp in Napa for the past 22 seasons and have formed a strong bond with communities in Napa and Sonoma counties. The Silver and Black ask the entire Raider Nation to help spread the word on how everyone can assist the region in its recovery.”

From the San Jose Sharks:

“It is devastating to witness a region dedicated to hospitality, friendliness, and community experience such loss,” said COO John Tortora. “These are friends, family members, individuals and businesses who have a unique sense of solidarity and we generously will support relief and recovery efforts as they navigate this tragic time.”

From the Golden State Warriors:

“The North Bay is a large part of our Warriors family and we’re devastated by what they are enduring at this time,” said President and COO Rick Welts. “We are joining forces with the rest of our sports community to help relief efforts and encourage any fans who are able to help by donating as well.”

Warriors guard Klay Thompson is donating $1,000 for every point he scores over Golden State’s next three home games: vs. Memphis, vs. Raptors and vs. Wizards.

During our next 3 home games, I'm pledging $1000 per point to North Bay fire relief. Join me by pledging any amount: https://t.co/IRUXEdItDM http://pic.twitter.com/oTAbssc1I5

— klay thompson (@KlayThompson) October 20, 2017

“We will be donating to the Redwood Credit Union’s fire relief efforts,” Thompson said. “Let’s stick together because a lot of loved ones and families have been displaced and lost from these terrible events, property’s been damaged. But we can build this thing back up if we stick together and donate.”

Los Angeles Clippers center DeAndre Jordan is also assisting in northern California fire relief efforts by donating $100 per rebound for the season.

This season, I'll be donating $100 per rebound to Help Rebuild my hometown of Houston from the destruction of Hurricane Harvey. Tonight: 24 REBOUNDS = $2,400

A post shared by DeAndre Jordan (@deandre) on Oct 19, 2017 at 11:06pm PDT

We’ll update this post with any other teams or athletes who are contributing to the relief efforts.

[buddyrabrahams]

Report: Warriors now hopeful Kevin Durant will return before end of regular season

Former MVP Kevin Durant appears to be making significant strides in his recovery from a left knee injury.

According to a report by Marc Stein of ESPN on Wednesday, Durant’s progress now has his Golden State Warriors hopeful that he will be able to return before the end of the regular season.

Story posting now w/ @chrisbhaynes: ESPN sources say Kevin Durant's progress has Warriors hopeful he can return before end of regular season

— Marc Stein (@ESPNSteinLine) March 22, 2017

Durant was injured in a game against the Washington Wizards on February 28, roughly three weeks ago (video here). He was officially diagnosed with a sprained MCL and a tibial bone bruise and the team announced that the eight-time All-Star forward would be re-evaluated in four weeks.

The Warriors have 11 games left in the regular season and will conclude it in exactly three weeks with an April 12 game against the Los Angeles Lakers. With the San Antonio Spurs lurking just 2.5 games behind them for the top overall seed in the Western Conference, the possibility of having Durant back to work his way into shape again before the postseason is about as excellent of a development as they coud have hoped for.

from Larry Brown Sports http://ift.tt/2nDnQWm

[monsterlovelil]

RECOVER YOUR STOLEN FUNDS FROM ONLINE SCAMMERS

A financial regulator, private investigator, and funds recovery organization goes by the name WIZARD LARRY RECOVERY. Their areas of expertise include issues involving cryptocurrency, recovery scams, fake investment schemes, and ethical hacking. There is no need for an upfront payment. Additionally, they are professionals in credit repair (EQUIFAX, EXPERIAN, TRANSUNION). To begin, send an email to the support team at the address provided below.

[buddyrabrahams]

Kevin Love could return on Cavs’ upcoming road trip

It may be time for the Cleveland Cavaliers to queue up “Come And Get Your Love” on their Spotify playlist.

Cavs general manager David Griffin said that four-time All-Star big man Kevin Love participated in a three-on-three scrimmage on Tuesday and could return on the team’s upcoming four-game road trip that begins Saturday in Los Angeles against the Clippers, per Joe Vardon of Cleveland.com.

The 28-year-old Love, who is putting up the best numbers of his Cavs career this season with 20.0 points and 11.1 rebounds per game, hasn’t played since February 11 after undergoing arthroscopic surgery on his left knee. A return in the next several days would put Love ahead of the recovery timetable he was originally given and would provide a much-needed lift for Cleveland as they are currently just two games ahead of the Boston Celtics and 2.5 games ahead of the Washington Wizards for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference.

from Larry Brown Sports http://ift.tt/2n7yHY2