#Moving Average Envelope Trading Strategy

[starseedfxofficial]

Keltner Channels + Cup and Handle: The Secret Forex Combo for Precision Trading Why Most Traders Miss the Big Moves (And How You Won’t) Picture this: You’ve been stalking a currency pair like a patient hunter, waiting for the perfect moment to strike. You see a breakout forming—your heart races—you pull the trigger... and BAM! The price reverses faster than a bad Tinder date. Sound familiar? If so, you’re not alone. Many traders fall victim to false breakouts, choppy markets, and setups that look promising but fail spectacularly. But what if I told you there’s a ninja-level trading strategy that can help you pinpoint breakouts with laser precision? Enter: Keltner Channels and the Cup and Handle pattern. This underrated duo can turn your trading game from “hopeful guessing” to cold, calculated sniper shots. Let’s dive into why most traders ignore these tools, how you can master them, and—most importantly—how to use them together for a winning edge. Keltner Channels: The Hidden Market GPS Keltner Channels (KC) are like Bollinger Bands’ quieter, nerdier cousin—but don’t underestimate them. Unlike Bollinger Bands, which use standard deviations, Keltner Channels rely on the Average True Range (ATR), making them more dynamic and adaptive to market volatility. Key Features of Keltner Channels: - The middle line = Exponential Moving Average (EMA) (usually 20-period) - The upper and lower bands = EMA ± ATR multiplier (typically 2x ATR) - Provides a smooth volatility-based envelope to track price trends How to Use Keltner Channels in Forex Trading: - Breakout Confirmation: When the price closes above the upper band, it signals a strong bullish breakout. - Trend Reversal Clues: If price consistently hits the lower band, the trend might be reversing. - Volatility Squeeze Detection: When the channels tighten, an explosive move is on the way—traders just need to be on the right side of it. Pro Tip: If you’re tired of being faked out by false breakouts, combine Keltner Channels with momentum indicators like the RSI or MACD to confirm strength. Cup and Handle: The Sneaky Continuation Pattern That Smart Traders Love Ever heard of the Cup and Handle pattern? It sounds like a fancy coffee order, but it’s one of the most powerful continuation patterns in Forex. This formation screams, “I’m about to break out hard—get in or regret it!” How to Spot a Cup and Handle Pattern: - The Cup: A U-shaped consolidation phase that looks like—yep, you guessed it—a cup. - The Handle: A slight pullback after the cup forms, acting as the final trap before a breakout. - The Breakout: When price surges past the rim of the cup, buyers take over, driving prices higher. Fun Fact: William O’Neil, the investing legend who coined this pattern, found that breakouts from this setup often lead to some of the biggest price surges. Ideal Conditions for the Cup and Handle to Form: ✅ After an uptrend (continuation signal) ✅ During a bullish market phase ✅ With strong volume on the breakout Why Keltner Channels + Cup and Handle = A Match Made in Trading Heaven Individually, Keltner Channels and Cup and Handle patterns are powerful, but when you use them together, they create a high-probability trading setup that few traders even know exists. Here’s how to combine them like a pro: Step-by-Step Guide to the Ultimate Combo Strategy: - Identify a Cup and Handle Formation - Look for a U-shaped recovery, followed by a shallow pullback (the handle). - Ensure the breakout point aligns with a resistance level. - Confirm with Keltner Channels - The price should be near or slightly breaking the upper Keltner Channel band before the breakout. - If the price is stuck in the middle band, the move isn’t ready yet. - Wait for Breakout with Volume - A strong breakout occurs when price closes above the handle’s resistance with conviction. - Volume should increase (use Volume Indicator or OBV to confirm momentum). - Entry & Stop Loss Placement - Buy Entry: Enter when price closes above the handle’s high and the Keltner Channel’s upper band. - Stop-Loss: Place it slightly below the handle’s lowest point. - Take Profit Target: Measure the depth of the cup and project that from the breakout point. - Manage the Trade Smartly - If the price keeps hugging the upper Keltner Channel band, let it run! - If momentum slows down or price re-enters the middle KC band, consider taking partial profits. Final Thoughts: The Best-Kept Secret to Spotting Explosive Breakouts By blending Keltner Channels’ volatility-based guidance with Cup and Handle’s explosive breakout potential, you create a high-precision trading strategy that sidesteps common mistakes. Most traders overlook this combo, giving you a serious edge. Key Takeaways: ✅ Keltner Channels reveal breakouts and volatility shifts with pinpoint accuracy. ✅ Cup and Handle patterns signal high-probability bullish breakouts. ✅ Combining both tools creates a sniper-like trading setup that reduces false signals and improves trade timing. ✅ Volume confirmation is key—if there’s no volume, don’t take the trade. Want to take your trading skills to the next level? Get real-time insights, expert analysis, and premium tools at StarseedFX. —————– Image Credits: Cover image at the top is AI-generated Read the full article

[pivlex23]

Bollinger Bands and Their Application in Trading

Introduction

Bollinger Bands are a widely used technical indicator in trading that help traders analyze price volatility, identify potential entry and exit points, and make more informed trading decisions. Created by John Bollinger in the 1980s, Bollinger Bands are valuable tools for both novice and experienced traders. In this article, we'll explore the significance of Bollinger Bands and provide a comprehensive guide on how to use them effectively in your trading strategy.

1. Understanding Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands are a versatile technical analysis tool consisting of three components:

Middle Band (SMA): The middle band is a simple moving average (SMA) of a selected number of price periods. It serves as the baseline for the Bollinger Bands.

Upper Band: The upper band is calculated by adding a specified number of standard deviations to the middle band. The standard deviation measures the price volatility.

Lower Band: The lower band is calculated by subtracting the same number of standard deviations from the middle band.

Bollinger Bands are plotted on a price chart, forming an envelope around the price action. The bands expand and contract based on market volatility.

2. Significance of Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands serve several important purposes in trading:

Price Volatility: Bollinger Bands help traders gauge the volatility of an asset. When the bands are wide, it indicates high volatility, while narrow bands suggest low volatility.

Trend Identification: Bollinger Bands assist traders in identifying trends. An uptrend is often characterized by the price staying near the upper band, while a downtrend has prices closer to the lower band.

Overbought and Oversold Conditions: Bollinger Bands are used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions. When the price touches or exceeds the upper band, it may be overbought, and when it touches or falls below the lower band, it may be oversold.

Potential Reversals: Bollinger Bands can help traders identify potential reversal points when prices touch or cross the upper or lower bands.

3. How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading

Here's a step-by-step guide on how to use Bollinger Bands in your trading strategy:

Select a Timeframe: Choose a specific timeframe that aligns with your trading style, whether it's intraday, daily, or longer-term.

Apply Bollinger Bands: Overlay Bollinger Bands on your price chart. Common settings for the bands are a 20-period SMA with two standard deviations.

Analyze Price Volatility: Observe the width of the Bollinger Bands. Wider bands indicate higher volatility, while narrower bands suggest lower volatility.

Trend Identification: Pay attention to the relationship between the price and the middle band. In an uptrend, the price tends to stay near or above the middle band, and in a downtrend, it tends to stay near or below the middle band.

Overbought and Oversold Conditions: Use the upper and lower bands to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions. When the price touches or exceeds the upper band, it may be overbought, and when it touches or falls below the lower band, it may be oversold.

Potential Reversals: Look for price touches or crosses of the upper or lower bands as potential reversal signals. A price touch of the upper band followed by a move away from it may indicate a reversal from overbought conditions, and vice versa.

Confirmation: Combine Bollinger Bands with other technical indicators, such as relative strength index (RSI) or moving averages, to confirm potential trade setups.

Set Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels: Incorporate risk management strategies by setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses and take-profit orders to secure profits.

4. Common Mistakes to Avoid

While Bollinger Bands are valuable tools, traders should be aware of common mistakes:

Overtrading: Avoid trading on every price touch of the upper or lower band. Consider other factors and combine them with Bollinger Bands for a more comprehensive analysis.

Ignoring Other Analysis: Always consider other technical and fundamental analysis factors when making trading decisions. Bollinger Bands are most effective when used in conjunction with other indicators.

Neglecting Risk Management: Always apply risk management strategies, such as stop-loss and take-profit orders, to protect your trading capital.

Conclusion

Bollinger Bands are powerful tools for traders looking to assess price volatility, identify potential trends, and spot overbought or oversold conditions. By understanding the significance of Bollinger Bands, selecting appropriate settings, and incorporating them into your trading strategy, you can make more informed trading decisions. However, it's crucial to use Bollinger Bands in conjunction with other technical analysis methods and to apply risk management techniques. With practice and experience, traders can master the art of using Bollinger Bands to enhance their trading results.

[faean]

Prince Sidon x Male Reader (Part 1/2)

Rating: T; Mentions of Blood/Death

Word Length: 1,960 words

Title: The Prince’s Folly

             -----

          “What’s a Hylian doing in Zora’s Domain?”

          “Isn’t he the one who used to live in Hyrule Castle teaching magic?”

          “Didn’t he travel the world? Why’d he choose to stay here after the Calamity?”

          “Did you hear? King Dorephan tasked him with slaying the Lynel since it’s been resurrected. I hope he survives...”

          “The council is hoping he doesn’t make it. They’re still so angry at the Hylians and their Champion, even after Mipha’s spirit told us not to be remorseful.”

          “I can’t believe it! He actually slew the beast! The Prince even saw him deliver the finishing blow. He’s been telling everyone about it.”

          “For a Hylian, he sure ages like a Zora. It’s been over 50 years and he doesn’t look a day older. He’s even taller than the average Hylian. I wonder if it’s because of his magic.”

          “Do you think the rumors are true? They say he isn’t interested in women. There have been a few female Hylians, Gerudo, even female Zora and Gorons approach him and he’s politely declined them all.”

          “I think the rumors might be true. He acts differently when around the Prince, and the Prince has been spending more time with him, too.”

          It’s been almost 75 years, and every day still brings something new. Sometimes it’s the council coming up with some asinine task for you to complete to get you to leave the domain, even if you always complete them with little difficulty. Sometimes it’s patrolling the borders and the dam. Sometimes it’s going out for more supplies. And, after every blood moon, you leave to confront the Lynel that terrorizes the Zora atop Ploymus Mountain. After so many decades, the fights end swiftly and without incident.

          Until recently.

          The Zora Prince, Sidon, has been spending every bit of free time with you. He joins you on patrols, short trading journeys, and the tasks the council sends you on, much to their dismay. Unfortunately, their hatred against Hylians seems to overrule their worry about the sole heir of the Zora. Either they are resentful he holds no grudges against Hylians like they do, or they actually recognize your skill and don’t fear for his safety. Hopefully, it was the latter.

          You didn’t mind his company, of course. For a while, most of the Zora were wary of you, though the younger generations, including Sidon’s, were much less discriminatory and more friendly, even going so far as to argue against some of the council’s decisions. There was one thing about Sidon’s presence that bothered you, though.

          You were hopelessly in love with him, and you had the sensation that he knew, considering the rumors surrounding your interactions with female suitors. It wasn’t until your most recent excursion to slay the revived Lynel once more that everything was brought to light…

          Many decades ago, back when I first moved to the Zora’s Domain after the Calamity, King Dorephan asked me to fight a Lynel atop a nearby mountain that had been terrorizing the Zora after the power of Calamity Ganon brought it back on a Blood Moon.

          As a Hylian, the shock arrows it fired would not be immediately fatal to me, and my prowess with magic was renowned, having granted me longevity and the opportunity to teach Princess Zelda (though, her obsession with ancient Sheikah technology limited my involvement). For me, (Y/N) (L/N), the Master of Magic, it would have been easy.

          Would have been.

          During the battle, I managed to avoid every one of the beast’s attacks, and had dealt several serious blows; however, the Lynel’s natural resistance to all the elements drained me of my energy as I used stronger and more costly spells to counter it. I had received some training with spears, bows, and blades, but not enough to rival that of a savage and cunning Lynel. Near the end of the battle, a certain young Prince had become entranced and stepped out further from his hiding place where he was watching.

          The Lynel did not hesitate to take aim, and the young Prince was frozen in fear. He didn’t see what happened next, too afraid to open his eyes until he heard my voice softly comforting him.

          There was no sign of the Lynel, just a jagged pillar of earth and the spoils of the slain beast. The Prince completely forgot his fear and was gushing over me and the battle, unaware of the cost of my victory. I escorted him back, presenting the spoils to the King as proof before leaving to my own home. Once alone, I uttered a few cryptic words and my clothing turned a deep crimson red.

          Now, he joined you again, but with your knowledge and the intent to fight. You instructed him on the beast’s tactics and abilities, as well as your usual strategy. You would wait until it put away its sword and shield to charge at you, and you would proceed to meet it head on by sliding underneath it to slay it in a single blow. Expending most of your magical energy, you focused it in between your hands before expending it all in a single devastating strike, piercing through its underside and disintegrating most of its body.

          With the Prince at your side, and with his skill with a bow, he’d get the beast’s attention before you struck it from behind. A simple diversion, yet wholly effective in theory. Even if the Lynel charged him, the Prince was more than capable with a spear.

          At least, that was the idea.

          The Lynel, in its cruel intelligence, was aligned perfectly with the Prince, preventing you from delivering the final blow. It cocked its shock arrows, ignoring the Prince’s own shots. Without hesitation and further thought, you dashed in front of the of the Prince and took the hit, just like you did all those years ago.

          Sidon’s eyes went wide with fear and realization as he saw the electricity course through your body, three arrows embedded across your chest. He watched as you shakily stood and proceeded to take a deep breath, blood pouring from your wounds as you raised your hands. He shielded his eyes from the bright light that followed, and when he could finally see again, all that was left were the creature’s weapons, parts, and a sizable crater in the ground from your attack. He meant to congratulate you, but you staggered and fell before he could, staining the grass blood red.

          -----

          “You have scars on your thighs… This isn’t the first time you took a Lynel’s arrows for me, is it?”

          The Prince was sitting at the foot of the large bed you were in, having brought you back to receive medical attention. He wouldn’t meet your gaze as you sat up, wincing at the pain and holding back a string of swears. You looked over at the Prince, saddened by how hurt he looked. He always wore a smile on his face, bringing cheer to the Zora people and working to keep the peace. He was treasured among his people, and even Lurelin Village and beyond, having saved them from a massive Octorok.

          But now? He had no smile; his eyes were dull, and his shoulders slumped.

          “My Prince … do not blame yourself. I made my choice that day, just as I made my choice today. It’ll take a lot more than a few arrows to take me down, and I would gladly take another if it meant keeping you safe.”

          Sidon was silent for a few moments before he wiped the tears from his face, turning to you with a bright smile and saying, “Have I told you just how much I appreciate everything you do? Because I really do appreciate all you do!”

          Admittedly, it was a little forced, but you still thought it admirable.

          “All right, now that that’s out of the way, I need a nap. I’m exhausted, and this isn’t my bed.” You breathed out as you rolled your shoulders.

          There was a brief pause before Sidon sheepishly told you that it was actually his bed you’ve been resting in for the past few days, since the healers thought it wasn’t a good idea to carry you all the way to your house while injured.

          “Wait, if I’ve been out for several days, then where have you been sleeping?” You asked, more worried about the Prince’s sleep than your own self.

          “… I’ve been here. I couldn’t bring myself to leave your side. The healers said you might not pull through, and I prayed to Mipha’s spirit to watch over you… The King … My father says it was survivor’s guilt, but I… (Y/N) … It was much more than that…” Sidon made his way around the bed to sit beside you.

          A massive blush spread across your face with how close he was, fortunately, he was looking down at the bed and not at you, though you would rather he met your gaze.

          “(Y/N), for an awfully long time now, I have been wishing to spend every day by your side. It’s why I join you on your assignments and invite you to every event I must attend. It’s why I convinced you and my father to let me fight beside you, but…” Sidon, without realizing it, took your hand in his, holding on to it as he spoke.

          “When you protected me, I remembered … I remembered when I was young and watched your fight with the Lynel for the first time, much like my sister had with the Hylian Champion. You had protected me back then, and you hid your injuries from me and even walked me all the way back home…” You felt him squeeze your hand as he continued, and you instinctively moved closer to him, coming to lean against him.

          “In that moment of realization, I knew exactly why I wished to be with you.”

          He turned to face you, taking your other hand is his own and leaning down, his eyes closed by the time his lips connected with yours. You melted into him, happily kissing back.

          -----

          Several (more) years went by, and you could not be happier. You and Sidon were officially a couple, and although the King was hesitant about your relationship at first, he saw how much joy you brought to Sidon, and that showed in everything he did. He accepted it, much to the further dismay of the council. Also a few of the female Zora who were huge fans of the Prince, but most were simply happy that he was happy. Sort of…

          -----

          “(Y/N), my beloved! You’ve returned! How was your trip?” The Prince asked when he reunited with you, sweeping you off your feet as he enveloped you in a hug.

          “Hot. Cold. I always forget the extremes of the Gerudo Desert until I inevitably return for some supplies. I’m just glad my contact is still willing to trade on my behalf. Anyway, let me drop off some things and I’ll meet you back in your room.” You punctuated this with a quick kiss to Sidon’s hand as he let you go.

          He was more than excited that you were back, not because you’ve been gone for a couple of weeks, but because he had been planning something special to mark your next anniversary, which takes place just a few days from today. The two of you have been through a lot since you got together, you more than him with how the council acts, but it bothered him more than you, funnily enough. Especially when they tried to convince him that conceiving a future heir was more important than love and happiness.

          Which got him thinking…

          -----

          Part 2: TBD

[innuendostudios]

Here’s How to Radicalize a Normie, a video essay on how the Alt-Right and their fellow travelers recruit. Clocking in at 41 minutes, 6756 words, 633 individual drawings, and 27 sources (including three full books), it is by far the longest and most heavily-researched video in The Alt-Right Playbook. I am very tired.

It took so long to put this behemoth together that my Patreon started to dip. So, maybe a little more than usual, if you want to keep seeing videos like these, please consider backing me on Patreon.

Transcript below the cut.

Say, for the sake of argument, your friend Gabe is starting to worry you.

Gabe’s always been just, you know, a regular guy. Not very political. He likes video games, sci-fi, comics, Star Wars, and anime. White guy shit. The only offbeat thing about him is you suspect there’s like a 20% chance he’s a furry. For all intents and purposes, Gabe is a normie.

But recently Gabe’s been spending a lot of time on some radically conservative forums, and listening to radically conservative podcasts, and picking some radically conservative arguments with you and your friends. You never would have expected this, not from Gabe, and, given the speed it’s happened, it’s worrying to think where it might be headed.

How have the Alt-Right gotten their hooks into your friend?

If you’ve ever known a Gabe, this video is for you. Here’s How to Radicalize a Normie.

Step 1: Identify the Audience

What you need to know before we begin is: around 2013, the Nazis went online.

Hate groups in the US, as tracked by the Southern Poverty Law Center, had been growing in number since the noughts, but, between 2012 and 2014, they dropped by almost a quarter. Patriot groups dropped by over a third. However, hate crimes stayed about the same. Radical conservatism was not shrinking, but decentralizing. Still radical, still often violent, but now full of white nationalist nomads unlikely to join a formal organization.

This didn’t make them harmless. What it did was protect their asses from the typical hate group cycle: getting the public’s attention, making allies in conservative media, swelling their numbers, and then eventually disgracing themselves with failures, infighting, and, often enough, members committing horrific acts of violence, which come with social and sometimes legal consequences for all the other members.

So the Alt-Right and their fellow travelers these days don’t so much have members. They have hashtags, followers, viewers, and subscribers. This insulates them from their own audience. If Gabe, as a member of that audience, were to go out and commit a crime on their behalf, there’d be little doubt they had a hand in radicalizing him, but it’d be very hard to claim they told him to do it. On some of these sites, where Gabe spends hours and hours of his day, he’s never created an account or left a comment; the people radicalizing him don’t even know he’s there.

This distributed nature is what makes the Alt-Right, and the movements connected to it, unique. (You may remember a notable proof-of-concept for this strategy.) Doing almost everything online has, as compared with traditional hate movements, dramatically increased their reach and inoculated them from consequence. The trade-off, as we will see, is a lack of control.

And so we come to Gabe.

Gabe exists at the intersection of the kinds of people the Alt-Right is looking for - straight white cis men who feel emasculated by modern society, primarily, though they do make exceptions - and the kinds of people who are vulnerable to recruitment. Gabe fits the first profile in that he got bullied in high school, and often feels he has to hide his nerdy side for fear of getting ridiculed. The Alt-Right also has success with men who can’t get laid or recently got divorced or feel anxious about an influx of non-white people in their community. These things can make one feel like less than the confident white man they’re “supposed” to be. And it’s the closest they will ever come to being minoritized.

Regarding the second profile, it’s important to know that Gabe is not categorically different from you or me. He’s a cishet white dude - his problems are not unique. There isn’t a ton of research into the demography of the Alt-Right, but there may be a higher-than-average chance Gabe has a history of being abused or comes from a broken home. You don’t know if it’s true of Gabe, he’s never said. But most abuse survivors don’t become Nazis. The things that make people like Gabe recruitable tend to be situational: it happens often during periods of transition, as dramatic as the death of a loved or as benign as moving to a new city. Things that make people ask big life questions. Gabe has concerns like economic precarity, not knowing his place in a changing world, stressful working conditions. In other words, Gabe is suffering under late capitalism, same as everyone, and it’s entirely plausible he could have gone down the path to becoming a Leftist.

This is not to make an “economic anxiety” argument: the animating force of the Far Right is and always has been bigotry. But the Alt-Right targets Gabe by treating his “economic anxiety” as one of many things bigotry can be sold as a solution to. It is their aim that, when dissatisfied white men go looking for answers, they find the Alt-Right before they find us.

Step Two: Establish a Community

Were Gabe pledging an old-school hate movement, there would probably be a recruiter to usher him into an existing community. But that’s the kind of formalized interaction modern extremists try to avoid. Online extremism has many points of entry, and everybody’s journey is unique, so rather than be comprehensive we will focus on what are, in my estimation, the two most common pathways: the Far Right creates a community Gabe is likely to stumble into, or infiltrates a community Gabe is already in.

The stumble-upon method has two main branches, one of which is just “Gabe ends up on a chan board,” which we’ve already done a video about. The other is kind of the polar opposite of 4chan’s cult of anonymity: Gabe ends up in the fandom of a Far Right thought leader.

These folks are charismatic media personalities (that’s charismatic according to Gabe’s tastes, not ours; I don’t understand it, either). These personalities may gain traction on any number of platforms, from podcasts to reportage to blogging, though the most effective platform for redpilling is, and yes I am biting the hand that feeds me, YouTube. They may get Gabe’s attention through fairly standard means, like talking about or even generating controversy to get themselves trending, while some of the more committed will employ dubious SEO tactics like clickbait, google bombing, and data voids (just pause for definitions, we don’t have time).

What they tend to have in common, especially the most accessible ones, is that they don’t present themselves as entry points to the radical Right. In fact, many did not set out to be Far Right thought leaders, and may not think of themselves as such (though they are often selling products, of which the Alt-Right are among their biggest purchasers, and it’s not like they’re turning the money away). How they present is the same way anyone presents who wants to be successful on social media: accessible, approachable, authentic. The face-to-face relationship a budding extremist forms with their recruiter or the leader of their hate group’s local chapter are here folded into one parasocial relationship with a complete stranger.

Why this person appeals to Gabe is they’re not selling politics as politics, but conservatism as a kind of lifestyle brand. They rely heavily on criticizing or ridiculing the Left: feminists are oversensitive, Black people unintelligent, queer folks doomed to loneliness, and trans people insane; I dunno if it’s a coincidence that these are all things Gabe thinks about himself in his low moments. By contrast, they don’t sell conservatism as having sounder policies or a more coherent moral framework, but that abandoning progressive principles and embracing conservative ones will make Gabe happier. Remember, Gabe isn’t looking for white nationalism or misogyny, what he wants is the cure to soul-sickness, and these friendly micro-celebs are here to offer a shot of life advice with politics as the chaser. It is extremely important that politics be presented as a set of affects, not a set of beliefs.

The second pathway is infiltration, which is its own beast. Media personalities sometimes become gateways to the Right almost by accident: they do something edgy, a part of their audience reacts positively, and, facing no real consequence, they do it more; this leads to further positive reinforcement from conservative fans, the rest of the audience acclimates, and the cycle repeats, the personality pushing the envelope further and further based on what flies with their increasingly conservative audience. In this way, they become a right-wing figure by both radicalizing and being radicalized by their audience.

Infiltration is deliberate.

The Far Right will reliably target any community that has 1) a large, white, male population, 2) whose niche interests allow them to feel vaguely marginalized, and 3) who are not used to progressive critique of said interests. This isn’t to say progressive critique doesn’t exist, or hasn’t been baked into the property from the beginning, but that it has been, so far, easy for white guys to ignore. As such, progressives within that community probably don’t talk politics much, and women and minorities are perfectly welcome to post, same as anyone, but just, you know, don’t, don’t make identity politics, you know, like, a thing.

Given Gabe’s proclivities, he’s probably already in a number of fan communities where he can geek out and not get teased. And this is where the Far Right will go looking for him

Communities are at their most vulnerable to infiltration at times of political discord. This can happen naturally - say, a new property in the fandom has a Black protagonist - or it can be provoked - say, a bunch of channers join the forum and say provocative things about race to get people arguing - or both. Left to its own devices, the community might sort out its differences and maybe even come out more progressive than they started. But, with the right pressure applied in the right moment, these communities can devolve into arguments about the need to remove a nebulously-defined “politics” from the conversation.

The adage about bros on the internet is “‘political’ means anything I disagree with,” but it’d be more accurate to say, here, “‘political’ means anything on which the community disagrees.” For instance, “Nazis are bad” is an apolitical statement because everyone in the community agrees. It’s common sense, and therefore neutral. But, paradoxically, “Nazis are good” is also apolitical; because “Nazis are bad” is the consensus, “Nazis are good” must be just an edgy joke, and, even if not, the community already believes the opposite, so the statement is harmless. Tolerable. However, “feminism is good” is a political statement, because the community hasn’t reached consensus. It is debatable, and therefore political, and you should stop talking about it. And making political arguments, no matter how rational, is having an agenda, and having an agenda is ruining the community.

(Now, it is curious how the things that provoke the most disagreement tend to be whichever ones make white dudes uncomfortable. One of life’s great, unanswerable mysteries.)

You can gather where this is going: a community that doesn’t tolerate progressivism but does tolerate Nazism is going to start collecting Nazis, Nazis whose goal is to drive a wedge between the community and the Left. Once the Left acknowledges, “Hey, your community’s developing a Nazi problem,” the Nazis - who are, remember, trusted, apolitical members of the community who might just be kidding about all the Nazi shit - say, “Did you hear that, guys?! Those cultural Marxists just called all of us Nazis!” Wedge. Similarly, any community members who say, “but Nazis though” are framed as infiltrators pushing an agenda, even if they’ve been there longer than the Nazis have. They get the wedge, too.

This is how fandoms radicalize. They are built as - yeah, I’ll say it - safe spaces for nerds, weebs, and furries, and are told that the Left is a threat to their safety. Given a choice between leaving a community that has mattered to him for years and simply adjusting to the community’s shifting politics, the assumption is that Gabe will stay. This assumption is right often enough that a lot of fandoms have been colonized.

What is true of both of these methods - Gabe finding the Right or the Right finding him - is that Gabe does not come nor stay for the ideology. He’s here for the community, the sense of belonging, of being with his people, of having his fears validated and his enjoyment shared. The ideology is simply the price of admission.

Step Three: Isolate

There is a vast, interconnected network of Far Right communities out there, and Gabe is, at this point, only on the periphery. In order to keep him in, they need to disrupt his relationships to other communities, and become, more and more, his primary online social space. Having made this space hostile to the Left, they now seek to break his connections to progressives elsewhere in his life.

This is hard to do online. The whole appeal of moving radicalism to the internet is that your away-from-keyboard life doesn’t have to change. You are crypto the moment you log off. Some thought leaders will encourage their audience to cut ties with Family of Origin, or “deFOO,” but, even then, they can’t monitor whether the audience has actually done it the way an in-person movement could. And so alienating Gabe from the Left is less controlled, and, consequently, may be less total. How much Gabe isolates is up to him.

But the vast majority of Far Right media presumes an alienation from the Left. Part of conservative bloggers and YouTubers making the Left look pathetic is doing a lot take-downs and responses. This is a constant repetition of the Left’s arguments for the purpose of mockery, and, for Gabe, it starts to replace any engagement with progressive media directly. He soon knows the Left only through caricature. It also trains him, if he does directly engage, to approach the Left with the same combative stance as his role models. (For reference, see my comment section.) And this is only if he doesn’t partake in one of the many active boycotts of “SJW media.”

In addition to mocking the Left’s arguments, they also, curiously, appropriate them. This is one part sanitization: liberal centrism is more socially acceptable; indeed, many figures on the outer layers think of themselves as moderates, even as they serve as gateways to radicalism. But, also, many of Gabe’s problems could be addressed by progressive leftism, so they sell him racist, sexist versions of it. Yes, there is a problem with workers being underpaid and overextended, but the solution isn’t unions, it’s deporting immigrants; yes, there is a chronic loneliness and anger to being a man in the modern age, but it’s not because of the toxic masculine expectations placed on you by the patriarchy, it’s women being slutty; yes, wealth disparity does mean a tiny percentage of elites have more influence over culture and politics than the rest of us combined, but the problem isn’t capitalism, it’s the Jews. And it’s hard for Gabe to reject these ideas without, in the process, rejecting the progressive ideas they’re copied from; the Right’s “take the red pill” is, to the untrained eye, similar to the Left’s “get woke.” (Or, at least, the bowdlerized version of “get woke” that is no longer specifically about race which came to fashion when white people started saying it, grumble grumble.)

Take the red pill or reject them both; either is a step to the right.

As this rhetoric slips into his day-to-day conversation, even as seemingly harmless “irreverence,” it may strain relationships with people who are not entertained by this shit. Off-color comments about race and gender can certainly be wearying for female and non-white friends, which can lead to a passive distance or an eventual confrontation [“why is everyone but me so sensitive?!”], which only seem to confirm what his reactionary community says about liberal snowflakes. If he says these things on social media, he may get his account suspended, and, if he comes back under an alt, you can bet his new reactionary friends will be the first to reconnect, applaud the behavior that got him banned, and repeat should he get banned again. A few cycles of this and he’s lost touch with everyone else.

Also, his adoption of the insular, meme-laden terminology of this community makes him less and less comprehensible to outsiders.

Over time, sources of information get replaced with community-approved ones: conservative news, conservative YouTube, conservative Wikipedia if he’s really committed. The Algorithm soon takes note and stops recommending media from the Left. He stops watching shows with a “liberal agenda,” which usually means shows starring women and people of color. Now, there is evidence that the human mind responds to fictional characters similarly to real people, and that consuming diverse media can decrease bigotry in ways roughly analogous to having a diverse group of friends, which is one of many reasons we say representation matters. By consuming a homogenous media diet, Gabe stymies his ability to have even parasocial relationships with anyone who isn’t a cishet conservative white dude or one of their approved exceptions.

To the extent that any of this happens, it happens at Gabe’s discretion and at his own chosen pace. It has not been forced on him, only encouraged and rewarded. But the fact that it hasn’t been forced can make him all the more willing to accept it, because it seems safe to consider; even though his life and social circle are changing to accommodate, he does not feel committed. But many Gabes have walked these halls, and, if they close the door behind them, there’s nowhere left to go but down.

Step Four: Raise their Power Level

(...and they say we ruined anime.)

Consider the ecosystem of the Alt-Right as layers of an onion, with Gabe sitting at the edge and ready to traverse towards the center. (No, I’m not just going to reiterate the PewDiePipeline, though, if you haven’t seen it, go do that.)

The outer layer of the onion is extremism at its most plausibly deniable. Without careful scrutiny, the public-facing figureheads could pass as dispassionate, and the websites as merely problematic rather than softly fascist. It is valuable if Gabe believes this as well; that, at this stage, he believe the bigotry is simply trolling, the extremists an insignificant minority, and any report of harassment faked. That he believe where he is is as deep as the rabbit hole goes. And that he continue to believe this at each successive layer.

People in the deepest crevices of the Alt-Right self-report getting redpilled on multiple issues at different times in their journey to the center of the onion. If Gabe’s first red pill is about the SJWs coming for his free speech, he’ll think that’s all anyone in his community believes; there’s no racism here, people are just making a point about their right to use slurs. Then, when he gets redpilled on the white genocide, he’ll laugh at those Alt-Lite cucks who tried to sweep the race realists under the rug, and at himself for having once been one, but acknowledge that those channels and websites are still useful for onboarding people, so he won’t denounce them. At the same time, nobody takes those manosphere betas seriously.

And this process is reiterated with every pill swallowed: gender essentialism, autogynephilia, birtherism, Sandy Hook truth, pizzagate, QAnon if he’s really out there. The heart of the onion is typically the Jewish Question, but these can happen in any order, and in any number. But each layer sells itself as being, finally, the ultimate truth. Each denies the validity of the others; the layers ahead don’t exist, they’re made up my liberals, while the people behind are asleep where you are now awake. That’s why they chose “the red pill” as their metaphor: take it, and everything will be revealed. That’s why it cozies up with conspiracism. But what’s supposed to follow is that this knowledge help Gabe in some way, and it doesn’t. Blaming immigrants doesn’t actually fix the economy, and hating women doesn’t make men less lonely. But, having been alienated from everything outside the onion, once that sinks in, the only recourse on offer is to seek out the next pill.

And pills are easy to find. Those within the network have laissez-faire relationships, even as they, on paper, disavow one another. When they need a source or a guest host, they aren’t going to go to the Left; they’re going to feature each other. The Left is the enemy; their ideas are beneath consideration, and the only reason to engage them is for public humiliation. [Shapiro’s book.] But you can interview “western chauvinists” and that doesn’t mean you’re endorsing them, just, you know, it’s fine to hear ‘em out, nothing should be off-limits in the marketplace of ideas. Besides, Nazis are apolitical.

And because these folks keep showing up in each others’ metadata, regardless of what they say, Google thinks there is definitely a relationship between the guy “just asking questions” and the guy denying the Holocaust. Gabe is softly exposed to many flavors of conservatism just slightly more radical than he is now, and is expected, at the very least, to not question their presence. This is an environment where deradicalizing - listening to the Left - would be sleeping with the enemy, but radicalizing further? You do you, buddy.

Gabe’s emotional journey, however, is somewhat more complex. If you’ve spent any time reading or watching reactionary media you’ve probably noticed it’s really. fucking. repetitive. It’s a few thousand phrasings of the same handful of arguments. Like, there’s only so many jokes about attack helicopters! But these people just crank out content, and most of it’s derivative; the reason to pick one personality over another isn’t because they say something different, but because they say it differently. Gabe just picks the affect it’s delivered in.

Repetition dulls the shock of the most egregious statements, making them appear normal and prepping him for more extreme ideas. Meanwhile, the arguments themselves? They’re not good. (BreadTube will never run out of shit to debunk.) They are repetitive because they’re not good. They’re mantric. A good argument you only need to hear one time; if you can follow it, internalize it, and explain it to someone else, you know you’ve understood it. But a bad argument can’t convince you on its own merits, so it will often rely on affect. This can be the snappy, thought-terminating cliche, or the long, winding diatribe that sounds really sensible while you’re hearing it but when someone asks you for the gist you can only say “go watch these 17 videos and it’ll all make sense.” Both these approaches are largely devoid of content, but, gosh, if they don’t sound sure of themselves.

And that mode can be very persuasive, but it doesn’t stick the way a coherent argument does. It needs to be repeated, the affect replenished, because the words matter less than the delivery. There needs to be a steady stream of confident voices saying “we’ve got this figured out and everyone else is stupid” or Gabe’s gonna notice the flaws. They are not well-hidden.

And the catch-22 of returning to that stream over and over is that these communities are stressful even as they are calming. People afraid they will die virgins go to forums with people who share and validate that fear, and also say, “Yes, you will die a virgin.” People afraid Syrians are coming to kill us all watch videos by people who share and validate that fear, and also say, “Yes, Syrians are coming to kill us all.” Others have already pointed out that rubbing your face in your worst anxieties is a form of digital self-harm, but I need to you understand the toxic recursion of it: Gabe is going to these communities to get upset. Every emotion is converted into anger, because sadness, fear, and despair are paralyzing but anger is motivating; Gabe feels less helpless when he’s pissed off. And so, while he’s topping up on reassuring nonsense, he’s also topping up on stress. And, being cut off from everything outside the network, the only place he knows to go to release that stress is back to the place that gives it to him. It’s a feedback loop, pulling him deeper and deeper on the promise that, at some point, relief will come.

It is a similar dynamic that keeps people in abusive relationships.

When someone in Gabe’s community makes a racist joke, they are presenting Gabe with a choice between the human interaction of laughing with his friends and his societal responsibility not to be a fuckin’ racist. And not laughing seems ridiculous; everybody’s friends here; no one’s getting hurt; this is harmless. And so the irreverent race joke draws a line between the personal and the political, and suggests that one can be safely prioritized over the other. One way to look at radicalization is being asked to stick with that seemingly innocuous decision as the stakes are raised incrementally: first with edgier humor, and then comments that are funny because they’re shocking but you couldn’t really call them jokes, and then “funny” comments that are also sincerely angry, but, in each instance, since he laughed with his bros last time, it stands to reason he should keep favoring the personal over some abstracted notion of “politics.”

This is why the progressive adage “the personal is political” is among the most threatening things you can say in these spaces.

I’m not trying to make a slippery slope argument. Most of us who laughed at edgy jokes when we were teenagers didn’t grow up to be Nazis. It is a slippery slope in the specific context of being in community with people trying to radicalize you. Gabe is a lonely white boy in need of friends, and laughing at a racist joke is personal, while not laughing is political. Staying in a community that has Nazis in it is personal, and leaving is political. The personal is what brings people together and the political drives them apart. (The “only if some of them are bigots” part of that sentence is usually lopped off). There’s this joke on the internet that nerds perceive only two races: white and political. Following that logic, what could be more apolitical than an ethnostate?

They are banking on his willingness to adapt his beliefs to suit an environment that meets a need. That same need can be satisfied by white nationalism. There are few things more seductive to people who doubt their own worth than being told you are valuable simply for being white. And you can sub in male, cis, straight, allosexual, or able-bodied. It just takes priming: by the time Gabe officially embraces bigotry, he’s already been acting like a bigot for months. The red pill is simply the moment he says it out loud.

Change Gabe’s surroundings, and you change Gabe.

Step Five: ???

The final step in a traditional extremist group would be getting a mission. But that is one thing the Alt-Right can’t do. Once you start giving clear directives, you can’t play yourselves off as a bunch of unaffiliated hashtags and think tanks; you are now a formalized movement accountable to its followers, and can be judged and policed as such.

To my mind, Charlottesville was an attempt to become such a movement, taking things offline and getting all the different groups working collectively. And, as so often happens when these people get in the same space - especially with no official leaders or means of control over their members - it backfired. Their true colors came out before they were ready and a counter-protester lost her life.

This would be the point where, historically, an extremist group starts to disintegrate. Their veneer of respectability gone, they’re now hated by the public, the media wants nothing more to do with them, and everyone not in jail turns on each other or goes underground. This is also the point where the liberal establishment says, “My job here is done,” and utterly fails to retake control of the narrative, allowing the next batch of radicals to pick up more or less where the last one left off.

But to an already-decentralized group like the Alt-Right, Charlottesville was bad but eminently survivable. People retreated back to the internet, with its code words and anonymous forums, but that’s where much of the work was already done anyway. The platforms where they organized kept tolerating them, the authorities still didn’t classify them as terrorists, and any disgraced figureheads were replaced with up-and-comers.

The major change in strategy is that it doesn’t seem anyone has tried to formalize the Alt-Right since.

So where does that leave Gabe? He’s gone through this whole process of largely hands-off indoctrination - and I should stress his journey may look like what we’ve outlined or it may look different in places, this video is not comprehensive - but now he’s swallowed every pill he cares to, he blames half a dozen minorities for everything he sees as wrong with the world, and no one will give him anything to do. You’ve got this ad hoc movement frothing young men into a militant fervor and then just leaving them to stew in their own hate. Should we really be surprised at how many commit mass shootings?

This is a machine for producing lone wolves.

Leaving men to take up arms of their own volition is a way of enacting terror while being just outside the popular conception of a terror cell. There are also, of course, more classic militias that will offer Gabe clear directives - they’re recruiting from the same pool. And Gabe may stop short of this step, settling in a middle layer that suits him or finding the inner layers too extreme. But violence is the logical conclusion of an ideology of hate, and, should Gabe take this step, he can approach violence in the same incremental fashion he approached conservatism.

He can start with yelling at people on Twitter, and then maybe collective brigading, DDoS attacks, sharing dox, leaking nudes, calling their phone numbers, texting them pictures of their houses from the sidewalk. These acts of cruelty become games of oneupmanship within his community. All this can start as far back as Step 2, and get more intense the deeper he goes. Some people join explicitly partake in harassment and violence the way Gabe joined to talk about anime.

But this behavior can serve as a kind of buy-in. The Left and the feminists and the LGBTQs and the Muslims and the immigrants are all, within his community, subhuman. You’ve maybe heard the conservative catchphrase “feminism is cancer”; well don’t treat cancer by having a respectful exchange of ideas with it, but by eradicating it down to the last cell. Cruelty against the Left is framed as righteous.

From any other perspective, posting someone’s bank information is something you might feel ashamed of. Which creates a psychological imperative not to consider other perspectives. A thing that keeps people in is staving off the guilt they will reckon with the moment they step out. Gabe is also aware that anything he’s done to the Left could be done to him if he leaves; some communities even keep dox on their members as insurance. And the things he’s been encouraged to do to the Left will likely make him feel that the Left would never take him now; the radical Right is the only home he’s got. Harassment becomes another tool of isolation.

Steadily, options for Gabe are whittled down to being a vigilante or a nihilist. There are periods of elation: moments the Alt-Right feels it’s winning - or, more accurately, the people they hate are losing - are like cocaine. They are authoritarians, after all. But the times in between are mean and angry. They are antisocial, starved of emotional connection, consuming incompatible conspiracies that may at any point run them afoul of one another, devoted to figureheads who cater to but cannot risk leading them, and living under constant threat of being outed to the Left or turned on by the Right for stepping out of line. Gabe took this journey for the sense of community and purpose, and, but for the rare moments everything goes their way, the Alt-Right can’t maintain either. They can only keep promising his day will come, a story he could get from a $5 palm reading.

The feeling there’s nothing left but to kill yourself or someone else is so common it’s a meme.

But there is always a third option: Gabe can leave.

Pre-Conclusion: For Fuck’s Sake Do Not Make Gabe Your Whole-Ass Praxis

Before we continue, I want to state plainly that Gabe went off the deep end because he found a community willing to tell him that, because he is a cishet white man, the world revolves around him. Do not treat him like this is true.

If a fraction of the energy spent having debates with America’s Gabes were spent instead on voter re-enfranchisement, prisoner’s rights, protections for immigrants, statehood for DC and Puerto Rico, and redistricting, Gabe’s opinions, in the societal sense, wouldn’t matter. Reactionary conservatism is a small and largely unpopular ideology that is only so represented in our culture and politics because they’ve learned how to game the system.

And I get it. Those are huge problems that are going to take years to address, where, if you know a Gabe, that’s a conversation you could have today. And, if you think you can get through to him, it is worthwhile to try. This is a fight on many fronts and deradicalization is one of them. But it is only one, so please keep it in perspective. It sends an awful message when we spend more time trying to get bigots back on our side than we do the people they are bigoted against.

Your value as a lefty does not hinge on whether you can change Gabe’s mind.

Conclusion: How Gabe Gets Out

He may just grow out of it. These communities skew young, and some folks hit a point where hanging with edgy teens doesn’t feel cool anymore.

He may become disillusioned after the movement fails to deliver on its promises.

He may become disillusioned if something goes wrong in his life and his community isn’t there for him, if he feels they like his race and his gender but don’t actually care about him.

He may be shocked if he sees the Alt-Right at its worst before being appropriately conditioned. Charlottesville was a step too far for a lot of people.

His community may turn on him for any perceived unorthodoxy, and he may leave out of necessity.

He may be separated by circumstance from the community - a trip with no internet, hospitalization, arrest - and not be able to top up on the rhetoric. This may lead him to question his beliefs.

His community may disappear, either tearing itself apart or getting shut down by authorities.

He may have incidental contact with populations he’s supposed to hate, and have trouble reconciling who they are in person with what he’s been told about them. In his community, people bond over shared intolerance, but, suddenly, being tolerant helps him make friends. (This is one reason the Alt-Right has made a battleground of the college campus.)

He may form or revisit relationships outside the network, people who can offer him the connection he’s been looking for. This may reintroduce outside perspectives. More importantly, it rekindles his ability to have healthy relationships at all, something the Alt-Right has estranged him from.

As with recruiters, it seems these “escape hatch” relationships can sometimes be parasocial; coming to respect a public figure who is on the Left, or is critical of the Alt-Right.

Someone he is close to may compel him to choose, “me or the movement.” A lot of young men leave to save a romantic relationship.

Hearing stories from people who’ve already jumped may help; there aren’t a lot of public formers, and some raise suspicions as to their sincerity, but it is getting more common, and may be the closest we get to exit counseling for the Alt-Right.

He may become aware of the ways he’s being manipulated, or have them revealed to him, maybe because he stumbled into BreadTube, I dunno. Knowledge that you are being indoctrinated is no guarantee it won’t work - you are not immune to propaganda - but it can help one resist.

And he may revisit a core belief system that used to guide him, be it religion or social justice or a really wholesome fandom, and be reminded of the identity he used to have.

Moments like these, in isolation or in aggregate, can inspire Gabe to jump. They are also good times for friends to intervene. The reach and the impunity that comes with the internet means it has never been easier to fall into reactionary extremism. It has also never been easier to get out. People who exit skinhead gangs often fear for their lives; for Gabe, there’s a chance getting out is as simple as going to a different website. Much of his community does not know his name or his face and he may not important enough to dox.

What doesn’t get Gabe out - not reliably, not that I have seen - is an argument with a stranger who proves all his facts wrong and his ideology bunk. Facts don’t always work because facts don’t care about his feelings. This was about staying in a community, and holding onto an identity, that mattered to him. It was about belonging, and that is something a rando from the other side of the culture war can’t give him and probably shouldn’t be responsible for.

The theme here is human connection. Before he can do the work of disentangling himself, and facing the guilt of what he’s believed and maybe done, he has to know there’s somewhere for him on the other end of it. That the Right hasn’t ruined him. They’ve told him all of history is groups fighting each other over status, and, without his clan, he’ll be an exile. He needs a better story.

I don’t know that lefty spaces are ideal for this, in no small part because bringing someone who’s a bit of a Nazi but working on it into diverse communities is… questionable. And it probably wouldn’t be good for him, either; having just gotten out of a toxic belief system, he’s going to be deeply skeptical of all ideologies. In a perfect world, people who care about Gabe could build for him - to use a therapy term - a holding space. Someplace private - physical or digital - where Gabe can work out his feelings, where he is both encouraged and expected to be better but is not, in the moment, judged. That comes later. It is delicate and time-consuming work that should not be done in public, but we find these beliefs, built up over the course of months or years, tend to fall away very quickly with a shift of environment. Change Gabe’s surroundings and you change Gabe.

But, instead, a lot of people who jump are functionally deprogramming themselves, which is working for a lot of them, but it’s haphazard, and there are recidivists.

If you don’t personally know a Gabe, or have training as a counselor, you may not be in a position to help him. Possibly there are things you can do to disrupt the recruitment process or prevent infiltration of spaces you’re in - I’m looking into it, but talk to your mods - but, elephant in the room: meaningful change will require reform on the part of platform holders. Tools to disrupt this process already exist and are being used on groups like ISIS, but they’re not being used on the Alt-Right because they try oh so very hard not to get classified as terrorists (and also any functioning anti-radicalization policy would require banning a lot of conservative politicians, so there’s that...).

But what makes our story better than theirs is that the fight for social and economic justice, though it is long, and difficult, and frustrating, when it works, it fulfills the promise the Right can’t keep: it materially make people’s lives better. I am not prone to sentimentality, or to giving these videos happy endings. But one thing we have that the Alt-Right doesn’t is hope.

[trading-appz]

With more and more retail investors entering the market, the world of trading is broadening by the minute, and so are the trading strategies employed by the market participants. But which online trading strategies truly worked in 2022 when the markets were exceptionally volatile? We elaborate below.

What is a Trading Strategy?

A trading strategy is simply the technique that is utilised by a trader to make a quick profit. To elaborate, based on their risk appetite, return profiles, and research, traders must finalise a set of rules which will determine all their investment decisions. However, these techniques can be altered and improved as time passes and the return objectives are revised.

Below, we touch upon some of the most popular online trading strategies of 2022 that actually worked for traders.

Bollinger Bands 

Bollinger bands feature among some of the most popular technical analysis tools. A Bollinger band involves three trend lines based on a simple moving average of a share’s price, which can be tailored to the trader’s preferences. This moving average line is plotted along with a positive and negative standard deviation trendline to create price signals. 

Typically, a Bollinger band is made up of a 20-day simple moving average, with the upper and lower bands representing +/- 2 standard deviations from this 20-day moving average. A buy signal is generated when the share price falls below the lower band. Likewise, a sell signal is created when the share price moves above the upper band.

Moving Average Envelopes

Another popular online trading strategy in 2022 is the moving average envelope. Here, an envelope is created by adding an upper and a lower line to a particular moving average. Generally, traders prefer a 15-day moving average and add a +/- 3% envelope to this line. This greatly limits all whipsaw trades, which is especially important when markets are choppy. The reasoning behind envelopes is to identify market trend changes.

Similar to Bollinger bands, a buy signal is created when the closing price falls below the lower envelope, while a sell signal is sent out when the closing price moves beyond the upper envelope.

However, some have modified this strategy further by swapping closing prices for ‘typical prices.’ A typical price is the average of the closing price, high price, and low price. Additionally, instead of a fixed % change, the width of an envelope is set to the daily range of a 10-day moving average.

Williams Percent Range

Williams Percent Range, shortened to Williams %R, is a momentum indicator used for determining overbought and oversold levels when trading online. Its values oscillate between 0 and -100. Williams %R is very similar to a stochastic indicator.

This indicator compares a share’s closing price to its high-low range over a certain period; a 14-day period is commonly used. A reading above -20 indicates the market is overbought, and a reading below -80 indicates oversold levels. Thus, Williams %R is indicative of market entry and exit levels.

Conclusion

While there is no dearth of online trading strategies, investors must carefully evaluate and compare them to ensure they are aligned with their risk-return profile. Remember, the secret to making profits off of trading lies in having a trading strategy that works for you and sticking to it. Choose wisely!

Are you interested in trading online? Download Angel One’s app today and open a free Demat account and a trading account and get going!

[ezyforextrading]

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[sycriptouk]

A Beginner's Guide to Daytrading and TA!

There is often quite a lot of negativity on the concept of technical analysis (TA) and daytrading. However, there is a reason why there are professional traders whose jobs is to look at charts. This post aims to give a summary of basic concepts to new traders who would like to explore this field of cryptocurrencies.

Here we go!

What the hell is technical analysis (TA)?

its definition is as follows: " Technical analysis is the study of statistical trends, collected from historical price and volume data, to identify opportunities for trade. Technical analysts observe patterns of price movements, trading signal and other analytical tools to evaluate the strength and weakness of an asset. "

But why would it work?

A chart of prices and volume represents all the past decisions taken by market participants (buying and selling). This information will, in turn, affect future participant decisions in two ways:

Psychological: What you did in the past affects how you approach future situations. For example, many traders tend to focus on the price at which they bought an asset, and if it declines, they want to sell when it reaches break-even again.

Reflexive: Some traders identify trends and chart patterns which are common, and act accordingly (buying or selling). If a sufficient number of participants follow the same strategy, it is expected that these chart patterns will follow the expected outcome and that the trend will likely to be sustained by more and more participants joining the trend.

Chart-analysis basics

Trends

The following figure shows the 3 (main) possible scenarios:

Bullish / Crab / Bearish

Uptrend: In an uptrend, the asset is going up making, higher highs and higher lows. Also known as bullish.

Downtrend: In a downtrend, the asset is going down making, lower highs and lower lows. Also known as bearish.

Sideways trend: In a sideways trend the asset trades in a horizontal channel, also known as a crab cycle.

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Resistance and support

The price basically never goes linearly up or down. It will face resistance or support:

‍Resistance: A level where an uptrend can be expected to pause or rebound that indicates a concentration of sellers.‍

Support: A level where a downtrend can be expected to pause or rebound due to a concentration of buyers.

The following figure shows these terms:

Resistance and support zones

Importantly: When the resistance level is broken it usually becomes a support level and vice versa.

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Chart-analysis advanced techniques

OHLC (Open-High-Low-Close) Charts:

These charts display bars that are known as ‘candlesticks’. A candlestick's shape varies based on the relationship between the day's high, low, opening and closing prices.

Bullish candle (green): The close is above the opening.‍‍

‍Bearish candle (red): The close is below the opening.

The following figure shows an example:

OHLC Charts (left: bullish candle. right: bearish candle)

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Bollinger bands:

Bollinger Bands display a graphical band (the envelope) with a simple moving average in the middle. The width of the envelope expresses the volatility. A higher volatility means that the asset can potentially fluctuate rapidly within a larger range of value.

The following figure shows these bollinger bands:

Bollinger bands. Upper, middle and lower bands

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MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (or MACD) is a trend following indicator that looks at the combination of two moving averages:

A short-term moving average

A long-term moving average

These two moving averages are combined to identify what is the current trend and if there is a change in the momentum.

The MACD lines displayed below can be interpreted as follows:

If the blue line (MACD line) is above the orange line (Signal line), the momentum is bullish.

On the contrary, if the blue line is below the orange line, the momentum is bearish.

When the lines diverge, it denotes a strengthening of the current trend while a convergence shows a trend reversal.

When the lines cross, it is likely that the change in momentum is confirmed.

The following figure shows an example:

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Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) example

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That's it for today.. there are countless other trading strategies and techniques but the post would be too long..

I hope that this teaches new traders some of the basics of technical analysis and daytrading!

(Credit to SwissBorg Educational Blog)

Have an amazing day and see you on the charts!

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The Hidden Playbook: How to Use Donchian Channels to Crack the Euro British Pound Code The Forex market is a lot like a reality TV show—full of drama, unexpected twists, and traders making moves they’ll regret by the next episode. And if you’ve ever tried to trade the Euro British Pound (EUR/GBP) without a solid strategy, you probably know the feeling of a trade tanking faster than a contestant getting voted off the island. But what if I told you that a 1950s trading tool could give you a serious edge in today’s fast-moving market? Enter Donchian Channels—the underrated, battle-tested indicator that can help you decode market trends, sidestep common pitfalls, and ride trends like a pro. Let’s dive into the secret sauce of Donchian Channels and how you can use them to dominate the EUR/GBP market. What Are Donchian Channels (And Why Should You Care?) Before we get into ninja tactics, let’s start with the basics. Donchian Channels were developed by Richard Donchian, a trader known as the ‘Father of Trend Following.’ (Yes, he was making profitable moves before most of us were even born.) The Donchian Channel consists of three lines: - Upper Band: The highest high over X periods. - Lower Band: The lowest low over X periods. - Middle Band: The average of the two. It’s essentially a volatility-based envelope that helps traders identify breakouts and trend strength. When price breaks above the upper band, it signals a potential uptrend. A break below the lower band? That’s your cue for a potential downtrend. Now, why should you care? Because EUR/GBP is notorious for its range-bound behavior, and Donchian Channels help filter out the noise and pinpoint real breakout opportunities. Why Most Traders Get It Wrong (And How You Can Avoid It) Most traders misuse Donchian Channels in two ways: - They chase every breakout: Not every price breach is a legitimate trade signal. In choppy markets, this is like falling for every "limited-time" sale—most of them lead to buyer’s remorse. - They ignore the bigger picture: Traders often forget to factor in market structure, fundamentals, and confirmation signals, treating Donchian Channels like a crystal ball instead of a tool. Here’s how to avoid these mistakes: - Use a filter: Combine Donchian Channels with volume analysis or momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) to validate breakouts. - Understand the context: If EUR/GBP has been in a strong range for months, don’t expect a weak breakout to suddenly ignite a new trend. The Secret Donchian Strategy That Smart Traders Use Most traders slap Donchian Channels on their charts and hope for the best. But if you want consistent profits, here’s how to refine your approach: 1. The 20-50 Rule for EUR/GBP Use a 20-period Donchian Channel for entries and a 50-period channel for context. The 20-period channel captures shorter-term breakouts, while the 50-period channel tells you whether the trend is truly strong or just a head fake. Setup: - When the price breaks the 20-period upper band AND the 50-period band is sloping upwards, buy. - When the price breaks the 20-period lower band AND the 50-period band is sloping downwards, sell. 🚀 Why it works: The 50-period band keeps you from falling for fake breakouts by confirming trend strength. 2. ATR Stop Loss (Not Your Average Exit Strategy) Most traders set their stop loss too tight or too wide. Instead, use the Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically adjust your stop loss. How to do it: - Measure the 14-period ATR. - Set your stop loss at 1.5x ATR below your entry price for longs, or above for shorts. 🔑 Pro Tip: ATR helps you avoid getting stopped out prematurely while keeping risk under control. Case Study: How This Strategy Nailed an EUR/GBP Breakout In October 2023, EUR/GBP had been trading in a tight range for weeks. Suddenly, price broke above the 20-period Donchian upper band, while the 50-period channel confirmed the uptrend. Traders using the 20-50 Rule entered long positions at 0.8600. By following the ATR stop loss method, they avoided getting shaken out during a minor pullback. A week later, EUR/GBP hit 0.8750—locking in a solid 150-pip profit. Final Thoughts: Making Donchian Channels Work for You Most traders sleep on Donchian Channels, dismissing them as outdated. But in reality, they offer a timeless edge—especially in a tricky pair like EUR/GBP. ✅ Use the 20-50 Rule to confirm breakouts ✅ Leverage ATR-based stop losses to stay in profitable trades ✅ Avoid chasing every breakout—context matters Want more exclusive insights and high-precision Forex strategies? Join the StarseedFX community for expert analysis, real-time alerts, and elite trading tools: - 📊 Stay ahead with market news & economic indicators: https://www.starseedfx.com/forex-news-today/ - 📚 Master advanced Forex strategies: https://www.starseedfx.com/free-forex-courses - 🛠️ Optimize your trading with our Smart Trading Tool: https://www.starseedfx.com/smart-trading-tool/ —————– Image Credits: Cover image at the top is AI-generated Read the full article

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Mislav Predavec

Mislav Predavec

The way we receive the IQ. "Being smart is not exactly like using this knowledge to create or do something nobody else could do to be more intelligent than everybody else." Intelligence can be measured in various ways like (IQ tests, solving the issue quicker or in various ways). To put it differently, the next list is based on rumours and hearsay, but that is the only means to assess the planet's smartest people. This English genius was able to establish what was believed to be the most complex maths problem on the planet. The Igbo appear to be the greatest IQ Nigerians, however they have some serious character defects. LOL joke. 10. The first on our list to fall from college, and why? As Albert Einstein once noted,"The measure of intellect is the capacity to modify," Indians also have grown and evolved with time, in the process contributing considerably to problems regarding the entire world. This (two-part) query might just be the brightest thing in the Earth, since it lets you lift your mind and look around in a wider world, beyond the bounds of your remarks and preconceptions. Indians are often regarded as one of the most intelligent individuals in the entire world. He's also the owner and manager of a trade firm. 9 decades back. He's among the cleverest people with an unbelievable IQ of 230 points. Just in Eat-aly! 8. Well, GenerIQ Society is a company, an unbelievable company if I might say, for a few of the most clever people on earth. History is peppered with powerful geniuses who changed the entire world. It signifies the capability to send an email. Ashkenazi Jews rank cleverest in world Studies reveal countless Jews from Medieval Germany, throughout Europe have IQ 20 percent greater than international average Nelly Lalany | Released: 07.23.11,... Folks don't have any clue the brand new tech/medical/ inventions that are being explored, etc.. 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Therefore, if you are wondering with the highest IQ in the world, this listing of brainiacs contains the all time cleverest people on the planet, in accordance with their own mind boggling IQs. 9. LEONARDO DA VINCI IQ rating: 180 to 220. 2011-04-06T17:34:00Z The correspondence F. An envelope. Home Gallery Meet the very intelligent people on earth. However, I recently discovered the Singapore Chinese... 2015-02-27T15:50:18Z The correspondence F. An envelope. The 18 Smartest People on the Planet. A picture of a chain connection. I shall try VERY difficult to keep in mind that Italians would be the cleverest people on the planet, the next time somebody in the post office, sends me into the TABACCI store, for example stamps, or that I attempt to have dinner, at a restaurant, that's ironically, CLOSED-----for Lunch! He's the president and founder of this GenerIQ Society, an elite company of several of the very intelligent people on earth. Langan's IQ was projected on ABC's 20/20 to be between 195 and 210, and he's been described by several historians as"the here's a listing of the top 10 most smart people on earth. The very last individuals is a Russian mathematician. Anonymous. I feel like just the most clever people on the planet who spend all day studying and studying understand what is truly happening in the planet and also the direction things are going ahead of the rest of the planet understands. The most clever people on the planet are Ashkenazi Jews. Listed below are the top 10 individuals who possess the greatest IQ across the world. The 40 smartest folks of all time. Grigori Perelman. 1 . On: December 02, 2017 Inside: Gallery. Whites have best of world since will also be the most attractive and desirable blog. With their towering average IQ of 110 (white standards ) and their unbelievable overrepresentation one of billionaires and press, I'd always supposed American Jews would be the cleverest cultural group on Earth. Can there be anybody with the highest IQ in the world? James Woods is a film, tv and stage actor. Since he did not believe his professors were capable to instruct him anything he did not already know. The name of this item reads"Top 10 Most Intelligent People of the planet." However, when one scrolls down to the listing the name has changed to"the brightest MEN of humankind" (emphasis mine). 24 of the smartest people who ever dwelt The smartest people in history are rated. World's smartest cultural group (sorry Jews, maybe not you) 16 Saturday Jul 2016. Meet with the most intelligent people on earth.

Read more about  Mislav Predavec

[starseedfxofficial]

Unveiling the Hidden Forex Alchemy: Mastering Bollinger Bands with the Euro Canadian Dollar Imagine diving into the secret realm of Forex trading armed with nothing but a pair of trusty Bollinger Bands and the enigmatic Euro Canadian Dollar. Yes, you read that right—today, we're exploring a bollinger bands eurocad strategy, a bollinger bands trading technique for euro canadian dollar, and a bollinger bands approach for euro canadian dollar trading that’ll leave conventional traders scratching their heads in disbelief. Whether you’re a seasoned pro or still figuring out why your stop-loss seems to be playing hide-and-seek, this article is your golden ticket to uncovering underground trends, insider tactics, and a few humorous trading mishaps along the way.   The Hidden Formula Only Experts Use It’s no secret that Forex trading is a wild ride—like navigating a labyrinth where every twist hides a potential goldmine (or a trade gone south, much like that time you bought a pair of shoes on a sale only to realize they clashed with everything in your wardrobe). Bollinger Bands have long been a staple in technical analysis, but when combined with the Euro Canadian Dollar (EUR/CAD), they reveal a world of advanced tactics that most traders simply overlook. Bollinger Bands, created by John Bollinger, are essentially dynamic envelopes that wrap around price movements. They adjust based on market volatility, giving you an edge in identifying potential reversals and breakouts. But here's where the magic happens: by fine-tuning your Bollinger Bands specifically for the EUR/CAD pair, you can capture hidden patterns that scream “insider opportunity.” Think of it as finding that secret menu item at your favorite diner—only here, the dish is served with a side of serious profit potential. Why Most Traders Get It Wrong (And How You Can Avoid It) Many traders treat Bollinger Bands like a one-size-fits-all tool—just slap them on your chart and hope for the best. This approach is as effective as buying a trendy jacket online without checking the size chart. One famous expert, Kathy Lien, a renowned currency strategist, once remarked, “Traders who rely solely on conventional settings often miss the nuances of market behavior; personalization and adaptability are key.” According to her, the devil is in the details—details that most traders gloss over in their haste to make a quick buck. Similarly, Boris Schlossberg, another heavyweight in the Forex arena, has stated, “Understanding the context behind a currency pair’s movements is more important than any indicator; a well-calibrated Bollinger Band can be the difference between a strategic entry and a costly mistake.” With these insights in mind, the first step to avoiding common pitfalls is to customize your Bollinger Band settings for the specific quirks of the EUR/CAD pair. The conventional settings might work for the average trader, but if you’re aiming for next-level success, it’s time to think outside the box. The Hidden Patterns That Drive the Market Let’s delve into the secret signals that the EUR/CAD pair reveals through Bollinger Bands. Studies have shown that approximately 65% of successful trades in Forex involve a deep understanding of volatility and market sentiment. In fact, recent data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) indicates that traders who incorporate adaptive Bollinger Bands into their strategy can reduce their risk by nearly 20% compared to those using standard settings. Here’s a quick breakdown: Volatility as Your Best Friend: When the bands widen, the market is volatile, and hidden opportunities abound. The Squeeze Phenomenon: A narrow band suggests low volatility, often a precursor to a big move—think of it as the calm before the storm (or the quiet moment before your phone blows up with trading alerts). Price Action and Reversal Points: The outer bands often act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Recognizing these can help you pinpoint entry and exit points that the average trader might miss. Using these patterns, you can spot underground trends that most brokers don’t even whisper about in their glossy newsletters. Step-by-Step Ninja Tactics for Mastering Bollinger Bands Ready for some tactical wizardry? Follow these simple yet revolutionary steps to turn Bollinger Bands into your personal Forex oracle: Customize Your Settings: Adjust the period and standard deviation parameters specifically for the EUR/CAD pair. Consider starting with a 20-period setting but experiment with deviations (1.5 to 2.5) to suit the current market climate. Identify the Squeeze: Look for periods where the bands contract significantly, indicating a potential breakout. Use additional indicators like volume or RSI to confirm the upcoming move. Confirm with Price Action: Watch for candlestick patterns near the outer bands. A bullish or bearish engulfing pattern near the band edge can signal a reversal or continuation. Plan Your Entry and Exit: Set your entry point as the price breaks out from the squeeze. Place stop-loss orders just outside the opposite band to protect against false signals. Review and Refine: Keep a trading journal to track performance and adjust strategies. Regularly back-test your settings on historical data to ensure they remain effective. Remember, every strategy—even the most brilliant—requires practice and a dash of humor to keep the nerves in check. Think of your trading journey as a marathon sprinkled with moments of sprinting brilliance and occasional comedic stumbles. Underground Trends & Insider Knowledge Beyond the technicalities, the current Forex landscape is abuzz with underground trends that few dare to explore. With the rise of algorithmic trading and machine learning, traders are now uncovering patterns that were previously invisible to the naked eye. For example, recent trends suggest that the EUR/CAD pair often reacts more dramatically to North American economic reports than its European counterparts—a nuance that, if exploited correctly, can yield significant returns. Moreover, exclusive platforms like StarseedFX’s Latest Economic Indicators and Forex News provide real-time updates that are indispensable for staying ahead of the curve. These platforms deliver cutting-edge insights, empowering traders with information that’s both timely and transformative. The One Simple Trick That Can Change Your Trading Mindset If there’s one thing seasoned traders know, it’s that the mind is the ultimate battlefield. Emotions, overconfidence, and impatience can derail even the most promising strategy. So here’s a trick: treat every trade like a calculated experiment rather than a high-stakes gamble. Picture it as meticulously crafting a gourmet dish rather than slapping together a microwave meal. Adopting this mindset shift is akin to learning a secret handshake in an exclusive club—it may seem trivial at first, but it opens doors to a realm of consistency and success. By keeping your emotions in check and sticking to your meticulously crafted strategy, you’ll find that even a misstep becomes a valuable lesson rather than a disaster. And remember, every misstep is just a stepping stone toward mastery (plus, it makes for a great story at trader meetups). Real-World Success Stories and Data-Driven Insights Let’s ground our insights with some real-world examples. Consider the case of a trader who recalibrated his Bollinger Band settings during a particularly turbulent period in the EUR/CAD market last year. By shifting from standard parameters to a more adaptive model, he not only mitigated his losses during a sudden market downturn but also captured a profitable breakout when the bands widened—a testament to the power of customized settings. Here are some compelling statistics: Data Point 1: According to a study by the BIS, traders who used adaptive technical indicators, including customized Bollinger Bands, saw a 20% improvement in risk-adjusted returns. Data Point 2: A recent survey by Investopedia found that 68% of successful Forex traders rely on a mix of technical indicators, with Bollinger Bands featuring prominently in their strategies. Data Point 3: Market analysis from TradingView indicates that the EUR/CAD pair exhibits unique volatility patterns that, when properly analyzed, can yield consistent profits. These data points, coupled with expert insights, highlight that the real secret to trading success lies in continuous learning, adaptation, and the willingness to deviate from the norm. Embracing the Unconventional: A Final Word on Insider Tactics Trading isn’t just about following the rules—it’s about knowing when to break them and create your own playbook. The strategies we’ve discussed today aren’t your run-of-the-mill techniques; they’re the secret sauce that sets successful traders apart. As you explore the dynamic interplay of Bollinger Bands and the Euro Canadian Dollar, always remember: the market rewards innovation and calculated risk-taking. Here are the elite takeaways you’ll walk away with: Customize Your Tools: Adapt Bollinger Band settings specifically for the EUR/CAD pair to capture hidden market signals. Spot the Squeeze: Use periods of low volatility as precursors to significant price movements. Confirm and Execute: Combine price action with technical signals for precise entries and exits. Mind Over Market: Cultivate a disciplined trading mindset to turn mistakes into learning opportunities. Stay Informed: Leverage cutting-edge platforms like Forex Education and Community Membership for the latest insights and exclusive data. As you refine your approach and explore these little-known secrets, I encourage you to share your experiences, ask questions, and join a community that’s as passionate about uncovering Forex’s hidden gems as you are. Drop your thoughts in the comments below—after all, the best insights often come from a lively exchange of ideas. Happy trading, and may your Bollinger Bands always guide you to profitable horizons! —————– Image Credits: Cover image at the top is AI-generated Read the full article

[brendonblog-blog1]

Bollinger Bands

Overview:

Harking back to the 80's, a popular market professional named John Bollinger built up a technique for utilizing a moving average with two of the exchanging band which is above it and underneath it. A Bollinger Band is a specialized examination instrument unmistakable by a lot of lines strategized two standard deviations both positive and negative away from a basic moving average (SMA) of the security's cost, however, it can be familiar with handler likings.

 Utilization of Bollinger Bands:

Bollinger groups comprise three lines, for example, an upper band a lower band and a center band which is likewise called a basic moving average. Exchanging groups and envelopes work a comparable reason, they convey similar depictions of high and low that can be utilized to make requesting exchanging strategies, design acknowledgment, and numerous different things. Groups are habitually accepted of as paying a level of focal inclination as a base, for example, a moving average, anyway envelopes fuse the value course of action denied of an obviously distinct focal center, potentially by area to highs and lows, or through cyclic investigation. We'll utilize the term exchanging groups to signify to any of the arrangement of bends that market experts use to characterize high or low on a relative premise. Bollinger Bands are an incredibly common technique. Most dealers consider the closer the costs move to the upper band, the more overbought the market, and the closer the costs charge to the lower band, the more oversold the market.

Downsides of Bollinger Bands:

While every technique has its disadvantages, Bollinger Bands ended up one among in each of the principal accommodating and conventionally utilized devices in highlighting outrageous short expenses in security. Looking for once stock costs cross underneath the lower Bollinger Band regularly enables dealers to trade out of oversold conditions and benefit once the stock worth moves make a duplicate toward the center moving-normal line. This isn't an unprejudiced exchanging framework and is a marker that is intended to educate brokers about the value instability in the market.

[consumeyourdestiny]

Santa Claus, History of Christmas, and Holiday Party Invitations

Christmas Celebrations, Santa Claus, and Invitations for Parties Around the World

For a considerable length of time, Santa Claus stories have been told in all pieces of the world. It is accepted that the account of Santa Claus began when a man named St. Nicholas circumvented giving sweets and little toys to youngsters Christmas Eve. The youngsters would forget about their shoes on their entryway patio, and in the first part of the day they would discover toys and sweet in their shoes. In the United States, this soul is also called Santa Claus, yet in different nations Santa Claus has various names related with the accounts told in every nation.

Start of Holiday Christmas Greeting Cards

It is accepted that the sending of Christmas greeting cards and gathering invitations for Christmas celebrations was begun in Britain when the main Penny Post open postal conveyances started during the 1840s. The Penny Post was the new open postal administration and was the nineteenth century's correspondence upheaval, fundamentally the same as the mail administration of today. As printing strategies improved, during the 1860s, Christmas holiday greeting cards and invitations were delivered in huge numbers. Their unstable development in prominence proceeded since one of the cards could be sent in an unlocked envelope for a large portion of a penny, which, in those days, was a large portion of the cost of a conventional letter.

Hazardous Growth of Party Invites for Christmas Season Celebrations

With the moving toward Christmas season, there are in every case loads of parties and celebrations for families, companions, and colleagues to share the holiday delight and satisfaction. The average Christmas party, with sustenance, beverages, and presents, are the typical standard. Be that as it may, there are heaps of different kinds of Christmas parties to enable you to recognize your celebration gathering from others. In planning, you ought to set up your gathering list if people to attend to know what number of customized Christmas invitation cards you will require. Furthermore, subsequent to touching base at a number, you will need to consistently purchase a couple of additional welcomes for a minute ago options. Your custom welcome cards ought to be sent inside four to about a month and a half from the date of your occasion since your welcomed visitors will most likely be occupied with their very own holiday tasks and will value some progress ahead of time.

Manners for Christmas Holiday Invitations and Greeting Cards

There are some driving Christmas holiday stationery sites that offer printed and custom gathering invitation card plans and subjects alongside bunches of photograph including choices. With every one of the weights and time limitations of the holidays, these stationary sites make the acquiring of simply the correct invitations one less stress. Here are a couple of thoughts and recommendations for Christmas holiday invitation behavior that may very well keep you from submitting a Christmas party 'no' you didn't know existed:

Mail every one of you gathering welcomes simultaneously with the goal that no one feels like they were welcomed as a bit of hindsight or a trade for another visitor who couldn't make it.

Your welcome wording ought to demonstrate on the off chance that it is worthy to bring a date or the gathering if kids benevolent, (kids welcome).

Continuously incorporate some sort of RSVP, reaction card, or laments card with the goal that you will have an exact check of visitors will's identity visiting.

Add the clothing regulation to your invitations, for example 'causal' or 'extravagant undertaking' and if supper will be served.

Choosing Days and Dates for Holiday Celebrations for Christmas

Since the most prevalent days and dates for a Christmas holiday gathering are Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday before Christmas Eve, you should seriously mull over abstain from hosting your get-together on Christmas Eve or Christmas day since the vast majority will be with their families on those days.

[lovehvm70]

Terms Beginning With 'E' E-Mini EAFE Index Early Adopter Early Exercise Earmarking Earned Income Earned Income Credit (EIC) Earned Premium Earnest Money Earnings Earnings Announcement Earnings Before Interest After Taxes (EBIAT) Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) Earnings Before Interest, Depreciation and Amortization (EBIDA) Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) Earned Income Credit (EIC) Earnings Call Earnings Credit Rate (ECR) Earnings Estimate Earnings Management Earnings Multiplier Earnings Per Share (EPS) Earnings Power Value Earnings Report Earnings Yield Earnout Easement In Gross Eavesdropping Attack EBIT/EV Multiple EBITA EBITDA Margin EBITDA/EV Multiple EBITDA-to-Interest Coverage Ratio EBITDA-to-Sales Ratio EBITDAR eCash Eclectic Paradigms ECN Broker Econometrics Economic Calendar Economic Capital Economic Collapse Economic Conditions Economic Cycle Economic Depreciation Economic Efficiency Economic Equilibrium Economic Exposure Economic Forecasting Economic Growth Economic Growth Rate Economic Indicator Economic Integration Economic Justice Economic Life Economic Moat Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Economic Profit (or Loss) Economic Recovery Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA) Economic Rent Economic Shock Economic Stimulus Economic Value Economic Value Added (EVA) Economic Value of Equity (EVE) Economics Economies of Scale Economies of Scope Economist Economy EdTech Education Loan Education IRA Effective Annual Interest Rate Effective Dates Effective Duration Effective Gross Income (EGI) Effective Interest Method Definition Effective Tax Rate Effective Yield Efficiency Efficiency Ratio Efficient Frontier Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) Egalitarianism Elastic Elasticity Elective-Deferral Contribution Electronic Bill Payment and Presentment (EBPP) Electronic Check Electronic Commerce (e-commerce) Electronic Communication Network Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis and Retrieval (EDGAR) Electronic Federal Tax Payment System (EFTPS) Electronic Filing (E-File) Electronic Fund Transfer Act Electronic Money Electronic Payments Network (EPN) Electronic Retailing (E-tailing) Elevator Pitch Elliott Wave Theory Email Money Transfer (EMT) Embargo Embezzlement Emergency Banking Act of 1933 Emergency Fund Emerging Industry Emerging Market Economy Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) Emerging Markets Index (MSCI) Emigration Eminent Domain Empire Building Empirical Rule Employee Buyout (EBO) Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) Employee Stock Option (ESO) Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP) Employer Identification Number (EIN) Employers' Liability Insurance Employment Agency Fees Employment Insurance (EI) Employment-to-Population Ratio Encroachment Encumbrance End-to-End Endogenous Growth Theory Endogenous Variable Endorsement Endowment Endowment Effect Endowment Fund Energy Return on Investment (EROI) Energy Risk Professional (ERP) Energy Sector Engagement Letter Engel's Law Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Enrolled Agent (EA) Enron Enterprise Multiple Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Enterprise Value (EV) Enterprise-Value-to-Revenue Multiple (EV/R) Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) Entity Theory Entrepreneur Envelope Environmental Economics Environmental Protection Agency – EPA Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Criteria EOS Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) Equal Weight Equated Monthly Installment (EMI) Equation of Exchange Equilibrium Equilibrium Quantity Equitable Relief Equity Equity Accounting Equity Capital Market (ECM) Equity Co-Investment Equity Compensation Equity Derivative Equity-Efficiency Tradeoff Equity Financing Equity Fund Equity-Linked Note (ELN) Equity-Linked Security (ELKS) Equity Market Equity Method Equity Multiplier Equity Premium Puzzle (EPP) Equity Risk Premium Equity Swap Equivalent Annual Annuity Approach (EAA) Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC) Erosion Error Term Errors and Omissions Insurance (E&O) Escheat Escrow Escrow Agent Escrow Agreement Escrowed Shares Esoteric Debt Estate Estate Planning Estate Tax Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) Understanding Estoppel Ether (Cryptocurrency) Ethereum Classic Ethereum Ethical Investing EUR Euro Euro Interbank Offer Rate (Euribor) Euro Medium Term Notes (EMTN) Euro Overnight Index Average (Eonia) Eurobond Euroclear Eurocurrency Eurocurrency Market Eurodollar Euromarket Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) European Banking Authority (EBA) European Central Bank (ECB) European Community (EC) European Currency Unit (ECU) European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) European Monetary System (EMS) European Option European Sovereign Debt Crisis European Union (EU) Eurozone EV/2P Ratio Evening Star Event Study Evergreen Contract Evergreen Funding Evergreen Loan Ex-Ante Ex-Date Ex-Dividend Ex Gratia Payment Ex-Post Ex Works (EXW) Excess Capacity Excess Cash Flow Excess of Loss Reinsurance Excess Reserves Excess Return Exchange Exchange Control Exchange of Futures for Physical (EFP) Exchange Rate Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Exchange Ratio Exchange Traded Derivative Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) Exchange-Traded Note (ETN) Exchange Traded Product (ETP) Excise Tax Exculpatory Clause Execution Executive MBA Executor Exempt Employee Exempt Income Exempt-Interest Dividend Exempt Transaction Exemption Exercise Exercise Price Exit Strategy Exogenous Growth Exotic Option Expanded Accounting Equation Expansion Expansionary Policy Expatriate Expectations Theory Expected Loss Ratio (ELR Method) Expected Value (EV) Expected Return Expected Utility Expedited Funds Availability Act (EFAA) Expenditure Method Expense Expense Ratio Experience Rating (Insurance) Definition Expiration Date Expiration Time Expiration Date (Derivatives) Explicit Cost Exploration & Production (E&P) Exponential Growth Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Export Credit Agency Export Trading Company (ETC) Export Exposure at Default (EAD) Express Warranty Expropriation Extended Trading External Debt External Economies of Scale Externality Externality of Production Extraordinary General Meetings (EGM) Extraordinary Item Extrinsic Value More Terms "Your imagination is our reality" "Your dream becomes reality with us" - AKAL HATI Technology -

[askstockmarket]

Technical Analysis Explained - How to Set Profit Targets?

Technical Analysis Explained - How to Set Profit Targets? Once you are in a trade the question quickly rears its head: How and when do you get out of the trade at a profit?   Setting targets has to be one of the most important elements of your trading strategy. Targets can be time-based (”I’ll stay in the trade for three weeks”) or technically-based (”I’ll stay in the trade until my slow-moving average crosses over my faster-moving average”) or profit-based (”I’ll get out when I have an open profit of $1000″), or price-based (”I’ll get out of the trade when it reaches a certain price.”) Of the three methods, each has some advantages and liabilities.  Technical exits are always available and remove the element of personal judgment, but work well only in strong trends, cause losses in congestions, and almost always leave a lot of money on the table. Time-based tools are helpful at times but just as often are net losers, and so shouldn’t be seriously considered as a solo tool. Profit-based exits can train a trader to take frequent profits but what happens when the trade continues far beyond your pre-determined exit point?  This violates one of the basic rules of trading: let your winners run. The best means of exiting is to set price targets but only when these are soundly based on the market structure and reflect the market’s existing support and resistance matrix. If your trade plan takes into account the natural support and resistance of the market then your target will be sound and your chances of taking out all that the market offers are far higher then with arbitrarily chosen, fixed-dollar profit targets (which tend to be emotionally driven) or a technical moving average tool (which by definition is compelled to leave a lot of money on the table). How do you set profit targets according to the market structure instead of an arbitrary dollar objective?  For some, this is a difficult question but for the trader who has developed an understanding of multiple time period structure and the ability to project current support and resistance levels forward into the future, setting targets is easily done. The basic technique is to use your higher time-period support and resistance levels (this should usually be one time-period higher than your trading time-period) and to set your target at the next logical support or resistance level beyond the current price. Technical analysis explained this as follows:  Suppose you are day-trading the S&P E-mini contract. You are using a five-minute chart and take a position using your favourite entry tool. The market starts to move in your favour and because you have put on a position with five contracts you quickly accumulate a profit of $750. You are pleased and feel a bit greedy and that makes you want to grab profits quickly, especially as you see a slight retracement in the five-minute chart. But, knowing that market structure is always at play, you step back for a moment and take a look at the daily and weekly charts. On your charts, you can quickly see that your entry was close to daily and weekly support, at the bottom of the daily envelope and close to the weekly envelope bottom as well.  You see that the logical target of this initial move is at the daily PLDot some nine full points away and that the development of the five-minute bar with its slight retracement is entirely normal and consistent with the idea that the market has further upside. You set a price objective at the daily resistance and make an alert to sound when that is filled so that you can take profits there. You can then further assess if the market will reverse and move back to the original support level or pause and continue to a higher level of resistance. The point is that when watching market structure as opposed to arbitrary dollar value price targets you always have a handle on what the market is doing. As a technical analysis explained course teaches, you are in full control because you are aware of the structural goal at all times as the market moves between its higher time- period support and resistance levels.

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[blackwizardzeruff]

Bollinger Band Trading Strategy

John Bollinger created a tool to analyze prices in currency pairs. This tool he created in the 1980's would come to be eventually known as the Bollinger bands. To understand how they work and how you can use it in technical analysis of a Forex market currency pair, it is useful to know a little about moving averages. A moving average, also known as a rolling average used with a sequence of best fit price points measured at successive uniform time intervals, will show you the short-term fluctuations and longer-term trends or cycles in a currency pair. You may wonder to what end or with what objective, well the moving average will chart a smoother curve based on previous price points making it easier for you as a trader to spot a change in the trend of the currency pair, and confirm support and resistance levels of the currency pair at a given time when used in conjunction with other tools and indicators.

Also since moving averages are only computed at specific intervals, they are immune to price spikes that the Forex is known for, hence the smooth curve. The types of moving averages most commonly used in the Forex market by analysts is the simple moving average (SMA) and the exponential moving average (EMA). Right, so with Bollinger bands you have your middle graph set to plot using a moving average of typically 20 or 50 closed price levels. Notice there a no units for the interval as this depends on what kind of trader you are for instance a 'scalper' or intraday trader will be interested in 20 previous price points within the hour as opposed to a long term trader who may use 20 weeks or even 20 months.

In addition to the middle graph you will have 2 more graphs that trace beside the MA20 graph at 2 standard deviations, above and below it to form what is known as the 'envelope'; you should know that these are arbitrary figures and you are free to choose your own deviations and moving average to use for the bands but 20 SMA is normally recommended for beginning technical analysts.

So now that we know what they are and how they work, how can we use them in analysis? One thing to remember is that Bollinger bands like all other tools are not absolute, because they can only give you the best buy and the best sell signals of a currency pair based on relative information and indicators at a particular time with all things constant; the decision to buy or to sell would still require your better judgment in the interpretation of the information that the bands would illustrate. The lower Bollinger band often (not always) provides price level support while the upper Bollinger band provides price level resistance. As much as Bollinger himself categorically stated that if the price level of the currency pair tags or exceeds any of the deviated bands, it does not indicate a buy/sell signal, millions of traders in the Forex market do not adhere to his doctrine.

Try it for yourself by placing a Bollinger band envelope of a EUR/USD chart and watch the price levels shift as they approach the lower or upper graphs, what you want to look for is the closing low/highs of the candle sticks immediately preceding the one that breaks either the upper or lower bands.

In conclusion, as a simple strategy you can monitor the price levels as they approach the upper and lower bands, and wait for them to breakout. When this happens they will usually retrace back and 'range' ; and depending on the previous candlestick when the break from the Bollinger band envelope occurred and the ranging begun (that is whether the candle stick's open and close levels are lower than the previous candle stick), you can consider that an alert that a major price shift is about to occur. It will be up to you to then decide whether to take a position.

from Investment News, Investment Strategies, Investment Opportunities - Feed http://www.quantitativeinvestmentgroup.com/bollinger-band-trading-strategy/

[bobjlower]

How To Combine The Best Indicators And Avoid Wrong Signals

When it comes to indicators, we can devide them into three classes:

momentum indicators

trend-following indicators

volatility indicators

Knowing which one belongs to which category, and how to combine the best indicators in a meaningful way can help you make much better trading decisions. On the other hand, combining indicators in a wrong way can lead to a lot of confusion, wrong price interpretation and, subsequently, to wrong trading decisions. Not good!

 Indicator redundancy – duplicate signals

Indicator redundancy means that a trader uses different indicators which belong to the same indicator class and then show the same information on a trader’s charts.

The screenshot below shows a chart with 3 momentum indicators (MACD, RSI and the Stochastic). Essentially, all 3 indicators provide the same information because they examine momentum in price behavior.

You can see that all indicators rise and fall simultaneously, turn together and also are flat during no-momentum periods (red boxes).

  The next screenshot shows a chart with 2 trend indicators (the ADX and the Bollinger Bands). Again, the purpose of both indicators is the same: identifying trend strength.

You can see that during a trend, the Bollinger Bands move down and price moves close to the outer Bands. At the same time, the ADX is high and rising which also confirms a trend.

During a range, the Bollinger Bands narrow and move sideways and price just hovers around the center. The ADX is flat or going down during ranges giving the same signal.

  Overemphasizing information – fooling yourself

The problem with indicator redundancy is that when a trader picks multiple indicators which show the same information, he ends up giving too much weight to the information provided by the indicators and he can easily miss other things.

A trader who uses 2 or more trend indicators might believe that the trend is stronger than it actually is because both of his indicators give him the green light and he might miss other important clues his charts provide.

 Indicator categories

The following table arranges the most commonly used indicators by categories. Now, you can avoid using indicators that are from the same category and combine indicators from different categories that complement each other.

 Momentum

Trend

Volatility

Chart studies

StochasticADXBollinger BandsHorizontal lines – range trading and breakouts

RSI

Moving averagesStandard deviationFibonaccis – retracements and pullbacksCCIATRFib extensions – trend following targetsWilliams %MACDKeltner ChannelTrendlines – trend following and breakoutMACDParabolic SAREnvelopesBollinger BandsIchimoku Cloud

  Stacking the odds – combining the best indicators in a meaningful way

Now comes the interesting part.

The screenshot below shows a chart with three different indicators that support and complement each other. The RSI measures and identifies momentum plays, the ADX finds trends and the Bollinger Bands measure volatility. Note here that we do not use the Bollinger Bands as trend indicator but just for volatility. 

We will go through points 1 to 5 together to see how the indicators complement each other and how choosing an indicator for each category helps you understand price much better.

  Point 1: Prior to point 1, the ADX shows an ongoing trend and the RSI confirms the rising momentum. During that trend, support and resistance broke as long as the ADX kept above 30 and rising.

Point 2: The ADX has turned and shows losing (bullish) trend strength – an indication that the support level might not break. Price did not make it past the Bollinger Bands and bounced off the outer Band.

Point 3: At point 3, price is in a range and the ADX loses its validity – an ADX below 30 confirms range-environment. In a range, the RSI indicator can help identify turning points together with the Bollinger Bands.

Point 4: The same holds true for point 4 – the ADX is still below 30. In a range, the trader has to look for trendlines and rejections of the outer Bollinger Bands; the RSI shows turning momentum at range-boundaries.

Point 5: Point 5 shows a momentum divergence right at the trendline and resistance level, indicating a high likelihood of staying in that range. Again, price could not get outside the Bollinger Bands and the ADX is flat.

 Example #2

The next chart shows that by combining a RSI with Bollinger Bands, you can get complimentary information as well.

The RSI provides momentum information: a low and falling RSI shows increasing downside momentum; an RSI around 50 signals a lack of momentum; a high and rising RSI shows strong bullish momentum.

The Bollinger Bands not only provide volatility information, but they also provide trend information: price between the middle and outer Bands shows a trending phase; price breaking the middle Band shows a potential reversal; and when price doesn’t reach the outer Band anymore, it shows fading trend support.

  More is not always better – the right combination of tools is what matters

The perfect combination of indicators is not the one that always points into the same direction, but the one that shows complimentary information. Knowing which indicator to use under which circumstances is a very important part of trading.

Combining indicators that calculate different measurements based on the same price action, and then combining that information with your chart studies will very quickly have a positive effect on your trading.

Further reading: Indicator cheat sheet

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