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uf4b3tw1ns · 1 year ago
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The Top Sports Betting Strategies
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Before you start betting according to a certain betting strategy, it is important to impose very precise bankroll management on yourself and to stick to them consistently. This is absolutely the most essential factor in making the decision to bet consistently.
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It’s similar to losing weight: it is always said that around 30% depends on physical activity and 70% on the right diet. So, you could say that good bankroll management is the “correct diet of betting”.
The Kelly formula
There are of course numerous ideas, concepts and formulas that can help you calculate the ideal stake on a bet. One of them is the Kelly formula.
Of course, this is no guarantee that you will always bet correctly and the assessment of how likely the outcome of a game is, does still remain up to you. But the Kelly formula can help you choose the size of your bet.
This is how the Kelly formula works
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You choose a game or an event and rate the outcome as a percentage
Example: Austria defeats Germany – you rate this outcome with a probability of 20%
Now, you are looking for an odd for this event that seems fair to you
Then, you put the probability and the odds in the Kelly formula and get a value from it
Dutching in sports betting
Dutching is the process of betting on more than one selection during the same event, so that no matter which selection wins, a profit can be made. This should not be confused with arbitrage, which involves betting on all possible outcomes of an event, so that a guaranteed profit is generated. This is only possible by using several bookmakers and only for a few events.
Early cashout in sports betting
Have you ever regretted placing a particular bet and wished that you could somehow withdraw it? Or maybe you had doubts as to whether the team you supported could really hold the lead? If your answer to any of the questions is yes, then you’ll love the early withdrawal option. These properties give the speculator more control over the bets already placed and could ultimately make a big difference in the overall bankroll if you wager your cards correctly. The early payout is often referred to as the cashout by most sports betting sites.
Bet live on over 1.5 goals
With this betting strategy, you are betting on live games on the bet type “Over 1.5 goals”.
Before the game, the odds of an over 1.5 will be very low. In some cases, it is no higher than 1.20. But while the game is running and the goals are missing, this rate increases almost every minute and becomes more and more lucrative. Now you have to be patient. Ideally – as with any bet – you should watch the game live at the same time in order to have the greatest possible advantage.
Now wait until the bet has odds between 1.50 and 2.00. The higher the better, but of course the timing is important. If a goal is scored, the bet is over before it has even started and you have to find a new game. This strategy only works if it is 0-0 long enough. Usually, you will have to wait until the 35th to 55th minute so that the odds on the over 1.5 are fair. However, we recommend that you still bet in the first half – it is important that the odds are 1.50 or higher.
You analyzed the game before kick-off and expected an over 2.5. If you’re not completely wrong, goals will still be scored here. And we are eagerly awaiting the first goal as soon as the bet is played.
If a goal is scored quite early after your bet, then you have – at least with most bookmakers who allow this – a profitable exit strategy: The odds for the over 1.5 will of course rattle off after the first goal. Now you can have the bet paid out via cashout, you can virtually “sell” it. You will definitely get out with a plus.
The riskier option is to wait for the second goal and win the bet anyway. Here it is of course advisable to watch the game live. If there is a goal in the air, you can still wait and let the bet stand. If the game is a tense affair, then it may be better to sell the bet.
Specialize in a league
As mentioned in other posts, being informed about the games you want to bet on is absolutely essential. It is often difficult to obtain sufficient and good information, especially if you bet on a game in which you don’t know the teams good enough – or even not at all!
Become a league specialist
It is therefore advisable to specialize in a single country, ideally even in a single league. In the best scenario, you should choose a league in which there are numerous live TV games, the players are largely known and the media coverage is extensive.
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ufab3twins · 1 year ago
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Secrets to winning millions on betting sites
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If you’ve already studied the basics of sports betting well enough, now is the time to dig deeper into the most popular betting strategies. We explain to you how to successfully place sports bets with the right strategy and what to look out for.
When it comes to choosing the right strategy for sports betting, opinions differ. Is there even a right strategy for winning in sports betting or is the best strategy to just be flexible in choosing a respective strategy? In any case, we present the best and most promising strategies for increasing your betting profits over time.
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Beat the bookies with the Overlyzer Live Tool
Overlyzer’s live tool maps the pressure situations in soccer matches from over 1,000 leagues and competitions – in real time. This allows Overlyzer users to see at a glance which team is applying more pressure and dominating the game.
The “Game Offense Factor” also interprets whether a game is more offensive or more defensive based on various statistics and live performance data. On average, a value of 30% or more over the full duration of the match indicates that the game is being played offensively and actively with likely more goals.
1X on home outsiders strategy
A betting strategy that has been successful in the past is the bet on the “double chance” 1X if an outsider plays against a favorite at home. In this case, the “1X” bet brings respectable odds and very interesting profit opportunities.
Home win or draw betting strategy
You don’t even have to choose and analyze games that contain absolute extremes and obvious class differences with this strategy. So, you don’t necessarily have to bet against Barcelona, Bayern or Juventus as an away team. Here, we would probably move away from the value bets. Even if we opt for teams that are not big outsiders, but are still outsiders according to the odds, we find highly interesting odds between 1.60 and 2.50.
As with all bets, it is important to analyze in advance and not blindly going for any team. You should of course take statistics into account, advance information about injuries and suspensions, as well as the current shape of the teams. The home advantage of the outsider, for whom games in front of their own audience against a “bigger one” also represent a special motivation, should not be underestimated as it brings another small advantage for the home team. Especially when the respective favorite has recently shown itself shaky against “smaller ones”, you can definitely find value in such an outsider bet with double chances.
All-in on odds at 1.20 strategy
This betting strategy involves winning numerous bets one after the other and always using the maximum offers the opportunity to earn decent money. But it is also clear that all the money is gone if you lose a bet. But if you manage to win 30, 35, maybe even 40 times in a row, you’ll get big money!
All-in on odds at 1.20 – betting strategy
We use odds around 1.20 for this – ideally you should look for the bets you are playing live. As with the strategy of betting over 1.5 goals in what is estimated to be typical “over” games, you can wait here until the odds have reached the desired level. The over 0.5 bet is ideal here – i.e. the bet that the game will not end 0-0. Usually, after goalless 30 minutes, you get a rate of 1.20 – depending on the match, this can of course be lower, but sometimes even higher. Of course, it is a matter of taste with which type of bet you want to monetize your betting sequence, or money race‘ as it is also called.
It is important that you always play roughly the same odds. This is certainly a test of patience and not particularly spectacular at first, but there is no exact goal and you can stop at any time and have your winnings paid out. For example, if you start such a series of bets with a stake of 10 €, that’s all you can lose. So you now find a bet with odds 1.20, win it and immediately play the 12 € you won again on odds that are around this amount. You win 14.40 € – which will be invested in the next bet.
The profits will only become noticeable very slowly, but will increase sharply over time, because of course the stake grows higher and higher. If you actually manage to get 30 picks right in a row, your 10 € from the beginning will already be a whopping 2,373.76 €. After 35 correct pick we would already be at 5,906.68 € and after 40 correct picks at 14,697.71 €.
The 1-3-2-6 system
The 1-3-2-6 system is similar to another positive progression betting system known as a Paroli. Both involve increased stakes after a win, and both involve a cycle of bets ending at a fixed point. The only real difference is the actual betting sequence.
There are not many systems that are easier to understand than 1-3-2-6 and its simplicity is very appealing to many players. There are also a number of other benefits that contribute to its popularity.
Of course, as in any betting system, there are also disadvantages. We explore the positive and negative aspects of the 1-3-2-6 below, along with the details and how it is used.
Use of the 1-3-2-6 system
Like many betting systems, the 1-3-2-6 was designed for bets that pay out an even sum, like the red-black bets in roulette. In fact, it is widely used on the roulette table and in other casino games such as baccarat, dice games and blackjack. Basically, it doesn’t matter what you use it for, provided you are playing with even sums.
The Fibonacci betting system
The Fibonacci betting system is one of many betting strategies available today. Here we explain what it is all about.
The Fibonacci betting strategy
Fibonacci sequence betting is undoubtedly a controversial concept. But there are definitely sports bettors who were able to achieve great success with it. This strategy carries some risks, but with the necessary luck and the right nose, you can be successful while employing this strategy.
The basic concept of betting according to the Fibonacci sequence is simple: bet on a tie. If you lose, just bet on the next tie according to a certain key and start increasing your stake.
It is important that the odds for the tie are above 2.62 (more precisely: 2.618); luckily for those who want to employ this strategy, there are many tie bets for this minimum odds. The higher the rate, the better.
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