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268Weather July 2025 Update: Atlantic Hurricane Season Still Projected to Be Above Normal

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 22 July 2025| 268Weather continues to forecast an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, with the possibility that it could become well above normal or super hyperactive, ranking in the top 10% of seasons since 1991 based on Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). This forecast spans the entire hurricane season—June to November, and it is based on data…

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Updated Rainfall Forecast for 2025: Wetter Than Normal Year Remain Likely

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 28 June 2025 | Rainfall for this year is still expected to be above normal. The latest forecast maintains a 60% chance of wetter-than-usual conditions. Meanwhile, the probability of near-normal rainfall stands at 32%, and below-normal rainfall at just 8%. Forecast Details As of now, the best estimate for annual rainfall in 2025 is similar to the previous…

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268Weather June 2025 Update: Atlantic Hurricane Season Still Projected to Be Above Normal Despite Decreasing Numbers

268Weather continues to forecast an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, with the possibility that it could become well above normal or even super hyperactive, ranking in the top 10% of seasons since 1991 based on Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). This forecast spans the entire hurricane season—June to November, and it is based on data available through June 17, 2025. What’s New…

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Weather at a Crossroads: What Changing U.S. Policies Could Mean for the Caribbean

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 13 June 2025 | Satellite image of the Caribbean with radar and isobars overlay (June 13, 2025), made possible solely by NOAA’s capabilities and data infrastructure. The Caribbean has long benefitted from a strong scientific and operational partnership with the United States in weather, climate, and water services. From free access to satellite imagery and…

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Updated Rainfall Forecast for 2025: Wetter Than Normal Year Now Likely

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 31 May 2025 | When it comes to rainfall for this year, it now looks increasingly likely to be wetter than normal. The latest forecast shows the probability of above-normal rainfall has nearly doubled, jumping from 33% to 60%. The chances of near-normal and below-normal rainfall now stand at 30% and 10%, respectively. This means the chance of a dry year has more…

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Saturday’s Rainfall in Perspective

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 20 May 2025 | Saturday, May 17, 2025, delivered a deluge across portions of Antigua and Barbuda, prompting many to ask: Was this normal? How unusual was it? Let’s break down the numbers and put this extreme rainfall into perspective. How Much Rain Fell? Rainfall across the country varied widely—from 30 mm  (1.18 in) in southern and central Antigua to 150 mm…

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268Weather May 2025 Update: Atlantic Hurricane Season Still Projected to Be Above Normal

By Dale C. S. Destin @268weather – Published 15 May 2025 | 268Weather continues to forecast an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, with the possibility that it could become well above normal or even super hyperactive, ranking in the top 10% of seasons since 1991 based on Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). This forecast spans the entire hurricane season—June to November, plus May—and…

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May Opens with a Downpour: Nearly a Month’s Rain in a Week

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 09 May 2025 | The first week of May has soaked much of Antigua in a deluge not seen in over a decade, delivering rainfall nearly matching the entire month’s average in just seven days. At the V. C. Bird International Airport (VCBIA), a staggering 79.5 mm (3.13 in) of rain fell between May 1–7, amounting to 89% of the usual monthly total of 89.4 mm (3.52 in).…

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April 2025: Wettest April Since 2013 for Antigua and Among the Top 10 Wettest on Record for Many Areas

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 02 May 2025 | Antigua experienced a notably wet April, recording 127.5 mm (5.02 in) of rainfall—66% more than the long-term April average of 77.0 mm (3.03 in). This makes April 2025 the wettest since 2013 and among the top 10 wettest Aprils on record for many areas across the island. This level of rainfall is especially significant during what is climatologically…

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Early 2025 Rainfall Forecast: A Toss-Up for the Year

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 24 April 2025 | When it comes to rainfall for this year, it’s anyone’s guess at this juncture. The latest forecast shows an almost even chance of rainfall totals ending up above normal, near normal or below normal, with probabilities of 33%, 34% and 33%, respectively. In other words, there’s no strong signal pointing clearly in any direction, making it one of…

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ECMWF’s AI Weather Forecasts Go Operational: A New Era in Prediction Begins

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 18 April 2025 | In a historic move for global weather forecasting, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has officially launched its Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) as an operational tool. This is the first AI-powered weather model of its kind to be openly available and fully supported — and it’s now running side-by-side…

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268Weather Forecasts a Potentially Super-Hyperactive 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 16 April 2025 | Brace for another potentially active and busy hurricane season. According to the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast by 268Weather, the upcoming season is projected to be above normal, with the possibility of it being well above normal or super hyperactive. This forecast is based on data up to April 14 and spans the full hurricane season—June…

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A Surprisingly Wet Start to April

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 8 April 2025 | April has gotten off to a notably wet start across Antigua and Barbuda, particularly around the V. C. Bird International Airport (VCBIA). In just the first seven days, the area recorded 39.5 mm (1.56 in) of rainfall—making it the sixth-wettest start to April since records began in 1960. The last time the first week of April was wetter was in 2000,…

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Antigua and Barbuda at RA IV-19, HC-47 and RSMT: Strengthening Early Warning Through Partnership and Persistence

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 06 April 2025 | From March 27 – 29, 2025, the 19th session of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Regional Association IV (RA IV-19) was held in San Salvador, El Salvador, gathering representatives from across the Caribbean, Central America and North America to strengthen collaboration in meteorology, hydrology and climate resilience. Antigua and Barbuda…

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Caribbean Climate Outlook: April to June 2025 - Heat Could Start Early

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 30 March 2025 | As the Caribbean transitions from the dry season to the wet season, the latest Caribbean Climate Outlook provides key insights into expected weather patterns, temperature trends, and potential climate hazards from April to June 2025 (AMJ). This period will be influenced by evolving climate conditions, including ENSO neutral conditions and…

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Closing the Early Warning Gap Together: A Call to Action for Antigua and Barbuda and Small Island Developing States

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 23 March 2025 | Every year on March 23rd, the global meteorological community comes together to celebrate World Meteorological Day. This day highlights the critical role of weather, climate, and water services in society. The theme for World Meteorological Day 2025, “Closing the Early Warning Gap Together,” is highly important for Antigua and Barbuda. It holds…

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World Meteorological Day 2025: Celebrating Meteorology and Early Warning Systems

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 15 March 2025 | Happy World Meteorological Day! Happy 84th anniversary of meteorological services in Antigua and Barbuda! Happy Diamond Jubilee – 60 years, to the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS)! World Meteorological Day is a significant occasion observed on March 23 each year to honour the founding of the World Meteorological Organization…