#Max. 20.0 lines/second

[onlinetechegypt]

[mahaahassan]

[hutz224]

Moving the goalposts

Distance running is a very linear sport, but I’m not referring to the straight lines we often run. I’m talking about the predictions that are possible from recorded performances. There are entire webpages dedicated to this subject, with online calculators available which allow you to enter a performance over one distance in order to obtain predicted times for a range of other distances.

The various calculators apply different formulas. They include the Riegel and Cameron formulas, and formulas based on age grading and VO2 max. The formulas give different outcomes, but are generally fairly close. One website, runningforfitness.org, displays results for all four methods, then averages them.

On Tuesday 9 May, I jogged over to my local athletics track in Collingwood to race in the Victorian Masters 10,000m Championship. This was my longest race for six months. Since my hospitalisation at Christmas, I had steadily built up my weekly kilometres, but had not raced beyond 5 kilometres. I was very apprehensive about putting my fitness to the test by running 25 laps of a track, as I have always felt far more comfortable racing on the road. A track 10000m is a very difficult race at the best of times.

I decided that the mental challenge presented by the event could be partly eased by enlisting the assistance of a pacer. This is perfectly legal as long as the pacer is an official entrant in the race. I was extremely fortunate that, when I put out a late call, training partner Tony Langelaan was ready and willing to assist me. 

The online calculator predicted a time around 37:15, based on my most recent 5000m performance. I honestly didn’t think I could run that fast, given my lack of longer distance racing and the rarity of the event itself. In my nearly 40 years in the sport, I had only raced 10000m on the track about five times, with generally poor results. I therefore decided to aim for 37:30, with a paced first 5000m of 18:30, which allowed for a 30 second slowdown in the second half of the race. Conveniently, 37:30 translates to exactly 90 seconds per lap.

Although the start list had Tony and I in heat 1, when we checked in at around 6.30 pm, we were told that heat 2 would be run first. When would heat 1 start? Well, that would depend when the last runner in the (slow) second heat finished. It might be around 8.00 pm, but it might not. This made it a little difficult to plan a warm up and left us with 90 minutes to kill. Fortunately I live only five minutes away by car, so we left the cold track and went back to my place to relax and stretch for a while.

After we returned, the race finally kicked off at 8.20 pm. The wind had died down and although cold, the conditions were almost perfect. There were about 30 runners in the field, spread across many age groups. From the gun, Tony settled into a nice rhythm and I sat behind him with a couple of others. It is not an easy task to nail a desired split time with precision and so although we reached 5000m about ten seconds slower than our target, I was very happy with our progress. I felt that I had had an armchair ride to that point, with Tony having done the really hard work. 

I am pretty good with arithmetic and so I knew that if I could run the rest of the race at 90 seconds per lap, I would run around 18:45 for the second half and still meet my goal of 37:30 or better. But now I was on my own and I still had 12 and a half laps to go. From that point, I focussed my attention on the time clock next to the finish line. Each time I passed it, I added 90 seconds to the time then showing to work out what time I needed to see on the next lap.

As I worked my way through the next two kilometres, I hoped I wasn’t imagining it, but it seemed that I was often lapping with a second or two to spare. But it was starting to hurt. That’s when I had a slice of luck. A much younger runner caught and lapped me. I often try to hang on to a passing runner in a race, even if the consequent lift in tempo only lasts for a few seconds. But this was good, I went with him for 100m, then 200m, then 400m and finally for more than two kilometres to within a lap or so of the finish.

I had to grit my teeth and dig deep to hang on to my new friend, but suddenly I was running 88, then 86, then 84 seconds per lap. I felt like I was flying as I ran the last lap in about 80 seconds to hit the line in 36:54. I had run the second half of the race in 18:12, a huge negative split, which was an entirely new experience for a runner accustomed to going out really hard and then hanging on, trying to slow down as little as possible. I was stoked and my feet seemed not to touch the ground during my brief warm down.

Tony and I then enjoyed the lovely hospitality of the VMA, which served soup and party pies in the Collingwood clubrooms and handed out numerous age group medals. Tony had kept going to win his M50+ age group, while I took the M55+ gold medal, and so, needless to say, during and after supper we were both in pretty good spirits.

Later that night, another running mate, Scott Lawrence, sent me a list of the current M60+ State records. Much to my surprise, I had run 40 seconds faster than the 10000m record, but unfortunately I had done it 26 days before my 60th birthday! Suddenly, there was a seismic shift in my goals for the next twelve months. Based on my 10000m time, the online calculator suggested that, for every distance from 3000m to the marathon, I could run faster times than the existing State records. This was both thrilling and scary. It was thrilling to think that after four decades in the sport, I now have the chance to run faster than any Victorian athlete of my age has ever run for multiple distances. But at the same time, it raises the spectre of failure when the evidence indicates that I should succeed. 

What does it mean for Berlin? The online calculator predicts 2:50.36 for me, which I frankly think is ridiculous. Thankfully, I don’t have to shoot that high for a Victorian record. Barry Brooks ran 2:57.25 in 2001 to set the current record. 

Roll on the 4th of June, and let the fun and games begin in my new age group. Until then, long may you run.

Week 33 - 73.0 km, long run 20.0 km, race Vic Masters 10000m 36:54, weight 59.1 kg

Week 34 - 95.7 km, long run 20 km, races MMM 2k Handicap 6:42, APSOC Dyson Relay 3.8k 13:46, weight 59.1 kg

[junker-town]

NASCAR early story lines: The youth movement has arrived

Kyle Larson, 24, and Chase Elliott, 21, are first and second in the Monster Energy Cup Series standings.

For the first time since mid-February NASCAR is coming off a weekend where its top division didn’t race. But before the Monster Energy Cup Series returns to action this weekend at Bristol Motor Speedway, beginning a stretch of 18 consecutive races, here’s a look back at the three biggest story lines from the opening seven weeks of the season.

Youth movement in full swing

An emerging crop of young drivers has come to the forefront over the last few years and it seemed a matter of only when, not if, that class would make its impact at NASCAR’s highest level. That time is now.

Kyle Larson, 24, has a win and four runner-ups in seven races this season and is leading the Cup standings. Second in points is 21-year-old Chase Elliott, with 23-year-old Ryan Blaney sixth, and 20-year-old Erik Jones sitting 14th and provisionally holding a playoff berth. Then there is Joey Logano, who may be a nine-year veteran but is just 26 and already a 17-time race winner and two-time championship round finalist.

NASCAR is awash with young talent and there is no reason to think this is some early-season blip. In particular, Larson and Elliott, who are two of the more heralded prospects in at least a decade, have demonstrated veteran poise and are more than capable of winning multiple times in 2017 and making a deep playoff run.

This bubbling of youth comes at a crucial juncture. Longtime mainstays Matt Kenseth (age 45), Dale Earnhardt Jr. (42), Jimmie Johnson (41), and Kevin Harvick (41) are far closer to the ends of their careers than the beginning, while, Jeff Gordon (45), Tony Stewart (45), and Carl Edwards (37) each retired over the offseason. And as NASCAR works toward marketing itself to a younger demographic, having a stable of millennials performing well on the track will be a key selling point to capture the attention of new fans.

Stage racing format is working on the track, but not off it

The idea behind sectioning races into thirds was multifaceted. By awarding points for top-10 finishes in the first two stages and allowing a driver to carry bonus points earned in the regular season into the playoffs, drivers and teams would be incentivized to give max effort in every race. No longer could a team throw away a regular season race and use it as a de facto test without consequence, and the drivers who perform best will now be rewarded for their performance come the playoffs.

Installing designated breaks into a race was also a way to help NASCAR’s television partners, Fox and NBC, combat sagging ratings. Commercial breaks in the middle of the racing action would be lessened, and with the heightened stakes at the end of the first and second stages viewers would be more apt to stay tuned in.

So, after seven races, is the new format producing the desired impact? Yes and no.

Some weeks the racing has shown to be more inspired, particularly at Martinsville and Texas where hard driving and differing pit strategies inspired some tense moments. Yet while the enhanced on-track product should be considered a positive, that hasn’t yet been reflected in increased viewership numbers, with ratings remaining flat and in many cases trending downward.

Only the season-opening Daytona 500 and the April 9 race at Texas have seen a bump in viewership totals, according to Sports Media Watch. However, Texas comes with a caveat: Even the uptick in the number of eyeballs watching is offset by that race generating just a 2.7 rating, tied for the lowest-ever Cup Series broadcast on Fox.

For a sport dependent on sponsorship dollars, lackluster ratings remain an ominous and obvious indicator that more needs to be done if NASCAR is going to return to its halcyon days -- or something even closely resembling them. Continuous efforts are expected, but in what form bears watching as the season unfolds.

Joe Gibbs Racing off to slow start

A Joe Gibbs-owned Toyota reached victory lane 26 times over the 2016 and 2017 seasons, which included a Cup championship and wins in all four majors (the Daytona 500, Coca-Cola 600, Brickyard 400, and Southern 500). That moved JGR alongside Hendrick Motorsports as NASCAR’s dominant organizations, and a sound case could be made that JGR even surpassed Hendrick as the industry standard-bearer.

But success has been fleeting for JGR in 2017. Not only are Kyle Busch, Daniel Suarez, Denny Hamlin, and Matt Kenseth each winless, their average finishes are an ordinary 14.9, 19.3, 20.0, and 21.4, respectively. And the early lack of consistency isn’t the primary reason for concern — more conspicuous is JGR’s lack of speed shown on intermediate speedways. Considering half of the 10 playoff races are on like-sized tracks, that issue could sink the team’s title hopes.

Before pressing the panic button, it’s worth remembering Toyota’s flagship organization experienced a similar slow start two years ago. Hamlin didn’t get JGR its initial victory until the sixth race of the 2015 season, but they went on to win 10 of the next 20 during the regular season. Another such turnaround wouldn’t be surprising.

[onlinetechegypt]

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[onlinetechegypt]

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[mahaahassan]

[onlinetechegypt]

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