#Robert b. Hubbell Newsletter

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

Sign of the Day... in Greenwich Village...

(Mary Elaine LeBey)

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Kamala Harris meets the moment!

September 11, 2024

Robert B. Hubbell

Kamala Harris’s debate performance exceeded the unfair and asymmetrical expectations imposed on her by the press and pundits. She was terrific—in command of the facts, unfazed by Trump's bluster, personable, sincere, and likable but strong. That is a difficult mix to maintain in the face of a torrent of lies shouted by a bully who could not be controlled by the moderators. For those who were worried about the possibility that Kamala Harris would somehow stumble and harm her electoral prospects, put those worries aside. The reverse happened. She soared while Trump collapsed into his hollow shell.

Kamala Harris was confident and at ease. Trump sputtered and dodged in a futile effort to avoid answering the moderators’ questions.

I was struck by judgments delivered during the debate by two preeminent historians. I follow both Heather Cox Richardson and Michael Beschloss on Twitter. Near the end of the debate, the historians posted the following comments, which encapsulated the debate for me:

Heather Cox Richardson: “Trump is proving world leaders like him by citing Viktor Orban. Dear heavens. She is walking him like a poodle.” Michael Beschlossos: “From start to end, Kamala Harris has just delivered what is easily one of the most successful Presidential debate performances in all of American history.”

First, I hope HCR writes a book or starts a rock band with the name, “Walking Him Like a Poodle.” HCR’s comment gets to the pith of the debate: Kamala Harris was in charge, leading Trump into traps he knew were traps but could not avoid. In the instance cited by HCR, VP Harris chided Trump, saying that world leaders laugh at him and military leaders believe he is a “disgrace.” Trump responded by citing Viktor Orbán as a leader who respects him. As HCR said, “Dear heavens.” Trump was outmatched and outclassed—bigly.

Michael Beschloss’s comment is significant because it ranks Harris’s performance in the historical context of presidential debates. The precise ranking of her performance matters less than the fact it will be near the top, according to one of the nation’s preeminent historians.

There is too much to cover in tonight’s newsletter, so I will focus on the major newsworthy positions revealed in the debate. I will return later in the week to additional subjects when transcripts and analyses are available. Of note:

Harris presented herself as a candidate offering “generational change.”

Harris advocated for the middle class and small businesses.

Harris promised to sign a bill enacting the protections of Roe v. Wade.

Harris promised to sign the border bill that Trump convinced Republicans to kill.

Harris promised to reinstitute the child tax credit and institute a $6,000 credit for families with newborns

Trump refused to acknowledge that he lost the 2020 election.

Trump refused to express any regret for anything he did or failed to do regarding the January 6 insurrection.

Trump refused to say whether he would veto a national abortion ban.

Trump repeatedly claimed that Democrats advocate for the execution of babies after birth.

Trump refused to say why he urged Republicans to defeat the border bill.

Trump claimed that tariffs are “taxes on foreign nations.”

Trump refused to say whether he hoped Ukraine would defeat Russia war of aggression.

Trump said he didn’t have a plan for healthcare after nine years but has only “concepts for a plan.”

Trump repeated a racist slur that Haitian migrants are stealing and eating pets them in Springfield, Ohio.

No one who watched the debate could believe anything other than the fact that Kamala Harris is smart, capable, and up to the challenge of serving as president and commander-in-chief. Moreover, the debate served as a hyper-charged “media interview”—complete with hostile questions and an obnoxious heckler.

One of the first commentators to publish a review of the debate is David Frum in The Atlantic, How Harris Roped a Dope | She stayed human when Trump went feral. Per Frum,

Vice President Kamala Harris walked onto the ABC News debate stage with a mission: trigger a Trump meltdown. She succeeded. Former President Donald Trump had a mission too: control yourself. He failed. Trump lost his cool over and over. Goaded by predictable provocations, he succumbed again and again. Trump was pushed into broken-sentence monologues—and even an all-out attack on the 2020 election outcome. He repeated crazy stories about immigrants eating cats and dogs, and was backward-looking, personal, emotional, defensive, and frequently incomprehensible.

One final note: During the debate, I received outraged emails from readers about the moderators' failure to control Trump or treat Kamala Harris fairly. While true, let’s not make the debate about the moderators. That is what Republicans are doing tonight—to avoid talking about Trump's meltdown. Let’s focus on Kamala Harris’s ability to show Americans that she is up to the job of being president. That’s the story; let’s not bury the lead.

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

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You must watch / read this.

I hope you watched David Muir’s interview with President Biden, linked here [Remarks by President Biden Commemorating the 80th Anniversary of D-Day | Collevile-sur-Mer, France]. If you did, you know that Joe Biden is on top of complex issues and has a command of the facts. Now watch (or read) the following exchange (posted on Twitter by Decoding Fox News on X).

In the video clip, a Fox interviewer asks Trump, “What is your relationship with God like, and how do you pray?”

Here is Trump’s answer (transcribed by me from the video; please excuse any errors in capturing Trump’s word salad). Remember, the question is: What is your relationship with God like, and how do you pray?” Let’s see how well Trump answers that question:

Okay, so I think it’s good. I do very well with the evangelicals. And I have more people saying they pray for me. I can’t even believe it. And they are so committed, and they are so believing. They say, “Sir, You’re gonna be okay. I pray for you every night.” I mean everybody. Almost, I can’t say everybody, but almost everybody that sees me, they say, it’s such a beautiful thing. You know, what’s a beautiful thing too? When you look at all of this bad stuff going on, they have nothing to look up to, they have no God, they have no anything. They kill people, they beat people, they push people into subways. So, there’s just nothing there. Religion is such a great thing. It keeps you … you know, there’s something to be good about. You want to be good. You want to …it’s so important, and I don’t know if it’s explained right. I don’t know if I’m explaining it right. But when you have something like that you want to be good. You want to go to heaven. Okay? You want to go to heaven. If you don’t have heaven, you almost say, “What’s the reason? Why do I have to be good? What difference does it make?”

The question was, “What is your relationship with God like, and how do you pray?”

Did Trump answer the question? No. He doesn’t believe in God, much less pray to God. So he threw spaghetti against the wall in the hope that no one would notice that he has no inner spiritual life.

More importantly, Trump’s syntax and thought process demonstrate a seriously disordered mind incapable of stringing together more than five or six words at a time before suddenly shifting to a new thought.

And this is the man to whom many evangelical Christians have tied their fate and that of their nation—not to mention their souls and salvation (within their belief framework).

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

[misfitwashere]

February 4, 2025

ROBERT B. HUBBELL

FEB 4

LISTEN TO POST · 18:52

With the benefit of 48 hours to organize, we are beginning to see strong signs of resistance from grass-roots groups, congressional Democrats, and a few media outlets as they challenge the unfolding coup driven by Musk for Trump. This is welcome news, indeed!

[After proofreading this newsletter, I realized that I “buried the lead.” Here it is: There is a protest in D.C. on Tuesday at 5 p.m. in front of the Treasury Building, organized by MoveOn and Indivisible. See article below or just sign up here.]

I start with a quick note about the continued reluctance to recognize what is happening as a coup. Jen Psaki on MSNBC referred to the events as a “hostile takeover of the government.” In 100% of the other instances of a “hostile takeover of a government,” Jen Psaki would call it a “coup,” but apparently, special rules apply to Trump.

Likewise, the New York Times published a well-researched, exhaustive article (accessible to all, here) that details the dozens of actions taken by Musk and Trump to overthrow the Constitution. But that 75-paragraph article does not use any of the following words: “legal, illegal, Constitution, unconstitutional, or coup.” The strongest description of Trump's actions the NYT reporters could muster is this cold sauce:

Mr. Musk’s aggressive incursions into at least half a dozen government agencies have challenged congressional authority and potentially breached civil service protections.

Although the facts constituting the coup are contained within the four corners of the NYTimes’ article, the reporters can’t rouse themselves to speak the truth about what is happening. So, the NYTimes’ reporters get an “A+” in “Homework” but a “D-“ in “Citizenship.”

Apart from independent commentators on BlueSky, Substack, and YouTube, no one in the mainstream press has called Trump's actions a “coup.” (Notably, Timothy Snyder did so in his Substack article, The Logic of Destruction.” Snyder includes the following, “All of this work was preparatory to the coup that is going on now.”)

But The Guardian broke ranks with the legacy media on Monday with an editorial entitled, “The Guardian view on Donald Trump’s power grab: a coup veiled by chaos.

The Guardian editorial board writes,

Donald Trump is provoking a US constitutional crisis, claiming sweeping powers to override or bypass Congress’s control over spending in a brazen attempt to centralize financial power in the executive branch. If he succeeds, Nobel laureate Paul Krugman warns, it would be a 21st-century coup – with power slipping from elected officials’ hands. The real story hidden behind the president’s trade war, he says, is the hijacking of government. And Mr Krugman’s right.

We need to raise the alarm if we expect our leaders to respond vigorously and urgently to the dagger aimed at the beating heart of our democracy—the Constitution. It’s a coup. Say its name. It’s not an outrage. It’s not a hostile takeover. It’s not a “challenge to congressional authority.” It is a coup that seeks to neutralize the framework of checks and balances carefully crafted by the Framers. 

[fractalnavel]

Posted some links that I was following a while back. Here are some more.

[tinydick2]

Your mother has a tiny dick asshole

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Trump's legal and money problems get worse.

Trump pleaded poverty to a NY appellate court on Wednesday, arguing that he didn’t have the money to obtain a bond to prevent collection on the half-billion-dollar civil fraud judgment. On Friday, Trump posted a statement on Truth Social claiming that he did, in fact, have $500 million to obtain a bond. See AP, Trump says he has nearly $500 million in cash but doesn't want to use it to pay New York judgment.

It doesn’t matter whether Trump is lying about having a half billion dollars in cash. By claiming he does, the New York appellate court is unlikely to grant Trump relief from posting the bond. NY AG Letitia James can begin executing the judgment at the close of business on Monday.

There is a point to this development beyond Trump undermining his legal defense. It is another illustration of Trump's inability to control his rage when his ego is involved. And his ego will be on the line again and again through November—both because of his legal jeopardy and his faltering performance on the campaign trail.

It appears that Democrats are paying close attention to Trump's descent into madness and rage. Biden’s stump speech now has a section mocking Trump's claim that he is broke, which is likely to provoke Trump into making more unforced errors.

One potential wildcard for Trump is his ability to pull money out of a security offering by Truth Social’s new parent company.

While Trump may eventually be able to sell some securities in the parent company and generate cash, that is a complicated and uncertain process. Jay Kuo does a nice job of explaining the mechanics of such a sale. More importantly, Kuo points out the potential for corruption and foreign manipulation of a president whose finances are tied to a stock that has no inherent value. See Jay Kuo on Substack, Status Kuo, The Publicly-Traded Presidential Candidate.

However, the public offering of Truth Social stock will likely be a curse for Trump. Being a controlling person in a public company is no picnic. Trump will be subject to a regulatory scheme and disclosures that do not apply to private citizens. Trump hates scrutiny of his finances. It makes it more difficult for him to lie.

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

TFG’s sponsor needs to know.

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MLK at 95.

January 15, 2024

ROBERT B. HUBBELL

Martin Luther King, Jr. was born 95 years ago on January 15, 1929. As a Baptist minister, he advocated non-violence while promoting civil rights. He spoke for the poor, the oppressed, and the disenfranchised. While he was imprisoned in a Birmingham jail for protesting segregation, he responded to eight white ministers who had criticized him for participating in protests that they described as “unwise and untimely.”

Dr. King’s famous reply to the white ministers explained why he traveled to Birmingham from Atlanta to protest:

I cannot sit idly by in Atlanta and not be concerned about what happens in Birmingham. Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere. We are caught in an inescapable network of mutuality, tied in a single garment of destiny. Whatever affects one directly affects all indirectly. Never again can we afford to live with the narrow, provincial outside agitator" idea. Anyone who lives inside the United States can never be considered an outsider.

While Dr. King was keenly aware of the racism that served as the understructure of the Christian church in the old South, he would be shocked by the virulent, mean-spirited, anti-Christian message that animates many (not all) evangelical congregations in America today. They form the backbone of Donald Trump's support in Iowa and beyond. They have adopted Trump's message that treats the poor, oppressed, and disenfranchised as “outsiders” and “others” who do not belong in America.

Over the last several days, we have learned that members of the Texas National Guard physically blocked federal Border Patrol agents from responding to reports of immigrants in distress in the Rio Grande. The bodies of a mother and two children were later recovered from the river in the area where immigrants were reported to be in distress.

Texas, of course, denies that its cruel actions caused the drownings—a denial that should be viewed skeptically from a state whose governor—Greg Abbott—recently commented Texas troopers could not shoot immigrants crossing the border because the troopers would be charged with murder by the Biden administration. Texas governor criticized after comment about shooting migrants | The Texas Tribune.

Similar animus underlies the recent comments of Mississippi Governor Tate Reeves, who withdrew Mississippi from a federal program to provide food to school children during summer breaks. Governor Reeves said Mississippi withdrew from the program to fight “attempts to expand the welfare state.”

Blocking efforts to rescue a drowning mother and her children? Regretting the inability to shoot immigrants because it would be murder? Denying food to poor children out of spite? Who are these people? How do they look at themselves in the mirror?

Ninety-five years after Dr. King’s birth and fifty-five years after his death, it is difficult to believe that people who identify as upstanding members of the Christian church can support such actions.

Another section from Dr. King’s Letter from a Birmingham Jail is relevant to this moment in our nation’s history:

But the judgment of God is upon the church as never before. If the church of today does not recapture the sacrificial spirit of the early church, it will lose its authentic ring, forfeit the loyalty of millions, and be dismissed as an irrelevant social club with no meaning for the twentieth century. I meet young people every day whose disappointment with the church has risen to outright disgust.

Dr. King’s words were prophetic. See Pew Research (10/17/19) In U.S., Decline of Christianity Continues at Rapid Pace.

And, of course, as Dr. King recognized, “there are some notable exceptions” among church leaders who supported his work—just as there are exceptions today. Several readers have recommended Faithful America as an antidote to Christian nationalism. The organization’s helpful FAQ page explains why “Christian nationalism” is not Christian. See Resisting Christian Nationalism: FAQ + Resources | Faithful America.

On this day commemorating Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.’s birth, we can see how far we have come—and how much further we must go. He didn’t despair. Neither should we.

Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter

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Committee Flops Like A Dead Fish

Robert Hubbell’s newsletter this morning covered a few important and encouraging topics, for those of us who are feeling a bit overwhelmed by the right-wing drama of late, both in the House of Representatives and in the State of Florida!  Here is just one of the topics he covered … Democrats Fight Back! Robert B. Hubbell 7 March 2023 Democrats have been frustrated by the asymmetry between GOP…

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Democrat Tom Souzzi wins in NY 3rd congressional district.

Tom Souzzi won the NY 3rd congressional district election to replace disgraced GOP ex-member of the House, George Santos. While Santos won by 7 percentage points in 2022, Souzzi won by approximately 8 percentage points in 2024—a swing of 15 points. By all measures, the outcome is a positive signal for Democratic prospects in November. But—on cue—talking heads are already explaining away Souzzi’s victory and predicting tough headwinds for Joe Biden. Don’t believe them.

Major media thrives on the counter-narrative, i.e., predictions of doom and gloom that seek to turn good news into bad and bad news into catastrophe. Here is a case in point: On Monday, CNN ran an article on the upcoming election in NY 3rd congressional district entitled, New York Democrats are worried about Tuesday’s special election. They have good reason to be.

The CNN article included the sub-headline “Democrats on the brink, and Republicans on the rise,” and predicted that the election would serve as a litmus test for Democratic prospects in November:

“The outcome (of the race) will be a measure of how the Democratic brand can affect races all over the country,” [Larry ] Levy [of Hofstra University] said. “If Suozzi can’t withstand the damage the Democratic Party has sustained over inflation, Israel and immigration, then I’m not sure who could.” [¶] Though no single contest . . . can claim to foretell what comes next in national politics, “Suozzi vs. Mazi” (it rhymes) comes awfully close.

CNN, which has recently turned Trump-curious, undoubtedly regrets claiming that the NY 3rd congressional election “comes awfully close” to predicting “what comes next in national politics.”

There is some truth in CNN’s statement. Speaker Mike Johnson and GOP vice-presidential nominee in-waiting Elise Stefanik campaigned hard for Suozzi’s opponent, hammering on immigration. Both Johnson and Stefanik should be rethinking their approach to immigration today.

We cannot become complacent because of Suozzi’s victory. Rather, the lesson is that we must replicate the enormous effort that went into securing Suozzi’s victory. Even CNN recognized that an army of grassroots volunteers helped Suozzi:

Grassroots progressive groups like Engage Long Island, which is part of the Indivisible network, have been feverishly knocking on doors – taking their case directly to like-minded neighbors. And Suozzi has massively outraised Pilip, taking in $4.5 million to her $1.3 million, according to Federal Election Commission filings that cover the beginning of October through January 24 of this year.

Tonight, we all owe a debt of gratitude to the grassroots volunteers at Indivisible, PostCardsToVoters (sent 202,236 fully handwritten postcards to Democrats in NY-03), Markers for Democracy, Swing Left, and dozens of other groups that did the hard work of getting out the vote to ensure victory! You are all heroes!

There will be much analysis of what this victory means, but none will be more reliable and salient than that of Simon Rosenberg at Hopium Chronicles. Simon played a key role in motivating grassroots volunteers to join the effort to elect Suozzi. I recommend that you check out Simon’s Substack blog on Wednesday. See Simon Rosenberg, Hopium Chronicles.

But the last word goes to the Biden Campaign, which released this statement:

Donald Trump lost again tonight. When Republicans run on Trump’s extreme agenda – even in a Republican-held seat—voters reject them. As we saw in 2020, 2022, . . . .

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

[garudabluffs]

What happens now? Judge Dearie will continue his review of the non-classified documents. We should expect that process will turn out badly for Trump. And then . . . sometime in 2023, we should expect an indictment of Trump for espionage.

“A reader asked in the Comments section yesterday whether the crime of espionage requires an intent to share the defense secrets with another party. It does not. Under Subsection (d) of the 18 USC § 793 (Espionage Act), if a person lawfully obtains possession of information harmful to the security interests of the United States (if disclosed), the person is guilty of espionage if he “willfully retains the same and fails to deliver it on demand to the officer or employee of the United States entitled to receive it."

Thus, under the Espionage Act, there is no requirement of an intent to share the information with anyone. Continued possession of defense secrets after a demand for their return is espionage. That is why the DOJ will indict Trump.”

READ MORE https://roberthubbell.substack.com/p/a-good-day

88 Comments “This was quite a masterpiece Mr. Hubbell.  I appreciate your excellent summary of events and the links to documents.  I would also like to add Mr. Raskin's diatribe against the Republicans in the House yesterday.  He gave them heck concerning the January 6 Select Committee.  Here is the link:https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/let-s-tell-some-truth-raskin-goes-scorched-earth-on-republicans-during-hearing-over-opposition-to-jan-6-committee/ar-AA126gqR#:~:text=View%20Profile-,%E2%80%98Let%E2%80%99s%20Tell%20Some%20Truth!%E2%80%99%20Raskin%20Goes%20Scorched%20Earth%20on%20Republicans%20During%20Hearing%20Over%20Opposition%20to%20Jan.%206%20Committee,-Michael%20Luciano%20%2D

Robert B. Hubbell  12 hr ago Author

“There is a DOJ rule against indicting within 69 days of an election. I suppose a November or December indictment is possible .”

“Is it possible for TFG to appeal the 11th Court's decion to the Supreme Court?” Robert B. Hubbell Author “Possible. Highly unlikely that the Court would grant review.”

“A terrific newsletter! To add frosting to the cake of Robert's excellent perspective, check out Lawrence Tribe's conversation Wednesday at the weekly Community Advocates/Jews United for Democracy and Justice. It's on YouTube at” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAg9rT2csgc.

COMMENTS “And may I quote constitutional law scholar Laurence Tribe, who last night stated on a Zoom with Jews United for Democracy and Justice: "The recoking is coming for the president."  (Former president!) I slept well.”

Legal expert reacts to Trump's inaccurate claim about declassifying

https://youtu.be/wAkvJPd1uoI

Attorney who sued Trump over real estate properties speaks out

CNN's Jim Sciutto and Poppy Harlow discuss the New York attorney general's lawsuit against Trump accusing him of business fraud with New York real estate attorney Adam Leitman Bailey. Bailey has sued Trump in the past over his real estate properties.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1H_HZlL8cJg

Trump Seems To Think His Presidential Powers Continue

“Former Chief of Staff at the Department of Homeland Security Miles Taylor, former FBI counterintelligence agent Pete Strzok, former U.S. attorney Harry Litman, and Wall Street Journal Justice Department reporter Sadie Gurman react to Trump’s claim that he declassified documents just by “thinking” about it “

364,376 views Sep 22, 2022 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDoIn23gyxg

3,612 Comments  

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

Something is happening. Americans are organizing to fight the oligarchy. Turns out, circumventing the Constitution, crashing the economy, and cutting vital services to fund tax cuts for the wealthy is not very popular. This is in Denver.

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It’s happening, folks!

March 24, 2025

Robert B. Hubbell

It’s happening, folks! The resistance is picking up steam, gaining the momentum needed to reach the tipping point. Readers from around the nation reported in yesterday’s Comment section about their participation in weekend protests and town halls in Maplewood, Minnesota; Buncombe County, North Carolina; Westwood, California; Bozeman, Montana; Dedham, Massachusetts; Indiana Dunes National Park; San Diego, California, and more.

Josh Marshall of Talking Points Memo wrote the following in his Sunday evening post:

They’re happening: ’empty chair’ town halls in Republican districts pretty much all over the place. This weekend we’ve got reports in Columbus, Ohio for Sens, Moreno and Husted, on Maryland’s eastern shore, where Jamie Raskin had to show up in place of Andy Harris; [I]n Little Rock for French Hill, Tom Cotton and John Boozman, in Lexington for Andy Barr; [I]n Billings, nearly a 1,000 showed up for no shows Daines, Sheehy and Downing, about 300 for Daines, Sheehy and Zinke in Missoula, and another big turnout for no show Darrell Issa outside San Diego.

Marshall’s list represents a small portion of the “empty chair” town hall meetings sweeping the nation.

On Friday evening, Senator Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez drew a crowd of 15,000 in Tempe, with 123,000 people watching online! To other Democratic Senators and Representatives, follow the example being set by Bernie and AOC! The people crave leadership at this perilous moment. Provide it!

The protests are succeeding because they are re-writing the political narrative. We have gone from the false narrative of “Trump's electoral mandate” to the true narrative of “the American people are rebelling against Trump and Musk.” Protests help provide legitimacy and authority to court rulings. Most importantly, they inspire more Americans to speak out and join the protests.

As good as the protests have been to date, we need more protests everywhere—big, small, and in between. We are approaching two days of national protest—please make an effort to join them:

March 29, 2025—A plan to hold 500 protests against Elon Musk / Tesla across the nation. See "Tesla Takedown" movement plans 500 protests in 277 stores, Superchargers

April 5, 2025—A national day of protest, see 50501 — 50 protests, 50 states, 1 movement to learn about an event near you. This national day of protest is co-sponsored by multiple organizations including 50501, Indivisible, Women’s March, and Hands Off!

Keep up the good work! We are gaining momentum!

Pause for a moment to reflect on the unlawfulness and destruction of Doge

As I mentioned in my Saturday livestream comments, an unfortunate side-effect of reporting everything that is being destroyed by Doge and Trump is that the media has begun to skip over the most important point: Everything Musk and Doge are doing is unconstitutional, unlawful, and likely illegal (as in a violation of US criminal law).

No story about the latest round of cuts or closures is complete unless it includes a statement to the effect that they are, “In violation of the constitutional Appropriations Clause, the Appointments Clause, and the president’s duty to “take care that the laws are faithfully executed,. And the story should also include, “The failure to disburse funds appropriated by Congress violates the 1974 Impoundment Control Act . . . .”

Let’s not give into the notion that Musk, Doge, and Trump have the legal authority to shutter agencies, withhold funds, or cancel contracts. They do not.

Finally, in a shocking—shocking—as in s-h-o-c-k-i-n-g development, IRS has circulated an internal report that estimates that the Doge disruption to the IRS has caused the loss of half a trillion in tax revenue. See Talking Points Memo, IRS Predicts DOGE Lost Half a Trillion Dollars for the USA.

Although a report in the Washington Post disclosed the IRS memo, I have unsubscribed and blocked WaPo from my newsfeed. But Josh Marshall describes the situation as follows:

Based on the number of taxpayers who have filed tax returns and paid to date, the IRS predicts that tax receipts through April 15, 2025, will be $500 billion below historical norms. It is possible that some of that difference is temporary (which increases the US debt and borrowing costs) but some of it is likely intended to be permanent, i.e., people not paying taxes because they believe staff reductions at the IRS decrease the likelihood of collection efforts. Not a good situation for the US—and a direct consequence of the reckless, counter-productive cuts by Doge.

For comparison, the $500 billion decrease caused by Doge disruption is about one-fourth of the IRS's annual collections. That is a sizable hole in US tax revenue.

This is a MAJOR scandal that could have significant consequences for the US debt.

[In a related story, the IRS is near an agreement with ICE to confirm the addresses of undocumented migrants in the US. The IRS encouraged undocumented migrants to file tax returns—and many did. Now that the IRS is going to use tax returns to help ICE locate undocumented migrants, what is the likely effect on the number of migrants who will file tax returns? See IRS nearing agreement to use its data to help ICE locate undocumented migrants | CNN Politics]

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

Bruce McKinnon

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Every effort matters—now more than ever!

March 3, 2025

Robert B. Hubbell

It is a tough time to be an ordinary American who believes in democracy, the rule of law, and the value of good government. From the cheap seats, it appears that all three are under a brutal assault from Trump and Musk designed to weaken America as a global force for good. In a bizarre twist worthy of The Twilight Zone, Trump and Musk’s campaign of destruction seems carefully crafted to benefit the world’s worst dictator and sworn enemy of American democracy, Vladimir Putin, a goal that is warmly embraced by a party that only a decade ago wrapped itself in patriotism and pro-democracy foreign policy.

But America’s political and media classes seem oddly unconcerned and detached from reality. True, Democrats in Congress express concern—but in the same way, they express concern about policy fights over revisions to the tax code. (To be fair, a handful of notable exceptions are out on a limb without the support of their party.) Our Democratic leaders use their minority status in Congress to justify their strange quiescence—an explanation that accepts defeat as the status quo.

The media is a husk of its former self. Firebrands and self-styled crusaders who took Biden to task for every inconsequential verbal slip now report on grotesque lies and unprecedented betrayals by Trump with the ennui of a weatherman predicting increasing darkness in the late afternoon and early evening.

What is wrong with these people?

I spent the better part of Sunday speaking with Americans living in London. They care deeply, passionately about the fate of their homeland’s democracy. They are stunned by the inexplicable ability of Democratic leaders to fashion a unified front to challenge the blitzkrieg of lies emanating from the Oval Office each day.

Is the failure of Democratic leaders a lack of ability? Of desire? Or the triumph of personal ambition regarding 2028 presidential politics over their willingness to serve as a leader of the loyal opposition in our nation’s hour of need?

The silence is deafening. There is a grand disconnect. I had no answer for Americans abroad wondering why the deep pool of talented politicians in the Democratic Party was missing in action at a moment of crisis for their beloved country. But I was able to assure them that the grassroots movement is responding to the call without waiting for politicians to lead the way.

Organic protests are spreading across the US, including protests targeting Tesla dealerships. See News24, 'We are taking action': 9 people arrested at Tesla dealership as anti-Musk protests break out in US. (“Throngs of protesters also descended on the electric vehicle maker's showrooms in Jacksonville, Florida; Tucson, Arizona, and other cities, blocking traffic, chanting and waving signs . . . .”)

Like the Civil Rights Era in the 20th Century and the anti-war movement of the 1960s, we are experiencing a moment in our history where the people drag their leaders kicking and screaming into the future—at which point those reluctant leaders will take credit for victory. So be it. We must stop asking, “Where are our leaders?” and start doing the work until they show up to join us on the front lines.

The pattern behind Trump's embrace of Putin in Friday’s Oval Office meeting

The events of the lastthree days have revealed a disturbing change in the US-Russia relationship.

On Friday, Trump ended 80 years of alliance between Western nations by attacking and dishonoring the leader of the European nation on the frontlines of the effort to halt Russian expansionism. As Trump berated President Zelensky, Trump characterized himself and Vladimir Putin as “co-victims” of the US investigation into Russia’s interference in the 2016 election.

The next day, Elon Musk agreed with a tweet asserting that the US should leave NATO and the UN.

When European leaders met on Sunday in a pre-planned security conference in London, Russia’s former president Dmitry Medvedev condemned the meeting as an “anti-Trump Russophobic coven [of witches].” Medvedev speaks for Putin.

On Sunday, the NYTimes reported that the US Department of Defense has unilaterally ceased cyber operations against Russia, hobbling the US’s ability to understand Russia’s true intentions at a critical juncture in world politics.

Late last week, The Guardian reported that the US no longer views Russian cyberattacks against the US as a priority. See The Guardian, Trump administration retreats in fight against Russian cyber threats. There is no indication that Russia has stopped cyberattacks against the US or that it has “de-prioritized” American cyberattacks on Russia.

In the span of 72-hours, Trump effectively surrendered to Russia in a cyberwar that has been waged continuously for decades. Trump's disgraceful actions in the Oval Office on Friday must be viewed in the broader context of Trump's embrace of Russia.

The media is failing to tell that broader story by trivializing a foreign relations debacle into a “Will he, or won’t he?” story about Trump's ludicrous demand for Zelensky to “apologize.” See BBC report, Laura Kuenssberg, asking Zelensky if he would “express[] some regret to President Trump after your heated confrontation at the White House on Friday.”

At least the BBC reporter didn’t ask Zelensky if he would resign, which has become the new talking point for MAGA politicians in the US: Following Trump's Lead, His Allies Lash Out At Zelenskyy And Suggest He May Need To Resign | HuffPost Latest News

DOGE hackers shut down key IT unit designed to coordinate US government public-facing computer networks

DOGE has summarily dismantled a key information technology group at the center of the federal government’s public-facing computer systems. See Josh Marshall in Talking Points Memo, In-House Gov Tech Unit for State of the Art Web Portals Disbanded by Doge.

The unit that was disbanded was known as “18F.” Its job was to make public-facing websites of the federal government more user-friendly and functional—things like making it easier to complete and file your tax returns for free on the IRS website.

The now-former employees of 18F published a letter on Sunday that explained what they did and why their dissolution will hurt the American people. See 18F: We are dedicated to the American public and we're not done yet. The letter reads, in part, as follows:

[The terminations were] a surprise to all 18F staff and our agency partners. Just yesterday we were working on important projects, including improving access to weather data with NOAA, making it easier and faster to get a passport with the Department of State, supporting free tax filing with the IRS, and other critical projects with organizations at the federal and state levels.

All 18F's support on that work has now abruptly come to a halt. Since the entire staff was also placed on administrative leave, we have been locked out of our computers, and have no chance to assist in an orderly transition in our work. . . .

Before today’s RIF, DOGE members and GSA political appointees demanded and took access to IT systems that hold sensitive information. They ignored security precautions. Some who pushed back on this questionable behavior resigned rather than grant access.

The chaos-termination of the 18F computer group is being repeated across the federal government. Doge has apparently targeted 50% of the Social Security Administration staff—a move that will hurt service levels for seniors who depend on SSA payments to meet basic living expenses.

These cuts are painful and will cause chaos. That chaos and pain will spur a backlash against Republicans that should allow Democrats to take back the House (and possibly the Senate) in 2026 if only the Democratic Party can get its act together—PRONTO! We need a daily news conference with effective messaging by dynamic, charismatic leaders who are not Chuck Schumer!

Litigation against Trump / Musk / Doge

In a significant ruling, US District Judge William Alsup ruled that the federal Office of Personnel Management does not have the authority to fire federal employees. The ruling reaches 16,000 probationary employees dismissed by a directive from the Office of Personnel Management. See Democracy Docket, Judge Says Trump Administration Ordering Mass Firings Was Unlawful.

Judge Alsup wrote, in part,

The Office of Personnel Management does not have any authority whatsoever under any statute in the history of the universe to hire and fire employees at another agency.

Alsup acknowledged that agencies—not the OPM—can fire probationary employees but that those agencies cannot be compelled to do so by OPM. Alsup also acknowledged that he cannot compel the rehiring of employees. The ruling may, however, provide a basis for the wrongfully terminated employees to seek damages from the US government based on their unlawful terminations.

In a separate matter, US. District Judge Amy Berman Jackson has again ruled that Trump unlawfully fired the head of the US office charged with oversight of whistleblower claims. See Bloomberg, Trump’s Firing of Whistleblower Agency Head Ruled Unlawful. Judge Jackson ruled that Trump failed to make a “for cause” finding to justify the firing of the special counsel.

Judge Jackson noted that circumventing the “for cause” requirement would amount to “a constitutional license to bully officials in the executive branch into doing his will.”

Concluding Thoughts

Apologies that this newsletter is more like a rant and less like my usual call to action. But I am reflecting the frustration and anger that I am hearing from readers (both in person and in the Comment section). There seems to be a disconnect that is exacerbating an already mind-boggling situation.

The good news is that everyone seems to “get it”—other than politicians and the media. As I noted, they will be dragged along with the tide of history—a tide whose course we will determine by our actions.

It is up to us to save democracy—a situation that does not distinguish this moment from the thousands of perilous moments that have brought us to this point.

I acknowledge that we are living through an extraordinarily difficult moment. Our most important task is to not quit. If all we do is endure and keep hope alive, that will be enough. That is what Winston Churchill did during the darkest hours of WWII. If we can do the same, we will see victory in 2026 and 2028.

But we can do more—much more. The tide is turning. Republicans are retreating from their constituents. Spontaneous protests are spreading across America. It is happening. Be part of the movement in whatever way you can. No effort is wasted. No gesture is meaningless. No voice is unheard. Everything matters—now more than ever.

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

* * * * *

Texas woman leaves the state to obtain an abortion while Texas Supreme Court ruled that she had no right under Texas law to abortion.

          Kate Cox fled Texas to end a pregnancy that was “incompatible with the life” of the fetus and that threatened her life. Shortly after she fled, the Texas Supreme Court ruled that she had no right to an abortion in Texas. See CNN, Texas Supreme Court rules against pregnant woman seeking abortion as she leaves state for procedure.

          The cruelty and inhumanity of the Texas Supreme Court’s ruling is surpassed only by its denial of personhood to Kate Cox—and every woman relegated to the status of a second-class citizen in Texas. Those who seek to deny reproductive liberty have once again underestimated the reaction of women across America. Kate Cox deserves our sympathy and support. Her courage in challenging Texas’s abortion statute will serve as an example for women across America.

          The deprivation of constitutional liberties in Texas is rightfully the focus of the outrage surrounding this case. But a grim reality underlies the denial of reproductive liberty. In an important article, Katelyn Jetelina outlines the disastrous public health consequences of denying reproductive liberty to women. See Katelyn Jetelina, Your Local Epidemiologist, Women fighting for their lives in the US (substack.com).

          Katelyn Jetelina’s article is incredibly important, and I urge you to read it. She details the suffering imposed on women by reactionary abortion restrictions. For example,

Compared to other high-income countries, the U.S. ranks highest in deaths from pregnancy and childbirth—a mortality rate 20 times higher than the Netherlands.

Non-Hispanic Black women have a maternal mortality rate of 69.8 per 100,000 live births—the highest mortality rate of any racial group.

One study found that every 1-unit increase in the abortion policy index (i.e., more restrictive state-level policies) equated to a 7% increase in maternal mortality.

The estimated increase in maternal mortality post-Dobbs is 24%.

          In short, by restricting reproductive liberty, religious fundamentalists are killing women—something the Texas Supreme Court seemed comfortable with in its ruling on Monday.

          The Texas decision is re-inflicting trauma on thousands of women like Kate Cox and Katelyn Jetelina who suffered through traumatic, life-threatening pregnancies. We will overcome the reactionary movement that has made temporary hostages of our Constitution and women in America. But the tragedy of Kate Cox teaches us that we cannot relent in our battle to restore the liberties guaranteed by the Constitution

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

All over DC and NYC today

* * * *

Backstopping the courts!

February 11, 2025

Robert B. Hubbell

Here is the topline: Defenders of the rule of law are on a judicial winning streak. At the same time, it appears unclear whether Trump and Musk are complying with existing orders compelling them to cease their unlawful behavior. The ‘overwhelming question’ that confronts our democracy is, “What happens if Trump and Musk refuse to obey court orders?”

Legal analysts and political commentators are focusing on that question and often conclude their analysis with something like, “It will be a constitutional crisis.”

That is a highly unsatisfying and incomplete answer. None of the analysts or commentators mention the role of American citizens in pushing back against the ongoing billionaire coup. Yes, we may indeed end up with a constitutional standoff between the executive and the courts, but to pretend that the people have no say in the outcome is an oversight of profound dimensions.

As I wrote yesterday, a system in which the leaders claim to be exempt from the rule of law contains an inherent instability: If the rule of law does not apply to the leaders, it does not apply to the people. That is not a threat but an observation of how other nations have brought dictators to heel. Trump and Musk should, therefore, stop their lawless spree well short of mass action by citizens fed up with a lawless “government.”

The power of mass protests, strikes, stoppages, and boycotts will be particularly potent in America. The US is the largest economy in the world because its markets are stable, its political climate is (relatively) corruption-free, and the rule of law is enforced.

Business thrives on order, predictability, and risk management. If the rule of law is overthrown, business profits will take a nose-dive. The bond market is acting in an unnatural manner, suggesting a deep-seated suspicion that something bad may be happening. The markets are not worried only about Trump's tariffs increasing inflation. They are beginning to price in a risk premium for political instability. (That is my personal opinion based on reading the financial press; I am not an economist.)

Moreover, the full faith and credit of the US depend entirely on American citizens' belief that their tax dollars are spent under the system established in the Constitution—appropriations made by Congress through legislation, signed into law by the president, and implemented by the executive departments and agencies. If Trump and Musk break that system, it raises the obvious question: “What’s in it for the American taxpayer?”

I raise these points not to frighten anyone but rather to give us confidence by following the logic of the current crisis to its inevitable conclusion: The people will prevail.

Even if Trump and Musk lack the emotional intelligence or self-awareness to intuit that fact, the business community that is providing Trump a free pass at the moment is keenly aware of the consequences of breaking the social compact.

I don’t think the crisis will get that far because I believe those around Trump understand the consequences of “crossing the Rubicon” of disregarding court orders. But if it does get that far, I feel pretty good about the prospects of the American people in a political tug of war with Trump and Musk.

With that background, let’s look at how the major developments fit into the narrative.

Courts continue to enjoin illegal and unconstitutional actions by Trump and Musk

As noted above, those defending democracy and the rule of law are on a winning streak against Trump and Musk. But there is worrisome evidence that Trump and Musk are already disregarding court orders. See NYTimes, Judge Says White House Defied His Ruling, as Showdown with Trump Nears (Accessible to all.)

As explained in the Times article,

A federal judge said on Monday that the White House had defied his order to release billions of dollars in federal grants, marking the first time a judge has expressly declared that the Trump administration is disobeying a judicial mandate.

The ruling by Judge John J. McConnell Jr. in Rhode Island federal court ordered administration officials to comply with what the judge called “the plain text” of an ruling he issued on Jan. 29. That order, he wrote, was “clear and unambiguous, and there are no impediments to the Defendants’ compliance.”

The flicker of hope in the above description of the “freeze” lawsuit is that the DOJ is appealing Judge McConnell's ruling. It could have been otherwise; the White House could have simply announced that it was not going to abide by the ruling. The appeal from Judge McConnell's order may be the vehicle that brings the conflict to the Supreme Court.

But, to be absolutely clear, the White House did not say it would comply with Judge McConnell’s order, so the possibility remains that Trump is defying a binding court order as we speak. Time will tell.

Similar cases are trailing behind, including restraining orders or injunctions against executive orders purporting to take the following actions:

Trump's buyout offer to federal workers: USA Today, Judge blocks Trump buyout offer to federal workers.

Trump's massive cuts to healthcare grants (by limiting overhead to 15%). See Politico, Judge temporarily blocks Trump cuts to health research grants.

And new lawsuits are challenging other Trump executive orders:

Public Citizen filed a lawsuit seeking to block the shutdown of foreign aid: Politico, First lawsuit targets Trump’s foreign aid freeze.

A union has sued Trump to prevent the CFPB shutdown. See Axios, Union sues Trump admin over CFPB shutdown attempt and DOGE access

The takeaway is that these legal challenges are headed to the Supreme Court—if we are lucky. Getting to the Supreme Court means that (a) Trump is losing and (b) he recognizes that the courts have a role in resolving the disputes.

Trump expands his campaign of lawlessness and corruption

Trump is pillaging and burning his way through laws and agencies designed to protect consumers from deceitful, misleading, and dishonest practices by American businesses in the US and businessmen making deals abroad.

As noted above, Trump has effectively shut down the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau—an agency created and funded by Congress. Trump has no authority to unilaterally shut down an agency created by statute.

The unseemly end for the CFPB is bad for consumers. Very. See NBC, What's at stake for consumers as Trump officials target the CFPB (“Congress granted the CFPB the power to supervise banks with more than $10 billion in assets and to regulate lending by nonbank entities, including mortgage, auto, payday and private student loan issuers.”)

As the result of a CFPB rule, consumers saved $6 billion (not a mistake: $6 billion) in check overdraft fees charged by banks. The House Banking Committee has proposed legislation to eliminate that protection.

Trump has also announced suspension of enforcement of a federal anti-bribery statute that prohibits the use of bribes in securing foreign contracts. See The Independent, Trump orders Justice Department to stop enforcing foreign anti-bribery law.

In a truly stunning talking point on a White House “fact sheet” seen by The Independent, the Trump administration seemed to be giving the green light to bribes as a means of doing business overseas.

Per The Independent:

The fact sheet states the White House view that American corporations are disadvantaged by prohibitions on bribing corrupt foreign officials because such activity is common in international business transactions.

(Expletive deleted!) The American economy thrives partly because its markets are viewed as orderly and (relatively) corruption-free. If doing business in America includes bribing suppliers overseas, guess who will most assuredly lose: American consumers.

Bribing foreign producers will deter market-based behavior that rewards honest competition. Instead, the company most willing to engage in criminal bribery will win the contract. Unbelievable!

Speaking of encouraging bribery, Trump pardoned former Illinois governor Rod Blagojevich, who was convicted of soliciting bribes to fill Barack Obama’s seat in the Senate when Obama was elected president. See CBS Chicago, President Trump officially pardons former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich. (“I didn't know him, other than I believe he was on 'The Apprentice' for a little while," said President Trump).

Even worse, Attorney General Pam Bondi ordered the US Attorney for the Southern District of New York to dismiss the federal indictment against New York City Mayor Eric Adams. See AP News, Top Justice Department official orders prosecutors to drop charges against New York Mayor Eric Adams. (“[I]n a remarkable departure from long-standing norms, [the DOJ argued] that the case was interfering with the mayor’s ability to aid the president’s crackdown on illegal immigration.”)

But here is a ray of hope amidst the sudden collapse of the legal profession in the Trump administration: The American Bar Association released a statement calling on lawyers to uphold the rule of law! Read the entire statement here: The ABA supports the rule of law.

The statement says, in part,

Moreover, refusing to spend money appropriated by Congress under the euphemism of a pause is a violation of the rule of law and suggests that the executive branch can overrule the other two co-equal branches of government. This is contrary to the constitutional framework and not the way our democracy works. The money appropriated by Congress must be spent in accordance with what Congress has said. It cannot be changed or paused because a newly elected administration desires it. Our elected representatives know this. The lawyers of this country know this. It must stop. [¶¶] We urge every attorney to join us and insist that our government, a government of the people, follow the law. It is part of the oath we took when we became lawyers. Whatever your political party or your views, change must be made in the right way. Americans expect no less.

Well done and well said! We need other organizations and leaders to follow the example of the ABA!

Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

More “obeying in advance” by the Washington Post

I haven’t referred or cited to the Washington Post since Jeff Bezos ordered the editorial board not to endorse Kamala Harris for president. I sometimes wonder whether that was the right decision. Today, it became clear it was.

Editorial cartoonist Ann Telnaes just published an article on Substack entitled, Why I'm quitting the Washington Post. Telnaes explains that she prepared an editorial cartoon that showed billionaires bowing in supplication to Trump. The cartoon is in the linked article. As explained by Telnaes,

The group in the cartoon included Mark Zuckerberg/Facebook & Meta founder and CEO, Sam Altman/AI CEO, Patrick Soon-Shiong/LA Times publisher, the Walt Disney Company/ABC News, and Jeff Bezos/Washington Post owner.

Telnaes explains,

For the first time, my editor prevented me from doing that critical job [publishing the cartoon]. So I have decided to leave the Post. I doubt my decision will cause much of a stir and that it will be dismissed because I’m just a cartoonist. But I will not stop holding truth to power through my cartooning, because as they say, “Democracy dies in darkness”.

Ann Telnaes deserves our respect and admiration for her courage. And the ongoing disgrace at WaPo should cause all self-respecting journalists and columnists to follow Ann Telnaes’s example.

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]

[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

Mike Luckovich

* * * *

"Russia, Russia, Russia. It's always Russia!"

October 9, 2024

Robert B. Hubbell

On a day of major political stories, the Earth is reminding us that we are guests on this planet subject to our collective good behavior over the long term. Hurricane Milton is threatening Florida like no other storm in the last century. Millions are (wisely) evacuating in the face of strong winds and a record storm surge that will inundate coastal areas.

Two months ago, Trump joked about human-caused climate change creating “more beachfront property.” In 2021, 175 House Republicans and 35 Senate Republicans voted to defund FEMA. See MTN News, A Whopping 175 House Republicans Voted Against FEMA Funding in 2021. Many of those lawmakers are now criticizing FEMA for being overwhelmed and under-resourced. Last week, Speaker Mike Johnson refused to call a special session of the House to enact emergency supplemental funding for FEMA.

Jokes aside, the substantive policy of the Republican Party is to promote fossil fuels and undermine green energy. See Center for American Progress, Project 2025 Would Jeopardize Global Climate Action. One of Trump's first acts in 2017 was to serve notice that the US would withdraw from the Paris Climate Accords, and one of Joe Biden’s first acts was to rescind that notice. If Trump is re-elected, we should expect that Trump will again seek to withdraw from global efforts to fight human-caused climate change. See NBC News, Mike Johnson won't commit to bringing House back before the election for more hurricane relief.

The weather is not the climate and record-breaking weather events are not (in themselves) climate change. But acceleration in global climate trends over time are evidence of human caused climate change. Indeed, the tendency of hurricanes to rapidly increase in intensity—like Hurricane Milton—is part of a new trend in hurricane behavior. See NBC News, Hurricane Milton's rapid intensification is part of a climate-fueled trend.  

Climate change is maddeningly difficult because its effects are difficult to track—until they are not. We may be living through one of those moments in which the effects of climate change are undeniably manifest. The question facing us is whether we have the capacity to maintain our concern and sense of urgency after the water has receded and the news crews have moved to the next breaking story. We need the ability to engage in long-term thinking and the patience to allow solutions to work over decades (or longer).

Many worthy and effective organizations are focused on fighting human-caused climate change. I have previously endorsed and appeared before Third Act, an organization started by Bill McKibben. Third Act describes itself as “a community of Americans over sixty determined to change the world for the better. Third Act harnesses an unparalleled generational power to safeguard our climate and democracy.” Check out Third Act—or highlight your climate focused organization in the Comments section.

In the meantime, my wife and I express our concern and empathy for the hundreds of thousands of Floridians affected by Hurricane Milton. Be safe and follow the guidance of authorities!

[Robert B. Hubbell Newsletter]