#If I haven't messed up one bullet vote (voting for it and nothing else) would make the numbers in the report not add up
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crowns-of-violets-and-roses · 10 months ago
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One of the many oddities in this year Hugo nominations is how many works have low point totals compared to their number of nominations.
For those not familiar with the Hugo nominations the basics are that "First, the total number of nominations (the number of ballots on which each nominee appears) from all eligible ballots shall be tallied for each remaining nominee. Next, a single “point” shall be assigned to each nomination ballot. That point shall be divided equally among all remaining nominees on that ballot. Finally, all points from all nomination ballots shall be totaled for each nominee in that category."
Nominees are then eliminated and points reassigned until the finalists are determined. While I haven't seen anything mathematically impossible there has been a lot of discussion of works points total being unusually low compared to nominations.
One interesting example is the fancast Worldbuilding for Masochists which has been nominated for three years running. In 2021 it had 34 nominations and 26.83 points on the final round or 0.789 votes per nomination.
In 2022 it had 42 nominations and 30.87 points on the final round or 0.735 points per nomination.
This year in 2023 it had 56 nominations and 11.30 points an average of 0.2017 points per nomination. The theoretical minimum number of points it could have gotten was 11.20 (56*0.2).
This is some quick math below so feel free to correct me if I've gotten anything wrong.
If 55 people voted for Worldbuilding for Masochists and had all 4 or there nominees in the final round and a single person only voted for Worldbuilding for Masochists it would have gotten more points than that.
If 54 people voted for it and had 4 other of their nominees still in the last round and 2 voted for it and had 3 of their other nominees in the last round it would have the 11.30 points shown ((54 * 0.2)+(20 * 0.25)).
I think at most two voters could have voted for Worldbuilding for Masochists and not had 4 other of there nominees still in the final round.
I know I have some Hugo voters following me and I'm sure there's more on tumblr. I'm curious if any of you nominated Worldbuilding for Masochists and didn't nominate four of the five below works:
Hugos There
Octothorpe
Hugo Girl
Coode Street Podcast
Kalanadi
FANAC Fan History Videos
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