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jamieclawhorn · 6 years ago

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Keep calm and carry on: Why I think Foolish investors should keep buying the FTSE 100

The market sell-off over the past few weeks has been frustrating for investors, but at the same time it has thrown up some tremendous bargains.

Chief among these are UK stocks. I’m not talking about any particular stock. I mean the entire UK market, which after months of gradual selling is now cheaper than it has been for decades.

Most hated market

Even though the FTSE 100 is a global index, with more than two-thirds of its profits generated outside of the UK, it seems as if investors around the world are dumping the FTSE 100 because of its association with Britain.

Indeed, the UK is currently the most hated developed equity market in the world among institutional investors according to Bank of America. Investors are reportedly afraid of what the next few years could bring for the country as it pushes ahead with Brexit.

I believe this is a fantastic opportunity for UK investors, particularly when it comes to the FTSE 100. As noted above, the FTSE 100 isn’t really a UK index, it is more a barometer of global economic health. So, even if we end up with a messy divorce from the EU, I think the long-term impact on FTSE 100 stocks will be limited.

And it appears as if now is one of the best times in history to buy the FTSE 100.

Cheaper than ever before

According to a report published at the beginning of this month, compiled by equity analysts at Goldman Sachs, some of the UK’s largest companies are now trading at their lowest relative valuation in 10 years.

Goldman isn’t the only bank that’s spotted value in the UK. Citigroup has also labelled the UK stock market its “favourite value trade.“

According to Martin Walker, who manages the Invesco Perpetual UK Focus and UK Growth funds, the UK market as a whole is trading on a 10% discount to its 20-year price-to-book ratio. This, he says is the “the largest discount of any major market in the world.“

So, on many different metrics, the FTSE 100 is cheap. It also offers an average dividend yield of nearly 4%, which is one of the highest yields on offer from any index.

Time to buy

All these numbers point to the conclusion that buying the FTSE 100 is a good decision for investors. Even if Brexit negotiations don’t work out favourably, it still has the potential to produce a mid-single-digit per annum return for investors in the years ahead with its 4% yield.

On the other hand, if a favourable exit deal is agreed for the UK, then the FTSE 100 could surge higher as international buyers return. It’s difficult to predict what the fair value of the index could be in the most optimistic scenario, as there are lots of different moving parts to consider. However, one group of analysts believe that in the best case scenario the index could achieve annual returns for investors in the 10% region for the foreseeable future. My colleague Kevin Godbold even believes it could treble in value over the long term.

So, there’s a 4% per annum return on offer in the worst case, and 10% in the best. Looking at these odds, I think the best course of action for long-term Foolish investors is to remain calm and keep buying the FTSE 100.

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To help you avoid this key mistake, the Motley Fool has put together this free report entitled “The Worst Mistakes Investors Make”. These mistakes can cost you thousands over your investing career but the best part is, this report is free to download.

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More reading

Forget a cash ISA: a stock market crash could be a FTSE 100 buying opportunity

Here’s why the FTSE 100 should thrash buy-to-let as an investment

The FTSE 100 has slumped 10%+ since May. Is it time to load up?

3 reasons why the FTSE 100 is a better investment than buy-to-let

Forget the State Pension, the FTSE 100 may be all you need

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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shinyenemywasteland-blog · 7 years ago

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Car Insurance Quote Accuracy?

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jamieclawhorn · 7 years ago

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2 fast-rising growth stocks that could make you a millionaire

Building a million pound portfolio over the course of an investing lifetime might sound like an impossible dream but, through regular contributions, dividend reinvestment and a bit of luck, it’s perfectly feasible. If you want to speed up the process however, you’re going to need to take on more risk. This usually involves investing in smaller companies with big growth potential. Here are just two examples that could set you on your way.

Growth mindset

Reporting “exceptional” interim numbers to the market this morning was Learning Technologies (LSE: LTG) — a market leader in providing e-learning solutions to corporate and government clients.

Revenue jumped 68% to £21.5m in the six months to the end of June, of which £17.6m was organic. Pleasingly, the proportion of the former generated outside of the UK also increased to 46% from 32% a year before — handy to know as we crawl towards our EU departure. Another positive was the fact that recurring revenues — a highly sought after quality — rose to 37%. Adjusted earnings before interest and tax grew 41% to just over £4m.

Commenting on results, CEO Jonathan Satchell was particularly enthusiastic on the firm’s outlook, stating that Learning Technologies was achieving “excellent trading momentum” as it moved into H2. Its order book is “significantly ahead” of the prior year on a like-for-like basis with the recent acquisition and integration of talent management solutions provider NetDimensions also likely to help the firm realise “significant growth” in 2018.

Over the last year, shares in the Brighton-based business are up 66%, leaving stock trading on an eye-watering 33 times forecast earnings. With a fairly low price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.9 and the likelihood of e-learning solutions becoming even more popular over the medium-to-long term, however, I think the shares could still be worth snapping up (or adding to a watchlist in the hope that a general pullback in the markets will provide a cheaper entry point).

Shining light

Another growth stock that’s caught my eye recently is LED lighting manufacturer and distributor Luceco (LSE: LUCE). Last week’s half-year report made reference to a “strong start to the year” for the £382m cap, coupled with a “strong order book” for H2.

Revenue climbed 25.5% higher — to just over £75m — in the first half of 2017 compared to the same period in 2016. Even when currency fluctuations are taken into account, this still came in at an admirable 17.3%. Operating profit rose to £9m from £7.2m with margins remaining consistent. The reduction in net debt from just under £48m to just over £26m is something to be applauded as well.

According to CEO John Hornby, Luceco’s revenue and profit growth can be attributed to “strong market share gains” in both the UK and newer international markets along with the expansion of its product ranges. Looking forward, its Chinese manufacturing centre should help to further increase its competitive advantage and ensure that the company continues to generate seriously high returns on the money it invests.

Like those of Learning Technologies, a forecast price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23 for the current year means that Luceco’s shares are far from cheap. Having climbed 60% in value over the last year alone, that’s hardly surprising. Nevertheless, a similarly low PEG ratio (1.1) again implies that prospective investors are still getting a great deal given the firm’s growth strategy.

Another top growth share

Why not take a look at another growth opportunity identified by the Fool's Head of UK Investing, Mark Rogers. He thinks this top British brand is set for great things over the next few years as it continues to expand into new international markets.

Mark's report is completely FREE to read and comes with no obligation. For your copy, just click here.