#forbidden door 2025 | Explore Tumblr posts and blogs

tkvkfanfics · 10 months ago

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ᴛᴀᴇᴋᴏᴏᴋ ꜰᴀɴꜰɪᴄᴛɪᴏɴ ʀᴇQᴜᴇꜱᴛꜱ ᴀʀᴇ ɴᴏᴡ ᴏᴘᴇɴ

Hello Everyone ✾❀

I am happy to have you here. Thank you for visiting my page, or maybe you came across this by chance. Nevertheless your history, EVERYONE IS WELCOME!

As the gates into another year, to be honest with you, a year that I was dreading to start, slowly started to open in a dramatic light cutting through where 2023 was slowly dying, fading away, I dared to look one last time behind my shoulder, not expecting to see a lot, but lives are filled with memories. Most of them, I kicked out, not considering them worth the struggle, yet 2023 still looked thick, thickest were my worries and fears for the future, but also LONGING built their communities.

If you are an ARMY (I guess you are if you are still here) we may share some of them even if their weight may differ. If you are coming here from one of my works on AO3, you already know where is this going, if you read the title, this may start to look to you too long and boring.

Through my writing journey, I came across many good ideas but my motivation to write the last dot before the THE END goodbye, was challenging me. And it still is. I find it hard to finish things just for myself, sometimes I need guidance.

So, I have ᴇxᴄɪᴛɪɴɢ ɴᴇᴡꜱ!

If you like me are going through this 2024 drought and wish 2025 could come faster, or you have many ideas for a good story you would like to read, but you are not really a writer and you think I could be the person who will turn your ideas into words, I would like to announce that FANFICTION REQUESTS are officially OPEN!

If you are interested, please carefully read further:

ᴡʜʏ ꜰᴀɴꜰɪᴄꜱ, ʏᴏᴜ ᴀꜱᴋ? As 2023 had been turning the pages, a whiff of dread got to my senses, closing its door was just as empty as I imagined. 2024 has started as a rollercoaster of emotions, better known as copying. I think we could all use that sadness, pride, anger, love, denial, and adventure to battle the silence. What better way than by unleashing the power of our imagination? Would you like to become my laboratory rat, try my coping techniques?

ᴡᴏᴜʟᴅ ʏᴏᴜ ʟɪᴋᴇ ᴛᴏ ᴄᴏʟʟᴀʙᴏʀᴀᴛᴇ? I am open to teamwork, collaboration. Whether you've been writing for ages or just giving it a shot, your stories are what bring our fandom to life. So, if you've got a creative spark, let's dive into this adventure together! Grab a pen or your keyboard, and let's get started!

ᴀʀᴇ ʏᴏᴜ ɴᴏᴛ ᴀ ᴡʀɪᴛᴇʀ? No problem! I challenge myself to turn your ideas into stories. Just follow the guidelines and send me your request.

ɪꜱ ɪᴛ ꜰᴏʀ ꜰʀᴇᴇ? Absolutely! While we all may be short of money, I am not trying to earn anything but experience.

✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾

ꜱᴜʙᴍɪꜱꜱɪᴏɴ ɢᴜɪᴅᴇʟɪɴᴇꜱ (read carefully):

✔️ᴇɴᴄᴏᴜʀᴀɢᴇᴅ ᴛʜᴇᴍᴇꜱ ᴀɴᴅ ɢᴇɴʀᴇꜱ: I am excited to explore various themes

ᴛʜᴇᴍᴇꜱ ᴛʜᴀᴛ ᴀʀᴇ ᴍʏ ꜰᴀᴠᴏᴜʀɪᴛᴇ (❤) ᴏʀ ᴛʜᴀᴛ ɪ ᴡᴏᴜʟᴅ ʟɪᴋᴇ ᴛᴏ ᴛʀʏ (✍︎):

↝ Friendship and Bonds ❤❤❤

↝ Slice of life ❤❤❤

↝ Identity and Self Discovery ❤❤❤❤❤

↝ Loss and Grief ❤❤❤

↝ Humour ❤

↝ Betrayal and Trust ❤❤

↝ Exploration of emotions ❤❤❤❤❤

↝ Forbidden Love ❤❤❤❤

↝ Dreams and Nightmares ❤

↝ Mythology and Legends ✍︎

↝ Time travel ✍︎

↝ Parallel dimensions ✍︎

↝ Fate and Destiny ✍︎

↝ Survival ✍︎

↝ Adventure and Exploration ✍︎

ɢᴇɴʀᴇꜱ:

↝ Romance

↝ Angst

↝ Fluff

↝ Hurt/Comfort

↝ Mature → 18+, → strong language, → adult scenes (smut), → alcohol use, drugs use, → mild violence

↝ Family

↝ Friendship

↝ Fantasy

↝ Alternative Universe

↝ Canon Setting

ꜱʜɪᴘꜱ I feel like this is an important topic I should address. My main focus is on TAEKOOK but I have no problems with side ships within the group or ships that include original characters.

❌ ᴄᴏɴᴛᴇɴᴛ ʀᴇꜱᴛʀɪᴄᴛɪᴏɴꜱ

While creativity knows no bounds and I have no problem exploring more mature themes and genres (check ᴇɴᴄᴏᴜʀᴀɢᴇᴅ ᴛʜᴇᴍᴇꜱ ᴀɴᴅ ɢᴇɴʀᴇꜱ), let's keep it respectful. I would like the stories to be enjoyable for everyone.

ɪ ᴡᴏᴜʟᴅ ɴᴏᴛ ᴛᴀᴋᴇ ʀᴇQᴜᴇꜱᴛꜱ ᴛʜᴀᴛ ɪɴᴄʟᴜᴅᴇ:

Rape No consensual content (alcohol, drug use, sex) as well as Dubious consent Abuse Religious and war themes

ɪ ᴡᴏᴜʟᴅ ɴᴏᴛ ʟɪᴋᴇ ᴛᴏ ᴏꜰꜰᴇɴᴅ ᴀɴʏᴏɴᴇ ᴡɪᴛʜ ᴍʏ ʟᴀᴄᴋ ᴏꜰ ᴋɴᴏᴡʟᴇᴅɢᴇ, ᴀɴᴅ ᴡʜɪʟᴇ ɪ ᴀɢʀᴇᴇ ɪᴛ ɪꜱ ɪᴍᴘᴏʀᴛᴀɴᴛ ᴛᴏ ꜱᴘʀᴇᴀᴅ ᴡʜᴀᴛ’ꜱ ʜᴀᴘᴘᴇɴɪɴɢ, ᴛʜᴇꜱᴇ ᴛʜᴇᴍᴇꜱ ᴍᴀʏ ʙᴇ ʜɪɢʜʟʏ-ꜱᴇɴꜱɪᴛɪᴠᴇ, ᴘʟᴇᴀꜱᴇ ᴜɴᴅᴇʀꜱᴛᴀɴᴅ ᴛʜᴀᴛ ᴀɴᴅ

!!! ᴅᴏ ɴᴏᴛ ꜱᴛᴀʀᴛ ᴀɴʏ ᴅʀᴀᴍᴀ !!!

Incest or Taboo Relationships Discrimination Self-harm or Suicide (a reference to mental illness ɪꜱ ᴀʟʟᴏᴡᴇᴅ) Overly descriptive brutal violence

ɢᴇɴʀᴇꜱ ᴛʜᴀᴛ ɪ ᴀᴍ ɴᴏᴛ ᴄᴏᴍꜰᴏʀᴛᴀʙʟᴇ ᴛᴏ ᴡʀɪᴛᴇ ᴀʙᴏᴜᴛ:

Mafia Kidnapping Human trafficking

✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾

ʟᴀɴɢᴜᴀɢᴇ I want the fanfictions to be accessible to a wider community, therefore the only language acceptable is English. If someone wants to translate a story, please contact the story idea creator.

ʟᴇɴɢᴛʜ I would like to start with one-shots. The length will differ based on your submission (number of characters, number of themes, special requests (e.g. detailed descriptions of environment/ character, backstory)) You can always specify the number of words.

You can refer to this table:

Iron One-shots: Length: 100 to 1,000 words

Stories that describe characters or explore a specific theme within a limited number of words.

Emerald Oneshots: Length: 1,000 to 5,000 words

Stories that allow deeper character development, more complex plot, and theme exploration.

Golden Oneshots: Length: 5,000 to 10,000 words

Stories with detailed plotlines (subplots), character arcs, and themes

Diamond Oneshots: Length: 10,000+ words

Novel or short novel length

ʜᴏᴡ ᴛᴏ ꜱᴜʙᴍɪᴛ I prefer communication through email, I find it easy and clear if further discussion is needed, but I of course understand this way of contact is not for everyone. So, below I listed your options:

Email Send your ideas to [email protected] with the ꜱᴜʙᴊᴇᴄᴛ ʟɪɴᴇ: "TaeKook Fanfiction Request - 2024COPING "

AO3 You can write your requests in the comment section HERE

Tumblr You can send me a message, ask a question or leave a comment under this post

Discord You can find me as lp28_tk

Don't forget to include your name, nickname, pseudonym or the link to your page/profile so I can tag you and give you credits, or let me know if you'd like to stay anonymous - your credits will of course be given, only your name won't be mentioned.

Form Please submit your form here

Please note that with more options on how to submit your requests, the chances that I will miss your message are higher. So: If I don’t respond to you WITHIN FIVE DAYS, please send me a DM. Please mind the DIFFERENT TIME ZONES.

Once you send your fanfiction request, within four days I will respond to you with whether I ᴀᴄᴄᴇᴘᴛ it or ɴᴏᴛ (it should meet the criteria OR I may have already had too many requests so I will ask you if you don’t mind waiting), I will also let you know about the estimated time when your story will be delivered (the time can change). I may also have some questions, if so, please answer them. After a reply, you can ᴄʜᴇᴄᴋ ʜᴇʀᴇ and find your request on the board along with its state.

Before submitting your fanfiction request, please check the queue and whether I accept requests at the moment.

ᴡʜᴇɴ ᴡɪʟʟ ʏᴏᴜ ɢᴇᴛ ʏᴏᴜʀ ꜱᴛᴏʀʏ It of course depends on the story length on your submission date and how many people are in a queue before you (you can check this information ʜᴇʀᴇ). Estimated time for delivery: 1 ᴛᴏ 2 ᴡᴇᴇᴋꜱ. Once I finish your story, I will send you a ᴘᴅꜰ ᴅᴏᴄᴜᴍᴇɴᴛ. You will be the first one to have access and within the next two days, I will upload the story on my ᴀᴏ3 ᴘʀᴏꜰɪʟᴇ and on my ᴛᴜᴍʙʟʀ ᴘᴀɢᴇ with your credits.

✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾

ᴡʜᴀᴛ ᴛᴏ ɪɴᴄʟᴜᴅᴇ ɪɴ ʏᴏᴜʀ ʀᴇQᴜᴇꜱᴛ:

ꜰᴀɴᴅᴏᴍ For now, I only accept BTS fanfictions/ TAEKOOK

ᴄʜᴀʀᴀᴄᴛᴇʀꜱ Identify and describe (their role in the story, their characteristic traits you would like to see explored, relationships, appearance of your original characters or BTS) the characters you want the story to include

ꜱᴇᴛᴛɪɴɢ ᴀɴᴅ ᴛɪᴍᴇ ᴘᴇʀɪᴏᴅ Describe the setting (world) and time period for the story. Whether it's in the canon, an alternate universe, or a different time

ɢᴇɴʀᴇ Describe the genre the story should follow (check ᴇɴᴄᴏᴜʀᴀɢᴇᴅ ᴛʜᴇᴍᴇꜱ ᴀɴᴅ ɢᴇɴʀᴇꜱ) I also accept a blend of genres.

ᴘʟᴏᴛ ᴏʀ ᴘʀᴏᴍᴘᴛ Describe a basic plot idea or prompt. This could be a specific scenario, event, or theme you'd like to see explored in the fanfiction. I also accept stories based on songs, but don’t forget to describe it further, everyone may interpret the song differently.

ᴇɴᴅɪɴɢ Please choose an ending for your story and describe it further for me.

Happy Ending (Your characters (protagonist, main characters) achieve their goal)

Sad Ending (Sad, tragic ending for your characters)

Bittersweet Ending (Ending is a combination of sadness and happiness)

Ambiguous Ending (Ending is unclear or open to multiple interpretations)

Open Ending (Questions remain unanswered)

Twist Ending (The ending is surprising and unexpected for a reader)

Other

ᴡᴏʀᴅ ᴄᴏᴜɴᴛ Specify your preferred word length (please refer to ʟᴇɴɢᴛʜ -> table).

ʀᴀᴛɪɴɢ Clarify the desired rating (e.g., General Audiences, Teen and Up, Mature, M/M, F/M).

ᴀᴅᴅɪᴛɪᴏɴᴀʟ ᴘʀᴇꜰᴇʀᴇɴᴄᴇꜱ Include any additional preferences or details important to you. This could be specific elements, themes to avoid, or any particular narrative style you prefer.

ᴄᴏɴᴛᴇɴᴛ ᴡᴀʀɴɪɴɢꜱ If there are specific themes or content that you're uncomfortable with, let me know the warnings so the final story will meet your comfort levels.

ᴘʀᴇꜰᴇʀʀᴇᴅ ᴡʀɪᴛɪɴɢ ꜱᴛʏʟᴇ Mention if you have a preference for a certain writing style (e.g., first person, third person, present tense, past tense, narrator of your story).

✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾❀✾

ꜱᴘʀᴇᴀᴅ ᴛʜᴇ ᴡᴏʀᴅ! The only payment I ask you for is to send this to someone you think would be interested, share the news, and let's make 2025 come faster.

I can't wait to bring your incredible worlds and characters to life.

Lara

#vkook fic #taekook au #taekook fanfiction #taekook fanfic #vkook fanfic #vkook fanfiction #submissions #taekook vkook #fanfiction requests #bts fanfiction

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wrestlingclubelite · 4 months ago

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AEW to Collaborate with Four Wrestling Promotions for a Major Crossover Event

AEW has announced a major collaboration with four other wrestling promotions to host an unprecedented crossover event. Fans are eagerly anticipating this spectacular show. The event, named Wrestle Dynasty, is scheduled to take place at the iconic Tokyo Dome on January 5, 2025. The announcement was made during the Forbidden Door III pay-per-view. This blockbuster event will occur immediately…

#AEW #Wrestling News

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arplis · 4 years ago

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Arplis - News: 18 Best Digital Countdowns

Woods Import – Digital Countdown Timer

Woods Import – Digital Countdown Timer - Digital countdown timer. This indoor timer has 1 grounded outlet and is easy-to-use. Ratings 15a/1875w resistive, 8a/1000w tungsten, 5a ballast. Ideal for holiday decorations or the foyer table lamp. Simply press the button and the timer remains on for 1, 2, 4, or 8 hours.

GAN XIN Portable 5” High 5 Digits LED Race Clock with Tripod for Running Events, Countdown/up Digital RaceTimer, by Remote Control

GAN XIN Portable 5” High 5 Digits LED Race Clock with Tripod for Running Events, Countdown/up Digital RaceTimer, by Remote Control - Portable with tripod stand, easily-operate by ir remote controller (tripod stand is included in the package). Count-up display format [hmmss], (h=hours, mm= minutes, ss=seconds), from [00000] to [95959], almost 10 hrs counting. Clock size 236”l x63”h x 16”w (60cm l x 16cm h x 4cm w). Countdown display format [hmmss], (h=hours, mm= minutes, ss=seconds), from [95959] to [00000], almost 10 hrs counting.

Max Group LLC Large Display Digital Countdown Wall Clock – 4″ Red Led Count Up/Interval Timer/Stopwatch Remote Control Clock

Max Group LLC Large Display Digital Countdown Wall Clock – 4″ Red Led Count Up/Interval Timer/Stopwatch Remote Control Clock - Lightweight design can be wall mounted or self-standing. Huge large display digital outdoor count down/up/interval timer/stopwatch remote control 4 inch display clock is packed full of features. Available in different sizes with displays from 4 to 7 inches high. Features include count-down/count-up timer, interval timer, precision stopwatch and memory. Visit bigtimeclocksbiz 1 year warranty.

Cute Cartoon Chicken Electronic LCD Digital Countdown Kitchen Timer Cooking Baking Helper 100 Minutes Reminder

Cute Cartoon Chicken Electronic LCD Digital Countdown Kitchen Timer Cooking Baking Helper 100 Minutes Reminder - This item is chicken/penguin shaped kitchen timer, which has digital display minute and second it can countdown from 99 minutes and 99 seconds. There is a magnet designed at the back for its easy mount on any even surface what do you hesitate for order it if you like. An essential item for your kitchen, no longer worry about boiled water dried up or dishes burnt. Its also a good decoration on your desk powered by button cell, it keeps long-lasting working performance. High quality abs material, non-toxic, non-odor, durable.

999 Days Digital Countdown Timer for Vacation Retirement Wedding Kitchen Lab

999 Days Digital Countdown Timer for Vacation Retirement Wedding Kitchen Lab - Easy to read just a glance and you can easily read the timer displaying. Especially used for the important days such as marriage anniversary,birthday,holiday etc. Easy to set hold the set button until a number start flashing press the set button until the number you want to change press “up “or “down” to adjust that particular number keep holding set until the screen stops flashingpress the”up”button to start/pause the counting down and setting is completed. Countdown timerworking range from 0 to 23h/59m/59s of the 999th daygiving alarm for 1 min after count back is finished. Loud, audible alarm it will alarm for sixty seconds when arriving at your setting number, to stop the alarm before 60 seconds press any button.

Mochiglory Jumbo Digital LED Wall Clock Multi Functional Countdown Timer with Remote Control Temperature Date for Office/Home/Airport/Gymnasium

Mochiglory Jumbo Digital LED Wall Clock Multi Functional Countdown Timer with Remote Control Temperature Date for Office/Home/Airport/Gymnasium - Multi-function for countdown, stopwatch, snooze alarm, thermometer & night light all in one to save you money. 8 adjustable brightness levels, to fit different wall backgrounds and room lighs, to accommodate different needs. Remote control(works in 50 ft), usb adapter, low energy consumption, comes with 2 pre-drilled holes. Super super bright large digital led wall clock (not a small bed size clock) highly recommened for airport, office, libraby, studio, meeting room. Product size16 3/4″ (l) x 3/4″ (w) x 6″ (h), material acrylic + led module + circuit board.

AIMILAR Digital Countdown Repeat Cycle Timer – Count Up Down Loop Timer Clock for Kitchen Cooking Kids Games Students Teacher (Green)

AIMILAR Digital Countdown Repeat Cycle Timer – Count Up Down Loop Timer Clock for Kitchen Cooking Kids Games Students Teacher (Green) - The max setting time — 99 hours 59 minutes 59 seconds. Flexible design — you can choose sound / mute / off, unlock/lock. Unique appearance. Multi-functional timer — clock+timer（count up/count down )+loop timer. With loop timer function — when the time is up, it will restart countdown from the last countdown time, the led light will flash and the alarm will sound for a minute at most.

The Miracle Hover Kitchen Timer – Touchless Digital Countdown Timer, White, Hands-Free Control

The Miracle Hover Kitchen Timer – Touchless Digital Countdown Timer, White, Hands-Free Control - Great for all ages extra large ditigital display, easy to see for all ages. Easy to program and use lock button to prevent unintentional activation. Two options for display kickstand or self-mounting magnet. Set it for a range of activities countdown timer range 1 second to 99 minutes, 59 seconds. Touch-free activation hand-motion sensor to start and stop the timer.

Ultrastar Digital Timer for Kitchen Cooking Magnetic Countdown Stopwatch Coffee Shop Restaurant Black

Ultrastar Digital Timer for Kitchen Cooking Magnetic Countdown Stopwatch Coffee Shop Restaurant Black - Stronger magnet, attach to refrigerator, coffee maker or use over the counter, hanging up on an apron, slip into a shirt pocket. Memory feature if using it for a repeated time, it can fall back to last setting used. Count up and count down clock function, setup 12/24 hours system. Professional use great for restaurants, cafes, bakeries, or cooking, yoga, beauty time, medication remind, resting, debate and classroom timer. Low energy consumption, a button cell can be used for 1 year (battery included).

Mini Kitchen Timer, timers digital, Count Down Timer, Cooking Countdown Device for Precision Baking,99 minutes 59 seconds(2pcs/pack) (White)

Mini Kitchen Timer, timers digital, Count Down Timer, Cooking Countdown Device for Precision Baking,99 minutes 59 seconds(2pcs/pack) (White) - ✅【Magnetic back, retractable stand and hook for hanging】you can place the timer in different places either stick it to the fridge door with its large magnet, or use the pull-out stand for table-top use, and finally you can run a piece of string through the hook and hang it on a wall hook or around your neck if you are walking. ✅【Loud sounding alarm】 you will be able to hear this alarm in another room easily it is loud and clear but not deafening the mildly hard of hearing should have no problem with the alarm. ✅【counts up and down 】 it’s also a countdown timer and minute timer which can act as a stopwatch counting up from zero perfect timer for homework, exercise, gym,workout, cooking ( egg timer ), sports, games and classroom timer activities maximum time is 99 minutes, 59 seconds. ✅【On/off button】there are on/off button on the time which might be more convenient for use. ✅【Large&clear digits】just a glance at the room and you can easily read the timer display with the big, bold digits ideal for those who is with lower eyesight.

AZOOU 2.3″ High Character LED Wall Clock LED Digital Timer Countdown and Up by IR Remote Control Red Color

AZOOU 2.3″ High Character LED Wall Clock LED Digital Timer Countdown and Up by IR Remote Control Red Color - Ir remote control, about 5m control distance. Count down from 995959 to 000000 in hours minutes seconds count up from 000000 to 995959 in hours minutes seconds. The battery is cr 2025, 3v, button battery, please purchase from your local store. It can be a countdown or up timer also. It work under 12vdcinput power 100vac-240vac. Clock can be mounted to the wall easily. You can install it in the bus or shop window to show time with installation brackets. Visible up to 50 feet(15m). Please note the battery is not included in the package because of the forbidden policy of the international courier. This countdown clock displays hours minutes seconds, support with 12 and 24hours display.

Digital Countdown Kitchen Timer – Count Down Timer With Alarm Clock Large Led Fast Setting (Yellow)

Digital Countdown Kitchen Timer – Count Down Timer With Alarm Clock Large Led Fast Setting (Yellow) - Big screen digital countdown kitchen timer with alarm. Occasion cooking, laboratory, fitness, beauty, children eating, conference room, meeting,etc. Flexible design 3 ways to place the timerwith hole to hangwith support to standwith magnet to be aborbed on the surface of metal. Satisfaction guaranteed 30-day money back and 2-year warranty. Fast setting 7 buttons,10 min / 10 sec / 1min / 1sec fixed time 99 minutes 59 seconds with alarm.

Eco4us – Digital Kitchen Timer, Food Timer, Multi- Purpose Timer, Countdown Function, Stopwatch Function

Eco4us – Digital Kitchen Timer, Food Timer, Multi- Purpose Timer, Countdown Function, Stopwatch Function - Countdown function up to 99 minutes, 59 seconds, stopwatch function (counting up from zero). Large, clear lcd display. Includes magnetic backing and foldout stand, requires 1 x aaa battery (included). Easy to program and operate. Loud audible alert when time expires.

Zealforth Digital Kitchen Countdown Timer Magnetic Count Up Down Cooking Timer Clock with Alarm

Zealforth Digital Kitchen Countdown Timer Magnetic Count Up Down Cooking Timer Clock with Alarm - Power saving (you can turn off the timer when you don’t use it). Led indicator light (it will light up when the countdown time hits zero) when reaches countdown to 0 , alarm will work for 60 sec and will stop , but timer will continue to work showing counting up time which is very convenient as well to see how long time it passed after reaching 0. Multi-functional digital countdown timer 3 modes (clock + count down + count up). Flexible design — 3 ways to place the timer stand / magnet / hang. Big screen fixed time 23 hours, 59 minutes and 59 seconds.

CJHFAMILY 24-Hour Digital Electronic Kitchen Home Cook Classroom Countdown and Count Up Timer/Clock with Magnet

CJHFAMILY 24-Hour Digital Electronic Kitchen Home Cook Classroom Countdown and Count Up Timer/Clock with Magnet - Magnetic back, stand and hook for hanging you have 3 different choices for placement for the room thermometer either stick it to the refrigerator door with the rear magnet, or use the stand to place it on the table-top , and finally you can flip the stand over and use the hook to hang it on a refrigerator shelf. Loud sounding alarm the timer has an alarm that signals when time is up you will easily be able to hear the typical beeping sound in the room it is loud and clear but not deafening the mildly hard of hearing should have no problem with the alarm. 100% satisfaction warranty pls note one piece of aaa battery is needed(not included in the package) the device can’t be turned off, but you can enter the clock mode by pressing the mode key, the timer can be used as a clock so it will not waste battery and can runs for a very long time if you’re not completely satisfied with the timer, please contact us and you’ll be offered for a full refund or replacement, no questions asked. Large and clear lcd display the timer displays hours, minutes and seconds clearly and separately that you can even easily read countdown time from a fair distance without keeping it close by ideal for those with not the best eyesight. Counts up and down as well as a countdown timer, minute timer and hour timer, this can also act as a stopwatch counting up from zero perfect timer for exercise, gym workout, sports, assessments, cooking (ie egg timer), homework, debate, games and classroom timer activities maximum time is 23 hours, 59 minutes, 59 seconds and the timer can also be used as a clock at ordinary times.

The Miracle Hover Kitchen Timer – Touchless Digital Countdown Timer, Hands-Free Control, Set of 4, Blue, Green, Orange and White

The Miracle Hover Kitchen Timer – Touchless Digital Countdown Timer, Hands-Free Control, Set of 4, Blue, Green, Orange and White - Set it for a range of activities countdown timer range 1 second to 99 minutes, 59 seconds. Great for all ages extra large ditigital display, easy to see for all ages. Two options for display kickstand or self-mounting magnet. Buy one for every room set includes 4 timers, 1 each of blue, green, orange and white. Touch-free activation hand-motion sensor to start and stop the timer.

AIMILAR 9999 Days Digital Countdown Timer – Magnetic Count Up Down Timer for Trip Retirement Wedding Christmas New Baby Classroom Lab

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Kitchen Timer 3 Pack Small Digital Electronic Loud Alarm, Magnetic Backing, ON/OFF Switch, Minute Second Countdown/up, White, Green and Blue

Kitchen Timer 3 Pack Small Digital Electronic Loud Alarm, Magnetic Backing, ON/OFF Switch, Minute Second Countdown/up, White, Green and Blue - Easy to use convenient easel stand, magnetic and lanyard opening on back you can pull back the retractable stand to sit on any flat surface or use the magnet on the back to attach to a fridge door or put it on the neck with a rope. Multi-functional great timer for cooking/classroom use it on sports activity, beauty facial and classroom activities perfect for use on all occasions and good habit forming to keep track of the time. Loud alarm comes with on/off switch powered by 1aaa battery loud & clear sound but not deafening the alarm sound can be heard from another room the timer will last for 60 seconds until you press”st/sp”button to stop the buzzing. Digital kitchen timer 99 minutes max, 59 seconds countdown stopwatch & digital timer memory setting of previous timing. Small size & large digits small size body made as abs large lcd digital display allows easy read from across the room. Arplis - News source https://arplis.com/blogs/news/18-best-digital-countdowns

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adamgdooley · 7 years ago

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AI Looms Over the City: the Kaiju Approach

I began tapping, it grew louder, then I thumped the lectern, then again (louder). That woke them up. I always enjoy seeing the mixture of shock, awe, gasps, disbelief, puzzlement and smiles as I speak about the New Fund Order: where Technology meets Finance meets Philosophy, meets Science Fiction.

Armed with my walking stick to accentuate points with dramatic gesturing motions, I would tell them that in a New Fund Order, Artificial Intelligence (AI) looms over all of us like a kaiju*, a giant 200 foot Godzilla. Bluntly put, Finance needs to find new solutions through Technology or become obsoleted by it.

*Kaiju (怪獣 kaijū) is a Japanese word that means “strange creature,” often translated as “monster” or “giant monster”

Today the looming threat of AI seems obvious and very real. Why then did Finance so badly underestimate the threat for 20 years? There was certainly a sense of complacent containment. To some extent the City of London had assumed it had controlled Technology after it moved to electronic trading in the 1986 ‘Big Bang’. The de-regulation and computerisation of the City.

Be it London or New York, Tokyo or Geneva the City, in its broadest catholic sense, had after all funded the automation of blue collar roles over 40 years, without fuss, without remorse, without resistance give or take the odd union strike. Indeed the systematic breakdown of worker unions and labour was key to reducing man hours, reduce workforces, to lower operating costs and allow companies to deploy CapEx into machines. There was a sense then that Finance held sway over the purse strings of Technology, the capitalisation of Silicon Valley and the Internet through the 1990s and 2000s. And that was true, then.

However since the Dotcom crash Technology had kept accelerating. A series of market crashes opened the way for Tech Disrupters. Those crashes combined with a collapse in trust in big finance and disintermediation of balance sheets of large pension schemes and banks. To now curb those ‘bankers’, the industry moved from self regulation back to statutory regulation. Investors began to put faith in technology over Finance. Assets also started to flow through index baskets, the influence of Finance was on the wane. I have seen that change coming, having worked through 3 major market crashes in 1997, 2001 and 2008. Throughout I have worked for a long time as an educator, writing Finance textbooks and working towards better professionalism therein. My industry work now takes me into broader areas such as technology, costs, transparency, Environmental Social Governance (ESG), industry consolidation, product innovation, Investment Governance and supporting the growth of Fintech in my sector. Using my observations I was motivated in 2015 to write ‘New Fund Order’, discussing “digital death” for my profession and the underlying reasons.

It is somewhat fitting to note that, as a born Scotsman and where I am still based today, Scotland was the birthplace of analogue Finance and therefore apt to consider how might Scotland’s Finance Industry adapt to AI. Ground zero.

Finance 2.0 has been coming heavily from the US. Indeed halo US companies like Google (Alphabet), Microsoft, Facebook were not only changing Finance externally but also becoming the largest capitalised stocks within it. Asia Technology joined the party through Samsung, TenCent and Alibaba. This has created a huge feedback and validation of Technology as both a source of economic growth and social advancement on a global scale.

Consequently investors became more familiar with Technology in their own lives then they were becoming more attune to Technology managing their Finances. The desire for faster information, what we call the latency effect saw a rapid shift to individuals away from intermediaries. Now the public could ask information previously privileged to the few and without an information or technology advantage the role of Finance has become exposed. A simple fact utterly underestimated by the industry.

Over time Finance had been built on rules, laws and regulations, these were considered sacrosanct and unassailable; with a generous sprinkling of subjective bias and judgement. The industry had developed technology previously to be subservient and most importantly out of reach of clients. The number of times I heard about an actuarial consultant ‘turning the wheel’ on a long-standing model, all the time charging clients a quantum for the privilege. Frankly this is absurd industry complacency. It simply couldn’t hold up to inevitable transparent scrutiny. The likes of writer Martin Ford and MIT have noted the unrelenting substitution for white collar roles in other sectors, so too is change coming to Finance professions.

“the hurdle machines have to cross to out-perform humans with college degrees isn’t that high.” Martin Ford, Author ‘The Rise of the Robots’.

��The end game scenarios seem kind of severe. From here on in, it’s really, really, really going to change and it’s going to change faster than we can handle.” Matt Beane, MIT.

Yet the acceleration of technology alone could not not have unseated the rocksteady position of Finance so readily; it also took the latent issues within the establishment to bring about its own demise. Our own Monsters!

Why can’t we rely on the human condition alone to deliver effective Finance? Why does it break down or resist automation? Well, we assume only humans are capable of empathy, trust, making good decisions but consider. Alas the human condition is not itself constructive;

Karl Marx wrote “the more the division of labour and application of machinery extend, the more does competition extend among the worker”

While George Orwell wrote “on the whole humans want to be good but not that good and not all the time” Lastly JP Morgan, forefather of modern Investment Banking said ‘someone does a thing for two reasons, a good reason and the real reason.”

Thus it is no surprise then that Finance has achieved both amazing things but also much to be criticised for. Our industry is a litany of poor practice, high fees, big bonuses, fraud, bubbles, manipulation, market crashes, Ponzi schemes. Unsurprising when the populous loses trust in the appointed class then it opens the door to monsters. Thus technology was no longer benign for its Finance masters.

Meanwhile you need only take a trip to the airport, open a newspaper or get into a taxi to see the marketing power of Finance. Since the 1980s Finance had become big business, deeply human intensive and highly compensated. That introduced strong economic incentives to resist change. When we talk about behaviours, the human condition is susceptible to many, driven by a desire to succeed, to make profit, fear, greed. Since the Great Financial Crisis, Asset Management had grown as capital moved from bank balance sheets and defined benefit pension schemes through to individual retirement accounts and into mutual funds. We called this disintermediation. It moved the capital at risk from employers to workers. Now workers were paying Finance directly, a form of taxation that helped the division of wealth as companies were released to focus on shareholder returns.

In response to the influx of assets, asset managers have increased their portfolio desks, salaries and bonuses swelled, fuelled by an endless supply of graduates, CFAs, MBAs and economic migrants, from investment banking, hedge funds and sell side research. More people lead to higher operating costs, complexities and inefficiencies to manage investor money. The Old Fund Order can be typified as;

• Human Intensive • Human-Human • Complex Value Chains • High Salaries and Fees • Information Advantage • Fraud and Ponzi schemes

Where Finance has then become tested in recent years somewhat ironically is justifying its own economic value. So what is Optimum Economic Value (OEV)? In its purest form, we recognise the Finance value chain is itself an alignment between a customer and a financial outcome.Think of it as a piece of rope. How long and how straight is it, is it loose or is there a clear tension (a directness and transparency) between the two points?

Finance is defined by lots of parties involved in the front, middle and back office, it is people intensive. Think of a traditional portfolio of active managed funds sold by a distributor on the advice of a financial adviser, bundled into a retirement product, regulated, consulted, traded, operated, audited. Lots of pound signs. Having largely operated unfettered for 20 years, what exposed these value chains were two-fold; The immutable growth of computing power known as Moore’s Law, the doubling of computing power at least every 2 years. Secondly Parkinson’s Law, a 1958 paper that observed that organisations became less efficient the more people you hire. We also call Parkinson’s Law ‘Coefficients of Inefficiency’ and historical examples have included; the Roman Empire, Greater London Council, the Civil Service, The Department of Defence, IBM, British car industry and Banks. Likewise Finance was quickly finding itself both outdated, inefficient and expensive.

Despite this, Finance for over a decade tried to box, restrict and otherwise compartmentalise ROBO, portraying it as a dim-witted ‘Robbie the Robot’ from 1956 Forbidden Planet. Big mistake! CitiGroup believed RoboAdvisors will hit $5 trillion AUM in the next decade. A more recent study by Deloitte estimated that “assets under automated management” (including hybrid offerings) in the U.S. will grow to U.S. $7 trillion by the year 2025 from about U.S.$300 billion today. More alarming (if you are a financial adviser) is that consultants A.T. Kearney predicts that assets under “robo-management” will total $2.2 trillion by 2021. Another view of Fintech is that of the 1933 classic ‘KING KONG’. A loud chest-beater. All noise, but no bananas? Certainly this was the crux of the audience questions. Firstly there is a lot of noise, mostly from consultants and big business but change is happening and at an accelerating rate. Simply note how the make-up of Finsbury Square is changing and innovation is spilling out of Old Street into Threadneedle, into EC2. The very heart of the City.

No longer just noise then, what is being systematically removed is human intensity to be replaced by deep learning and AI. Until the late 1970s hundreds of clerks updated futures prices on chalkboards and recorded them on Polaroid film. Thousands of traders walked the pits, hundreds of thousands accountants, Actuaries, typing pools, administrators and computers processed, calculated, deliberated and predicted.. all gone! The first major electronic platform was Instinet, that could bypass the trading floor. Superseded in the 80s by Bloomberg and Archipelago, which began to replace floor traders. In 2000 there was over 150,000 involved in securities and commodities contracts in New York alone. In 2016 there were less than 100,000 yet the asset market has grown five fold since 2000.

Alternatively take Actuaries: In 2009, 110 students qualified to become Associates of the Faculty or the Institute of Actuaries, 335 qualifying as Fellows of the Faculty or the Institute of Actuaries. In 2016 the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries reported 29,000 members (December 2016), 52% of whom were students, 73% of members were 40 years old or under. With older actuaries retiring; what is the future for the next generation given traditional actuary roles are in demise? Martina King writing for the Actuarial Post. “In the Insurance sector, reducing the number of highly skilled, highly paid actuaries by replacing them with technology is attractive. It’s a potentially scary prospect for actuarial careers.. there are few open positions for individuals with predictive analytical skills. In other sectors too, organisations are slotting into job ads the request for experience in machine learning. It’s worth the investment in gaining these skills to get ahead.” We are seeing record numbers of CFAs, MBAs but a reduction in number of roles to fill, as incumbents work longer into life. Any role that is based mostly on rules rather than creative critical thinking are obviously at risk but ultimately all roles are in danger. Regulation key help preserve for a time driven by our desire for human accountability but this will ebb. Roles that will survive longer-term will adapt to work with AI. My own profession is not immune to this threat. The Fund Selection community is quickly waking up to the threat and something we are actively discussing at the Association of Professional Investors (APFI). We are now seeing a new wave of fund analysis, selection tools and digital fund warehousing, which is making fund selection more accessible and transparent. The information advantage is closing. AI will change how mutual funds are analysed and selected in future.

With the closing information gap, the challenges for Fund analysts can then be summarised as growing transparency, the lack of performance persistency from active fund managers, which has a knock-on effect onto Fund Selectors. Also the decomposition of activeness itself, into factors but also luck and risk-taking. Consider the following studies;

• Past Performance Persistency: Mark M. Carhart. Journal of Finance 1997, Blake and Timmermann 2003, SJ Brown 2006, Luckoff 2011, Barclays Capital 2012 • The effect of Marketing and Commission on Broker-sold funds: Del Guercio and Jonathan Reuter, University of Oregon, 2012, 2015 • Herustics and Behavioural Finance: Khaneman and Tversky, 1974, 2007, 2015, • Active Share: Cremmer, Patijesto, 2010, 2013,

After all if Fund managers cannot add value then what value do the people who select them offer? Other issues include inducements, marketing, survivorship bias and behavioural biases. Obvious symptoms if this shift include the large shift towards index investing and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). What we are now moving towards is greater mass objectivity away from individual subjectivity. Performance and quant based analysis is rapidly becoming codified and automated. Meanwhile qualitative Fund analysis, which is itself judgemental based, too is undergoing change. Originating from the Harvard Marketing Mix and later management consulting like Booms & Bitner and Russell. Profile + Process + Portfolio + People + Price… + Pi? Such approaches are coming under scrutiny, as investors get better direct access to fund information. The very value of such analysis is now in doubt. What is now changing is the disruption from crowd research platforms that reduces the information advantage and thus premium of traditional analysts.

So if the value of human Intelligence is left in question, what then for Artificial Intelligence? AI has entered the daily narrative, the term “artificial intelligence” is applied when a machine mimics “cognitive” functions such as “learning” and “problem solving”. Today is hard to fathom just what the limitations are for AI. It certainly offers advantages both in the rapid assimilation of Big data, learning from changes in data and predictive modelling. This takes us back to our friend Robbie the Robot. Consider first that AI algorithms fall into many classes and have already permeated various corners of society;

• Search and optimisation: program synthesis • Logic and information consciousness • Probabilistic methods for uncertain reasoning • Classifiers and statistical learning methods • Neural: feed forward, recurrent, differentiable • Control theory • Languages and translation • Evaluating progress and self-learning • Complex Adaptive Systems

For example a simple model was already proposed by Ludwig and Pivioso in their 2005 machine-learning paper. They also considered what sort of Algo should a Fund Selection Robo adopt from 3 choices: Decision-Tree, Neural Network or a Naive Bayes approach. Ludwig and Pivioso concluded that all three approaches outperformed simple scoring models typically employed by human Fund Selectors. What is frightening was that this was achieved with only a simple array of data inputs. Let’s remind ourselves what these approaches do, Ludwig and Pivioso described them as;

“Decision-tree algorithms construct a flowchart-like structure where each node of the tree specifies a test of an attribute, each branch corresponds to an outcome of the test, and each leaf node represents a classification prediction.

Neural networks are represented by set of interconnected units, each unit has multiple inputs and produces a single output. The signals are weighted, transforming the incoming signals, weighted and passed to the output units.

Bayes – The classifier learns the conditional probability of each attribute value from the training data given the classification of each instance. To classify an unknown instance, Bayes’ theorem is applied to compute the probability of a particular class value given the attributes of the new instance.” Now consider the technology advancement and complexity of data available 13 years on since that paper. AI can now begin to replicate judgemental nudges and biases based on common material changes like price, attribution data, manager experience, tenure, benchmark, fund changes, moving firm, news flow and so on. I began to imagine if fund selection can be derived from AI: to screen thousands of funds and make judgements, shortlist recommendations, assess suitability and compatibility against a mandate or investor needs and monitor the outcome of those decisions. This is especially so when we consider key advances in Differentiable Neural Computing (DNC). What DNC does is create digital memory, DNC can literally read and rewrite memory, it becomes iterative. It was used to enable AlphaGo to beat the best Go player in the world across 250 to the power 150 possible moves. Secondly add program synthesis, a program like DeepCoder can literally data-mine and piggy-back other algorithms to solve any problem in seconds and there is around 30,000 GB of new data on the Internet every second for these programs to access.

This takes us the toughest question. Can the human condition still infect AI? It is the question that wrangles the industry today. Can ROBO act in a Fiduciary way, to put the interests of the client ahead of others? This is clearly a concern for regulators not only in terms of the original coding but also subsequent changes as a consequence of self- learning. Such protections could become hardwired, needs monitored and programmers regulated. Firstly AI can follow the Three Laws of Robotics by the science fiction author Isaac Asimov.

1. A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm. 2. A robot must obey the orders given to it by human beings except where such orders would conflict with the First Law. 3. A robot must protect its own existence so long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws.

One of the key problems today in big firms is that Finance staff do not sufficiently understand code and coders do not understand Finance. Regulators often understand neither. This will require tomorrow’s coders to have both technical knowledge of Finance and programming expertise to satisfy a Fiduciary Test. This is where small Fintech start- ups can exploit this void, in the detail between Technology and Finance. Consider that if AI can be programmed to remove human error then what role is left for regulators? It will change. In response the Financial Conduct Authority proposed a new Certified regime (CP17-25) for anyone with responsibility for:

• approving the deployment of a trading algorithm or a material part of one • approving the deployment of a material amendment to a trading algorithm or a material part of one, or the combination of trading algorithms • monitoring or deciding whether or not the use or deployment of a trading algorithm is or remains compliant with the firm’s obligations

Ultimately the fiduciary duty falls initially to the programmer of the algorithm that instructs the programme to make decisions. Ultimately a regulated person has to be accountable for the programmer, the program and the outcomes. Taking these laws it is not unfathomable that computers can be programmed to put the interest of the client first and foremost to;

1. Uphold a fiduciary standard and all conflicts of interest must be disclosed. A computer has no conflicts unless they are first programmed. Like a driverless car its’ function is to serve the purpose without question. 2. A fiduciary has a “duty to care” and must continually monitor not only a client’s investments, but also their changing financial situation. A computer can monitor 24/7 continuously and is not restricted by fatigue or the adviser/fund selector’s diary. A sequence can be included if the client does not supply an update within x days or could be linked to the client’s accounts, email, diary and so on. 3. Understand changes to a client’s risk tolerance, perhaps after a painful bear market. Perhaps there was a family change. Under the suitability standard, the financial planning process could begin and end in a single meeting. For fiduciaries, that first client meeting marks only the beginning of the legal obligation. We have seen the term ‘orphan clients’, and humans have a great track record of dropping less profitable clients (value pools). 4. Monitor, adapt, assess fund changes. The reality is that many fund investors do not monitor their decisions often enough or with objectivity. They are susceptible to heuristic biases. Yet a computer can continuously monitor cost, turnover, risk, changes and performance. It can monitor twitter feeds, performance, fund manager commentary, portfolio positions, information supplied by the client, instructions, deal flow, thousands if not millions of data points analysed through neural networks.

Adding in Asimov rules into the AI subroutines become the safety net to ensure the program operates efficiently and investor aims are managed. AI can even offer the Robo Fund Selector a framework to set ESG criteria and identify better solutions to improve ethical and sustainable investing. It can employ new metrics to help investors understand their impact on Green House Gas emission, the economy and environment. According to the New Fund Order, Finance structures will continue to change over the next two decades and beyond, an unrelenting digitalisation of the value chain. As mutual funds in turn become managed by AI then so too will humans become more challenged to understand, select and manage them. They need AI to solve the equation. How then to survive the kaiju, how to survive digital death? Be prepared, my lecture on AI Robo Fund Selection is available at FintechCircle Institute. https://institute.fintechcircle.com/courses/ course-v1:Beckett+C1+Programming_AI_Robo_Fund_Selection/about

I finished by saying ‘if this sounds all too monstrous then you’re probably right. Godzilla approaches.’ Cue nervous clap, more stunned disbelief and many interesting questions. A day later I was contacted by one of the students who had attended to say she would change the focus of her dissertation. Hope then.