#MEMPHIS WEATHER FORECAST

[rjzimmerman]

Excerpt from this story from Inside Climate News:

For the third year in a row, extreme drought conditions in the Midwest are drawing down water levels on the Mississippi River, raising prices for companies that transport goods downstream and forcing governments and business owners to seek alternative solutions.

The situation could signal an emerging reality for the region, scientists say, as climate change alters the planet’s weather patterns and inches the average global temperature continually upwards.

“Without question, it’s discouraging that we’re in year three of this. Because that is quite unique to have multiple years in a row of this,” said Mike Steenhoek, executive director of the Soy Transportation Coalition, a trade organization representing Midwest soy growers. “We’re obviously trending in the wrong direction.”

Since 2022, much of the Midwest has experienced some level of drought, with the driest conditions concentrated in Iowa, Missouri, Nebraska and Kansas. Record rainfall in June and during part of July temporarily broke that dry spell, forecasters say, only for drought conditions to reemerge in recent weeks along the Ohio River basin, which typically supplies more water to the Mississippi than any other major tributary.

Water levels have been dropping in the lower Mississippi since mid-July, federal data shows, reaching nearly eight feet below the historic average in Memphis on Thursday. In October 2023, water levels reached a record-low -12 feet in Memphis. Remnants of Hurricane Francine, which made landfall in Louisiana Wednesday night as a Category 2 storm, “will provide only temporary relief,” the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in a news release Wednesday.

“Rainfall over the Ohio Valley is also not looking to be widespread and heavy enough to generate lasting effects and anticipate that much of the rainfall will soak into the ground with little runoff,” the agency said in the release.

Those conditions have raised prices for companies transporting fuel and grain down the Mississippi in recent weeks, as load restrictions force barge operators to limit their hauls, which squeezes their profit margin. Barge rates from St. Louis reached $24.62 a ton in late August and $27.49 per ton by the following week, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Steenhoek said barge prices during the week ending Sept. 3 were 8 percent higher than the same week last year and 57 percent higher than the three-year average. “It does change that supply demand relationship,” he said, “because now all of a sudden you’re having to transport a given amount of freight with less capacity.”

[elfcirynn]

I'll post pictures later but here's the rundown of my weekend:

Left DC on Friday to fly into Houston, picked up our rental car and drove to San Antonio.

Drove further west on Saturday to a cabin half an hour north of Uvalde, spent the evening photographing bats/a bat cave.

Sunday was spent problem solving for a remote camera rig for photographing the eclipse and nervously checking the weather forecast. We decided to make a push to Arkansas to assist another photographer and left at 5pm, driving through the night and arriving at 5am to snag a quick nap in a hotel.

Monday morning, breakfast and then out to help photograph a mass elopement during the totality of the eclipse. And then drove to Memphis to crash on a friends couch.

Now we have a solid 13 hours if driving to get back to DC and I cannot wait to spend the next few days trying to catch up on sleep.

[weather-usa]

Oklahoma City and Kansas City placed under tornado watches as central US braces for largest tornado risk since May

The FOX Forecast Center reports that while a major severe weather outbreak isn’t anticipated and not everyone will experience storms, tens of millions of people from Texas to the Great Lakes will still be at risk on Wednesday.

Severe weather threats across the central U.S. have put millions on alert for powerful thunderstorms on Wednesday, with the potential for damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes. While the FOX Forecast Center notes that a major severe weather outbreak isn’t expected and not everyone will experience storms, tens of millions from Texas to the Great Lakes remain at risk.

Weather Forecast For 90807 Long Beach CA:

https://www.behance.net/gallery/203667605/Weather-Forecast-For-90807-Long-Beach-CA

The threat arises as a deep dip in the jet stream moves out of the Rockies and into the Plains, creating conditions ripe for storm development. This setup includes the potential for supercell thunderstorms, capable of producing wind gusts over 65 mph, large hail, and strong tornadoes.

A 70 mph wind gust was recorded in central Oklahoma Wednesday afternoon as storms moved rapidly to the northeast.

Climate and Average Weather Year Round in 45218 - Cincinnati OH:

A Tornado Warning was issued for counties southeast of Des Moines, Iowa, based on Doppler radar-indicated rotation.

Kansas City faces a significant severe weather threat on Wednesday.

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed over 3 million people from Oklahoma to Missouri, including the Kansas City metro area, in a Level 3 out of 5 risk on its severe thunderstorm scale.

Tornado Watches are in effect for parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri until after sunset.

Other major cities from the southern Plains to the mid-Mississippi Valley, including Dallas and Oklahoma City, are under a Level 2 out of 5 threat. In total, more than 37 million people are at risk from severe weather.

"Wednesday is when we’ll see the highest potential, stretching from North Texas into the Missouri Ozarks and up to Kansas City," said FOX Weather Meteorologist Stephen Morgan. "In this area, large hail and damaging winds could pose a significant threat."

The FOX Forecast Center noted that while damaging winds and very large hail are the main threats, there is also a risk of tornadoes in the region, some of which could be strong (EF-2 or higher).

The tornado threat zone spans from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes, with the SPC identifying central Plains and Midwest areas as having the highest risk.

Rainy Halloween As the front pushes eastward, storm energy will decrease, shifting the system to a rain event. Cities like Dallas, Little Rock, and Memphis may see a rainy Halloween with possible thunderstorms.

This rain is much-needed across drought-stricken areas of the U.S. currently facing elevated fire weather risks. Fire Weather Warnings are in effect this week in parts of Kansas and Oklahoma due to strong winds and extremely dry vegetation.

See more:

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-60055

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-60056

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-60060

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-60061

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-60062

[palmoilnews]

CIF/FOB Gulf Grain-Soybean barge bids mostly firm, export premiums ease 2024/09/25 05:26 Sept 24 (Reuters) - Basis bids for soybeans shipped by barge to the U.S. Gulf Coast were mostly higher on Tuesday as rainy weather across the Midwest and Delta slowed early harvest progress and kept spot supplies in the export pipeline tight, traders said. Soybean FOB export premiums were steady to slightly weaker as a slowdown in demand from China following a recent flurry of purchasing deals weighed on values, traders said. Widespread showers across the central United States stalled early harvest activity, but the excess rain is expected to recharge the drought-parched Mississippi River. Barge movement has been restricted for weeks due to low water on the key shipping waterway. The Mississippi River at Memphis had receded to within two feet of its all-time low on Tuesday. But the river is expected to rise by around 7 feet over the coming week, according to a National Water Prediction Service forecast. CIF September soy barges were bid 7 cents higher at 85 cents over Chicago Board of Trade November soybean SX24 futures. October soybean barges were bid 3 cents higher at 83 cents over futures. FOB soy export premiums for the first half of November, the earliest available loading slot, fell 2 cents to around 130 cents over futures, while last-half November offers were unchanged at 123 cents over futures. CIF corn barges loaded in September were bid 3 cents lower at 62 cents over CBOT December CZ24 futures. October barge bids fell 2 cents to 67 cents over futures. FOB Gulf export basis offers for corn were 115 cents over futures for first-half November shipment and 112 cents over for last-half, both steady. Traders said October loadings could fetch a 10-cent premium if exporters had available capacity.

[femmebroth]

That’s How I Got To Memphis - Tom T. Hall

Dan’s listening to some sort of Old Country Sirius XM channel today, fussing about the yard in a wide-brimmed fishing hat, cargo shorts, and work boots. I’ve opened the back door so I can hear the music better. The weather's great. 

Queen of the House - Jody Miller

I slept like shit because my friend Kate didn’t want to leave when we finished our first beers at 9, so she stayed and we had another, and then another at 10:30. I wasn’t in bed until a little past midnight. I had a dream I met a hot guy at the co-op and was a little pissed and horny when I woke up. Much better than the previous night’s dream when I watched my freshman year roommate / best friend bleed out on her wedding day—the blood started pooling under her white dress and she fled the altar from embarrassment before collapsing. I ask you, what the fuck? I don’t watch horror movies and still. Frankly I don’t know where this fatty (my brain) gets it. 

Cold Cold Heart - Hank Williams

Honky Tonk Blues - Hank Williams

There’s this one chickadee who finally figured out how to call it’s name somewhere in the last two days. On Sunday my Dad and I were pulling weeds in the front and the lil guy was struggling. My Dad can whistle well and started modeling the right call, two flat high notes and then two pitched down “dee”s. I never knew that’s why they were called chickadees. Well pretty soon he was aping right along but maybe after fifteen minutes he got tired and went silent all together. It might not be the same bird, but this morning there’s one who still sounds young, chirping at a perfect clip—growth!

Searching (for Someone Just Like You) - Kitty Wells 

This week looks busy. Tonight I’ll go to the gym with my brother, we’ll see if he decides to stick to legs as we discussed. The hometown crew will do bar trivia tomorrow and Thursday I’m going to a Moth-like event my old high school English teacher runs. I’ll probably abduct my Dad’s dog for a hike or two since the forecast is good. At some point Aaron and I have to line the back of his truck with tarp and haul some gravel out to the dump. Every trip home brings a fixation on one home improvement project that’ll eventually be neglected and require intervention again on a future trip.

Wichita Lineman - Glenn Campbell 

I have to stay upstairs in my sister's old room because my old room in the basement got flooded when a pipe burst. It’s a lot sunnier up here. I wonder why I chose the basement in high school? I keep finding goodies. 

[chasingplainandsmiple]

Monday's Forecast

Hope everyone has enjoyed this past weekend. While it did start off on the cold, wet and cloudy side, it ended up being a nice end with sunshine and temperatures in the lower to mid 50s for most of the region this afternoon. Sadly, all good things must come to in as our next storm system will be moving into the region tomorrow bringing in rainy and windy day across much of the region.

Latest surface analysis shows a 1024 mb High being located across majority of the Southeast. As for the Low pressure system, it is currently still brewing over the Southwest United States. By tonight, the Low pressure will have become more organized and begin to deepen across Texas and Oklahoma before pushing off towards to east. During this time frame, the high pressure will have been pushed off towards the east and will be centered over the Appalachian Mountains

With the tight pressure gradients in place, this will bring the potential for a windy day as sustained winds will be around 20 to 25 mph with wind gust of 30 to 50 mph being possible. The Memphis National Weather Forecast Office has a Wind Advisory that will go into effect 3 PM Monday and will be valid until 6 PM Tuesday because of this. This would also be a good time for those who have not taken down their holiday decorations to do so before it gets to windy.

As for the timing of the rain. rain showers will begin Monday afternoon into Monday evening. Rain showers will start off as light before becoming more widespread across the area throughout the evening hours. The rain showers will continue into the early morning hours on Tuesday as the cold front moves out of the region. This will also mean that we will be dealing mostly cloudy skies on Tuesday before we will see sort of clearing. Rainfall totals of 1 to 1.5 inches will be expected for the entire area by noon on Tuesday.

As for temperatures, expect temperatures across the region being in the upper 40s to lower 50s across the entire region ahead of the cold front. For Tuesday, temperatures will begin the upper 40s to lower 50s during the morning hours. As the cold front pushes through, surface winds will slowly shift from a southerly flow to a more westerly flow as cold air advection enters the area. This will cause temperatures to drop during the day. Also, there were some talks of wintry precipitation across portions of Arkansas. Because of the forecasted track of the Low pressure, model guidance has significantly backed off on any chance of that occurring at all.

01/07/2024 5:55 PM CST

[jhapalitimes]

Severe Storms Pose Threat to July Fourth Travel and Festivities in South and Northeast

- Severe storms threaten travel and festivities across a wide area from New York to Arkansas during the July Fourth holiday weekend, with approximately 51 million people at risk. - Kentucky and Tennessee are particularly vulnerable, with the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and the chance of tornadoes. - Flooding has already been reported in Clinton County, New York, prompting Governor Kathy Hochul to monitor the situation closely and provide support to local officials. - Heat alerts remain in effect for around 63 million people across the country, with major cities such as Raleigh, Charlotte, New Orleans, Phoenix, and Portland included. As the extended July Fourth holiday weekend unfolds, a series of severe storms is anticipated to impact a significant portion of the United States, stretching from New York and Pennsylvania down to Arkansas. On Sunday, approximately 51 million people in the affected regions face the risk of severe thunderstorms from the afternoon through the evening. Cities at risk include Nashville and Memphis, Tennessee; Louisville, Kentucky; Philadelphia; Baltimore; Charlotte, North Carolina; and Washington, D.C. The most intense storms are expected to target Kentucky and Tennessee, potentially bringing damaging wind gusts exceeding 65 mph and large hail up to the size of ping-pong balls. While the possibility of a tornado or two cannot be ruled out, the primary concern lies with the powerful winds and hail. The day will see scattered showers persisting throughout Sunday, with the strongest storms forecasted to develop in Kentucky and Tennessee after 2 p.m. CT. The threat will continue into the evening and overnight as the storm system shifts into the Appalachians. Reports of flooding have already emerged from Clinton County, New York, prompting New York Governor Kathy Hochul to closely monitor the situation. Governor Hochul has directed her team to assist local officials and has deployed personnel from the State's Office of Emergency Management to provide support. In Chicago, heavy rainfall caused delays during the NASCAR Street Race Weekend. The organizers announced that they were in a holding pattern for the GrantPark220 race until conditions improved. The storm system is expected to move eastward, targeting the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic region on Monday. Approximately 29 million people in Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Charlotte and Raleigh, North Carolina, will be affected by the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. As the July Fourth holiday approaches, the Northeast can anticipate scattered showers and temperatures in the 80s, while the Southeast should expect temperatures in the 90s. The Midwest and the Rockies may experience rain, while the West will remain sunny and dry, with temperatures ranging from the 70s to the 100s. Heat alerts remain in effect for approximately 63 million people across the country. Major cities such as Raleigh, Charlotte, Atlanta, Tallahassee, Montgomery, New Orleans, Corpus Christi, Phoenix, Tucson, Bakersfield, Sacramento, and Portland are included in the alert. Excessive heat warnings have been issued for several Arizona counties, including Mohave, Maricopa, and Yuma. On Sunday, more than 30 temperature records were under threat in cities across eight states, including Tucson, Phoenix, Tampa, Jacksonville, Fresno, Palm Springs, New Orleans, and Asheville. Tallahassee reached a high of 100 degrees on Saturday, tying a record set in 1990. The National Weather Service issued a heat alert for New Orleans, warning of heat indices up to 110 degrees and urging people to practice heat safety. The Southeast will continue to experience highs in the 90s, with heat index values nearing 115 degrees. However, relief is expected as a cold front passes through, bringing temperatures closer to seasonal norms for the remainder of the holiday week. In the West, heat alerts will persist until Tuesday, with afternoon highs ranging from 100 to 120 degrees. As the week progresses, temperatures in California and Arizona are predicted to return to or fall below average. Since June 18, authorities have recorded 18 heat-related deaths in the United States. Eleven of these occurred in Webb County, Texas, while two were reported in Caddo Parish, Louisiana. - Source: NBCNews.com, CNN.com, Flipboard.com Read the full article

[jeffhirsch]

Yale Hirsch Honored at FreedomFest Global Financial Summit

July 12-15, Memphis Convention Center. Producer Mark Skousen will be dedicating a room to Yale. I will be speaking on the power of seasonal investing, my 2010 Super Boom Forecast for Dow 38820 by 2025 coming to fruition, and how we use seasonality in conjunction with fundamental and technical analysis to enhance returns. Join me in Memphis when the soul of liberty and the heart of finance converge. Don't let inflation eat away at your savings. www.freedomfest.com

Take control of your finances at FreedomFest

Some of my favorite financial experts will be there as well including: Steve Forbes, George Gilder, Arthur Laffer, Stephen Moore, Louis Navellier and of course Mark Skousen. Rap icon Afroman is also in the lineup as well as NFL “Blindside” tackle Michael Oher.

If you are feeling the pinch of rising prices, it's a good thing you're coming to FreedomFest this summer! The Global Financial Summit at FreedomFest is a game-changing financial conference focused on inflation strategies, and it's included in your registration pass.

We've confirmed dozens of expert speakers who will share their insights and strategies to help you protect your wealth and stay ahead of inflation. From investing in alternative assets to hedging against currency fluctuations, you'll learn everything you need to know to weather the storm of inflation.

The Global Financial Summit will bring you amazing financial experts and gurus who will guide you onto the road to financial independence and strength, teaching you what to do now to protect yourself from inflation, economic crisis, stock market downturns and so much more.

Don't let inflation erode your wealth -- plan to attend the Global Financial Summit when you come to FreedomFest this summer! www.freedomfest.com

[sfpostofficial]

Texas resident hit with deadly ice storm

From Tennessee to Texas, approximately 40 million people in the south-central United States are on high alert for winter weather.

Parts of the region are already experiencing freezing rain, sleet, and extremely cold air, which is predicted to continue until the middle of the week.

More than 1,900 flights have been canceled, with Texas airports bearing the brunt of the damage.

According to forecasts, the following few days will have “hazardous travel conditions.”

According to the National Weather Service, highways in Austin, Dallas, Little Rock, and Memphis, Tennessee, could experience up to half an inch of ice on Tuesday morning.

Arlington, Texas, police reported they responded to a seven-vehicle incident and a fatal automobile rollover. A second person was killed in a 10-car crash in Austin, according to the city’s fire department.

According to Austin police, they were called to nearly 200 collisions on Tuesday.

According to the Travis County Sheriff’s Office, a sheriff’s officer was injured Tuesday morning when he was hit by a truck while assisting an automobile that had slid off the road. The accident was caused by the weather…Read More

Source — San Francisco Post

[lynnleepooh]

Truth

[meteorologistaustenlonek]

WREG-TV Weather Overtime for SUNDAY PM 1.20.2019 Cold and (mostly) clear for the lunar eclipse tonight. More on your forecast with Weather Expert Austen Onek- WREG on tonight's Weather Overtime. WREG.com/weather

[mobogiant]

The Egyptian weather is expected to drop 6-8 degrees Tomorrow

The Egyptian weather is expected to drop 6-8 degrees Tomorrow

The Egyptian weather is expected to drop 6-8 degrees tomorrow, with the maximum in Cairo at 39 degrees and the minimum at 18 degrees. The country will also experience windy conditions in the west and south. On Tuesday, temperatures in Alexandria, Qena and Marsa Matrouh will be 37 degrees and 41 degrees, respectively. In the southern region, the temperature will be 30 degrees. In the northern…

[36andswifty]

Memphis weather makes picking an outfit a huge problem solving exercise that I didn't sign up for!

☔️☔️⛈🌥...um 🌦🌧☁️...next 🔥🔥🔥but☁️☁️☁️...yeah🌬❄️❄️❄️❄️🌈...what the... ☄️🔥☀️...but also ⛈⛈⛈...oh crap🌪🌪🌪🌤🌈🌪🌪🌪....this is getting ridiculous☀️❄️❄️☃️.....🌤🍂🍁🍂🌫(i guess that's fog).... just be one thing weather!

[weather-usa]

'It destroyed everything': Manasota Key residents return to devastation as Florida continues to struggle with Milton

Manasota Key, a barrier island community in Sarasota County, took the full force of Milton. Reporting from the heart of the devastation, FOX Weather Correspondent Robert Ray described the damage as overwhelming. Homes have been flattened, businesses lie in ruins, and the infrastructure is severely compromised.

Climate and Average Weather Year Round in 38122 - Memphis TN:

As the sun rises over another day of devastation, residents along Southwest Florida's once-idyllic coastline are left to rebuild and confront an uncertain future.

After Hurricane Milton, the road to recovery will be long and challenging. Storm surges, tornadoes, and relentless flooding have turned towns into a war zone of unprecedented destruction, requiring years of repairs. With support from their community and the nation, residents hope to rebuild their lives and restore their devastated homes.

Manasota Key, a barrier island community in Sarasota County, felt the full impact of Milton. Reporting from ground zero, FOX Weather Correspondent Robert Ray described the damage as staggering. Homes have been destroyed, businesses are in ruins, and the infrastructure is critically compromised.

Weather Forecast For 87123-Albuquerque-NM:

https://www.behance.net/gallery/203013343/Weather-Forecast-For-87123-Albuquerque-NM

"Without exaggeration, this is by far the worst structural damage we have seen and experienced during our journeys this week covering the aftermath along the Gulf Coast," Ray stated.

Residents have been permitted to return, but not necessarily to their homes full-time. Many are coming back primarily to assess the condition of their belongings.

Meghan Jacobs and Ray Cerwinski, owners of Manasota Key Resort, were taken aback by the extent of the destruction.

"It swept away everything in its path," Cerwinski remembered. "For this storm, the water was the biggest issue. Wherever our seawall failed, it took buildings, plants, roads, and parking lots. It completely crushed everything and washed it away."

The resort's team members are devastated; their tears reflect the countless hours they've dedicated to creating a perfect oasis for guests.

Like many businesses, the Manasota Key Resort has been in recovery mode since Hurricane Ian and more recently, Hurricane Helene. Although their rebuilding efforts have been disrupted, they remain steadfast in their determination.

“One of the things we’ve noticed is how wonderful the community has been during times like this, and it’s just devastating to see,” Jacobs said. “We’re hoping we can assess the damage and rebuild.”

Cerwinski and Jacobs’s steadfast resilience, combined with the appeal of their prime location, will attract guests back. Many are already eager to return and support their rebuilding efforts.

“You have to keep yourself together,” Cerwinski said, striving to restore some sense of normalcy as quickly as possible. “We’re just trying to figure out where to start… but we will be back.”

See more:

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-83328

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-83330

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-83332

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-83333

https://weatherusa.app/zip-code/weather-83334

[nasa]

Flooding Along the Mississippi

Rain, snowmelt, and soil moisture—those three factors might push portions of the Upper Mississippi River into major flooding this spring. Meanwhile, the middle and lower reaches of the river are already well out of their banks.

Intense storms over February 22-24, 2019, caused major flooding along the Middle Mississippi River. On February 25, 2019, the Landsat 8 satellite acquired images of swollen portions of the Mississippi River. The video above shows a false-color view of flooding near Memphis, Tennessee comparing February 2019 to February 2014. Flood waters appear blue; vegetation is green; and bare ground is brown. Notice how the Ohio River and Mississippi River have swelled near Cairo, the southernmost city in Illinois.

National Weather Service forecasters noted that higher-than-average precipitation in autumn 2018 saturated soils in the region, so additional rain or snowmelt from this winter will likely result in excessive runoff and increased flooding threats.

Rapid snowmelt will also play a role in flooding this spring in the Midwest. Parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin have built up snowpack of nearly 25 inches, so melting snow alone could propel many areas into major flooding.

Read the full story here.

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