#MONEX

[deanna-nanindra]

BTW, hidden gem of K-pop 🔥

[allthebrazilianpolitics]

Brazil's real slips to near 1-week low in thin Latam holiday trade

Brazil's real slipped to a near one-week low against a muted dollar in thin trading volume, dragging the Latin American currencies index, while investors awaited a key U.S. inflation test for more clues on the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.

The MSCI index tracking Latam currencies .MILA00000CUS fell 0.2%, on track for only slight gains this quarter, losing steam following the previous quarter's near 6% jump, with the dollar index =USD set for a strong quarterly advance, owing to doubts over U.S. rate cuts this year.

"Some Fed members believe that rate cuts can be delayed and that perhaps only two are needed. This puts renewed downward pressure on all Latam and EM which now face a bit of central bank policy divergence after committing to slashing borrowing costs," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA.

All eyes will be on the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the so-called core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data, due on Friday. Any negative surprises could further blur the U.S. rate cuts picture.

Continue reading.

[franciscobadilla]

2025-03-20 GOLF MONEX from Francisco Badilla M. on Vimeo.

[birikipedi]

Euro/Dolar Paritesi Son 5 Ayın Zirvesinde: Almanya’nın Harcama Planı Etkili Oluyor

Euro, Almanya Başbakanı Friedrich Merz’in devasa harcama planına ilişkin kritik oylama öncesinde dolar karşısında son beş ayın en yüksek seviyesine ulaştı. Almanya Federal Meclisi’nin bugün planı onaylaması beklenirken, bu kararın Euro Bölgesi’ne ekonomik destek sağlayacağı düşünülüyor. Euro Bölgesi İçin Zincirleme Etki Monex Europe analistleri, yayımladıkları notta şu ifadeleri…

[thongtinkinhte24h]

Tỷ giá USD hôm nay 19/2: Tỷ giá trung tâm tăng phiên thứ ba liên tiếp

Điều chỉnh trái chiều tại các ngân hàng

Tỷ giá trung tâm hôm nay (19/2) được Ngân hàng Nhà nước công bố ở mức 24.633 VND/USD, tăng thêm phiên thứ ba với 31 đồng so với mức niêm yết hôm qua. Áp dụng biên độ 5%, hiện tỷ giá USD các ngân hàng thương mại được phép giao dịch là từ 23.401–25.865 VND/USD.

Tỷ giá mua bán tham khảo hôm nay được Sở giao dịch Ngân hàng Nhà nước điều chỉnh tăng lần lượt 30 và 32 đồng, lên mức 23.452–25.814 VND/USD.

Tỷ giá USD tại các ngân hàng sáng nay ghi nhận một số điều chỉnh trái chiều với mức dao động không quá 35 đồng. Trong đó, Vietcombank, BIDV và Techcombank lần lượt hạ 10, 20 và 35 đồng giá mua bán USD so với mức niêm yết cùng giờ hôm qua, trong khi đó VietinBank và Eximbank nâng tương ứng 27 và 10 đồng chỉ ở giá mua. Hiện tỷ giá USD nằm trong khoảng 25.302–25.340 VND/USD đối với chiều mua và 25.687–25.760 VND/USD đối với chiều bán.

Trên thị trường “chợ đen”, khảo sát lúc 9h15 sáng nay cho thấy đồng USD hiện được giao dịch ở mức 25.620–25.720 VND/USD. Giá mua và giá bán không đổi so với mức ghi nhận giờ này sáng qua.

Lên giá nhẹ nhờ nhu cầu trú ẩn an toàn

Chỉ số USD Index (DXY), thước đo sức mạnh của đồng bạc xanh so với các đồng tiền chủ chốt khác, đã tăng nhẹ lên mức 107,02 theo ghi nhận lúc 7h15 (giờ Việt Nam).

So với phiên trước đó, tỷ giá euro so với USD giảm 0,04%, đạt 1,0450. Tỷ giá đồng bảng Anh so với USD tăng 0,1% lên 1,2624. Tỷ giá USD so với yen Nhật giảm 0,08% ở mức 151,94.

Tỷ giá USD đã tăng giá so với các loại tiền tệ chính, dẫn đầu là mức tăng so với đồng euro nhờ nhu cầu trú ẩn an toàn trong bối cảnh lo ngại về thuế quan và các cuộc đàm phán căng thẳng về xung đột Nga — Ukraine.

Các nhà giao dịch đang theo dõi cuộc đàm phán tại Ả Rập Xê Út giữa các quan chức Mỹ và Nga nhằm mục đích chấm dứt chiến tranh Ukraine.

Tổng thống Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskiy cho biết không có thỏa thuận hòa bình nào có thể thực hiện mà không có ông. Ông đã hoãn chuyến thăm Saudi Arabia dự kiến ​​diễn ra vào hôm nay cho đến ngày 10/3 để tránh hợp pháp hóa các cuộc đàm phán giữa Mỹ và Nga.

Juan Perez, giám đốc giao dịch tại Monex USA, cho biết USD sẽ vẫn là nguồn an toàn trong bối cảnh bất ổn và hỗn loạn trước những nỗ lực nhằm chấm dứt một cuộc xung đột tốn kém. Thị trường dường như quan tâm đến mối quan hệ lạnh nhạt giữa Mỹ và EU khi cuộc họp giữa các nhà lãnh đạo Mỹ và Nga tại Ả Rập Xê Út đã không có sự tham gia của các quan chức EU. Điều này đặt ra nghi ngờ về khả năng Ukraine và Nga sẽ tìm được tiếng nói chung và từ đó mang lại tình hình kinh tế tốt hơn cho tất cả những bên liên quan.

Tuy nhiên, Nga đã cứng rắn hơn trong yêu cầu về một thỏa thuận hòa bình, khẳng định NATO không giữ lời hứa đã đưa ra tại hội nghị thượng đỉnh ở Bucharest năm 2008 rằng Ukraine sẽ gia nhập vào một ngày chưa xác định trong tương lai.

Trong khi đó, Tổng thống Donald Trump đã đe dọa áp thuế mới đối với EU do thặng dư thương mại của khối này với Mỹ. Động thái ngày càng quyết liệt của Mỹ được các nhà kinh tế dự đoán có thể gây ra sự suy thoái kinh tế toàn cầu.

Trước đó, đồng USD đã thu hẹp mức tăng sau khi dữ liệu cho thấy tâm lý của những người xây nhà ở Mỹ giảm xuống mức thấp nhất trong năm tháng vào tháng 2 do lo ngại rằng thuế quan kết hợp với lãi suất thế chấp cao hơn sẽ đẩy chi phí nhà ở lên cao hơn nữa. Chỉ số thị trường nhà ở của Hiệp hội xây dựng nhà quốc gia đã giảm năm điểm xuống còn 42 trong tháng này, mức thấp nhất kể từ tháng 9.

Các nhà đầu tư cũng sẽ tập trung vào biên bản cuộc họp tháng 1 của Cục Dự trữ Liên bang (Fed) được công bố vào hôm nay, để xem cách các nhà hoạch định chính sách tính đến rủi ro về một cuộc chiến thuế quan rộng lớn hơn phát sinh từ các chính sách thương mại của Trump.

Dữ liệu tuần trước cho thấy giá tiêu dùng tại Mỹ đã tăng với tốc độ nhanh nhất trong gần 18 tháng vào tháng 1, củng cố thông điệp của Fed rằng họ không vội vàng tiếp tục nới lỏng trong bối cảnh lo ngại kinh tế gia tăng.

Theo ước tính của LSEG, thị trường tương lai lãi suất đã định giá khoảng 37 điểm cơ bản (bps) sẽ nới lỏng vào năm 2025, so với 41 bps vào cuối thứ 6 vừa qua. Các kỳ vọng cũng ngụ ý rằng Fed có khả năng sẽ tiếp tục cắt giảm lãi suất tại cuộc họp chính sách vào tháng 9 hoặc tháng 10.

[chroniclecitynews]

Revelan BahamasLeaks elusión y evasión fiscal de Grupo Monex

 Ciudad de México.- Importantes personajes de los sectores banquero y financiero de México, entre ellos ejecutivos de Grupo Financiero Monex, Intercam, Deutsche Bank o de la banca Rotschild, abrieron entidades offshore en el paraíso fiscal de Las Bahamas.

El registro corporativo del archipiélago caribeño, en el que figuran 175 mil entidades offshore, fue filtrado al periódico alemán Süddeutsche Zeitung y compartido al Consorcio Internacional de Periodistas de Investigación (ICIJ, por sus siglas en inglés), así como a medios internacionales asociados –entre ellos la revista Proceso— que hoy publicaron la investigación global #BahamasLeaks.

Al menos 432 mexicanos, o personas con inversiones en nuestro país, aparecen con empresas asentadas en uno de los paraísos fiscales más conocido del mundo: Bahamas.

Por paraíso fiscal entendemos a los territorios en los que sus sistemas fiscales (1) no cobran o cobran muy pocos impuestos al ingreso, (2) favorecen a los contribuyentes extranjeros (3) por contar con un gran número de exenciones y con una importante protección al secreto financiero y fiscal. Es decir, suelen ser territorios donde la autoridad fiscal local no pregunta el origen del dinero y tampoco ofrece mucha información respecto al origen y destino de las inversiones y de sus inversionistas.

Entre ellos, hay nombres de accionistas que cotizan en bolsa así como ex servidores públicos y funcionarios en activo de distintos niveles jerárquicos.

Los nombres de los mexicanos surgieron de una investigación periodística internacional llamada Bahamas Leaks, a través de la cual se logró identificar 175 mil 888 firmas, fideicomisos y fundaciones abiertas por personajes de todo el mundo en ese país del Caribe.

Abrir entidades offshore en Bahamas no es ilegal, excepto si los clientes armaron estructuras para evadir el impuesto o lavar dinero de origen ilícito. Sin embargo, el registro que el ICIJ dio a conocer hoy es de difícil acceso –incluso para las autoridades tributarias–, pues la secrecía es un argumento comercial para Bahamas, que obtiene más de una tercera parte de sus riquezas de los servicios offshore.

La mayoría de los mexicanos son empresarios que ocupan cargos en Comex, Controladora Comercial Mexicana, Grupo Imagen, Grupo Posadas, entre otras. También aparece el empresario de Nuevo León, Dionisio Garza Medina.

Pero también aparecen políticos como el ex Secretario de Gobernación, Fernando Gómez Mont, y sus socios, los abogados Luis Esponda y Alberto Zinser; el ex gobernador de Nuevo Léon y ex titular de Economía y Energía durante el Gobierno de Vicente Fox, Fernando Canales Clariond.

Bahamas se encuentra en un proceso de regularización, todavía no concluido, ante las acusaciones recurrentes de ser un paraíso fiscal.

Desde 2002, de acuerdo con la Organización para la Cooperación y el Desarrollo Económicos (OCDE), Bahamas comenzó a firmar una serie de acuerdos bilaterales para intercambiar información en materia fiscal con 27 países, entre ellos Estados Unidos, Francia, Japón, Australia, Canadá, India, España, Alemania, Argentina, China, Reino Unido y México.

Pero Bahamas aún no firma la Convención sobre Asistencia Administrativa Mutua en Materia Fiscal (Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters, en inglés), el cual es uno de sus pendientes más importantes.

Este documento ha sido suscrito por 104 países, entre ellos México, y significa una serie de acuerdos de cooperación para hacer frente a la evasión y elusión fiscales.

Bahamas ocupa el lugar 25 en el índice de secrecía que elabora la Red para la Justicia Fiscal, de un total de 92 países. Los países más transparentes son Suiza, Hong Kong y Estados Unidos.

Este ranking califica la transparencia que se aplica a las personas que abren compañías, la regulación local, el pago de impuestos y la cooperación internacional.

Los documentos que conforman los #BahamasLeaks constan de 38 GB, 1.3 millones de archivos y enlistan 175 mil 888 empresas, fideicomisos o fundaciones, creadas desde 1990 hasta inicios de 2016.

El diario alemán Süddeutsche Zeitung -el mismo diario que recibió la filtración de #PanamaPapers- obtuvo los documentos del registro público de Bahamas y los compartió con el Consorcio de Periodistas de Investigación (ICIJ) y sus medios afiliados, entre los que se encuentra Aristegui Noticias.

La mayoría de los inversionistas han operado ahí mediante “compañías internacionales de negocios” (IBC, por sus siglas en inglés). De acuerdo con la legislación de Bahamas, las IBC no tienen que pagar impuestos por sus ingresos provenientes del extranjero y tampoco están obligadas a presentar informes anuales corporativos, con lo cual se protege la identidad de los accionistas.

La creación de una IBC simplemente requiere de un director y de un accionista. Los nombres del resto de los propietarios y, sobre todo de posibles beneficiarios, no son plasmados en el registro público de la propiedad. En Bahamas operan 396 bancos de todo el mundo. La legislación vigente ahí obliga a mantener la confidencialidad en todo aspecto.

El hecho de contar con este tipo de compañías en Bahamas no necesariamente implica cometer algún delito, como la evasión de impuestos, operación con recursos de procedencia ilícita y otros. De acuerdo con el marco legal mexicano, una operación financiera en ese país no tendría inconveniente siempre y cuando los inversionistas hayan reportado esas transferencias o ingresos ante las autoridades hacendarias de México.

Tras la anterior investigación periodística llamada Panama Papers publicada el pasado 3 de abril –también coordinada por el ICIJ-, el Sistema de Administración Tributaria (SAT) –el organismo mexicano encargado de recaudar impuestos- inició revisiones y auditorías a los personajes que ahí fueron mencionados.

Apenas dos meses después, el mismo SAT informó que hicieron 67 auditorías a las personas y a las empresas mexicanas incluidas en el caso Panama Papers, a través de las cuales recuperaron 438 millones de pesos, y aún se encontraban en proceso de cobrar 187 millones de pesos más. El SAT no reveló la identidad de esas personas. Sin embargo, puntualizó que uno de los investigados solicitó pagar “en parcialidades” 104.7 millones de pesos, más el 18% anual y recargos.

Al hacer una revisión de la base de datos, se encontró que al menos 431 mexicanos aparecen enlistados. A continuación, se consignan la lista de todos los mexicanos involucrados más destacados:

Alejandro Montaño Martínez

Sergio Ayub Touche

Efrén Segura Jimenez

José Manuel Gomez Mont Urueta

Fernado Gomez Mont

Alberto Zinser

Julio Esponda

Raul Sergio Treviño Hinojosa

Ricardo Antonio Ponce Gutiérrez

Gaston Azcárraga

Jorge Carvallo

Luis Barrios Sánchez

Gabriel Elías Guzmán

Manuel Borja Chico

Jose Carlos Azcárraga Andrade

Jorge Carvallo Couttolenec

Ruben Guillermo Camiro Vázquez

Francisco Javier Barrera Segura

Rafael de la Mora Ceja

Gerardo Rioseco Orihuela

Abel Armando Casillas Malo

Mayra Cristina Hernández González

Juan Duarte Hinterholzer

Abel Quezada Calderón

Jessica Tornell Frymerman

Alejandro González Zabalegui

María Teresa González Zabalegui

Luis Felipe González Zabalegui

María Eugenia González de Alverde

Yolanda González Zabalegui

Yolanda Zabalegui Rico

Pablo José González Guerra

Ana María González Zabalegui

Rafael Colome Carrasco

Roberto Velázquez García

Santiago García Casauranc

Mauricio García Castellanos

Elisa Fernández Franco

Sara Bialotosky de Chazan

Carlos Enrique Valenzuela Dosal

Luis Ignacio Archundia Alanis (y familia)

María Guadalupe Arriaga Diez

Angélica Arriaga Diez

Mónica de la Salud Arriaga Diez

Juan José de la Puente Fernández

Juan Antonio Paulin Duran

Duane Álvarez

Pablo Wladislavosky Waserman

Salvador Jiménez Paredes

Daniel Jaime Gervitz Lozowsky

Arturo Salgado Bravo

César Pérez Barnes

Francisco Talavera Autrique

Tamara de Pelsmaeker de López

Álvaro de la Macorra Barroso

Familia Camou Healy

Charles Edward Haddad Koenig

Bertha Alicia Morales González

Javier Roberto Morales González

Ricardo Martin Bringas (y familia)

María de Lourdes Dueñas Canales

Alfonso Traslosheros Ramos

Libia Martha Segura Werner

Georgina Teresita Lagos Donde

Carlos Tovar Armendariz

José Luis Fernandez Fernández

Bernardo Garza de la Fuente

Alejandro Ysita Ortega

Daniel Fernando Ramos Cabello

José de Jesus Hernández Monge

Familia Bacardí

Mauricio del Sagrado Corazón Enriquez Moreno

Hugo Luis Aguilar Serrano

Marco Antonio Mabarak Gallardo

Isaac Aspani Matarasso

Familia Urrutia

Tamara de Pelsmaeker de López

David Cassab Harari

Sandy Cassab Harari

Salvador Cassab Cohen

Salvador Cassab Chaba Kalach

Sandy Cassab Harari

Jacobo Cassab Harari

David Cassab Charabati

Juan Salvador Robinson Bours Martínez

Mario Alberto Cobo Trujillo

Ignacio Francisco Cobo González

Daniel Urrea González Paul

Gerardo Fernández Mena

Oliver Fernández Mena

Isaac Penhos Dana

Armando Blum Muñoz

Bertha Alicia González Moreno

Familia Bustamante

Pablo Álvarez de los Cobos

Arturo Escaip Manzur

Rosa Berdichevsky de Hoffman

Luís Perusquia Berrizbeitia

José Luís García Rodríguez

José Manuel Alonso Carus y familia (esposa y dos hijos)

Arturo Gamboa Rullan

Fernando Paiz

Arturo Gamboa Rullan

Fernando Paiz Andrade

Arturo Gamboa Rullan

Samuel Eichner Stern de Eichner

Rogelio Acuna del Villar

Federico Garza Santos

José Felipe Tome Velázquez

Carlos Alberto Casarrubias Solano

Alfonso Enrique Oviedo

Rodolfo José Rastellino

Ignacio Bolívar Casar

Joaquín López Dóriga Ostolaza

Sandra Jennie Morfin Morgan

Jorge Efrén Martínez Lambarry

Carlos Mochon Sacal

Jorge Efrén Martínez Lambarry

Carlos Mochon Sacal

Familia Sevilla Cheres

Alberto Guillermo Juan Carstensen Lanz

Carlos Arizpe Barreda

Sergio Francisco Contreras Moriel

Norberto Valdes Arellano

Elías Mizrahi

Daniel Mizrahi

Chema Mizrahi

John David Lawrence

Rolf Carl Spelz Madero

Carlos Alfonso Serrano Marin

Ana Margarita Pérez Miranda

Agustin Castro Pérez

Monica Catalina Ruvalcaba Gallardo

Blanca Estela Coeto Mateo

Marcelino Castillo

Marco Antonio Quijada Hurtado

Gerardo Vázquez Alonso

Carlos Sánchez Zapata

Silvia de la Fuente de Garza

Jacobo Shiver Smeke y familia

Irene María Quintana de Gutiérrez

Marcos Achar Levy

Jaime Cristo Álvarez

Marco Genaro Levinson Marcovitch

Moises Cohen Smeke y familia (Cohen Shakalu)

Nicolas Lorenzo Hamam

Marcela Fernández de López Portillo

Marianna López Portillo Fernández

Ignacio Alfonso Gastelum Bishop y familia

Alejandro Rivera Torres Prado

Gabriel Brinkman de Alba

Alberto Ramon Barroso

Mauricio Diamant Rubinstein

Jorge Miguel Kovacs Strumpfner

Abraham Perdomo Moreno

Ricardo Igartua Baranda

Juan Carlos Llorden Sabat

Salomon Waisburd Kleiman / Grinberg

Helio Horacio Fajardo Hernandez

Jaime Luis Lecumberri Serrano

Javier Cañedo González

Marcos Achar Mehoyas

Bension Sades Mehoyas

Moises Cohen Smeke y familia (Cohen Shakalu)

Enrique Hidalgo Noriega

Moises Saba

Familia Hrehovcsik

Ana María Cortés de Salgado

Zita Luz Autrey Maza

Marco Antonio Covarrubias Lugo

Manuel Rodríguez Valenzuela y familia

Jesús Rodríguez Aranda

Dionisio Garza Medina

Juan Regino Gutiérrez Barrera e hijos (familia Gutiérrez Prado)

Miguel Armando Aliaga Mokarzel

Rogelio Veyan

Luis Gerardo & Ricardo Rojano Sotomayor

Francisco Gaxiola

Javier Timoteo Barcena Alonso

Miguel Valenzuela Gorozpe

Franz Kurt Meyer Arce

Ernesto Aboumrad Padua

Alejandro Barrego Fagoga

Hugo Alberto Bermúdez Guzmán

Manuel Mantecón Álvarez

Familia Razu Dajer

Miguel Zaragoza Fuentes

Alberto Ignacio Valle García

José Gómez Baez

Hector Pio Lagos Donde

Adrian Ramos Bours

Oscar Héctor Soto Garza

Clara Katingo Haché de Quintanilla

Oscar Eduardo Nissen

Roberto Olmos García

Elvia Tapia Garibay

Alfredo Berber López

Jesús Mario Hernández Acedo

Rodrigo René Garza Quiroga

Familia Ibarra Gil

Jurg Zimmermann

Teodoro Alberto Ortiz Arce

Kristian Gómez Zapata

Salomon Zaga Senado y familia

Benjamin Feldman Melo

Carlos Laviada Ocejo

María de la Paz Fonseca Robledo e hija

Raul Flores Espinoza y familia

Eduardo Alfonso Corzo Osorio

Nicolas Elliot Aboumrad Noemi y familia

Fernando Esiquio Rivera Orozco

Salomón Achar Achar

Gerardo Alonso Roca García

María Naime Salem González

Rodolfo Jaime Selem

Luis Enrique Sandoval López

Carlos Raúl Saucedo Aguirre

Ricardo Skipsey Wallace

Manuel Ignacio Vejarano Restrepo

Ricardo David Navarrete Marusich

Roberto Radame del Rosal

Alfredo Vara Alonso

Gerardo Cantú Fernández

Guillermo Garcia Sada

Adina Chelminsky

Ruben Eugenio Coppel Bernal

Francesco Maresca

Fernando García Ruiz

Ignace Tuypens

Familia Arredondo Senosiain

Graciela Senosiain Aguilar

David Cassab Turquie

Silvia Rosario Ramírez de Borunda

Jacobo Penhos Bissu

Ricardo Antonio Rovira Villalobos

Nicolas Carrancedo Ojedo

Guillermo Canales López

Efrain Ochoa Gómez

Mordechai Morel Schwartz

Familia Autrey

Giovanni Lampedecchia Storelli

Fernando Adrián Ramírez Gallegos

Marcelino Castillo

Jorge Luis Bladinieres Pinedo

Diego Quintana Kawage

Leopoldo Ortega Carricarte

Regina Celorio Calvo

José Barrón Chávez

Antonio José Collado Prieto

Antonio González García

Jesús Alonso Zaragoza López

Gustavo Gutiérrez Gutiérrez

Rosendo Francisco Guerra Elizondo

Luis Alberto Ponce Silva

Carlos Cuauhtémoc Sánchez Gutiérrez

Eugenio Torres Ostos

Antonio Alfredo Martínez Manautou e hijos (Martínez Salinas)

Gustavo Alberto Tanori Romero

Roberto Ambriz Castillo

Manuel A. Mateos

Oscar Alfonso Chávez Arvizo

Gabriel Moreno Media

Eduardo Rodríguez García

Arturo Galindo Milhe

Yolanda Paola Garza Santos

José Bellosta

Carlos Martin Leon Barrera

Jorge Quinzaños Oria

Ana Graciela Morales González

Eduardo Mateos Gay

Olegario Vázquez Raña

Ricardo Pierdant

Antonio Torres Mota Velasco

Olegario Vázquez Aldir

Luis Fernando Molina Casas

José Luis Sánchez Lazcano

Bruno Newman Flores

Sergio Herrera David

Roberto Rotberg Blegerman

Carlos de la Garza Mijares

Miguel Santiago Prieto Lamadrid

Alberto Rivera Torres Prado

Benjamín Levy Zonana

Marcos Achar Contreras

Fernando Arocha Cantú

Carlos Alberto Raphael De La Madrid

Fernando Raphael de la Madrid

Javier Amtmann Aguilar

Jorge Villanueva García Benítez

Jorge Alberto Martínez Madero

Agustín Guillermo Diener Saenz

Ana Elena Enríquez de Aguinaga e hijas

Saul Rotberg Blegerman

Eduardo Sigfrido Gustavo Stenger Gómez

Xavier Saavedra Buenrostro

Luis Rosas Macedo

José Valentín Díaz Rodríguez

Diego Gerardo Rosique León

Jaime Collantes López Negrete

Gabriel Bribiesca Ángulo

Hermanos Pedrero Camacho

Álvaro Elías García González

Eduardo Brenner

Jorge Ibarra Ripoll

Esther Luz Trascierra Guzmán

Benito Iván Guerra Silla

Fernando Cuesta Rodríguez

Salvador Muriel Suárez

Alegra Achar Tussie

Ricardo Rodríguez Martínez

Marcelo de Jesús Galas Bardales

Graciela Fastlicht de Beja

Familia Cabello Elizondo

Héctor Eduardo Fanghano Hernández

José Manuel Contreras Lomelí

Hector Loustaunau Diez Gutiérrez

Jaime Hernández Panivino

Emilio Gutiérrez Mateos

Alfredo Achar Toussie

Jaime Woldenberg Marcovich

Paul Davidoff Baril

Alex Mauricio Davidoff Baril

Esther Shabot de Achar

Marcos Achar Achar

Luis Achar Tussie

Jaqueline Kibrit Masri

Olga Achar de Abadi

Elias Achar Levy

Marcos Achar Levy

Julio Serrano Espinosa

Guillermo Díaz de Rivera Álvarez

Manuel Lamas Balboa e hijos

Gabriela Zabludovsky Cuk

Juan José Garibay López Negrete

Mario Raúl Lara Mijares

Roberto Zamora Llanes

José Germán Coppel Luken

María Soledad Hernández Ruiz

Antonio Mosqueda Tinoco

Juan Carlos Herrero Cagigas

Leopoldo Carlos Vidal Sosa

Lorenza Barroso Rivera

José Antonio Vallina Maldonado

Patricia Valdes de la Fuente

Francisco Javier García Quevedo de Topete

Ignacio Quesada Morales

Fernando de Jesús Canales Clariond

Daniel Olivares Guevara

Pablo Valladares García

Alejandro Molchadsky

Ricardo Alfredo Silva Padilla

Alfonso Luis Escamilla Soto

José Eugenio Álvarez Gil

Sergio Bernardo Robles Treviño

Víctor Manuel Gamboa Rullán

German Alonso Botero

Arturo Castelo Parada

Antonio González García

Marta Emelina Debayle de López

Pía Antonina López Debayle

Roberto Flores Rangel

Francisco Díaz Brown Olea

Marco Antonio Karam Amado

Luis Vázquez Senties

Niurka Saliva Benítez

Miguel Noriega Candado

Antonio Martínez Baez Prieto

Guillermo Gerardo Díaz de Rivera Alvarez

Gustavo Antonio Zarate Ramos

María Mirza Peña Romero

Maximo Haddad

Mariana Celorio Calvo

José Sevilla Cohen

Raúl Arizpa Verastegui

Yolanda Rueda de Quezada

Dolores Salem González

Javier Arechavaleta Santos

Clara Susana Stern de Eichner

Horacio Rivera Orozco

Fernando Treviño

Moises Achar Tussie

[qocsuing]

Innovating Finance with Monex Group: A Journey of Growth and Excellence

Innovating Finance with Monex Group: A Journey of Growth and Excellence

Monex Group, founded in 1999, has established itself as a leading player in the financial services industry. With a commitment to innovation and customer-centric solutions, Monex has transformed the way people engage with financial markets.To get more news about Monex, you can visit our official website.

Global Reach and Diverse Services

Monex Group's global presence is one of its defining features. The company operates in key financial markets across Asia, North America, and Europe. This international reach allows Monex to offer a wide range of services, including online brokerage, asset management, and investment banking.

Cutting-Edge Technology

At the heart of Monex's success is its dedication to leveraging cutting-edge technology. The company's trading platforms are designed to be user-friendly, reliable, and efficient. Monex continuously invests in technological advancements to ensure that its clients have access to the best tools for their trading and investment needs.

Customer-Centric Approach

Monex places a strong emphasis on understanding and meeting the needs of its clients. The company's customer-centric approach is evident in its personalized financial services and educational resources. Monex provides clients with valuable insights and support to help them make informed investment decisions.

Innovation and Growth

Monex Group has a track record of embracing innovation and adapting to the evolving financial landscape. The company's forward-thinking approach has led to the development of new products and services that cater to the diverse needs of its clients. Monex's commitment to growth is reflected in its continuous expansion and strategic acquisitions.

Sustainable and Responsible Practices

Monex is also dedicated to sustainable and responsible business practices. The company integrates environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into its operations. By prioritizing sustainability, Monex aims to create long-term value for its clients, shareholders, and the broader community.

[unitedventurez]

Honda and Nissan Explore Potential Merger Amid EV Competition

Japanese carmakers Honda and Nissan are reportedly engaging in early-stage discussions about a potential merger, aiming to strengthen their position in the fast-evolving electric vehicle (EV) market, particularly in China.

The talks follow an agreement in March where the two companies decided to collaborate on EV strategies. In August, they deepened their partnership, focusing on battery technology and advanced electrification systems, while also including Mitsubishi Motors in broader discussions.

In a joint statement to the media, both firms said: "As announced earlier this year, Honda and Nissan are exploring possibilities for collaboration, leveraging each other’s strengths." However, neither company has officially confirmed the merger discussions reported by Japanese business outlet Nikkei.

Challenges in a Competitive Landscape Honda and Nissan have faced increasing pressure as the global auto industry shifts from petrol and diesel vehicles to electric. The booming EV production in China, where brands like BYD and Tesla dominate, has intensified the challenges for Japanese manufacturers. Combined, Honda and Nissan sold 7.4 million vehicles globally in 2023 but continue to lose market share in China, which accounted for nearly 70% of global EV sales last year.

With fierce competition from lower-cost EV producers, Nissan and Honda are exploring ways to remain viable. Edmunds analyst Jessica Caldwell highlighted the growing difficulty for mid-sized players in the market. "Collaboration has become essential, not just for survival but to remain competitive in a rapidly changing industry," she noted.

Political and Structural Hurdles A merger of this scale would face intense political and regulatory scrutiny in Japan, given the potential impact on jobs. Additionally, Nissan's existing alliance with French automaker Renault may add complexity to any deal.

Jesper Koll, an expert from Japanese online trading platform Monex Group, questioned whether a merger could significantly enhance competitiveness. "It feels like rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic," he remarked, suggesting neither company currently has groundbreaking products or technologies to reshape their market standing.

Market Reaction The news has had mixed effects on the stock market. Following the reports, Nissan shares surged over 20% in Tokyo, while Honda shares dipped by 2%. Mitsubishi Motors, a potential partner in the discussions, saw its shares jump 13%.

Future Uncertain While the companies are expected to provide updates soon, it remains unclear if a formal merger will materialize. Both Honda and Nissan have emphasized that any developments will be shared with stakeholders "at the appropriate time."

The potential partnership underscores the urgent need for traditional automakers to adapt to a market increasingly dominated by EVs and Chinese competitors. Whether the merger leads to a revitalized strategy or merely serves as a stopgap remains to be seen.

[marryrd]

Monex Money Exchange: Comprehensive Currency Exchange and Financial Services in London

Monex Money Exchange in London provides diverse financial and leisure services, including commission-free currency exchange, secure traveler’s cheques, and fast international money transfers. They also offer tour bookings, expedited entry to attractions, and retail merchandise like Doctor Who and Harry Potter collectibles. Additionally, their SpotOn Money service enables quick online transfers, and they provide telecom solutions, including broadband and mobile services. Monex is committed to delivering exceptional value and personalized support.

[acapulcopress]

Guerra de aranceles aumentará inflación

CIUDAD DE MÉXICO * 27 de noviembre, 2024 ) Forbes México El próximo presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, amenazó a la administración de Claudia Sheinbaum de colocar aranceles a todo producto que

se importe desde México. La presidenta mexicana reviró al republicano y mencionó que habrá respuesta fiscal, en tanto, expertos del Grupo Financiero Monex coincidieron en que esta “guerra arancelaria” solo disparará la inflación en ambos países. En conferencia de prensa, donde se revisaron las perspectivas económicas para la economía mexicana para 2025, Janneth Quiroz, directora de Análisis Económico de Monex, comentó que de hacerse realidad la amenaza del virtual presidente, Estados Unidos enfrentaría una oferta limitada de productos, lo que provocaría un incremento en el precio de los mismos. “Los precios aumentarían para los productos en EU y en México”, comentó. La experta añadió que si México responde, los productos que ingresan desde su vecino del norte también implicaría un aumento en la inflación, la cual el Banco de México (Banxico) ha buscado mitigar desde 2021. De acuerdo con el análisis de la institución financiera, el Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor (INPC) para 2025 sería de 4.05%, un nivel superior en 55 puntos base en comparación con la estimación de Hacienda, que dirige Rogelio Ramírez de la O, que es de 3.50%. La estimación de Monex se encuentra a penas por arriba de la tasa objetivo de Banxico, que es de 3% más/menos un punto porcentual. Eventualmente la estimación de Hacienda se encuentra en el objetivo del banco central. Quiroz comentó además que un aumento de la inflación en EU provocaría que la Reserva Federal pueda cambiar su política monetaria, dejando atrás el recorte de tasas o ralentizándolo, situación que, Banxico podría emular. Como consecuencia tendríamos una ralentización de la economía mexicana. Según Monex, la tasa de referencia de Banxico cerraría el próximo año en 10%, Hacienda estimó un 8%. De acuerdo con la institución financiera, el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) mexicano sería de 1% para el próximo año, la estimación de Hacienda es de entre 2 y 3% anual. “Trump es un riesgo sistémico para México”, señaló la directora. La presidencia de Trump inicia el próximo 20 de enero y con ello un periodo de incertidumbre para la economía nacional, aseguró Janneth Quiroz, quien añadió que esta volatilidad ya se vive en los mercados y el tipo de cambio, el cual, mencionó, está lejos de volver a su mínimo nivel de 16.50 pesos por dólar. “El tipo de cambio cerraría 2025 en 21 pesos por dólar”, comentó la economista, Riesgo ante calificadoras Suman dos calificadoras que recortan la perspectiva de la calificación de México a “negativa”, se trata de Moody’s y de HR Ratings. Al respecto, Quiroz comentó que “contemplan” tres posibilidades al futuro, la primera: que dejen dicha perspectiva “por un tiempo prolongado”. “La otra es que si la evaluación que hagan (las calificadoras) apunta a que el manejo de las finanzas públicas de México sea adecuado (…) que modifiquen la perspectiva”, comentó. La última opción, dijo, es que las calificadoras recorten la calificación de México. Moody’s actualmente califica a México como “Baa2”, lo que de acuerdo con especialistas, significa que la calificación se encuentra dos niveles por encima del grado de especulación, pero la perspectiva indica una posibilidad de recorte en un plazo de 6 a 12 meses. La calificación que asignó HR Ratings es de “BBB”, la cual señala que el país aún es “confiable” respecto al cumplimiento de sus obligaciones de pago de deuda. La especialista señaló que todo dependerá del manejo de las finanzas públicas por parte de la administración de Sheinbaum, quien busca reducir el déficit presupuestal a un 3.5% en 2025 desde un 5.9% para 2024. ) www.acapulcopress.com Read the full article

[cancun-airport]

Essential Cancun Packing List: Must-Have Travel Gear

Cancun Packing List To Bring On Your Cancun Vacation

Estimated reading time: 4 minutes Planning a getaway to the stunning beaches of Cancun? Packing the right gear can make all the difference between a good vacation and an unforgettable one. Here's your essential Cancun packing list and guide to must-have items for your Mexican Caribbean adventure.

What to include in your Cancun Packing List

Cancun Beach Essentials

Your days in Cancun will likely revolve around sun, sand, and crystal-clear waters. Don't forget these items on your essential Cancun packing list: - A high-quality reef-safe sunscreen (SPF 50+ recommended) to protect both your skin and Cancun's delicate coral reefs - Multiple swimsuits - the humid climate means they may not dry overnight - A wide-brimmed sun hat and polarized sunglasses for eye protection - A lightweight, quick-dry beach towel that won't take up much luggage space - A waterproof phone case for underwater photos and protection from sand

Clothing & Accessories

Cancun's tropical climate demands strategic packing: - Lightweight, breathable clothing made from natural fibers like cotton or linen - At least one smart-casual outfit for upscale restaurants - Comfortable walking sandals and water shoes for beach activities, which are part of your essential Cancun packing list. - A light rain jacket or umbrella (especially during rainy season from June to October) - A small crossbody bag or waterproof backpack for day trips

Essential Health & Safety Items to add to your Cancun Packing List

Cancun Packing List - Bug Repellent Stay comfortable and protected: - Insect repellent with DEET for mosquito protection - After-sun lotion or aloe vera gel for inevitable sun exposure - Basic first-aid kit including bandages and anti-diarrheal medication - Hand sanitizer and wet wipes for on-the-go cleansing - Check the Sea Lice Season in the Caribbean

Tech & Documentation

Keep your Cancun vacation running smoothly: - Universal power adapter (Mexico uses Type A/B outlets, 127V) - Portable battery pack for long days away from power sources - See the Tax-Free Electronics Policies for Travelers to Cancun - Copies of important documents (passport, travel insurance, hotel and airport transportation bookings) are always part of an essential Cancun packing list. - Camera or GoPro for capturing underwater adventures - Download offline maps and translation apps before your trip - Check if your passport is valid. See this Passport & Visa Guide - If you have doubts about Visa, go to the official Foreign Mexico Affairs Website

Book Your Cancun Airport Transfer Before Arrival

Book your Cancun Airport private shuttle with Van.Travel - a trusted, official transportation provider offering direct hotel transfers. Safe, reliable service with licensed drivers at Cancun International Airport.

Extra Tips for your Cancun Packing List

- Pack a dry bag for water activities and boat tours - Bring cash for small purchases and tips (both USD and Mexican Pesos are widely accepted). See Monex Exchange Tips. - Check the current money exchange rate on your arrival as this may change frequently. Here is a useful tool to do that: Money Exchange Rates - Consider packing snorkel gear if you plan multiple snorkeling trips - it's often cheaper than renting - Leave space in your luggage for souvenirs from local markets, as part of your essential Cancun packing list.

Remember, Cancun has plenty of shopping options if you forget something, but having these essentials ready will help you make the most of your vacation from day one. ¡Buen viaje! - Essential Tips for Traveling to Mexico with Children - Sea Lice Season in Cancun - Current Mexico Exchange Rate at Cancun Airport - Cancun Airport Terminals - Airlines Guide - Cancun Airport Terminal 4 Expansion Read the full article

[mariacallous]

When Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida steps down next month, he will leave Japan with a tightened alliance with the United States and warmer ties with South Korea. But his domestic legacy is far shakier, with a worried public angry about his handling of the economy and unanswered questions about how to fund promised spending to bolster the military and revive a flagging birth rate.

When ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) faction leaders, including former premiers, opted three years ago to back Kishida over his more popular rival as their next leader and hence prime minister, they were betting his experience and consensus-building style would outweigh a lackluster public image.

Kishida, now 67, did lead the party to a strong showing in an October 2021 general election and keep his coalition’s grip on the Japanese parliament’s upper house the next year. But a spate of party scandals and public dismay over rising prices fueled by a weak yen then sent his support ratings tumbling alongside those of the LDP.

On Wednesday, the mild-mannered former foreign minister admitted that his time had run out. Pressured by party lawmakers worried about their prospects in a lower house election that must be held by the end of October 2025, Kishida announced he would not run in a party leadership election next month. The winner of the vote is assured the premiership by virtue of the LDP-led coalition’s grip on parliament.

“In this presidential election, it is necessary to show the people that the LDP is changing and the party is a new LDP,” Kishida said at a press conference where he announced his decision.

But Kishida’s resignation also marks a return to the rapid churn that characterized Japanese leadership before the era of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Kishida is already Japan’s second prime minister since Abe resigned in 2020 after a historic, nearly eight-year term as the country’s longest-serving premier. Abe remained influential until he was shot to death while campaigning in July 2022. Kishida’s predecessor, Yoshihide Suga, bowed out after just one year in the face of cratering support due to his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The rapid turnover of Japanese premiers followed reforms in the 1990s that boosted the role of the prime minister and party label in elections, making lawmakers more reliant on their leader’s popularity. Abe, in his lengthy second term, and his predecessor Junichiro Koizumi (premier from 2001 to 2006) were the exceptions that proved the rule.

Kishida was a core member of Abe’s cabinet as foreign minister, but he took office promising to craft a “new capitalism” that would distribute national wealth more equitably and promote growth as an alternative to his former boss’s trademark “Abenomics” recipe of fiscal spending, hyper-easy monetary policy, and structural reform.

Critics say Kishida’s new capitalism never really took off. “There were changes at the edges, but if you look at it, it was just more fiscal spending and, until recently, appointing someone to the Bank of Japan [governorship] who was committed to keeping rates lower for longer,” said Jesper Koll, an economist and global ambassador for Monex Group, an investment advisory firm.

Those policies had implications beyond Japan’s shores. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda jolted global markets last month when the central bank raised interest rates to a 15-year high and signaled its readiness to hike borrowing costs further on growing prospects that inflation would durably hit its 2 percent target.

Kishida also jawboned companies into the biggest wage hike in three decades—5.1 percent for big corporations—but the raises failed to keep pace with inflation due largely to the weak yen. “There was no feel-good factor because of cost-push inflation,” Koll said.

Even as ordinary Japanese struggled with higher prices, they were treated to a widening scandal in the LDP in which dozens of party lawmakers transferred profits from fundraising events to unreported slush funds. That followed on the heels of public outrage over the party’s links to the controversial Unification Church, considered a cult by critics, including Abe’s assassin. Both scandals involved largely members of the LDP faction previously headed by Abe, on whose backing Kishida had relied to win a second-round runoff in the party leadership race in 2021.

The LDP—and Kishida himself—came under heavy criticism for failing to take responsibility for the funding scandal; efforts to restore public trust by sanctioning some lawmakers and revising a political funds control law were perceived as falling far short of needed steps.

“Kishida wanted to do more, but the LDP said ‘no, we’ll engineer an empty gesture,’ and the public saw through that,” said Jeff Kingston, director of Asian Studies at Temple University’s Japan campus.

Kishida’s efforts to tighten security ties with the United States, mend fences with South Korea—long frayed by feuds over the wartime past—and boost defense spending while loosening limits on arms exports won him plaudits from Washington. In December 2022, Tokyo set a new target for military spending over the next five years: 43 trillion yen, or 1.5 times the then-current level. But details on funding, including future tax hikes, remain vague. The same is true for Kishida’s pledge to double spending on childcare by the early 2030s to raise Japan’s sinking birth rate.

Public expectations that higher taxes are indeed on the horizon won the bespectacled Kishida the moniker “four-eyed tax-hiker” from critics online last year, even as he promised a one-off income tax cut of 40,000 yen per person. The tax cut took effect in June but did nothing to stem the decline in Kishida’s approval rating, which hit 25 percent this month.

After a string of losses in local elections, the writing was on the wall for Kishida. He failed to win backing from party heavyweights, ties with whom had frayed over his handling of the slush fund scandal.

The new party leader will be chosen in a vote by party members next month, on a date yet to be set. But whether LDP popularity with the general public will prevail remains to be seen. The main opposition party still lags behind the LDP and has yet to work out how to cooperate with other opposition groups, potentially reducing pressure on the LDP to pick the most popular leader.

The dissolution, at least in name, of most LDP factions in response to the funding scandal, potentially reducing their role in dispersing campaign funds and key posts, makes predictions especially tough. Factional support has been key to victory in past party leadership polls.

Former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba, 67, a frequent critic of the party mainstream who has run for the party presidency four times in the past, tops the list in media surveys of preferred candidates but is less popular with lawmakers. Next is telegenic former Environment Minister Shinjiro Koizumi, 43, often followed by Digital Minister Taro Kono, 61, who lost out to Kishida last time.

Other potential candidates include LDP Secretary-General Toshimitsu Motegi, 68, who ranks low in popularity polls but has experience in several cabinet posts. Among possible female challengers are the hawkish Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi, 63, and low-profile Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa, 71. Former Economic Security Minister Takayuki Kobayashi, 49, has been floated by lawmakers keen for a fresh face.

Whether a new leader will revive the LDP’s tattered fortunes seems likely to depend on who wins, and how, as well as the main opposition party’s struggle to convince the public it can govern. “If it’s a brokered election and they pick a veteran who thinks they’re entitled, a bounce would be short-lived,” Koll said, adding that a generational change could boost support and spark a snap election.

[thongtinkinhte24h]

Tỷ giá USD hôm nay 12/2: Sở giao dịch NHNN yết tỷ giá bán linh hoạt

Đồng loạt tăng phiên thứ năm liên tiếp

Tỷ giá trung tâm  hôm nay (12/2) được Ngân hàng Nhà nước công bố ở mức 24.550 VND/USD, tăng 28 đồng so với mức niêm yết hôm qua, là phiên tăng thứ bảy liên tiếp. Áp dụng biên độ 5%, hiện tỷ giá USD các ngân hàng thương mại được phép giao dịch là từ 23.323 - 25.778 VND/USD.

Tỷ giá mua bán tham khảo hôm nay đã được Sở giao dịch Ngân hàng Nhà nước điều chỉnh, chuyển sang cơ chế yết tỷ giá bán linh hoạt, với phạm vi mới là 23.346 - 25.698 VND/USD.  

Tỷ giá USD trong nước hôm nay tiếp tục chứng kiến thêm một phiên tăng mạnh mẽ tại các ngân hàng, đưa giá mua bán USD lên mức đỉnh mới sau năm phiên tăng liên tục. Cụ thể, tỷ giá USD được nâng 117 đến 177 đồng so với mức niêm yết cùng giờ hôm qua, đưa giá mua USD hiện nằm trong khoảng 25.370 – 25.430 VND/USD, với VietinBank có giá chào cao nhất. Còn giá bán USD giao dịch trong phạm vi 25.770 - 25.777 VND/USD.

Trên thị trường "chợ đen", khảo sát lúc 9h15 sáng nay cho thấy đồng USD hiện được giao dịch ở mức 25.650 - 25.750 VND/USD. Giá mua và giá bán cùng tăng 30 đồng so với mức ghi nhận giờ này sáng qua.

Điều chỉnh giảm sau ba phiên tăng liên tục

Chỉ số USD Index (DXY), thước đo sức mạnh của đồng bạc xanh so với các đồng tiền chủ chốt khác, đã giảm xuống mức 107,92 theo ghi nhận lúc 7h30 (giờ Việt Nam). 

So với phiên trước đó, tỷ giá euro so với USD giảm 0,04, đạt 1,0359. Tỷ giá đồng bảng Anh so với USD giảm 0,02% lên 1,2445. Tỷ giá USD so với yen Nhật tăng 0,31% ở mức 152,96.

Tỷ giá USD đã giảm vào hôm qua khi Chủ tịch Cục Dự trữ Liên bang (Fed) Jerome Powell cho biết ngân hàng trung ương sẽ không vội cắt giảm lãi suất ngắn hạn một lần nữa trong bối cảnh thị trường chờ đợi thông tin cụ thể hơn về khả năng áp dụng thuế quan thương mại của Tổng thống Donald Trump.

Ông Powell cho biết quan điểm về lãi suất phản ánh nền kinh tế Mỹ vẫn mạnh mẽ với tỷ lệ thất nghiệp  thấp và lạm phát  vẫn cao hơn mục tiêu 2% của Fed, bình luận này được phần lớn các nhà giao dịch mong đợi.

Ông cũng nói với các nhà lập pháp rằng vai trò của Fed không phải là bình luận về chính sách thuế quan hoặc thương mại mà là phản ứng với tác động của chúng đối với nền kinh tế.

Bà Helen Given, nhà giao dịch ngoại hối tại Monex USA, cho rằng Powell đang cố gắng tỏ ra cực kỳ thận trọng trong phát biểu của mình.

Các nhà giao dịch đang dần trở nên ít bị ảnh hưởng với tin tức về thuế quan tương lai hơn do họ vẫn chờ đợi thêm chi tiết về tác động của chúng đối với lạm phát và tăng trưởng, ít nhất là ở hiện tại không có dấu hiệu cho thấy các mức thuế quan này thực sự sẽ được áp dụng.

Thị trường tương lai định giá có 36 điểm cơ bản (bps) lãi suất của Fed sẽ được giảm vào cuối năm, không thay đổi nhiều so với trước bình luận của Powell, tức là sẽ có một lần cắt giảm 25 bps và chỉ có một phần khả năng cắt giảm lần thứ hai.

Hôm nay, ông Powell tiếp tục phát biểu trước Ủy ban Dịch vụ Tài chính Hạ viện.

Dữ liệu giá tiêu  dùng tháng 1 dự kiến ​​công bố vào hôm nay cũng là tin kinh tế chính của Mỹ trong tuần và dự kiến ​​sẽ cho thấy lạm phát vẫn ổn định trong tháng. Thuế quan có khả năng vẫn là mối quan tâm chính của các nhà giao dịch khi có bất kỳ dấu hiệu nào cho thấy căng thẳng thương mại đang gia tăng.

Ông Athanasios Vamvakidis, giám đốc nghiên cứu ngoại hối tại BofA, cho rằng mối đe dọa về việc áp thêm thuế quan của Mỹ vẫn còn, kể cả đối với Liên minh châu Âu và việc trả đũa thậm chí có thể dẫn đến kịch bản rủi ro của một cuộc chiến tranh thương mại toàn cầu.   

[influencermagazineuk]

The Potential Impact of the UK Election on the Pound's Stability

The British pound has surged in anticipation of a projected landslide victory for the opposition Labour Party. However, the currency’s future hinges on the new government convincing wary investors of its ability to effectively address the stagnant economy. The UK's public debt-to-GDP ratio is at a 63-year high, and foreign direct investment has decreased in four of the last five quarters up to the end of 2023. To avoid spending cuts, Labour will need to increase taxes or borrowing, as noted by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). Investors will closely scrutinize the new government’s strategies to address these challenges. The risks for sterling are asymmetrical because the currency has already factored in a strong Labour majority that could boost Britain’s growth. A less stable political scenario could significantly weaken and increase the volatility of sterling, according to Costas Milas, a finance professor at Liverpool University. Labour, led by Keir Starmer, holds a 20-percentage-point lead over the ruling Conservatives in recent polls. Once a global reserve currency, sterling is now trading below its per-dollar average of the four decades before 2016. However, at around $1.27, it has outperformed major peers this year. The pound has rebounded sharply from its record low of $1.03 in 2022, caused by former Conservative Prime Minister Liz Truss’s poorly funded mini-budget, which triggered a bond market rout, increased debt costs, and exacerbated inflation. This volatility has led to the pound being nicknamed the "great British peso," drawing comparisons to risky emerging markets. This instability has adversely affected the UK economy, creating a negative feedback loop. Milas’ research indicates that economic policy uncertainty in Britain since 2016 has directly caused financial market stress, including increased exchange rate volatility, which in turn has hindered economic growth. Analysts suggest that a Labour government with predictable, market-supported policies could reverse this cycle. "If Labour follows a fiscally responsible playbook, it would greatly support sterling," said Guillermo Felices, global strategist at PGIM Fixed Income. "The recent strength in sterling is ultimately about anticipated stability," added Michael Field, a strategist at Morningstar. Financial markets anticipate that the Bank of England and the European Central Bank will implement comparable rate cuts this year. However, Labour’s exact fiscal policies remain unclear. The IFS recently criticized both Labour and the Conservatives for their pre-election manifestos, which avoided addressing major tax and borrowing questions, creating a "knowledge vacuum." Analysts predict sterling will rise to $1.2875 in the next 12 months on average, according to LSEG data, though there are risks further out. Labour, out of power for 14 years, is eager to shed its image as a tax-and-spend party. Simon Harvey, head of FX research at Monex Europe, noted that currency traders are optimistic about sterling in the short term because UK government finances limit Labour's ability to overspend. However, if UK economic growth improves, there remains a risk that Labour could veer too far left, potentially unsettling long-term investors, Harvey warned. Pictet Asset Management's senior economist Nikolay Markov suggested that Labour might pursue heavy investment, which could prove inflationary and negatively impact UK bond markets and sterling. Britain has faced higher inflation than other G7 countries, with annual price rises peaking at 11.1% in 2022. Oxford Economics calculated that a 10% depreciation of sterling would add 1.3 percentage points to UK consumer price inflation over two years. Starmer has proposed investment in housing and infrastructure, echoing U.S. President Joe Biden’s policies, but on a smaller scale. Giles Wilkes, an Institute for Government fellow and former adviser to Prime Minister Theresa May, described it as a budget version of Bidenomics.  Roger Bootle, a former economic adviser to 1990s UK finance minister Kenneth Clarke, believes Starmer’s finance chief, Rachel Reeves, will likely "keep spending tight." However, Dario Perkins, head of macro at TS Lombard and former Treasury adviser, warned that if Labour cuts public services too much, disillusioned voters might turn to populist parties, dampening hopes of the UK rebuilding trade links with Europe. Read the full article

[qocsuing]

Monex: Pioneering Precious Metals Trading and Investment

Monex: Pioneering Precious Metals Trading and Investment

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One of Monex's standout features is its real-time pricing and live market data, which allows investors to make informed decisions based on the latest market trends. The platform offers interactive charts and historical price data, giving users a detailed view of market performance over time.

Monex also provides a wide range of bullion products, including gold and silver bars, coins, and rounds. Investors can choose from various sizes and weights, ensuring flexibility and convenience in their investment strategies.

In addition to trading, Monex emphasizes education and support for its clients. The company offers resources such as webinars, market analysis, and personalized consultations to help investors navigate the complexities of the precious metals market.

With a commitment to integrity and customer service, Monex continues to be a trusted partner for those looking to invest in precious metals. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, Monex provides the tools and expertise needed to succeed in the precious metals market.