A seasoned sports bettor out to help others win money and become better bettors themselves. Email me any time at [email protected] and follow me on Twitter @sharkygroup. I am also on Onside sports app call sign Sharky Group. Any donations can be made to PayPal.me/SharkyGroup
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Hey guys been awhile, Bases is a busy time early on like all sports really. A lot of work and research. And to add headache bases needs revisited a lot through day to see if a game slide into my zone. Once I settle in there will be more time for blogs and such. Wrote this fucking blog once and lost it when I had to take run. So if this one feels angry it is because it is….I’m going to talk about the roller coaster month it has been, some problems a few of you are having, and my new parlay plays I’m doing. Let’s get to it.
+8.45 units on month. Was at 15+ at one point before the slide. And as you guys reading this prolly know already got 6.67 of that 8 last night. I’m happy with any +$$ as you all know. I’d be ecstatic 8 units in a month. So let’s finish strong.
+1.12 on parlays. More later on the Parlay thing I’m doing. But for now know I have hit 6 of 40 of them and still +$$. This is solid way to bet. I am going to be selective as to when I play. As I said…more in bit.
Record wise it’s all about even. Expected in bases. I just need to hit 50/50 to show nice profit in bases because I play mostly dogs. Up north of 6 units in bases so far. NBA is still a little struggle and so is hockey. Just need to keep chipping at them.
That’s where we are at as of now.
Okay I had a guy who wanted to know how come I was claiming my units gained so high when he said he follows closely and his was not nearly as good. First off let me say this….my record keeping is impeccable….period. So I contacted him back and said if he would send me his monthly records I would compare to mine and see where I messed up. ( I knew I hadn’t). But he did, what I found was he was on it. His picks were right and even the mistakes in released picks (2 this month) he made the corrective measures. Which by way I reflected in my monthly total also. One time I lost 5 cents juice. One time I actually come out ahead but didn’t add it to mine. So how was it this guy who does pay attention and seemed to have proper money management end up well under me? After looking through his, and one other friend of mines who follows also I found a few problems….
1) Lines, look if you don’t have several books your messing up. I personally use 4 books. And for baseball betonline or heritage is almost a must. They release early and have better odds most the time. Now a lot of these seemed not to make a big difference but…at 6-8 plays a day if your constantly losing 5 cents or more at times it adds up fast. Do the math over a month. It can be 1-2 units a week. Maybe I’m up 8 units but your even because all these lines that are just below my lines. Get best line possible. Other factors I found regarding lines. Look I do this free of charge. I’m getting my plays in. If they move in those early minutes to hour it is just what it is. I track MY lines. I finish my picks or at least that set before I put out. Sorry it is me first. Like I said this is free so I can do this without feeling bad. One more thing on lines….a lot of locals round numbers down. This cost you a lot of a course of a month also. Keep it in mind. Unless your betting multiples of 100 this will be issue. Can add up also.
2) Mistakes. And I’m not talking about my mistakes which I owned. But it gets confusing at times and I do best I can. But be careful to do thing just as I do, if your hoping for exact same results. A couple misses and it all changes.
3) Missed Plays. Look I know ya all have lives. So do I. But I’m also a insomniac and do a lot of my work at night. Plays come at all times. I usually do post a final on the tweeter. And this won’t change. I am not releasing and certain time for everybody. That’s what a service does. I’m NOT a service because I don’t get paid. So if at 3 in morning I play Pirates at 105 and at 8 they are -115 just eat juice knowing your not getting best of it. Or lay off. I’m not changing my ways to appease anybody. And on that sometimes I pay one last minutes before game. Although this almost never happens, when it does I tweet them out.
Okay, I’m not saying any this to discourage, or insinuate that any of you are wrong in what your doing. It’s your money and ultimately it your choice. Just telling you the differences between you and me as far as units gained. Keep at it and make good decisions. On a side note the guys who have Onside app seem to have less problems because I do put them on there as I go. I get asked often to text or email play but that all cost money and time. Money I don’t like to give away for free and time is already at a premium in this part of my life. Do the best ya can. Ok, the parlays you guys been seeing me post. First let me say I didn’t come up with this. Sherwood at sportswagers.ca did. @sportswagers3 on twitter. He did a YouTube video about it. He also has a great website and podcast. I think he has struggled last year but he knows betting. It is his job. And he charges not a dime for anything. The premise of it, watch the video, is you get true odds against the book. It works like this. I pick a game I like as a dog. So I make 10 3 team parlays with that game being the first leg. Then what I do is add any other +$ bets to it I desire. Rather it’s a other play of mine or a play that maybe just missed being a play. I only do it if I have a solid two unit play to start with and have 10-13 other plays I like. Make sure you don’t have repeats. Now the first three times I missed the main game with exception of one where I put in a first 5 bet on accident. # 4 last night I killed it and grabbed 5/10. Made over a unit profit for all four rounds. I can see how this is a great way to bet and get a lot of action in many games. Watch the tutorial. I posted on twitter. Or hit up Sherwood. It’s a lot of fun. Do it yourself or follow mine. Just remember to use dogs or favs -1.5 to get good odds. Each parlay is bet at 1/10 a normal unit for you and should clear around a unit or more if hit. Try it and let me know….. Okay guys, that’s it for today. Until next time….
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Hey guys been awhile, Bases is a busy time early on like all sports really. A lot of work and research. And to add headache bases needs revisited a lot through day to see if a game slide into my zone. Once I settle in there will be more time for blogs and such. Wrote this fucking blog once and lost it when I had to take run. So if this one feels angry it is because it is….I’m going to talk about the roller coaster month it has been, some problems a few of you are having, and my new parlay plays I’m doing. Let’s get to it.
+8.45 units on month. Was at 15+ at one point before the slide. And as you guys reading this prolly know already got 6.67 of that 8 last night. I’m happy with any +$$ as you all know. I’d be ecstatic 8 units in a month. So let’s finish strong.
+1.12 on parlays. More later on the Parlay thing I’m doing. But for now know I have hit 6 of 40 of them and still +$$. This is solid way to bet. I am going to be selective as to when I play. As I said…more in bit.
Record wise it’s all about even. Expected in bases. I just need to hit 50/50 to show nice profit in bases because I play mostly dogs. Up north of 6 units in bases so far. NBA is still a little struggle and so is hockey. Just need to keep chipping at them.
That’s where we are at as of now.
Okay I had a guy who wanted to know how come I was claiming my units gained so high when he said he follows closely and his was not nearly as good. First off let me say this….my record keeping is impeccable….period. So I contacted him back and said if he would send me his monthly records I would compare to mine and see where I messed up. ( I knew I hadn’t). But he did, what I found was he was on it. His picks were right and even the mistakes in released picks (2 this month) he made the corrective measures. Which by way I reflected in my monthly total also. One time I lost 5 cents juice. One time I actually come out ahead but didn’t add it to mine. So how was it this guy who does pay attention and seemed to have proper money management end up well under me? After looking through his, and one other friend of mines who follows also I found a few problems….
1) Lines, look if you don’t have several books your messing up. I personally use 4 books. And for baseball betonline or heritage is almost a must. They release early and have better odds most the time. Now a lot of these seemed not to make a big difference but…at 6-8 plays a day if your constantly losing 5 cents or more at times it adds up fast. Do the math over a month. It can be 1-2 units a week. Maybe I’m up 8 units but your even because all these lines that are just below my lines. Get best line possible. Other factors I found regarding lines. Look I do this free of charge. I’m getting my plays in. If they move in those early minutes to hour it is just what it is. I track MY lines. I finish my picks or at least that set before I put out. Sorry it is me first. Like I said this is free so I can do this without feeling bad. One more thing on lines….a lot of locals round numbers down. This cost you a lot of a course of a month also. Keep it in mind. Unless your betting multiples of 100 this will be issue. Can add up also.
2) Mistakes. And I’m not talking about my mistakes which I owned. But it gets confusing at times and I do best I can. But be careful to do thing just as I do, if your hoping for exact same results. A couple misses and it all changes.
3) Missed Plays. Look I know ya all have lives. So do I. But I’m also a insomniac and do a lot of my work at night. Plays come at all times. I usually do post a final on the tweeter. And this won’t change. I am not releasing and certain time for everybody. That’s what a service does. I’m NOT a service because I don’t get paid. So if at 3 in morning I play Pirates at 105 and at 8 they are -115 just eat juice knowing your not getting best of it. Or lay off. I’m not changing my ways to appease anybody. And on that sometimes I pay one last minutes before game. Although this almost never happens, when it does I tweet them out.
Okay, I'm not saying any this to discourage, or insinuate that any of you are wrong in what your doing. It's your money and ultimately it your choice. Just telling you the differences between you and me as far as units gained. Keep at it and make good decisions. On a side note the guys who have Onside app seem to have less problems because I do put them on there as I go. I get asked often to text or email play but that all cost money and time. Money I don't like to give away for free and time is already at a premium in this part of my life. Do the best ya can. Ok, the parlays you guys been seeing me post. First let me say I didn't come up with this. Sherwood at sportswagers.ca did. @sportswagers3 on twitter. He did a YouTube video about it. He also has a great website and podcast. I think he has struggled last year but he knows betting. It is his job. And he charges not a dime for anything. The premise of it, watch the video, is you get true odds against the book. It works like this. I pick a game I like as a dog. So I make 10 3 team parlays with that game being the first leg. Then what I do is add any other +$ bets to it I desire. Rather it's a other play of mine or a play that maybe just missed being a play. I only do it if I have a solid two unit play to start with and have 10-13 other plays I like. Make sure you don't have repeats. Now the first three times I missed the main game with exception of one where I put in a first 5 bet on accident. # 4 last night I killed it and grabbed 5/10. Made over a unit profit for all four rounds. I can see how this is a great way to bet and get a lot of action in many games. Watch the tutorial. I posted on twitter. Or hit up Sherwood. It's a lot of fun. Do it yourself or follow mine. Just remember to use dogs or favs -1.5 to get good odds. Each parlay is bet at 1/10 a normal unit for you and should clear around a unit or more if hit. Try it and let me know..... Okay guys, that's it for today. Until next time....
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Hey guys, today I'm going to explain my approach to the bases. It will be short and sweet. I'm going to talk a bit about were we r at on month and year. Explain some small changes into releasing picks. So let's go! Month I am +14.2. Solid. Looks to grow a bit tonight even. Still a few out there. MLB has started well. Hockey has gone to shit. NBA is just existing. Playoff mode in both so there will be less plays. Although after going over NBA lines today there is a lot to like there. We will see. Year +64.87. Ummmm. Solid. Not much to say that I haven't said already before. Hope ya all taking advantage. Okay, on to bases. There are basically 3 steps I go with in approach to bases. 1. When I get the numbers, which is night before, I look for big advantages. These are often favorites and WTF situations. For favorites I play them then. And I have changed it to lay one unit to win what's left. I don't like laying juice as you all know. And these have not performed well so far. And there will be less of them as season progresses. The on WTF (wrong team favored) I move on to step 2. A not on my numbers first. I don't do them. Someone else does and he does a great job at it. So I use them. Step 2. My favorite of all plays. The majority of what you will see. Underdog system that I have played for couple years. I have a pretty much set system with a lot of perimeters. I won't go into all of them because they are mine. But basically if a game fits them all then it is a play. Period. I don't really care where money is or public % on these. These are good plays. Of all the plays I play all year these are the best. Any sport. Someday I may just play these for a living. These are 10+ units up on year already. They seem hard to pull trigger on at times but you must. Dogs rule in bases. Even the best teams lose 60-70 games a year and I've found a way to capitalize on these. There are a decent amount of them daily. 2-6. A note about them. Every year they slump at some point. Have every year. Last year it was June. Year before May. April before that. Expect it. Then I move on to step 3. Step 3. BL plays. This is first year for them. And they are on fire. I'm going in slow. If they agree with a dog or a # from step 1 then they are a play. A 2 unit play. Eventually they may become plays in own right. Time will tell. They are a lot of dogs and totals. So that's it in a nutshell. Quick review for Beetlejuice. I didn't go into a lot because honestly I can't just give away everything I know. Read the write ups on Onside from time to time and you will start to see some patterns. Study the games. If ya ask about one of the perimeters I won't lie to you about it. Okay, a slight change in how I'm releasing plays. I am selling plays on Anycapper.com and Pickingduck.com. I'm selling them pretty well so far. Now this don't mean they won't be free because they absolutely will be released free. But to they people paying for them I only think it is fair to give them a head start. So I'm posting them on there first. So they may get best lines. Look if your not playing at heritage SB your not getting them most likely anyways. So a hour or so later they will hit onside and I will still tweet them. Line moves matter in long term. But it is my opinion that long as it is decently close. Play it. Some the value may be gone but it's usually not bad. Okay guys that's what I have time for tonight. Have a good one and I will talk at ya guys later.....Sharky
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Hey guys, back again for another blog post. This week (missed last week, was in hospital for couple days). I'm fine now though. In this weeks blog I'm going go over a couple questions from you guys. One was how I performed by sport over last year. Two is my approach to baseball. I'll review monthly numbers here first though. First few days of baseball are in books. Been good as well as out month. I am +7.74 units. All good. For the year I'm 58.41. Records are decent. Regular picks have been 11-4 and BL running 4-6. Anyways some decent constant growth going on again. Take it every month. It is still really early in month yet though. Okay for question #1. How did you perform over all sports in last few years? Well to answer this question is kinda hard for me. Mostly because I don't record my records by sport. To me a bet is a bet regardless of what sport it is. Now I do track a lot of things by sport. But I don't always bet them. I track for example my record with NBA games with line advantage both with and against public. Have been for couple years. These type of things are what give me confidence to bet these games. But I do have a way to answer your question Tom. I have been using Onside sports app for over a year now. And it does break it down. Now I can tell you there are holes in this but will give you a idea. Some of the holes are is sometimes that app screws up, sometimes I get better numbers. But like I said it is a idea. Onside tracks by winning stars. I have treated a star as a unit. 1-5 scale. Now you guys who have been around awhile know I have changed approach from betting 1-3 games a day at 5 units a piece to a broader approach of 5-20 a day at 1 unit sometimes 2 and a single 3 so far. So I will explain a bit further as I go briefly through each sport. NFL -15.3 units. Now almost the whole NFL season was played under 5 star bets. So down 3ish units. Look NFL is king but is really the worst sport to bet. Not hardly any value at all. But it is fun and you can lose 3 units over a course of season it's prolly worth it. I started season out on fire.....but finished on ice. Ironically that is opposite of last few years. NBA -60.8 units. Now look, it is not as bad as it seems. The first month and half was brutal with tough beats. All of the 5 unit fashioned. Got to -80 stars at one point. Not making excuses. But it was this that above all made me want to change approaches. I was sick of going 3-1 or 5-2 on leans to just lose SGP every night in horrible fashioned. To make things worse I came into season +15 or so unit. So since changing approach thinks have been decent. It will take a few years to lower that number. NHL -4.2 units. I don't know what to say. I want to be good a hockey. Just like baseball. But I struggle. This is a true -4.2 units. Although it is really more like -3.43 units. Still have confidence BL will show me value eventually in this blasted sport. And don't forget things were going well until a horrid 1-9 run. And the one came last night. Well it can't all be as bad as those three or nobody would pay a lick of attention to what I say. MLB +41.7 units. This is prob my favorite sport to bet. I can attack several ways that I will cover in bit. These were mostly of the 5 unit variety. And I expect to replicate this number every year in bases. CBB +65.7 units. Great season in college hoops. Entered season down 10. And mostly this was done Jan till now. BL helped greatly with cbb. A lot of plays. A lot of 2 unit plays. I hate CBB. I don't like to watch it or bet it. But it is going nowhere. I can keep hating it forever. To much value. NCAA FB +87.5 Look it is my favorite sport to watch. It was the sport that got me into gambling on sports in first place. Will never go away. These were all done in 5 unit fashioned. And may well stay that way. I love the way I attack it. So there it is.....a sport by sport breakdown. Not exact. Tom next year I will have much better idea because I currently us SA to track and they keep a sport by sport tally also. With my lines and they don't screw up. I started with that one month after starting new approach. So it will provide some nice feedback. And eventually may lead me to breaking down to only 3 sports a year. Okay I said I would answer question #2 but it is a long answer also and I'm really just wanting to watch Cavs, so Beetlejuice Ill go over approach to baseball next week pal. Sorry. So that's it guys, good luck stay safe, and for gods sake someone have a beer and whiskey for me. Can't drink for another week or so.......Sharky
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Hey guys, so blog post about some slight changes. First we will look at some numbers on the month. -5.18 units on month. Lost 13.86 units on Wednesday this week. Had plenty of good days this month but that horrid day got me thinking. My personal NBA picks have went 12-5. Been good after a horrid start in December. Was great last month also. BL has been a issue. Went 69-75. Not a fan of this kind of loss. College plays outside of BL has went 9-9. So what this all means for ya is I'm adjusting some things. I'm still going to use some BL plays but I'm treating it more like a tool. The pure volume of plays is just to much. For now I'm also capping any play that comes out and only playing ones I can see the value in also. I'm hoping this will lower the number of plays to 5-8 a day. No more 25-34 play days. Certain plays have performed well and will still be used. Certain systems have went 69-60 since I started using them. That's good numbers. I will keep updating this stuff. The other plays will still be going in as usual. Although NBA plays slows this time year because of tanking and players sitting. College ball is nearing the end thank god. Unit size will still vary some. I'll be sending them out with sports actin so you can see exactly what I got. Still will post them on Onside when it works. 1 star per unit there as usual. Been a year since I started the Sharky group Onside account and have gotten to up 80+ units and just shy of 1500 followers. Going to try to do writ ups also when I can. Have gotten some feedback saying some of you missed that. So I am going to try to be better there. Okay guys....short and sweet just trying to keep ya in loop. Sharky
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Well month 1 of new model is in the books. Boy wasn't it a great one. IT WILL NOT STAY THIS HOT. But it has been a fun ride this month. Unit wise I did better this past month than I had either of last two years. But this high volume approach will move up and down more....believe me I know. Been tracking these plays for awhile. The good news is the BetLab plays which are most volatile didn't do all that great this month. I play these for one unit mostly. Had a decent amount of +$ dogs and they came in at a losing record but still profited a bit. Most of my systems are built on bad teams and contrarian plays. My NBA and CBB plays did really well. I'll go through some numbers below. This is how I'm going to go forward. Baseball will be a combo of lab plays and my dog system I've used for years. So expect a decent amount of plays, but volume will slow from what CBB brings. Let me hit one more thing before I get into records.... Onside Sports has been a mess....So I'm trying something else. Starting in March. Going to release plays from Sports Action app. You will see them here on Twitter. Hopefully it works. I am still posting on Onside also. I be it later. But they can't seem to grade games or keep any kind of records right so I'm to the point of being over fighting it....and all their fucking ads.... So here are some the numbers from our month. Plus 35.35 units. Record 186-168 for all plays. *I don't personally track 2u plays separately. Win % was 52.5. Just on the right side of profitable %. My NBA went 32-21 CBB separate from BL went 24-14 High of units was 38.5 actually yesterday before losing 3.21 on 28th. Low of units was day 1 at-7.06 units. Pushed 14 games total. Averaged 12.6 plays a day. Those are the highlights. A note on stats above and going forward. Remember my numbers reflect my lines with the reduce juice I search for. If you don't take advantage of this it just lazy. And makes it harder to win. 5D and Heritage both have -105 lines and other books offer better lines. I planned on comparing the difference of the two but since Onside took a shit I've lost my ability to. You will probably win still this month but I'd estimate it would be less. I'm guessing 25 units or so. Maybe less. At this volume a nickel juice matters a lot. Just keep this in mind. As we move forward into exciting times with baseball coming up I'm looking forward to keep the profits coming. It's funny how I always look forward to the next sport because of how I get sick of a particular sport as it gets close to being over. I remember just a few months back being excited for the baseball grind ending. Now I'm here excited for it to be back because I forgot how much of a grind basketball is...lmao. And there is a lot fewer baseball games to mow over. Congrats to the guys who followed all the plays. Hopefully ya did well. Question for any of you who did and maybe only used a -110 book, let me know how ya did for my curiosity. Good luck to anyone who jumped in or thinking of jumping in. Remember start small. A half % or so. Re adjust it daily or weekly. You will be surprised how fast it moves up. Spread your bets. Shop lines. Play smart. Don't chase. Ride the coaster. Good Luck All. Till next time Sharky.
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Hey guys, it's been going pretty well this month with new approach. Hitting good numbers most of the time. So far on the month we are +22.63 units. Here are the closer looks into the numbers.... My NBA picks are 20-17. Some profit all be it small. The BL picks are 68-72. Actually the nature of these providing a lot of NHL dogs there is profit here also. Our CBB plays are 14-6. Nice profit here. It all adds up to 22.63 units of profit. Now this could be less if your not properly shopping for best lines and taking advantage of one of the many books with reduced juice. For instance I profited 2.81 units last night compare to a straight up 2.31 units I gained on Onside where there is no reduced juice. That will add up a lot over a course of a year. That's why shopping for best lines is so important. If you don't do it you will prolly do fine but struggle to show same type profit we do. On to other news, I took on 2 investors into Sharky Group which has been cool. It has upped my BR and they get a chance to make some decent bank without lifting a finger. I get the advantage of making a small % of their profit. And they help cover the monthly cost of BL. We will see how it all plays out. Okay I'm going to answer a question I got on Value. There are essentially two types of Value. Perceived value and actual value. I use both types in my handicapping as all should do. Actual value is when the market has moved the number to a point where you believe the value of the particular play has now made it worth a play. Say for instance the Cavs are -6 agains ATL in a NBA game. You number aligned with that number. But the public (or sharp $ at times) move the number to -8. Now the number of 8 has value for taking the ATL side. You now have 2 more points or 25% more value on the ATL play. If I aligned with original number then I would consider play on ATL. Perceived value is different is the way that you make the number and compare to the Vegas lines. Good cappers must do this I believe in some way. I know guys who use computers to generate lines and I know guys who just whip them out. I personally believe you need power ranking to help you along the way but many don't do that either. This makes you just like the bookmaker. And you have heard me say before this is exactly how you should be. I have complete confidence I could run a book. But that's a whole other conversation. If in above example your line on that game was Cavs -4 your perceived value is 2 points better than the opening line. Where it gets really fun is when you get a mix of both. Just like this example we used above. Your line was -4 Cavs. Line opened at -6. And was bet up by public to -8. Now you have a lot of value on a play on ATL. I'm am playing this game in this situation. Now please please please remember that value alone don't win games or bets. Just gives you a edge on bets. A way to get closer to that 55% you hoping for. Over a course of a 365 day year betting value will be better than betting guts which is what most do and why so many fail at sportsbetting......... Okay, that's it for today. Take it easy and stay sharp. Untill next time ......Sharky
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Well week one of Sharky Groups new approach is in the books. What a week it was. Capped off the week with one of the greatest comebacks in history last night. NE played amazingly in 4th. ATL fans have to feel they gave that one away. Which they did in a lot of ways. This year in sports we've seen 3-1 down comeback in NBA finals and World Series. 14 point comeback in CFB playoff championship and now that Super Bowl. What a year in sports! Been a glorious ride. Okay let's go over the week.... Record 53-42. 55.7% That in itself is pretty good. +22.95 units. That is incredible. We have been outstanding with the 2unit picks. That is why we have gained so many units more the the win % would show. This is by far and away better than I would expect most weeks. Remember sports betting is a coaster. And right now we climbed very high on the coaster. I would expect it to level out or even drop some. Now last year we barely beat this mark for the whole year. I honestly believe this year could be very very profitable with our new format. And if this week is any indication then it will be. Did pretty good across all sports on the week, but got killed first couple days on unders. So I eliminated them for the most part. The volume of plays my BL spits out and I see as value plays is quite big enough to not fight unders which in all honestly haven't been great to me across any sport in last year. I don't know when Vegas will catch up to the scoring across all sports but they will eventually. Baseball saw record home runs. Hockey is seeing records in scoring and Basketball sure seems to be favoring the overs also. I will continue to track them and may still play a few from time to time. Okay that's the week in review. Don't really have much to say anything else today so I'm going to leave it here. If there is any topics drop me a message and I can hit on any topic ya want. Until next time good luck and Bet Sharp!
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Hey guys it's been a bit. Sorry have been busy as of late. Picks have been coming in and it again has been as slumpy type month. Still time to turn it.... January and YTD 15-18 -3.25 units. Look it hasn't been good. Actually it hasn't been good since November but I do believe it will turn. Always does. Basketball has been tough. A lot of wrong sides and a lot of bad beats. Been into a little hockey with help of BL and it hasn't been bad. Played a few high volume type days but that won't be the normal. Just days I saw stuff I couldn't pass on. Really wish I could've on the really bad one that went 1-4 and destroyed this month. Water under bridge now. The two other big days went pretty well. Still like to attack pretty low volume though. And that's what you can expect most the time. As this new year goes forward I want to talk about something. The stock market. Been getting some of this myself because of the slump and I know other cappers that get it all the time. See guys start to follow or in some case pay for picks and have super high expectations. They want to win and win big! The problem is when they go to pick their capper or service they look for a hot one. And believe me they are easy to find because when someone is hot they let EVERYBODY know. I'm guilty of this also...when things are going well I defiantly have more of Twitter presence.....I will work on that. So they pick their capper who is hot and then inevitably they slump because it happens to all cappers from time to time. Then your pissed off and lost confidence (which I understand). The problem is this....The Stock Market. If you invest in stocks or 401k for retirement investment and you buy a stock in say for instance Joe Corp. Joe Corp has been around a long time. Over years they show steady climb. Now after month 2 your Joe Corp stock fell from 100 a share to 80 a share would you sell it off? Of course not. And neither should you give up on your capper or service. Sports betting is very much like the stock market. Cappers have up months and down months. Hell, even down years. And if looking for a new service or capper someone in a slump isn't a bad way to go. Think stocks (Buy low sell high) This all hold true if you pick your own games. If you keep goals and expectations realistic and MOST importantly keep your bankroll controlled you stand a decent chance at success in Sportsbetting if you treat it like the stock market. So follow my plays, or someone else's, or your own. Just keep in mind there will be down times. DON'T change what your doing, DON'T raise your bet size, DON'T jump to the newest hottest capper in Twitter universe. Strap in and hold fast. Work at it. Be a player not a fish. Good Luck Guys!
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Hey guys! Well chipping away here in the new year. Had a day that was just about spectacular yesterday. Let's look at record. January and YTD ... 6-4 +2.1 units. Been good start. Hit a couple hockey dogs. Had let hockey go last year but using the BL software has provided some decent dog plays and ya know how I love dog plays. Slugged out a couple CBB plays. Hit a NFL play in there to. NBA has continued to be a struggle but remember....6 months of NBA left. Still believe it turns. The constant 4th quarter melts is frustrating. I think most of my picks have went into 4th with solid lead to just piss it away. Happens but fuck....should happen almost every time. Anyways like where I'm at on the month. For those who have been following my degen BL plays I hope your taking advise and controlling your BR well. There has been some swings in there. I really believe a rolling 1% play is the way to bet that. 3% is good for the SGP. Okay guys I am boarding a plane for Florida here in couple of minutes. Picks will be coming in still. There will be no writeups but there hasn't been many anyways. Still working on a lot of stuff with BL and gets me watching a ton of lines and shit all day. I WILL get back to writeups soon though. Okay dudes stay tuned and let's get some fucking $$ this month! Sharky.
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Hey guys, Happy New Year! Hope your 2016 was as good as mine. I got to see my beloved Cavs bring a championship back to a city I love. Saw a great World Series where my team fell just short. Saw my favorite college team get blown out on the last day of the year....not everything can be good right. Got our local hockey team killing it in December, now the top team in the NHL. As far as betting goes it was a good year that ended kinda poorly but felt like I made solid come back towards end of December and feel good about moving forward from here. Here the year end numbers..... YTD 190-155 55.07%. 28.35 units up. Dec 10-14 -5 units. So that's the skinny on 2016. Up over 28 units and hitting 55% are both solid numbers and I will take them anytime. 9 of the 12 months were positive ones. Did pretty well in all sports. Baseball was really good. So now I turn page to 2017 and there is a lot to look forward to. I hope that it is as good as past few years. Got a lot of confidence going in. A lot of great sporting action in front of us. Money to be made by being diligent. Control your BR. Make smart decisions. The SGP will still be coming almost daily and the BL shit will be on Onside Sports as it has been. Well that's what I got for now, still a little hungover to get to deep into anything. Lol. So let's get it in 2017.......Sharky
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Hey guys....been awhile. After breaking for a bit I've slowly jumped back into it. Being very selective hear finishing up December. Been more about preparing for this next year really. There will be more picks here this month though. Since coming back I have been 3-1 which has cut the losses for December. But more so it has given a pretty good path on how we move forward. I feel we've added a pretty powerful tool to our capping. I will discuss it further below. But first the record. YTD 188-154 +27.45 units (53.1%) Dec 8-13 -5.9 units Well they are what they are. Still a nice year right on target for us. Would rather have kept it up at 55% but shit happens and bad streaks happen. Part of the life of a sports bettor. I survived it, evolved a little. And will be better moving forward I believe. So if ya follow the blog or much of the Twitter feed you have heard me mention the software and database I am using. This is turning out to be a nice tool to have. And although the $$ I have invested in just the BetLab info hasn't paid much as far as dividends YET it has increased some. And I see some great potential. Combined with my traditional capping and watching the market I see great improvements in the SGP in this coming year. How it works is this....They have tracked thousands of games over last decade or more as they played out against spread. Then you can use tons of parameters to make a "system". Such as 60% winning team rested playing in a Non Division game at a spread of -3 to -6. Then see that this situation has a win clip of 62% in the last 10 years in the NBA. Looking at the info you can tell if it is a steadily increasing system or a flukey type thing. Basically you build a bunch of these (Or have someone do it for you) and play them when they come up. I am playing about 30 different systems now over all kinds of sports providing somewhere between 7-15 plays a day. I have also been working on finding more systems by trying different things. I actually very much enjoy messing with the stuff. Now I have been posting them all on the Onside Sports app for guys to pick through or follow them all. I play them different than I have advocated in past as these plays are bet as 1-3 units. Now I set aside a chunk of my BR to do this and of that chunk I am playing 1% unit size. I would advocate NO bigger on these plays. There are massive swings and although I do see merit in long term done incorrectly this type of betting could bust you quick. Typically the 2 or 3 star plays are games that fit different systems (2-3 duh). The significance of this is these are the games I will be looking deep into as SGP. These in the the 25 or so days I have been looking at these have went 17-9 ATS. Very good rate, although to early to throw a party yet. Promise though. So that's the deal with the mass amount of OnSide Sports app picks. And I will continue to post them there along with the SGP. And hopefully it will continue to be profitable as we move forward. Just be careful with it. I know many of you are in a rush to get rich but this isn't the way to do it honestly....it can happen but it WILL take years and unless you can live in Vegas or Europe more than likely it WONT happen. Most bookies will cut ya off if you get to good, online books will limit you also. Can ya make some extra money, sure ya can. And if ya can make extra cash having fun watching sports then I'd say its worth it. But remember this....if your constantly upset about losing games or wondering what ya can play to save your house payment I think it's probably time to hit reset and just save money until you can come in right. Meaning betting 1% to 3% of bankroll per play. Reset it weekly and let the compounding interest pile up. If you got 1000 in bankroll betting 100 a play is betting suicide....believe me. Bet the 10 a unit and except that you'll be around for years. A bonus of betting 1%-3%....how upset can you be after losing 8 bets in a night if it's 8%. You'll be happier and if you say disciplined you will eventually be a 100 bettor with 10g in your BR not stressing the games anymore and having way more fun. Good Luck All and have fun! Sharky
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Hey guys.... Some of you already know that I'm walking away for a bit here. I feel this needs to be done. The struggle has been real. Let's look at it and then I get into the how and whys.... YTD 185-153 +25.55 units. 54.7% December 5-12 -7.8 units. More importantly for this blog post is the last 45 days where I've dropped right around 15 units. So there they are. Numbers are not bad for nearly a year. But the steady decline is bad. And personally I'm not comfortable pushing on for right now. The are a few reasons I don't.... 1) This year I have made a very significant chunk of dough and I don't want to dig into it very far. Me and bones started with a very small BR when we started this and built to a nice chunk of money. The BR is still very secure but the 25.55 units I've accumulated this year is above our goal for a year. We always said hitting 20 would be a positive year. So if I've made my goal why would I chance losing it.....So I'm collecting my cash from this year and my chunk of BR so that I can totally move forward from here on out. Was doing this end of year but just going ahead and doing it now. 2) When shit is going this bad I just can't stand knowing there are guys out there following the plane as its heading to the ground. Look I've been here before, although this is arguably as bad as it has been before. I know how to survive it. I play with solid money management so losing 15 units in month and half is no big deal. Think recession... But a lot of guys who have been following me maybe don't have this type of discipline. And knowing I have added to their misery really isn't making my bad nights and better. And I guess this hasn't been a big prob since we went public because we had 1 losing month in first 12. But this problem is real now and it is something I either need to learn to deal with or decide to keep my shit to myself. 3) Sometimes when things are going rough the BEST move is to step back and reset. For how long? At this point I have no idea. 2 days, 2 weeks, 2 months....it's all in play. Most importantly I want to make sure when I come back to give out my picks my product is good enough to make myself and any of ya tailing some steady profit. So there are the reasons for stopping. Hope ya all understand. This is a financial decision and I don't really care what some of you think because I know it's the right move for me. I'm not doing it because I'm trying to preserve a winning record like a guy accused me of today. I'm just not going to throw money away because of pride. I bet these plays also for probably more money than anyone tailing me. So moving forward this is what I got going now. With me collecting my money and getting some shit set up I am doing a few things that are taking more time than I believed they would. I have learned more about Bitcoin than I ever wanted to and purchased a bunch of it so that I can fund several different sportsbooks. This had to be done with my Vegas connection ending this year. So as I get my accounts set so I can take advantage of best lines and reduced juice that only some offshore books can provide. I touched on something that I got started with. I'm using Betlabs software as a tool to move forward. I've been building a bunch of systems and have had a bunch built for me by Bones. The guys he works for now use this stuff a great deal. And when I got my money in place I'm going to give this a shot and see how it works out. I'm taking a chunk of BR to work into this. And I have already started thinking how this could effect the future of the SGP. I have ideas but more time is needed. Will these plays all ever be put out by me, doubt it. For now though if you have Onside Sports app then follow Sharky Group they will all be there. On that ya need to know that I'm putting them as 1 star per unit bet. Usually will be a 1 unit play with occasionally a 2-3 unit play. Any 5 star play I make on there is something different. Just so ya know not to be playing those for 5 units. Also it is important to know that I'm playing these on a 1% of Bank Roll and adjusting it weekly. I believe this will be important with the peaks and valleys I am sure I get with the 5-18 plays a day I am generating. We will see where this goes in future. Okay so as I go forward with all these things and get myself collected I'll get back to posting daily for your enjoyment and hopefully for some decent bank going again. I apologize to the guys who were upset today when I said I'm taking a break. I think I was able to explain myself well enough to keep a good relationship with ya. Thanks for the guys who have been good friends and partners along this ride. I'm also sorry to the guys who just started and was never here to see the good times. I encourage you to stick around and jump back in with me...but sure understand if ya didn't. Month and a half of ball kicking will burn bridges for sure. Just know that it happens no matter who ya are. Even the best in world struggle at times. Ask any of them..... Alright guys until next time......Scott
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Hey guys, As many of ya know from a tweet earlier today I'm taking some time off. There are a few reasons for this I will go over in a bit. Most importantly though is it HAS not been going well. Let's take a look at it..... YTD 185-153 +25.5 units.
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Hey guys, well December open much like November closed. 1-3 start is not what I was looking for at all. First let me give ya the numbers..... YTD 181-145 +30.2 units. 55.5% December 1-4 -3.15 units. Well those numbers are not what I've been looking for at all. But digging into them a bit you see that 55.5% on year is still very good and actually on target for year. Any year actually. That's a great number for a bettor. If you don't focus on the 17-23 -8.3 unit slide over the last month and few days. Now in that slide there has been a lot of bad luck and at times inexplicable losses. 2/3 December losses came at hands of these. Wisconsin surrendered a 28-7 lead the other night and Buffalo had a equally bad loss in last quarter and half Sunday. Last night was just plain wrong side, but that happens when looking for value sometimes. So where do I go from here. Well I've done some review today over this last month or so. Mostly I feel okay about it. Things are not as bad as they seem right now. I still feel good with how the young NBA season is going with my leans even though it really did start horribly for me. NFL started sooooo well but boy it has been tough sledding last few weeks. Cfb really finished strong but is basically over, I play few bowl games really as lines are pretty tight usually. So focus now is mostly NBA and NFL. And some cbb although I personally don't do much with it. Moving forward over next month I'm going to get more selective in my picks. What this means for anyone tailing is I may not have a play every day. But somedays I may have two or even three. I know this is slightly different than I've done things but through this slide I've had several days like these last two, Sunday I loved CIN and BUF and picked wrong. Last night I liked 3 NBA games and NYJ. Well we all know what happened to Jets and those three NBA games all came out on right side. Those three NBA games put my leans for year to a % I can deal with. So on a night like tonight where I had two slight leans it's prob better to pass and wait for games like last night where my opinion was stronger. I think in end the average plays per month will stay close to same but may look a little different. Another thing I am doing is implementing a new tool. I will go into this more over time but I am excited to use it. Bones actually help me get it setup and going for me over last couple days. I took some of my bankroll and am playing the plays myself. This for now is very separate from my SGP because of several reasons....One I don't want to introduce it until I know it is working well, although it will compliment my current handicapping. Two it is pretty costly so using it needs to be profitable with the modest BR I decided invest in it. If it works out there will be much more to come down the road. So that's what's going on today in my quest to become a bettor capper than a lot of the filth liars out there. As always thanks for the guys who have stuck around, I welcome any questions via email, onside or Twitter as always. Hope I've preached enough about patience and good money management that most of you haven't gotten crushed here last month. Long as your playing that 2% I've mentioned a thousand times you BR should be well intact and ready for the next hot streak that I still feel is right around the corner. Remember that over last 13 months I have had two losing ones. That was prob a little better than it should've been and the payback has been bad, especially for the new followers. To you guys I do apologize but the facts are it is what it is always. Stay the course and I feel you'll be very happy next year ya did. Thanks all....Lets keep trying to find the best of it.....Sharky
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PLEASE READ GUYS.....I capped that to get your attention. This is a important blog post tonight. I went to bed after that last loss and couldn't sleep. The thing is it's not that I couldn't sleep because I am having a bad month or a really bad day. I can't sleep because since we started this thing this is by far our worse run and I find myself feeling bad for all of the guys who follow the plays. I want to address this week a bit.... YTD 176-139 +31.6 units. November 12-18 -7 units. Okay that's a bad month to this point. And if you just start following then it is devastating. If ya are on of the ones who have been here 6 months or so it may not be all that bad. If your one who has been here all year it shouldn't be bad at all. This is bad BUT.....sometimes in sports betting things go badly. And sometimes they do it in a streak of crappy breaks. This week we lost 5 games, I'm not even going to dwell on them but am going to mention them. Game 1. In the NBA it is rare to see a score nearly as lopsided as 33-12 in the 4th quarter. 23-2 until pretty late. Yea we had that happen...why? Don't really know because was unable to watch that one. Game 2. Lost a NBA game where we had -6 and in end of game hit -4. Went to OT and hit -5 twice. They won by 4 I believe. Is it a bad break....not really but one missed shot or one made shot along way and we get it. Game 3. We have a NFL team +2.5 and with less than a minute to go they get a first down called back by dumb penalty. Then they throw a unexplainable pick to set up a FG. We lose by 1/2. Would we have won in OT. Idk. Maybe not. But woulda had chance. Game 4. We have a NFL -6 who allowed a junky TD to bust. On following onside we recover and grab a quick 1st down. Well in FG range. Though we get another one and then clock it. 20 more seconds on clock we most likely win. Game 5. We have +9 and when score in game was 21-7 we had TWO chances to score inside of the 1 yard line and failed both times. We took because the line moved crazy due to injured QB1. Well his replacement did pretty well and felt most the game we had what we wanted. Okay so there are the 5 losses we suffered out of last 6 picks. Now I don't think we should've won every one. But we were in every one for sure! These were all great examples of in game variances. They happen every week good or bad. Now if three of those hit, or hell even two of them we are still fighting for a positive month. Instead I'm down 7 units and I know for fact it won't come back this month. For me I'm more upset over my yearly figure which I really wanted that is also probably out of reach now also. But that is okay. Said it last post. Happy where I am at on year even tonight. Now one more thing about today. 3 plays ended up feeling like chasing to me. I had one on the books and after talking to Kev this am he loved the other two. I felt pretty good also. Numbers were good. Felt they fit my style. So I pulled trigger. Sure now I wish I wouldn't have. Who wouldn't wished that. But I decided to and now it's over. Okay so moving forward from this week. I will keep doing what I have been doing for over a year now. Look for the best of it. Lay down my bets and hope the shit like above don't get me. If it does, I wake up the next morning do the lines and lay the bets again. I'll keep doing it until I just don't feel like it anymore. There will be good times great times and shit times. Anyone who has been doing this long knows how this goes....most have bought picks in past (myself included) where they got crushed fast. I try to avoid that with the way I do things but this week it didn't work out so well. I'll see if I can't limit the damage of this month and get some back. For the guys who remember June's bad run also remember July and Aug crazy good runs. Hopefully anyways. Lost a lot of followers in June just like now I would assume. Cause the thing is I can play every day for 10 years and show a great profit, but the only thing anyone will remember is the time they were with me on the bets. Just way it works. Stick with or or don't. Has to be your choice. Hope ya do though. It's fun for me to interact with all of you good and bad and I DO know the good times will out number the bad. Untill next time ......Sharky
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Hey guys, well I'm back and getting back into a groove. Stepping away for vacation was fun. Mixed bag with the bets. Leaned on some others and they did okay. In this blog post I'll recap the week, not the individual games like usual because one there was a lot and I didn't watch any of them. Goin to talk about some records for individual sports for my leans (Where my plays come from). So let's get into it. YTD 175-134 +35.9 units November 11-13 -2.7 units Last week And couple days was 7-5 on picks to pick up some of the November losses. Play on Books Min +1.5 So I got back in striking distance to save November. But mostly if I can limit damage I'll be happy. Losing months happen from time to time. Still happy about the great year. I have covered in previous blog post that if I can get up 20 units on the year I am happy. This over long haul adds up. I always talk patience. Better gamblers than me have taught me this. So honestly I was hoping to end year with 40 units and several times this year I hit that mark but if I only end up at 30 for year.....STILL really happy. And that 40 is still there. Only next month and half will tell. And next year I will still set out with my normal goal of 20 units. Maybe next year I can repeat the great year I had this year. So I get a lot of questions about individual records for different sports. I don't track them this way. To me a bet is a bet. I track wins and losses and money. But since Bones moved on I have tracked my leans. When I say leans I mean I make several picks daily that the SGP comes from. These to me would be good plays in my book but most times I play just my favorite. So here it goes. Remember this is from about early to mid July or so when I started tracking these. MLB 44-35 +12.99 units MLB playoffs 5-6 -.22 units College Football 31-21 NFL 18-15 NBA 15-19 So all in all it has been decent overall. MLB was great. I'll take those numbers over a couple months always. Playoffs dragged down a bit but they get tricky. CFB was good and historically always is for me. NFL hasn't been great so far. But the SGP from NFL have been pretty good so I'll take it. From football you'll notice right away there are not a ton of plays there. I am selective in those sports. I believe you MUST be. NBA is starting a little slowly for the leans and the SGP. I believe this turns around though. Typically is one of my better sports. I do not cap CBB so there will be no record of it. If a SGP come from CBB it is from Bones, Kevin or other guy. Prob won't be a write up either because I would be making it up. So there it is. I will update these ever so often. So moving on to finish year we got NFL winding down. Gets tricky soon as playoff picture get more known some teams rest and some teams throw in towel. CFB enters bowl season, which I love but can also be tricky betting. There will be some though, and I will probably post a opinion for every game. And for a shameless plug for Kevin's website they usually put on a 1000 free roll bowl contest which I actually won last year. Who don't want a free 500 bucks. I'll update ya when they release it. So I'll keep trying to finish the year up and close the books on it. Hopefully it goes better than last two weeks. Later dudes.....Sharky
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