#Mod-X9

[officialrailscales]

When you can’t decide which suppressed setup to go with, so you just get all of them.

Which one is your favorite? - RS

[green-with-envy-phandom-event]

The Final Scores are in!

(lines by @ovytia-art, @jamiethebeeart, @maebird-melody, @hannahmanderr, @dashing-through-ecto, @minnowmarsh, @dashing-through-ecto)

Congratulations Red Team for filling some very big shoes and taking home the gold!

We did it, Guys~! Green With Envy 2024 is now officially over! Thank you so much to everyone who participated!

@echo-does-art, @half-deadmagicperson, @goodfish-bowl, @ectoblastfromthepast, @furiarossa, @fuyuthefoxwriter, @brothebro, amazing work!

You managed to submit 219 colors in one month!

Pre-Bonus Points Scores

Red - 1832 Blue - 1409 Yellow - 1524 Brown - 703 Green - 109 Purple - 307 Pink - 304

Orange - 347 Black - 297 White - 191

Post-Bonus Points Scores

Red - 2507 Blue - 1920 Yellow - 2145 Brown - 830 Green - 154 Purple - 444 Pink - 434 Orange - 457 Black - 387 White - 256

--------

If anyone wants to color line art from the 2024 event, these lines are now open for anyone to color, just make sure to read the notes the line artists left you and credit them when you post a color! Last year's (2023's) stuff can also be found here.

MVP’s for Bonus Points Across All Teams Under the Cut!

The top 3 bonus point earners overall were:

@jamiethebeeart from yellow team with 230 points

@ecto-stone from blue team with 194 points

@half-deadmagicperson from red team with 164 points

Here's how well colorists scored with the Mods for slower, but more detailed colors! Each color of this type that we could spot earned that participant 5 additional points!

These people all did Palette Challenges, earning them 3 additional points per entry!

@lavendarlily x9, @craftybookworms x6, and @half-deadmagicperson x1

These people colored in bulk, with every 25 pieces netting them an additional 10 points!

@nanaarchy x2, @fuyuthefoxwriter x2, @half-deadmagicperson x2, @reading-wanderer x2, @jamiethebeeart x2, @balshumetsbaragouin x1, @echo-does-art x1, @furiarossa x1, @ecto-stone x1, @marzfartz x1, @moonfoxgazer x1, @audaciousanonj x1, and @sherry-a-h x1

These 11 people successfully poached points!

Yellow Team @reading-wanderer got x4, @moonfoxgazer got x2, and @marzfartz got x2 For a total of 8 Poaches and 160 points Red Team @half-deadmagicperson got x3, @goodfish-bowl got x1, @echo-does-art got x1, and @brothebro got x1 For a total of 6 Poaches and 120 points Blue Team @ecto-stone got x2, and @sherry-a-h got x1 For a total of 3 Poaches and 60 points Brown Team @audaciousanonj got x1 For 20 points Orange Team @craftybookworms got x1 For 20 points

These people had some extra creative colors, which each earned 5 additional points!

@lavendarlily for their animated lightning @craftybookworms for their creative use of the empty countertop @minnowmarsh for their 3D papercraft @raaorqtpbpdy for spending a very long time adding in sheen effects and using multiple types of coloring tools @raaorqtpbpdy for their elaborate mixed media background with the main art as a 3d floating element @echo-does-art drew and colored all the additional knives @brothebro for their creative punchline to the meme @ecto-stone for trying the hidden transparency trick for first time @ecto-stone for another transparency trick @ecto-stone for this lovely gif worm @moonfoxgazer for the outrageously cursed and elaborate OC Slackjaw born of Susi's lines @moonfoxgazer for their creative punchline to the meme @furiarossa for the above and beyond body and fur texture added to Susi's lines, paired with an amazing background @furiarossa for coloring the lines to look like a statue, and adding a ficlet inspired by the color @ventisettestars for this time intensive Hades coloring style @dreamwraith's VERY time-intensive traditional oil painting @marzfartz for their traditional watercolor with a really nice background @marzfartz for another lovely watercolor @ectoblastfromthepast for their super nice digital piece that took them 3 days of intense focus @summerssixecho for their scanned magazine digital collage @jamiethebeeart for this stunning digital piece that has such a lovely added background @jamiethebeeart for adding basically a whole story to the background of their color @jamiethebeeart for adding a background that just really fit the vibes of the line art perfectly @jamiethebeeart for their portal accident animation @pokerust for their papercraft @goodfish-bowl for their amazing paint pour background @sherry-a-h for their diamond painted furby

Thanks so much everyone for all your hard work to make this such a successful event and we hope to see you again next year~!

Looking for the 2024 Masterpost? Looking for links to last year's stuff? 2023 Free-To-Color Line Art 2023 Event Decal 2023 Masterpost

[heartilly]

x9 icons of aerith and tifa from the heavy metal aerith mod, aerith with wings & tifa and cloud swap mod, and amano tifa mod.

[lostoneshq]

mod, quando o perdido narrador do pov diz que os perdidos não contaram pros figurões isso significa que nenhum perdido deve falar sobre a "tatuagem" do além pros personagens canons ou isso vai de cada personagem?

Isso vai de cada personagem. Eles concordaram entre si de não contar, mas se você quiser a fama de X9, vai lá! KKKKK Mas me avisa daí, pra eu poder mencionar na próxima parte que Merlin ficou sabendo sobre as marcas. Se ninguém contar, ele não vai saber! Onisciência tem limites misteriosos por aqui…

[tailsbot98761]

*boops you 8 times*

*covers my face with my hands*

-mod kumo

*moves your hands*

*boops x9*

[dreamingdreamsdrempt]

Home

Kitchen:

Paint.

1 set of Blinds

Peel and Stick, Stone wall backsplash.

2 Picture Frames.

Hanging Plant.

Living-room:

Paint.

3 sets of Blinds.

Curtain Rod (x2.)

Peel and Stick, White Wash Wood for accent wall.

2 Trim Boards.

Caulk.

Sand Paper.

Bathroom:

New Blind.

New Mirror.

New Shower Curtain.

New Bathroom Rugs.

Hallway:

Vent cover

Paint.

Shoe Rack.

Bedroom #1:

Paint.

Poster Frames.

Curtain Rod.

Rug.

Chair.

Dresser.

Carpet.

Bed.

Shelf.

DIY LED Clouds.

Farm sliding Door.

Mod Podge.

Pillows.

Bedroom #2:

Paint.

Farm sliding Doors. (x2)

Half Door.

Curtain Rod (x2.)

Shelf.

Bed.

Lamp

Storage Containers. (x9?)

Plastic storage Dresser.

Shelving.

Dresser Knobs.

Pillows.

Bedroom #3:

Paint.

Sand Paper.

Shelving.

Dresser knobs.

T.V.

Pillows.

Outdoors:

Trim Bushes.

Mulch.

Stepping Stones.

Rocks.

Trash-Can with Lids. (x2.)

Plants.

Climbing Dome.

Lattice.

New Welcome Mat.

Work on Deck.

New Swing-Set.

Picnic Table.

*Notes:

-Clean up the Basement and junk in the Yard.

-Organize EVERYTHING.

*Pool table in the Basement.

[slayerfruit]

Tell us more about your sona! Or ocs if you have them!!!

hell YEAH im down for talkin about my ocs >:] ive done posts on em on my main account, so i'll link to those through the colored names and give further funny thoughts here JADEAPPLE + JADE-LIEN + ROBOJADE ok so. i don't actually have much besides the linked posts for this one NVXHKLXVKL these designs are just a vessel for me to portray myself!! i am jade-lien and jade-lien is me and whatever i draw myself in is just me wanting to be whatever that is at the given moment (and lord do i have Moods sometimes) SAIREN-X9 in the realm of Funny™, sairen is secretive and a denial-holic, much so to the point where if you see them experimenting with themselves in a not-even-barely-disguised-fetish way they will very quickly explain to you how what they're doing is "Not recreational and has real scientific merits that you simply don't currently comprehend" (denial is very cute imo) also that green fuel that they use is SUPER unstable so whatever you do don't mess with it or you'll end up bloating yourself one way or another G-TAAK + TELS (outdated design atm) gay gay homosexual gay G-Taak actually originated as "what's the hottest guy i can design right now" the original drawing i did of him had hips as wide as double doors lmAO he's a switch sure but 80% top 20% power bottom- he Loves messing with people, sairen being frequently very flustered by his antics (hacking into them with knowledge gained from TELS to perform body mods with the fuel or remotely controlling their arms to start caressing their own chest) TELS is like. always super chub nCHKLLKFH i just like big huge soft nerds and love the thought of hugging him CANDYMAN + COTTOLINE candyman and cottoline's relationship horny-wise are sorta a mirror of sairen and g-taaks what with candyman being afflicted by cottoline a lot (and she gets very cutesy about it), but Unlike sairen candyman isn't suppressed in the slightest and moreso is just a heavy first-reaction-then-calms-down-later type of guy (i.e. gets really mad that cottoline made him a busty boy somehow but later he grows to like it a Lot) in other situations candyman is usually either very confident or very oblivious to his current status nXCKHLXC (he loves to wear tons of skimpy outfits but gets confused as to why he can't even put them on anymore after gaining 800 pounds that he barely notices)

[statespoll]

Election 2022 Senate Prediction Map October 24, 2022.

My analysis is neutral, not biased. Based on

1) Presidential Election 2020 Fox New Voter Analysis  

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis

2) Latest Poll(adjustment)

3) Voter registration statistics Trend + VBM

4) Oppostion Party’s Advantage on the Midterm

(more Rep % / less Dem % than Presidential Year)

* My Party ID % By States speculation post:

https://statespoll.com/post/696993333852110848  (October, 2022)

Last Updated: 10/24  AZ/GA/NH/OH/PA

I. BattleGround States

1. Pennsylvania

1) My Party ID speculation, PA

with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 46% / IND 7%

2) Latest Poll

(1) CNN/SSRS 10/13-10/17, 703 LV

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/10/24/politics/cnn-poll-senate-races-wisconsin-pennsylvania/index.html

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23178936/cnn-poll-on-pennsylvania.pdf

Poll results: Fetterman 51% / Oz 45%

My Adjusted %: Fetterman D +6.67%

Fetterman: R(47)x9+D(46)x97+I(7)x42=51.79

Oz: R(47)x86+D(46)x2+I(7)x54=45.12

Crosstabs

White: Fetterman 49 / Oz 48

White College: Fetterman 59 / Oz 38

White Non-College: Fetterman 39 / Oz 56

Muhlenberg/Morning Call 10/12-10/14, 404 LV

PA 07 district Poll.(2020 Biden +0.6%)

Fetterman 50% / Oz 43% / Neither/Other 4% / Undecided 2%.  D +7%

Samples: R 44% / D 44% / Other 12%

Shapiro 53% / Mastriano 37%.

PA 07: Wild(D) 47% / Scheller® 46%.  D +1%

FYI) Muhlenberg/Morning Call 2020 PA-7(before redistricted)

September 2020 PA07(B4 redistricted): Biden 51% / Trump 44%

Actual results: Biden 51.8% / Trump 47% not bad, It was pretty accurate

https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/politicselectionssurveys/archivedpolls/2020-pa7thdistrictpoll/

And I don’t give much credit of ‘Wick Polling’

The funny things about 'Wick Polling' After ppl pointed out they oversampled Conservative/Undersampled Liberal too much.

Wick Poll AZ/GA/PA all overmsapled Con/undersampled Lib

(vs 2020 Fox Voter Analysis) What kind of pollster? hmmm

PA: Con 43.7 / Lib 22.7 -> Fox 2020: Con 37 / Liberal 29.5

GA: Con 54.8 / Lib 19.6 -> Fox 2020: Con 42 / Lib 26

 AZ: Con 47.2 / Lib 22.4 -> Fox 2020: Con 39 / Lib 28

 Now They hid their ideology samples(Con/Lib/Mod)on the topline Q13,Q14 disappeared from the topline. something very fishy.

https://my.wick.io/analysis/shared/item/F924DD41-8570-4647-8F03-DAA8BBA336D5/view

(2) InsiderAdvantage/Fox 29 10/9-10/12 550 LV

https://www.fox29.com/election/insideradvantage-fox-29-poll-fetterman-oz-neck-and-neck-as-shapiros-lead-narrows

Poll Results: Fetterman 46.3 / Oz 45.5

1. Other race(mainly Hispanic/Asian) Oz 77.7 Fetterman 16.7?

Oz is winning Hispanic/Asian by +61% margins? with ‘36 LV’?

I highly doubt it.

(Biden won PA Hispanic by +42% margins)

Considering Black&Hispanic/Asian samples are not realistic

Fetterman Got 69.4% among Black and 16.7% among Other(Mainly Hispanic/Asian in PA). I’m stick with Lean D rating

FYI) Telemundo PA Hispanic Poll released Oct 4 2022

(surveyed in late September)

https://aldianews.com/en/politics/policy/new-hispanic-poll-pa

It was

#PASen Hispanic: Fetterman 53 / Oz 35

#PAGov Hispanic: Shapiro 60 / Mastriano 24

compare to Insideradvantage October PA (Hispanic&Asian) ‘36 LV!’:

Oz 77.7 Fetterman 16.7

(3) Trafalgar 10/8-10/11, 1,078 LV.

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/TRF-PA-General-1013-Full-Report.pdf

Fetterman 47.2% / Oz 44.8%.  D +2.4%.

Oz lost 1.1% from september Trafalgar Poll.

Oz: 45.9%(Sept Trafalgar Poll) -> Now 44.8%.  -1.1%

Plus, according to Trafalgar PA Poll

Oz got 32.1% among Black voters. Which is so unrealistic.

Trump got 5% in 2020 PA(Fox voter analysis)

I guess Oz’s number is about 2.7% overestimated of @trafalgar_group Poll.

So actually it could be sth like @JohnFetterman 50.9% @DrOz  42.1%. 

(4) AARP 10/4-10/12, 1400 LV

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/18/oz-fetterman-pennsylvania-senate-00062330

Fetterman 48% / Oz 46%

(5) Marist 9/19-9/22. 1,043 LV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Marist-Poll_PA-NOS-and-Tables_202209260846.pdf

Fetterman 51% / Oz 44%

My Adjusted %: Fetterman 49.9% / Oz 43.6%. D +6.3%

Fetterman: R(47)x7+D(46)x93+IND(7)x55=49.92%

Oz: R(47)x85+D(46)x3+IND(7)x33=43.64%

(6) CBS/YouGov, 9/6-9/12. 1,194 RV.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pennsylvania-midterm-election-opinion-poll-economy-abortion-2022-09-14/

Poll results: Fetterman 52% / Oz 47%.  

Adjusted: Fetterman 53.2% / Oz 46.6%. D +6.6%

Fetterman: REP(47%)x13%+DEM(46%)x95%+IND(7%)x49%= 53.24%

Oz: REP(47%)x87%+DEM(46%)x5%+IND(7%)x49%= 46.62%

3) Pennsylvania Sen Race 2022 Forecast: Lean D

2. Arizona

1) My Party ID speculation, AZ

with leaner: REP 50% / DEM 42% / IND 8%

2) Latest Poll

(1)  Federalist/Susquehanna 10/14-10/18

https://www.scribd.com/document/602578830/Toplines-AZStatewide-Oct2022

Poll Samples(Self ID): R 40% / D 30% / IND 30%  R+10% Samples imo slightly oversampled R

Poll results: Kelly 47.7% / Masters 44.5% D +1%

Plus Susquehanna slightly underestimated Biden in AZ 2020

Susquehanna 10/19-10/22, 2020: Trump Trump 47% / Biden 46%

(2) Co/Efficient 10/20-10/21, 1,111 LV

https://coefficient.org/arizonastatewide/

Results: Kelly 47% / Masters 45%

(3) Trafalgar 10/16-10/17, 1,078 LV

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/AZ-Gen-1017-Poll-Report.pdf

Kelly 47.4 / Masters 46.4

DEM: Kelly 85.7 / Masters 9.4

Trafalgar understimated Biden among DEM in AZ 2020

Arizona: Trafalgar 10/25-10/28, 2020. 1,002 LV

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ANXIqNKfmsGS9kWPe2tzDafbQq0HQDsR/view

Trump 48.9 / Biden 46.4

DEM: Biden 82.3 / Trump 13.9%

Fox Voter Analysis 2020, AZ.  DEM: Biden 96% / Trump 3%

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=AZ

Considering those, imo actually which is a kinda Lean D Poll results

(4) CBS News/YouGov 9/30-10/4, 1,164 RV

Kelly 51% / Masters 48%. D +3%

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1TDqeRyWCYFoDDLK433JSkxRINWuq-fiS/view

My Adjusted %: Kelly 50.16% / Masters 49.1%.  D +1.05%

Kelly: R(50%)x11%+D(42%)x97%+I(8)x49%=50.16%

Masters: R(50%)x88%+D(42%)x3%+I(8)x48%=49.1%

3) Arizona Sen 2022 Forecast: Tilt D

3. Georgia

1) My Party ID speculation, GA

with leaner: REP 51% / DEM 43% / IND 6%,

2) Latest Poll

(1) Data for Progress 10/13-10/17, 984 LV

https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_ga_midterm_tabs.pdf

Poll results: Warnock 48% / Walker 47%

My Adjusted %:

Warnock: R(51)x6+D(43)x98+I(6)x47=48.02

Walker: R(51)x89+D(43)x2+I(6)x40= 48.65

(2) Landmark 10/15-10/17, 500 LV

https://www.atlantanewsfirst.com/2022/10/18/brian-kemp-continues-leading-stacey-abrams-us-senate-race-tied-new-landmark-poll/

Walker 46% / Warnock 46%

(3) Civiqs 10/8-10/11, 717 LV

Poll results: Warnock 49% / Walker 46%. D +3%

My Adjusted %: Walker® +6.59%

Walker: R(51)x94+D(43)x4+I(6)x36=51.82

Warnock: R(51)x2+D(43)x95+I(6)x56=45.23

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_GA_banner_book_2022_10_a636j5.pdf

FYI) Civiqs’s past 2020GAPres records

Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 23–26, 2020. 1,041 LV

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_GA_banner_book_2020_10_p577m2.pdf

Biden 51% / Trump 46%. Biden +5%

REP  Biden 6% / Trump 91%.  R +85%

DEM Biden 97% / Trump 3%.  D +94%

IND   Biden 62% / Trump 33%.  D +31%

FYI) 2020 Fox Voter Analysis GA

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=GA

REP  Biden 7% / Trump 92%.  R +85%

DEM Biden 97% / Trump 2%.  D + 95%

IND   Biden 57% / Trump 30%. D +27%

 3) Georgia Sen 2022 Forecast: Toss up(Run off)

4. Wisconsin

1) My Party ID speculation, WI

with leaner: REP 50% / DEM 41% / IND 9%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Data for Progress 9/20-9/23, 999 LV

Johnson 50% /  Barnes 48%

https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/9/dfp_wi_midterm_toplines.pdf

My Adjusted %: Johnshon +5.29%

Johnson: R(52%)x93%+D(43%)x3%+IND(5%)x46%= 51.95%

Barnes:R(52%)x5%+D(43%)x97%+IND(5%)x47%= 46.66%

(2) Trafalgar 9/15-9/19, 1,087 LV

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/wi-gov-0923/

Poll samples: R 45.4%  D 43.2% IND 11.4%

Poll results: Johnson 48.7% /  Barnes 46.5%

3) Wisconsin 2022 Sen Race Forecast: Likely R

5. Nevada

1) My Party ID speculation, NV

with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 42% / IND 11%,

2) Latest Poll

(1) CBS/YouGov 10/14-10/19, 1,057 RV

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1u29Fy_cRb32JpOKbtVcTjhM4x2fjsbYH/view

Poll samples:  R 37.9 / D 35.2 / Other 26.9

Poll results:  Laxalt 49% / Masto 48%

Adjusted %: Laxalt 50.3 / Masto 47.1   R +3.2%

Laxalt: 47%(REP)x93% + 42%(D)x4% + IND(11%)x45%= 50.34

Masto: 47%(REP)x5% + 42%(D)x94% + IND(11%)x48%= 47.11

3) Nevada 2022 Forecast: Tilt R~Lean R

6. New Hampshire

1) My Party ID speculation, NH

with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 42% / Pure IND 11%

FYI) 2020 Fox voter analysis NH: REP 48% / DEM 45% / IND 7%

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=NH

FYI) 2018 Fox voter analysis NHGov: REP 42% / DEM 42% / IND 15%

2020 NHPres wasn’t a competitive race. and Still It was R +3

This year is a Biden Midterm + NHSen is being a competitive race.

My speculation Party Breakdown in NH R 47 D 42 IND 11

2) Latest Poll

(1) Fabrizio(R-internal) 10/20 600 LV

https://mobile.twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1583439982647074819

@SenatorHassan 49% / @GenDonBolduc 47%

Poll samples: With leaners D 48 / R 47 / Other 4

My Adjusted %: Bolduc 49.4% / Hassan 46.6% Bolduc +2.8%

But this one is a R-internal poll. So I need to see another Polls(Toss up at this moment)

Bolduc: 47% + 6(I-D) x 40% = 49.4%

Hassan: 49% - 6(I-D) x 40% = 46.6%

(23) Boston Globe/Suffolk 9/23-9/26, 500 LV

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/new-hampshire/2022/9_29_2022_tables.pdf?la=en&hash=6D4EF30CBC4B42B274998ABEA7CDAA8093BF7A39

Poll samples: DEM 30.6% REP 29.8% IND 37.6%

Poll results: Hassan 49.6% / Bolduc 41.2%  

Adjusted %: Bolduc 48.16% / Hassan 47.68%.  R +0.96%

Bolduc: REP(47)x93%+DEM(42)x2%+Pure IND(11)x33%=48.18

Hassan: REP(47)x5%+DEM(42)x94%+Pure IND(11)x49%=47.22

3) New Hampshire Sen 2022 Forecast: Toss up

7. Colorado

1) My Party ID speculation, CO

with leaner: DEM 43% / REP 42% / IND 15%

FYI) DeSantis Endorsed O’dea (10/23)

2) Latest Poll

(1) Civiqs 10/15-10/18, 600 LV

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_CO_banner_book_2022_10_t23jdx.pdf

Poll results: Bennet (DEM) 54% / O’dea (REP) 41%.

Poll samples: D 39 / R 29 / IND 32 D +10% (imo oversampled D)

My adjusted % :Bennet 49 / O’dea 46  D +3%

Bennet: D(43)x96+R(42)x2+IND(15)x46=49.02

O’dea: D(43)x2+R(42)x92+IND(15)x44=46.01

(2) Marist 10/3-10/6. 983 LV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Marist-Poll-Colorado-NOS-and-Tables_202210071602.pdf

Bennet 49% / O’dea 43%

My Adjusted %: Bennet 49.4% / O’dea 45.9%.  Bennet +3.45%

Bennet: D(43%)x93%+R(42%)x5%+I(15)x43%=48.54

Odea: D(43%)x3%+R(42%)x90%+I(15)x40%=45.09%

(2) Marist 10/3-10/6. 983 LV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Marist-Poll-Colorado-NOS-and-Tables_202210071602.pdf

Bennet 49% / O’dea 43%

My Adjusted %: Bennet 49.4% / O’dea 45.9%.  Bennet +3.45%

Bennet: D(43%)x93%+R(42%)x5%+I(15)x43%=48.54

Odea: D(43%)x3%+R(42%)x90%+I(15)x40%=45.09%

(3) Data for Progress 10/3-10/6, 1,005 LV

Bennet 50% / O’dea 41%

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_co_midterm_toplines.pdf

My Adjusted %: Bennet 49% / O’dea 45.8%.  Bennet +3.2%

Bennet: D(43%)x93%+R(42%)x4%+I(17)x43%=48.98%

Odea: D(43%)x3%+R(42%)x89%+I(17)x42%=45.81%

3) Colorado Sen 2022 Forecast: Lean D

8. Ohio

1) My Party ID speculation, NC

with leaner: REP 54% / DEM 41% / IND 5%

FYI) 2020 Fox analysis, REP 54% / DEM 41% / IND 5%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Marist 10/17-10/20, 1,141 LV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2022-elections-in-ohio-2/

Poll samples: REP 37 DEM 34 IND 28

Poll results: Vance(REP) 46% / Ryan(DEM) 45% / Undecided 8%

My Adjusted %: R +8.35%

Vance: R(54)x87+D(41)x6+IND(5)x41= 51.49

Ryan: R(54)x7+D(41)x91+IND(5)x41= 43.14

(2) Cygnal 10/18-10/22, 1,547 LV

https://www.cygn.al/cygnal-momentum-tracking-poll-ohio-statewide-10-23-22/

Poll samples: 

Poll results: Vance 46.9 / Ryan 43.3

My Adjusted %: R +6.81%

Vance: R(54)x84+D(41)x5+IND(5)x40= 49.41

Ryan: R(54)x8+D(41)x88+IND(5)x44= 42.6

3) NC Sen 2022 Forecast: Likely R

9. North Carolina

1) My Party ID speculation, NC

with leaner: REP 50% / DEM 42% / IND 8%

FYI) 2020 Fox analysis, NC: R 50 D 44 IND 6

And NC Voter regd have shifted as Trend R +1.6% since nov,2020

2) Latest Poll

(1) SurveyUSA 9/28-10/2, 677 LV

https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=97eb868a-a6ae-4ed5-b5c1-2e8891119914

Poll samples: R 35% D 35% IND&Other 28%

Poll results: Budd(REP) 43% / Beasley(DEM) 42%

Adjusted: Budd(REP) 48.4% / Beasley 40.74%.  R +7.66%

Budd: REP(50%)x87+DEM(42%)x5%+IND(8%)x35%= 48.4%

Beasley: REP(50%)x4%+DEM(42%)x85%+IND(8%)x38%= 40.74%

(2) Civiqs, 9/17-9/20, 586 LV

https://t.co/cwPoQfGcyG

Poll samples: R 36.8% D 36.1% IND&Other 27.1%

Poll results: Beasley(DEM) 49% / Budd(REP) 48%

Adjusted: Budd(REP) 52.0% / Beasley 45.1%  R +6.9%

Budd: REP(50%)x94+DEM(42%)x3%+IND(8%)x47%= 52.02%

Beasley: REP(50%)x1%+DEM(42%)x97%+IND(8%)x48%= 45.08%

3) NC Sen 2022 Forecast: Likely R

10. Connecticut

1) My Party ID speculation, CT

with leaner: D 49 R 42 IND 9

FYI) 2020 Fox analysis, CT:D 53 R 41 Pure ind 6

FYI) 2018 Fox analysis, CT: D 47 R 40  IND 13

  2) Latest Poll

(1) Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) 10/10-10/13, 1,200 LV

https://ctexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/10-22-CT-SW-LV-TABS.pdf

https://ctexaminer.com/2022/10/15/its-the-economy-stupid-new-poll-shows-tightening-races-for-governor-and-senate/

Poll samples: D 39% / R 26% / 33.75%

Poll results: Blumenthal 49% / Levy 44%

Adjusted: Blumenthal 49.8 / Levy 44.4.   Blumenthal +5.4

Blumenthal: D(49)x85.7+R(42)x10.9+IND(9)x36.5= 49.856

Levy: D(49)x8.3+R(42)x84.6+IND(9)x53.8= 44.441

Crosstabs

REP  Levy 84.6% / Blumenthal 10.9%

DEM Levy 8.3%  /  Blumenthal 85.7%

IND  Levy 53.8% / Blumenthal 36.5%

3) CO Sen 2022 Forecast: Likely D~Solid D

[veworrecord]

Paint shop pro 9

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 INSTALL#

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 MOD#

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 DRIVERS#

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 PRO#

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 WINDOWS 7#

Try with a simple image first, before you do a tutorial, whether it will work or freeze your PSP.Ĭontains the classic freeware filters (all filters) and xl (5 newer versions of filters already included in the classic selection) in one download.

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 WINDOWS 7#

Usually no problems at all with Windows XP, Vista more of a problem and Windows 7 often ok again. Very much "hit and miss" whether it will work or not on your computer. The latest version for download as of April 2015 on "The Plugin Site" ( Version 2.55a) no longer has the Style "Quilt". ****Old version needed to do my SB Tutorial Another Brick in the Wall. The most popular versions of this product among our users are: 8.0 and 9.0. So why not downgrade to the version you love.

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 DRIVERS#

Lotis Filters > Mosaic Toolkit v2.022 **** Jasc Paint Shop is developed by Jasc Software Inc. provides free software downloads for old versions of programs, drivers and games.

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 PRO#

Place the folder "Impressionist Accessories" in the same folder as "Impressionist.8bf" Susan Cain changed description of TOP Jasc Paint Shop Pro 9 Keygen Crack Susan Cain on TOP Jasc Paint Shop Pro 9 Keygen Crack jasc paint shop, jasc paint shop pro, jasc paint shop pro 9, jasc paint shop pro 7, jasc paint shop pro 7.04 freeload, jasc paint shop pro 8, jasc paint shop pro 9 windows 10, jasc paint shop pro 9 freeload. (Fantastic Machines website disappeared March 2015) (patched to work with Vista, Win7 and Win8) (patched if necessary to work with Vista, Win7 and Win8) Please let me know if you come across a link in a tutorial, which is no longer valid and I will try my best to make the filter or plugin available for download here. With time, some filters and plugins are no longer available and I will offer for download those, which have been free to use. In my tutorials I always give links for the filters and plugins I use for my tutorials. This includes the necessary dll files for Windows XP, Windows Vista, Windows 7 and 8 (instructions for Win8 and Win10 are the same as for Win7). Hope this helps you understand.General information about Filters and Plugins and their installation can be found here. I can't get support for Paint Shop Pro as it was the last version from Jasc when Corel bought them out and they won't support it as they want you to buy their version which is the same as what I have, they didn't change that much on it. I just don't know what to do to get it working. HP says to download their drivers and I did but it the same drivers I have on disc and the same thing happens, they then through out my question as did Microsoft, now that's standing behind your products. However it is working right in other programs.

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 INSTALL#

Yes the printer is only about 4 months old and I used the install disc that came with it, the printer works fine it is just now Paint Shop Pro is showing it in the select twain acquire drop down and also the twain acquire to use the scanner, but when you click on it, it gives this message to be sure the USB is connected correctly (which it is), when I close that box it then says No Divice Found. I had to reinstall every thing on it, Win 7, programs, printer/scanner. We thought PaintShop Pro X9 was great, if you did too just wait till you see what we have done with our latest version of PaintShop Pro. If you need more info please let me know.Ĭorrect on the hard drive, it was the same everything, it just so happened that way and it is new. So Please and thank you are in order here. I really do need to get it to work again within my Paint Shop Pro program, is there anything I can do to fix this, I am at a total loss and been at it for a couple weeks and I need to get some sleep -) The funny thing is it works fine in a couple other programs. I have all the latest drivers for the printer/scanner. but when I try to run a Scan I get the message "device not found". The Scanner shows in the Acquire window of PPP. I am a big user of Paint Shop Pro 9 and my Photosmart HP 6510 Printer/scanner.

#PAINT SHOP PRO 9 MOD#

After the crash I replaced the hard drive with the same that was in the computer. The controls in Garry’s Mod are highly responsive, just like in all Valve games. Oh, my name is Jim, I am running Windows 7 Home Premium, recently I had a hard drive crash and before the crash everything worked fine. Microsoft and HP Printer/Sanner both kicked my question when I went there for help, I came here years ago and Got help and I am back again, so let me explaine.

[pixeles]

𝑷𝒂𝒐𝒑𝒖 𝒇𝒓𝒖𝒊𝒕 𝒑𝒐𝒔𝒆𝒔

SFS x9 

TOU

Paopu palm tree: 1 colour. Plant decoration category.

Paopu fruit: 13 colors, it is in the right ring category. There are two sizes, one small and the other a bit large.

Here you will find where to put the teleport and more images.

You need

✓ Paopu fruit and paopu palm tree (included)

✓ Teleport mod

✓ Andrew's pose player

Estooo...if there is any problem with the accessory (or the poses or whatever) let me know and I will try to solve it (since it is the first accessory/object that I share, hehe)

[unidentifiedsim]

Hourglass Tattoo

x9 Placements x1 Colour HQ compatible Works with all skins Custom thumbnail Teen to Elder Disallowed for random Base game only Pictures were taken using the HQ mod

DL my Hourglass Tattoo here

DL my Hourglass Tattoo from Simsdom

DL my Hourglass Tattoo from The Sims Resource

Feel free to tag me on Tumblr and Instagram. I'd love to see your pictures TOU:

Do not claim my creations as your own and do not reupload them.

Recolouring my CC is not allowed unless you ask for my permission. If permission is granted, do not upload my original mesh. Please relink back to me.

Do not use adfly or any link shortener and please do not use my cc for patreon exclusive or early access benefits.

Do not edit my mesh in anyway for your own cc.

Do not convert my cc to other platforms which are not The Sims.

[yamirenamon]

Been playin around with mods again. The overgrowth mod makes the Commonwealth look like it was blessed with just a touch of Skyrim’s green beauty. I had to backtrack to a much older save file so I could grab X9-27 from Ticonderoga. Getting out after the G1 synths went hostile on me was a tad tricky. Now I’m off to work on cloning Z2 again.

[ksansart]

Ksan’s Master Post

Art

Team Bond Villains’ Logo (Art (no bg), scavenger hunt #32)

Tintin AU (Art) 

Merman!Q for @stormofsharpthings fic Sea Glass (Art, scavenger hunt #84) 

Bloody Q (Sketch + headcanon, prompt exchange 2020 #67, Q/tanner)

Sketches (5 sketches of Q and Tanner)

NSFW CatQ for @stormofsharpthings fic (2 sketches) 

Art Round Robin (Scavenger hunt #61) 

1960 - Scooby Gang AU the gang trying to solve a mystery (Art)

Writing

Eyes that Know Me How Tanner and Q fall in love. (fic, Unofficial Tanner Tuesday) 

Q's tattoos headcanons (Headcanon, 5 sketches)

Fluff Table

Goose and Flare Q hates flying; Bond is trying to distract him with stories. (2 Art + fic)

Competence kink - TannerQ comic Tanner loves hearing Q talk about his projects. (2 comic pages, Tanner/Q)

Fawn + Reverse Trope Day Q is BAMF. (2 sketches)

Orchestra + Music Day Q plays the guitar; Bond joins him on the piano. (2 comic pages)

Komodo dragon + Classic Bond Day Q has to deliver sensitive equipment to Bond; the beach is too lovely not to dress accordingly, though. (Art)

Water Q finds a stray; Bond finds happiness. (Art + fic) 

Choir + Free space Tanner and Q enjoy a cozy evening Christmas morning together (Art, tanner/Q)

Collab Table

Android!Q doing some self-maintenance for @stormofsharpthings (Art)

MummyAU for @melynen (Comic, prompt exchange 2018 #96)

Tracy Bond for @spiritofcamelot (art)

Donut man for @sunaddicted (art) 

Remaining Collab Sketches (5 sketches)

Theme days

Food Day (2 recipes, Alec's childhood fic)

Trans Character Day - Q prepares for Pride with his cats (Art (no bg))

Character of Color Day - R is for Rani for @soufflegirl91 fic Glitterbomb (Art)

Moneypenny Monday Moneypenny and Q romantic portrait thing. (Art, Moneypenny/Q)

AU Day (Pirate AU) Bond turns into a parrot. Everything is not fine. (Art + headcanon)

Other fan creations

Meme #1

Meme #2 

SPECTRE fix-it rec list

Scavenger hunt

Solved crossword

Hoisin pork

Diligent worker cat (scavenger hunt #30)

Decoded a message (scavenger hunt #9)

Hosting (17)

Villainous Hot Fuzz

Villainous Knives Out

Villainous Julius Caesar

Villainous Monty Python and the Holy Grail

Villainous Skyfall

Villainous Prince of Egypt

Villainous Spectre

Art Stream Picarto

Art Stream Discord (x9)

Attended (25)

Art Stream Discord (x9)

The Adventure of Tintin

Doctor Strange

Ragnarok

Bond movie - You Only Live Twice

Villainous CAH, hosted by Mely (x2)

Source Code

Paddington

The Hour

Mely's Villainous Readalong (x2)

Souffle's Villainous Readalong

Christine’s Villainous Midweek Readalong

Hollow Crown: Richard II

Monty Python: Life of Brian

Bright Star

Points breakdown under the cut

Points Breakdown

Comments: 1021 (1021+1*31+31*10=1362)

Prompt Tables Completed: 2 (2*30=60)

Themes Days: 7 (1*21=21)

Events Hosted: 17 (17*5= 85)

Events attended: 25

Fics: 4 (4*5=20)

Headcanons: 3 (3*5=15)

Recipes: 2 (2*5=10)

Full Art: 19 (19*30=570)

Art (no background): 2 (2*15=30)

Sketches: 20 (20*5=100)

Edits: 2 (2*5=10)

Rec lists: 1 (5)

Scavenger hunt points: 50

Anon Prompts: 2 (2*5+2=12)

Rare Pairs: 5 (5*5=25) 

Bonus 31 Creations: 75

Total Points: 2475

A huge thank you to my fellow teamnates of Team Bond Villain, who’ve made the fest the best month ever!

To our Evil Overlords, @soufflegirl91 , @stormofsharpthings and @lei-bin for dealing with the Villains and making everything so much funner,

And final Thank you to our dear mods, @christinefromsherwood , @spiritofcamelot and @castillon02 for their hard, remarkable work!!

Hooray! It’s done!

[attackcopterblog]

@sigsauerinc releases MOD-X9 silencer. ⵠ⛛ATTACKCOPTER.COM⛛ⵠ #AR15 #GLOCK #GUNBLR #PEWPEW #igmilitia #tactical #bushcraft #survival #edc #guns #2a #everydaycarry #GUNSOFINSTAGRAM #pistol #rifle #9mm #knife #gunsdaily #blades #concealedcarry https://www.instagram.com/p/CIhUWV9pptF/?igshid=15h2anftp5tnl

[bonelessice]

Im thinking about coursers playing sims and since cringe culture is dead let me elaborate:

Z2: he starts off kind of bored with it honestly. He thinks there's not enough chaos and cone on. It can get better than this. but then he discovers mods. 100 sims on one lot. One toilet and bed. Murder mod autonomy on. Only 1 plate of food set out for whoever can get it a day. Basically he just makes life miserable. But all of the sims look very good. Have dumb names like mother fucker.

X9: is into the story of the guy they make. He goes in with a life plan 4 his character and wont cheat or anything to get his desired outcome which is. Whatever happens. Thinks starting with so much money is unrealistic and plays starting from 0 dollars. He just wishes there were more realism to it bc he gets very serious about the plot hes built.

X6: he's got 1 sim he made himself bc he thought that was the point but then he found out you could build a fucking house holy fuck he's never going to stop building. Hes intentionally forgotten the life simulation part and makes new sims of a few types only to test out how they fare in his buildings

Im toi lazy 2 do the rest.

[catscradlezine]

🌟 MHA Recovery Zine application guidelines! 🌟

Hello everyone! We’ll be opening our applications shortly. In the meantime, we’ll be talking about what we want to see from artists and writers on your applications. 

To start off with, here’s the current working specs and guidelines of our zine:

🌟6″x9″, perfect binding. We’ll be giving artists who are accepted a template to use that includes bleeds.

🌟6″x9″ for our first-aid booklet. Again, a template will be given for this

🌟Depending on our applications we’ll be accepting 20-30+ artists. There will not be separate applications for merch artists. 

🌟We want to provide writers with a larger word count, so while we want to keep an equal amount of art vs writing pages, the number of writers accepted will be 3-5. We will be asking what type of word counts you work best with, but we’re currently leaning heavily towards a larger word count

🌟Artists will be required to work in 300 DPI and the finished pieces will be in CMYK color format and will be required to be submitted in .tiff format. 

🌟We will be asking you for your discord username and tag number, but it’s not required. All check-ins, reminders, and announcements will also be sent through email.

Going a bit more into specifics, we also want you to know what we’re looking for in terms of applications. 

For Artists:

🌟3 finished example pieces are required, as is a link to a portfolio. This can be a catered portfolio, or a link to your art tag. What you want your portfolio to be is up to you.

🌟Please submit at least 1 piece that has BNHA characters in it and 1 piece with a full background. These can be the same piece if you’d like. 

🌟If you are interested in doing merch, there will be an additional space where we ask that you submit examples of merch pieces you’ve done already, if you have any. This is not required if you want to do merch, but strongly preferred.

🌟Since this is a zine themed around recovery, the key things we’ll be looking for is how you show the characters, their situations, and their personalities through your art. Any piece of art, whether it’s a drawing, an illustration, a comic, or anything, has the potential to tell a story, no matter how long or short. That ability is what we’re looking to see. There is no one style that we’re looking for or anything--what’s important to us is your ability to show the characters through your art and tell a story. 

🌟 There will be a section where we ask you for ideas. This is not entirely required, but it will help your application if we have an idea of what we want you to do.

For Writers:

🌟2-3 examples are required, with a maximum word count of 3,000 words per piece in the interest of saving time. These can be finished fics, or excerpts from a longer fic. The links can be to google drive, ao3, tumblr, etc. If it is google drive, please make sure sharing is on so we can actually open it. 

🌟We’ll also be requiring a link to a portfolio, whether it’s a tailored portfolio, a writing tag, or an ao3 account. 

🌟We’re looking most at your characterizations, ability to tell and resolve a story, and how you write the characters. Our zine is very much about telling stories of recovery and we want to be sure that you can do that in your allotted word count. 

🌟We will be asking you what sort of word count you feel most comfortable telling a story in. This doesn’t affect your application much, other than giving us a good idea of what type of word count we should require. We’re currently leaning towards a larger one. 

🌟 Writers will be required to collaborate with artists in the zine on their fic. It’s fine if you’ve never done this before. 

🌟 There will be a section where we ask you for ideas. This is not entirely required, but it will help your application if we have an idea of what we want you to do.

Thank you all so much for your support and understanding! We hope to have applications opened in the next 12 hours!

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