#Trade12 Feedback

[exocapitalmarkets-blog]

Aussie Declines as Reserve Bank of Australia Holds Steady, Hints at Neutral Bias

On Tuesday, the Aussie declined after Australia's central bank held steady as expected in its latest interest rate decision as investors detected tones of a more neutral bias and with investors watchful ahead of a meeting this week between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Florida expected to be contentious on trade.

AUD/USD traded down 0.34% to 0.7580, while USD/JPY adjusted at 110.43, declined 0.42%. The U.S. dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strong point against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, eased 0.04% to 100.32.

"The outlook continues to be supported by the low level of interest rates," RBA Governor Philip Lowe said in a statement. "Lenders have recently announced increases in mortgage rates, particularly those paid by investors. Financial institutions remain in a good position to lend. The depreciation of the exchange rate since 2013 has also assisted the economy in its transition following the mining investment boom. An appreciating exchange rate would complicate this adjustment."

Earlier, Australia reported a trade balance excess of A$3.574 billion, almost double the A$1.80 billion perceived as exports increased 1% and imports plunged 5%. The NZIER business confidence survey for the first quarter indicated a dip to 17% from 28%, although the New Zealand think tank said capacity utilization increased to 93.6% from 92.7%. NZD/USD traded at 0.6984, declined 0.41%.

Markets in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan and India are close for public holidays.

Suddenly, on Monday, the greenback stayed  slightly beyond break-even against a basket of major currencies, as investors mulled over the release of mixed economic statistics. Additionally, the Bank of Japan will report core CPI with a 0.2% increase expected year-on-year.

The greenback retreated from session peaks, as March construction spending declined below economists’ forecasts while economic activity in the manufacturing sector reduced less than expected.

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) hit 57.2 in March, a 0.5% dropped from the February reading of 57.7 but slightly beyond economists’ forecasts of 57.0.

Temporarily, the Commerce Department stated, February U.S. construction spending surged 0.8% to its highest level in over  ten years, but it missed analysts’ expectations of 1% increased.

Somewhere else, the pound lost some of its resilience against the greenback, as GBP/USD plummeted to a session low of $1.2466, after UK manufacturing activity declined in March. Financial data company Markit stated its purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 54.2 from a downwardly revised 54.5 in February.

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[tareqelic-blog]

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